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Titan International (TWI)
NYSE:TWI

Titan International (TWI) AI Stock Analysis

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Titan International

(NYSE:TWI)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(5.47%Upside)
Titan International's stock score is primarily driven by its strong technical momentum and positive recent earnings call, highlighting growth in key markets and improved margins. However, challenges in profitability and valuation metrics, along with overbought technical indicators, present potential risks.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The Carlstar acquisition expands Titan International's product portfolio, allowing them to serve a broader range of customers.
Market Position
Titan International is the largest global player in off-highway tires and wheels, covering a wide range of industries including Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Equipment.
Technology Advantage
Low Sidewall technology offers significant benefits to farmers, potentially increasing their profits.
Negative Factors
End-Market Deterioration
TWI, the leader in Agricultural and other tires & wheels, has seen its stock decline nearly 50% YTD as core end-markets deteriorated, but a return to growth could be less than a year away as US farm incomes may inflect in 2025.
Market Conditions
Titan International's stock price has declined nearly 50% as core end-markets have deteriorated.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty and its ultimate impact remains a variable.

Titan International (TWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Titan International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTitan International, Inc. (TWI) is a leading global manufacturer and supplier in the off-highway tire and wheel industry. The company specializes in the production of wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems, primarily serving the agricultural, construction, and mining sectors. With a strong presence in North America and selected international markets, Titan International delivers durable and high-performance products designed to withstand the rigorous demands of industrial applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyTitan International generates revenue through the manufacture and sale of its diverse range of products, including wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems, predominantly catering to the agricultural, construction, and mining industries. The company's revenue streams are largely driven by its extensive product portfolio and its ability to provide customized solutions that meet the specific needs of its clients. Significant earnings are also derived from its strategic partnerships with leading original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), which integrate Titan's products into their machinery and vehicles. Additionally, Titan International capitalizes on aftermarket sales, providing replacement parts and services to its broad customer base, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Titan International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 41.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with strong financial performance and strategic positioning offset by challenges in the US market and tariff uncertainties. While international operations, especially in Brazil, show positive trends, the domestic ag market and tariff impacts create significant headwinds.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Q1 revenues were $491 million with adjusted EBITDA of $31 million, both at the higher end of guidance ranges.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin improved to 14% in Q1 from 10.7% in Q4, indicating positive leverage with increased sales.
Brazil Market Strength
Business in Brazil continues to strengthen, with Titan well-positioned as the largest manufacturer of ag tires and undercarriage in the region.
Expansion of Goodyear Licensing
Titan announced the expansion of Goodyear licensing rights into new product segments, enhancing brand leverage.
Negative Updates
Challenging US Ag Market
US agriculture orders remain muted due to uncertainty, affecting equipment demand in the short run.
Impact of Tariffs on Global Operations
The evolving tariff situation adds uncertainty, impacting production decisions and customer inquiries.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased to $49.9 million, up from $39 million in the prior year, partly due to the Carlstar acquisition.
High Effective Tax Rate
Q1 saw an income tax expense of $4.2 million with an effective rate of almost 100%, due to geographic distribution of profits.
Company Guidance
During Titan International Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that showcased its strong financial performance despite challenging market conditions. Titan reported revenues of $491 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $31 million, with a gross margin of 14%, up from 10.7% in the previous quarter. The company anticipates second-quarter revenues of $450 million to $500 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $25 million to $35 million, indicating stability. Titan's strong U.S. manufacturing presence and diversified global operations help mitigate risks associated with tariffs and fluctuating market demands. The agriculture segment in Brazil has seen strengthening business, while European activities are impacted by geopolitical factors. Despite muted agriculture orders in the U.S., Titan remains well-positioned to leverage its broad product portfolio and production capabilities for future growth.

Titan International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Titan International shows mixed financial performance with consistent revenue growth but declining net margins and inconsistent free cash flow. The balance sheet reveals moderate but increasing leverage, which could pose risks if income generation does not improve. Key focus areas include maintaining operational efficiency and improving leverage metrics.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Titan International's income statement reflects a mixed performance. The company has demonstrated a consistent revenue growth trajectory, although the recent TTM period shows a decline in net income. The gross profit margin has remained stable, but the net profit margin has deteriorated, indicating challenges in managing costs or generating sufficient income from operations. The decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins over time suggests potential operational inefficiencies or increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Titan International shows a moderate financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, although it has been increasing, indicating a rising leverage trend. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the declining return on equity over the periods suggests that the company is generating less profit from its equity base, which could impact future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Titan International's cash flow statement reveals stable operating cash flows, although free cash flow has shown variability, potentially affecting liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to reported profits. However, the negative trend in free cash flow growth highlights challenges in maintaining consistent cash surplus after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.85B1.85B1.82B2.17B1.78B1.26B
Gross Profit249.08M257.80M305.85M360.71M237.54M114.32M
EBITDA92.44M105.40M170.97M274.05M130.26M26.02M
Net Income-15.41M-5.56M78.76M176.30M49.59M-65.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B1.58B1.29B1.28B1.18B1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments174.43M195.97M220.25M159.58M98.11M117.43M
Total Debt705.08M683.46M437.26M445.62M484.95M464.70M
Total Liabilities1.18B1.09B821.83M901.49M955.51M855.62M
Stockholders Equity534.25M496.07M467.06M381.24M229.30M179.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.85M75.86M118.55M113.70M-28.08M35.55M
Operating Cash Flow100.89M141.49M179.35M160.68M10.73M57.23M
Investing Cash Flow-57.66M-201.60M-56.92M-36.75M-37.60M33.22M
Financing Cash Flow-62.54M64.55M-56.02M-61.31M13.95M-38.56M

Titan International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.43
Price Trends
50DMA
7.80
Positive
100DMA
8.04
Positive
200DMA
7.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Negative
RSI
77.39
Negative
STOCH
82.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.78, above the 50-day MA of 7.80, and above the 200-day MA of 7.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TWI.

Titan International Risk Analysis

Titan International disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Titan International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Titan International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MTMTW
73
Outperform
$435.25M9.747.21%-2.75%65.38%
HYHY
71
Outperform
$710.86M7.1521.56%3.59%-0.32%-35.10%
68
Neutral
$442.52M979.840.18%1.58%-4.08%
68
Neutral
CHF7.02B25.5616.28%2.84%-2.63%-20.30%
TWTWI
66
Neutral
$664.43M-2.65%5.64%-124.05%
60
Neutral
$442.35M55.98-0.58%1.81%-4.98%-110.92%
WNWNC
47
Neutral
$450.52M-15.01%2.97%-25.44%-135.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TWI
Titan International
10.43
3.14
43.07%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
15.43
-17.69
-53.41%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
12.28
1.37
12.56%
SHYF
Shyft Group
12.64
1.68
15.33%
WNC
Wabash National
10.76
-10.33
-48.98%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
40.14
-25.12
-38.49%

Titan International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Titan International Confirms Directors and Auditor at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Titan International, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of eight directors, including Richard M. Cashin Jr. and Laura K. Thompson, was confirmed for one-year terms. Additionally, the selection of BDO USA P.C. as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and a non-binding advisory vote approved the 2024 executive compensation. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its financial oversight and executive management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWI) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan International stock, see the TWI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025