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Titan International (TWI)
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Titan International (TWI) AI Stock Analysis

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TWI

Titan International

(NYSE:TWI)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(1.43% Upside)
Titan International's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, indicated by declining revenues, margins, and cash flows. Technical analysis also points to bearish momentum, further impacting the stock's attractiveness. Valuation concerns arise from negative earnings without dividend support. The earnings call adds a mixed outlook with strategic initiatives providing some optimism amidst persistent market challenges.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The Carlstar acquisition expands Titan International's product portfolio, allowing them to serve a broader range of customers.
Market Position
Titan International is the largest global player in off-highway tires and wheels, covering a wide range of industries including Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Equipment.
Technology Advantage
Low Sidewall technology offers significant benefits to farmers, potentially increasing their profits.
Negative Factors
End-Market Deterioration
TWI, the leader in Agricultural and other tires & wheels, has seen its stock decline nearly 50% YTD as core end-markets deteriorated, but a return to growth could be less than a year away as US farm incomes may inflect in 2025.
Market Conditions
Titan International's stock price has declined nearly 50% as core end-markets have deteriorated.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty and its ultimate impact remains a variable.

Titan International (TWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Titan International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTitan International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems and components for off-highway vehicles in North America, Europe, Latin America, the Commonwealth of Independent States region, the Middle East, Africa, Russia, and internationally. The company operates in Agricultural, Earthmoving/Construction, and Consumer segments. It offers rims, wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems and components for various agricultural equipment, including tractors, combines, skidders, plows, planters, and irrigation equipment. The company also offers rims, wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems and components for off-the-road earthmoving, mining, military, construction, and forestry equipment, including skid steers, aerial lifts, cranes, graders and levelers, scrapers, self-propelled shovel loaders, articulated dump trucks, load transporters, haul trucks, backhoe loaders, crawler tractors, lattice cranes, shovels, and hydraulic excavators. In addition, it provides bias and light truck tires; and products for ATVs, turf, and golf cart applications, as well as specialty and train brakes. It sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers, as well as to the aftermarket through independent distributors, equipment dealers, and own distribution centers. Titan International, Inc. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Quincy, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTitan International generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of tires and wheels for various applications, including agricultural equipment, construction machinery, and consumer products. The company has established key revenue streams through direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket sales to distributors and retailers. Additionally, Titan benefits from long-standing partnerships with leading agricultural and construction equipment manufacturers, which enhance its market presence and drive consistent demand for its products. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and improve product offerings, allowing it to capture market share and adapt to changing customer needs, thereby contributing significantly to its earnings.

Titan International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with solid Q2 results and strategic advancements offset by ongoing market challenges and tariff impacts. While there are positive signs in certain segments, significant uncertainties remain.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Q2 Results
Titan International reported Q2 2025 revenue of $461 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $30 million, both in line with expectations. The company also generated positive cash flow of $4 million.
Margin Improvement
Sequential gross margin improved by 100 basis points from Q1 to Q2, with Ag gross margin at 14.6%, EMC at 11.5%, and Consumer at 20.4%.
Strategic Partnership in Brazil
Titan signed a minority investment in Brazilian wheel manufacturer, Roderos, aiming to expand in the Brazilian market and enhance product offerings.
Positive Consumer Segment Outlook
Despite a decline in Q2, early Q3 indicators show a rebound in the consumer segment as channel inventories have gotten too low.
Negative Updates
Market Softness Continues
Extended market softness persists, impacting OEMs and end markets, primarily due to high interest rates and trade policy uncertainties.
Consumer Segment Impacted by Tariffs
The consumer segment was directly impacted by tariffs, causing a pause in orders as customers awaited tariff resolutions.
High Tax Rate
The company's effective tax rate was over 100% due to the geographic distribution of profits and losses, expected to remain elevated short-term.
Company Guidance
During the Titan International, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming third quarter. Titan expects Q3 revenues to range from $450 million to $475 million, with adjusted EBITDA between $25 million and $30 million. These projections imply sequentially flat performance in revenue compared to the second quarter's $461 million but suggest a slight decrease in adjusted EBITDA from Q2's $30 million. The company anticipates a tax expense of $4 million to $5 million, consistent with Q2 levels. Titan highlighted its ability to navigate the cyclical trough with agility, noting gross margin improvements across all segments and positive free cash flow generation of $4 million in Q2. Despite market softness, particularly due to interest rates and tariff uncertainties affecting OEMs and consumer behavior, Titan remains optimistic about future growth, supported by strategic initiatives like the partnership with Brazilian wheel manufacturer Roderos.

Titan International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Titan International is facing financial headwinds with declining revenues, margins, and cash flows. The balance sheet shows some resilience with improving equity positions, yet the increasing leverage requires careful management. The company's ability to weather the current downturn will depend on its strategies to reinvigorate sales and improve operational efficiencies to enhance cash generation and profitability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Titan International's income statement reflects a challenging period with declining revenue and profitability. Over the TTM, the company recorded a negative net profit, with net income dropping significantly from previous years. Gross profit margin has decreased from 16.6% in 2022 to 13.3% in TTM, and EBIT margin reduced from 9.5% to 0.4%. The revenue growth rate is also negative, indicating a contraction in sales performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03 in TTM, indicating a balanced leverage position. However, there is an increase in debt compared to equity over the years. Stockholders' equity has improved to $570 million from $381 million in two years, enhancing the equity ratio from 29.7% to 32.5%. Despite this, the increased debt levels might pose a risk if profitability does not recover.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis presents a mixed picture. The operating cash flow has slightly declined in the TTM compared to previous years, and free cash flow has also reduced significantly from $113 million in 2022 to $14 million in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting challenges in converting earnings into cash flows. The decline in free cash flow growth rate highlights potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B1.85B1.82B2.17B1.78B1.26B
Gross Profit237.91M257.80M305.85M360.71M237.54M114.32M
EBITDA78.34M105.40M170.97M274.05M130.26M26.02M
Net Income-22.10M-5.56M78.76M176.30M49.59M-65.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.75B1.58B1.29B1.28B1.18B1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.67M195.97M220.25M159.58M98.11M117.43M
Total Debt714.04M683.46M437.26M445.62M484.95M464.70M
Total Liabilities1.18B1.09B821.83M901.49M955.51M855.62M
Stockholders Equity570.49M496.07M467.06M381.24M229.30M179.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.12M75.86M118.55M113.70M-28.08M35.55M
Operating Cash Flow70.67M141.49M179.35M160.68M10.73M57.23M
Investing Cash Flow-55.17M-201.60M-56.92M-36.75M-37.60M33.22M
Financing Cash Flow-32.42M64.55M-56.02M-61.31M13.95M-38.56M

Titan International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.38
Price Trends
50DMA
9.22
Negative
100DMA
8.31
Positive
200DMA
8.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
39.66
Neutral
STOCH
25.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.96, below the 50-day MA of 9.22, and above the 200-day MA of 8.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TWI.

Titan International Risk Analysis

Titan International disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Titan International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Titan International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥268.19B14.788.32%2.79%6.24%10.99%
68
Neutral
$439.02M972.090.18%1.59%-4.08%
61
Neutral
$347.85M7.807.05%-1.96%423.46%
58
Neutral
$657.12M29.764.39%3.80%-7.11%-87.41%
57
Neutral
$413.36M55.98-1.74%1.95%-5.75%-133.96%
55
Neutral
$535.44M-3.75%-1.29%-171.86%
50
Neutral
$399.15M-23.48%3.02%-25.02%-171.64%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TWI
Titan International
8.38
1.13
15.59%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
14.39
-17.40
-54.73%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
9.81
0.39
4.14%
SHYF
Shyft Group
12.54
-0.23
-1.80%
WNC
Wabash National
10.59
-8.28
-43.88%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
37.08
-20.31
-35.39%

Titan International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Titan International Reports Q2 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Titan International held its Q2 earnings call, reporting results within guidance ranges for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, despite ongoing market softness. The company is proactively addressing challenges such as interest rates and tariffs, which have impacted order volumes, by maintaining operational efficiency and pursuing strategic partnerships, including a minority investment in Brazilian wheel manufacturer Roderos to strengthen its market position in South America.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWI) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan International stock, see the TWI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Titan International Confirms Directors and Auditor at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Titan International, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of eight directors, including Richard M. Cashin Jr. and Laura K. Thompson, was confirmed for one-year terms. Additionally, the selection of BDO USA P.C. as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and a non-binding advisory vote approved the 2024 executive compensation. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its financial oversight and executive management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWI) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan International stock, see the TWI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025