tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Titan International (TWI)
NYSE:TWI

Titan International (TWI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
186 Followers

Top Page

TWI

Titan International

(NYSE:TWI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-9.61% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held down primarily by weak recent fundamentals (losses, margin compression, and negative free cash flow) alongside meaningful leverage. Technicals are mixed but somewhat supportive longer-term, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield. The latest earnings call improves the outlook modestly via FY2026 guidance and signs of Q4 operational progress, but cash-flow and macro/tariff risks remain key.
Positive Factors
EMC segment strength
Sustained double-digit EMC revenue and margin expansion shows diversification into construction/mining markets with higher fixed-cost leverage. Over months this supports more stable, higher-margin revenue streams that reduce reliance on cyclical ag OEM demand and improve earnings resilience.
Product innovation & aftermarket mix
A meaningful share of sales from recent product introductions plus Carlstar integration signals durable product pipeline and stronger aftermarket exposure. This raises repeat-revenue potential, supports pricing power and margin improvement, and lowers sensitivity to OEM production cycles over coming quarters.
Operational & sourcing resilience
A diversified supply base, geographic footprint and JV/channel relationships reduce single-source and tariff risks, enabling consistent supply and faster response to demand surges. These structural capabilities support reliability, customer retention and long-term cost management.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
The 2025 swing to negative free cash flow weakens financial flexibility, constrains capex or strategic investments, and makes deleveraging harder. If cash conversion remains impaired over several quarters, refinancing risk rises and management may need to prioritize liquidity over growth initiatives.
Elevated leverage
High net leverage increases sensitivity to cash-flow volatility and limits strategic optionality. Sustained earnings weakness or cyclical downturns could force costly liability management or constrain investments, making steady deleveraging essential to restore balance-sheet flexibility over the next several quarters.
Profitability deterioration & margin compression
A material decline in profitability and compressed margins signal weaker pricing power, cost pressures or adverse mix. Persistent margin erosion reduces internal funding for R&D and capex, increases reliance on external financing, and makes earnings less predictable across the industry cycle.

Titan International (TWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Titan International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTitan International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems and components for off-highway vehicles in North America, Europe, Latin America, the Commonwealth of Independent States region, the Middle East, Africa, Russia, and internationally. The company operates in Agricultural, Earthmoving/Construction, and Consumer segments. It offers rims, wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems and components for various agricultural equipment, including tractors, combines, skidders, plows, planters, and irrigation equipment. The company also offers rims, wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems and components for off-the-road earthmoving, mining, military, construction, and forestry equipment, including skid steers, aerial lifts, cranes, graders and levelers, scrapers, self-propelled shovel loaders, articulated dump trucks, load transporters, haul trucks, backhoe loaders, crawler tractors, lattice cranes, shovels, and hydraulic excavators. In addition, it provides bias and light truck tires; and products for ATVs, turf, and golf cart applications, as well as specialty and train brakes. It sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers, as well as to the aftermarket through independent distributors, equipment dealers, and own distribution centers. Titan International, Inc. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Quincy, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTitan International generates revenue through the sale of its core products, including wheels, tires, and rubber tracks. The company's primary revenue streams come from the agricultural and construction sectors, where it supplies OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) products as well as replacement parts. Additionally, Titan engages in aftermarket sales, providing customers with essential replacement tires and wheels. Significant partnerships with major equipment manufacturers enhance its market presence and contribute to steady revenue growth. The company also benefits from its global manufacturing footprint, allowing it to optimize production costs and cater to various regional markets effectively.

Titan International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced several clear operational and financial positives — including a 7% Q4 sales increase, 21% growth and margin expansion in EMC, overall gross margin expansion to 10.9%, and improved adjusted EBITDA — with notable near-term financial and market headwinds such as negative Q4 free cash flow, elevated net debt (3.8x), a $40M deferred tax valuation allowance, tariff-driven uncertainty, and softness in Brazil and large-row-crop ag. Management reiterated optimism that 2025 was the trough, provided FY2026 growth guidance, and emphasized product innovation and sourcing resilience as levers for improvement. On balance the company showed tangible execution and clear paths to recovery, but there are meaningful cash-flow, leverage and macro-policy risks to monitor.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Top-line and Profitability Improvement in Q4
Q4 sales grew 7% year-over-year; revenue, gross margin and adjusted EBITDA all exceeded prior-year levels and Q4 results were ahead of the company's guidance.
EMC Segment Surge
EMC revenues increased 21% YoY to $141 million, supported by construction and mining end markets and a favorable FX translation tailwind of ~5.6%; EMC gross margin expanded to 9.3% from 5.9% a year earlier, reflecting fixed-cost leverage.
Gross Margin and Adjusted EBITDA Expansion
Company-wide gross margin expanded to 10.9% in Q4. Adjusted EBITDA grew ~18% YoY to $11 million, beating expectations.
Ag Segment Resilience and Mix Benefits
Ag revenues rose 2.6% YoY in Q4 with an FX tailwind of ~3.3%; ag gross margin remained stable at 9.1%, and management highlighted continued aftermarket demand (replacement tires/LSWs) even amid equipment destocking.
Consumer / Specialty Innovation Driving Value
Consumer revenues rose 1.5% YoY in Q4. Management emphasized product and branding initiatives (including Carlstar integration) with R&D contributions — ~15% of 2026 sales expected from products introduced in the past 3 years — as a lever to improve margins and specialty segment performance.
Reintroduction of Full-Year 2026 Guidance with Growth Expectations
Management reintroduced FY2026 guidance calling for revenues of $1.85B–$1.95B and adjusted EBITDA of $105M–$115M, representing an improvement over 2025 and signaling management's view that 2025 was the cyclical trough.
Operational & Sourcing Strengths
Management highlighted multi-sourcing, geographic footprint, JV relationships (including Brazil JV rollout), and one-stop distribution as durable competitive advantages that enabled the company to handle surges in demand and mitigate tariff volatility.
Negative Updates
Consumer Gross Margin Decline
Consumer gross margin slipped to 15.6% from 18.1% a year ago (down ~2.5 percentage points), driven primarily by product mix, reduced leverage and lumpiness in rubber mixing volumes.
Negative Free Cash Flow and Working Capital Pressure
Q4 operating cash flow was $13 million but Q4 free cash flow was negative $5 million; management expects working capital to be a focus in 2026 and to increase to support anticipated downstream growth.
Elevated Net Debt and Leverage
Net debt ended the year at $383 million with a leverage ratio of 3.8x, creating sensitivity to cash flow recovery and making deleveraging a priority.
Tax Valuation Allowances Reflecting Recent Losses
Recorded valuation allowances against certain deferred tax assets totaling $40 million (primarily in the U.S. and Luxembourg holding company), reflecting recent cumulative losses and causing a more conservative near-term tax accounting posture.
Tariff Uncertainty and Competitive Absorption
Management described tariffs in 2025 as implemented chaotically; many competitors absorbed tariff costs, neutralizing intended protective effects and creating unpredictability in input and finished goods pricing—this uncertainty is expected to continue into 2026.
Brazil / South America Market Softness and Political Risk
Brazil moderated after being a late-2024 / early-2025 strength; higher input costs, elevated interest rates and election-related uncertainty are expected to cause Brazil to be flat-to-soft in early 2026 with recovery potentially backloaded to the second half.
Near-Term Flat Guidance for Q1 and Cash Tax Load
Q1 2026 guidance implies relatively flat performance vs. Q1 last year (revenues $490M–$510M, adjusted EBITDA $28M–$33M). Cash taxes are anticipated at ~$4M–$5M in Q1 and roughly $20M for the year—near-term tax cash outflow that weighs on free cash flow.
Company Guidance
Titan guided Q1 FY2026 revenues of $490–510 million and adjusted EBITDA of $28–33 million (both roughly flat vs. Q1 ’25), and reintroduced full‑year FY2026 guidance of revenues $1.85–1.95 billion and adjusted EBITDA $105–115 million (implying modest improvement over 2025). Management expects Q1 cash taxes reported as $4–5 (the transcript likely means $4–5 million) and full‑year cash taxes of about $20 million, plans total 2026 CapEx of $55 million (maintenance CapEx $30–35 million), and flagged that year‑end working capital may be modestly higher to support growth. By segment, EMC is expected to outperform, ag to be flattish in H1 with a potential recovery in H2, and consumer to show modest improvement; management also noted Q4 metrics (sales +7% YoY, Q4 adjusted EBITDA ~$11 million, Q4 free cash flow –$5 million, net debt $383 million, leverage 3.8x) as context for the guidance.

Titan International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has been roughly flat, but profitability and cash generation deteriorated sharply: net income moved from profit (2022–2023) to losses (2024–2025), margins compressed, and free cash flow turned negative in 2025. Leverage remains meaningful (~1.4x debt/equity), which increases risk during a downturn despite some improvement versus earlier years.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Revenue has been essentially flat recently (2024 up ~1%, 2025 up ~1%), but profitability has deteriorated meaningfully: net income swung from a solid profit in 2022–2023 to a small loss in 2024 and a much larger loss in 2025. Margins also compressed sharply over the period (gross margin down from ~16–17% in 2022–2023 to ~13% in 2025, and operating profitability fell to low single-digits). The longer-term picture shows the business can earn strong profits in good years, but results have been volatile and the latest year is clearly weak.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage is elevated, with debt running around 1.4x equity in 2024–2025 (improved versus 2020–2021, but still high). Equity has grown since 2020, which is supportive, yet returns to shareholders have turned negative again in 2024–2025, reflecting the earnings downturn. Overall, the balance sheet looks more stable than earlier years, but it still carries meaningful debt load and becomes more vulnerable when profits weaken.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash generation weakened materially in 2025: operating cash flow fell sharply versus 2024, and free cash flow turned negative. While 2022–2024 showed solid positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, the latest year signals pressure on cash conversion and reinvestment needs. The company has demonstrated an ability to produce cash in prior years, but the most recent trend raises near-term funding and flexibility risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.83B1.85B1.82B2.17B1.78B
Gross Profit242.35M257.80M305.85M360.71M237.54M
EBITDA87.87M105.40M170.97M274.05M130.26M
Net Income-63.49M-5.56M78.76M176.30M49.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67B1.58B1.29B1.28B1.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments202.88M195.97M220.25M159.58M98.11M
Total Debt710.79M683.46M437.26M451.88M502.48M
Total Liabilities1.15B1.09B821.83M901.49M955.51M
Stockholders Equity514.38M496.07M467.06M381.24M229.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.59M75.86M118.55M113.70M-28.08M
Operating Cash Flow30.03M141.49M179.35M160.68M10.73M
Investing Cash Flow-59.65M-201.60M-56.92M-36.75M-37.60M
Financing Cash Flow17.45M64.55M-56.02M-61.31M13.95M

Titan International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.51
Price Trends
50DMA
9.30
Positive
100DMA
8.56
Positive
200DMA
8.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
43.81
Neutral
STOCH
21.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.58, above the 50-day MA of 9.30, and above the 200-day MA of 8.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TWI.

Titan International Risk Analysis

Titan International disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Titan International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Titan International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$228.95M14.987.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$523.23M76.508.82%-0.83%
58
Neutral
$545.47M91.960.44%1.59%-2.36%-73.77%
58
Neutral
$410.43M2.0084.07%3.59%-22.95%
51
Neutral
$653.14M250.030.51%4.61%-8.30%-98.18%
48
Neutral
$622.95M-9.80-1.05%-2.75%22.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TWI
Titan International
9.73
1.90
24.27%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
18.98
3.03
19.00%
GENC
Gencor
15.62
3.62
30.17%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
14.75
5.22
54.77%
WNC
Wabash National
10.15
-0.27
-2.61%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
36.83
-5.84
-13.69%

Titan International Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Titan International Announces Resignation of Board Director
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Titan International, Inc. announced that board member Kim A. Marvin resigned from the company’s Board of Directors and all associated committees, effective immediately. The company stated that Marvin’s resignation was not due to any disagreement with management, the board, or the company’s operations, policies, or practices, indicating a routine governance transition with limited operational or strategic disruption expected.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWI) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan International stock, see the TWI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Titan International Announces Executive Leadership Changes
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Titan International, Inc. announced executive leadership changes effective December 4, 2025. David A. Martin, previously the Chief Financial Officer, was appointed as Senior Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer, focusing on strategic alignment and operational agility. Anthony C. Eheli, formerly Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, was promoted to Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, bringing strong financial discipline to drive long-term growth. James M. Pach, previously Corporate Controller, was appointed Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, reflecting the company’s commitment to financial stewardship. These appointments are part of Titan’s strategy to enhance its leadership team for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWI) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan International stock, see the TWI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026