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Paymentus Holdings (PAY)
NYSE:PAY
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Paymentus Holdings (PAY) AI Stock Analysis

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PAY

Paymentus Holdings

(NYSE:PAY)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(16.06% Upside)
Paymentus Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, which are the primary drivers of its stock score. The technical analysis indicates a strong upward trend but warns of potential overbought conditions. Valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio slightly dampen the overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
The company's growth potential is underappreciated, with a credible path for significant EBITDA growth, implying the stock is undervalued despite 30% growth.
Stock Opportunity
The recent stock drawdown is seen as a compelling buying opportunity, not fundamentally driven but due to share distributions by Accel-KKR.
Negative Factors
Guidance Issue
The 1Q & '25 CP guide came in below the Street, both 3% below.

Paymentus Holdings (PAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paymentus Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPaymentus Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions. The company offers electronic bill presentment and payment services, enterprise customer communication, and self-service revenue management to billers through a software-as-a-service technology platform. The company serves utility, financial service, insurance, government, telecommunication, and healthcare industries. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Redmond, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyPaymentus generates revenue through a combination of transaction fees, subscription fees, and service charges. The company earns transaction fees each time a payment is processed through its platform, which constitutes a significant portion of its income. Additionally, Paymentus offers subscription-based services to clients who use its software for billing and payment management, providing a steady stream of recurring revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with banks, financial institutions, and other service providers, which help expand its market reach and customer base. These partnerships often involve revenue-sharing arrangements that contribute to Paymentus's overall earnings.

Paymentus Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, positive future outlook, and diverse client acquisitions. However, there were challenges related to contribution margin decline and flat sequential revenue growth guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Paymentus reported revenue of $280.1 million for Q2 2025, an increase of 41.9% year-over-year.
Strong Contribution Profit and EBITDA
Contribution profit was $93.5 million, up 22.3% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $31.7 million, a 40.7% year-over-year increase.
Positive Outlook for 2026 and Beyond
Based on strong bookings and backlog, Paymentus has confidence in achieving multibillion-dollar revenue in the coming years.
Diverse Client Acquisitions
The company signed clients across various sectors including utilities, government, telecommunications, and financial services.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Paymentus raised its full-year 2025 guidance for revenue, contribution profit, and adjusted EBITDA.
Strong Cash Position
Paymentus ended Q2 with $270 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt.
Negative Updates
Lower Contribution Margin
Contribution margin decreased to 33.4% from 38.7% in the prior year period due to the addition of large, higher-volume enterprise billers.
Slight Increase in Bad Debt Expense
Bad debt expense increased slightly, impacting adjusted EBITDA margins by about 200 basis points.
Flat Sequential Revenue Growth Guidance for Q3
Guidance for Q3 2025 indicated flat revenue growth sequentially, attributed to seasonality and the timing of large enterprise biller launches.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Paymentus provided guidance that exceeded expectations across all key metrics, demonstrating strong financial performance and operational success. The company reported a revenue increase of 41.9% year-over-year, reaching $280.1 million, driven by a higher number of billers and increased transactions. Contribution profit rose by 22.3% to $93.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $31.7 million, marking a 40.7% increase with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.9%. The company also achieved a Rule of 40 score of 56, reflecting solid execution and high-quality earnings growth. Paymentus raised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting revenue between $1.123 billion and $1.132 billion, contribution profit between $369 million and $373 million, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $123 million to $127 million. The company continues to experience strong bookings, particularly in the large enterprise segment, and maintains a robust backlog, providing significant visibility into 2025 and beyond.

Paymentus Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Paymentus Holdings exhibits strong financial health across all statements. The company shows impressive revenue and profit growth, supported by a solid balance sheet with low leverage. Cash flow generation is robust, ensuring liquidity and operational flexibility. The overall financial position is stable, with a positive outlook for continued growth and profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Paymentus Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth with an 8.59% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand for its services. The gross profit margin is healthy at 25.29%, although slightly lower than previous periods, suggesting some cost pressures. The net profit margin of 5.37% reflects solid profitability, supported by an improving EBIT margin of 5.78%. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and stable profitability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.016, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is commendable at 11.38%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 84.79%, highlighting a solid capital structure with significant equity backing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and low risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow performance is robust, with a 13.16% growth in free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.40 suggests efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, reflecting effective cash management. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates healthy liquidity and cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B871.75M614.49M497.00M395.52M301.77M
Gross Profit264.19M238.17M182.34M149.68M121.38M92.63M
EBITDA76.87M81.34M27.39M6.39M23.67M26.50M
Net Income56.10M44.17M22.32M-513.00K9.30M13.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets609.52M576.25M504.86M461.54M472.94M124.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.42M209.41M179.36M147.33M168.39M46.67M
Total Debt8.04M8.41M10.51M12.63M11.18M10.03M
Total Liabilities92.82M90.65M75.25M64.36M86.81M40.50M
Stockholders Equity516.70M485.60M429.62M397.18M386.13M84.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.24M63.18M34.53M-11.43M-916.00K20.77M
Operating Cash Flow116.57M63.63M68.83M19.87M19.49M35.62M
Investing Cash Flow-35.68M-36.76M-34.30M-34.56M-77.81M-15.14M
Financing Cash Flow-3.51M-207.00K-1.20M-37.28M213.49M-1.36M

Paymentus Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price37.05
Price Trends
50DMA
32.96
Positive
100DMA
33.84
Positive
200DMA
32.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.51
Positive
RSI
57.29
Neutral
STOCH
41.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.05, above the 50-day MA of 32.96, and above the 200-day MA of 32.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PAY.

Paymentus Holdings Risk Analysis

Paymentus Holdings disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Paymentus Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Paymentus Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.71B87.1011.59%49.35%72.05%
76
Outperform
$3.23B20.1121.23%1.94%26.15%
72
Outperform
$1.61B320.680.86%22.20%
71
Outperform
$3.31B14.275.59%2.54%11.31%-16.02%
61
Neutral
$35.51B8.11-11.05%1.89%8.55%-8.72%
61
Neutral
$803.37M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.07%
43
Neutral
$2.08B-40.94%14.34%-13.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
36.88
16.75
83.21%
WNS
WNS
75.40
18.51
32.54%
PSFE
Paysafe
14.68
-6.66
-31.21%
CNXC
Concentrix
53.82
-17.03
-24.04%
AI
C3ai
15.46
-5.84
-27.42%
FLYW
Flywire
13.05
-4.40
-25.21%

Paymentus Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Paymentus Holdings Grants CEO 1.1 Million RSUs
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Paymentus Holdings, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a grant of 1,100,000 time-based restricted stock units (RSUs) to CEO Dushyant Sharma under the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan. This decision, made after consulting with compensation experts and reviewing market standards, aims to recognize Sharma’s contributions, align his compensation with industry peers, and retain his services by aligning his financial interests with those of the company’s stockholders. The RSUs will vest over four years, with specific conditions for immediate vesting in certain circumstances.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Paymentus Holdings Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Paymentus Holdings, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where two Class I Directors were elected to the Board of Directors until 2028, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The meeting saw participation from approximately 98% of the combined voting power of the company’s Class A and Class B common stock, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and support for the company’s governance and financial oversight strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025