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Paymentus Holdings (PAY)
NYSE:PAY
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Paymentus Holdings (PAY) AI Stock Analysis

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PAY

Paymentus Holdings

(NYSE:PAY)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(4.14% Upside)
Paymentus Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, which are the primary drivers of the stock's score. The technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. Despite these concerns, the company's robust growth and profitability support a favorable overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
The company's growth potential is underappreciated, with a credible path for significant EBITDA growth, implying the stock is undervalued despite 30% growth.
Revenue Growth
Q1 gross revenue increased by 49%, driven largely by increased billers and transactions.
Stock Valuation
The recent stock drawdown is seen as a compelling buying opportunity, not fundamentally driven but due to share distributions by Accel-KKR.
Negative Factors
Guidance Concerns
The 1Q & '25 CP guide came in below the Street, both 3% below.
Market Expectations
Management has been consistent in their approach to guiding conservatively for all of '24.

Paymentus Holdings (PAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paymentus Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPaymentus Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions. The company offers electronic bill presentment and payment services, enterprise customer communication, and self-service revenue management to billers through a software-as-a-service technology platform. The company serves utility, financial service, insurance, government, telecommunication, and healthcare industries. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Redmond, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyPaymentus generates revenue through a combination of transaction fees, subscription fees, and service charges. The company earns transaction fees each time a payment is processed through its platform, which constitutes a significant portion of its income. Additionally, Paymentus offers subscription-based services to clients who use its software for billing and payment management, providing a steady stream of recurring revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with banks, financial institutions, and other service providers, which help expand its market reach and customer base. These partnerships often involve revenue-sharing arrangements that contribute to Paymentus's overall earnings.

Paymentus Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 27.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with strong revenue growth, significant bookings, and raised guidance for the year, despite some concerns about seasonal revenue fluctuations and contribution margin decline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $280.1 million, an increase of 41.9% year-over-year, driven by increased transactions and a higher number of billers.
Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $31.7 million, up 40.7% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.9%.
Successful Large Enterprise Bookings
Particular strength in large enterprise segment bookings across multiple verticals, contributing to a significant backlog and strong visibility for 2025 and 2026.
Positive Full-Year Guidance
Raised full-year 2025 guidance for revenue to $1.123 billion to $1.132 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $123 million to $127 million.
Strong Cash Position
Ended the quarter with $270 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Revenue Fluctuations
Q3 guidance indicates flattish sequential revenue growth, which is a deviation from historical trends of faster growth in Q3.
Contribution Margin Decline
Contribution margin decreased to 33.4% from 38.7% in the prior year due to adding larger, higher-volume enterprise billers.
Bad Debt Expense Increase
Recent quarters have seen an increase in bad debt expense around $1.5 million, impacting adjusted EBITDA margin.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Paymentus reported revenue of $280.1 million, reflecting a 41.9% increase from the previous year, driven by a rise in the number of billers and transaction volume. The company's contribution profit rose by 22.3% year-over-year to $93.5 million, while adjusted EBITDA grew 40.7% to $31.7 million, achieving a 33.9% margin. Paymentus processed 175.8 million transactions, marking a 25.2% year-over-year increase, with an average price per transaction rising from $1.41 to $1.59. The company ended the quarter with a strong backlog and significant enterprise customer wins across several verticals, including utilities and government agencies. Paymentus raised its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between $1.123 billion and $1.132 billion, contribution profit between $369 million and $373 million, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $123 million to $127 million.

Paymentus Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Paymentus Holdings exhibits strong financial health across all statements. The company shows impressive revenue and profit growth, supported by a solid balance sheet with low leverage. Cash flow generation is robust, ensuring liquidity and operational flexibility. The overall financial position is stable, with a positive outlook for continued growth and profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Paymentus Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth with an 8.59% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand for its services. The gross profit margin is healthy at 25.29%, although slightly lower than previous periods, suggesting some cost pressures. The net profit margin of 5.37% reflects solid profitability, supported by an improving EBIT margin of 5.78%. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and stable profitability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.016, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is commendable at 11.38%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 84.79%, highlighting a solid capital structure with significant equity backing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and low risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow performance is robust, with a 13.16% growth in free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.40 suggests efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, reflecting effective cash management. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates healthy liquidity and cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B871.75M614.49M497.00M395.52M301.77M
Gross Profit264.19M238.17M182.34M149.68M121.38M92.63M
EBITDA76.87M81.34M27.39M6.39M23.67M26.50M
Net Income56.10M44.17M22.32M-513.00K9.30M13.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets609.52M576.25M504.86M461.54M472.94M124.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.42M209.41M179.36M147.33M168.39M46.67M
Total Debt8.04M8.41M10.51M12.63M11.18M10.03M
Total Liabilities92.82M90.65M75.25M64.36M86.81M40.50M
Stockholders Equity516.70M485.60M429.62M397.18M386.13M84.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.24M63.18M34.53M-11.43M-916.00K20.77M
Operating Cash Flow116.57M63.63M68.83M19.87M19.49M35.62M
Investing Cash Flow-35.68M-36.76M-34.30M-34.56M-77.81M-15.14M
Financing Cash Flow-3.51M-207.00K-1.20M-37.28M213.49M-1.36M

Paymentus Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.45
Price Trends
50DMA
32.01
Positive
100DMA
32.34
Positive
200DMA
31.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.58
Negative
RSI
76.94
Negative
STOCH
97.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.60, above the 50-day MA of 32.01, and above the 200-day MA of 31.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.94 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PAY.

Paymentus Holdings Risk Analysis

Paymentus Holdings disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Paymentus Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Paymentus Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.21B19.9921.23%1.94%26.15%
76
Outperform
$4.67B85.4111.59%49.35%72.05%
71
Outperform
$1.49B295.620.86%22.20%
70
Outperform
$3.08B13.415.59%2.76%11.31%-16.02%
61
Neutral
$36.30B7.26-7.27%1.97%7.74%-7.92%
60
Neutral
$2.41B-33.73%25.27%4.68%
58
Neutral
$818.80M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.02%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
37.45
14.54
63.47%
WNS
WNS
75.02
14.50
23.96%
PSFE
Paysafe
13.70
-7.39
-35.04%
CNXC
Concentrix
48.19
-18.72
-27.98%
AI
C3ai
17.85
-7.77
-30.33%
FLYW
Flywire
12.37
-4.82
-28.04%

Paymentus Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Paymentus Holdings Grants CEO 1.1 Million RSUs
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Paymentus Holdings, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a grant of 1,100,000 time-based restricted stock units (RSUs) to CEO Dushyant Sharma under the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan. This decision, made after consulting with compensation experts and reviewing market standards, aims to recognize Sharma’s contributions, align his compensation with industry peers, and retain his services by aligning his financial interests with those of the company’s stockholders. The RSUs will vest over four years, with specific conditions for immediate vesting in certain circumstances.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAY) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paymentus Holdings stock, see the PAY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Paymentus Holdings Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Paymentus Holdings, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where two Class I Directors were elected to the Board of Directors until 2028, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The meeting saw participation from approximately 98% of the combined voting power of the company’s Class A and Class B common stock, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and support for the company’s governance and financial oversight strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAY) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paymentus Holdings stock, see the PAY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025