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Flywire (FLYW)
NASDAQ:FLYW
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Flywire (FLYW) AI Stock Analysis

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FLYW

Flywire

(NASDAQ:FLYW)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(9.14% Upside)
Flywire's strong earnings call performance and robust financial growth are the most significant factors driving its score. However, high valuation metrics and technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions temper the overall outlook. The company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies provide a positive long-term perspective, despite current macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Flywire shares are up more than 20% after the company reported better-than-expected June-quarter results.
Strategic Initiatives
Management noted increased international student demand in nontraditional markets, and Flywire has a variety of initiatives to capture these flows.
Travel Sector Growth
Travel remains a bright spot, and the company is doubling down there with the acquisition of Sertifi – hotel management software including $3B in monetizable payment flow.
Negative Factors
International Student Visa Trends
FLYW continues to see deterioration of international student visa trends across key geographies, including Canada, Australia, and the US, which is expected to lead to softer NRR trends.
Macro Headwinds in Education
Macro headwinds intensifying in education vertical with incremental restrictive visa policies impacting growth.
Revenue Growth Outlook
FLYW shares are down 20% following a disappointing 2025 revenue outlook that calls for 10%-14% adjusted FX-neutral organic growth.

Flywire (FLYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flywire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlywire Corporation (FLYW) is a global payments enablement and software company that provides integrated payment solutions across various sectors, including education, healthcare, travel, and business-to-business (B2B). The company's core offerings include a comprehensive platform designed to streamline the payment process, enhance the payment experience, and optimize the entire transaction lifecycle for both payers and receivers.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlywire makes money primarily through transaction fees and service charges associated with its payment processing solutions. The company partners with educational institutions, healthcare providers, travel companies, and businesses to facilitate international and domestic payments, ensuring secure, efficient, and cost-effective transactions. Flywire charges fees based on the volume and value of transactions processed through its platform. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, which expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, thus contributing to its revenue growth.

Flywire Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsFlywire's Transaction revenue is experiencing robust growth, driven by strategic client acquisitions and platform enhancements. The recent earnings call highlighted a 25% FX-neutral revenue growth, with significant contributions from Sertifi and efficiency gains in their payment platform. Despite macroeconomic challenges in Canada and Australia, Flywire's expansion in global education markets and AI-driven operational efficiencies are bolstering its revenue trajectory. However, potential impacts from visa processing delays could pose risks to future growth in the U.S. education sector.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Flywire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in key areas such as client acquisition, product innovation, and international expansion, particularly in the education and travel sectors. These highlights were somewhat offset by challenges in macroeconomic conditions in specific regions and potential impacts from visa processing delays. However, the company's strong execution and strategic positioning suggest a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Client Signings
Nearly 200 new clients were signed across all verticals in Q2 2025, showcasing Flywire's strong market presence and demand for its solutions.
Global Education Expansion
Flywire experienced a new record in quarterly projected ARR signed in Global Education, driven by large strategic deals and demand for integrated end-to-end solutions.
Successful SaaS Platform Launch
The launch of the student financial services offering as a broader SaaS education platform has provided greater revenue visibility and durability.
AI and Automation Improvements
Flywire's AI and automation initiatives result in significant operational efficiencies, including automating 40% of payer inquiries and 90% of bank transfers.
Strong Financial Performance
Flywire achieved a 27.7% revenue growth on a spot basis and expanded its adjusted EBITDA margins by 723 basis points year-over-year.
Successful Integration of Sertifi
Sertifi's revenue grew over 35% year-over-year, contributing significantly to Flywire's travel vertical and creating new cross-sell opportunities.
Negative Updates
Macro Headwinds in Canada and Australia
Canada's higher education revenue is impacted by macroeconomic challenges, reducing growth by 5 percentage points, with similar challenges in Australia.
Visa Approval Delays
Modest decline in visa approval rates and processing delays could impact student arrivals, potentially affecting U.S. education revenue in upcoming quarters.
Fluctuating F1 Visa Issuances
Expected 20% decline in F1 Visa issuances for the year, which may impact international student enrollment and related revenue growth in the U.S.
Company Guidance
During the Flywire Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided substantial guidance across its core sectors, focusing on sustained growth and efficiency. The company reported a 25% FX-neutral growth in revenue less ancillary services for Q2 2025, with Sertifi contributing $12 million, adding approximately 12 points of growth. Flywire's payment platform has shown significant efficiency improvements, handling three times the volume with 25% better efficiency, while machine learning algorithms auto-match over 90% of bank transfers. The company also added 20% more features year-over-year, enhancing its platform capabilities. Flywire signed nearly 200 new clients across various verticals, with significant growth in global education, particularly in markets like Singapore, Spain, and Japan. Despite headwinds in markets like Canada and Australia, Flywire maintained its full-year revenue guidance for FX-neutral growth in the range of 10% to 14% excluding Sertifi, and 17% to 23% including Sertifi. The firm anticipates a mid- to high single-digit headwind to organic revenue growth due to visa declines in key markets. Adjusted EBITDA reached nearly $17 million, with a 13% margin, expanding 723 basis points year-over-year. Flywire continues to focus on long-term high-margin growth and aims to capture money flows using industry-tailored software solutions powered by AI.

Flywire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flywire demonstrates strong growth and a solid balance sheet, pointing to a stable financial position with low leverage and healthy liquidity. However, consistent EBIT losses and recent free cash flow reductions highlight areas for improvement. The company's trajectory towards profitability is promising, but operational efficiencies need to be enhanced to ensure sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Flywire shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 4% and a notable increase from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin is healthy at 55.8% for TTM, although consistent EBIT and net losses are a concern. The net profit margin is slightly positive at 1% for TTM, indicating progress towards profitability. However, persistent EBIT losses suggest operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 for TTM, indicating low leverage and strong liquidity with significant cash reserves. The equity ratio of 73.9% for TTM reflects a solid capital structure, providing financial stability. However, the relatively high reliance on equity and cash reserves may limit future flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive, supporting a free cash flow to net income ratio of 9.8 for TTM, which is strong. However, the significant reduction in free cash flow from 2024 to TTM indicates potential cash flow volatility. Despite this, the company has maintained positive operating cash flow, highlighting operational resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue511.49M492.14M403.09M289.38M201.15M131.78M
Gross Profit290.21M314.65M255.75M181.44M130.96M83.98M
EBITDA21.42M20.73M13.57M-22.05M-14.66M-8.95M
Net Income4.96M2.90M-8.57M-39.35M-27.96M-11.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06B1.12B1.08B674.29M639.67M271.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments255.33M611.09M654.61M349.18M385.36M104.05M
Total Debt61.57M1.72M1.47M1.81M25.94M24.35M
Total Liabilities276.08M307.68M293.61M192.38M157.35M353.20M
Stockholders Equity784.26M814.77M786.12M481.90M482.33M-81.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.55M90.54M74.61M-2.21M10.45M-16.36M
Operating Cash Flow51.45M91.47M80.63M4.88M17.13M-14.22M
Investing Cash Flow-452.16M-215.80M-38.78M-24.68M-62.91M-81.54M
Financing Cash Flow-29.02M-37.63M263.42M-23.97M327.51M119.05M

Flywire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.37
Price Trends
50DMA
11.27
Positive
100DMA
10.59
Positive
200DMA
14.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
58.79
Neutral
STOCH
62.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLYW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.47, above the 50-day MA of 11.27, and below the 200-day MA of 14.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLYW.

Flywire Risk Analysis

Flywire disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flywire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flywire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.67B85.4111.59%49.35%72.05%
71
Outperform
$1.49B300.970.86%22.20%
66
Neutral
$676.51M39.463.69%22.27%
61
Neutral
$1.43B501.310.37%7.40%-90.72%
58
Neutral
$3.81B-53.71%30.16%12.06%
58
Neutral
$818.80M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.02%
57
Neutral
HK$14.47B9.41-0.60%4.32%7.09%-37.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLYW
Flywire
12.37
-4.82
-28.04%
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings
7.70
-5.78
-42.88%
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
14.09
9.98
242.82%
PSFE
Paysafe
13.70
-7.39
-35.04%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
37.45
14.54
63.47%
NABL
N-able
7.67
-5.11
-39.98%

Flywire Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Flywire Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Flywire Corporation reported a significant increase in its second-quarter 2025 financial results, with a 27.2% rise in revenue year-over-year, reaching $131.9 million. The company also signed nearly 200 new clients, expanded its travel vertical, and deepened its education partnerships. Flywire’s strategic initiatives, including a partnership with a stablecoin payment provider and recognition by Virtuoso, have strengthened its competitive position and market share. Despite a net loss of $12 million, Flywire increased its adjusted EBITDA and raised its aEBITDA margin guidance, showcasing its operational efficiency and resilience amidst global uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLYW) stock is a Sell with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flywire stock, see the FLYW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Flywire Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on June 3
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

During Flywire Corporation’s annual stockholders meeting on June 3, 2025, three key proposals were addressed. Stockholders elected two directors to serve until 2028, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis. Approximately 88% of the company’s voting shares were represented, ensuring a quorum for the meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLYW) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flywire stock, see the FLYW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025