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Flywire (FLYW)
NASDAQ:FLYW

Flywire (FLYW) AI Stock Analysis

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Flywire

(NASDAQ:FLYW)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(12.15%Upside)
Flywire's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and promising growth trajectory, bolstered by strategic client acquisition and geographic expansion. The high valuation poses a risk, and operational inefficiencies need addressing to ensure sustainable growth. The company's resilience amid macroeconomic challenges and its proactive strategic initiatives contribute positively to its outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings and Financial Performance
March-quarter adjusted revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeded Street consensus by 4% and 8.5%, respectively.
Operational Efficiency
Flywire announced a 10% reduction in its workforce, and is undergoing a portfolio review of its business to optimize productivity and improve returns.
Strategic Acquisition
Flywire announced the acquisition of Sertifi for $330 million, expanding its capabilities within the travel vertical to luxury hotels/properties, and catering services.
Negative Factors
Growth Outlook
FLYW issued guidance of 10-14% FXN growth, which was lower than the previously expected 20%+ growth.
International Market Challenges
FLYW continues to see deterioration of international student visa trends across key geographies, including Canada, Australia, and the US, which is expected to lead to softer NRR trends.
Uncertain Market Dynamics
Confidence in Flywire's business direction is challenged due to rapid market changes.

Flywire (FLYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flywire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlywire Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a payment enablement and software company in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its payment platform and network, and vertical-specific software help clients to get paid and help their customers to pay. The company's platform facilitates payment flows across multiple currencies, payment types, and payment options; and provides direct connections to alternative payment methods, such as Alipay, Boleto, PayPal/Venmo, and Trustly. It serves education, healthcare, travel, and business to business organizations. Flywire Corporation was formerly known as peerTransfer Corporation and changed its name to Flywire Corporation in December 2016. Flywire Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlywire makes money primarily through transaction fees and service charges associated with its payment processing solutions. The company partners with educational institutions, healthcare providers, travel companies, and businesses to facilitate international and domestic payments, ensuring secure, efficient, and cost-effective transactions. Flywire charges fees based on the volume and value of transactions processed through its platform. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, which expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, thus contributing to its revenue growth.

Flywire Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsFlywire's Transaction segment shows robust growth, particularly in 2024, driven by strategic client acquisitions and geographic expansion, as highlighted in the earnings call. The Platform and App Usage segment also exhibits steady growth, reflecting strong product adoption. Despite macroeconomic challenges, Flywire's focus on operational efficiencies and innovative payment solutions is paying off, with significant revenue growth projected for 2025. The recent acquisition of Sertifi is expected to further enhance growth, particularly in the travel vertical, while geopolitical challenges may impact North American education markets.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Flywire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Flywire demonstrates strong resilience and growth through strategic client acquisition and geographic expansion, particularly in the education and travel sectors. However, geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges present potential obstacles, particularly in North American education markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Client Acquisition
Flywire signed 200 new clients in the first quarter of 2025, indicating strong demand for its solutions despite a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Resilient Business Model
Flywire continues to demonstrate resilience with low client churn rates and a strong pipeline, emphasizing the effectiveness of its software-driven payments platform.
Expansion in International Education
Flywire is capitalizing on growth in non-traditional education markets like Germany, France, Japan, and Singapore, with new client acquisitions in these regions.
Travel Segment Growth
The travel vertical showed strong customer acquisition and revenue growth, with notable new clients and cross-selling opportunities with recent acquisitions like Sertifi.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Revenue less ancillary services was $128.7 million in Q1, representing a 16.8% year-over-year growth rate. Adjusted EBITDA grew to $21.6 million, up 56% compared to Q1 2024.
U.K. Market Leadership
The U.K. is now Flywire's largest market in education, with strong growth driven by new products like SFS and StudyLink.
Negative Updates
Challenges in U.S. and Canadian Education
Flywire anticipates low single-digit revenue growth in the U.S. education market due to geopolitical tensions and visa issues. Canadian higher education revenue faced macro headwinds, impacting growth.
Australia Education Sector Uncertainty
Despite a better-than-expected start in Australia, there is potential uncertainty in policy shifts following recent elections, which could impact enrollment.
Macroeconomic Headwinds
The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, with Flywire indicating a cautious growth outlook due to potential global recession risks and geopolitical tensions.
Company Guidance
During the Flywire Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call on May 6, 2025, the company provided guidance reflecting a strong start to the year, with revenue less ancillary services reaching $128.7 million, marking a 16.8% year-over-year growth. Including the recent acquisition of Sertifi, revenue growth is projected to be 17% to 23% on an FX-neutral basis for the full year 2025. The company highlighted robust client acquisition momentum, particularly in the education and travel verticals, with over 200 new client signings and strong product adoption in new and existing markets. Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $21.6 million, with Flywire maintaining guidance for significant margin expansion throughout the year. Despite macroeconomic challenges, the company remains confident in its strategic initiatives, focusing on operational efficiencies, innovative payment solutions, and geographic expansion, aiming to sustain long-term growth and profitability.

Flywire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flywire demonstrates strong growth and a solid balance sheet, pointing to a stable financial position with low leverage and healthy liquidity. However, consistent EBIT losses and recent free cash flow reductions highlight areas for improvement. The company's trajectory towards profitability is promising, but operational efficiencies need to be enhanced to ensure sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Flywire shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 4% and a notable increase from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin is healthy at 55.8% for TTM, although consistent EBIT and net losses are a concern. The net profit margin is slightly positive at 1% for TTM, indicating progress towards profitability. However, persistent EBIT losses suggest operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 for TTM, indicating low leverage and strong liquidity with significant cash reserves. The equity ratio of 73.9% for TTM reflects a solid capital structure, providing financial stability. However, the relatively high reliance on equity and cash reserves may limit future flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive, supporting a free cash flow to net income ratio of 9.8 for TTM, which is strong. However, the significant reduction in free cash flow from 2024 to TTM indicates potential cash flow volatility. Despite this, the company has maintained positive operating cash flow, highlighting operational resilience.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
511.49M492.14M403.09M289.38M201.15M131.78M
Gross Profit
285.41M314.65M255.75M181.44M130.96M83.98M
EBIT
-11.76M-7.25M-21.52M-30.22M-13.26M-15.81M
EBITDA
6.75M20.73M13.57M-22.05M-14.66M-8.95M
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.96M2.90M-8.57M-39.35M-27.96M-11.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
255.33M611.09M654.61M349.18M385.36M104.05M
Total Assets
1.06B1.12B1.08B674.29M639.67M271.44M
Total Debt
61.57M1.72M1.47M1.81M25.94M24.35M
Net Debt
-128.94M-493.52M-653.14M-347.37M-359.42M-79.70M
Total Liabilities
276.08M307.68M293.61M192.38M157.35M353.20M
Stockholders Equity
784.26M814.77M786.12M481.90M482.33M-81.76M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
48.55M90.54M74.61M-2.21M10.45M-16.36M
Operating Cash Flow
51.45M91.47M80.63M4.88M17.13M-14.22M
Investing Cash Flow
-452.16M-215.80M-38.78M-24.68M-62.91M-81.54M
Financing Cash Flow
-29.02M-37.63M263.42M-23.97M327.51M119.05M

Flywire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.70
Price Trends
50DMA
10.01
Positive
100DMA
12.31
Negative
200DMA
15.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
52.42
Neutral
STOCH
73.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLYW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.77, above the 50-day MA of 10.01, and below the 200-day MA of 15.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLYW.

Flywire Risk Analysis

Flywire disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flywire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flywire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PAPAY
73
Outperform
$4.32B82.4810.80%47.78%74.61%
71
Outperform
$1.30B379.430.63%20.97%
70
Outperform
$1.47B89.212.20%7.98%-40.59%
67
Neutral
$970.61M87.772.42%18.72%347.70%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.08-7.46%2.99%7.37%-8.21%
57
Neutral
$717.34M39.11-0.04%3.50%95.90%
55
Neutral
$2.52B-78.94%53.70%-72.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLYW
Flywire
10.70
-5.06
-32.11%
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings
11.48
1.85
19.21%
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
11.18
5.72
104.76%
PSFE
Paysafe
12.09
-5.45
-31.07%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
32.67
13.02
66.26%
NABL
N-able
7.77
-6.58
-45.85%

Flywire Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Flywire Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on June 3
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

During Flywire Corporation’s annual stockholders meeting on June 3, 2025, three key proposals were addressed. Stockholders elected two directors to serve until 2028, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis. Approximately 88% of the company’s voting shares were represented, ensuring a quorum for the meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLYW) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flywire stock, see the FLYW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Flywire Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Flywire reported its first-quarter financial results, showcasing a 17% year-over-year revenue increase to $133.5 million and a reduction in net loss to $4.2 million. The company signed over 200 new clients, expanded its travel vertical, and strengthened its presence in India, indicating strong business momentum and strategic growth. Flywire’s performance exceeded expectations in FX Neutral Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Margin Growth, reaffirming its fiscal year 2025 guidance and highlighting its focus on strategic investments and operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.