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Flywire (FLYW)
NASDAQ:FLYW
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Flywire (FLYW) AI Stock Analysis

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FLYW

Flywire

(NASDAQ:FLYW)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(3.93% Upside)
Flywire's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth and strategic initiatives. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, which, along with macroeconomic challenges in key markets, tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Flywire shares are up more than 20% after the company reported better-than-expected June-quarter results.
Revenue Guidance
Management affirmed 2025 adjusted revenue guidance of 10%-14% FX-neutral growth and raised its adjusted EBITDA margin expansion target to 200-350 basis points.
Negative Factors
Government Policies
Government-led initiatives in Canada and Australia have created uncertainty, while headlines of student deportations and potential effects of funding cuts could impact demand in the U.S.
International Student Demand
U.S. F-1 visas are down 15% year-over-year from October 2024 to May 2025, which would impact revenue from first-year students.
Revenue Headwinds
Collectively, the Big Four education markets are expected to represent a mid- to high-single-digit headwind to revenue growth in 2025.

Flywire (FLYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flywire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlywire Corporation (FLYW) is a global payments enablement and software company that provides integrated payment solutions across various sectors, including education, healthcare, travel, and business-to-business (B2B). The company's core offerings include a comprehensive platform designed to streamline the payment process, enhance the payment experience, and optimize the entire transaction lifecycle for both payers and receivers.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlywire makes money primarily through transaction fees and service charges associated with its payment processing solutions. The company partners with educational institutions, healthcare providers, travel companies, and businesses to facilitate international and domestic payments, ensuring secure, efficient, and cost-effective transactions. Flywire charges fees based on the volume and value of transactions processed through its platform. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, which expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, thus contributing to its revenue growth.

Flywire Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsFlywire's Transaction revenue is experiencing robust growth, driven by strategic client acquisitions and platform enhancements. The recent earnings call highlighted a 25% FX-neutral revenue growth, with significant contributions from Sertifi and efficiency gains in their payment platform. Despite macroeconomic challenges in Canada and Australia, Flywire's expansion in global education markets and AI-driven operational efficiencies are bolstering its revenue trajectory. However, potential impacts from visa processing delays could pose risks to future growth in the U.S. education sector.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Flywire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Flywire demonstrated strong growth and expansion across its verticals, particularly in education and travel. Despite facing challenges in the U.S., Canada, and Australia education markets due to visa issues and macroeconomic headwinds, the company managed to achieve record-breaking ARR and successfully integrate Sertifi, contributing significantly to growth. The sentiment reflects a balanced outlook, with notable achievements tempered by ongoing challenges in key markets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking ARR in Education
Flywire set a new record in quarterly projected ARR signed in the education sector, driven by strategic deals and growing demand for integrated education solutions.
Sertifi Integration Success
Sertifi contributed $12 million in Q2, adding approximately 12 points of growth. It grew above 35% year-over-year with payments revenue being the main driver.
Strong Global Education Expansion
Flywire is expanding rapidly in markets outside the big 4 English-speaking countries, with significant growth in regions like Singapore, Spain, and Mexico. Revenue from these regions is growing well above the company average.
Travel Vertical Growth
The travel vertical has become Flywire's second-largest business, with strong client wins and continued expansion, including a marquee deal with Caesars Resorts.
Efficient Cost Management
Adjusted EBITDA reached almost $17 million for the quarter, with a margin expansion of 723 basis points year-over-year, driven by lower personnel costs and disciplined operational expenditure.
Negative Updates
Macro Headwinds in Canada and Australia
Canada and Australia education revenues are expected to be down approximately 20% year-over-year due to macroeconomic headwinds and visa restrictions.
Challenges in U.S. Education Market
There is an expected flat revenue growth in the U.S. education market due to a decline in visa approval rates and processing delays, particularly affecting students from China and India.
FX Impact on Gross Margins
Adjusted gross margin was lower at 61.1% compared to 63.5% in Q2 2024, impacted by FX losses on settlement despite FX hedges.
Company Guidance
During the Flywire Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company outlined several key metrics and strategic initiatives contributing to its performance and future growth. The company reported an FX-neutral revenue growth of 25% and 27.7% on a spot basis, with Sertifi contributing $12 million to the quarter. Flywire emphasized the expansion of its payment platform, which has achieved 3x volume handling with a 25% efficiency improvement. Additionally, machine learning algorithms now auto-match over 90% of bank transfers, and the hybrid AI support model resolves 40% of payer inquiries automatically. The company highlighted its global expansion, noting record quarterly ARR in global education and significant growth in markets outside the U.S., including Singapore, Spain, and Mexico. Flywire's U.S. education sector is projected to remain flat, while health care is expected to grow in the high single digits. The company maintained its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, forecasting FX-neutral revenue growth between 10% and 14% excluding Sertifi, and 17% to 23% with Sertifi included.

Flywire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flywire demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with low leverage and healthy liquidity. However, consistent EBIT losses and recent free cash flow reductions highlight areas for improvement. The company's trajectory towards profitability is promising, but operational efficiencies need to be enhanced to ensure sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Flywire shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 4% and a notable increase from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin is healthy at 55.8% for TTM, although consistent EBIT and net losses are a concern. The net profit margin is slightly positive at 1% for TTM, indicating progress towards profitability. However, persistent EBIT losses suggest operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 for TTM, indicating low leverage and strong liquidity with significant cash reserves. The equity ratio of 73.9% for TTM reflects a solid capital structure, providing financial stability. However, the relatively high reliance on equity and cash reserves may limit future flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive, supporting a free cash flow to net income ratio of 9.8 for TTM, which is strong. However, the significant reduction in free cash flow from 2024 to TTM indicates potential cash flow volatility. Despite this, the company has maintained positive operating cash flow, highlighting operational resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue539.71M492.14M403.09M289.38M201.15M131.78M
Gross Profit301.66M314.65M255.75M181.44M130.96M83.98M
EBITDA29.31M20.73M13.57M-22.05M-14.66M-8.95M
Net Income6.83M2.90M-8.57M-39.35M-27.96M-11.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.12B1.08B674.29M639.67M271.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments274.23M611.09M654.61M349.18M385.36M104.05M
Total Debt61.42M1.72M1.47M1.81M25.94M24.35M
Total Liabilities321.92M307.68M293.61M192.38M157.35M353.20M
Stockholders Equity792.42M814.77M786.12M481.90M482.33M-81.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow89.67M90.54M74.61M-2.21M10.45M-16.36M
Operating Cash Flow94.85M91.47M80.63M4.88M17.13M-14.22M
Investing Cash Flow-350.00M-215.80M-38.78M-24.68M-62.91M-81.54M
Financing Cash Flow-38.66M-37.63M263.42M-23.97M327.51M119.05M

Flywire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.99
Price Trends
50DMA
11.90
Positive
100DMA
11.10
Positive
200DMA
14.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
62.00
Neutral
STOCH
67.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLYW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.59, above the 50-day MA of 11.90, and below the 200-day MA of 14.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLYW.

Flywire Risk Analysis

Flywire disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flywire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flywire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.62B84.4911.59%49.35%72.05%
72
Outperform
$1.59B316.060.86%22.20%
66
Neutral
$662.12M38.623.69%22.27%
64
Neutral
$3.63B-53.71%30.16%12.06%
63
Neutral
$1.48B516.340.37%7.40%-90.72%
61
Neutral
$35.55B8.88-11.05%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
61
Neutral
$871.01M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLYW
Flywire
12.99
-4.26
-24.70%
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings
7.82
-6.41
-45.05%
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
13.89
7.31
111.09%
PSFE
Paysafe
14.68
-6.77
-31.56%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
36.88
16.34
79.55%
NABL
N-able
7.90
-4.52
-36.39%

Flywire Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Flywire Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Flywire Corporation reported a significant increase in its second-quarter 2025 financial results, with a 27.2% rise in revenue year-over-year, reaching $131.9 million. The company also signed nearly 200 new clients, expanded its travel vertical, and deepened its education partnerships. Flywire’s strategic initiatives, including a partnership with a stablecoin payment provider and recognition by Virtuoso, have strengthened its competitive position and market share. Despite a net loss of $12 million, Flywire increased its adjusted EBITDA and raised its aEBITDA margin guidance, showcasing its operational efficiency and resilience amidst global uncertainties.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Flywire Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on June 3
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

During Flywire Corporation’s annual stockholders meeting on June 3, 2025, three key proposals were addressed. Stockholders elected two directors to serve until 2028, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis. Approximately 88% of the company’s voting shares were represented, ensuring a quorum for the meeting.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025