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Flywire Corporation (FLYW)
NASDAQ:FLYW
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Flywire (FLYW) AI Stock Analysis

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FLYW

Flywire

(NASDAQ:FLYW)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(35.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high gross margins, growing free cash flow, and a debt-light balance sheet) and a favorable earnings update with raised guidance and margin expansion targets. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages. Valuation is the main constraint given the ~28.4 P/E and no dividend yield support, alongside the risk that recent TTM net income appears unusually elevated and potentially non-recurring.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength
Sustained, growing free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility: it funds ongoing product investment, supports opportunistic buybacks and M&A, and underpins management's target ~70% FCF conversion, reducing refinancing risk and enabling multi-year scaling without leverage.
Negative Factors
Earnings quality concerns
Anomalously elevated TTM net income and margins suggest non-recurring items may be inflating headline profitability. That weakens confidence in run-rate earnings, complicates forecasting and could reveal lower sustainable operating margins once one-offs normalize.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow strength
Sustained, growing free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility: it funds ongoing product investment, supports opportunistic buybacks and M&A, and underpins management's target ~70% FCF conversion, reducing refinancing risk and enabling multi-year scaling without leverage.
Read all positive factors

Flywire Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsTransaction revenue growth is being driven by large payment‑processing ramps (noticeable recurring Q3 inflections) that lift volume and gross‑profit dollars but depress percentage margins in the near term. Platform & App Usage has meaningfully accelerated — helped by the Sertifi deal and healthcare patient‑affordability traction — shifting mix toward higher‑recurring, stickier revenue. Management’s guidance frames this as temporary margin pressure from processing ramps, with gross profit dollars and EBITDA conversion expected to rise, so this is a growth-for-margin mix tradeoff worth watching into 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

Flywire (FLYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flywire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Flywire Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a payment enablement and software company in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its payment platform and network, and vertical-specific software ...
How the Company Makes Money
Flywire makes money by facilitating payment transactions for its clients and charging fees tied primarily to payment volume processed on its platform. Its core revenue model is largely transaction-based: when an end payer (for example, a student p...

Flywire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed materially positive operating and financial momentum: strong double-digit top-line growth, sizable EBITDA margin expansion, upgraded guidance, major customer wins, geographic diversification, and measurable AI-driven efficiencies. Headwinds noted were largely described as temporary (ramp-related margin pressure, seasonality) or deliberate (investments to scale Sertifi and build data/AI infrastructure) and management provided context and mitigation timelines. Given the breadth of growth, profitability improvement and proactive capital allocation, the positives substantially outweigh the transitory lowlights.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 revenue of $184M, up 43% on a spot basis and 37% FX-neutral YoY; transaction revenue $155M, up 43% YoY; platform & other revenue $29M, up 40% YoY.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression in Q1
Adjusted gross margin declined to 60.1%, down ~400 basis points YoY driven primarily by mix shifts, FX and temporary large payment processing ramps (≈250 bps impact from Cleveland Clinic and B2B invoice ramps).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 revenue of $184M, up 43% on a spot basis and 37% FX-neutral YoY; transaction revenue $155M, up 43% YoY; platform & other revenue $29M, up 40% YoY.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Flywire raised its 2026 outlook, now targeting FX‑neutral revenue growth of 18%–24% (with ~3–4 points from B2B/healthcare payment‑processing ramps concentrated in H1 and roughly 1.5 points of inorganic lift from Sertifi), adjusted gross profit growth of just above the mid‑teens at spot, and full‑year adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of ~175–375 basis points (about 22.8% at the midpoint). For Q2 the company expects FX‑neutral revenue growth of 18%–24% (about a 1‑point FX tailwind at current spot rates), mid‑teens gross‑profit dollar growth at spot (including a low‑single‑digit YoY FX‑on‑settlement benefit) and roughly +75 bps of adjusted EBITDA margin year‑over‑year at the midpoint; management cautioned H2 revenue growth will decelerate versus H1 as Cleveland Clinic and invoice ramps are anniversaryed (ramps largely complete by end‑2026). They also reiterated GAAP net income growth of ~3–4x for the year, target stock‑based compensation at ~10% of revenue, expect free‑cash‑flow conversion of 70%–75% of adjusted EBITDA, and noted ~$215M of corporate cash plus an up to $50M accelerated share‑repurchase (having deployed $128M in buybacks to date).

Flywire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving fundamentals: solid revenue growth (2025 ~26.6%, TTM ~8.8%), consistently high gross margins (~59–65%), robust and growing free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$159.8M, ~67.5% growth), and essentially no leverage. Main risk is earnings quality/recurrence as TTM net income and net margin look unusually elevated versus history, while EBIT margins remain modest (TTM ~0.33%, 2025 ~5.7%).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue677.68M623.02M492.14M403.09M289.38M201.15M
Gross Profit395.24M382.67M314.65M255.75M181.44M130.96M
EBITDA72.85M51.02M19.76M11.78M-23.84M-14.91M
Net Income30.18M13.50M2.90M-8.57M-39.35M-28.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16T1.25B1.12B1.08B674.29M639.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.08B355.00M611.09M654.61M349.18M385.36M
Total Debt0.000.001.72M1.47M1.81M25.94M
Total Liabilities310.15B418.14M307.68M293.61M192.38M157.64M
Stockholders Equity852.23B835.17M814.77M786.12M481.90M482.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow159.83M98.83M90.54M74.61M-2.21M10.45M
Operating Cash Flow163.22M100.17M91.47M80.63M4.88M17.13M
Investing Cash Flow51.35M-194.23M-215.80M-38.78M-24.68M-62.91M
Financing Cash Flow-102.60M-78.40M-37.63M263.42M-23.97M327.51M

Flywire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.61
Price Trends
50DMA
13.65
Positive
100DMA
13.21
Positive
200DMA
13.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Positive
RSI
60.46
Neutral
STOCH
30.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLYW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.56, below the 50-day MA of 13.65, and above the 200-day MA of 13.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLYW.

Flywire Risk Analysis

Flywire disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flywire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flywire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.99B28.400.01%32.49%539.48%
75
Outperform
$2.95B38.2213.47%33.01%44.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$279.85M18.1915.84%2.41%-5.71%-38.81%
52
Neutral
$382.86M-28.61%3.26%-39594.38%
51
Neutral
$1.35B-55.55%-16.22%-41.59%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLYW
Flywire
16.12
5.09
46.15%
HCKT
The Hackett Group
11.11
-12.82
-53.57%
PSFE
Paysafe
7.47
-4.98
-40.00%
AI
C3ai
9.29
-13.43
-59.11%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
23.45
-14.00
-37.38%

Flywire Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Flywire Advances Share Repurchase Strategy With New Buyback
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 13, 2026, Boston-based Flywire Corporation entered a privately negotiated agreement to repurchase about 1.87 million shares of its non-voting common stock from a pre-IPO shareholder for roughly $29 million, funded entirely with cash on its ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Flywire Delivers Strong Q1 Results and Raises Guidance
Positive
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, Flywire reported strong first-quarter 2026 results, with revenue rising 41.0% year over year to $188.1 million and revenue less ancillary services up 43.0% to $184.0 million. The company swung to a GAAP net income of $12.5 million ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Flywire Adds Veteran Banker Christine Katziff to Board
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 25, 2026, Flywire’s board of directors appointed former Bank of America chief audit executive Christine Katziff as a Class I director, expanding the board from eight to nine members and assigning her to the audit committee. The comp...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Flywire Updates Investor Presentation Highlighting Growth Momentum
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 23, 2026, Flywire appointed former Visa and PayPal executive Patrick Blanc as Chief Technology Officer, succeeding David King, who has fully transitioned to Chief Product Officer and Co‑President of Global Education. On February ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026