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Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP)
:CTLP

Cantaloupe (CTLP) AI Stock Analysis

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Cantaloupe

(NASDAQ:CTLP)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(12.49%Upside)
Cantaloupe's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators show a positive trend, but with limited momentum. The valuation is appealing, although the absence of a dividend yield is noted. Overall, Cantaloupe is well-positioned for growth in the Information Technology Services sector.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
CTLP reported Q3/25 revenue of $75.4 million representing an increase of 11.1% YOY with adjusted EBITDA of $13.9 million representing a 36.6% increase.
Market Opportunities
Management now estimates that it operates in an $18.3 billion TAM, growing at a 10% compound annual rate, supported by multiple secular tailwinds.
Strategic Initiatives
CTLP's share price jumped by almost 10% after reports that the company engaged investment bankers to explore strategic options, including a possible sale.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
CTLP shares are down 6% after reporting mixed March-quarter results; revenue was $4.3 million below our estimate as subscription/transaction fee revenue slowed to 10%.
Weather Impact
Transaction revenue in Q3/25 was materially impacted by adverse weather events and storms, which led to abnormally low traffic for customer locations.

Cantaloupe (CTLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cantaloupe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP) is a technology company that specializes in providing software and hardware solutions for the unattended retail industry. The company operates primarily in the sectors of financial technology and vending solutions, offering a comprehensive suite of services that include payment processing, logistics, and analytics. Cantaloupe's core products and services are designed to enhance the operational efficiency and profitability of vending machine operators, micro-market providers, and other unattended retail businesses.
How the Company Makes MoneyCantaloupe makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes transaction fees, subscription services, and hardware sales. The company's primary revenue stream comes from its payment processing services, where it collects transaction fees each time a consumer makes a purchase through one of its connected devices. Additionally, Cantaloupe generates recurring revenue by offering subscription-based services for its cloud-based platform, which provides customers with data analytics, inventory management, and remote monitoring solutions. The sale of point-of-sale hardware, such as card readers and telemetry devices, also contributes to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions, hardware manufacturers, and retail operators enhance its market presence and support its revenue generation.

Cantaloupe Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite some challenges such as weather impacts and economic uncertainty affecting equipment sales, Cantaloupe reported strong revenue growth, increased EBITDA, and significant cash generation. The company also made notable progress in product development and client acquisition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 11% year over year to $75.4 million, driven by 10% growth in both transaction and subscription revenues.
Equipment Revenue Increase
Equipment revenue increased by 18% to $10.2 million compared to Q3 fiscal year 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $13.9 million, marking a 37% increase from the prior year.
Strong Cash Generation
Q3 saw one of the best quarters for cash generation, with $22.4 million from operating activities.
Gross Margin Expansion
Total adjusted gross margin expanded to 41.6% from 39.6% in the same quarter last year.
Notable Wins and Product Expansion
Cantaloupe gained new enterprise clients and saw strong demand for SmartStore and Engage Pulse products.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Transaction Revenue
Adverse weather events in January and February reduced transaction revenue by approximately $2 million.
Economic Uncertainty Affecting Equipment Sales
There was a pullback in large equipment purchases due to economic uncertainty, though this rebounded in April.
Company Guidance
During the Cantaloupe third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for the fiscal year. The total revenue for the quarter increased by 11% year-over-year to $75.4 million, with transaction and subscription revenues each growing by 10%. Equipment revenue saw an 18% increase, reaching $10.2 million. Despite weather-related disruptions impacting transaction revenue, the company remains confident in its revised fiscal year guidance due to a strong rebound in April. The total adjusted gross margin expanded to 41.6%, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 37% to $13.9 million. Cantaloupe revised its fiscal year 2025 outlook, projecting total revenues between $302 million and $308 million, representing growth of 13% to 15%. The company also anticipates a GAAP net income between $64 million and $70 million, driven by the release of a $42.2 million valuation allowance on deferred tax assets. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be around $96 million, with operating cash flow projected to stay between $24 million and $32 million.

Cantaloupe Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cantaloupe demonstrates strong revenue and profitability growth, supported by a low leverage balance sheet and improved cash flow generation. Challenges include a decrease in cash and equivalents and moderate cash conversion efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cantaloupe has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with a revenue increase from $163.2 million in 2020 to $292.6 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin stands at 40.3% for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin has significantly improved, reaching 20.5% in TTM from negative figures in previous years, indicating strong profitability advancements. EBITDA and EBIT margins have also shown positive trends, suggesting healthy operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.008 in TTM 2025, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio has remained above 60%, showing financial stability. Return on equity has improved to 24.9% in TTM, demonstrating effective use of shareholders' funds. However, the decrease in cash and equivalents from previous periods might indicate potential liquidity management challenges.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cantaloupe's free cash flow has returned to positive in TTM, growing from previous negative values, which is a positive indicator of cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 0.42, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. While free cash flow growth reflects improvement, consistent positive operating cash flow will be crucial for sustaining growth.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
292.64M268.60M243.64M195.20M166.94M163.15M
Gross Profit
118.03M102.65M81.24M54.20M54.03M46.27M
EBIT
20.70M14.17M760.00K-993.00K-4.32M-18.30M
EBITDA
39.19M28.12M11.95M4.33M1.19M-28.58M
Net Income Common Stockholders
59.91M11.99M633.00K-1.70M-8.71M-40.59M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
46.34M58.92M50.93M68.13M88.14M31.71M
Total Assets
370.52M335.57M289.61M255.63M237.67M181.02M
Total Debt
1.93M47.33M40.93M16.99M17.96M20.51M
Net Debt
-44.40M-11.59M-9.99M-51.14M-70.17M-11.20M
Total Liabilities
46.14M151.10M122.02M95.66M83.14M79.67M
Stockholders Equity
240.69M184.47M167.59M159.97M154.53M101.35M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
7.50M12.81M-1.96M-17.96M6.34M-16.68M
Operating Cash Flow
25.18M27.75M14.19M-8.71M8.18M-14.14M
Investing Cash Flow
-27.76M-18.64M-51.87M-12.23M-1.83M-2.49M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.18M-1.06M20.48M920.00K50.07M20.88M

Cantaloupe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.89
Price Trends
50DMA
8.03
Positive
100DMA
8.49
Positive
200DMA
8.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
58.95
Neutral
STOCH
44.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTLP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.40, above the 50-day MA of 8.03, and above the 200-day MA of 8.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTLP.

Cantaloupe Risk Analysis

Cantaloupe disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cantaloupe reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cantaloupe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$485.13M24.7222.21%0.65%42.25%65.02%
78
Outperform
$649.49M11.1928.20%12.51%390.09%
77
Outperform
$487.87M22.7510.42%1.23%17.89%-23.37%
66
Neutral
$815.58M-0.34%-4.76%97.93%
66
Neutral
$670.73M57.39%15.76%82.78%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.37-7.29%2.91%7.39%-7.96%
54
Neutral
$493.35M-1.64%2.26%85.37%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTLP
Cantaloupe
8.89
1.91
27.36%
FARO
Faro Technologies
42.42
24.47
136.32%
LYTS
Lsi Industries
16.26
1.47
9.94%
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions
105.41
50.22
90.99%
RPAY
Repay Holdings
5.22
-5.48
-51.21%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
8.41
4.05
92.89%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.