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Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP)
NASDAQ:CTLP

Cantaloupe (CTLP) AI Stock Analysis

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CTLP

Cantaloupe

(NASDAQ:CTLP)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(8.18% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/08/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance—stronger profitability and ROE with modest leverage—tempered by uneven cash conversion and historical volatility. Technicals are neutral-to-soft and do not add momentum support, while valuation appears moderate on the provided P/E. Corporate events are mildly supportive but not a major fundamental catalyst.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue mix
A growing base of subscription and transaction revenue anchors predictable, recurring cash flows and supports higher lifetime value from customers. Over 2–6 months this reduces revenue cyclicality from one-time hardware sales and strengthens margin sustainability and customer retention dynamics.
Improved profitability & ROE
Material margin expansion and strong ROE indicate the business is converting revenue into durable earnings, reflecting operating leverage in the platform. Sustained profitability boosts reinvestment capacity, supports R&D and product development, and lowers the risk of equity dilution over the medium term.
Conservative balance sheet
Modest leverage and a strengthened equity base provide financial flexibility to fund product development, absorb demand shocks, or pursue strategic tuck-ins. Over several months this conservatism lowers default risk and preserves capacity for capital allocation without pressuring operations.
Negative Factors
Mixed cash conversion
Earnings are ahead of cash generation, implying working-capital swings or timing differences that can constrain durable free cash flow. Over the next 2–6 months mixed conversion elevates execution risk for investments, dividends, or debt repayments if accruals reverse or capex steps up.
Rising debt trend
Although leverage remains modest, the upward debt trend raises sensitivity to cash-flow shocks. If revenue or margins soften, interest and principal service become a larger burden, reducing strategic flexibility and increasing refinancing or liquidity risk over the medium term.
Revenue & margin volatility
Volatile equipment sales and uneven growth make near-term revenue and margin forecasts less reliable. Structural unpredictability in product mix can impair long-term planning, complicate capacity and inventory decisions, and heighten the risk that short-term swings erode sustained operating leverage.

Cantaloupe (CTLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cantaloupe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCantaloupe, Inc., a digital payment and software services company, provides technology solutions for the unattended retail market. The company offers integrated solutions for payments processing, logistics, and back-office management. It also provides ePort, an integrated payment device that is deployed in self-service, unattended market applications, such as vending, amusement, arcade, commercial laundry, air/vacuum, car wash, and others, which facilitates digital payments; and integrated software services for payment devices in the field for the wireless transfer. The company serves vending machine, car wash, electric vehicle charging, amusement, commercial laundry, micro-market, kiosk, and entertainment companies. It has strategic partnership with Bakkt Holdings, LLC to bring a cashless experience for consumers to spend digital assets at unattended retail devices: and Castles Technology to introduce a next-generation cashless device solution. The company was formerly known as USA Technologies, Inc and changed its name to Cantaloupe, Inc. Cantaloupe Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyCantaloupe generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its cashless payment systems and related services to operators in the vending and unattended retail sectors. The company earns money through transaction fees charged for each cashless payment processed via its platforms, as well as subscription fees for its Seed software services that help businesses manage their operations. Additionally, Cantaloupe benefits from partnerships with financial institutions and payment networks that facilitate these transactions. The ongoing transition towards cashless payment solutions in the retail market further supports Cantaloupe's revenue growth, as more businesses seek to adopt its technology to meet consumer demand.

Cantaloupe Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Cantaloupe Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive outlook with significant revenue growth, margin expansion, and strong cash generation. Product launches like the Engage Pulse device and SmartStore were highlighted as key successes. However, challenges such as weather-related impacts and economic uncertainties affecting equipment sales were noted. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 11% year over year to $75.4 million, driven by a 10% growth in both transaction and subscription revenues.
Increased Equipment Revenue
Equipment revenue rose to $10.2 million, marking an 18% increase compared to Q3 fiscal year 2024.
Adjusted Gross Margin Expansion
Adjusted gross margin expanded to 41.6% from 39.6% in the same quarter last year.
Strong Cash Generation
Q3 was one of the best quarters for cash generation, with total cash from operating activities reaching $22.4 million.
Successful Product Launches
The Engage Pulse cashless device and SmartStore product were well-received, contributing significantly to revenue and market interest.
Valuation Allowance Release
Released $42.2 million of valuation allowance associated with federal and state deferred tax assets, resulting in an income tax benefit.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Transaction Revenue
Adverse weather events in January and February led to a $2 million impact on transaction revenue.
Economic Uncertainty Affecting Equipment Sales
Economic uncertainty led to a pullback in large equipment purchases, impacting sales negatively.
Company Guidance
In the Cantaloupe Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance despite certain challenges. Total revenue for Q3 increased by 11% year over year to $75.4 million, driven by a 10% growth in both transaction and subscription revenues. Equipment revenue rose by 18% to $10.2 million, although sales were temporarily impacted by adverse weather and economic uncertainties. The adjusted gross margin expanded to 41.6% from 39.6% in the previous year, while adjusted EBITDA grew by 37% to $13.9 million. Cash from operating activities was robust, reaching $22.4 million. The company revised its full-year guidance, expecting total revenues between $302 million and $308 million, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $96 million. Cantaloupe also achieved a milestone with an average revenue per unit (ARPU) of $206. The call highlighted continued momentum in the micro market and smart store segments, alongside strategic expansion plans in Europe and Latin America.

Cantaloupe Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year turnaround with revenue scaling to $317.6M (TTM) and profitability improving to a 17.3% net margin (TTM) alongside improved ROE (21.8% TTM) and modest leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.19–0.21). Offsets include margin/growth volatility and mixed cash conversion (operating cash flow ~0.50 of net income in TTM) despite positive and improving TTM free cash flow ($25.8M). KPI notes also point to recurring subscription growth but volatile equipment sales.
Income Statement
78
Positive
CTLP shows a strong multi-year turnaround with revenue expanding from $166.9M (2021) to $317.6M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Profitability has improved materially: net margin moved from losses in 2021–2022 to 0.3% (2023), 4.5% (2024), 21.3% (2025 annual) and 17.3% in TTM, supported by stronger operating leverage (EBIT margin ~5.6% in TTM). The key weakness is volatility: margins eased from the 2025 annual peak to TTM, and growth decelerated sharply in 2025 annual versus prior years, even though TTM shows an unusually high revenue growth rate in the dataset.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is solid and conservatively levered, with debt-to-equity around 0.19–0.21 (2025 annual and TTM) and equity building to ~$255.2M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Returns on equity improved substantially (21.8% TTM; 25.4% 2025 annual) versus low/negative levels in earlier years, indicating improved earnings power. Main watch-out: total debt has trended up versus earlier years (low-$20M range in 2021–2022 to ~$54M TTM), so maintaining profitability is important to keep leverage comfortably low.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is positive and improving in the latest period, with operating cash flow at $42.0M and free cash flow at $25.8M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, cash conversion is mixed: operating cash flow relative to net income is ~0.50 in TTM and free cash flow is ~0.62 of net income, implying earnings are running ahead of cash. Volatility is also evident—2025 annual free cash flow dropped to $3.3M (from $12.8M in 2024) before rebounding in TTM—suggesting working-capital or reinvestment swings that investors should monitor.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue317.56M302.55M268.60M243.64M205.20M166.94M
Gross Profit123.77M123.82M102.65M81.24M64.19M54.03M
EBITDA37.91M42.75M28.12M11.95M4.33M1.19M
Net Income55.00M64.53M11.99M633.00K-1.70M-8.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets381.94M381.86M335.57M289.61M255.63M237.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.98M51.15M58.92M50.93M68.13M88.14M
Total Debt54.25M48.60M47.33M44.70M20.89M22.77M
Total Liabilities126.77M128.11M151.10M122.02M95.66M83.14M
Stockholders Equity255.18M253.75M184.47M167.59M159.97M154.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.84M3.34M12.81M-1.96M-17.96M6.34M
Operating Cash Flow41.96M20.34M27.75M14.19M-8.71M8.18M
Investing Cash Flow-17.49M-28.14M-18.64M-51.87M-12.23M-1.83M
Financing Cash Flow-112.00K42.00K-1.06M20.48M920.00K50.07M

Cantaloupe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.63
Price Trends
50DMA
10.62
Negative
100DMA
10.61
Negative
200DMA
10.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
40.08
Neutral
STOCH
39.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTLP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.52, above the 50-day MA of 10.62, and above the 200-day MA of 10.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CTLP.

Cantaloupe Risk Analysis

Cantaloupe disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cantaloupe reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cantaloupe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.36B-0.29%22.71%-111.24%
67
Neutral
$740.89M13.9524.55%12.94%356.32%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
53
Neutral
$300.92M-10.19-23.73%17.44%41.97%
47
Neutral
$89.91M-188.11-0.27%0.95%6.36%73.88%
47
Neutral
$371.79M-2.93-15.59%-0.95%-456.64%
44
Neutral
$215.57M-1.27-18.81%-12.45%-142.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTLP
Cantaloupe
10.27
-0.08
-0.77%
CSPI
CSP
9.11
-6.79
-42.70%
CNDT
Conduent
1.59
-2.09
-56.79%
PSFE
Paysafe
6.27
-12.54
-66.67%
TLS
Telos
4.12
0.99
31.63%
FLYW
Flywire
11.23
-6.10
-35.20%

Cantaloupe Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cantaloupe Holds 2026 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Cantaloupe, Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders, where all director nominees were elected. Shareholders also approved the executive officer compensation and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. These decisions reflect shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and financial oversight, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTLP) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cantaloupe stock, see the CTLP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026