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Telos (TLS)
NASDAQ:TLS
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Telos (TLS) AI Stock Analysis

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TLS

Telos

(NASDAQ:TLS)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(8.11% Upside)
Telos's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative cash flows, which weigh heavily on the score. However, strong technical indicators and positive earnings call guidance provide a counterbalance, suggesting potential for future growth. The recent executive appointment also adds a positive note, though its impact is less significant.
Positive Factors
Program Growth
TLS is benefiting from the ongoing ramp of the TSA program as well as the DMDC program.
Revenue Performance
TLS delivered $36 million of total revenue, above the high end of guidance of $34.5 million.
Security Solutions
Security Solutions revenue grew 82% year over year, driven by solid execution on large programs including TSA PreCheck.
Negative Factors
Government Spending
The government is exhibiting caution on spend, which impacts new business for TLS.
Revenue Recognition
CY25 forecasts were negatively impacted by delayed revenue recognition in certain programs.
Revenue Uncertainty
There is great uncertainty to durable revenue growth and cash flow generation.

Telos (TLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelos Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides information technology (IT) solutions and services worldwide. It provides Xacta, a premier platform for enterprise cyber risk management and security compliance automation solutions to large commercial and government enterprises; and Telos Ghost, a solution to eliminate cyber-attack surfaces by obfuscating and encrypting data, masking user identity and location, and hiding network resources, as well as provides security and privacy for intelligence gathering, cyber threat protection, securing critical infrastructure, and protecting communications and applications. The company also offers Telos Automated Message Handling System, a web-based organizational message distribution and management platform for mission-critical communications used by military field operatives; and Telos ID that provides identity trust and digital services through IDTrust360, an enterprise-class digital identity risk platform for extending cloud identity services for mobile and enterprise and custom digital identity services that reduces threats through the integration of advanced technologies that fuse biometrics, credentials, and other identity-centric data used for continuously monitor trust. In addition, it provides secure network services, including secure mobility solutions for business and government that enable remote work and minimize operational and security concern across and beyond the enterprises; and network management and defense services for operating, administrating, and defending complex enterprise networks and defensive cyber operations. It serves to the United States federal government, large commercial businesses, state and local governments, and international customers. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Ashburn, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelos Corporation generates revenue through the sale of cybersecurity solutions and services, primarily focusing on government contracts and business enterprises. Key revenue streams include the provision of software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, consulting services, and managed security services. Telos's partnerships with technology providers and its long-standing relationships with federal agencies significantly contribute to its earnings. The company also benefits from recurring revenue models associated with its software and service contracts, providing a steady income stream from its diverse client base.

Telos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 133.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth driven by the Security Solutions segment and positive cash flow, with significant expansion in TSA PreCheck enrollment centers and a positive outlook for the third quarter. However, there were some concerns regarding gross margin variability and contraction in the secure networks segment. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating strong performance and optimism for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 26% year-over-year to $36 million, exceeding the guidance range of $32.5 million to $34.5 million.
Strong Performance in Security Solutions
Security Solutions delivered approximately 90% of total company revenue and achieved 82% growth year-over-year.
Positive Cash Flow and Share Repurchases
Operating cash flow was $7 million, and free cash flow was $4.6 million. The company resumed share repurchases, buying back 1.5 million shares.
Expansion of TSA PreCheck Program
The number of TSA PreCheck enrollment centers increased by 43% since May, reaching 415 locations across 40 states.
FedRAMP High Authorization for Xacta Software
The Xacta platform received FedRAMP High Authorization, recognizing its capability to protect highly sensitive government data in cloud environments.
Positive Third Quarter Forecast
The company forecasts revenue growth of 85% to 98% year-over-year for the third quarter, with adjusted EBITDA projected to be $4 million to $5.7 million.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Variability
GAAP gross margin was 33.2%, and cash gross margin was 38.4%, which were lower year-over-year due to revenue mix.
Contraction in Secure Networks
Year-over-year revenue growth was partially offset by a contraction in the secure networks segment.
Company Guidance
During the Telos Corporation Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the upcoming quarter, showcasing strong financial performance and future expectations. For Q3 2025, Telos forecasts revenue growth between 85% and 98% year-over-year, targeting a range of $44 million to $47 million. The adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $4 million to $5.7 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.1% to 12.1%. The company anticipates cash gross margins to increase sequentially to approximately 40% to 41%, up from 38.4% in Q2, attributed to favorable revenue mix fluctuations. Adjusted operating expenses are projected to decrease by $1.6 million year-over-year to $14.3 million. Security Solutions are expected to contribute around 90% of the total company revenue. Additionally, Telos resumed share repurchases, deploying $4 million to buy back 1.5 million shares, reflecting confidence in its financial outlook and robust cash flow performance.

Telos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telos faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, sustained net losses, and negative cash flows. Despite a strong equity position, the company struggles with profitability and cash generation, posing risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Telos shows a declining revenue trend with a significant drop from $242.4M in 2021 to $109.3M in the TTM period. The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the years. Despite a gross profit margin of approximately 32.6% in TTM, the substantial net losses indicate challenges in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of about 79.8% in TTM, signifying financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 suggests low leverage, which could limit growth opportunities. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing net losses impacting shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Telos faces challenges with cash flow generation, evident from negative operating and free cash flows in recent periods. The company has shown negative free cash flow growth, reflecting operational inefficiencies or high capital expenditure relative to cash inflows, which could strain liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.74M108.27M145.38M216.89M242.43M179.92M
Gross Profit37.88M34.43M52.94M79.04M86.03M62.42M
EBITDA-44.78M-39.98M-24.17M-46.61M-36.76M19.41M
Net Income-55.51M-52.52M-34.42M-53.43M-43.13M1.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets165.04M158.24M208.70M237.40M246.08M183.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.00M54.58M99.26M119.31M126.56M106.05M
Total Debt6.96M10.15M11.47M21.69M15.25M17.26M
Total Liabilities46.63M31.10M49.70M65.04M65.83M56.71M
Stockholders Equity118.41M127.14M159.00M172.35M180.25M127.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.81M-28.19M-13.89M2.79M-5.91M-9.56M
Operating Cash Flow-4.54M-25.94M1.59M16.51M7.26M-2.10M
Investing Cash Flow-11.77M-16.76M-15.48M-13.72M-19.09M-7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-6.79M-1.98M-6.15M-9.91M32.35M108.86M

Telos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.55
Price Trends
50DMA
3.02
Positive
100DMA
2.78
Positive
200DMA
3.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
82.85
Negative
STOCH
90.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.28, above the 50-day MA of 3.02, and above the 200-day MA of 3.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.85 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TLS.

Telos Risk Analysis

Telos disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Telos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$446.92M45.38122.80%328.80%339.87%
62
Neutral
$239.53M31.848.29%3.62%-9.86%
62
Neutral
$119.64M40,175.00-3.33%0.99%-0.37%-161.02%
62
Neutral
£500.82M27.120.85%2.82%3.88%-21.07%
60
Neutral
$395.50M-41.49%-13.76%-75.18%
45
Neutral
$176.41M-9.11%1.75%-8.21%91.83%
41
Neutral
$237.72M-63.65%-8.07%7.66%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLS
Telos
5.55
2.66
92.04%
DMRC
Digimarc
8.81
-18.13
-67.30%
III
Information Services Group
4.86
1.67
52.35%
TTEC
TTEC Holdings
3.61
-0.65
-15.26%
CSPI
CSP
12.13
-2.75
-18.48%
TSSI
TSS
16.14
11.79
271.03%

Telos Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Telos Appoints DJ Terreri as Principal Accounting Officer
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Telos Corporation appointed Mr. Donald Joseph (DJ) Terreri as the controller and chief accounting officer, later designating him as the principal accounting officer on July 8, 2025. Mr. Terreri, who brings extensive experience from his previous roles at CBRE Government and Defense Business, J&J Worldwide Services, ICF International, Privia Health, and Discovery Communications, will report directly to the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Mark Bendza. His appointment is expected to strengthen Telos’s financial leadership and enhance its accounting operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TLS) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telos stock, see the TLS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Telos Announces Resignation of Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Victoria Harding announced her resignation as Controller and Chief Accounting Officer of Telos Corporation, effective May 30, 2025, to pursue a new professional opportunity. The company will begin searching for her replacement, with Assistant Controller Brian Bienert stepping in as Interim Controller in the meantime.

The most recent analyst rating on (TLS) stock is a Buy with a $3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telos stock, see the TLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025