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Telos (TLS)
NASDAQ:TLS
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Telos (TLS) AI Stock Analysis

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TLS

Telos

(NASDAQ:TLS)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-13.17% Downside)
Telos's overall stock score is primarily driven by the strong positive outlook from the recent earnings call, which highlights significant revenue growth and improved cash flow. However, the financial performance remains a major concern due to persistent losses and negative cash flows. The technical analysis indicates strong bullish momentum, but the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 26% revenue growth in Q2 indicates strong demand for Telos's services, particularly in the Security Solutions segment, suggesting a robust market position and potential for sustained growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Positive free cash flow reflects improved operational efficiency and financial health, enhancing Telos's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain liquidity.
FedRAMP High Authorization
Achieving FedRAMP High Authorization strengthens Telos's competitive edge in government contracts, potentially boosting future revenue from secure cloud services.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Persistent revenue decline poses a risk to Telos's long-term growth and market position, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse this trend.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow limits Telos's financial flexibility, potentially impacting its ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, indicated by negative margins, could hinder Telos's ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth.

Telos (TLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelos (TLS) is a technology company that specializes in providing secure communications and cybersecurity solutions. Operating primarily in the information technology sector, Telos develops advanced products and services that cater to government and commercial clients, focusing on safeguarding sensitive data and enhancing network security. Its core offerings include identity management, secure communications platforms, and cloud-based cybersecurity solutions designed to protect against evolving threats in the digital landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelos generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its cybersecurity software and services to government agencies and commercial enterprises. The company charges licensing fees for its software products, subscription fees for ongoing access to its services, and consulting fees for its expertise in cybersecurity. Additionally, Telos has established strategic partnerships with other technology providers and government contractors, which helps expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. These partnerships, along with a focus on long-term contracts with federal agencies, contribute significantly to the company's financial stability and growth.

Telos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong positive outlook with significant revenue growth, improved EBITDA, and robust free cash flow. The expansion of the TSA PreCheck program and new authorizations further underscore the company's positive trajectory. While there were concerns about gross margin variability and contraction in the secure networks segment, these were minor compared to the overall positive performance and outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Telos Corporation reported a 26% increase in revenue for the second quarter, reaching $36 million, exceeding the guidance range of $32.5 million to $34.5 million. This growth was primarily driven by the Security Solutions segment.
Significant EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA saw a $3.3 million improvement year-over-year, turning a profit of approximately $400,000 compared to a forecasted loss. This was due to a combination of revenue growth and cost discipline.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company achieved a free cash flow of $4.6 million for the second quarter and $8.4 million for the first half of 2025, representing a 12.9% and 12.6% margin respectively.
Expansion of TSA PreCheck Program
Telos expanded its TSA PreCheck enrollment centers to 415 locations across 40 states, a 43% increase since the last earnings call, targeting 500 locations by the end of 2025.
FedRAMP High Authorization Achievement
Telos received FedRAMP High Authorization for its Xacta software solution, meeting stringent standards for protecting highly sensitive government data in cloud environments.
Positive Third Quarter Outlook
Telos forecasts a significant revenue increase of 85% to 98% year-over-year for the third quarter, with projected revenue between $44 million and $47 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.1% to 12.1%.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Variability
Despite strong revenue growth, gross margins were lower year-over-year due to revenue mix, although they are expected to improve in the third quarter.
Secure Networks Contraction
Year-over-year revenue growth was partially offset by a contraction in the secure networks segment.
Company Guidance
During the Telos Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, exceeding both revenue and profit guidance. Revenue for the quarter grew by 26% year-over-year to $36 million, surpassing the guidance range of $32.5 million to $34.5 million. Security Solutions contributed approximately 90% of total revenue, driving this outperformance. The company achieved a GAAP gross margin of 33.2% and a cash gross margin of 38.4%, with adjusted EBITDA of $400,000, outperforming the forecasted loss range of $2.1 million to $600,000. Operating cash flow for the quarter was $7 million, with free cash flow reaching $4.6 million or a 12.9% margin. The company also resumed share repurchases, buying back 1.5 million shares for $4 million. Looking ahead, Telos forecasts third-quarter revenue growth of 85% to 98% year-over-year, with a revenue range of $44 million to $47 million and adjusted EBITDA of $4 million to $5.7 million. The company anticipates maintaining positive free cash flow for the full year amid strong performance from key programs like TSA PreCheck and the DMDC program.

Telos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telos faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. While the company maintains a low leverage ratio, the negative return on equity and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements to achieve financial stability and growth.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Telos has been experiencing declining revenue over the past few years, with a slight recovery in the TTM period. However, the company continues to face significant profitability challenges, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the overall financial health is impacted by consistent net losses.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and a declining equity base. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Telos's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating cash flow and declining free cash flow growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive in the TTM period, but overall cash flow management remains a challenge, impacting liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.74M108.27M145.38M216.89M242.43M179.92M
Gross Profit37.88M34.43M52.94M79.04M86.03M62.42M
EBITDA-44.78M-39.98M-24.17M-46.61M-36.76M19.41M
Net Income-55.51M-52.52M-34.42M-53.43M-43.13M1.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets165.04M158.24M208.70M237.40M246.08M183.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.00M54.58M99.26M119.31M126.56M106.05M
Total Debt6.96M10.15M11.47M21.69M15.25M17.26M
Total Liabilities46.63M31.10M49.70M65.04M65.83M56.71M
Stockholders Equity118.41M127.14M159.00M172.35M180.25M127.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.81M-28.19M-13.89M2.79M-5.91M-9.56M
Operating Cash Flow-4.54M-25.94M1.59M16.51M7.26M-2.10M
Investing Cash Flow-11.77M-16.76M-15.48M-13.72M-19.09M-7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-6.79M-1.98M-6.15M-9.91M32.35M108.86M

Telos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.91
Price Trends
50DMA
5.13
Positive
100DMA
3.92
Positive
200DMA
3.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
61.15
Neutral
STOCH
75.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.69, above the 50-day MA of 5.13, and above the 200-day MA of 3.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TLS.

Telos Risk Analysis

Telos disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Telos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
287.73M36.902.95%3.02%-9.86%
68
Neutral
500.91M49.6583.72%328.80%339.87%
58
Neutral
$502.38M-41.49%-13.76%-75.18%
52
Neutral
121.98M-70.36-3.28%0.97%-0.37%-161.02%
44
Neutral
213.13M-5.37-84.66%-8.07%7.66%
40
Underperform
159.44M-6.11-9.26%-8.21%91.83%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLS
Telos
6.91
3.43
98.56%
DMRC
Digimarc
9.83
-17.26
-63.71%
III
Information Services Group
5.97
2.79
87.74%
TTEC
TTEC Holdings
3.29
-0.76
-18.77%
CSPI
CSP
12.37
-0.43
-3.36%
TSSI
TSS
17.66
10.51
146.99%

Telos Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Telos Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Telos Corporation reported its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 11, 2025, leading to a favorable response in its stock price. The company has reassured investors that it has no current plans to raise capital through dilutive securities, citing its strong liquidity position with $57 million in cash and cash equivalents, no outstanding debt, and expected positive cash flow for the remainder of the year.

Executive/Board Changes
Telos Appoints DJ Terreri as Principal Accounting Officer
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Telos Corporation appointed Mr. Donald Joseph (DJ) Terreri as the controller and chief accounting officer, later designating him as the principal accounting officer on July 8, 2025. Mr. Terreri, who brings extensive experience from his previous roles at CBRE Government and Defense Business, J&J Worldwide Services, ICF International, Privia Health, and Discovery Communications, will report directly to the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Mark Bendza. His appointment is expected to strengthen Telos’s financial leadership and enhance its accounting operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025