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Telos (TLS)
NASDAQ:TLS
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Telos (TLS) AI Stock Analysis

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TLS

Telos

(NASDAQ:TLS)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(13.04% Upside)
Telos Corporation's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive earnings call highlights, which are offset by challenges in profitability, cash flow management, and technical indicators. The company's strategic expansions and improved financial outlook are promising, but the negative P/E ratio and bearish technical signals suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Telos's significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for its cybersecurity solutions, enhancing its market position and long-term growth prospects.
Product Innovation
The launch of Xacta.ai reflects Telos's commitment to innovation, improving its competitive edge in cybersecurity by enhancing efficiency in cybersecurity tasks.
Strategic Expansion
Expanding TSA PreCheck locations strengthens Telos's market reach and service accessibility, supporting sustained revenue growth and customer base expansion.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, as indicated by negative net profit margins, suggest Telos needs to improve cost management and operational efficiency for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow Management
Negative free cash flow growth reflects challenges in maintaining positive cash flow, potentially impacting Telos's ability to invest in growth and manage financial obligations.
Return on Equity
A negative return on equity suggests that Telos is not effectively utilizing shareholder investments, which could hinder long-term financial performance and investor confidence.

Telos (TLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelos Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides information technology (IT) solutions and services worldwide. It provides Xacta, a premier platform for enterprise cyber risk management and security compliance automation solutions to large commercial and government enterprises; and Telos Ghost, a solution to eliminate cyber-attack surfaces by obfuscating and encrypting data, masking user identity and location, and hiding network resources, as well as provides security and privacy for intelligence gathering, cyber threat protection, securing critical infrastructure, and protecting communications and applications. The company also offers Telos Automated Message Handling System, a web-based organizational message distribution and management platform for mission-critical communications used by military field operatives; and Telos ID that provides identity trust and digital services through IDTrust360, an enterprise-class digital identity risk platform for extending cloud identity services for mobile and enterprise and custom digital identity services that reduces threats through the integration of advanced technologies that fuse biometrics, credentials, and other identity-centric data used for continuously monitor trust. In addition, it provides secure network services, including secure mobility solutions for business and government that enable remote work and minimize operational and security concern across and beyond the enterprises; and network management and defense services for operating, administrating, and defending complex enterprise networks and defensive cyber operations. It serves to the United States federal government, large commercial businesses, state and local governments, and international customers. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Ashburn, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelos generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its cybersecurity software and services to government agencies and commercial enterprises. The company charges licensing fees for its software products, subscription fees for ongoing access to its services, and consulting fees for its expertise in cybersecurity. Additionally, Telos has established strategic partnerships with other technology providers and government contractors, which helps expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. These partnerships, along with a focus on long-term contracts with federal agencies, contribute significantly to the company's financial stability and growth.

Telos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Telos Corporation reported strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and successful product launches. While there are challenges due to the government shutdown and potential margin fluctuations, the company's robust growth outlook and strategic expansions indicate a positive trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 116% year-over-year to $51.4 million, exceeding the guidance range of $44 million to $47 million. This growth was driven by Telos ID programs.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $10.1 million, significantly above the guidance range of $4 million to $5.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.6%.
Launch of Xacta.ai
Telos launched the Xacta.ai product in early October and secured its first enterprise customer. Xacta.ai provides significant efficiency improvements in cybersecurity tasks.
Expansion of TSA PreCheck Locations
Telos achieved its objective of reaching 500 TSA PreCheck enrollment locations, now operating at 504 locations across 41 states and Puerto Rico.
Improved Financial Outlook
The company raised its outlook for the second half of 2025, reflecting higher revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA margin.
Negative Updates
Potential Impact of Government Shutdown
The federal government shutdown caused delays in awards and other administrative activities. This could affect short-term revenue and award timelines.
Revenue Mix Impact on Margins
Cash gross margin is expected to decrease to 40%-41% in the fourth quarter due to normal quarterly fluctuations in revenue mix.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Telos Corporation reported significant financial achievements, with revenue surging 116% year-over-year to $51.4 million, surpassing the guidance range of $44 million to $47 million. This growth was primarily driven by Telos ID. The company achieved a GAAP gross margin of 39.9% and a cash gross margin of 44.8%, both exceeding previous expectations. Adjusted EBITDA reached $10.1 million, well above the forecasted range of $4 million to $5.7 million, yielding an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.6%. Telos also generated robust operating and free cash flows of $9.1 million and $6.6 million, respectively, and executed a share repurchase of approximately $3.6 million. Looking ahead, for the fourth quarter, Telos anticipates revenue growth of 67% to 76% year-over-year, projecting revenue between $44 million and $46.3 million, with cash gross margins expected to be slightly lower, reflecting normal quarterly fluctuations.

Telos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telos is experiencing strong revenue growth, but profitability and cash flow management are significant challenges. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with low leverage, yet the negative return on equity and persistent losses indicate a need for strategic improvements in cost control and operational efficiency to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Telos has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 23.7% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory in sales. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin is moderate at 38.3%, but the persistent negative net profit margin of -20.5% highlights ongoing challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.053, suggesting limited leverage and financial risk. However, the negative return on equity of -24.1% indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Telos has improved its operating cash flow to net income ratio to 0.31, showing better cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative at -338.97%, indicating challenges in maintaining positive cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.57 suggests some ability to cover net income with free cash flow, but overall cash flow management remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue144.40M108.27M145.38M216.89M242.43M179.92M
Gross Profit55.28M34.43M52.94M79.04M86.03M62.42M
EBITDA-20.30M-39.98M-24.17M-46.61M-36.76M19.41M
Net Income-29.57M-52.52M-34.42M-53.43M-43.13M1.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.28M158.24M208.70M237.40M246.08M188.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.05M54.58M99.26M119.31M126.56M106.05M
Total Debt6.38M10.15M11.47M21.69M15.25M17.26M
Total Liabilities44.61M31.10M49.70M65.04M65.83M61.38M
Stockholders Equity119.67M127.14M159.00M172.35M180.25M127.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.61M-28.19M-13.89M2.79M-5.91M-9.56M
Operating Cash Flow11.68M-25.94M1.59M16.51M7.26M-2.10M
Investing Cash Flow-11.48M-16.76M-15.48M-13.72M-19.09M-7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-10.92M-1.98M-6.15M-9.91M32.35M108.86M

Telos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.75
Price Trends
50DMA
6.72
Negative
100DMA
5.63
Positive
200DMA
4.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
41.09
Neutral
STOCH
41.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.26, below the 50-day MA of 6.72, and above the 200-day MA of 4.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TLS.

Telos Risk Analysis

Telos disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Telos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$256.18M27.6110.22%2.97%-5.74%
64
Neutral
$485.84M29.4910.27%2.48%0.68%-67.84%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
52
Neutral
$424.09M-23.73%17.44%41.97%
46
Neutral
$271.14M47.8113.73%91.66%7.52%
44
Neutral
$293.55M-15.87%-12.45%-142.77%
38
Underperform
$240.26M-2.85-4.93%18.65%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLS
Telos
5.78
2.33
67.54%
III
Information Services Group
5.38
1.74
47.80%
HCKT
The Hackett Group
18.47
-12.51
-40.38%
UIS
Unisys
2.64
-5.62
-68.04%
CNDT
Conduent
1.94
-2.20
-53.14%
TSSI
TSS
9.63
-1.38
-12.53%

Telos Corporate Events

Telos Corporation Reports Robust Q3 Earnings
Nov 12, 2025

Telos Corporation’s recent earnings call revealed a strong financial performance, characterized by significant revenue growth and successful product launches. Despite challenges such as the government shutdown and potential margin fluctuations, the company maintains a positive growth outlook, bolstered by strategic expansions and a robust trajectory.

Telos Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 11, 2025

Telos Corporation is a prominent provider of cybersecurity, cloud, and enterprise security solutions, catering to highly security-conscious organizations across commercial, regulated, and government sectors globally.

Financial Disclosures
Telos Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Telos Corporation reported its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 11, 2025, leading to a favorable response in its stock price. The company has reassured investors that it has no current plans to raise capital through dilutive securities, citing its strong liquidity position with $57 million in cash and cash equivalents, no outstanding debt, and expected positive cash flow for the remainder of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TLS) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telos stock, see the TLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025