tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Telos (TLS)
NASDAQ:TLS
US Market

Telos (TLS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
416 Followers

Top Page

TL

Telos

(NASDAQ:TLS)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-2.28%Downside)
Telos faces significant financial challenges, with a notable decline in revenue and persistent profitability issues, which are the primary concerns impacting the stock score. While recent earnings showed positive growth and cash flow improvements, concerns about future margin contraction and negative EBITDA guidance persist. Technical analysis suggests moderate positive momentum but is overshadowed by high volatility. Despite strong shareholder support at the recent meeting, the overall outlook is cautious given underlying financial difficulties.
Positive Factors
Earnings
TLS reported upside to our forecast in the fourth quarter, and the Security Solutions business is better positioned for future growth, particularly due to the ramp-up of the large DMDC contract.
Program Expansion
TLS is benefiting from the ongoing ramp of the TSA program as well as the DMDC program.
Revenue Growth
Security Solutions revenue grew by 39% year-over-year, indicating a strong performance in this segment.
Negative Factors
Government Spending
The government is exhibiting caution on spend, which impacts new business opportunities for TLS.
Revenue Guidance
1Q Revenue guidance came in slightly below consensus, raising concerns about future performance.
Secure Networks
Secure Networks revenues declined significantly primarily due to contract run-offs, affecting overall financial performance.

Telos (TLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelos Corporation (TLS) is a leading provider of cyber, cloud, and enterprise security solutions for businesses, government agencies, and other organizations. The company specializes in cybersecurity services, IT risk management, secure mobility, and identity management solutions, enabling its clients to protect their critical assets and maintain secure and resilient operations. With a strong focus on innovation, Telos offers a comprehensive suite of services designed to address the complex security challenges faced by its customers in an increasingly digital world.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelos Corporation generates revenue through the sale of cybersecurity solutions and services, primarily focusing on government contracts and business enterprises. Key revenue streams include the provision of software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, consulting services, and managed security services. Telos's partnerships with technology providers and its long-standing relationships with federal agencies significantly contribute to its earnings. The company also benefits from recurring revenue models associated with its software and service contracts, providing a steady income stream from its diverse client base.

Telos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Telos Corporation demonstrated strong sequential revenue growth and positive cash flow, primarily driven by security solutions and TSA PreCheck expansion. However, there are concerns about the contraction in secure networks and expected margin pressure in the upcoming quarters. Overall, the company is on a growth trajectory but faces challenges in maintaining margins.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sequential Revenue Growth
Total company revenue grew 16% sequentially to $30.6 million, with security solutions growing 18% sequentially and secure networks growing 8% sequentially.
GAAP and Cash Gross Margin Improvement
GAAP gross margin expanded 278 basis points to 39.8%, and cash gross margin expanded 313 basis points to 45.3%.
Positive Cash Flow from Operations
Cash flow from operations was a positive $6.1 million, and free cash flow was a positive $3.8 million.
Growth in Security Solutions
Security solutions revenue increased from 63% of total company revenue in Q1 2024 to 84% in Q1 2025, driven by the DMDC program and TSA PreCheck enrollment.
Expansion of TSA PreCheck Enrollment Centers
73 new TSA PreCheck locations added in nine weeks, totaling 291 locations, with a target of 500 by the end of 2025.
Negative Updates
Contraction in Secure Networks
Secure networks contracted due to the completion and ramp down of multiple programs over the past several quarters.
Margin Contraction Expected
GAAP gross margin is expected to decline to 32% to 33.5% in Q2 2025 due to the rapid growth of lower margin programs in security solutions.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for Q2
Forecasted adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.1 million to $600,000 for Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Telos Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported exceeding expectations in several key financial metrics. Revenue for the quarter was $30.6 million, reflecting a 16% sequential growth, with security solutions growing by 18% to $25.8 million and secure networks by 8% to $4.8 million. The company achieved a GAAP gross margin of 39.8% and a cash gross margin of 45.3%, surpassing guidance due to a favorable mix. Adjusted EBITDA was reported as a $362,000 profit, better than the expected loss range of $1.8 million to $800,000. Additionally, cash flow from operations was a positive $6.1 million with free cash flow at $3.8 million. For the second quarter, Telos forecasts revenue growth of 14% to 21% year-over-year, driven largely by security solutions, while secure networks are expected to contract. The full-year outlook remains unchanged, with expectations of revenue contributions from existing business, TSA PreCheck enrollment, and new business wins.

Telos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telos faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and sustained net losses despite a strong equity position. Negative cash flows indicate potential liquidity issues, and strategic adjustments may be needed to enhance revenue growth and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Telos shows a declining revenue trend with a significant drop from $242.4M in 2021 to $109.3M in the TTM period. The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the years. Despite a gross profit margin of approximately 32.6% in TTM, the substantial net losses indicate challenges in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of about 79.8% in TTM, signifying financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 suggests low leverage, which could limit growth opportunities. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing net losses impacting shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Telos faces challenges with cash flow generation, evident from negative operating and free cash flows in recent periods. The company has shown negative free cash flow growth, reflecting operational inefficiencies or high capital expenditure relative to cash inflows, which could strain liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.27M108.27M145.38M216.89M242.43M179.92M
Gross Profit35.65M34.43M52.94M79.04M86.03M62.42M
EBITDA-43.17M-39.98M-24.17M-46.61M-36.76M19.41M
Net Income-53.75M-52.52M-34.42M-53.43M-43.13M6.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.49M158.24M208.70M237.40M246.08M183.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.00K54.58M99.26M119.31M126.56M106.05M
Total Debt33.01M10.15M11.47M21.69M15.25M17.26M
Total Liabilities205.25M31.10M49.70M65.04M65.83M56.71M
Stockholders Equity-138.13M127.14M159.00M172.35M180.25M127.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.96M-28.19M-13.89M2.79M-5.91M-9.56M
Operating Cash Flow-19.48M-25.94M1.59M16.51M7.26M-2.10M
Investing Cash Flow-14.95M-16.76M-15.48M-13.72M-19.09M-7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-1.69M-1.98M-6.15M-9.91M32.35M108.86M

Telos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.07
Price Trends
50DMA
2.68
Positive
100DMA
2.74
Positive
200DMA
3.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
70.57
Negative
STOCH
83.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.81, above the 50-day MA of 2.68, and below the 200-day MA of 3.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TLS.

Telos Risk Analysis

Telos disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Telos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IIIII
68
Neutral
$240.54M32.478.09%3.61%-12.26%
68
Neutral
$708.08M79.72137.01%262.87%873.76%
56
Neutral
$126.64M40,175.00-3.16%1.00%-11.53%-128.96%
54
Neutral
$238.21M-73.85%1.20%-9.86%-2426.25%
TLTLS
52
Neutral
$225.60M-38.32%-21.83%-67.07%
49
Neutral
C$2.91B2.04-80.91%2.67%12.55%-24.32%
44
Neutral
$295.26M-60.08%2.44%9.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLS
Telos
3.25
-0.44
-11.92%
DMRC
Digimarc
13.70
-17.18
-55.63%
III
Information Services Group
5.11
2.24
78.05%
TTEC
TTEC Holdings
5.17
-0.46
-8.17%
CSPI
CSP
12.06
-3.30
-21.48%
TSSI
TSS
28.09
25.32
914.08%

Telos Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Telos Announces Resignation of Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Victoria Harding announced her resignation as Controller and Chief Accounting Officer of Telos Corporation, effective May 30, 2025, to pursue a new professional opportunity. The company will begin searching for her replacement, with Assistant Controller Brian Bienert stepping in as Interim Controller in the meantime.

The most recent analyst rating on (TLS) stock is a Buy with a $3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telos stock, see the TLS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Telos Corporation Holds Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
Positive
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Telos Corporation held its annual stockholders’ meeting where four key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, approved an amendment to the 2016 Omnibus Long-Term Incentive Plan, and endorsed the compensation of the named executive officers. Each proposal received the necessary affirmative votes, indicating strong support from the stockholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025