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Conduent (CNDT)
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Conduent (CNDT) AI Stock Analysis

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CNDT

Conduent

(NASDAQ:CNDT)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-19.68% Downside)
Conduent's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges. The most impactful factors are the declining financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While there are some positive developments in the Transportation segment and AI initiatives, these are overshadowed by broader revenue declines and liquidity issues. The high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, further impacting the stock's attractiveness.

Conduent (CNDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conduent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConduent Incorporated (CNDT) is a leading provider of diversified business services, specializing in digital transformation solutions for government and commercial clients. The company operates across various sectors including healthcare, transportation, and customer experience management. Conduent offers a wide range of services such as business process outsourcing, transaction processing, and information technology services, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and improve customer engagement for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyConduent generates revenue primarily through its business process outsourcing (BPO) services, which include handling customer interactions, processing transactions, and managing back-office functions for clients. The company has key revenue streams from sectors such as healthcare, where it provides services like claims processing and member management, as well as from transportation services including tolling and fleet management solutions. Additionally, Conduent earns revenue from technology solutions that support data analytics and digital platforms. Significant partnerships with government agencies and large corporations further enhance its earnings potential, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and recurring revenue. The company's focus on digital transformation and automation also positions it to capitalize on trends in outsourcing and technology adoption.

Conduent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with notable achievements in the Transportation segment and AI initiatives. However, the company faced challenges with revenue declines in the Commercial and Government segments, alongside negative free cash flow. Efforts to expand sales and improve margins show promise, but significant hurdles remain.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transportation Segment Growth
Transportation segment adjusted revenue was $162 million for the quarter, an increase of 14.9% year-over-year. Both revenue and EBITDA improvements were driven by strong equipment sales in the international transit business.
AI Initiatives and Software Licensing
Conduent has begun licensing software with built-in AI, demonstrating they are not just a services company but have proprietary intellectual property. They have also launched an AI experience center in New Jersey.
New Business Growth
New business TCV was up 5% versus the prior year at $246 million. The Transportation business saw a 320% year-to-date increase in sales compared to 2024.
Improved EBITDA and Margin
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $40 million, a year-over-year increase, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.2%, up from 4.1% in Q3 2024.
Negative Updates
Commercial Segment Revenue Decline
Commercial segment adjusted revenue was $367 million, down 4.7% compared to Q3 2024, primarily due to volume declines in the largest Commercial client.
Government Segment Revenue Decline
Government segment adjusted revenue for the quarter was down 6.7% at $238 million, attributed to the completion of several implementations and delays in current implementations.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was negative $54 million, impacted by timing issues with contract amendments and billing approvals from federal government agencies.
Revenue Decline
Adjusted revenue for Q3 2025 was $767 million compared to $781 million in Q3 2024, down 1.8% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Conduent Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported adjusted revenue of $767 million, slightly up sequentially and in line with their growth objectives. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $40 million, with a margin of 5.2%, indicating a year-over-year improvement from 4.1% in Q3 2024. New business annual contract value (ACV) was $111 million, consistent with the prior year, and new business total contract value (TCV) increased by 5% to $246 million. The qualified ACV pipeline grew by 9% year-over-year to $3.4 billion, driven by the Government segment. Commercial segment revenue declined by 4.7% to $367 million, while the Government segment saw a 6.7% decrease to $238 million. However, the Transportation segment experienced a 14.9% growth in revenue to $162 million. Despite a negative adjusted free cash flow of $54 million, the company remains confident in achieving their adjusted EBITDA margin target of between 5% and 5.5% for the year, with expectations of adjusted revenue between $3.05 billion and $3.1 billion.

Conduent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conduent faces financial challenges with declining revenue and negative cash flows. Despite improved leverage, substantial debt and operational inefficiencies persist. Strategic initiatives are needed to enhance revenue and cash flow.
Income Statement
Conduent has faced declining revenue over the past years, with a notable drop from $4.163 billion in 2020 to $3.186 billion TTM. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly, indicating cost pressures. TTM net profit margin stands at 8.66%, recovering from previous losses. However, negative EBIT reflects operational challenges. The company needs to address declining revenue and improve operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over time, from 1.44 in 2020 to 1.05 in TTM, suggesting better leverage management. However, total debt remains significant, and equity has decreased. The equity ratio of 31.60% TTM shows moderate financial stability. Conduent must manage its liabilities carefully to improve financial health.
Cash Flow
Conduent's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows in TTM. The free cash flow growth rate is concerning, and the company relies on financing activities to support cash requirements. Improving cash generation from operations is crucial to avoid liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.11B3.36B3.72B3.86B4.14B4.16B
Gross Profit511.00M626.00M570.00M840.00M1.00B954.00M
EBITDA223.00M783.00M43.00M187.00M382.00M380.00M
Net Income20.00M426.00M-296.00M-182.00M-28.00M-118.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.60B3.16B3.57B4.04B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.00M366.00M498.00M582.00M415.00M450.00M
Total Debt755.00M829.00M1.49B1.47B1.60B1.72B
Total Liabilities1.57B1.61B2.39B2.65B2.90B3.07B
Stockholders Equity919.00M981.00M771.00M917.00M1.13B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-50.00M-106.00M-4.00M-9.00M96.00M22.00M
Operating Cash Flow-45.00M-50.00M89.00M144.00M243.00M161.00M
Investing Cash Flow257.00M795.00M-93.00M173.00M-142.00M-134.00M
Financing Cash Flow-226.00M-877.00M-81.00M-131.00M-132.00M-74.00M

Conduent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.49
Price Trends
50DMA
2.66
Negative
100DMA
2.65
Negative
200DMA
2.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
30.46
Neutral
STOCH
5.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNDT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.45, below the 50-day MA of 2.66, and below the 200-day MA of 2.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNDT.

Conduent Risk Analysis

Conduent disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conduent reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conduent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.70B12.7521.86%1.73%7.37%-14.64%
64
Neutral
$485.84M29.4910.27%2.48%0.68%-67.84%
64
Neutral
$1.14B18.8712.49%19.04%24.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
46
Neutral
$364.92M72.082.21%-14.36%-73.74%
46
Neutral
$386.30M-93.23%14.12%3.67%29.09%
38
Underperform
$240.26M-2.85-4.93%18.65%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNDT
Conduent
2.22
-1.88
-45.85%
G
Genpact
38.39
-6.88
-15.20%
HCKT
The Hackett Group
18.77
-11.72
-38.44%
UIS
Unisys
2.69
-5.38
-66.67%
XRX
Xerox
3.01
-5.32
-63.87%
TASK
TaskUs
12.49
-6.45
-34.05%

Conduent Corporate Events

Conduent’s Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Strategic Advances
Nov 8, 2025

Conduent Incorporated is a global technology-driven business process solutions and services company, operating across commercial, government, and transportation sectors, known for leveraging advanced technologies to enhance client operations and customer experiences. In its third quarter of 2025 earnings report, Conduent announced a revenue of $767 million, with a pre-tax loss of $38 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.2%. The company highlighted its successful debt refinancing and new business signings worth $111 million in annual contract value. Conduent’s financial performance showed a year-over-year decline in revenue by 5%, but an improvement in adjusted EBITDA by 25% compared to the previous year. The company also reported significant technological advancements, including the integration of generative AI into its government solutions and the expansion of its operations in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Conduent remains focused on cash generation, expanding pipeline opportunities, and maintaining liquidity, with a positive outlook on achieving its capital allocation target and continuing to deliver value to shareholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Conduent Reports Q3 Financial Results with Key Milestones
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Conduent announced its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a revenue of $767 million and a pre-tax loss of $38 million. The company achieved significant milestones, including debt refinancing, AI enhancements, and new business signings, despite challenges like government funding cycles and a federal shutdown. Conduent’s focus on operational efficiency led to improved Adjusted EBITDA margins, and it remains committed to cash generation and expanding opportunities within its client base.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNDT) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conduent stock, see the CNDT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Conduent Appoints Michael J. Fucci to Board
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Conduent Incorporated announced the election of Michael J. Fucci, former Executive Chairman of Deloitte U.S. LLP, to its Board of Directors, effective October 27, 2025. Fucci brings over 40 years of leadership experience, having played a pivotal role in Deloitte’s growth and governance. His appointment is expected to provide strategic insight and support Conduent’s growth strategy, enhancing value for shareholders, clients, and associates.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNDT) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conduent stock, see the CNDT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Conduent Restructures, EVP Michael McDaniel Departs
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Conduent Incorporated announced the termination of Michael McDaniel, Executive Vice President of Commercial Solutions, as part of a restructuring effort to eliminate a management layer. This decision, effective October 7, 2025, aligns with the company’s restructuring strategy, and Mr. McDaniel will receive severance benefits according to the company’s policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNDT) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conduent stock, see the CNDT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Conduent Completes Strategic Refinancing to Support Growth
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Conduent announced the successful completion of a refinancing of its existing term loan and revolving credit agreements. This refinancing includes the full prepayment of the Term A Loans, a reduction in the revolving credit facility, and the introduction of a new performance letter of credit facility. The refinancing is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Conduent’s financial foundation and support future growth, as stated by CFO Giles Goodburn. The transaction is expected to provide the right mix of debt instruments to support the company’s operations and capital allocation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNDT) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conduent stock, see the CNDT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025