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Conduent (CNDT)
:CNDT

Conduent (CNDT) AI Stock Analysis

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CNDT

Conduent

(NASDAQ:CNDT)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-19.68% Downside)
Conduent's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability pressures. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics indicate overvaluation. While there are positive developments in the earnings call and corporate events, these are overshadowed by the company's financial and operational hurdles.
Positive Factors
Transportation Segment Growth
The growth in the Transportation segment highlights Conduent's ability to capitalize on international transit opportunities, indicating strong market demand and operational execution that can drive future revenue and margin expansion.
AI Initiatives and Software Licensing
By integrating AI into its offerings, Conduent is enhancing its competitive edge and diversifying its revenue streams, which can lead to sustainable growth and increased market differentiation.
New Business Growth
The increase in new business contract value reflects Conduent's successful client acquisition and retention strategies, which are crucial for long-term revenue stability and growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue indicates ongoing challenges in maintaining sales momentum across key segments, which could hinder long-term growth and profitability if not addressed.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests liquidity issues and limits Conduent's ability to invest in growth initiatives or manage debt, potentially impacting financial stability.
Government Segment Revenue Decline
The decline in government segment revenue due to implementation delays highlights operational challenges that could affect future contract renewals and revenue consistency.

Conduent (CNDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conduent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConduent Incorporated (CNDT) is a leading provider of technology-enabled business services, focusing on delivering innovative solutions to various sectors, including government, healthcare, transportation, and customer care. The company specializes in digital platforms and services that streamline operations, enhance user experiences, and drive efficiencies. Core offerings include managed services, business process outsourcing, and software solutions that cater to the needs of clients across different industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyConduent generates revenue primarily through a combination of service contracts, transaction-based fees, and software licensing. Key revenue streams include business process services, where the company manages operations for clients, particularly in sectors like healthcare and government. Additionally, Conduent earns money from technology solutions that offer software for data management, analytics, and customer engagement. The company also participates in performance-based contracts, where revenues are linked to the success of the services provided. Significant partnerships with government agencies and large corporations further enhance their earnings by providing stable, long-term contracts and access to a broader client base.

Conduent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with notable achievements in the Transportation segment and AI initiatives. However, the company faced challenges with revenue declines in the Commercial and Government segments, alongside negative free cash flow. Efforts to expand sales and improve margins show promise, but significant hurdles remain.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transportation Segment Growth
Transportation segment adjusted revenue was $162 million for the quarter, an increase of 14.9% year-over-year. Both revenue and EBITDA improvements were driven by strong equipment sales in the international transit business.
AI Initiatives and Software Licensing
Conduent has begun licensing software with built-in AI, demonstrating they are not just a services company but have proprietary intellectual property. They have also launched an AI experience center in New Jersey.
New Business Growth
New business TCV was up 5% versus the prior year at $246 million. The Transportation business saw a 320% year-to-date increase in sales compared to 2024.
Improved EBITDA and Margin
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $40 million, a year-over-year increase, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.2%, up from 4.1% in Q3 2024.
Negative Updates
Commercial Segment Revenue Decline
Commercial segment adjusted revenue was $367 million, down 4.7% compared to Q3 2024, primarily due to volume declines in the largest Commercial client.
Government Segment Revenue Decline
Government segment adjusted revenue for the quarter was down 6.7% at $238 million, attributed to the completion of several implementations and delays in current implementations.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was negative $54 million, impacted by timing issues with contract amendments and billing approvals from federal government agencies.
Revenue Decline
Adjusted revenue for Q3 2025 was $767 million compared to $781 million in Q3 2024, down 1.8% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Conduent Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported adjusted revenue of $767 million, slightly up sequentially and in line with their growth objectives. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $40 million, with a margin of 5.2%, indicating a year-over-year improvement from 4.1% in Q3 2024. New business annual contract value (ACV) was $111 million, consistent with the prior year, and new business total contract value (TCV) increased by 5% to $246 million. The qualified ACV pipeline grew by 9% year-over-year to $3.4 billion, driven by the Government segment. Commercial segment revenue declined by 4.7% to $367 million, while the Government segment saw a 6.7% decrease to $238 million. However, the Transportation segment experienced a 14.9% growth in revenue to $162 million. Despite a negative adjusted free cash flow of $54 million, the company remains confident in achieving their adjusted EBITDA margin target of between 5% and 5.5% for the year, with expectations of adjusted revenue between $3.05 billion and $3.1 billion.

Conduent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conduent faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability pressures evident in the income statement. The balance sheet shows improved leverage but reduced returns for equity holders. Cash flow issues persist, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, indicating liquidity constraints. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash generation to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Conduent's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.29% TTM. The gross profit margin has decreased from 18.65% in 2024 to 16.42% TTM, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin has turned negative TTM, reflecting a challenging operating environment. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82 TTM, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has significantly decreased to 2.07% TTM, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow TTM, indicating liquidity challenges. Although free cash flow has improved by 20% TTM, it remains negative, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash generation issues, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in managing cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.07B3.36B3.72B3.86B4.14B4.16B
Gross Profit544.00M626.00M834.00M840.00M1.00B954.00M
EBITDA38.00M76.00M240.00M187.00M382.00M424.00M
Net Income-149.00M426.00M-296.00M-182.00M-28.00M-118.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.50B2.60B3.16B3.57B4.04B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments264.00M366.00M498.00M582.00M415.00M450.00M
Total Debt882.00M829.00M1.49B1.53B1.67B1.80B
Total Liabilities1.64B1.61B2.53B2.65B2.90B3.07B
Stockholders Equity859.00M981.00M629.00M917.00M1.13B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.00M-106.00M-4.00M-9.00M163.00M22.00M
Operating Cash Flow-71.00M-50.00M89.00M144.00M243.00M161.00M
Investing Cash Flow28.00M795.00M-93.00M173.00M-142.00M-134.00M
Financing Cash Flow-96.00M-877.00M-81.00M-131.00M-132.00M-74.00M

Conduent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.49
Price Trends
50DMA
2.21
Negative
100DMA
2.46
Negative
200DMA
2.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
47.56
Neutral
STOCH
64.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNDT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.95, above the 50-day MA of 2.21, and below the 200-day MA of 2.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNDT.

Conduent Risk Analysis

Conduent disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conduent reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conduent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.24B15.4022.32%1.44%7.40%-14.45%
65
Neutral
$542.07M51.7810.27%2.37%0.68%-67.84%
62
Neutral
$1.10B13.6515.40%19.88%51.03%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
47
Neutral
$305.78M-2.02-15.87%-12.45%-142.77%
45
Neutral
$208.93M-0.62-4.93%18.65%
39
Underperform
$334.18M-0.35-93.23%15.45%3.67%29.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNDT
Conduent
2.01
-2.31
-53.47%
G
Genpact
47.35
4.72
11.07%
HCKT
The Hackett Group
19.86
-11.59
-36.85%
UIS
Unisys
2.88
-3.92
-57.65%
XRX
Xerox
2.75
-5.30
-65.84%
TASK
TaskUs
11.94
-5.32
-30.82%

Conduent Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Conduent Reports Q3 Financial Results with Key Milestones
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Conduent announced its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a revenue of $767 million and a pre-tax loss of $38 million. The company achieved significant milestones, including debt refinancing, AI enhancements, and new business signings, despite challenges like government funding cycles and a federal shutdown. Conduent’s focus on operational efficiency led to improved Adjusted EBITDA margins, and it remains committed to cash generation and expanding opportunities within its client base.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Conduent Appoints Michael J. Fucci to Board
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Conduent Incorporated announced the election of Michael J. Fucci, former Executive Chairman of Deloitte U.S. LLP, to its Board of Directors, effective October 27, 2025. Fucci brings over 40 years of leadership experience, having played a pivotal role in Deloitte’s growth and governance. His appointment is expected to provide strategic insight and support Conduent’s growth strategy, enhancing value for shareholders, clients, and associates.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Conduent Restructures, EVP Michael McDaniel Departs
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Conduent Incorporated announced the termination of Michael McDaniel, Executive Vice President of Commercial Solutions, as part of a restructuring effort to eliminate a management layer. This decision, effective October 7, 2025, aligns with the company’s restructuring strategy, and Mr. McDaniel will receive severance benefits according to the company’s policy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025