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Xerox (XRX)
NASDAQ:XRX
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Xerox (XRX) AI Stock Analysis

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XRX

Xerox

(NASDAQ:XRX)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-8.05% Downside)
Xerox's overall stock score reflects significant financial and valuation challenges, leading to a low rating. The company's strategic initiatives, including acquisitions, offer potential upside but are overshadowed by declining revenues and high financial leverage. The bearish technical indicators further contribute to a negative outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The acquisition of ITsavvy broadens Xerox’s IT infrastructure capabilities and is expected to improve purchasing power and support margin expansion.
Cost Management
Project Reinvention is a multi-year strategy aimed at streamlining operations and driving long-term growth, with significant cost savings achieved and expected.
Profitability and Leverage
Leverage reduction will be fueled by higher profitability of Lexmark and a better balance sheet.
Negative Factors
Core Print Revenue
There is an expectation of a mid-single digit decline in core Print revenue, driven by secular headwinds such as the disintermediation of physical print by digital alternatives.
Earnings
Recent announcements from Xerox include an underwhelming earnings print and a cut to its dividend.
Strategic Complexity
The acquisition will raise many questions when put in context of the recent challenges and strategic actions taken by Xerox recently, including adding the complexity of a large acquisition to enact a transformation that was largely focused on reduction of complexity and costs.

Xerox (XRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xerox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXerox Holdings Corporation (XRX) is a multinational corporation that specializes in printing and document management solutions. Founded in 1906, Xerox operates primarily in the technology sector, providing a range of products and services including digital printing systems, managed print services, and document management software. The company serves various industries, including education, healthcare, and government, with a focus on innovative solutions that enhance productivity and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyXerox generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of hardware, such as printers and multifunction devices, and the sale of consumables like toner and ink. Managed print services, which involve optimizing a company's printing environment to reduce costs and increase efficiency, also contribute significantly to its revenue. Additionally, Xerox earns income from software solutions that improve document workflow and management. The company has formed strategic partnerships with other tech firms and service providers to enhance its offerings and access new markets, further bolstering its financial performance.

Xerox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful strategic moves such as the Lexmark acquisition and strong performance in the IT Solutions segment, which were countered by challenges in print revenue, declining operating income margin, tariff and tax issues, and negative free cash flow. The outlook includes cautious optimism with expected synergies from acquisitions and strategic cost reductions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Lexmark Acquisition Completed
The closing of the Lexmark acquisition in early July marked an important milestone in Xerox's Reinvention strategy. The integration is progressing well with expected cost synergies increased to over $250 million from the original estimate of $200 million, all realizable within the next two years.
IT Solutions Segment Growth
Strong demand for cloud enablement services led to IT Solutions revenue and gross profit increasing by more than 150% year-over-year. Pro forma for the acquisition of ITsavvy, IT Solutions gross billings increased by 8% year-over-year.
Cost Control and Reduction
Xerox achieved a 12% year-over-year reduction in operating expenses excluding certain costs, contributing to cost control efforts that offset some revenue declines.
Debt Reduction Strategy
The Lexmark acquisition was funded primarily with debt but resulted in a lower gross debt leverage ratio. The company plans to repay debt using improved free cash flow and proceeds from the reduction of finance receivables.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Print Segment
Q2 print equipment sales declined 5.6% in actual currency and 6.7% in constant currency. Total equipment installations declined 12% due to softer demand in April and May.
Adjusted Operating Income Margin Decline
Adjusted operating income margin of 3.7% was lower year-over-year by 170 basis points due to lower gross profit and higher interest expenses.
Challenges with Tariffs and Tax Rate
The company faced $30 million to $35 million of tariff charges net of mitigation efforts, and the adjusted tax rate was significantly higher at 528% due to an inability to deduct certain losses and expenses.
Free Cash Flow Usage
Free cash flow was a use of $30 million in Q2, reflecting fewer-than-expected proceeds from the sale of finance receivables and other factors.
Company Guidance
During the Xerox Holdings Corporation Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Conference Call, CEO Steve Bandrowczak provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company reported revenue of approximately $1.58 billion, which was flat year-over-year in actual currency but declined by 1.1% in constant currency. Adjusted operating income margin stood at 3.7%, marking a decrease of 170 basis points compared to the previous year. Free cash flow was a negative $30 million, attributed partly to delays in finance receivables sales. Additionally, adjusted loss per share was $0.64, a decline of $0.93 from the previous year, primarily due to an unfavorable tax rate. The company emphasized the strategic benefits expected from its Reinvention initiatives and the recent Lexmark acquisition, projecting cost synergies to exceed $250 million within two years. Looking ahead, Xerox anticipates 16% to 17% revenue growth for the full fiscal year 2025, driven by the integration of Lexmark, despite some conservative assumptions regarding equipment demand stability.

Xerox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xerox faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability. Despite a stable cash flow, high financial leverage and negative profit margins indicate operational inefficiencies. The financial performance needs improvement to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Xerox has faced declining revenues and profitability, with significant drops in gross and net profit margins over the TTM. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating challenges in maintaining sales. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in the TTM highlight operational inefficiencies and financial challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting a significant level of financial leverage. The equity ratio has decreased over time, indicating reduced equity in proportion to total assets. Return on equity is negative due to the net loss, showing a lack of profitability for shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Xerox's cash flow remains relatively stable, with positive operating and free cash flow, despite negative net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating strong cash generation relative to reported earnings losses. However, free cash flow growth has been negative, signifying potential challenges in sustaining cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.17B6.22B6.89B7.11B7.04B7.02B
Gross Profit1.86B1.96B2.31B2.32B2.40B2.63B
EBITDA-794.00M-822.00M307.00M47.00M695.00M718.00M
Net Income-1.42B-1.32B1.00M-322.00M-455.00M192.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.87B8.37B10.01B11.54B13.22B14.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments449.00M576.00M519.00M1.04B1.84B2.63B
Total Debt3.94B3.59B3.46B3.96B4.54B4.79B
Total Liabilities7.52B7.06B7.24B7.97B8.56B8.93B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.29B2.75B3.56B4.65B5.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow302.00M467.00M649.00M102.00M561.00M474.00M
Operating Cash Flow367.00M511.00M686.00M159.00M629.00M548.00M
Investing Cash Flow-191.00M-198.00M-5.00M-78.00M-85.00M-246.00M
Financing Cash Flow263.00M-271.00M-1.20B-822.00M-1.31B-416.00M

Xerox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.35
Price Trends
50DMA
5.14
Negative
100DMA
4.93
Negative
200DMA
6.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
41.65
Neutral
STOCH
35.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.90, below the 50-day MA of 5.14, and below the 200-day MA of 6.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XRX.

Xerox Risk Analysis

Xerox disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xerox reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xerox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$28.89B20.1816.50%3.03%-1.95%62.75%
68
Neutral
$2.37B6.4612.60%-4.93%497.03%
61
Neutral
$36.32B7.12-7.26%1.97%7.79%-9.36%
52
Neutral
$272.34M192.24%-1.53%78.84%
50
Neutral
$412.31M82.792.21%-14.36%-73.74%
48
Neutral
$531.00M-72.72%14.94%-4.99%-1016.81%
47
Neutral
$6.84B24.2026.55%-3.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XRX
Xerox
4.35
-4.80
-52.46%
UIS
Unisys
3.99
-0.49
-10.94%
WIT
Wipro
2.73
-0.09
-3.19%
CNDT
Conduent
2.55
-0.66
-20.56%
DXC
DXC Technology
13.89
-5.46
-28.22%
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
30.55
7.39
31.91%

Xerox Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xerox Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Xerox Holdings Corporation held its annual meeting where shareholders approved several key proposals. These included the election of directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and the advisory approval of the 2024 compensation for named executive officers. Additionally, an amendment to the 2024 Equity and Performance Incentive Plan was approved, indicating continued support for the company’s strategic compensation initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (XRX) stock is a Sell with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xerox stock, see the XRX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2025