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Xerox Corporation (XRX)
NASDAQ:XRX
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Xerox (XRX) AI Stock Analysis

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XRX

Xerox

(NASDAQ:XRX)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(16.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and a highly levered, thin-equity balance sheet, which elevates financial risk. Offsetting factors include positive and improving TTM free cash flow, moderately supportive valuation via the dividend yield, and a cautiously constructive earnings-call outlook driven by reaffirmed guidance, synergy/cost-savings plans, and liquidity actions—though organic demand softness and leverage remain key overhangs.
Positive Factors
Recurring post-sale revenue
Large, growing post-sales revenue demonstrates a durable annuity stream tied to an installed base. Supplies, service and maintenance create recurring cash flows and customer stickiness, cushioning revenue volatility and supporting long-term margin recovery despite equipment cyclicality.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage and thin equity
An extremely leveraged balance sheet with a thin equity cushion materially limits financial flexibility and raises solvency risk. High gross leverage increases interest burden and constrains capital allocation, making the company more vulnerable to demand shocks or execution slippages over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring post-sale revenue
Large, growing post-sales revenue demonstrates a durable annuity stream tied to an installed base. Supplies, service and maintenance create recurring cash flows and customer stickiness, cushioning revenue volatility and supporting long-term margin recovery despite equipment cyclicality.
Read all positive factors

Xerox Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, providing insight into which areas are leading growth and how diversified the company’s income streams are.
Chart InsightsThe late‑2025 jump in both Print and Other and IT Solutions is largely acquisition‑driven (Lexmark), not an organic inflection: reported revenue steps up sharply after mid‑2025 while the core business remained weak on a pro‑forma basis. IT Solutions shows a bookings‑led surge that then partially normalizes, signaling timing volatility in contract conversion. Management is leaning on Lexmark synergies and transformation savings to make these gains sustainable, so watch integration execution, cash‑flow recovery and leverage reduction—otherwise top‑line gains may prove lumpy.
Data provided by:The Fly

Xerox (XRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xerox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Xerox Holdings Corporation, founded in 1906 and headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut, operates as a global leader in workplace technology. The company specializes in creating, evolving, and distributing comprehensive document management and workf...
How the Company Makes Money
Xerox primarily makes money by selling and servicing print and document-related hardware and by providing ongoing services and supplies tied to that installed base. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) equipment sales of office and productio...

Xerox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call contained meaningful positive operational and financial signs: strong reported revenue growth driven by the Lexmark acquisition, meaningful margin expansion (adjusted operating margin +240 bps), improved IT Solutions bookings/billings, stated integration and transformation savings, liquidity actions (IP JV) and reaffirmed 2026 guidance. However, material challenges remain in the underlying organic business (pro forma revenue declined 4%), elevated leverage (~7x pro forma), Q1 negative free cash flow, higher interest expense and component cost pressure (memory and oil). Management presented a credible multi‑quarter plan focused on stabilizing revenue, increasing profitability and reducing leverage and provided clear near‑term initiatives and targets to address the headwinds. Overall, the positives (margin inflection, bookings growth, cost savings plan, liquidity actions and reaffirmed guidance) modestly outweigh the negatives tied to leverage, cash flow and organic demand softness.
Positive Updates
Reported Revenue Growth (Q1 2026)
Total revenue of $1.85 billion, up 27% year‑over‑year on a reported basis and up 24% in constant currency, reflecting Lexmark acquisition contribution; management notes Q1 would have exceeded consensus by approximately $80 million after adjusting for a ~1% pull‑forward benefit.
Negative Updates
Organic/Pro Forma Revenue Decline
On a pro forma basis (adjusting for Lexmark), Q1 revenue declined 4% year‑over‑year (though improved from a 9% organic decline in Q4), signaling the core legacy business has not yet returned to growth.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Reported Revenue Growth (Q1 2026)
Total revenue of $1.85 billion, up 27% year‑over‑year on a reported basis and up 24% in constant currency, reflecting Lexmark acquisition contribution; management notes Q1 would have exceeded consensus by approximately $80 million after adjusting for a ~1% pull‑forward benefit.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Xerox reaffirmed 2026 guidance calling for revenue greater than $7.5 billion and adjusted operating income of $450–$500 million (more than $200 million improvement versus 2025), supported by $250–$300 million of incremental savings in 2026 — including $150–$200 million of Lexmark integration synergies and $100 million of in‑year transformation savings — and free cash flow of approximately $250 million (implying >$400 million of free cash flow for the balance of 2026); management expects gross and net leverage to fall roughly 1.5x by year‑end to about 5.6x and 4.5x TTM EBITDA (pro forma gross leverage was ~7x TTM EBITDA), and noted Q1 results of $1.85 billion revenue, a 3.9% adjusted operating margin, $637 million cash, $4.4 billion total debt (≈$1.4 billion finance‑asset supported; $3.0 billion core), and liquidity raised via a ~$450 million TPG‑Angelo Gordon JV (net >$400 million) alongside opportunistic note repurchases (e.g., $101 million face value of 2028 notes bought for $45 million).

Xerox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are weak despite improving cash generation. Income statement quality is poor with negative operating profit and deeply negative net margin, alongside gross-margin compression versus prior years. The balance sheet is the largest risk: very high leverage against a thin equity base limits resilience and flexibility. Cash flow is a relative positive (positive and growing free cash flow TTM), but coverage versus debt remains modest, keeping overall financial quality below average.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.76B7.02B6.22B6.89B7.11B7.04B
Gross Profit2.17B1.90B1.96B2.31B2.32B2.40B
EBITDA356.00M91.00M-822.00M291.00M36.00M-49.00M
Net Income-925.00M-1.03B-1.32B1.00M-322.00M-455.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.72B9.82B8.37B10.01B11.54B13.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments495.00M512.00M576.00M519.00M1.04B1.84B
Total Debt4.22B4.25B3.59B3.46B3.96B4.54B
Total Liabilities9.17B9.15B7.06B7.24B7.97B8.77B
Stockholders Equity544.00M658.00M1.29B2.75B3.56B4.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow313.00M259.00M467.00M649.00M102.00M561.00M
Operating Cash Flow386.00M350.00M511.00M686.00M159.00M629.00M
Investing Cash Flow-762.00M-698.00M-198.00M-5.00M-78.00M-85.00M
Financing Cash Flow-53.00M278.00M-271.00M-1.20B-822.00M-1.31B

Xerox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.58
Price Trends
50DMA
3.01
Positive
100DMA
2.41
Positive
200DMA
2.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
57.80
Neutral
STOCH
46.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.80, below the 50-day MA of 3.01, and above the 200-day MA of 2.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XRX.

Xerox Risk Analysis

Xerox disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xerox reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xerox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$555.88M5.1921.23%15.95%88.76%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$1.82B14.793.97%-2.42%-65.01%
54
Neutral
$1.50B-1.15-41.80%6.47%3.89%-681.89%
54
Neutral
$2.99B15.8416.40%0.23%-20.13%
52
Neutral
$385.80M-0.40-161.29%3.88%25.64%35.99%
47
Neutral
$243.50M-1.52-19.59%-5.40%-172.56%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XRX
Xerox
3.23
-0.66
-17.01%
CNDT
Conduent
1.78
-0.68
-27.64%
DXC
DXC Technology
11.02
-2.21
-16.70%
CNXC
Concentrix
25.50
-19.66
-43.54%
TASK
TaskUs
6.54
-4.57
-41.14%
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
14.69
-14.25
-49.24%

Xerox Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Xerox Shareholders Back Governance, Equity Incentive Plan Changes
Positive
May 27, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Xerox shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s 2024 Equity and Performance Incentive Plan at the 2026 annual meeting, signaling continued use of equity-based compensation to align management and employee incentive...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2026