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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD)
NYSE:KD
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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) AI Stock Analysis

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KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation

(NYSE:KD)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-20.14% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/07/26
The score is held back mainly by multi-year revenue contraction and historically elevated leverage/limited recent balance-sheet visibility, plus weak longer-term price trends. These are partially offset by a meaningful recovery in profitability and cash generation, and earnings-call guidance that supports continued margin/cash progress despite near-term charges and ongoing top-line headwinds.
Positive Factors
Hyperscaler revenue growth
Rapid hyperscaler revenue growth from near-zero four years ago reflects a durable structural shift into cloud ecosystems. Large, recurring hyperscaler engagements diversify revenue toward higher-value platform management and integration, supporting multi-year signings and improving the quality of the revenue base.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contraction
Persistent top-line declines over multiple years erode scale advantages in a services business and limit operating leverage. Sustained revenue contraction reduces pricing power and makes it harder to amortize fixed delivery costs, constraining long-term margin and cash-flow improvement prospects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Hyperscaler revenue growth
Rapid hyperscaler revenue growth from near-zero four years ago reflects a durable structural shift into cloud ecosystems. Large, recurring hyperscaler engagements diversify revenue toward higher-value platform management and integration, supporting multi-year signings and improving the quality of the revenue base.
Read all positive factors

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down Kyndryl’s sales across regions to highlight market concentration and where growth is coming from. Tracking regional trends helps investors spot expanding markets for infrastructure services and identify areas vulnerable to regulatory changes or economic headwinds.
Chart InsightsThe geographic mix is shifting: U.S. revenue has fallen materially, Japan has been relatively stable, and Principal/Strategic Markets show a rebound since late‑2024. Management says much of the near‑term top‑line pressure stems from removing low‑margin hardware/software and longer sales cycles for larger, higher‑margin deals; this is intentional—hyperscaler and Kyndryl Consult growth drive margin expansion and a book‑to‑bill >1. That supports improving profitability, but sustained U.S. weakness could keep absolute revenue growth muted until larger deals close.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology services company and IT infrastructure services provider worldwide. The company offers cloud services; core enterprise and cloud services; application, data, and artificial intelligence services; dig...
How the Company Makes Money
Kyndryl makes money primarily by selling IT services related to running and modernizing customers’ technology infrastructure. Its core revenue model is services-based and typically includes: (1) Managed services/outsourcing, where Kyndryl operates...

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q4-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a constructive underlying progress story: strong upside in high-value areas (Kyndryl Consult, hyperscaler/alliance revenue, AI-driven productivity and margin expansion) and solid balance-sheet metrics, but offset by near-term top-line pressure from elongated sales cycles and an evolving IBM relationship that has depressed revenue growth. Management provided clear near-term guidance that includes one-time charges for workforce rebalancing and reiterated multiyear targets (FY28 adjusted PTI >$1.2B and >$1B free cash flow) driven by higher-margin signings and efficiency gains.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Scale in Hyperscaler/Alliances
Hyperscaler-related revenue reached nearly $2.0B ($1.9B disclosed) in FY26, up 59% year-over-year and exceeding the company’s 50% growth expectation, reflecting significant multi-year growth from essentially zero four years ago.
Negative Updates
Flat Revenue and Year-over-Year Constant Currency Decline
FY26 revenue totaled $15.1B, flat on a reported basis and down 3% in constant currency, reflecting extended sales cycles and mixed customer procurement behaviors.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Scale in Hyperscaler/Alliances
Hyperscaler-related revenue reached nearly $2.0B ($1.9B disclosed) in FY26, up 59% year-over-year and exceeding the company’s 50% growth expectation, reflecting significant multi-year growth from essentially zero four years ago.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kyndryl's guidance for fiscal 2027 calls for adjusted pretax income of $600–$700 million (which includes roughly $200 million of primarily Q1 workforce‑rebalancing charges that management expects will be largely offset by second‑half savings), with those actions expected to yield $400–$500 million of annualized run‑rate savings in fiscal 2028; revenue is expected to be flat to down 2% in constant currency (Kyndryl Consult and alliances/hyperscaler streams are forecast to grow while a similar IBM‑related headwind is assumed), Q1 is expected to be the low point in earnings with stronger second‑half revenue, and adjusted pretax income less cash taxes (cash taxes ~ $200 million) is expected to convert to free cash flow of about $400–$500 million in FY27. For context, management noted FY26 results of $15.1 billion revenue, $13.5 billion of signings, $581 million adjusted pretax income, $2.7 billion adjusted EBITDA, ~$406 million free cash flow, nearly $2 billion hyperscaler revenue, a $2.6 billion cash balance, and 0.5x net leverage, and reiterated FY28 targets of >$1.2 billion adjusted pretax income and >$1 billion free cash flow on low single‑digit revenue growth.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue has been shrinking for multiple years, and historical leverage/declining equity adds risk (with limited 2026 balance-sheet visibility). Offsetting this, profitability turned positive in 2025–2026 and cash flow improved sharply, with strong operating cash flow and very strong 2026 free cash flow.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.09B15.06B16.05B17.03B18.66B
Gross Profit3.29B3.14B2.86B2.53B2.11B
EBITDA3.41B1.55B1.14B617.00M-175.00M
Net Income198.00M252.00M-340.00M-1.37B-2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78B10.45B10.59B11.46B13.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.62B1.79B1.55B1.85B2.22B
Total Debt0.003.96B4.14B4.24B4.60B
Total Liabilities0.009.12B9.47B10.00B10.45B
Stockholders Equity0.001.22B1.01B1.36B2.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow340.00M337.00M-197.00M-197.00M-871.00M
Operating Cash Flow948.00M942.00M454.00M454.00M-119.00M
Investing Cash Flow-561.00M-404.00M-553.00M-553.00M-572.00M
Financing Cash Flow457.00M-286.00M-170.00M-170.00M2.92B

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.40
Price Trends
50DMA
12.91
Negative
100DMA
16.24
Negative
200DMA
22.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Positive
RSI
43.27
Neutral
STOCH
64.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.73, above the 50-day MA of 12.91, and below the 200-day MA of 22.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KD.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Risk Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.44B10.7222.44%1.41%6.47%10.82%
64
Neutral
$10.89B23.0013.15%9.58%14.11%
63
Neutral
$5.45B22.0710.67%14.21%-2.92%
63
Neutral
$211.47B46.7735.54%2.21%9.67%94.28%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
51
Neutral
$2.73B43.3721.67%0.23%-20.13%
48
Neutral
$1.49B122.220.58%-1.76%-96.67%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
12.07
-26.80
-68.95%
CACI
Caci International
490.07
28.45
6.16%
EPAM
Epam Systems
103.19
-72.76
-41.35%
G
Genpact
32.00
-10.80
-25.23%
IBM
International Business Machines
252.97
0.79
0.31%
DXC
DXC Technology
9.23
-5.52
-37.42%

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Kyndryl Announces Workforce Rebalancing to Streamline Operations
Neutral
May 6, 2026
On May 5, 2026, Kyndryl approved workforce rebalancing actions aimed at streamlining operations, expecting about $200 million in severance-related charges largely in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and targeting annualized run-rate operating expe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 07, 2026