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Epam Systems (EPAM)
NYSE:EPAM
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Epam Systems (EPAM) AI Stock Analysis

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EPAM

Epam Systems

(NYSE:EPAM)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$111.00
▼(-15.49% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/27/26
The score is supported most by EPAM’s strong financial foundation (low leverage, solid cash conversion) and a generally constructive earnings narrative around improving profitability and scaling AI-native revenue. Offsetting that, the stock’s technical setup is weak (below key moving averages with negative MACD), and management highlighted near-term visibility and cash/working-capital pressures (negative Q1 cash flow and higher DSO) alongside reduced growth guidance.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet & cash generation
Very low leverage and strong free cash generation provide durable financial flexibility. That balance-sheet strength supports continued investment in AI capabilities, M&A or buybacks, and cushions the firm against timing variability in large multi-year deals, improving long-run resilience.
Negative Factors
Lowered full-year growth guidance
Management trimming full-year growth reflects weaker visibility and slower client decision-making. Persistently lower topline trajectories reduce the runway for operating-leverage gains and make profitable scaling of AI practices contingent on winning and timing of large transformational engagements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet & cash generation
Very low leverage and strong free cash generation provide durable financial flexibility. That balance-sheet strength supports continued investment in AI capabilities, M&A or buybacks, and cushions the firm against timing variability in large multi-year deals, improving long-run resilience.
Read all positive factors

Epam Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus and market demand.
Chart InsightsFinancial Services and Emerging Verticals powerfully accelerated in 2025, with Software & Hi‑tech recovering strongly—trends that mirror management’s callout of FS and Hi‑Tech strength and AI‑native momentum—while Consumer/Retail and Life Sciences recovered modestly and Business Information & Media remains range‑bound. That mix supports management’s constructive 2026 guidance and margin targets, but watch near‑term shape risk from the Neoris client and longer AI sales cycles; concentration headwinds could mute early‑2026 sequential cadence despite healthy secular momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Epam Systems (EPAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epam Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
EPAM Systems, Inc. is a leading global provider of comprehensive digital platform engineering and software development solutions. The company's extensive service portfolio includes: Engineering Services: From initial requirements analysis and stra...
How the Company Makes Money
EPAM primarily makes money by providing services to business customers under fee-based arrangements for software engineering and digital transformation work. The core revenue stream is professional services billed to clients via (1) time-and-mater...

Epam Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational and strategic positives — solid Q1 revenue growth at the high end of outlook, improving gross margins and operating profitability, strong and accelerating AI-native revenue momentum (> $125M in Q1, ~20% sequential growth), significant partnerships and upskilling progress, and an expanding pipeline of larger strategic AI deals. Offsetting these strengths were near-term execution and cash concerns: reduced full-year revenue growth guidance, negative operating/free cash flow in Q1, higher DSO, targeted headcount reductions, and uncertainty around timing and economics of large new AI-enabled deals (including evolving token/commercial models). Overall the company appears to be in a constructive transition toward AI-native services with improving profitability, but with notable short-term visibility and cash-flow headwinds tied to deal timing and macro caution.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth at High End of Outlook
Q1 revenue of $1.4 billion, up 7.6% year-over-year and up 3.7% on an organic constant-currency basis; company delivered revenue at the high end of its Q1 outlook.
Negative Updates
Lowered Full-Year Growth Guidance
Full-year revenue growth guidance was reduced to a range of 4.0% to 6.5% (organic constant-currency growth 2.5% to 5.0%); management cited greater macro uncertainty and delayed client decision-making as drivers of the revision.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth at High End of Outlook
Q1 revenue of $1.4 billion, up 7.6% year-over-year and up 3.7% on an organic constant-currency basis; company delivered revenue at the high end of its Q1 outlook.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
EPAM guided 2026 full‑year revenue growth of 4.0%–6.5% (with ~+1.5% FX tailwind → organic constant‑currency growth of 2.5%–5.0%), GAAP operating margin of 10%–11% and non‑GAAP operating margin of 15%–16%, a GAAP effective tax rate of ~27% and non‑GAAP tax rate of ~24%, GAAP diluted EPS of $8.29–$8.59 and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $12.98–$13.28, and a weighted‑average diluted share count of ~52.7M; for Q2 they expect revenue of $1.400–$1.415B (midpoint ≈4% YoY; FX +1.3% → organic ≈2.7%), GAAP op margin 9%–10% and non‑GAAP op margin 15%–16%, GAAP tax ~27% / non‑GAAP tax ~24%, GAAP EPS $1.79–$1.87 and non‑GAAP EPS $3.10–$3.18 with ~52.4M diluted shares. Key modeling assumptions include stock‑based compensation of ~ $50M in Q2 and ~$44M each remaining quarter, amortization of intangibles of ~$70M per remaining quarter, an approximate $3M FX loss each quarter, tax effect of non‑GAAP adjustments of ~$19M in Q2 and ~$14M in each remaining quarter, $2M excess tax shortfall in Q2 (negligible in Q3, $1M in Q4), $13M Q2 cost‑optimization expense, interest & other income of $1M/$2M/$4M in Q2–Q4, and continued Ukraine delivery‑center productivity at 2025 levels.

Epam Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.08) and solid cash conversion (TTM FCF ~$544M, ~91% of net income). Offsetting factors are compressed profitability versus 2021–2022 (TTM net margin ~7%) and uneven recent FCF growth (TTM down ~11% vs prior period).
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.56B5.46B4.73B4.69B4.82B3.76B
Gross Profit1.55B1.45B1.45B1.43B1.54B1.27B
EBITDA677.86M630.43M711.52M659.86M647.31M680.27M
Net Income386.72M377.68M454.53M417.08M419.42M481.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.70B4.90B4.75B4.35B4.01B3.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B1.30B1.29B2.10B1.74B1.45B
Total Debt287.94M143.70M163.25M171.94M193.22M239.16M
Total Liabilities1.27B1.22B1.12B880.89M1.01B1.03B
Stockholders Equity3.43B3.68B3.63B3.47B3.00B2.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow543.64M612.69M527.02M534.22M382.48M460.83M
Operating Cash Flow594.41M654.93M559.17M562.63M464.10M572.33M
Investing Cash Flow-59.38M-49.05M-884.98M-66.77M-182.93M-368.92M
Financing Cash Flow-693.88M-651.20M-390.41M-165.77M-2.02M-59.56M

Epam Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price131.34
Price Trends
50DMA
110.36
Negative
100DMA
135.28
Negative
200DMA
156.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.14
Negative
RSI
39.35
Neutral
STOCH
17.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 131.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.39, above the 50-day MA of 110.36, and below the 200-day MA of 156.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EPAM.

Epam Systems Risk Analysis

Epam Systems disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Epam Systems reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Epam Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$24.25B11.1614.79%1.46%6.55%-3.10%
74
Outperform
$102.85B13.6824.82%2.25%7.27%0.49%
73
Outperform
$47.49B14.1531.77%2.58%4.85%6.19%
71
Outperform
$5.41B9.5922.44%1.41%6.47%10.82%
67
Neutral
$4.85B13.2710.67%14.21%-2.92%
64
Neutral
$11.61B21.3313.15%9.58%14.11%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPAM
Epam Systems
95.38
-75.37
-44.14%
ACN
Accenture
170.28
-133.51
-43.95%
CACI
Caci International
519.40
68.72
15.25%
CTSH
Cognizant
52.17
-25.15
-32.52%
G
Genpact
32.06
-9.92
-23.62%
INFY
Infosys
11.74
-6.12
-34.27%

Epam Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
EPAM Systems Shareholders Back Equity Plans and Governance Changes
Positive
May 26, 2026
On May 21, 2026, EPAM Systems held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where investors approved sizeable increases to the company’s equity-based compensation plans, adding up to 4,000,000 additional shares to the 2025 Long Term Incentiv...
Executive/Board Changes
EPAM Systems Grants Retention RSUs to Senior Executive
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On March 31, 2026, EPAM Systems, Inc. granted restricted stock units valued at $3 million to Viktar Dvorkin, its Senior Vice President, Global Head of Advanced Engineering, Cloud Enterprise Platforms. The equity award, issued under the company&#8...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EPAM Systems Showcases AI-Native Enterprise Transformation Strategy
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
EPAM Systems will hold its Investor Day on March 12, 2026, with CEO Balazs Fejes, CFO Jason Peterson and other leaders outlining a strategic transformation toward becoming a global leader in AI-native enterprise transformation services. The event,...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
EPAM Systems Announces $300 Million Share Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
On March 4, 2026, EPAM Systems entered into a $300 million fixed-dollar accelerated share repurchase agreement with Morgan Stanley under its existing $1.0 billion buyback authorization, funding the transaction with cash on hand and borrowings unde...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 27, 2026