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Epam Systems Inc (EPAM)
NYSE:EPAM

Epam Systems (EPAM) AI Stock Analysis

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EP

Epam Systems

(NYSE:EPAM)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$198.00
▲(15.96%Upside)
EPAM Systems scores a 75, driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. The company's strategic focus on AI and leadership transition enhance its growth prospects. However, technical indicators and valuation suggest cautious optimism, with attention needed on cash flow challenges.
Positive Factors
AI Revenue Impact
Last quarter EPAM generated $50 million in pure-AI revenues, representing double-digit sequential growth.
Revenue Growth
Management expects financial services, technology, life sciences including medtech, and energy to drive growth for the year.
Negative Factors
Pricing Challenges
Pricing is marginally better this year than last year but management’s tone was overall still muted on the ability to put through price increases given the demand backdrop.
Structural Risks
Structural questions persist, including near-term risks that could drive worsening client spend if tariff uncertainty is not resolved soon.

Epam Systems (EPAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epam Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEPAM Systems, Inc. is a global provider of digital platform engineering and software development services. Established in 1993, the company operates in sectors such as healthcare, financial services, travel and consumer, software and hi-tech, and media and entertainment. EPAM is renowned for its expertise in delivering innovative solutions that integrate advanced technology with a deep understanding of business processes, thereby helping its clients achieve operational efficiency and digital transformation.
How the Company Makes MoneyEPAM Systems makes money primarily through its extensive range of IT services and consulting offerings. The company generates revenue by providing software engineering, technology consulting, and custom development services to a diverse client base spanning multiple industries. Key revenue streams include fees for time and materials, fixed-price contracts, and managed services agreements. EPAM's ability to attract and maintain long-term partnerships with major corporations contributes significantly to its earnings. The company also capitalizes on its global delivery model, leveraging a distributed workforce to optimize costs and deliver high-quality services. Additionally, strategic acquisitions expand EPAM's capabilities and market reach, further driving revenue growth.

Epam Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
EPAM Systems reported strong Q1 results with significant revenue growth and AI-driven momentum, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company also announced a strategic leadership transition and continued geographic expansion. However, there were challenges with decreased free cash flow, declining gross margins, and specific industry verticals facing headwinds. While the positive aspects highlight growth and strategic initiatives, the financial challenges temper the overall optimism.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Revenue Growth
EPAM generated revenue of $1.3 billion in Q1, a year-over-year increase of 11.7% on a reported basis. Organic constant currency revenue grew 1.4% compared to Q1 2024, exceeding expectations of flat organic growth.
AI-Driven Momentum
AI native revenues grew strong double-digit quarter-over-quarter, driven by increased client demand for AI capabilities. EPAM is engaged in a wide range of AI initiatives with the vast majority of its top 100 clients.
Leadership Transition Announced
Arkadiy Dobkin announced his planned transition to Executive Chairman, with Balazs Fejes set to become CEO and President on September 1, 2025.
Geographic Expansion and Talent Growth
EPAM saw an increase in net organic headcount across India, Europe, and Western Central Asia, with strong demand in these regions. The total headcount grew by 18.2% year-over-year.
Recognition and Partnerships
EPAM was named Google 2025 Partner of the Year for Oil and Gas, reflecting strong collaborations and innovations in AI-powered solutions.
Negative Updates
Decreased Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was $15 million compared to $123 million in the same quarter last year, impacted by higher bonus payments and increased DSO due to fixed fee revenues.
Gross Margin Decline
GAAP gross margin for Q1 was 26.9%, down from 28.4% in Q1 2024. Non-GAAP gross margin also decreased due to compensation increases and lower profitability from acquisitions.
Challenges in Consumer and Telecom Verticals
Generic goods, retail, and travel decreased 1.4% year-over-year, and emerging verticals organic revenue in constant currency contracted by 3.5%, negatively impacted by softness across manufacturing and telecom clients.
High DSO Levels
DSO was 75 days at the end of Q1, up from 70 days in Q4 2024, resulting from an increasing share of fixed fee revenues with associated milestone billing.
Company Guidance
During EPAM Systems' Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong performance despite challenging macroeconomic conditions, with revenue reaching $1.3 billion, marking an 11.7% year-over-year increase. Organic constant currency revenue grew by 1.4%, surpassing expectations of flat growth. The company experienced double-digit revenue growth in four of its six verticals, with financial services seeing a 29.3% increase year-over-year. The Americas region, representing 60% of revenues, also grew by 12.6% year-over-year. EPAM's focus on AI-related capabilities resulted in strong double-digit quarter-over-quarter growth in AI native revenues. The company also announced a leadership transition, with Balazs Fejes set to become CEO on September 1, 2025. Looking forward, EPAM raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to 11.5%-14.5%, with an inorganic contribution of about 9%, and expects organic constant currency growth between 2%-5%.

Epam Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Epam Systems demonstrates solid financial performance with strong gross and net profit margins, healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, and a low debt-to-equity ratio. The company maintains sound financial health despite a decrease in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Epam Systems shows a strong financial performance in the TTM period with robust gross and net profit margins of 29.7% and 8.5%, respectively. The revenue growth rate from the previous year is 2.9%, indicating steady growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 10.9% and 13.9%, respectively, demonstrating efficient operational management. While the net profit margin decreased from 9.6% in the previous year, the overall income statement reflects a profitable and growing company.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating financial stability and low leverage. The return on equity is strong at 11.3%, and the equity ratio is high at 77.1%, suggesting a dominant equity position in its capital structure. The high stockholders' equity and low total debt position reflect sound financial health, though slight declines in equity ratio and ROE compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Epam Systems exhibits strong cash flow management with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.02, indicating effective conversion of income to cash. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows a decline of 20.6% compared to the previous year, suggesting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust at 1.10, reflecting efficient cash operations despite reduced free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.86B4.73B4.69B4.82B3.76B2.66B
Gross Profit
1.45B1.45B1.32B1.54B1.27B926.96M
EBIT
531.39M544.58M501.24M572.97M542.32M379.32M
EBITDA
675.00M671.69M669.29M713.01M616.79M508.57M
Net Income Common Stockholders
411.77M454.53M417.08M419.42M481.65M327.16M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.17B1.29B2.10B1.74B1.45B1.38B
Total Assets
4.72B4.75B4.35B4.01B3.52B2.72B
Total Debt
158.14M163.25M171.94M193.22M239.16M266.40M
Net Debt
-1.02B-1.12B-1.86B-1.49B-1.21B-1.06B
Total Liabilities
1.08B1.12B880.89M1.01B1.03B738.31M
Stockholders Equity
3.64B3.63B3.47B3.00B2.49B1.98B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
418.68M527.02M534.22M382.48M460.83M475.61M
Operating Cash Flow
453.41M559.17M562.63M464.10M572.33M544.41M
Investing Cash Flow
-839.30M-884.98M-66.77M-182.93M-368.92M-167.15M
Financing Cash Flow
-427.84M-390.41M-165.77M-2.02M-59.56M-765.00K

Epam Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price170.75
Price Trends
50DMA
166.38
Positive
100DMA
191.38
Negative
200DMA
204.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Positive
RSI
44.62
Neutral
STOCH
42.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 170.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 177.33, above the 50-day MA of 166.38, and below the 200-day MA of 204.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EPAM.

Epam Systems Risk Analysis

Epam Systems disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Epam Systems reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Epam Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.74B36.2923.81%14.18%21.49%
75
Outperform
$10.00B24.5811.57%4.72%-3.06%
75
Outperform
$9.80B21.2713.48%14.16%22.25%
GG
75
Outperform
$7.62B14.6122.21%1.56%7.31%-15.86%
WNWNS
75
Outperform
$2.82B15.3721.21%-0.64%30.96%
66
Neutral
$4.33B27.117.97%11.90%-11.15%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPAM
Epam Systems
170.75
-3.61
-2.07%
CACI
Caci International
450.68
20.37
4.73%
EXLS
Exlservice Holdings
47.25
17.97
61.37%
G
Genpact
42.92
12.11
39.31%
WNS
WNS
59.69
7.76
14.94%
GLOB
Globant SA
94.04
-64.03
-40.51%

Epam Systems Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
EPAM Systems Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, EPAM Systems, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders approved the 2025 Long Term Incentive Plan, replacing the 2015 Plan, and amendments to the company’s Charter and Bylaws, including the declassification of the Board and reduction of supermajority vote requirements. These changes are aimed at enhancing corporate governance and aligning with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPAM) stock is a Buy with a $237.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Epam Systems stock, see the EPAM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EPAM Systems Announces Leadership Transition with New CEO
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, EPAM Systems announced a leadership transition with CEO Arkadiy Dobkin moving to Executive Chairman and Balazs Fejes stepping in as CEO and President effective September 1, 2025. The company reported strong first-quarter 2025 results with revenues of $1.302 billion, an 11.7% increase year-over-year, and raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to 11.5% to 14.5%. Despite a decrease in GAAP income from operations and diluted EPS, EPAM highlighted its unique differentiation in supporting client transformations amidst a dynamic macroeconomic landscape.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.