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Caci International (CACI)
NYSE:CACI

Caci International (CACI) AI Stock Analysis

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Caci International

(NYSE:CACI)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$501.00
▲(11.17%Upside)
CACI International's stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic wins offset by mixed technical signals and moderate valuation. The company's robust financial position and strategic alignment with government priorities underpin its potential for continued growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
CACI reported a beat and raise quarter with 6% organic growth and a strong bookings-to-billings ratio, which helps alleviate concerns related to defense budget cuts.
Market Confidence
The price target for CACI has been raised to $513, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to perform well in a flattish spending environment.
Strategic Acquisitions
CACI acquired E2E Limited, a biometrics and cloud engineering firm, which is a positive strategic move.
Negative Factors
Contract Risks
Contracts identified by CACI to be at potential risk from the GSA program review total $158M over ~6 contracts, two of which are mission critical.
Exposure to Budget Cuts
The company's exposure to budget cuts is limited, as only a small portion of revenue is tied to civilian contracts affected by these cuts.

Caci International (CACI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Caci International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCACI International Inc, together with its subsidiaries, provides expertise and technology to enterprise and mission customers in support of national security missions and government modernization/transformation in the intelligence, defense, and federal civilian sectors. It operates in two segments, Domestic Operations and International Operations. The Domestic Operations segment offers information solutions and services to the U.S. federal government agencies and commercial enterprises in the areas, such as digital solutions, C4ISR, cyber and space, engineering services, enterprise IT, and mission support. The International Operations segment provides a range of IT services, proprietary data, and software products to the commercial and government customers in the United Kingdom, continental Europe, and internationally. The company designs, implements, protects, and manages secure enterprise IT solutions. It also offers software-defined, full-spectrum cyber, electronic warfare, and counter-unmanned aircraft system solutions; and platform integration and modernization and sustainment, as well as system engineering, naval architecture, training and simulation, and logistics engineering. In addition, the company provides enterprise cloud solutions for classified and unclassified networks; and intelligence support that ensures continuous advances in collection, analysis, and dissemination to optimize decision-making. CACI International Inc was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCACI International makes money primarily by providing IT solutions and professional services to the U.S. government, which constitutes the majority of its revenue. The company operates on a contract basis, securing multi-year agreements with various governmental agencies, particularly within the defense and intelligence sectors. Revenue streams are driven by its ability to deliver customized, mission-critical technology solutions and services, including network modernization, cyber security, and data management. CACI's business model also includes partnerships with technology vendors and subcontractors, which allow it to expand its service offerings and enhance its capability to meet complex government requirements.

Caci International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CACI International reported robust financial performance and strategic alignment with government priorities, securing significant contract wins and raising its guidance for fiscal year 2025. Despite facing potential challenges from government reviews and administrative slowdowns, the company's strong pipeline and strategic positioning suggest continued growth and resilience.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
CACI delivered revenue growth of 12%, EBITDA margin of 11.7%, and free cash flow of $188 million. The company raised its fiscal year 2025 guidance for revenue, adjusted EPS, and free cash flow.
Significant Contract Wins
CACI won $2.5 billion of awards for the quarter, representing a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 times, and 1.5 times on a trailing twelve-month basis. An additional $1.3 billion in awards was secured in the fourth quarter.
Strategic Alignment with Government Priorities
CACI's strategy and capabilities are well-aligned with the new administration's priorities, focusing on software-defined capabilities and national security.
Notable Achievements in Key Programs
The TLS Manpack technology and the Navy spectrum program showed significant progress, with increased demand and program milestones achieved.
Positive Outlook for Future Growth
The company has $17 billion of bids under evaluation and expects to submit another $10 billion in bids over the next two quarters, indicating a strong pipeline for future growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Government Reviews
The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) reviews and GSA contract scrutinies pose potential challenges, although CACI reports minimal impact so far.
Administrative Slowdowns
There have been slight slowdowns in administrative processes such as invoice approvals and funding modifications, attributed to the current governmental environment.
Company Guidance
During the CACI International Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided guidance with several key metrics. CACI reported a 12% revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of 11.7%, delivering a free cash flow of $188 million. The company won $2.5 billion in awards, achieving a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 for the quarter and 1.5 over the trailing twelve months. Due to strong execution and a healthy pipeline, CACI raised its fiscal year 2025 guidance for revenue, adjusted EPS, and free cash flow, expecting revenue between $8.55 billion and $8.65 billion, adjusted EPS between $24.24 and $24.87, and free cash flow of at least $465 million. The company highlighted a strong backlog of $31 billion and a pipeline with $17 billion of bids under evaluation, further supporting its optimistic outlook.

Caci International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Caci International demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth with efficient cost management. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and strong returns, though recent cash flow generation shows some declines. Overall, the financial performance is solid with a stable footing in the industry.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Caci International demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 9.15% from the previous year, indicating robust demand for its services. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 14.73%, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 5.70%, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 9.03% and 11.12% respectively underline solid operational performance. Overall, the income statement metrics indicate a well-performing company with strong growth and profitability trends.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. Return on equity stands at 12.86%, reflecting strong returns to shareholders. The equity ratio of 43.18% suggests a balanced capital structure. The company maintains a solid equity base, which supports its growth initiatives. Overall, the balance sheet is robust with favorable leverage and return metrics, though maintaining a higher equity ratio could enhance financial stability further.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Caci International reports a free cash flow growth rate of -36.76% in the TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation relative to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, both of which suggest adequate cash generation relative to earnings, albeit with room for improvement. While the cash flow metrics reveal some volatility, the company's ability to generate cash remains relatively stable despite recent declines.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.36B7.66B6.70B6.20B6.04B5.72B
Gross Profit
1.23B2.37B567.50M496.33M539.45M457.70M
EBIT
755.26M649.71M567.50M496.33M539.45M457.70M
EBITDA
930.28M791.85M709.06M631.01M664.81M568.38M
Net Income Common Stockholders
476.63M419.92M384.74M366.79M457.44M321.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
223.90M133.96M115.78M114.80M88.03M107.24M
Total Assets
8.58B6.80B6.60B6.63B6.17B5.54B
Total Debt
3.48B1.92B2.03B2.05B1.74B1.40B
Net Debt
3.26B1.78B1.91B1.93B1.65B1.30B
Total Liabilities
4.88B3.28B3.38B3.58B3.51B2.88B
Stockholders Equity
3.70B3.52B3.22B3.05B2.67B2.66B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
488.00M433.64M324.34M670.99M519.09M446.40M
Operating Cash Flow
548.24M497.33M388.06M745.55M592.22M518.71M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.71B-151.95M-75.72M-689.15M-426.65M-178.53M
Financing Cash Flow
1.22B-326.89M-316.11M-21.21M-190.60M-303.39M

Caci International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price450.68
Price Trends
50DMA
442.33
Positive
100DMA
406.25
Positive
200DMA
443.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.77
Positive
RSI
53.49
Neutral
STOCH
86.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CACI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 450.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 448.82, above the 50-day MA of 442.33, and above the 200-day MA of 443.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CACI.

Caci International Risk Analysis

Caci International disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Caci International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Caci International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.69B35.6923.81%14.18%21.49%
PSPSN
77
Outperform
$7.45B18.8717.75%16.61%1279.09%
75
Outperform
$9.91B21.2713.48%14.16%22.25%
GG
75
Outperform
$7.51B14.6122.21%1.58%7.31%-15.86%
68
Neutral
$4.94B14.7621.63%1.40%3.39%-16.78%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
60
Neutral
$8.05B-34.18%24.11%21.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CACI
Caci International
450.68
20.37
4.73%
EXLS
Exlservice Holdings
47.25
17.97
61.37%
G
Genpact
42.92
12.11
39.31%
SAIC
Science Applications
105.43
-8.23
-7.24%
PSN
Parsons
69.74
-7.08
-9.22%
CFLT
Confluent
23.65
-4.14
-14.90%

Caci International Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CACI International Issues $1 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, CACI International Inc issued $1.0 billion in 6.375% Senior Notes due 2033, guaranteed by its subsidiary guarantors. This move is part of CACI’s financial strategy, allowing for optional redemption and containing covenants that limit certain financial activities. The issuance aims to strengthen CACI’s financial position and provide flexibility for future operations, impacting its market positioning and offering potential implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CACI) stock is a Buy with a $475.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caci International stock, see the CACI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
CACI International Upsizes Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, CACI International Inc announced the pricing of a $1.0 billion upsized offering of 6.375% senior notes due in 2033, which marks a $250 million increase from its initial offering size. The proceeds from this offering are intended to partially repay the company’s revolving credit facility, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and debt management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CACI) stock is a Buy with a $475.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caci International stock, see the CACI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
CACI International Announces $750M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, CACI International Inc announced its intention to offer $750 million in unsecured senior notes due 2033, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this offering are planned to be used to partially repay the company’s revolving credit facility, potentially impacting its financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CACI) stock is a Buy with a $475.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caci International stock, see the CACI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.