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Leidos Holdings (LDOS)
NYSE:LDOS
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Leidos Holdings (LDOS) AI Stock Analysis

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Leidos Holdings

(NYSE:LDOS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$168.00
▲(3.25%Upside)
Leidos Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, as highlighted in its earnings call. While technical analysis reflects some overbought conditions, the company's valuation appears reasonable. The reaffirmation of guidance and focus on strategic pillars bolster confidence in continued growth.
Positive Factors
Cyber Business Opportunities
Leidos has made significant investments in its cyber business, positioning it well to win and execute on over $15 billion in pure-cyber opportunities.
Strategic Alignment
Leidos is well-aligned to accelerating mega-trends, supporting its growth and strategic positioning.
Negative Factors
Bookings Environment
Limited beat and raise potential for LDOS is anticipated due to the challenging bookings environment.
Government Services Risks
Contract terminations, weak government outlays, and backlog erosion are expected to create challenges for the company.

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Leidos Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeidos Holdings, Inc. is a leading global science and technology solutions provider that focuses on addressing critical challenges in the defense, aviation, information technology, and biomedical research sectors. The company delivers a broad range of services and solutions in systems integration, data analytics, cybersecurity, and enterprise IT modernization to both government and commercial clients worldwide. Leidos is known for its commitment to innovation, leveraging its expertise to drive advancements in technology and improve operational efficiency for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeidos makes money primarily through government contracts and commercial services. Its revenue streams are diversified across three main business segments: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment provides a wide array of services including logistics, operational support, and mission systems integration primarily for the U.S. Department of Defense and allied nations. The Civil segment focuses on IT solutions, cybersecurity, and infrastructure modernization for civil agencies, including the FAA and other federal and state government entities. The Health segment offers technology solutions and services for both government and commercial healthcare sectors, including the Department of Veterans Affairs and other public health agencies. Key factors contributing to its earnings include long-term contracts, strategic partnerships, and a focus on high-demand areas such as cybersecurity and digital modernization.

Leidos Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Leidos demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic positioning in Q1 2025, with significant achievements including a reaffirmation of full-year guidance, a major acquisition, and a robust share repurchase program. However, there are some concerns related to the impact of new administration policies and adjustments in bookings and backlog. Overall, while there are challenges, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Leidos reported a strong Q1 with organic revenue increase of 7% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA margins improved to 14.2%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share rose 30%.
Reaffirmation of 2025 Full Year Guidance
Despite the challenging environment, Leidos reaffirmed its full year 2025 guidance, showcasing confidence in its strategic positioning and growth.
Accelerated Share Repurchase Program
Leidos executed a $500 million accelerated share repurchase agreement, achieving the majority of its 2025 share buyback plans.
Acquisition in Cyber Security
Leidos signed a definitive agreement to acquire a leader in full spectrum cyber, enhancing its NorthStar 2030 strategic growth pillars.
Segment Growth Across the Board
Three segments delivered mid to high single-digit growth, and the Commercial and International segment posted double-digit growth for the second straight quarter.
Negative Updates
Impact of New Administration Policies
Leidos experienced some revenue impact due to macro actions from the new administration, though it was described as negligible (very low 1% range).
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Adjustments
In Q1, Leidos generated $58 million of cash flows from operating activities and $36 million of free cash flow, with adjustments including an extra week of payroll and a minor change in cash accounting treatment.
Bookings and Backlog Concerns
The first quarter generated $2.1 billion of net bookings, and the backlog included changes to reflect the expected value of single-award IDIQs, revealing a potential concern for future revenue visibility.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Leidos reported a strong performance, surpassing expectations with a 7% year-over-year increase in organic revenue. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.2%, marking a 190 basis point improvement, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share grew by 30%. Leidos reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between $16.9 billion and $17.3 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid to high 12% range. The company's strategy, NorthStar 2030, focuses on five growth pillars: space and maritime, energy infrastructure, digital modernization and cyber, highly customized critical mission software, and managed health services. Additionally, Leidos executed a $500 million accelerated share repurchase agreement and announced a pending acquisition to enhance its cyber capabilities, reinforcing its commitment to long-term growth and shareholder value.

Leidos Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leidos Holdings exhibits robust financial performance with strong revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow management. The company effectively utilizes its equity to generate returns, but moderate leverage poses a potential risk. Overall, the financial metrics are solid, supporting continued growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Leidos Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend in gross profit and net income, reflecting robust operational efficiency. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 17.23%, with a net profit margin of 7.87%, indicating healthy profitability levels. Additionally, the company shows a positive revenue growth rate of approximately 1.62% from the previous annual report, showcasing its ability to expand its market presence.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35, indicating a balanced approach to using debt for growth. The return on equity (ROE) is solid at 31.3%, demonstrating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 32.25% suggests a reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks in a downturn.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Leidos Holdings shows strong cash flow performance with a stable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.04, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has grown by 4.26% year-over-year, underscoring effective capital management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.97 highlights the company's ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.66B15.44B14.40B13.74B12.30B
Gross Profit2.80B2.24B2.08B2.01B1.74B
EBITDA2.12B931.00M1.41B1.50B1.26B
Net Income1.25B199.00M685.00M753.00M628.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.10B12.70B13.07B13.26B12.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments943.00M777.00M516.00M727.00M524.00M
Total Debt5.29B5.20B5.49B5.67B5.31B
Total Liabilities8.64B8.44B8.72B8.92B8.64B
Stockholders Equity4.41B4.20B4.30B4.29B3.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.24B958.00M857.00M927.00M1.15B
Operating Cash Flow1.39B1.17B986.00M1.03B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow-142.00M-211.00M-313.00M-730.00M-2.81B
Financing Cash Flow-1.08B-715.00M-865.00M-113.00M1.45B

Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price162.71
Price Trends
50DMA
154.11
Positive
100DMA
145.65
Positive
200DMA
151.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.22
Positive
RSI
63.16
Neutral
STOCH
38.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LDOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 162.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.62, above the 50-day MA of 154.11, and above the 200-day MA of 151.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LDOS.

Leidos Holdings Risk Analysis

Leidos Holdings disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Leidos Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Leidos Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$20.62B16.1331.31%0.99%7.75%325.28%
GG
77
Outperform
$7.71B15.0022.21%1.51%7.31%-15.86%
76
Outperform
$10.44B22.3513.48%14.16%22.25%
74
Outperform
$9.24B23.3311.57%4.72%-3.06%
72
Outperform
$5.23B15.6121.63%1.32%3.39%-16.78%
DXDXC
67
Neutral
$2.60B6.9112.88%-5.82%469.88%
63
Neutral
$34.26B5.42-11.67%1.85%5.30%-18.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
162.71
14.38
9.69%
CACI
Caci International
479.59
34.09
7.65%
EPAM
Epam Systems
164.48
-44.42
-21.26%
G
Genpact
45.46
12.67
38.64%
SAIC
Science Applications
113.58
-5.84
-4.89%
DXC
DXC Technology
14.56
-5.11
-25.98%

Leidos Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Leidos Holdings Stockholders Approve Key Amendments
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Leidos Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 2, 2025, where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. These amendments clarify stockholders’ rights to call special meetings and limit the liability of officers as permitted by law. The meeting also saw the election of board members, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Leidos Holdings Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

Leidos Holdings reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, with revenues of $4.2 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year, and net income of $365 million, up 29% from the previous year. The company also announced a change in its backlog policy, which now includes estimated future revenue on task orders expected under sole source IDIQ contracts, resulting in a backlog of $46.3 billion. Leidos secured several significant contracts, including a $205 million task order with the Defense Threat Reduction Agency and a $150 million task order with the Naval Surface Warfare Center Carderock Division, highlighting its strong position in the defense and IT services market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025