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Leidos Holdings (LDOS)
NYSE:LDOS

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) AI Stock Analysis

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Leidos Holdings

(NYSE:LDOS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$168.00
▲(7.91%Upside)
Leidos Holdings earns a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, which highlight strategic growth initiatives and reaffirmed guidance. While technical analysis presents mixed signals, the valuation remains reasonable. The company's financial health and strategic positioning are the most significant contributors to its high score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Health & Civil reported another quarter of standout performance with revenues up 8% and adjusted operating margins of 23.6%.
Strategic Alignment
Leidos is strategically aligned with high-priority programs under the new administration, including VA medical exams, Golden Dome, hypersonics, and FAA modernization.
Negative Factors
Bookings Environment
The one negative during the quarter was the soft bookings, with backlog down 7% sequentially.
Government Services Challenges
Contract terminations, weak government outlays, and backlog erosion are expected to create challenges for the company.

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Leidos Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment offers national security solutions and systems for air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace for the U.S. Intelligence Community, the Department of Defense, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, military services, and government agencies of U.S. allies abroad, as well as other federal and commercial customers in the national security industry. Its solutions include technology, large-scale systems, command and control platforms, data analytics, logistics, and cybersecurity solutions, as well as intelligence analysis and operations support services to critical missions. The Civil segment provides systems integration services to air navigation service providers, including the federal aviation administration, the En route automation modernization, advanced technology oceanic procedure, time based flow management, terminal flight data management, geo-7, and future flight services, as well as enterprise-information display systems; and security detection and automation services. It also offers information technology (IT) solutions in cloud computing, mobility, application modernization, DevOps, data center, network modernization, asset management, help desk operations, and digital workplace enablement; and environment, energy, and infrastructure services. The Health segment offers solutions to federal and commercial customers responsible for health and well-being of people worldwide, including health information management, managed health, digital transformation, and life sciences research and development services. Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeidos makes money primarily through government contracts and commercial services. Its revenue streams are diversified across three main business segments: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment provides a wide array of services including logistics, operational support, and mission systems integration primarily for the U.S. Department of Defense and allied nations. The Civil segment focuses on IT solutions, cybersecurity, and infrastructure modernization for civil agencies, including the FAA and other federal and state government entities. The Health segment offers technology solutions and services for both government and commercial healthcare sectors, including the Department of Veterans Affairs and other public health agencies. Key factors contributing to its earnings include long-term contracts, strategic partnerships, and a focus on high-demand areas such as cybersecurity and digital modernization.

Leidos Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Leidos demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic positioning in Q1 2025, with significant achievements including a reaffirmation of full-year guidance, a major acquisition, and a robust share repurchase program. However, there are some concerns related to the impact of new administration policies and adjustments in bookings and backlog. Overall, while there are challenges, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Leidos reported a strong Q1 with organic revenue increase of 7% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA margins improved to 14.2%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share rose 30%.
Reaffirmation of 2025 Full Year Guidance
Despite the challenging environment, Leidos reaffirmed its full year 2025 guidance, showcasing confidence in its strategic positioning and growth.
Accelerated Share Repurchase Program
Leidos executed a $500 million accelerated share repurchase agreement, achieving the majority of its 2025 share buyback plans.
Acquisition in Cyber Security
Leidos signed a definitive agreement to acquire a leader in full spectrum cyber, enhancing its NorthStar 2030 strategic growth pillars.
Segment Growth Across the Board
Three segments delivered mid to high single-digit growth, and the Commercial and International segment posted double-digit growth for the second straight quarter.
Negative Updates
Impact of New Administration Policies
Leidos experienced some revenue impact due to macro actions from the new administration, though it was described as negligible (very low 1% range).
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Adjustments
In Q1, Leidos generated $58 million of cash flows from operating activities and $36 million of free cash flow, with adjustments including an extra week of payroll and a minor change in cash accounting treatment.
Bookings and Backlog Concerns
The first quarter generated $2.1 billion of net bookings, and the backlog included changes to reflect the expected value of single-award IDIQs, revealing a potential concern for future revenue visibility.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Leidos reported a strong performance, surpassing expectations with a 7% year-over-year increase in organic revenue. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.2%, marking a 190 basis point improvement, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share grew by 30%. Leidos reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between $16.9 billion and $17.3 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid to high 12% range. The company's strategy, NorthStar 2030, focuses on five growth pillars: space and maritime, energy infrastructure, digital modernization and cyber, highly customized critical mission software, and managed health services. Additionally, Leidos executed a $500 million accelerated share repurchase agreement and announced a pending acquisition to enhance its cyber capabilities, reinforcing its commitment to long-term growth and shareholder value.

Leidos Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leidos Holdings demonstrates robust financial performance with solid revenue growth, profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company utilizes its equity well to generate returns, but moderate leverage could pose risks under adverse conditions.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Leidos Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend in gross profit and net income, reflecting robust operational efficiency. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 17.23%, with a net profit margin of 7.87%, indicating healthy profitability levels. Additionally, the company shows a positive revenue growth rate of approximately 1.62% from the previous annual report, showcasing its ability to expand its market presence.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35, indicating a balanced approach to using debt for growth. The return on equity (ROE) is solid at 31.3%, demonstrating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 32.25% suggests a reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks in a downturn.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Leidos Holdings shows strong cash flow performance with a stable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.04, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has grown by 4.26% year-over-year, underscoring effective capital management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.97 highlights the company's ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.93B16.66B15.44B14.40B13.74B12.30B
Gross Profit2.92B2.80B2.24B2.08B2.01B1.74B
EBITDA2.23B1.83B931.00M1.41B1.50B1.26B
Net Income1.33B1.25B199.00M685.00M753.00M628.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.20B13.10B12.70B13.07B13.26B12.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments842.00M943.00M777.00M516.00M727.00M524.00M
Total Debt5.74B5.29B5.20B5.49B5.67B5.31B
Total Liabilities8.89B8.64B8.44B8.72B8.92B8.64B
Stockholders Equity4.26B4.41B4.20B4.30B4.29B3.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B1.24B958.00M857.00M927.00M1.15B
Operating Cash Flow1.39B1.39B1.17B986.00M1.03B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow-152.00M-142.00M-211.00M-313.00M-730.00M-2.81B
Financing Cash Flow-966.00M-1.08B-715.00M-865.00M-113.00M1.45B

Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price155.68
Price Trends
50DMA
149.38
Positive
100DMA
142.14
Positive
200DMA
151.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.39
Negative
RSI
65.17
Neutral
STOCH
88.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LDOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 155.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.30, above the 50-day MA of 149.38, and above the 200-day MA of 151.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LDOS.

Leidos Holdings Risk Analysis

Leidos Holdings disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Leidos Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Leidos Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$20.04B15.6731.31%1.03%7.75%325.28%
75
Outperform
$10.23B21.9613.48%14.16%22.25%
GG
75
Outperform
$7.61B14.8222.21%1.61%7.31%-15.86%
71
Outperform
$9.91B24.4611.57%4.72%-3.06%
68
Neutral
$5.04B15.0721.63%1.35%3.39%-16.78%
49
Neutral
C$2.90B2.14-80.91%2.94%6.62%-18.96%
DXDXC
46
Neutral
$2.73B7.2112.88%-5.65%78.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
155.68
11.36
7.87%
CACI
Caci International
463.37
33.24
7.73%
EPAM
Epam Systems
174.93
-13.18
-7.01%
G
Genpact
43.54
11.82
37.26%
SAIC
Science Applications
109.24
-6.87
-5.92%
DXC
DXC Technology
15.03
-4.06
-21.27%

Leidos Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Leidos Holdings Stockholders Approve Key Amendments
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Leidos Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 2, 2025, where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. These amendments clarify stockholders’ rights to call special meetings and limit the liability of officers as permitted by law. The meeting also saw the election of board members, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Leidos Holdings Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

Leidos Holdings reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, with revenues of $4.2 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year, and net income of $365 million, up 29% from the previous year. The company also announced a change in its backlog policy, which now includes estimated future revenue on task orders expected under sole source IDIQ contracts, resulting in a backlog of $46.3 billion. Leidos secured several significant contracts, including a $205 million task order with the Defense Threat Reduction Agency and a $150 million task order with the Naval Surface Warfare Center Carderock Division, highlighting its strong position in the defense and IT services market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025