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Leidos Holdings (LDOS)
NYSE:LDOS
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Leidos Holdings (LDOS) AI Stock Analysis

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LDOS

Leidos Holdings

(NYSE:LDOS)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$201.00
▲(9.60% Upside)
Leidos Holdings receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes. The company's strategic initiatives, including AI integration and successful acquisitions, bolster its growth outlook. While the technical indicators show bullish momentum, the valuation remains fair, supporting the stock's potential for continued appreciation.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Shares of Leidos, the largest provider of enterprise IT services for government and defense agencies, are trading up 6% after it reported second-quarter results above consensus and raised the midpoint of its full-year guidance.
Government Contracts
The company is expected to benefit from Department of Defense priorities, which accounts for 50% of its sales exposure.
Healthcare and Civil Sector Performance
The Health & Civil segment reported another quarter of standout performance with revenues up 8% and adjusted operating margins of 23.6%.
Negative Factors
Bookings Environment
The one negative during the quarter was the soft bookings.
Contract Challenges
Contract terminations, weak government outlays, and backlog erosion are expected to create challenges for the company.
Government Services Risk
Analyst downgrades LDOS to Neutral due to headline risk across Government Services and a weaker bookings environment.

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Leidos Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeidos Holdings (LDOS) is a leading global science and technology company specializing in defense, aviation, information technology, and biomedical research. With a strong focus on providing innovative solutions to government and commercial customers, Leidos operates across various sectors including defense, civil, and health markets. The company offers a diverse range of services such as systems integration, IT modernization, cybersecurity, and data analytics, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and mission success for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeidos generates revenue primarily through contracts with government agencies, including the Department of Defense (DoD), Department of Homeland Security (DHS), and other federal entities. The company's revenue model is largely based on a mix of cost-plus, fixed-price, and time-and-materials contracts. Key revenue streams include defense solutions, which encompass logistics and engineering services, and civil solutions that involve information technology and infrastructure projects. Additionally, Leidos earns income from health-related services, notably through contracts that involve biomedical research and public health initiatives. Significant partnerships with government agencies and collaborations with private sector firms enhance its ability to secure contracts and expand its service offerings, contributing to the company's overall earnings.

Leidos Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Backlog by Segment
Backlog by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Leidos Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive with strong growth in revenue, profitability, and strategic initiatives like AI and maritime expansion. Despite some challenges due to government efficiency actions and procurement delays, Leidos' proactive measures and increased guidance indicate a robust outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profitability Growth
Leidos reported a 4.8% year-to-date revenue growth and record profitability with a 15.2% EBITDA margin this quarter. Operating cash flow increased by 28%.
Expansion in Maritime and Autonomous Systems
Leidos secured contracts with the U.S. Navy and Marines for autonomous maritime vessels, and a classified customer ordered Sea Darts. The maritime component of the space and maritime growth pillar is poised for significant expansion.
AI and Automation Enhancements
Leidos has implemented AI in various functions, achieving significant efficiencies. For instance, 20% greater efficiency in proposal writing tasks and a 30% reduction in coding time for developers.
Increased Guidance for 2025
Due to strong performance, Leidos raised its full year guidance for 2025, with adjusted EBITDA margin guidance increased from mid- to high 12s to mid-13s.
Successful Kudu Dynamics Acquisition
The acquisition has already added $400 million in pipeline opportunities and increased the probability of winning an additional $2 billion of near-term submits.
Negative Updates
Impact of Government Efficiency Initiatives
The 2025 revenue impact from administration efficiency actions was estimated to be about 1%, affecting several quarters, though mitigated by Leidos' proactive measures.
Procurement Delays
The procurement process was constrained in the first several months of the new administration, impacting revenue growth.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Leidos reported robust financial performance, underscoring its strategic execution against a dynamic market backdrop. The company achieved a 4.8% year-to-date revenue growth, with a record EBITDA margin of 15.2% this quarter, and a significant 28% increase in operating cash flow. Leidos raised its full-year guidance, reflecting confidence in its North Star 2030 strategy, which focuses on five growth pillars: space and maritime, energy infrastructure, digital modernization and cyber, mission software, and managed health services. Notably, the company's 0.9 book-to-bill ratio in Q2 marked a recovery from Q1, with prospects for further growth bolstered by an anticipated stronger awards pace in the latter half of the year. Furthermore, Leidos is leveraging AI to enhance efficiency, projecting savings of over 0.5 million labor hours by the fiscal year-end, while recent investments, such as the Kudu acquisition, have already added $400 million in pipeline opportunities.

Leidos Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leidos Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects a prudent leverage strategy, while cash flow metrics underscore effective cash management. The company is well-positioned for continued growth, though monitoring leverage and equity ratios will be crucial to maintaining financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Leidos Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 71.5%, significantly outpacing prior periods. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 17.56% and a net profit margin of 8.22% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 11.94% and 13.65%, respectively. These figures indicate effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is impressive at 31.25%, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which could offer additional insights into asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Leidos Holdings exhibits a solid cash flow position with a 10.42% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 highlights the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.05B16.66B15.44B14.40B13.74B12.30B
Gross Profit2.99B2.80B2.24B2.08B2.01B1.74B
EBITDA2.33B2.12B931.00M1.41B1.50B1.26B
Net Income1.40B1.25B199.00M685.00M753.00M628.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.55B13.10B12.70B13.07B13.26B12.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments930.00M943.00M777.00M516.00M727.00M524.00M
Total Debt5.70B5.29B5.20B5.49B5.67B5.31B
Total Liabilities8.84B8.64B8.44B8.72B8.92B8.64B
Stockholders Equity4.66B4.41B4.20B4.30B4.29B3.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.40B1.24B958.00M857.00M927.00M1.15B
Operating Cash Flow1.50B1.39B1.17B986.00M1.03B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow-445.00M-142.00M-211.00M-313.00M-730.00M-2.81B
Financing Cash Flow-890.00M-1.08B-715.00M-865.00M-113.00M1.45B

Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price183.39
Price Trends
50DMA
165.97
Positive
100DMA
156.55
Positive
200DMA
151.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.13
Negative
RSI
75.68
Negative
STOCH
84.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LDOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 183.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.94, above the 50-day MA of 165.97, and above the 200-day MA of 151.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.68 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LDOS.

Leidos Holdings Risk Analysis

Leidos Holdings disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Leidos Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Leidos Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$23.40B17.1730.76%0.87%6.53%230.23%
78
Outperform
$5.61B16.6221.63%1.24%3.39%-16.78%
76
Outperform
$10.63B21.6213.49%12.64%19.79%
75
Outperform
$72.48B22.4130.46%2.95%4.52%-0.22%
74
Outperform
$35.01B14.6516.69%1.70%6.34%12.16%
73
Outperform
$30.10B21.3116.50%2.94%-1.95%62.75%
61
Neutral
$35.62B7.50-10.94%1.87%8.86%-10.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
183.39
28.72
18.57%
CACI
Caci International
487.07
8.40
1.75%
CTSH
Cognizant
72.31
-3.37
-4.45%
INFY
Infosys
17.36
-5.15
-22.88%
SAIC
Science Applications
119.34
-7.53
-5.94%
WIT
Wipro
2.81
-0.26
-8.47%

Leidos Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Leidos Holdings Stockholders Approve Key Amendments
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Leidos Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 2, 2025, where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. These amendments clarify stockholders’ rights to call special meetings and limit the liability of officers as permitted by law. The meeting also saw the election of board members, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Leidos Holdings Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

Leidos Holdings reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, with revenues of $4.2 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year, and net income of $365 million, up 29% from the previous year. The company also announced a change in its backlog policy, which now includes estimated future revenue on task orders expected under sole source IDIQ contracts, resulting in a backlog of $46.3 billion. Leidos secured several significant contracts, including a $205 million task order with the Defense Threat Reduction Agency and a $150 million task order with the Naval Surface Warfare Center Carderock Division, highlighting its strong position in the defense and IT services market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025