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Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC)
NASDAQ:SAIC

Science Applications (SAIC) AI Stock Analysis

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SAIC

Science Applications

(NASDAQ:SAIC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$109.00
▲(6.12% Upside)
SAIC's overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation with strong profitability and improving leverage. Positive technical indicators and attractive valuation metrics further support the stock's potential. Recent corporate actions and earnings call insights highlight strategic growth initiatives, though revenue challenges remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of SilverEdge enhances SAIC's capabilities in cybersecurity and intelligence solutions, strengthening its market position in national security.
Financial Flexibility
The new credit facilities enhance SAIC's financial flexibility, allowing it to repay existing loans and potentially strengthen its market position through strategic investments.
Contract Wins
Winning significant contracts like the $241.65M deal with the U.S. Navy and international partners supports SAIC's revenue stability and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue highlights challenges in maintaining sales growth, which could impact long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Business Development Challenges
Struggles in business development execution can hinder SAIC's ability to capitalize on innovations, affecting long-term growth and competitive positioning.
Civil Segment Decline
A decline in the civil segment indicates potential vulnerabilities in SAIC's market diversification, which could impact overall revenue stability.

Science Applications (SAIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Science Applications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionScience Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and enterprise information technology (IT) services primarily in the United States. The company's offerings include engineering; technology integration; IT modernization; maintenance of ground and maritime systems; logistics; training and simulation; operation and program support services; and end-to-end services, such as design, development, integration, deployment, management and operations, sustainment, and security of its customers' IT infrastructure, as well as cloud migration, managed services, infrastructure modernization, and enterprise IT-as-a-service solutions. It serves the U.S. military comprising Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines, and Coast Guard; Department of Defense agencies; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; the U.S. Department of State; Department of Justice; Department of Homeland Security; and various intelligence community agencies, as well as U.S. federal civilian agencies. The company was formerly known as SAIC Gemini, Inc. and changed its name to Science Applications International Corporation in September 2013. Science Applications International Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneySAIC generates revenue primarily through government contracts, particularly with the Department of Defense and various federal agencies. The company's revenue model is built around providing technical services, systems engineering, and IT solutions, often under multi-year contracts that ensure a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include consulting services, software development, and maintenance contracts. Additionally, SAIC benefits from partnerships with leading technology firms and defense contractors, allowing it to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. The company's focus on emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence and cloud services, further contributes to its earnings by tapping into growing market demands.

Science Applications Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Backlog
Total Backlog
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Science Applications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a mixed performance with promising developments through the acquisition of SilverEdge and strong business development results, while grappling with revenue decline and execution challenges in business development. However, the proactive steps towards cost efficiency and margin improvement suggest a positive outlook.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of SilverEdge
The acquisition of SilverEdge is expected to be accretive next year, pushing margins up and being accretive on EPS. It will enhance the differentiation of bids not just within the intelligence community but across the broader portfolio.
Strong Business Development Results
3Q net bookings of $2.2 billion resulted in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2x. Major awards included a five-year recompete with the Air Force ($1.4 billion) and a five-year $413 million contract with the US Army.
Improved Financial Performance
Adjusted diluted EPS was $2.58, reflecting strong margin performance and a favorable tax rate. Free cash flow for the third quarter was $135 million, with expectations of greater than $550 million for FY '26 and over $600 million for FY '27.
Cost Efficiency Initiatives
Identified over $100 million in annual spend to be reinvested in higher ROI areas to drive growth and increase margins. Efforts include implementing efficiencies across shared services and other indirect functions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Third-Quarter Revenue
Third-quarter revenue declined by 5.6% year over year, impacted by a government shutdown which contributed to a one-point headwind.
Civil Segment Decline
The civil segment experienced a 7% year-on-year decline during the quarter. This was attributed to seasonality and lumpiness, although nine-month performance was flat with improved margins.
Challenges in Business Development Execution
Science Applications International Corporation has struggled to convert innovation into revenue and EBITDA growth due to below-average business development and capture performance.
Company Guidance
During the Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) fiscal year 2026 Q3 earnings call, the company provided updated financial guidance, revealing several key metrics. Third-quarter revenue was reported at $1.87 billion, marking a 5.6% decline year-over-year, partly due to a government shutdown impact. Adjusted EBITDA reached $185 million, yielding a margin of 9.9%, and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.58. The company generated a strong free cash flow of $135 million despite shutdown-related challenges. SAIC's updated guidance for fiscal year 2026 includes a minor revenue increase to account for the SilverEdge acquisition, with a reaffirmation of organic growth targets. The fiscal year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was increased by 10 basis points, and adjusted EPS guidance was raised by $0.04, assuming a 10% effective tax rate. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2027, SAIC projects a 0% to 3% organic revenue growth, with a slight increase in revenue guidance due to recent acquisitions and business wins. The company also expects to repurchase approximately $1 billion of shares over fiscal years 2026 and 2027, representing about 25% of its market value.

Science Applications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Science Applications shows a solid financial position with strong profitability and improving leverage. While revenue growth has been a concern, the company maintains healthy margins and cash flow ratios, indicating operational efficiency. Continued focus on revenue expansion and cash flow management will be crucial for future growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Science Applications has demonstrated stable profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 11.9% and a net profit margin improving to 5.3% in the TTM period. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative recently, indicating a potential challenge in expanding sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM period, reducing from previous high levels, which indicates a positive trend in managing leverage. Return on equity remains strong at 25.7%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to reported earnings. However, free cash flow growth has been negative in the TTM period, which could signal potential cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.48B7.44B7.70B7.39B7.06B
Gross Profit892.00M872.00M888.00M859.00M792.00M
EBITDA694.00M882.00M650.00M628.00M572.00M
Net Income362.00M477.00M300.00M277.00M209.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.25B5.31B5.54B5.75B5.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.00M94.00M109.00M106.00M171.00M
Total Debt2.39B2.25B2.53B2.71B2.72B
Total Liabilities3.67B3.53B3.84B4.12B4.17B
Stockholders Equity1.58B1.78B1.69B1.62B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow458.00M369.00M507.00M482.00M709.00M
Operating Cash Flow494.00M396.00M532.00M518.00M755.00M
Investing Cash Flow-35.00M314.00M-36.00M-292.00M-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow-498.00M-725.00M-493.00M-301.00M464.00M

Science Applications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price102.71
Price Trends
50DMA
94.10
Positive
100DMA
100.90
Positive
200DMA
106.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.98
Negative
RSI
65.25
Neutral
STOCH
81.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAIC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 102.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.40, above the 50-day MA of 94.10, and below the 200-day MA of 106.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SAIC.

Science Applications Risk Analysis

Science Applications disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Science Applications reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Science Applications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$12.02B23.9313.14%12.61%11.85%
78
Outperform
$8.29B15.5022.32%1.41%7.40%-14.45%
77
Outperform
$23.86B17.4129.51%0.87%6.48%22.17%
75
Outperform
$2.58B40.448.18%0.80%6.98%-4.56%
71
Outperform
$4.64B13.1223.75%1.69%-0.38%31.38%
64
Neutral
$6.24B16.0435.51%-1.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAIC
Science Applications
102.71
-6.94
-6.33%
CACI
Caci International
541.97
135.80
33.43%
FORTY
Formula Systems
170.00
83.76
97.12%
G
Genpact
48.05
5.78
13.67%
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
185.86
42.83
29.94%
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
27.22
-7.61
-21.85%

Science Applications Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Science Applications Announces Major Internal Reorganization
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, SAIC announced an internal reorganization, resulting in the consolidation of its five business groups into three, effective January 31, 2026. This restructuring aims to optimize operations for growth and shareholder value, with the Army and Navy groups merging into the Army Navy Business Group, and the Air Force, Space, and Intelligence groups forming the Air Force, Space and Intelligence Business Group. The Civilian Business Group remains unchanged. The reorganization also involves the departure of several executives, including David C. Ray, who will leave on January 30, 2026, and receive severance compensation.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Science Applications Appoints James C. Reagan as Interim CEO
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Science Applications International Corporation announced the appointment of James C. Reagan as Interim Chief Executive Officer, succeeding Toni Townes-Whitley. Reagan, with extensive experience in the defense and government services industries, previously served as CFO at Leidos Holdings and other organizations. The transition reflects SAIC’s commitment to maintaining its strong market position and growth prospects. The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 guidance, although potential impacts from a federal government shutdown were noted. The Board is actively seeking a permanent CEO while Reagan’s leadership is expected to sustain operational performance and shareholder value.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
SAIC Acquires SilverEdge to Boost National Security
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, SAIC announced its acquisition of SilverEdge Government Solutions for $205 million in cash, a move aimed at enhancing its capabilities in delivering mission-focused, IP-based solutions. This acquisition is expected to bolster SAIC’s role in national security by integrating SilverEdge’s expertise in cybersecurity, software development, and intelligence solutions, thereby strengthening its position as a premier mission integrator.

Private Placements and Financing
Science Applications Secures New $2.1 Billion Credit Facilities
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, SAIC entered into an Eighth Amendment to its Credit Agreement, establishing a new $1.1 billion senior secured term loan and a $1 billion revolving credit facility, both maturing in 2030. These new credit facilities, which maintain similar interest rate margins and covenants as previous loans, were used to repay existing loans and enhance the company’s financial flexibility, potentially strengthening its market position.

Private Placements and Financing
Science Applications Completes $500M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Science Applications completed a private offering of $500 million in senior notes due 2033, receiving approximately $493 million after expenses. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt, cover offering expenses, and support general corporate purposes, including growth and strategic projects. The notes are senior unsecured obligations, guaranteed by the company’s subsidiaries, with restrictions on additional debt and other financial activities. Redemption options are available under specific conditions, and the notes were sold to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
SAIC Announces $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, SAIC announced the pricing of a $500 million private offering of senior notes due 2033, aimed at repaying existing debt and funding growth initiatives. The offering, expected to close on September 25, 2025, will support SAIC’s strategic projects and enhance its market positioning by providing additional working capital.

Private Placements and Financing
Science Applications Announces $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, SAIC announced a private offering of $500 million in senior notes due 2033, aimed at repaying existing debts and funding growth initiatives. Concurrently, SAIC seeks to amend its credit agreement to refinance its existing facilities with new credit facilities, although the completion of these financial maneuvers is subject to market conditions and not guaranteed.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025