tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC)
NASDAQ:SAIC
Advertisement

Science Applications (SAIC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
687 Followers

Top Page

SAIC

Science Applications

(NASDAQ:SAIC)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$112.00
▲(6.74% Upside)
SAIC's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance and attractive valuation, but is weighed down by bearish technical indicators and revenue challenges highlighted in the earnings call. Positive corporate events provide some support, but operational and market uncertainties remain significant.
Positive Factors
Bookings
SAIC posted a 1Q quarterly B2B of 1.3x and highlighted approximately $2B in bookings since the start of the new quarter, indicating a strong start to F2Q bookings.
Cash Flow
A new law boosts cash flow significantly for SAIC, with a notable reduction in the effective tax rate.
Free Cash Flow
The fiscal 2027 free cash flow per share outlook was raised from $12 to $13.50.
Negative Factors
Contract Awards
The primary reasons behind the guidance reduction were slower on-contract growth, delays in new business awards, and delays in new program ramps.
Guidance Reduction
Shares of SAIC, one of the leading providers of defense IT services, are trading down 6% after the company reported mixed second-quarter results and a sizable guidance reduction for fiscal 2026 and 2027.
Revenue
Second-quarter revenue was below consensus. SAIC reported revenue of $1.77 billion, compared with consensus of $1.86 billion.

Science Applications (SAIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Science Applications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionScience Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and enterprise information technology (IT) services primarily in the United States. The company's offerings include engineering; technology integration; IT modernization; maintenance of ground and maritime systems; logistics; training and simulation; operation and program support services; and end-to-end services, such as design, development, integration, deployment, management and operations, sustainment, and security of its customers' IT infrastructure, as well as cloud migration, managed services, infrastructure modernization, and enterprise IT-as-a-service solutions. It serves the U.S. military comprising Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines, and Coast Guard; Department of Defense agencies; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; the U.S. Department of State; Department of Justice; Department of Homeland Security; and various intelligence community agencies, as well as U.S. federal civilian agencies. The company was formerly known as SAIC Gemini, Inc. and changed its name to Science Applications International Corporation in September 2013. Science Applications International Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneySAIC generates revenue through a combination of government contracts and commercial services. A significant portion of its income comes from long-term contracts with U.S. government agencies, including the Department of Defense and other federal entities, which require specialized engineering and IT services. Additionally, the company earns revenue by providing consulting services, system integration, and cybersecurity solutions to commercial clients. Key revenue streams include fixed-price contracts, cost-reimbursable contracts, and time-and-materials contracts. Partnerships with technology providers and participation in large-scale government programs also contribute to its earnings, allowing SAIC to leverage advanced technologies and enhance its service offerings.

Science Applications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 04, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there are positive developments in profit margins, book-to-bill ratios, and AI integration, the revenue decline and challenging environment due to delays in new business awards and on-contract growth uncertainties are significant concerns.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
The company reported a book-to-bill ratio comfortably over 1.0 for the second consecutive quarter, with a year-to-date book-to-bill of 1.4.
Improved Profit Margins
Profit margins rebounded well from the first quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.5%, reflecting improved profitability across the contract portfolio.
Effective Cost Efficiency Initiatives
The company is implementing cost efficiency initiatives to mitigate the impact on EBITDA and free cash flow, increasing confidence in margin improvement plans.
Artificial Intelligence Integration
Increased opportunities to drive greater efficiency through AI adoption in core operations expected to be a tailwind for margins and customer savings.
Positive Political Support
Encouraged by political support for funding in areas like border security, FAA modernization, and homeland missile defense.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue declined 2.7% year over year due to slower conversion of on-contract growth opportunities, program disruptions, and delays in new business awards.
Challenging Revenue Environment
Lowered fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $7.25 billion to $7.325 billion, representing an organic contraction of 2% to 3%.
Delayed New Business Awards
New business awards, including a key program with the Navy valued at $350 million, will contribute modestly this year with more impact in fiscal year 2027.
Uncertainty in On-Contract Growth
On-contract revenue growth impacted by funding uncertainty and added scrutiny related to government spending reductions.
Potential Government Shutdown Impact
Concerns over potential government shutdown impacting revenue and cash flow, with historical shutdowns causing revenue impacts of less than 1% per month.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) reported a 2.7% year-over-year decline in revenue, attributed to slower conversion of on-contract growth opportunities, increased program disruptions, and delays in new business awards. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a book-to-bill ratio comfortably over 1.0 for the second consecutive quarter, bringing the year-to-date ratio to 1.4. Adjusted EBITDA reached $185 million, with a margin of 10.5%, while adjusted diluted earnings per share stood at $3.63, benefiting from a favorable tax settlement. Free cash flow improved to $150 million. SAIC revised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $7.25 billion to $7.325 billion, reflecting organic contraction of 2% to 3%, and adjusted its fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance to 0% to 3% growth. The company also increased its fiscal year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $9.40 to $9.60 and expects free cash flow to exceed $550 million, with plans to deliver nearly $12 in free cash flow per share in fiscal year 2026.

Science Applications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SAIC exhibits solid financial health with strong operating margins and cash flow efficiencies. The company maintains a stable leverage profile, though revenue growth and asset management could be optimized further for enhanced performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company shows a stable gross profit margin, indicating cost management efficiency, with a slight improvement in net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting solid operational performance. However, the revenue growth rate is modest, suggesting steady but not aggressive expansion.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced leverage approach. ROE is reasonable, demonstrating effective equity utilization. The equity ratio is stable, though there's room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, supported by consistent operating cash flow. Ratios of cash flows to net income are healthy, showcasing efficient cash management and conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.46B7.48B7.44B7.70B7.39B7.06B
Gross Profit893.00M892.00M872.00M888.00M859.00M792.00M
EBITDA691.00M694.00M882.00M650.00M628.00M572.00M
Net Income399.00M362.00M477.00M300.00M277.00M209.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.20B5.25B5.31B5.54B5.75B5.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.00M56.00M94.00M109.00M106.00M171.00M
Total Debt601.00M2.39B2.25B2.53B2.71B2.72B
Total Liabilities3.68B3.67B3.53B3.84B4.12B4.17B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.58B1.78B1.69B1.62B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow456.00M458.00M369.00M507.00M482.00M709.00M
Operating Cash Flow480.00M494.00M396.00M532.00M518.00M755.00M
Investing Cash Flow-41.00M-35.00M314.00M-36.00M-292.00M-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow-439.00M-498.00M-725.00M-493.00M-301.00M464.00M

Science Applications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price104.93
Price Trends
50DMA
114.99
Negative
100DMA
114.48
Negative
200DMA
112.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.03
Positive
RSI
26.13
Positive
STOCH
14.41
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAIC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 104.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.57, below the 50-day MA of 114.99, and below the 200-day MA of 112.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.13 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.41 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SAIC.

Science Applications Risk Analysis

Science Applications disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Science Applications reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Science Applications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$7.82B14.8921.86%1.44%7.37%-14.64%
78
Outperform
$22.97B16.9330.76%0.88%6.53%230.23%
76
Outperform
$2.06B26.7211.46%1.43%9.16%16.38%
68
Neutral
$10.43B21.2313.49%12.64%19.79%
61
Neutral
$35.55B8.91-10.55%1.87%8.47%-8.26%
60
Neutral
$4.83B12.6825.40%1.41%2.23%48.38%
48
Neutral
$7.57B26.7826.55%-3.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAIC
Science Applications
104.93
-28.00
-21.06%
CACI
Caci International
474.45
4.37
0.93%
FORTY
Formula Systems
136.79
63.99
87.90%
G
Genpact
44.88
6.68
17.49%
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
179.00
27.19
17.91%
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
32.76
9.75
42.37%

Science Applications Corporate Events

Dividends
SAIC Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Announcement
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, SAIC’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.37 per share, payable on October 24, 2025, to stockholders of record on October 10, 2025. This announcement reflects SAIC’s commitment to providing quarterly dividends, subject to the board’s evaluation of earnings, financial conditions, and capital requirements. This decision underscores the company’s stable financial health and its strategic approach to shareholder returns.

Executive/Board Changes
Science Applications Appoints David Urban to Board
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Science Applications International Corporation announced the appointment of David Urban to its Board of Directors, effective September 15, 2025, increasing the board size from eleven to twelve members. Mr. Urban, who brings extensive leadership experience from various sectors including legal, business, and military, will also join the Audit Committee. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance the company’s governance and leverage Mr. Urban’s diverse expertise to strengthen its industry positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Science Applications Holds Virtual Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Science Applications International Corporation held its virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 82.7% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, all nominees to the Board of Directors were elected for one-year terms, the executive compensation was approved in a non-binding vote, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 30, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025