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C3ai (AI)
NYSE:AI

C3ai (AI) AI Stock Analysis

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AI

C3ai

(NYSE:AI)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(6.76% Upside)
C3ai's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses and negative cash flow being major concerns. While recent earnings call highlights some positive growth in bookings and strategic partnerships, the financial instability and valuation issues weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and while corporate events show promise, they are not enough to offset the broader financial difficulties.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with major government entities like the U.S. Army enhance C3.ai's credibility and market reach, supporting long-term growth in the defense sector.
Federal Sector Growth
Strong growth in federal bookings indicates robust demand for C3.ai's solutions, enhancing revenue stability and market positioning in a key sector.
Product Innovation
Recognition as a leading AI platform underscores C3.ai's innovation capabilities, strengthening its competitive edge in the industrial AI market.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow strains financial resources, limiting C3.ai's ability to invest in growth initiatives and potentially impacting long-term viability.
Operating and Net Losses
Continued operating and net losses highlight profitability challenges, which could hinder C3.ai's ability to sustain operations without external funding.
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth suggests potential market challenges or operational inefficiencies, which could weaken C3.ai's competitive position over time.

C3ai (AI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

C3ai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionC3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) software company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It provides C3 AI application platform, an application development and runtime environment that enables customers to design, develop, and deploy enterprise AI applications; C3 AI Ex Machina to for analysis-ready data; C3 AI CRM, an industry specific customer relationship management solution; and C3 AI Data Vision that visualizes, understands, and leverages the relationships between data entities. It also offers C3 AI applications, including C3 AI Inventory Optimization, a solution to optimize raw material, in-process, and finished goods inventory levels; C3 AI Supply Network Risk, which provides visibility into risks of disruption throughout the supply chain operations; C3 AI Customer Churn Management, which enables account executives and relationship managers to monitor customer satisfaction, as well as to prevent customer churn with AI-based and human-interpretable predictions and warning; C3 AI Production Schedule Optimization, a solution for scheduling production; C3 AI Predictive Maintenance, which provides insight into asset risk to maintenance planners and equipment operators; C3 AI Fraud Detection solution that identify revenue leakage or maintenance and safety issues; and C3 AI Energy Management solution. In addition, it offers integrated turnkey enterprise AI applications for oil and gas, chemicals, utilities, manufacturing, financial services, defense, intelligence, aerospace, healthcare, and telecommunications market segments. It has strategic partnerships with Baker Hughes in the areas of oil and gas market; FIS in the areas of financial services market; Raytheon; and AWS, Intel, Google, and Microsoft. The company was formerly known as C3 IoT, Inc. and changed its name to C3.ai, Inc. in June 2019. C3.ai, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyC3.ai generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for access to its AI software and services. This includes licensing fees for the C3 AI Suite and associated applications, which can be tailored to specific organizational needs. Additionally, the company earns revenue from professional services, including implementation, customization, and support for its software solutions. Strategic partnerships with major firms and technology providers enhance its market reach and credibility, contributing to its earnings. C3.ai also benefits from long-term contracts with clients, ensuring a steady revenue stream as they continue to integrate AI into their operations.

C3ai Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down income by business unit, providing insights into which areas are contributing most to growth and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsC3.ai's subscription revenue has shown consistent growth, recently reaching $87.3 million, reflecting a 9% increase. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its partner ecosystem, which has significantly boosted agreements. The renewal of the Baker Hughes partnership underscores strong ties in the oil and gas sector, contributing to robust revenue growth. However, the broader revenue guidance for FY 2026 suggests caution due to geopolitical and economic uncertainties, despite the company's solid financial position and positive cash flow.
Data provided by:The Fly

C3ai Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 03, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed sentiment, with strong sequential growth in revenue and bookings, particularly in the federal sector, and a robust partner ecosystem. However, significant challenges included the negative impacts of an extended government shutdown, large operating and net losses, and negative free cash flow.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sequential Growth in Revenue and Bookings
Revenue grew 7% sequentially, while bookings increased by 49% to $86 million.
Federal Business Performance
Total bookings across federal, defense, and aerospace increased by 89% year over year, accounting for 45% of total bookings.
Expansion of Partner Ecosystem
89% of Q2 bookings were closed through the partner ecosystem, with a 108% year-over-year growth in the joint twelve-month qualified opportunity pipeline.
Product Innovation and Recognition
Launch of C3.ai, Inc. Genetic cross automation and recognition as the leading AI software platform in industrial AI by Verdantex.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Impact
The 43-day government shutdown created headwinds across federal business sectors, including shipbuilding, healthcare, manufacturing, and industrials.
Operating and Net Losses
Non-GAAP operating loss for the quarter was $42.2 million, with a non-GAAP net loss of $34.8 million.
Negative Free Cash Flow
The company reported a negative free cash flow of $46.9 million for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the C3.ai, Inc.'s Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported significant growth metrics and outlined strategic initiatives. Revenue grew by 7% sequentially to $75.1 million, with bookings increasing by 49% to $86.4 million. The company closed 17 agreements over $1 million and six over $5 million, highlighting strong deal activity. The federal sector showed robust performance, with bookings up 89% year over year, accounting for 45% of total bookings. The company emphasized its shift towards commercial off-the-shelf solutions to meet federal mandates, driving a 146% increase in joint qualified pipeline with Microsoft and a 172% increase with AWS. Additionally, C3.ai focused on improving sales execution, emphasizing Initial Production Deployments (IPDs) as a key growth driver. The company's financial guidance projects Q3 revenue between $72 million and $80 million, with a non-GAAP operating loss of $44 million to $52 million, and a fiscal year 2026 revenue range of $289.5 million to $309.5 million.

C3ai Financial Statement Overview

Summary
C3ai faces substantial financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement shows declining revenue and significant losses, while the balance sheet reflects low leverage but poor returns on equity. Cash flow analysis reveals negative cash generation, despite some improvement in free cash flow growth. The company needs to address profitability and cash flow issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
C3ai's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 51.76%, but net profit margin is deeply negative at -108.05%. The company has experienced a revenue decline of 4.36% in the TTM, indicating potential market challenges or operational inefficiencies. Despite a relatively stable gross profit margin, the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative at -40.84% in the TTM, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the negative ROE indicates that the company is not generating returns for its shareholders.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
C3ai's cash flow statement highlights significant challenges with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The TTM data shows a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.03, indicating that free cash flow is slightly better than net income, but both are negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.69, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. Despite a high free cash flow growth rate, the overall cash flow position remains weak.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue389.06M310.58M266.80M252.76M183.22M
Gross Profit235.86M178.56M180.46M189.05M138.70M
EBITDA-311.82M-306.92M-284.40M-190.93M-55.96M
Net Income-288.70M-279.70M-268.84M-192.06M-55.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B1.04B1.10B1.17B1.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments742.69M750.37M730.98M960.16M1.09B
Total Debt4.79M3.23M2.34M3.61M3.89M
Total Liabilities187.58M164.87M173.36M181.41M135.30M
Stockholders Equity838.30M873.35M929.66M989.48M1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.45M-90.37M-187.21M-90.75M-39.18M
Operating Cash Flow-41.41M-62.36M-115.69M-86.46M-37.55M
Investing Cash Flow16.40M-66.61M59.95M317.01M-767.15M
Financing Cash Flow22.22M11.29M621.00K5.71M887.36M

C3ai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.05
Price Trends
50DMA
16.02
Negative
100DMA
17.21
Negative
200DMA
20.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
40.22
Neutral
STOCH
13.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.59, below the 50-day MA of 16.02, and below the 200-day MA of 20.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AI.

C3ai Risk Analysis

C3ai disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. C3ai reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

C3ai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.24B15.3922.32%1.42%7.40%-14.45%
70
Neutral
$11.37B31.1810.21%14.26%-15.49%
69
Neutral
$2.46B8.347.08%3.40%3.40%53.13%
67
Neutral
$2.91B29.464.91%5.56%-42.38%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
$2.56B-3.83-111.83%-6.95%-53.69%
47
Neutral
$2.04B-4.96-46.77%1.84%-27.74%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AI
C3ai
14.05
-22.29
-61.34%
EPAM
Epam Systems
204.33
-43.93
-17.70%
G
Genpact
47.95
6.39
15.38%
GLOB
Globant SA
66.61
-154.88
-69.93%
CNXC
Concentrix
39.99
0.54
1.37%
BBAI
BigBearai Holdings
5.44
2.33
74.92%

C3ai Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
C3 AI Appoints Mike Clayville to Board of Directors
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 9, 2025, C3 AI expanded its board of directors by appointing Mike Clayville as a Class II director, effective immediately. Clayville, who has extensive experience in enterprise software and cloud infrastructure, will serve until the company’s 2028 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. His appointment is expected to enhance C3 AI’s growth and customer relationship strategies, leveraging his background from roles at Stripe and Amazon Web Services. This strategic move underscores C3 AI’s commitment to addressing challenges in Enterprise AI and strengthening its market position.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
C3.ai Confirms Director Elections at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 3, 2025, C3.ai, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders virtually, where stockholders voted on three key proposals. The election of Class II directors was confirmed, the compensation of named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2026.

Business Operations and Strategy
C3.ai Approves 2025 Inducement Plan for Talent Acquisition
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 14, 2025, C3.ai’s Board of Directors approved the 2025 Inducement Plan, allowing for equity-based awards to be granted without stockholder approval. This plan aims to attract new talent by offering stock options and other awards, potentially enhancing the company’s competitive positioning in the AI industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025