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Outfront Media Inc (OUT)
NYSE:OUT
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Outfront Media (OUT) AI Stock Analysis

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OUT

Outfront Media

(NYSE:OUT)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(8.41% Upside)
Outfront Media's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong technical momentum and strategic restructuring efforts against challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The high dividend yield is a positive factor, but valuation concerns persist.
Positive Factors
Digital Revenue Growth
The growth in digital revenues indicates a successful shift towards more technologically advanced advertising solutions, enhancing long-term competitiveness and market relevance.
Transit Revenue Increase
The increase in transit revenue, especially in digital formats, suggests strong demand and growth potential in urban advertising markets, supporting future revenue stability.
Leadership Stability
The appointment of a seasoned CEO provides leadership stability and strategic direction, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Billboard Revenue Decline
The decline in billboard revenue reflects challenges in maintaining traditional advertising streams, which could affect overall revenue stability if not offset by growth in other areas.
Negative Cash Flow Growth
Declining cash flow growth indicates potential difficulties in funding operations and investments, which could hinder the company's ability to execute strategic initiatives.

Outfront Media (OUT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Outfront Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOutfront Media Inc. leverages the power of technology, location and creativity to connect brands with consumers outside of their homes through one of the largest and most diverse sets of billboard, transit, and mobile assets in North America. Through its technology platform, Outfront Media Inc. will fundamentally change the ways advertisers engage audiences on-the-go.
How the Company Makes MoneyOutfront Media generates revenue primarily through the leasing of advertising space on its out-of-home media properties. The company operates on a revenue model that includes both long-term contracts and short-term campaigns, allowing flexibility for advertisers. Key revenue streams include traditional billboard advertising, digital advertising, and transit advertising, which encompasses bus shelters, subways, and other public transportation venues. Additionally, Outfront Media benefits from partnerships with local municipalities and transit authorities that provide exclusive advertising rights, enhancing its inventory and market reach. The company also invests in technology to improve targeting and measurement, which attracts more advertisers and contributes to revenue growth.

Outfront Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased significant strategic restructuring and positive developments in transit and digital revenues, indicating strong future potential. However, challenges such as declines in billboard and enterprise revenues, as well as workforce reductions, present obstacles. The call reflects a balanced sentiment with both promising advancements and notable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Organizational Restructuring
OUTFRONT Media underwent a major internal reorganization, rebranding local sales teams as commercial and national sales teams as enterprise. This aims to optimize sales strategies and increase efficiency.
Transit Revenue Growth
Transit revenue grew by 5.6% with a notable 17% increase in digital revenues, driven by broad-based growth across most franchises.
Digital Revenue Performance
Digital revenues represented over 34% of total organic revenues and grew by 1.5% in the quarter. Excluding certain contract exits, digital revenue growth would have been about 5%.
Cost Reduction and Financial Flexibility
OUTFRONT Media incurred a $19.8 million restructuring charge leading to an expected annualized expense savings of $18 million to $20 million, enhancing financial flexibility.
Positive AFFO Growth
Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) was $85 million, driven by higher billboard and transit OIBDA and lower interest expense.
Negative Updates
Billboard Revenue Decline
Billboard revenue decreased by 2.5% due to exits from two large, marginally profitable billboard contracts in New York and L.A. Static billboard revenue was down 1.6% and digital billboard revenue was down 4.5%.
Enterprise Revenue Decline
Enterprise revenue, formerly classified as national, declined by 4% during the second quarter, with billboard results offsetting transit growth.
Restructuring and Workforce Reduction
A restructuring charge of $19.8 million was incurred due to the reduction of approximately 120 employees, impacting the workforce.
Weakness in Entertainment Vertical
Entertainment was one of the weaker categories with lower spending from some key studios, despite higher spending from others like Universal and Disney.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 earnings call, OUTFRONT Media provided guidance indicating a stable performance with organic revenues essentially flat, aligning with previous guidance. OIBDA was reported at $124 million, while AFFO was $85 million. Billboard revenues declined by 2.5%, influenced by the strategic exit from two large contracts in New York and L.A., yet transit revenues grew by 5.6%, driven primarily by a 17% increase in digital revenues. Digital revenues overall rose by 1.5%, comprising over 34% of total organic revenues. The company aims for mid-single-digit growth in AFFO for the full year 2025. Additionally, OUTFRONT has reorganized its sales strategy into distinct enterprise and commercial teams and is implementing cost-saving measures, including a restructuring that led to a $19.8 million charge but is expected to save $18-20 million annually. Looking ahead, OUTFRONT projects low single-digit growth in consolidated revenues for the third quarter, with anticipated double-digit growth in transit revenues.

Outfront Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Outfront Media's financial performance is mixed. While the company maintains strong profit margins, it faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation. High leverage is a concern, though improvements in the debt-to-equity ratio are positive.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Outfront Media's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -0.943%. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 48.62% and a net profit margin of 14.60%. The EBIT margin is healthy at 22.20%, although the EBITDA margin has decreased to 21.43% from the previous year's 31.50%. Overall, the company demonstrates profitability but faces challenges in revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.76, indicating significant leverage, although it has improved from the previous year's 5.22. The return on equity is strong at 37.06%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, reflecting a heavy reliance on debt financing. The company needs to manage its leverage to mitigate financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth at -2.59% for the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, suggesting that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow. While cash flow generation is adequate, the negative growth trend is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.83B1.82B1.77B1.46B1.24B
Gross Profit872.70M881.90M852.30M860.70M679.90M525.50M
EBITDA551.60M576.80M-105.70M438.20M307.40M218.40M
Net Income107.50M258.20M-430.40M147.90M35.60M-59.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.15B5.22B5.58B5.99B5.92B5.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.50M46.90M36.00M40.40M424.80M710.40M
Total Debt4.06B4.01B4.34B4.21B4.12B4.13B
Total Liabilities4.47B4.43B4.85B4.76B4.53B4.51B
Stockholders Equity658.90M768.80M726.80M1.23B1.38B1.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow206.10M221.10M167.40M157.50M8.50M53.50M
Operating Cash Flow298.30M299.20M254.20M254.10M98.80M130.60M
Investing Cash Flow-113.50M207.50M-107.50M-449.50M-224.00M-53.20M
Financing Cash Flow-205.90M-495.40M-151.50M-188.00M-162.20M573.00M

Outfront Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.91
Price Trends
50DMA
17.85
Positive
100DMA
16.69
Positive
200DMA
16.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
59.72
Neutral
STOCH
71.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OUT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.54, above the 50-day MA of 17.85, and above the 200-day MA of 16.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OUT.

Outfront Media Risk Analysis

Outfront Media disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Outfront Media reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Outfront Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.31B27.067.56%5.95%1.37%-16.66%
77
Outperform
$13.04B30.0341.80%4.82%3.08%-12.87%
66
Neutral
$2.29B22.587.11%1.62%55.45%
66
Neutral
$3.13B30.9214.89%8.81%-2.49%-52.99%
63
Neutral
$7.15B13.38-0.30%6.85%4.03%-25.34%
59
Neutral
$3.30B78.792.07%4.22%-1.15%14.51%
57
Neutral
$1.70B29.20-3.72%2.82%1.95%353.63%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OUT
Outfront Media
18.91
2.91
18.19%
CXW
CoreCivic
21.10
7.94
60.33%
LAMR
Lamar Advertising
127.60
4.59
3.73%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
41.34
-2.55
-5.81%
EPR
EPR Properties
58.47
12.99
28.56%
UNIT
Uniti Group
6.94
-2.22
-24.24%

Outfront Media Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Outfront Media Appoints Nicolas Brien as CEO
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Outfront Media Inc. appointed Nicolas Brien as its Chief Executive Officer. Brien, who has been serving as the Interim CEO since February 2025, brings extensive experience from leadership roles in major advertising and media companies. His appointment is accompanied by a comprehensive employment agreement detailing salary, bonuses, and equity incentives. Additionally, Michael Barrett and Nicolle Pangis were elected to the Board of Directors, with Barrett joining the Nominating and Governance Committee and Pangis joining the Compensation Committee.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Outfront Media Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, OUTFRONT Media announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on September 30, 2025. The company reported second-quarter 2025 revenues of $460.2 million, a decrease of 3.6% from the previous year, with operating income at $56.2 million and net income at $19.5 million. The company underwent internal restructuring to drive future growth, despite a decrease in billboard segment revenues by 2.5% and an increase in transit segment revenues by 5.6%. The company continues to focus on optimizing its operations and reducing expenses.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Outfront Media Announces Workforce Restructuring Plan
Negative
Jun 24, 2025

On June 23, 2025, OUTFRONT Media Inc. announced a restructuring plan to enhance sales, customer experience, and cost efficiency, involving a 6% workforce reduction. The plan, expected to complete by the end of Q2 2025, will incur $18.6 million in restructuring charges but aims to save $18-20 million annually, impacting the company’s financial guidance for 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
Outfront Media Appoints Mark Carleton to Board
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, OUTFRONT Media Inc. announced the election of Mark Carleton to its Board of Directors, effective June 11, 2025. Mr. Carleton will also join the audit committee, with his term lasting until the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. His compensation includes an annual cash retainer and equity grants, aligning with the company’s compensation policy for non-employee directors. This appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s governance structure and potentially enhance its strategic oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025