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Outfront Media Inc (OUT)
NYSE:OUT

Outfront Media (OUT) AI Stock Analysis

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Outfront Media

(NYSE:OUT)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(3.61% Upside)
Outfront Media's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment. However, high leverage and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The company's strategic initiatives and dividend yield provide some support, but operational efficiency improvements are needed to enhance financial stability.
Positive Factors
Digital Revenue Growth
Strong growth in digital transit revenues highlights Outfront Media's successful adaptation to digital trends, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
Leadership Strengthening
New leadership hires with strong backgrounds in marketing and digital strategy can drive innovation and enhance competitive positioning.
Improved Liquidity
The new credit agreement enhances liquidity, providing financial flexibility to support strategic initiatives and long-term growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Decline in Billboard Revenues
The decline in billboard revenues indicates challenges in maintaining traditional revenue streams, impacting overall revenue stability.
Decreased Profitability
Reduced profitability reflects operational challenges, requiring efficiency improvements to sustain long-term financial health.

Outfront Media (OUT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Outfront Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOutfront Media Inc. leverages the power of technology, location and creativity to connect brands with consumers outside of their homes through one of the largest and most diverse sets of billboard, transit, and mobile assets in North America. Through its technology platform, Outfront Media Inc. will fundamentally change the ways advertisers engage audiences on-the-go.
How the Company Makes MoneyOutfront Media generates revenue primarily through the sale of advertising space on its inventory of outdoor displays, which includes static billboards, digital billboards, and transit advertising placements. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts with advertisers, which can range from a few weeks to several years. Key revenue streams include direct sales to brands and advertising agencies, as well as partnerships with transit authorities and property owners for the placement of advertising on public transport and private properties. Additionally, Outfront Media benefits from digital advertising, which allows for dynamic content and targeted campaigns, thus attracting a diverse range of advertisers seeking to engage with consumers in real-time. The company's strategic focus on high-traffic urban areas and its ability to leverage data analytics for audience measurement also contribute significantly to its earnings.

Outfront Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong growth in transit and digital revenues, offsetting some challenges in billboard revenues and weaker performance in certain categories. The company has demonstrated significant OIBDA and AFFO growth, with an optimistic forecast for the remainder of the year.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Transit Segment Growth
Transit revenue grew 24% in Q3 2025, led by the New York MTA with a 37% increase, driven by large campaigns in tech, finance, CPG, pharma, and health categories.
Significant Increase in Digital Revenue
Digital transit revenues grew over 50% to $56 million. Combined digital revenue performance grew over 12% in the quarter, representing 35.4% of total revenues.
Impressive OIBDA and AFFO Growth
Consolidated OIBDA was up 17% to $137 million, and AFFO was up 24% to $100 million.
Billboard Adjusted OIBDA Margin Improvement
Billboard adjusted OIBDA margin increased by 170 basis points year-over-year to 39.5%.
Increased AFFO Guidance
AFFO guidance for the full year 2025 is raised to high single-digit growth, up from mid-single-digit expectation.
Negative Updates
Decline in Billboard Revenues
Billboard revenues were down 2.2% due to the exit of two large marginally profitable billboard contracts in New York and L.A.
Weaker Performance in Certain Categories
Weaker revenue categories included retail, alcohol, and government political sectors during the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the OUTFRONT Media Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the guidance emphasized several key metrics reflecting strong performance and strategic growth. Consolidated revenues increased by 3.5%, driven by a significant 24% growth in transit revenues, particularly within the New York MTA, which saw a 37% surge. The company's adjusted OIBDA rose by 17% to $137 million, while AFFO increased by 24% to $100 million. Billboard revenues, however, faced a slight decline of 2.2% due to the exit of two large contracts, though excluding these, revenues would have risen by over 1%. Digital transit revenues soared by over 50%, contributing to a robust digital revenue growth of over 12%, which constituted 35.4% of total revenues. The company announced an increase in their full-year AFFO guidance to a high single-digit range, reflecting growing efficiency and strategic initiatives. Additionally, OUTFRONT Media successfully refinanced their senior secured credit facilities, extending maturity dates and increasing liquidity to over $700 million, while net leverage improved to 4.7x. Looking ahead, the company anticipates fourth-quarter revenue growth in the low to mid-single digits, buoyed by mid-teens growth in transit despite headwinds from strategic billboard contract exits.

Outfront Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Outfront Media shows strong revenue growth and positive cash flow trends, but faces challenges with declining profitability and high leverage. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and reduce debt for better financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Outfront Media's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is healthy at 49.17%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased significantly from 14.10% in 2024 to 6.86% in the TTM, reflecting a decline in profitability. Revenue growth is strong at 86.9% TTM, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, suggesting increased operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.84 TTM, indicating significant leverage, though it has improved from 5.22 in 2024. Return on equity has decreased to 18.70% TTM from 33.58% in 2024, showing reduced efficiency in generating profits from equity. The equity ratio remains low, highlighting potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends, with a free cash flow growth rate of 10.04% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 0.61, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.72 suggests strong cash flow relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.81B1.83B1.82B1.77B1.46B1.24B
Gross Profit890.70M881.90M857.50M855.50M679.90M525.50M
EBITDA428.40M576.80M-100.50M433.00M307.40M218.40M
Net Income124.20M258.20M-425.20M142.70M35.60M-61.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.21B5.22B5.58B5.99B5.92B5.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.00M46.90M36.00M40.40M424.80M710.40M
Total Debt4.12B4.01B4.34B4.21B4.12B4.13B
Total Liabilities4.53B4.43B4.85B4.64B4.53B4.51B
Stockholders Equity662.40M768.80M697.10M1.35B1.38B1.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow215.30M221.10M167.40M157.50M8.50M53.50M
Operating Cash Flow314.00M299.20M254.20M254.10M98.80M130.60M
Investing Cash Flow-110.50M207.50M-107.50M-449.50M-224.00M-53.20M
Financing Cash Flow-168.50M-495.40M-151.50M-188.00M-162.20M573.00M

Outfront Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.13
Price Trends
50DMA
20.98
Positive
100DMA
19.48
Positive
200DMA
17.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.83
Positive
RSI
64.20
Neutral
STOCH
56.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OUT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.56, above the 50-day MA of 20.98, and above the 200-day MA of 17.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OUT.

Outfront Media Risk Analysis

Outfront Media disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Outfront Media reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Outfront Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.81B21.818.44%7.05%2.93%-0.87%
73
Outperform
$2.00B19.187.41%5.72%47.75%
72
Outperform
$12.84B29.8238.63%4.90%3.04%-14.88%
69
Neutral
$4.02B35.0817.74%5.02%-1.48%-50.05%
68
Neutral
$1.71B1.3838.93%952.55%
66
Neutral
$3.09B48.913.25%4.53%5.40%294.38%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OUT
Outfront Media
24.13
7.34
43.72%
CXW
CoreCivic
19.22
-2.36
-10.94%
LAMR
Lamar Advertising
126.55
11.55
10.04%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
40.08
3.02
8.15%
EPR
EPR Properties
50.07
8.76
21.21%
UNIT
Uniti Group
7.03
-1.86
-20.92%

Outfront Media Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Outfront Media Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, OUTFRONT Media announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on December 31, 2025. The company’s third-quarter results showed a revenue increase to $467.5 million, driven by strong transit segment performance, particularly in New York City. Despite a decrease in billboard segment revenues, the company reported an overall increase in operating income and adjusted OIBDA, indicating a strengthening business momentum as the year closes.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Outfront Media Secures $1 Billion Credit Agreement
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Outfront Media Inc. entered into a credit agreement to refinance its existing senior secured credit facilities, securing a $1.0 billion borrowing capacity. This agreement includes a $500 million revolving credit facility maturing in 2030 and a $500 million term loan maturing in 2032, aimed at repaying existing obligations and supporting general corporate purposes. Additionally, the company granted a one-time long-term equity incentive award to its CFO, Matthew Siegel, valued at $400,000, contingent on stock performance over three years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025