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PotlatchDeltic Corporation (PCH)
NASDAQ:PCH
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PotlatchDeltic (PCH) AI Stock Analysis

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PCH

PotlatchDeltic

(NASDAQ:PCH)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
â–²(4.91% Upside)
PotlatchDeltic's overall score reflects strong cash flow and strategic initiatives, offset by declining profitability and bearish technical indicators. The company's valuation appears stretched, but the dividend yield offers some compensation.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Strong cash flow growth indicates effective cash management and resilience, providing the company with flexibility for investments and debt management.
Real Estate Performance
Strong real estate performance enhances revenue diversification and supports financial stability, leveraging the company's extensive land holdings.
Merger with Rayonier
The merger is expected to enhance operational efficiencies and cost optimization, strengthening the company's competitive position in the industry.
Negative Factors
Declining Margins
Declining margins suggest challenges in cost management or pricing power, which may affect profitability and long-term financial health.
Weak Lumber Market
Weak lumber prices impact the profitability of the Wood Products segment, posing a challenge to the company's revenue and margin sustainability.
Challenging Housing Market
A challenging housing market can limit growth opportunities in the real estate segment, affecting revenue and strategic initiatives.

PotlatchDeltic (PCH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PotlatchDeltic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPotlatchDeltic (NASDAQ:PCH) is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that owns 1.8 million acres of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Louisiana, Minnesota and Mississippi. Through its taxable REIT subsidiary, the company also operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, a residential and commercial real estate development business and a rural timberland sales program. PotlatchDeltic, a leader in sustainable forest management, is committed to environmental and social responsibility and to responsible governance.
How the Company Makes MoneyPotlatchDeltic generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary revenue source comes from the sale of timber and wood products, which includes logs, lumber, and other forest-derived products. The company's sustainable timber management practices ensure a steady supply of raw materials for both internal and external sales. Additionally, the real estate segment contributes significantly to revenue through the development and sale of residential and commercial properties. This includes land sales and the monetization of real estate assets. The company also engages in partnerships with various developers and builders, enhancing its market reach and profitability. Factors such as timber prices, real estate market conditions, and operational efficiencies play critical roles in the company's overall financial performance.

PotlatchDeltic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balance of strong real estate performance and strategic initiatives like the proposed merger with Rayonier, against challenges in the lumber and housing markets. While operational efficiencies and long-term optimism were highlighted, immediate market conditions remain challenging.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Real Estate Performance
The real estate segment delivered robust performance, driven by 15,600 acres sold at an average price of nearly $3,300 per acre, including two large transactions in Georgia totaling $39 million.
Timberlands Segment Achievement
The Timberlands segment delivered on its Q3 planned harvest volume of 1.9 million tons, with Idaho producing its highest quarterly volume this year.
Proposed Merger with Rayonier
PotlatchDeltic announced a merger with Rayonier, expected to create significant synergies of $40 million primarily through corporate and operational cost optimization.
Increased Liquidity and Financial Stability
The company finished the quarter with $388 million in liquidity and maintained a weighted average cost of debt at approximately 2.3%.
Positive Long-term Outlook
The company maintains a positive view on long-term industry fundamentals, with expectations of improved lumber pricing due to tariffs and supply reductions.
Negative Updates
Weak Lumber Market
The Wood Products segment reported an EBITDA loss of $2 million, driven by historically weak lumber prices.
Challenging U.S. Housing Market
Overall housing demand remains constrained by weaker consumer confidence and affordability challenges, although there are signs of improvement.
Pulpwood Market Pressures
Continued mill closures and capacity reductions in the pulpwood market are putting pressure on pricing.
Company Guidance
During PotlatchDeltic's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on various key metrics. The total adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was reported at $89 million, a significant increase from the $52 million recorded in the previous quarter. This increase was largely driven by strong performance in the real estate segment, which included rural and development sales. The Timberlands segment achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $41 million, with a harvest volume of 1.9 million tons, while the Wood Products segment faced an EBITDA loss of $2 million due to historically weak lumber prices. On a positive note, lumber shipments increased to 333 million board feet, and the company achieved its lowest average manufacturing cost per thousand board feet since Q2 2021. In real estate, the company completed notable transactions in Georgia, generating $39 million in revenue, and saw continued strong demand for rural properties. PotlatchDeltic also highlighted its ongoing merger with Rayonier, expecting synergies of $40 million, and discussed its strategic initiatives in natural climate solutions, with 34,000 acres under solar option agreements, expanding to 40,000-45,000 acres by year-end. Looking ahead, the company anticipates a decline in fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA due to seasonal and market factors, while maintaining optimism for improved lumber pricing and a favorable housing market environment in 2026.

PotlatchDeltic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PotlatchDeltic demonstrates operational efficiency with positive EBIT and EBITDA margins but faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced leverage position, while cash flow metrics indicate room for improvement in cash generation. The company should focus on enhancing revenue growth and profitability to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
PotlatchDeltic's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a decrease in revenue growth rate by -4.15% and a reduction in gross profit margin to 16.29%. Net profit margin also decreased to 3.94%. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin of 6.01% and EBITDA margin of 15.98%, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56, indicating a balanced leverage position. Return on equity is relatively low at 2.08%, suggesting limited profitability from equity. The equity ratio stands at 60.34%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which provides stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by -22.62% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, suggesting a reasonable conversion of earnings into free cash flow, albeit with room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.12B1.06B1.02B1.33B1.34B1.04B
Gross Profit175.22M116.40M124.50M523.96M621.59M353.15M
EBITDA197.28M33.19M207.26M524.95M615.72M356.89M
Net Income64.25M21.88M62.10M333.90M423.86M166.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.17B3.31B3.43B3.55B2.54B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.77M151.55M230.12M343.81M296.15M252.34M
Total Debt1.07B1.03B1.03B1.03B758.26M761.65M
Total Liabilities1.27B1.27B1.26B1.29B1.01B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.91B2.04B2.17B2.26B1.53B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow131.44M67.47M37.50M307.10M429.47M289.48M
Operating Cash Flow201.12M188.47M159.11M491.90M504.89M335.26M
Investing Cash Flow-55.00M-92.06M-95.30M-147.52M-59.15M-42.19M
Financing Cash Flow-213.58M-182.37M-171.71M-295.56M-401.31M-124.98M

PotlatchDeltic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.08
Price Trends
50DMA
40.67
Negative
100DMA
41.04
Negative
200DMA
40.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
44.08
Neutral
STOCH
73.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.57, below the 50-day MA of 40.67, and below the 200-day MA of 40.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PCH.

PotlatchDeltic Risk Analysis

PotlatchDeltic disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PotlatchDeltic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PotlatchDeltic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$3.33B8.9138.06%12.66%8.88%131.78%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$3.02B47.763.25%4.61%5.40%294.38%
59
Neutral
$15.95B48.463.42%3.80%-1.64%-37.58%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
39.08
-3.10
-7.35%
RYN
Rayonier
21.63
-5.38
-19.92%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
22.12
-8.58
-27.95%

PotlatchDeltic Corporate Events

PotlatchDeltic Reports Q3 Earnings and Merger Plans
Nov 5, 2025

PotlatchDeltic Corporation is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that owns timberlands across several U.S. states and operates in the forest products industry, focusing on sustainable forest management and real estate development.

PotlatchDeltic Navigates Market Challenges with Strategic Moves
Nov 5, 2025

PotlatchDeltic’s recent earnings call painted a picture of a company navigating a complex landscape with both opportunities and challenges. The sentiment was balanced, highlighting strong real estate performance and strategic initiatives such as the proposed merger with Rayonier. However, the call also acknowledged the immediate challenges in the lumber and housing markets, while emphasizing operational efficiencies and a positive long-term outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
PotlatchDeltic Announces Merger with Rayonier Inc.
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation and Rayonier Inc. announced an all-stock merger of equals, creating a leading land resources REIT with a diversified timberland portfolio and significant real estate development potential. The merger, unanimously approved by both companies’ boards, is expected to close in early 2026 and aims to leverage synergies, enhance operational scale, and capitalize on growth opportunities in land-based and natural climate solutions, benefiting stakeholders with anticipated annual synergies of $40 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCH) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PotlatchDeltic stock, see the PCH Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PotlatchDeltic Secures $127.5 Million Term Loan Amendment
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation and its subsidiaries entered into a Twelfth Amendment to their Term Loan Agreement, securing a $127.5 million unsecured multi-segment Term Loan X. The initial $100 million commitment was funded as a Daily Simple SOFR Loan, maturing in 2035, and was used to refinance an existing loan, potentially enhancing the company’s financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCH) stock is a Hold with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PotlatchDeltic stock, see the PCH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PotlatchDeltic Releases Strategic and Financial Presentation
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation released presentation materials on its website’s Investor Relations section, outlining its strategic positioning and financial expectations. The materials highlight the company’s leverage to lumber pricing, capital allocation strategies, and opportunities in natural climate solutions, such as solar and carbon credits. PotlatchDeltic is well-positioned to benefit from long-term drivers like housing demand and sustainability trends, supported by its strong balance sheet and integrated business model.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCH) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PotlatchDeltic stock, see the PCH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025