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Potlatchdeltic (PCH)
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PotlatchDeltic (PCH) AI Stock Analysis

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PCH

PotlatchDeltic

(NASDAQ:PCH)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
â–²(3.24%Upside)
PotlatchDeltic's stock is bolstered by a strong dividend yield and positive strategic outlook, but faces challenges from high valuation metrics and a mixed technical picture. Operational improvements and strategic investments are positive, yet potential market risks and regulatory impacts need consideration.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst upgrades PotlatchDeltic to Buy from Hold, indicating a belief in the company's strong position to benefit from rising lumber prices.
Lumber Market
PotlatchDeltic is expected to benefit from the tightening of lumber supply from Canada due to new US duties and tariffs on Canadian lumber producers.
Negative Factors
Timberlands Performance
There is a desire for better trends in Timberlands, as results were slightly below forecasts with lower guidance for the next quarter and 2025.

PotlatchDeltic (PCH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PotlatchDeltic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPotlatchDeltic (NASDAQ:PCH) is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that owns 1.8 million acres of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Louisiana, Minnesota and Mississippi. Through its taxable REIT subsidiary, the company also operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, a residential and commercial real estate development business and a rural timberland sales program. PotlatchDeltic, a leader in sustainable forest management, is committed to environmental and social responsibility and to responsible governance.
How the Company Makes MoneyPotlatchDeltic makes money through several key revenue streams. Firstly, the Resource segment generates revenue by harvesting and selling timber from its extensive timberland holdings. The Wood Products segment contributes to earnings by manufacturing and selling wood products like lumber and plywood to a variety of customers, including homebuilders and industrial manufacturers. Additionally, the Real Estate segment earns income by selling and leasing land for residential, commercial, and recreational uses. This diversified approach, coupled with strategic partnerships and sustainable forest management practices, helps PotlatchDeltic capitalize on market demand and optimize its revenue potential.

PotlatchDeltic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted successful operational improvements, strategic investments, and growth in natural climate solutions, yet acknowledged ongoing challenges in lumber market demand and potential impacts from regulatory changes.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Timberlands and Wood Products Segments
Total adjusted EBITDDA increased from $53 million in Q4 to $63 million in Q1, driven by higher harvest volumes and improved performance across all segments.
Waldo Sawmill Modernization Success
The Waldo, Arkansas sawmill reached its new targeted annual nameplate capacity of 275 million board feet, completing its ramp-up phase three months ahead of schedule.
Strong Real Estate Segment Performance
Sold over 7,000 acres in Q1, with demand for rural real estate for conservation and recreational purposes contributing to strong sales.
Growth in Solar and Lithium Initiatives
Expanded solar option contracts by an additional 3,000 acres, totaling 38,000 acres under option. A promising lithium development initiative is underway in Arkansas.
Successful Capital Deployment and Share Repurchases
Repurchased $8 million of common stock, taking advantage of the stock trading at a significant discount to estimated net asset value.
Negative Updates
Flat Demand Environment in Lumber Markets
Lumber markets face tepid demand from end markets, with stable housing starts and modest improvements in repair and remodel activities.
Challenges in Northern Lumber Markets
Northern lumber markets faced inventory hangovers from anticipated tariffs that did not materialize, affecting pricing dynamics.
Seasonal Decline Expected in Timberlands Segment
Q2 adjusted EBITDDA expected to be lower due to seasonally lower harvest volumes and higher forest management costs.
Potential Impact of Higher Canadian Lumber Duties
Preliminary Canadian softwood lumber duty rates are set to increase from 14% to over 34%, potentially impacting market dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the PotlatchDeltic First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Total adjusted EBITDDA for Q1 was reported at $63 million, reflecting a $10 million increase from the previous quarter, attributed to improved performance across all business segments. The timberlands segment saw an increase in adjusted EBITDDA from $34 million in Q4 to $42 million in Q1 due to higher harvest volumes and increased sawlog prices in Idaho. In the wood products segment, adjusted EBITDDA rose to $12 million from $9 million, driven by slightly higher lumber prices and increased shipment volumes, particularly from the Waldo sawmill. The real estate segment generated adjusted EBITDDA of $23 million, up from $19 million, with over 7,000 acres sold in Q1. The company outlined plans to harvest 1.6 to 1.7 million tons in Q2 and to ship 300 to 310 million board feet of lumber. Despite a challenging market environment, PotlatchDeltic remains optimistic about long-term industry fundamentals, with strategic investments and capital allocation strategies positioned to deliver shareholder value.

PotlatchDeltic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PotlatchDeltic demonstrates a balanced financial position with improving revenue and profitability metrics, robust equity, and positive cash flow trends. However, fluctuations in earnings and asset management challenges indicate areas for improvement. Continuous focus on operational efficiency and strategic asset management will be crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company experienced a modest revenue growth in the TTM period, with Total Revenue increasing from the previous year. Profitability metrics such as Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have shown improvement compared to some previous periods, indicating healthy operational performance. However, the decline in revenue from earlier years and fluctuating EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight some volatility in earnings, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a stable Debt-to-Equity Ratio, indicating manageable leverage levels. The Equity Ratio is healthy, suggesting that the company has a solid capital structure. However, the reduction in Total Assets and Stockholders' Equity over recent years signals potential challenges in asset management or profitability that need attention.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company shows positive Free Cash Flow growth in the TTM period, which is a favorable sign for liquidity. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio highlights dependency on operational efficiency for cash generation. The historical variation in Free Cash Flow and significant capital expenditures have impacted cash reserves, suggesting a need for careful cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B1.02B1.33B1.34B1.04B
Gross Profit116.40M124.50M523.96M621.59M353.15M
EBITDA33.19M207.26M524.95M615.72M280.63M
Net Income21.88M62.10M333.90M423.86M166.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.31B3.43B3.55B2.54B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.55M230.12M343.81M296.15M252.34M
Total Debt1.03B1.03B1.03B758.26M757.35M
Total Liabilities1.27B1.26B1.29B1.01B1.08B
Stockholders Equity2.04B2.17B2.26B1.53B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow67.47M37.50M307.10M429.47M289.48M
Operating Cash Flow188.47M159.11M491.90M504.89M335.26M
Investing Cash Flow-92.06M-95.30M-147.52M-59.15M-42.19M
Financing Cash Flow-182.37M-171.71M-295.56M-401.31M-124.98M

PotlatchDeltic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.68
Price Trends
50DMA
39.42
Positive
100DMA
40.43
Positive
200DMA
40.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Negative
RSI
53.83
Neutral
STOCH
77.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.25, above the 50-day MA of 39.42, and below the 200-day MA of 40.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PCH.

PotlatchDeltic Risk Analysis

PotlatchDeltic disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PotlatchDeltic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PotlatchDeltic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.72B10.3718.78%12.22%12.61%111.99%
64
Neutral
$6.87B17.44-1.93%6.95%4.65%-24.33%
64
Neutral
$3.20B68.992.31%4.42%10.86%6.72%
63
Neutral
$18.63B51.803.71%3.19%-6.56%-54.29%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
40.68
-0.61
-1.48%
RYN
Rayonier
23.86
-3.23
-11.92%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.68
-5.05
-16.43%

PotlatchDeltic Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PotlatchDeltic Releases Strategic Outlook Presentation
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation released presentation materials on its website, outlining its strategic positioning and future outlook. The company highlighted its significant leverage to lumber pricing and its focus on sustainable capital allocation, including dividends and share repurchases. PotlatchDeltic aims to capitalize on long-term growth drivers such as increased demand for lumber, housing starts, and natural climate solutions like solar and lithium. The company’s integrated business model and strong balance sheet support its strategic initiatives and position it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCH) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PotlatchDeltic stock, see the PCH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
PotlatchDeltic Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 5, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors resulted in the appointment of Anne L. Alonzo, Michael J. Covey, and James M. DeCosmo to serve until 2028. Additionally, KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025, and the compensation for named executive officers was approved by the stockholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025