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Potlatchdeltic (PCH)
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PotlatchDeltic (PCH) AI Stock Analysis

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PCH

PotlatchDeltic

(NASDAQ:PCH)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
â–²(7.08% Upside)
PotlatchDeltic's overall stock score is driven by its robust technical analysis indicating bullish trends, supported by positive corporate events and strategic initiatives. Financial performance and earnings call reflect stable fundamentals but highlight areas needing improvement. The high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns, partially offset by a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst upgrades PotlatchDeltic to Buy from Hold, indicating a belief in the company's strong position to benefit from rising lumber prices.
Market Strategy
The company's 'leverage to lumber' strategy and significant capacity make it well-positioned to take advantage of potential price increases in lumber.
Stock Buybacks
PCH repurchased $60mm in 2Q, significantly higher compared to $4mm in 1Q.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Performance
Wood Products EBITDA was near breakeven on lower Lumber prices and higher costs.
Lumber Price Volatility
PotlatchDeltic's stock could begin to appreciate in anticipation of upcoming duties and higher lumber prices, even before the full impact is felt.

PotlatchDeltic (PCH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PotlatchDeltic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPotlatchDeltic (NASDAQ:PCH) is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that owns 1.8 million acres of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Louisiana, Minnesota and Mississippi. Through its taxable REIT subsidiary, the company also operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, a residential and commercial real estate development business and a rural timberland sales program. PotlatchDeltic, a leader in sustainable forest management, is committed to environmental and social responsibility and to responsible governance.
How the Company Makes MoneyPotlatchDeltic generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from the sale of timber and wood products, which includes lumber and engineered wood products produced in its manufacturing facilities. The harvesting of timber from its extensive land holdings also constitutes a significant revenue source. Additionally, the company profits from real estate development and sales, as it engages in the sale of residential and commercial properties. PotlatchDeltic has established partnerships with various stakeholders in the construction and real estate sectors, enhancing its market reach. Factors such as timber prices, housing market trends, and effective land management practices also play substantial roles in the company's earnings.

PotlatchDeltic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights strong performance in Timberlands and Real Estate, record lumber shipments, and strategic share repurchases, indicating positive long-term fundamentals. However, challenges in the Wood Products division, macroeconomic pressures on the housing market, and decreased EBITDDA and lumber prices present notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Timberlands and Real Estate Segments
Despite macroeconomic challenges, PotlatchDeltic reported solid performance driven by Timberlands and Real Estate segments. The Timberlands division exceeded planned harvest volumes due to favorable weather, and the Real Estate segment delivered strong sales with 7,500 acres sold at an average price of $3,100 per acre, including a significant conservation sale.
Record Lumber Shipments
The Wood Products division set a new quarterly record with lumber shipments increasing by 13 million board feet from 290 million in Q1 to 303 million in Q2, attributed to improved seasonal operating conditions and upgrades at the Waldo, Arkansas sawmill.
Significant Share Repurchase
PotlatchDeltic executed the largest share repurchase volume in a single quarter or year since becoming a REIT in 2006, buying back $56 million of common stock at an average price of $39 per share.
Expansion of Solar Opportunities
The company is finalizing negotiations for a new solar option, which would expand their portfolio to approximately 43,000 acres with an estimated net present value of nearly $550 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Wood Products Division
The Wood Products division faced several challenges, including a $7 million impact from nonrecurring items, lower lumber prices, freight cost surges, and a utility maintenance issue at the Waldo sawmill.
Decreased EBITDDA and Lumber Prices
Total adjusted EBITDDA decreased from $63 million in Q1 to $52 million in Q2, primarily due to lower lumber prices and an inventory impairment charge. Lumber prices decreased 1% from $454 to $450 per thousand board feet.
Macroeconomic Challenges Impacting Housing Market
Elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty have kept potential buyers on the sidelines, with housing starts slightly retreating and new residential construction remaining stable but subdued.
Anticipated Decline in Sawlog Prices
Sawlog prices in Idaho are expected to decline by approximately 9% in the third quarter due to lower prices on index volume.
Company Guidance
During PotlatchDeltic's Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Total adjusted EBITDDA for Q2 was reported at $52 million, with the Timberlands and Real Estate segments driving solid performance despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The Wood Products division earned $2 million in adjusted EBITDDA, impacted by lower lumber prices and nonrecurring items totaling approximately $7 million. The company anticipates improved results in Q3, driven by higher duties on Canadian lumber, potential tariffs, and completed one-time disruptions. In Real Estate, the division sold 7,500 acres at an average price of $3,100 per acre, including a notable conservation sale. PotlatchDeltic also highlighted progress in natural climate solutions, with an estimated net present value of nearly $550 million for its solar option portfolio. The company executed $56 million in share repurchases, with its stock yielding over 4.5%. Looking ahead, the company expects total adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 to be significantly higher, driven by strong Real Estate performance and anticipated improvements in Wood Products.

PotlatchDeltic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PotlatchDeltic demonstrates a balanced financial position with improving revenue and profitability metrics, robust equity, and positive cash flow trends. However, fluctuations in earnings and asset management challenges indicate areas for improvement. Continuous focus on operational efficiency and strategic asset management will be crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company experienced a modest revenue growth in the TTM period, with Total Revenue increasing from the previous year. Profitability metrics such as Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have shown improvement compared to some previous periods, indicating healthy operational performance. However, the decline in revenue from earlier years and fluctuating EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight some volatility in earnings, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a stable Debt-to-Equity Ratio, indicating manageable leverage levels. The Equity Ratio is healthy, suggesting that the company has a solid capital structure. However, the reduction in Total Assets and Stockholders' Equity over recent years signals potential challenges in asset management or profitability that need attention.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company shows positive Free Cash Flow growth in the TTM period, which is a favorable sign for liquidity. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio highlights dependency on operational efficiency for cash generation. The historical variation in Free Cash Flow and significant capital expenditures have impacted cash reserves, suggesting a need for careful cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B1.02B1.33B1.34B1.04B
Gross Profit116.40M124.50M523.96M621.59M353.15M
EBITDA33.19M207.26M524.95M615.72M280.63M
Net Income21.88M62.10M333.90M423.86M166.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.31B3.43B3.55B2.54B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.55M230.12M343.81M296.15M252.34M
Total Debt1.03B1.03B1.03B758.26M757.35M
Total Liabilities1.27B1.26B1.29B1.01B1.08B
Stockholders Equity2.04B2.17B2.26B1.53B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow67.47M37.50M307.10M429.47M289.48M
Operating Cash Flow188.47M159.11M491.90M504.89M335.26M
Investing Cash Flow-92.06M-95.30M-147.52M-59.15M-42.19M
Financing Cash Flow-182.37M-171.71M-295.56M-401.31M-124.98M

PotlatchDeltic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.96
Price Trends
50DMA
40.50
Positive
100DMA
40.04
Positive
200DMA
41.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.88
Negative
RSI
60.86
Neutral
STOCH
85.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.03, above the 50-day MA of 40.50, and above the 200-day MA of 41.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCH.

PotlatchDeltic Risk Analysis

PotlatchDeltic disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PotlatchDeltic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PotlatchDeltic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.09B11.3436.96%11.08%9.90%137.73%
69
Neutral
$3.38B83.002.07%4.19%-1.15%14.51%
63
Neutral
$6.83B13.32-1.02%7.20%3.66%-22.87%
60
Neutral
$18.98B68.452.85%3.17%-6.57%-62.32%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
42.96
3.05
7.64%
RYN
Rayonier
26.32
-0.53
-1.97%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.84
-3.51
-11.96%

PotlatchDeltic Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PotlatchDeltic Releases Strategic Outlook Presentation
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation released presentation materials on its website, outlining its strategic positioning and future outlook. The company highlighted its significant leverage to lumber pricing and its focus on sustainable capital allocation, including dividends and share repurchases. PotlatchDeltic aims to capitalize on long-term growth drivers such as increased demand for lumber, housing starts, and natural climate solutions like solar and lithium. The company’s integrated business model and strong balance sheet support its strategic initiatives and position it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCH) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PotlatchDeltic stock, see the PCH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025