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PotlatchDeltic Corporation (PCH)
NASDAQ:PCH
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PotlatchDeltic (PCH) AI Stock Analysis

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PCH

PotlatchDeltic

(NASDAQ:PCH)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
â–²(0.30% Upside)
PotlatchDeltic's overall stock score reflects operational efficiency and strategic positioning, but is tempered by challenges in revenue growth, profitability, and valuation concerns. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend, while recent corporate events provide a positive outlook for financial flexibility and strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst upgrades PotlatchDeltic to Buy from Hold, indicating a belief in the company's strong position to benefit from rising lumber prices.
Market Position
PotlatchDeltic is expected to benefit from the tightening of lumber supply from Canada due to new US duties and tariffs on Canadian lumber producers.
Share Repurchase
PCH repurchased $60mm in 2Q, significantly higher compared to $4mm in 1Q.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Performance
Wood Products EBITDA was near breakeven on lower Lumber prices and higher costs.

PotlatchDeltic (PCH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PotlatchDeltic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPotlatchDeltic (NASDAQ:PCH) is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that owns 1.8 million acres of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Louisiana, Minnesota and Mississippi. Through its taxable REIT subsidiary, the company also operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, a residential and commercial real estate development business and a rural timberland sales program. PotlatchDeltic, a leader in sustainable forest management, is committed to environmental and social responsibility and to responsible governance.
How the Company Makes MoneyPotlatchDeltic generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from the sale of timber and wood products, which includes lumber and engineered wood products produced in its manufacturing facilities. The harvesting of timber from its extensive land holdings also constitutes a significant revenue source. Additionally, the company profits from real estate development and sales, as it engages in the sale of residential and commercial properties. PotlatchDeltic has established partnerships with various stakeholders in the construction and real estate sectors, enhancing its market reach. Factors such as timber prices, housing market trends, and effective land management practices also play substantial roles in the company's earnings.

PotlatchDeltic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with solid performance in Timberlands and Real Estate, and significant progress in natural climate solutions. However, the Wood Products division faced notable challenges, and the decline in adjusted EBITDDA highlighted economic and market uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Timberlands and Real Estate
The Timberlands and Real Estate segments drove solid performance with favorable weather conditions in Idaho enabling surpassing planned harvest volumes. Real Estate sold 7,500 acres at an average price of $3,100 per acre, including a large conservation sale to the Nature Conservancy.
Natural Climate Solutions Opportunities
Progress in solar and lithium initiatives with 43,000 acres under solar option and significant interest from lithium developers. The net present value of the solar option portfolio is nearly $550 million.
Largest Share Repurchase
The company repurchased $56 million of common stock, marking the largest share repurchase volume within a single quarter since becoming a REIT in 2006.
Improved Liquidity and Capital Allocation Strategy
PotlatchDeltic ended the quarter with $395 million in liquidity. They maintained a solid financial position and flexibility for capital deployment.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Wood Products Division
Wood Products division earned $2 million in adjusted EBITDDA due to lower lumber prices, freight costs, and nonrecurring items totaling approximately $7 million.
Decline in Adjusted EBITDDA
Total adjusted EBITDDA was $52 million in the second quarter, a decrease from $63 million in the first quarter, primarily due to lower harvest volumes and higher forest management costs.
Inventory Impairment and Production Challenges
A significant decline in lumber prices resulted in a $3 million noncash inventory impairment charge. The Waldo sawmill faced unannounced substation maintenance causing disruptions.
Market Uncertainty and Economic Headwinds
Uncertainty in trade policy and macroeconomic challenges continue to weigh on the housing market and repair and remodel sectors, affecting lumber demand.
Company Guidance
During the PotlatchDeltic Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, several key financial metrics and operational updates were discussed. The company reported a total adjusted EBITDDA of $52 million for the quarter, a decrease from $63 million in the first quarter. This decline was attributed to seasonally lower harvest volumes and higher forest management costs in the Timberlands segment, as well as an inventory impairment charge and onetime costs in the Wood Products division. Despite these challenges, the company highlighted a strong performance in the Real Estate segment, with the sale of 7,500 acres at an average price of $3,100 per acre. The Wood Products division faced headwinds due to lower lumber prices and increased freight costs, which were expected to be temporary. Looking ahead, PotlatchDeltic anticipated improved results in the third quarter, driven by improved performance in both the Real Estate and Wood Products divisions. The company also emphasized a strong capital allocation strategy, with significant share repurchases totaling $56 million at an average price of $39 per share during the quarter.

PotlatchDeltic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PotlatchDeltic demonstrates operational efficiency with positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, but faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced leverage position, while cash flow metrics indicate room for improvement in cash generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
PotlatchDeltic's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a decrease in revenue growth rate by -4.15% and a reduction in gross profit margin to 16.29%. Net profit margin also decreased to 3.94%. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin of 6.01% and EBITDA margin of 15.98%, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56, indicating a balanced leverage position. Return on equity is relatively low at 2.08%, suggesting limited profitability from equity. The equity ratio stands at 60.34%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which provides stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by -22.62% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, suggesting a reasonable conversion of earnings into free cash flow, albeit with room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B1.06B1.02B1.33B1.34B1.04B
Gross Profit172.12M116.40M124.50M523.96M621.59M353.15M
EBITDA168.86M33.19M207.26M544.15M610.56M356.89M
Net Income41.66M21.88M62.10M333.90M423.86M166.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.18B3.31B3.43B3.55B2.54B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.28M151.55M230.12M343.81M296.15M252.34M
Total Debt1.07B1.03B1.03B1.03B758.26M780.52M
Total Liabilities1.26B1.27B1.26B1.29B1.01B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.92B2.04B2.17B2.26B1.53B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.58M67.47M37.50M307.10M429.47M289.48M
Operating Cash Flow161.91M188.47M159.11M491.90M504.89M335.26M
Investing Cash Flow-49.07M-92.06M-95.30M-147.52M-59.15M-42.19M
Financing Cash Flow-217.14M-182.37M-171.71M-295.56M-401.31M-124.98M

PotlatchDeltic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.87
Price Trends
50DMA
41.53
Positive
100DMA
40.09
Positive
200DMA
41.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
54.28
Neutral
STOCH
44.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.57, above the 50-day MA of 41.53, and above the 200-day MA of 41.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCH.

PotlatchDeltic Risk Analysis

PotlatchDeltic disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PotlatchDeltic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PotlatchDeltic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.12B11.4236.96%10.90%9.90%137.73%
65
Neutral
$18.43B64.602.85%3.17%-6.57%-62.32%
59
Neutral
$3.26B80.002.07%4.20%-1.15%14.51%
53
Neutral
$1.21B3.22-6.08%5.78%-8.30%-81.83%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
42.87
2.96
7.42%
RYN
Rayonier
26.75
-0.62
-2.27%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
26.15
-3.24
-11.02%

PotlatchDeltic Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
PotlatchDeltic Secures $127.5 Million Term Loan Amendment
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation and its subsidiaries entered into a Twelfth Amendment to their Term Loan Agreement, securing a $127.5 million unsecured multi-segment Term Loan X. The initial $100 million commitment was funded as a Daily Simple SOFR Loan, maturing in 2035, and was used to refinance an existing loan, potentially enhancing the company’s financial flexibility.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PotlatchDeltic Releases Strategic and Financial Presentation
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, PotlatchDeltic Corporation released presentation materials on its website’s Investor Relations section, outlining its strategic positioning and financial expectations. The materials highlight the company’s leverage to lumber pricing, capital allocation strategies, and opportunities in natural climate solutions, such as solar and carbon credits. PotlatchDeltic is well-positioned to benefit from long-term drivers like housing demand and sustainability trends, supported by its strong balance sheet and integrated business model.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025