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Weyerhaeuser
(NYSE:WY)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▼(-6.63% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is primarily held back by weakened earnings power and a high P/E multiple, partially offset by a notably strong balance sheet and improving (but still volatile) cash generation. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. The latest earnings call was constructive on sequential recovery and strategy, but near-term macro and cost headwinds and timing-driven segment volatility temper confidence.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet and low leverage
Very low trailing leverage and a large equity base provide structural financial flexibility: supports capital allocation, weathering cyclical downturns in timber and construction, funds capex (e.g., Monticello) and dividends without forcing distressed asset sales.
Negative Factors
Significant revenue and margin compression
Revenue down sharply versus prior cycle and compressed margins mean lower structural earnings power; recovery depends on housing markets, product pricing and SLS timing, making near-term profitability vulnerable and long-term targets harder to reach.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet and low leverage
Very low trailing leverage and a large equity base provide structural financial flexibility: supports capital allocation, weathering cyclical downturns in timber and construction, funds capex (e.g., Monticello) and dividends without forcing distressed asset sales.
Read all positive factors
Weyerhaeuser Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Acres Sold
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyWeyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$16.91B
Dividend Yield3.57%
Average Volume (3M)5.73M
Price to Earnings (P/E)42.6
Beta (1Y)0.54
Revenue Growth-3.13%
EPS Growth9.67%
CountryUS
Employees9,400
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.55
Shares Outstanding721,043,000
10 Day Avg. Volume5,208,688
30 Day Avg. Volume5,729,898
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.81
Price to Sales (P/S)2.47
P/FCF Ratio194.18
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.34
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.28
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit24.45
Enterprise Value/Ebitda20.39
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.89Price Target Upside22.72% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)0.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.03B
Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. The company oversees or owns approximately 11 million acres of forested land in the United States, complemented b...
How the Company Makes Money
Weyerhaeuser primarily makes money through a mix of timberlands-based revenue, manufacturing and distribution of wood products, and monetization of higher-and-better-use land and natural-resource interests.
1) Timberlands / Forestry operations: T...
Weyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call showed meaningful operational recovery and sizable sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA, led by Wood Products and Strategic Land Solutions, alongside concrete growth initiatives (new products, distribution expansion, Monticello investment, renewables pipeline). However, management highlighted several material near-term headwinds: a sluggish housing market, inflationary cost pressures (transportation/resin/ocean freight tied to geopolitical events), export market weakness (Japan/China), and seasonally low cash flow with elevated leverage. The positives—strong quarter-over-quarter EBITDA gains, strategic transactions and product momentum—outweigh the near-term macro and cost challenges, but management remains cautious and focused on cost discipline and capital allocation.Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA totaled $308 million, a 120% increase versus the fourth quarter, driven by improvements across all business segments.
Negative Updates
Housing Market Weakness and Affordability Headwinds
Management described the housing market as 'stuck in second gear' with weak consumer confidence and affordability challenges; mortgage rates around ~6.3% have dampened the spring building season and created near-term choppiness in demand.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA totaled $308 million, a 120% increase versus the fourth quarter, driven by improvements across all business segments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q2 the company expects Timberlands earnings and adjusted EBITDA to be comparable to Q1, with Western domestic average sales realizations slightly higher, fee harvest volumes, forestry and road costs and per‑unit log & haul costs higher, Western export shipments/pricing roughly comparable (but export costs up due to the Middle East), Southern sales realizations roughly flat with higher fee harvest and forestry/road costs and moderately higher per‑unit log & haul costs, and Northern realizations moderately higher while fee harvest volumes are expected to be significantly lower. Strategic Land Solutions is guiding full‑year adjusted EBITDA of approximately $425 million (basis 20–30% of total SLS sales) and expects Q2 SLS adjusted EBITDA to be about $70 million lower and earnings about $80 million lower than Q1. For Wood Products, management expects Q2 earnings and adjusted EBITDA to be comparable to Q1 excluding changes in average sales realizations, with higher sales volumes across lumber, OSB and EWP but offset by higher costs (transportation, resin/raw materials) and planned annual outages at three OSB mills; quarter‑to‑date lumber realizations are “significantly” higher than Q1 and OSB realizations slightly higher, with lumber volumes higher, slightly higher log costs and comparable unit manufacturing costs, OSB volumes higher with moderately higher fiber costs and rising unit costs, and EWP volumes higher with comparable realizations. Distribution adjusted EBITDA is expected to be slightly higher. Company liquidity and capital items to note: Q1 cash ≈ $300 million, total debt $5.4 billion, repaid $150 million notes, returned $151 million in dividends and ~$10 million in share repurchases, Q1 CapEx $112 million (including $30 million for Monticello), Monticello spend ~ $300 million expected in 2026 (excluded from adjusted FAD), Q1 cash from operations $52 million, and management flagged an approximate $10 million/month gross inflationary headwind from energy/transportation/resin that is largely being mitigated.Weyerhaeuser Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.92B | 6.91B | 7.12B | 7.67B | 10.18B | 10.20B |
| Gross Profit | 928.00M | 516.00M | 1.31B | 1.68B | 3.62B | 4.10B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 1.04B | 1.20B | 1.72B | 3.06B | 4.11B |
| Net Income | 397.00M | 324.00M | 396.00M | 839.00M | 1.88B | 2.61B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.40B | 16.61B | 16.54B | 16.98B | 17.34B | 17.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 301.00M | 464.00M | 684.00M | 1.16B | 1.58B | 1.88B |
| Total Debt | 5.45B | 5.57B | 5.11B | 5.09B | 5.08B | 5.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.96B | 7.19B | 6.82B | 6.75B | 6.59B | 6.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.44B | 9.43B | 9.72B | 10.24B | 10.75B | 10.77B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -414.00M | 88.00M | 341.00M | 753.00M | 2.07B | 2.57B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 544.00M | 562.00M | 1.01B | 1.43B | 2.83B | 3.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -297.00M | -475.00M | -636.00M | -508.00M | -759.00M | -325.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -508.00M | -290.00M | -852.00M | -1.34B | -2.49B | -1.33B |
Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis
Negative
25.17
Price Trends
23.86
Negative
23.99
Negative
23.80
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.30
Positive
45.29
Neutral
27.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.12, above the 50-day MA of 23.86, and above the 200-day MA of 23.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WY.
Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis
Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
WY
Weyerhaeuser
23.80
-0.68
-2.79%
RYN
Rayonier
21.72
0.82
3.94%
Weyerhaeuser Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Updates Q2 2026 Outlook and Strategy
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted updated investor presentation materials on its website, providing adjustments and commentary to its previously disclosed outlook for the second quarter of 2026. The materials outline expectations for earnings ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Weyerhaeuser Unveils Updated Investor Presentation and Strategy
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 28, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted new investor presentation materials to the investor section of its website for use in discussions with the investment community, outlining its investment thesis and operational strategy. The materials highlight...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Weyerhaeuser Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 20, 2026
Weyerhaeuser has amended and restated its 2023 Deferred Compensation Plan, effective for amounts earned from 2027 onward, allowing designated employees and executive officers to defer portions of salary and incentive pay into interest-bearing cash...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.