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Weyerhaeuser
(NYSE:WY)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
â–²(4.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial performance—especially negative TTM free cash flow and a sharp TTM revenue decline versus the prior period—despite a stable balance sheet. The latest earnings call was moderately positive with improved Wood Products momentum and a raise to Strategic Land Solutions guidance, but notable OSB and demand headwinds remain. Technicals are supportive with the stock above key moving averages, while valuation is mixed due to a high P/E partly offset by a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Integrated timberland + wood-products platform
Owning a large timberland base combined with manufacturing creates durable vertical integration: low-cost fiber access, internal supply to mills, and optionality to monetize land or carbon. A stated $1.5B EBITDA target by 2030 anchors a multi-year value-creation roadmap tied to structural trends.
Negative Factors
Material revenue decline (cycle exposure)
A roughly 25% TTM revenue decline reflects heavy exposure to housing and commodity cycles; sustained volume and pricing weakness erode operating leverage, compress margins and depress returns on invested capital, making multi-year earnings recovery uncertain if housing demand stays muted.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated timberland + wood-products platform
Owning a large timberland base combined with manufacturing creates durable vertical integration: low-cost fiber access, internal supply to mills, and optionality to monetize land or carbon. A stated $1.5B EBITDA target by 2030 anchors a multi-year value-creation roadmap tied to structural trends.
Read all positive factors
Weyerhaeuser Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Acres Sold
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyWeyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.05B
Dividend Yield3.36%
Average Volume (3M)5.29M
Price to Earnings (P/E)37.9
Beta (1Y)0.55
Revenue Growth-2.62%
EPS Growth70.21%
CountryUS
Employees9,517
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.66
Shares Outstanding721,043,000
10 Day Avg. Volume4,477,415
30 Day Avg. Volume5,288,359
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.81
Price to Sales (P/S)2.47
P/FCF Ratio194.18
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$31.22Price Target Upside30.42% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)0.33
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.13B
Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. The company oversees or owns approximately 11 million acres of forested land in the United States, complemented b...
How the Company Makes Money
Weyerhaeuser primarily makes money through a mix of timberlands-based revenue, manufacturing and distribution of wood products, and monetization of higher-and-better-use land and natural-resource interests.
1) Timberlands / Forestry operations: T...
Weyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear execution and financial discipline with notable operational and market headwinds. Highlights include solid cash generation (~$400M), an adjusted EBITDA of $310M, strong sequential improvement in Wood Products (lumber realizations +15% and +$46M lumber EBITDA q/q), active portfolio management (29k-acre sale for $114M), and progress on growth initiatives (solar, biocarbon, Monticello). Material lowlights include a weak OSB business (Q2 loss, oversupply), transportation constraints and higher input costs that pressured margins, and continued softness/uncertainty in the housing and R&R markets. Management raised Strategic Land Solutions full-year guidance and reduced near-term financing risk (no 2026 maturities), which supports an overall constructive tone despite segment-level challenges.Positive Updates
Solid Quarter Financials
GAAP earnings of $162M ($0.23/share) on net sales of $1.9B; non-GAAP earnings excluding a special item of $91M ($0.13/share); adjusted EBITDA of $310M for the quarter.
Negative Updates
OSB Segment Weakness
OSB posted a $6M adjusted EBITDA loss in Q2 (down $9M q/q); market supply continues to outpace demand, composite pricing low, unit manufacturing costs pressured by annual maintenance and elevated resin costs; OSB average sales realizations only +3% q/q and remain challenged.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Solid Quarter Financials
GAAP earnings of $162M ($0.23/share) on net sales of $1.9B; non-GAAP earnings excluding a special item of $91M ($0.13/share); adjusted EBITDA of $310M for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided third-quarter Timberlands results to be slightly higher (earnings before special items and adjusted EBITDA) versus Q2 as all regions improve, with Western fee harvest and domestic sales volumes expected to increase moderately (slightly lower average domestic realizations due to mix), per‑unit log and haul costs modestly down, forestry and road costs seasonally higher, Western export volumes to Japan lower sequentially (one vessel to China planned), Southern realizations comparable with higher fee harvest volumes and slightly lower per‑unit log/haul costs, and Northern fee harvest volumes significantly higher with moderately lower realizations by mix. They raised full‑year 2026 Strategic Land Solutions adjusted EBITDA to approximately $450 million (up $25 million) and now expect SLS basis to be 15%–20% of total SLS sales; Q3 SLS adjusted EBITDA is expected to be roughly $45 million lower and earnings about $30 million lower than Q2 due to timing/mix of real estate sales. For Wood Products, Q3 earnings and adjusted EBITDA are expected to be slightly lower than Q2 excluding price moves, with quarter‑to‑date lumber realizations moderately higher than Q2 and OSB realizations slightly lower; the company expects higher lumber production and sales volumes, slightly lower unit manufacturing costs, moderately higher log costs (primarily Western), OSB slightly higher volumes but higher unit manufacturing and resin costs, engineered wood products with slightly higher realizations and volumes (raw material costs slightly up), and distribution EBITDA slightly up. They reiterated lumber sensitivity (~$50 million of annual EBITDA per $10/mbf move) and noted no remaining 2026 debt maturities, supporting execution of the outlook.Weyerhaeuser Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
39
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.90B | 6.91B | 7.12B | 7.67B | 10.18B | 10.20B |
| Gross Profit | 914.00M | 516.00M | 1.31B | 1.68B | 3.62B | 4.10B |
| EBITDA | 1.16B | 1.04B | 1.20B | 1.72B | 3.06B | 4.11B |
| Net Income | 472.00M | 324.00M | 396.00M | 839.00M | 1.88B | 2.61B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.51B | 16.61B | 16.54B | 16.98B | 17.34B | 17.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 527.00M | 464.00M | 684.00M | 1.16B | 1.58B | 1.88B |
| Total Debt | 5.42B | 5.57B | 5.11B | 5.09B | 5.08B | 5.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.06B | 7.19B | 6.82B | 6.75B | 6.59B | 6.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.46B | 9.43B | 9.72B | 10.24B | 10.75B | 10.77B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -442.00M | 88.00M | 341.00M | 753.00M | 2.07B | 2.57B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 547.00M | 562.00M | 1.01B | 1.43B | 2.83B | 3.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -193.00M | -475.00M | -636.00M | -508.00M | -759.00M | -325.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -419.00M | -290.00M | -852.00M | -1.34B | -2.49B | -1.33B |
Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis
Positive
23.94
Price Trends
24.28
Positive
24.05
Positive
23.87
Positive
Market Momentum
0.42
Negative
60.37
Neutral
87.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.42, below the 50-day MA of 24.28, and above the 200-day MA of 23.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WY.
Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis
Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.58
1.16
4.77%
RYN
Rayonier
21.79
-1.48
-6.36%
Weyerhaeuser Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Updates Q2 2026 Outlook and Strategy
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted updated investor presentation materials on its website, providing adjustments and commentary to its previously disclosed outlook for the second quarter of 2026. The materials outline expectations for earnings ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Weyerhaeuser Unveils Updated Investor Presentation and Strategy
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 28, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted new investor presentation materials to the investor section of its website for use in discussions with the investment community, outlining its investment thesis and operational strategy. The materials highlight...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Weyerhaeuser Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 20, 2026
Weyerhaeuser has amended and restated its 2023 Deferred Compensation Plan, effective for amounts earned from 2027 onward, allowing designated employees and executive officers to defer portions of salary and incentive pay into interest-bearing cash...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.