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Weyerhaeuser (WY)
NYSE:WY
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Weyerhaeuser (WY) AI Stock Analysis

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WY

Weyerhaeuser

(NYSE:WY)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
â–²(6.46% Upside)
Weyerhaeuser's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position and strategic initiatives that support long-term growth. However, high valuation and mixed technical indicators present challenges. The company's strategic acquisitions and strong cash conversion are positive, but pressures on revenue and profit margins, along with a cautious market outlook, weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
Weyerhaeuser's focus on greater efficiencies and significant savings through OpX 2.0 is creating a best-in-class cost structure.
Timberlands Value
Weyerhaeuser’s expanding portfolio of timberlands provides underlying value at $33/share with upside potential from NCS initiatives.
Negative Factors
Housing Market Weakness
Housing and construction trends are currently weak, which will likely continue to pressure Wood Products.
Lumber Sales Realizations
Lumber sales realizations this quarter are trending $5/mbf lower than the 1Q average, impacting quarterly EBITDA by ~$25mn.

Weyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWeyerhaeuser Company (WY) is one of the largest private owners of timberland in the United States, engaged in the sustainable management of forests and the production of wood products. The company operates through two primary segments: Timberland and Wood Products. Its core products include logs, lumber, engineered wood products, and various other wood-based materials, which are supplied to residential and commercial construction sectors, as well as to the manufacturing of furniture and cabinets.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeyerhaeuser generates revenue primarily through the sale of timber and wood products. Its Timberland segment earns money by selling standing timber to lumber mills and other wood product manufacturers, as well as through long-term leases and arrangements for timber harvesting. The Wood Products segment contributes to revenue through the production and sale of lumber, oriented strand board (OSB), and engineered wood products. Key revenue streams also include the sale of real estate and land development projects. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with builders, manufacturers, and retailers, which enhance its market reach and create stable demand for its products. Additionally, Weyerhaeuser's commitment to sustainable forestry practices positions it favorably in an increasingly eco-conscious marketplace, potentially attracting more customers and investors.

Weyerhaeuser Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Reveals revenue distribution across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability for Weyerhaeuser.
Chart InsightsWeyerhaeuser's Timberlands segment shows a gradual decline in sales since mid-2022, reflecting potential challenges in timber demand or pricing. Meanwhile, the Real Estate and ENR segment has experienced a recent upswing, particularly in 2025, possibly indicating strategic land sales or development initiatives. The Wood Products segment, after a peak in mid-2022, is stabilizing with moderate fluctuations, suggesting adjustments to market conditions. The absence of earnings call commentary leaves these trends open to interpretation, but they highlight the company's need to adapt to changing market dynamics.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Weyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there are significant achievements in terms of strategic acquisitions, growth in the Natural Climate Solutions business, and a robust share repurchase program, these are balanced by challenges in the wood products segment and a soft housing market. The sentiment is cautious with a focus on long-term value creation and strategic investments to navigate current market conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Southern Timberlands Acquisition
Acquisition of 117,000 acres of timberlands in North Carolina and Virginia for $375 million, expected to deliver a 5.1% average annual free cash flow yield over the first 5 years.
Natural Climate Solutions Growth
Received approval on the third forest carbon project with six additional projects in progress. On track to reach $100 million of adjusted EBITDA by year-end.
Share Repurchase and Dividends
Completed $100 million in share repurchase in the second quarter, the highest quarterly level since late 2022. Announced a new $1 billion authority for share repurchases.
Strong Real Estate, Energy, and Natural Resources Performance
Contributed $106 million to second quarter earnings and $143 million to adjusted EBITDA, driven by high-value transactions and significant premiums to timber value.
Negative Updates
Decreased Lumber and OSB Pricing
Benchmark pricing for OSB and framing lumber decreased due to softening demand from new home construction activity and ample supply. Lumber adjusted EBITDA decreased by $29 million compared to the first quarter.
Western Timberlands Challenges
A $15 million decrease in adjusted EBITDA compared to the first quarter, driven by higher costs and lower demand in the Western domestic market.
Softer Housing and R&R Markets
Housing starts have softened, with single-family starts below 1 million units. Repair and remodel activity has been softer year-to-date relative to 2024.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Weyerhaeuser reported GAAP earnings of $87 million, equivalent to $0.12 per diluted share, generated from net sales of $1.9 billion. The company's adjusted EBITDA reached $336 million, reflecting a slight increase over the first quarter. A notable development was the acquisition of 117,000 acres of timberlands in North Carolina and Virginia for $375 million, anticipated to deliver an average annual free cash flow yield of 5.1% over the initial five years. Timberlands contributed $88 million to the quarter's earnings, with an adjusted EBITDA of $152 million, representing a $15 million decrease from the first quarter. The Southern Timberlands segment saw an adjusted EBITDA of $69 million, while the Real Estate, Energy, and Natural Resources business contributed $106 million to earnings and $143 million to adjusted EBITDA. The Wood Products segment reported $46 million in earnings and $101 million in adjusted EBITDA. Throughout this period, Weyerhaeuser maintained its capital allocation framework, completing $100 million in share repurchases and continuing investments like the $500 million engineered wood products facility underway in Arkansas.

Weyerhaeuser Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weyerhaeuser's financial statements show a stable balance sheet with conservative leverage and a healthy equity position. However, the income statement and cash flow indicate challenges in sustaining revenue and profit growth, with margins under pressure. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong cash conversion from earnings, supporting its financial flexibility.
Income Statement
67
Positive
The income statement shows moderate performance with a decrease in total revenue from 2023 to 2024 and into TTM. Gross Profit Margin in TTM is around 17.25%, indicating an efficient cost structure, though slightly down from 2024's 18.43%. Net Profit Margin has decreased to 3.97% in TTM from 5.56% in 2024, reflecting pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been volatile, with negative growth in recent years, indicating potential challenges in maintaining consistent revenue streams. EBIT and EBITDA margins in TTM are at 8.19% and 15.45%, respectively, showing a contraction compared to previous periods.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 in TTM, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio stands at 57.81%, demonstrating solid capitalization and financial stability. Return on Equity in TTM is lower at 2.93%, down from 4.07% in 2024, suggesting reduced profitability on equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a well-managed capital structure with moderate risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in operating cash flow from 2023 to TTM, but it remains positive at $918 million. Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is robust at 1.35, indicating effective conversion of earnings to cash. However, Free Cash Flow growth is negative in TTM, suggesting pressure on cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is strong at 3.29, reflecting a good cash-generating ability relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.04B7.12B7.67B10.18B10.20B7.53B
Gross Profit1.21B1.31B1.68B3.62B4.10B2.08B
EBITDA1.09B1.20B1.72B3.53B4.02B1.72B
Net Income279.00M396.00M839.00M1.88B2.61B797.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.48B16.54B16.98B17.34B17.65B16.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments592.00M684.00M1.16B1.58B1.88B495.00M
Total Debt5.19B5.11B5.09B5.08B5.12B5.50B
Total Liabilities6.95B6.82B6.75B6.59B6.88B7.58B
Stockholders Equity9.52B9.72B10.24B10.75B10.77B8.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow377.00M341.00M753.00M2.07B2.57B823.00M
Operating Cash Flow918.00M1.01B1.43B2.83B3.16B1.53B
Investing Cash Flow-624.00M-636.00M-508.00M-759.00M-325.00M185.00M
Financing Cash Flow-699.00M-852.00M-1.34B-2.49B-1.33B-1.36B

Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.30
Price Trends
50DMA
26.07
Negative
100DMA
26.11
Negative
200DMA
27.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.41
Neutral
STOCH
80.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.70, above the 50-day MA of 26.07, and below the 200-day MA of 27.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WY.

Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis

Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.09B11.3436.96%10.98%9.90%137.73%
69
Neutral
$3.38B83.002.07%4.11%-1.15%14.51%
65
Neutral
$2.03B16.824.04%5.06%2.46%2.10%
60
Neutral
$18.98B68.452.85%3.12%-6.57%-62.32%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.84
-3.25
-11.17%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
42.96
3.06
7.67%
RYN
Rayonier
26.32
-0.28
-1.05%

Weyerhaeuser Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Weyerhaeuser Secures $1.75 Billion Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Weyerhaeuser Company entered into a $1.75 billion five-year senior unsecured Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Facility Agreement, which updates its previous $1.5 billion credit facility. This agreement, expiring on June 30, 2030, allows Weyerhaeuser to use the funds for general corporate purposes, including working capital, debt refinancing, acquisitions, stock repurchases, and capital expenditures. The agreement includes covenants requiring Weyerhaeuser to maintain a minimum total adjusted shareholders’ equity of $3.0 billion and a funded debt ratio of 65% or less, reflecting its commitment to financial stability and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (WY) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weyerhaeuser stock, see the WY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Updates Q2 2025 Outlook and Targets
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Weyerhaeuser Company released presentation materials to update its second-quarter 2025 outlook for certain business segments. The company highlighted its progress towards multi-year targets, including significant investments in timberlands, operational improvements, and shareholder returns. Weyerhaeuser is on track to meet its 2025 targets for EBITDA growth in natural climate solutions and has maintained its ESG listings. The announcement underscores Weyerhaeuser’s strategic focus on growth, sustainability, and delivering value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WY) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weyerhaeuser stock, see the WY Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Weyerhaeuser Unveils Strategic Growth Plans for 2025
Positive
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Weyerhaeuser Company announced the posting of new presentation materials for investors, highlighting its strategic focus on growth and shareholder value. The company outlined its targets for 2025, including disciplined investments in timberlands, growth in natural climate solutions, and operational excellence improvements. Weyerhaeuser also emphasized its commitment to sustainability and shareholder returns, with plans to increase production and dividends. The announcement reflects Weyerhaeuser’s strong industry positioning and its focus on maintaining a competitive edge through innovation and sustainable practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (WY) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weyerhaeuser stock, see the WY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025