Weyerhaeuser (WY)
NYSE:WY
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Weyerhaeuser
(NYSE:WY)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
â–²(1.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened profitability and cash generation versus prior highs, alongside bearish-to-neutral technicals. Earnings-call guidance and strategic land/climate initiatives provide some support, but are offset by weak wood-product markets, elevated leverage, and a high P/E that limits valuation appeal despite a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
A large equity base and historically moderate debt-to-equity provide structural financial resilience across cycles. Manageable leverage supports dividend policy, liquidity for opportunistic land transactions, and capacity to fund strategic projects without immediate solvency risk.
Negative Factors
Weakened cash generation & FCF
Operating cash flow below net income and materially reduced free cash flow impairs the firm's flexibility to fund capex, large growth projects, or sustain aggressive buybacks without elevating leverage. Weaker cash conversion increases sensitivity to cyclical downturns and timing of land sale proceeds.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
A large equity base and historically moderate debt-to-equity provide structural financial resilience across cycles. Manageable leverage supports dividend policy, liquidity for opportunistic land transactions, and capacity to fund strategic projects without immediate solvency risk.
Read all positive factors
Weyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$17.04B
Dividend Yield3.57%
Average Volume (3M)5.92M
Price to Earnings (P/E)57.7
Beta (1Y)0.65
Revenue Growth-1.64%
EPS Growth-37.58%
CountryUS
Employees9,400
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.09
Shares Outstanding720,665,000
10 Day Avg. Volume5,808,584
30 Day Avg. Volume5,922,667
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.81
Price to Sales (P/S)2.47
P/FCF Ratio194.18
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.30
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.18
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit23.41
Enterprise Value/Ebitda21.23
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$31.13Price Target Upside31.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)0.29
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.12B
Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. We own or control approximately 11 million acres of timberlands in the U.S. and manage additional timberlands under long-term licenses in Can...
How the Company Makes Money
Weyerhaeuser primarily makes money through a mix of timberland operations, wood-products manufacturing, and monetizing portions of its land base.
1) Timberlands (timber/log sales): The company generates revenue by growing and harvesting timber fr...
Weyerhaeuser Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Acres Sold
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyWeyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced notable strategic and operational achievements—delivery on multiyear targets, strong Climate Solutions growth (+42% YoY), record real estate pricing, $599 million of timberland divestiture proceeds announced, $766 million returned to shareholders, and launched large-scale growth initiatives (biocarbon partnership, TimberStrand, $1.5 billion 2030 EBITDA target)—against significant near-term operating headwinds. Those headwinds include materially weak lumber and OSB markets (Q4 Wood Products loss of $78M; lumber EBITDA down $57M), sequential timberlands pressure in the West, elevated mill inventories, a $111M pension settlement special charge and $200M cash pension contribution, and higher net leverage (~5x). Overall, strategic positioning and long-term growth initiatives are strong, but near-term financial and market challenges temper the outlook.Positive Updates
Full-Year Financial Performance and Adjusted EBITDA
Full-year 2025 GAAP earnings of $324 million ($0.45 per diluted share); excluding special items, earnings were $143 million ($0.20 per diluted share). Full-year adjusted EBITDA totaled $1.0 billion.
Negative Updates
Wood Products Quarterly Losses
Wood Products reported a $78 million loss in Q4 and adjusted EBITDA loss of $20 million, reflecting extremely challenging lumber and OSB markets with prices near historic lows on an inflation-adjusted basis.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year Financial Performance and Adjusted EBITDA
Full-year 2025 GAAP earnings of $324 million ($0.45 per diluted share); excluding special items, earnings were $143 million ($0.20 per diluted share). Full-year adjusted EBITDA totaled $1.0 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 2026 Timberlands earnings and adjusted EBITDA to be comparable to Q4 2025 (Timberlands Q4: $50M earnings; $114M adjusted EBITDA) and reiterated full‑year fee harvest volumes of ~35.5 million tons (South slightly higher, West comparable, North slightly lower); Strategic Land Solutions (Real Estate/Natural Resources/Climate Solutions) is expected to generate ~ $425M of adjusted EBITDA for FY2026 (basis on real estate sales 25–35%), with Q1 segment earnings ~ $75M higher than Q4 and Q1 adjusted EBITDA ~ $90M higher (including a closed Florida conservation easement that produced ~ $94M of proceeds on ~61,000 acres). For Wood Products, excluding realization moves management expects Q1 earnings and adjusted EBITDA to be slightly higher than Q4 (lumber: higher production/sales, lower unit costs, slightly lower log costs; OSB: slightly higher volumes, slightly lower unit costs, slightly higher fiber costs; EWP: stable volumes, slightly lower realizations; Distribution: higher adjusted EBITDA). Corporate guidance included FY2026 interest expense ≈ $255M, effective tax rate 8–12% before special items, noncash pension/post‑employment expense ≈ $60M, required other plan cash payments ≈ $20M, programmatic CapEx $400–450M (excludes Monticello) and ~ $300M of CapEx for the new Arkansas EWP facility in 2026.Weyerhaeuser Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 6.91B | 7.12B | 7.67B | 10.18B | 10.20B |
| Gross Profit | 516.00M | 1.31B | 1.68B | 3.62B | 4.10B |
| EBITDA | 1.04B | 1.20B | 1.72B | 3.06B | 4.11B |
| Net Income | 324.00M | 396.00M | 839.00M | 1.88B | 2.61B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 16.61B | 16.54B | 16.98B | 17.34B | 17.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 464.00M | 684.00M | 1.16B | 1.58B | 1.88B |
| Total Debt | 5.57B | 5.11B | 5.09B | 5.08B | 5.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.19B | 6.82B | 6.75B | 6.59B | 6.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.43B | 9.72B | 10.24B | 10.75B | 10.77B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 88.00M | 341.00M | 753.00M | 2.07B | 2.57B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 562.00M | 1.01B | 1.43B | 2.83B | 3.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -475.00M | -636.00M | -508.00M | -759.00M | -325.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -290.00M | -852.00M | -1.34B | -2.49B | -1.33B |
Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis
Negative
23.60
Price Trends
25.17
Negative
23.90
Negative
24.36
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.50
Negative
45.17
Neutral
57.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.80, below the 50-day MA of 25.17, and below the 200-day MA of 24.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WY.
Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis
Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
WY
Weyerhaeuser
23.65
-4.94
-17.28%
RYN
Rayonier
20.13
-4.91
-19.62%
Weyerhaeuser Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Weyerhaeuser Updates Investor Presentation, Rebrands Strategic Land Segment
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted new investor presentation materials to the investor section of its website for use in upcoming discussions with the investment community, framing its investment thesis around an unmatched timber and wood prod...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Unveils Strategic Land Solutions Growth Plan
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Weyerhaeuser released an investor presentation outlining its strategy, portfolio and recent performance, including a new segment name, Strategic Land Solutions, effective from the first quarter of 2026. The materials highligh...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Weyerhaeuser Updates Executive Equity Incentive Award Terms
Neutral
Jan 27, 2026
On January 21, 2026, Weyerhaeuser’s board-level Compensation Committee approved new standard terms and conditions for future performance share unit and restricted stock unit awards to be granted to executive officers under the company’...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.