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Weyerhaeuser (WY)
NYSE:WY
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Weyerhaeuser (WY) AI Stock Analysis

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WY

Weyerhaeuser

(NYSE:WY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(3.99% Upside)
Weyerhaeuser's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position but is weighed down by bearish technical indicators and a high valuation. The earnings call highlighted both strategic successes and market challenges, contributing to a cautious outlook. The company's strong dividend yield offers some investor appeal, but operational and market improvements are needed for a more favorable score.
Positive Factors
Timberlands Portfolio Optimization
Strategic acquisitions and divestitures enhance asset quality and cash flow, supporting long-term growth in the Timberland segment.
Natural Climate Solutions Growth
Investments in climate solutions diversify revenue streams and align with eco-conscious trends, enhancing Weyerhaeuser's market position.
Strong Real Estate Performance
Robust real estate performance boosts profitability and cash flow, providing a buffer against cyclical downturns in other segments.
Negative Factors
Challenging Lumber and OSB Markets
Weak lumber and OSB prices pressure margins, impacting profitability and requiring strategic adjustments to stabilize earnings.
Weak Housing Market
A sluggish housing market limits demand for wood products, posing a challenge to revenue growth and necessitating market adaptation.
Pressure on Japanese Log Market
Softening demand in Japan affects export revenues, requiring strategic shifts to mitigate the impact on the company's global operations.

Weyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWeyerhaeuser Company (WY) is one of the largest private owners of timberland in the United States, engaged in the sustainable management of forests and the production of wood products. The company operates through two primary segments: Timberland and Wood Products. Its core products include logs, lumber, engineered wood products, and various other wood-based materials, which are supplied to residential and commercial construction sectors, as well as to the manufacturing of furniture and cabinets.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeyerhaeuser generates revenue primarily through the sale of timber and wood products. Its Timberland segment earns money by selling standing timber to lumber mills and other wood product manufacturers, as well as through long-term leases and arrangements for timber harvesting. The Wood Products segment contributes to revenue through the production and sale of lumber, oriented strand board (OSB), and engineered wood products. Key revenue streams also include the sale of real estate and land development projects. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with builders, manufacturers, and retailers, which enhance its market reach and create stable demand for its products. Additionally, Weyerhaeuser's commitment to sustainable forestry practices positions it favorably in an increasingly eco-conscious marketplace, potentially attracting more customers and investors.

Weyerhaeuser Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Reveals revenue distribution across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability for Weyerhaeuser.
Chart InsightsWeyerhaeuser's Timberlands segment shows a gradual decline in sales since mid-2022, reflecting potential challenges in timber demand or pricing. Meanwhile, the Real Estate and ENR segment has experienced a recent upswing, particularly in 2025, possibly indicating strategic land sales or development initiatives. The Wood Products segment, after a peak in mid-2022, is stabilizing with moderate fluctuations, suggesting adjustments to market conditions. The absence of earnings call commentary leaves these trends open to interpretation, but they highlight the company's need to adapt to changing market dynamics.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Weyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with successful timberland portfolio optimization and strong real estate and natural climate solutions performance. However, this was offset by significant challenges in the lumber and OSB markets, as well as ongoing difficulties in the housing and pulpwood markets.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Timberlands Portfolio Optimization
Completed two high-quality acquisitions totaling $459 million, with strategic divestitures expected to result in $410 million of cash proceeds by year-end. Achieved multiyear timberlands growth target announced in September 2021.
Strong Real Estate and NCS Business Performance
Real Estate, Energy, and Natural Resources segment contributed $91 million to adjusted EBITDA. Increased guidance for full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA to approximately $390 million, up $40 million from prior guidance.
Natural Climate Solutions Growth
On track to reach $100 million of adjusted EBITDA from Natural Climate Solutions by year-end. Carbon capture and sequestration project with Occidental Petroleum progressing with a new joint venture.
Dividend and Share Repurchase
Returned substantial cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchase activities, with $25 million repurchased in the third quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenging Lumber and OSB Markets
Third quarter adjusted EBITDA for Wood Products was a $48 million loss due to extremely challenging lumber and OSB prices, which reached historically low levels on an inflation-adjusted basis.
Weak Housing Market
Housing activity remained lackluster with total starts hovering around 1.3 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis. Single-family starts below 1 million units due to affordability challenges and weaker consumer confidence.
Pressure on Japanese Log Market
Log markets in Japan softened in the third quarter, with ongoing consumption headwinds in the Japanese housing market leading to increased log inventories and decreased prices.
Pulpwood Market Challenges
Continued pressure on Southern pulpwood prices due to multi-decade lows and pulp and paper mill shutdowns.
Company Guidance
During the Weyerhaeuser Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance emphasized the company's strategic positioning and financial outlook amidst challenging market conditions. The company reported third-quarter GAAP earnings of $80 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, on net sales of $1.7 billion, while adjusted EBITDA reached $217 million. The call detailed recent actions, including high-quality timberland acquisitions totaling $459 million and divestitures expected to bring in $410 million by year-end. Weyerhaeuser remains focused on portfolio optimization, having achieved a multiyear timberlands growth target and anticipated $390 million in adjusted EBITDA from Real Estate, Energy, and Natural Resources for 2025. The company anticipates fourth quarter earnings to be impacted by softer demand and lower sales volumes, with a full-year capital expenditure projection of $380-$390 million, excluding investments for the Monticello facility. Despite current challenges, Weyerhaeuser maintains a positive long-term outlook on demand fundamentals, underscoring its commitment to operational excellence and shareholder value creation.

Weyerhaeuser Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weyerhaeuser shows a stable financial position with low leverage and adequate cash flow generation. However, declining profitability margins and return on equity highlight areas for improvement. The company should focus on enhancing operational efficiency and profitability to drive future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Weyerhaeuser's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight recovery in revenue growth at 0.51% after a decline in the previous year. However, margins have compressed over time, with the gross profit margin decreasing from 40.17% in 2021 to 16.52% in the TTM period. Net profit margin has also declined, reflecting reduced profitability. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency to enhance margins.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.055 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. However, return on equity has decreased from 24.21% in 2021 to 3.45% in the TTM period, suggesting reduced profitability on equity. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.68 in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash relative to its net income. Continued focus on cash flow management is essential.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.12B7.12B7.67B10.18B10.20B7.53B
Gross Profit1.22B1.31B1.68B3.62B4.10B2.08B
EBITDA1.22B1.20B1.72B3.06B4.11B1.90B
Net Income331.00M396.00M839.00M1.88B2.61B797.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.67B16.54B16.98B17.34B17.65B16.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments401.00M684.00M1.16B1.58B1.88B495.00M
Total Debt5.49B5.11B5.09B5.08B5.12B5.50B
Total Liabilities7.23B6.82B6.75B6.59B6.88B7.58B
Stockholders Equity9.44B9.72B10.24B10.75B10.77B8.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow299.00M341.00M753.00M2.07B2.57B823.00M
Operating Cash Flow894.00M1.01B1.43B2.83B3.16B1.53B
Investing Cash Flow-984.00M-636.00M-508.00M-759.00M-325.00M185.00M
Financing Cash Flow-408.00M-852.00M-1.34B-2.49B-1.33B-1.36B

Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.08
Price Trends
50DMA
24.29
Negative
100DMA
25.01
Negative
200DMA
26.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
42.40
Neutral
STOCH
30.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.41, below the 50-day MA of 24.29, and below the 200-day MA of 26.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WY.

Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis

Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$3.45B9.2411.89%8.88%131.79%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$3.13B49.433.25%4.35%5.40%294.38%
59
Neutral
$16.46B50.013.42%3.60%-1.64%-37.58%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WY
Weyerhaeuser
23.08
-7.36
-24.18%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
41.40
0.78
1.93%
RYN
Rayonier
23.03
-2.72
-10.57%

Weyerhaeuser Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Updates Q3 2025 Outlook and Investments
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Weyerhaeuser Company updated its third-quarter 2025 outlook for certain business segments and shared these materials with the investment community. The company highlighted its progress towards multi-year targets, including significant investments in timberlands and operational improvements, while maintaining strong shareholder returns and sustainability commitments.

The most recent analyst rating on (WY) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weyerhaeuser stock, see the WY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Weyerhaeuser Unveils Strategic Goals in Investor Presentation
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Weyerhaeuser Company released presentation materials for investors, outlining its strategic goals and achievements. The company highlighted its commitment to driving growth and shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation, operational excellence, and sustainable practices. Key targets include a $1 billion investment in timberlands by 2025, growing annual EBITDA from natural climate solutions to $100 million, and increasing lumber production by 5% annually. Weyerhaeuser also emphasized its leadership in ESG performance, aiming for net-zero emissions by 2040, and maintaining strong shareholder returns with a sustainable dividend policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (WY) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weyerhaeuser stock, see the WY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Weyerhaeuser Secures $800 Million Term Loan Agreement
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Weyerhaeuser Company and its subsidiary entered into a Term Loan Agreement to borrow $800 million in senior unsecured term loans. The funds are being used to partially redeem $500 million of Weyerhaeuser’s 4.75% senior unsecured notes due in 2026, with the remainder allocated for general corporate purposes. This financial maneuver aims to optimize the company’s debt structure and maintain financial flexibility. The loan agreement includes customary covenants for investment-grade credit facilities, ensuring Weyerhaeuser’s compliance with financial metrics and operational limitations, which could impact its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (WY) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weyerhaeuser stock, see the WY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025