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Uniti Group Inc (UNIT)
NASDAQ:UNIT
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Uniti Group (UNIT) AI Stock Analysis

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UNIT

Uniti Group

(NASDAQ:UNIT)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
â–¼(-3.70% Downside)
Uniti Group's overall stock score is driven by strong strategic positioning and growth prospects in the fiber market, as highlighted in the earnings call and corporate events. However, financial risks due to high leverage and weak technical indicators weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Market Demand
Management remains positive on AI-related demand for both lit and dark fiber in the tier 2 & 3 markets.
Mergers and Acquisitions
The consummation of the Windstream merger positions the company well to address key telecom themes such as FTTH deployments and Hyperscaler connectivity demand.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Unit traded lower after reporting mixed financials and lowering its guide for net income attributable to common shareholders and FFO.
Guidance and Projections
UNIT guided down 2025 PF EBITDA by approximately 6.5% to accelerate and reinvigorate tepid FTTH builds/adds.

Uniti Group (UNIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uniti Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniti, an internally managed real estate investment trust, is engaged in the acquisition and construction of mission critical communications infrastructure, and is a leading provider of wireless infrastructure solutions for the communications industry. As of September 30, 2020, Uniti owns 6.7 million fiber strand miles and other communications real estate throughout the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniti Group generates revenue primarily through long-term leases of its fiber optic infrastructure to telecommunications carriers and other service providers. The company's key revenue streams include recurring revenue from fiber leasing agreements, which typically span several years, and services related to the maintenance and management of these networks. Additionally, Uniti may engage in dark fiber sales, where customers lease unused fiber capacity, and lit fiber services, where the company provides fully operational connectivity solutions. Strategic partnerships with major telecommunications firms and investments in expanding fiber networks in growing markets contribute significantly to Uniti's earnings, enhancing its competitive position in the telecommunications infrastructure sector.

Uniti Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with significant growth in fiber revenue and strategic advancements following the merger with Windstream. While some challenges remain with legacy services and Uniti Solutions, the strong performance and strategic positioning in the fiber market, along with improved capital structure, suggest an optimistic future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger with Windstream
Successfully closed the merger with Windstream, creating a premier fiber provider. The merger strategically positions Uniti with a substantial fiber-to-the-home platform and enhances capabilities as a national wholesale provider.
Fiber Expansion and Revenue Growth
Uniti expects to pass 3.5 million homes with fiber by 2029, and approximately 75% of total revenue is expected to be fiber-based by then. Currently, fiber represents 40% of total revenue, and this is expected to increase significantly.
Strong Growth in Fiber Revenue
Total fiber revenue increased by 10% year-over-year, with Kinetic consumer fiber revenue alone growing 27%. Fiber penetration was up 120 basis points year-over-year.
Hyperscaler Deals and Revenue
Secured a 20-year IRU deal with a major hyperscaler, valued at approximately $100 million. The hyperscaler funnel now represents about $1.5 billion of total contract value, with hyperscalers making up 40% of the total funnel.
Cost of Capital Improvement
Uniti's cost of capital has improved significantly, with debt yielding around 7% compared to over 12% two years ago, marking a 550 basis point improvement.
Negative Updates
Legacy Services Headwinds
Uniti faces headwinds from legacy services that weigh on consolidated revenue and EBITDA, although these services generate predictable free cash flow.
Decline in Uniti Solutions
Uniti Solutions is experiencing revenue declines, primarily due to exiting TDM services. Revenue losses are expected to be in the mid-teens in the near term.
Debt Maturities
Despite progress in extending maturities, there are still over $3 billion in combined near-term maturities in 2027 and 2028.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Uniti provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic directions. By the end of 2029, Uniti aims to pass 3.5 million homes with fiber within the Kinetic footprint, increasing the percentage of total revenue derived from fiber from around 40% today to approximately 75%. The company's goal is to achieve long-term blended penetration of 40% in its markets. Currently, Uniti passes 1.7 million homes with fiber, expecting this to reach 2 million by the end of the year. The fiber-based revenue percentage from Uniti's core business is anticipated to grow from 80% to 90%. Additionally, the company reported consolidated bookings of $1.2 million in MRR for the quarter, with expectations that fiber will soon overtake legacy services as the majority of revenue and EBITDA. The call highlighted strategic investments in fiber infrastructure, aiming for stable consolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, alongside maintaining strong NPS scores and customer satisfaction.

Uniti Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uniti Group shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with high gross profit margins. However, challenges include low net profit margins, high leverage, negative equity, and declining free cash flow growth, posing financial risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Uniti Group's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 80.73% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 2.96% TTM, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth is robust at 49.3% TTM, suggesting strong top-line expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 46.96% and 73.45% TTM, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -2.52 TTM, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -1.42% TTM, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is negative due to negative stockholders' equity, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate of -247.62% TTM, indicating declining cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22 TTM, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.10 TTM, reflecting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.17B1.15B1.13B1.10B1.07B
Gross Profit952.79M1.17B695.03M1.12B1.10B907.70M
EBITDA866.81M882.80M642.35M891.99M833.92M92.42M
Net Income34.95M93.41M-81.71M-10.49M123.66M-718.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.54B5.28B5.03B4.85B4.81B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.73M183.85M62.26M43.80M58.90M77.53M
Total Debt6.17B5.88B5.63B5.27B5.11B4.83B
Total Liabilities7.99B7.73B7.51B7.12B6.92B6.80B
Stockholders Equity-2.44B-2.45B-2.49B-2.27B-2.13B-2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.87M11.86M-63.87M32.55M113.30M-159.85M
Operating Cash Flow376.15M366.69M353.13M460.12M499.16M157.23M
Investing Cash Flow-335.50M-272.20M-411.31M-392.02M-321.22M1.39M
Financing Cash Flow126.75M27.08M76.64M-78.58M-196.57M-223.91M

Uniti Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.75
Price Trends
50DMA
7.55
Negative
100DMA
7.64
Negative
200DMA
8.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
35.49
Neutral
STOCH
13.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNIT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.18, below the 50-day MA of 7.55, and below the 200-day MA of 8.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UNIT.

Uniti Group Risk Analysis

Uniti Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uniti Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uniti Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$77.05B77.077.54%2.28%5.74%-6.58%
71
Outperform
$23.41B26.79-14.67%1.91%1.82%71.39%
65
Neutral
$18.49B66.682.85%3.10%-6.57%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$95.81B74.2866.09%3.25%-9.52%-48.20%
56
Neutral
$1.61B28.40-3.72%2.82%1.95%353.63%
53
Neutral
$1.23B2.72-2.60%5.67%-2.15%-149.23%
50
Neutral
$44.56B33.81-234.10%5.65%-17.95%-398.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNIT
Uniti Group
6.75
-0.03
-0.44%
AMT
American Tower
204.15
-7.01
-3.32%
CCI
Crown Castle
101.82
-1.36
-1.32%
EQIX
Equinix
784.00
-29.29
-3.60%
SBAC
SBA Communications
219.39
8.64
4.10%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
26.41
-2.85
-9.74%

Uniti Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Completes Merger with Windstream
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. completed its merger with Windstream, resulting in both companies becoming indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries of Uniti. Following the merger, Uniti’s common stock will continue trading under the ticker ‘UNIT’ on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. The merger led to significant changes in the company’s leadership, with Kenneth A. Gunderman and Daniel L. Heard appointed as directors of Uniti, now a subsidiary of New Uniti. Additionally, Uniti plans to consolidate its and Windstream’s debt silos shortly after the merger, potentially impacting its financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Uniti Group Nears Merger Completion with Windstream
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Uniti Group has provided financial information for Windstream Holdings II, LLC, covering the quarter ending June 30, 2025. The company has made significant strides in its fiber expansion, adding 52,000 new premises and increasing fiber penetration to 28%. The company also reported a 15% year-over-year growth in fiber subscribers and a 27% increase in fiber subscriber revenue. Additionally, Uniti Group is progressing towards a planned merger with Windstream, expected to close around August 1, 2025, which could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Completes Conversion to Delaware Corporation
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. completed its conversion from a Maryland corporation to a Delaware corporation, a strategic move approved by stockholders to align with the corporation laws of Delaware. This conversion, part of a broader strategy, retains all rights and obligations of the original entity, ensuring continuity in stock trading and employee benefit plans. The conversion is a precursor to Uniti’s anticipated merger with a subsidiary of New Windstream, LLC, set to finalize around August 1, 2025, following regulatory approvals. This merger is expected to result in Uniti stockholders receiving shares in the combined company, marking a significant step in Uniti’s strategic growth and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Completes $600M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. subsidiaries completed a private offering of $600 million in 8.625% Senior Notes due 2032. The proceeds were used to partially redeem existing 10.50% senior notes due 2028 and for general corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is expected to impact the company’s debt structure by reducing interest expenses and extending debt maturity, potentially improving its financial flexibility and positioning within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Announces $600 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Uniti Group announced the pricing of a $600 million offering of 8.625% senior unsecured notes due 2032 by its subsidiaries. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the partial redemption of $500 million of their outstanding 10.50% senior notes due 2028, with the remainder used for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Uniti’s strategy to manage its debt obligations and improve its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Announces $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. announced a $600 million offering of senior notes due 2032 by its subsidiaries, with the proceeds intended to fund the partial redemption of $500 million of their outstanding 10.50% senior notes due 2028. The redemption is scheduled for June 24, 2025, and the remaining proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Uniti’s strategic financial management and could impact its debt structure and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Uniti Group Holds Virtual Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually, where three proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected five directors to the board, approved executive compensation, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, reflecting continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025