tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Uniti Group Inc (UNIT)
NASDAQ:UNIT

Uniti Group (UNIT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,485 Followers

Top Page

UNIT

Uniti Group

(NASDAQ:UNIT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(2.17% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet risk (negative equity/high leverage) and weak free-cash-flow trend, despite strong revenue growth and margins. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, valuation looks inexpensive on P/E, and the latest earnings call/corporate financing actions point to improving fiber execution and funding flexibility, tempered by churn, legacy declines, and build delays.
Positive Factors
Robust revenue growth and high margins
Sustained high revenue growth alongside very strong gross, EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates an efficient, scalable operations base. Durable margins support reinvestment in fiber builds and improve the odds of long-term cash generation as the network scales and customer mix shifts.
Scale from Windstream merger and hyperscaler demand
The Windstream merger materially enlarges Uniti’s national wholesale fiber footprint, strengthening competitive position in the multi-year wholesale market. A growing hyperscaler funnel (~13%) and higher TAM for AI/hyperscalers create durable demand tailwinds and diversified revenue opportunities.
Improved funding flexibility via securitization
Expanding use of asset-backed securitizations provides a durable, non-dilutive funding channel tied to fiber cash flows. This structure can lower immediate refinancing pressure, support multiyear capex for builds, and offer financing optionality as the company executes its fiber expansion plan.
Negative Factors
High leverage and negative equity
Negative equity and very high leverage create structural balance-sheet risk that constrains strategic flexibility. High indebtedness increases refinancing and covenant pressure as capex needs grow, raising the probability that financing costs or access could hamper long-term execution.
Weakening free cash flow generation
Sharply deteriorating free cash flow limits the company's ability to self-fund fiber rollouts and service elevated debt. Persistent FCF weakness increases reliance on securitizations or capital markets, elevating financing risk and potentially slowing organic expansion over the medium term.
Execution headwinds: permitting delays and consumer churn
Permitting delays and elevated residential churn are structural execution risks that slow build cadence and reduce customer lifetime value. These issues lengthen payback on fiber investments, pressure ARPU and margins, and could materially slow subscriber-driven revenue growth across quarters.

Uniti Group (UNIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uniti Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniti, an internally managed real estate investment trust, is engaged in the acquisition and construction of mission critical communications infrastructure, and is a leading provider of wireless infrastructure solutions for the communications industry. As of September 30, 2020, Uniti owns 6.7 million fiber strand miles and other communications real estate throughout the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniti Group generates revenue primarily through long-term lease agreements with major telecommunications companies. The company derives its income from leasing its fiber and tower assets, which provide critical infrastructure for broadband and data services. These leases typically involve fixed monthly payments, offering a stable revenue stream. Additionally, Uniti may engage in build-to-suit arrangements, where it constructs customized infrastructure for specific clients, further enhancing its income potential. Partnerships with key telecommunications providers are essential for Uniti's business model, as they ensure a consistent demand for its services and assets, contributing significantly to the company's overall earnings.

Uniti Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, such as strong fiber revenue growth, successful merger with Windstream, and heightened hyperscaler activity. However, challenges like permitting delays, legacy revenue decline, and high churn rates were also noted. The company is focused on operational improvements and leveraging new strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger with Windstream
Successfully closed merger with Windstream, enhancing position as a leading fiber provider with a scaled national wholesale fiber footprint.
Strong Fiber Revenue Growth
Achieved strong fiber revenue growth of 13%, the highest number of fiber gross adds ever, and the highest net adds in 2 years at Kinetic.
Operational Improvements
Recorded the highest first call resolution ever at Kinetic, the lowest transfer rate in over 2 years, and a record low dispatch rate.
Recognition as Best Connectivity Provider
Named 'The Best North American Connectivity Provider' by Capacity Media.
Increased Hyperscaler Activity
Hyperscaler funnel grew approximately 13% since the second quarter, with numerous large deals getting booked.
Financial Improvements
Improved fiber penetration rates and increased fiber ARPU by 10% year-over-year. Reduced net leverage to between 5.5x and 6x by year-end.
Negative Updates
Delays in Permitting
Faced delays in permits and locates, particularly in subsidized markets, affecting the pace of fiber build.
Legacy Revenue Decline
Consolidated pro forma revenue was down approximately 6% year-over-year, primarily driven by the decline in legacy TDM services and Uniti Solutions.
High Consumer Churn Rates
Higher than expected churn in fiber residential customers, mainly losing to cable competitors.
Company Guidance
During Uniti's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance about its future strategy and performance metrics. Uniti reported a strong 13% growth in fiber revenue, with net adds at Kinetic reaching a two-year high and fiber subs growing by 17% year-over-year. The company aims to have 3.5 million homes passed and 1.25 million fiber subscribers by 2029. They also mentioned an increase in their third-party construction crews from 115 to an expected 400 by Q2 2026, indicating a significant ramp-up in their fiber build strategy. Uniti's focus on customer experience has resulted in record low dispatch and fiber repeat trouble ticket rates. The merger with Windstream has positioned Uniti to capture share in the wholesale fiber market, with the hyperscaler funnel growing by 13% since Q2 and expectations that the total addressable market for AI and hyperscalers is 50% higher than previous estimates. Looking ahead, Uniti projects consolidated fiber revenue to exceed 50% of total revenue by the end of 2026, with a trajectory set for revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth year-over-year starting in 2027.

Uniti Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uniti Group shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The negative equity and declining free cash flow growth pose financial risks, requiring careful management to ensure long-term stability.
Income Statement
Uniti Group's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 80.73% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 2.96% TTM, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth is robust at 49.3% TTM, suggesting strong top-line expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 46.96% and 73.45% TTM, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -2.52 TTM, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -1.42% TTM, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is negative due to negative stockholders' equity, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate of -247.62% TTM, indicating declining cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22 TTM, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.10 TTM, reflecting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.17B1.15B1.13B1.10B1.07B
Gross Profit1.18B1.17B992.42M1.13B946.11M843.83M
EBITDA860.98M879.31M889.68M641.76M844.93M738.85M
Net Income35.29M93.41M-81.71M-8.28M123.66M-706.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.54B5.28B5.03B4.85B4.81B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.73M155.59M62.26M43.80M58.90M77.53M
Total Debt6.17B5.88B5.63B5.27B5.16B4.83B
Total Liabilities7.99B7.73B7.51B7.12B6.92B6.80B
Stockholders Equity-2.44B-2.45B-2.49B-2.27B-2.13B-2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.87M11.86M-63.87M32.55M113.30M-159.85M
Operating Cash Flow376.15M366.69M353.13M460.12M499.16M157.23M
Investing Cash Flow-335.50M-272.20M-411.31M-392.02M-321.22M1.39M
Financing Cash Flow126.75M27.08M76.64M-78.58M-196.57M-223.91M

Uniti Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.83
Price Trends
50DMA
6.69
Positive
100DMA
6.45
Positive
200DMA
7.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
69.30
Neutral
STOCH
87.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNIT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.22, above the 50-day MA of 6.69, and above the 200-day MA of 7.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UNIT.

Uniti Group Risk Analysis

Uniti Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uniti Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uniti Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$78.58B73.287.72%2.47%5.36%-1.68%
71
Outperform
$78.89B26.8877.38%3.76%-5.33%163.89%
67
Neutral
$19.31B22.812.31%4.82%25.24%
66
Neutral
$18.55B56.363.42%3.57%-1.64%-37.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$1.80B1.5438.93%952.55%
45
Neutral
$36.44B-11.17-276.36%5.44%-26.56%-369.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNIT
Uniti Group
7.83
-1.26
-13.86%
AMT
American Tower
171.53
-1.21
-0.70%
CCI
Crown Castle
84.99
2.57
3.12%
EQIX
Equinix
783.86
-94.10
-10.72%
SBAC
SBA Communications
185.00
-6.08
-3.18%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.75
-2.28
-8.13%

Uniti Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Uniti Group Launches Major Fiber Network Securitization Offering
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Uniti Group Inc. announced that its bankruptcy-remote subsidiary Kinetic ABS Issuer LLC has launched an offering of approximately $960.1 million in secured fiber network revenue term notes, expected to be repaid by February 2031 and backed by residential fiber network assets and customer contracts in Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Ohio and Texas. The structure, which also includes a planned $150 million variable funding note facility and an additional liquidity funding note facility governed under the same indenture, is aimed at supporting Uniti’s financing flexibility, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes such as success-based capital spending and debt repayment; the transaction underscores Uniti’s increasing use of securitization tied to its residential fiber footprint and may influence its leverage profile and capital allocation strategy while being targeted exclusively at qualified institutional buyers and offshore investors under private offering exemptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Uniti Group Completes $250M Fiber Network Note Offering
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Uniti Group‘s subsidiaries completed a private offering of $250 million in secured fiber network revenue term notes, marking the second issuance under the company’s securitization program. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility, with proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, including potential capital expenditures and debt repayment, thereby potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026