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Uniti Group (UNIT)
:UNIT

Uniti Group (UNIT) AI Stock Analysis

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UN

Uniti Group

(NASDAQ:UNIT)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-0.66%Downside)
The overall stock score reflects mixed financial performance and technical signals, balanced by positive earnings outlook and strategic corporate actions. Key strengths include revenue growth and effective strategic initiatives, while financial leverage and market volatility remain as significant risks.
Positive Factors
Fiber Demand
Fiber demand remains tariff and recessionary resistant with a strong lease-up mix.
Growth Potential
Kinetic plans to significantly accelerate its fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) build, suggesting increased future growth potential.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
Interest expense guidance was increased by $3mn and net income attributable to common shareholders was reduced 4.7% at the mid-point.
Leadership and Strategy
The acceleration of FTTH deployment means higher upfront capital expenditure, resulting in more free cash flow pressure.

Uniti Group (UNIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uniti Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniti Group Inc. (UNIT) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on the acquisition and construction of mission-critical communications infrastructure. The company primarily operates in the United States and provides infrastructure solutions to the communications industry. Uniti's core products and services include leasing towers, fiber optic networks, and other communication-related infrastructure to telecommunications providers.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniti Group Inc. generates revenue primarily through leasing its communication infrastructure assets, such as fiber networks and wireless towers, to telecommunications companies. The company enters into long-term lease agreements with its customers, which provides a stable and predictable revenue stream. Additionally, Uniti may engage in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its asset portfolio and enhance its service offerings. The revenue is further supported by the growing demand for high-speed data and network connectivity, driven by the proliferation of mobile devices, streaming services, and cloud-based applications.

Uniti Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong quarterly performance, significant progress in fiber expansion, and positive developments regarding the merger with Windstream. These factors contribute to an optimistic future outlook despite minor challenges such as non-recurring revenue delays and broader economic risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Performance
Uniti achieved mid-single digits top-line growth and high single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, reiterating full-year revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and AFFO guidance. Consolidated revenues were $294 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $238 million.
Significant Progress in Fiber Expansion
Fiber expansion within the Kinetic footprint is expected to double the number of homes passed, reaching 2 million homes by the end of the year, two years earlier than expected.
High Lease-Up Success
The lease-up rate reached 72%, nearing company records, with significant contributions from hyperscalers.
Positive Market and Regulatory Developments
Favorable regulatory changes at the FCC and NTIA, supporting fiber infrastructure growth with relaxed rules on retiring copper networks and streamlined permitting processes.
Merger with Windstream Progress
Received shareholder and PUC approvals for the merger with Windstream, with expectations to close by July or August. Approximately 97% of shareholders supported the transaction.
Improved Cost of Capital
Uniti's cost of capital improved significantly, with debt yields decreasing from over 12% to around 7.5% over two years.
Negative Updates
Non-Recurring Revenue Delay
Uniti Fiber experienced lower than expected non-recurring revenue due to a delay in a $4 million fiber sale to a government customer.
Capital Markets Volatility
Despite resilience in the ABS market, broader capital markets remain volatile, posing potential risks.
Tariff and Economic Risks
Potential impact of proposed tariff changes and increased recession risk, though expected to have minimal direct effect on operations.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Uniti achieved strong performance and maintained its guidance for full-year revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and AFFO, despite broader market volatility. The company anticipates mid-single-digit top-line growth and high single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth for the year. Uniti's plan to fund new initiatives remains on track, with significant progress noted in the expansion of fiber within the Kinetic footprint, aiming to reach 2 million homes by the end of the year. The merger with Windstream, which received 97% shareholder approval and 16 of 18 required PUC approvals, is expected to close in the second half of 2025. Uniti's consolidated revenues for Q1 were $294 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $238 million and AFFO per diluted share of $0.35. The company expects full-year consolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA to remain within the projected ranges, with anticipated AFFO per diluted share between $1.40 and $1.47, representing a 6% increase from the previous year.

Uniti Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uniti Group exhibits mixed financial performance. While there is strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, significant challenges exist with profitability and financial leverage, particularly highlighted by negative equity and volatile free cash flow.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company has shown steady revenue growth over the years, with a recent TTM revenue increase. Gross profit margin and EBIT margin are strong, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, net profit margin is relatively low, suggesting issues with profitability. The recent decline in net income also indicates a potential risk in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company is highly leveraged, with negative stockholders' equity indicating financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable due to negative equity, highlighting a risk in financial health. Despite this, the company maintains a substantial asset base, which provides some stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, demonstrating adequate cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow has been volatile, turning negative in recent periods, which may affect the company's ability to invest and manage debt. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation is relatively strong compared to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17B1.17B1.15B1.13B1.10B1.07B
Gross Profit831.91M711.74M695.03M1.12B1.10B907.70M
EBITDA874.47M882.80M642.35M891.99M833.92M92.42M
Net Income63.96M91.31M-81.71M-10.49M123.66M-718.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.29B5.28B5.03B4.85B4.81B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.96M155.59M62.26M43.80M58.90M77.53M
Total Debt6.07B5.88B5.63B5.27B5.11B4.83B
Total Liabilities7.73B7.73B7.51B7.12B6.92B6.80B
Stockholders Equity-2.44B-2.45B-2.49B-2.27B-2.13B-2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-25.66M11.86M-63.87M32.55M113.30M-159.85M
Operating Cash Flow369.30M366.69M353.13M460.12M499.16M157.23M
Investing Cash Flow-392.36M-272.20M-411.31M-392.02M-321.22M1.39M
Financing Cash Flow102.82M27.08M76.64M-78.58M-196.57M-223.91M

Uniti Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.53
Price Trends
50DMA
4.40
Positive
100DMA
4.71
Negative
200DMA
5.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
61.33
Neutral
STOCH
79.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNIT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.25, above the 50-day MA of 4.40, and below the 200-day MA of 5.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UNIT.

Uniti Group Risk Analysis

Uniti Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uniti Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uniti Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FOFOR
77
Outperform
$1.16B6.8510.81%-5.60%-17.86%
64
Neutral
$6.97B18.61-1.93%6.82%4.65%-25.39%
CICIM
63
Neutral
$1.14B9.478.09%10.52%7.13%64.82%
62
Neutral
$1.10B10.384.51%4.61%1.54%
62
Neutral
$1.00B16.515.07%12.98%-6.28%-49.57%
DXDX
60
Neutral
$1.37B16.466.01%16.00%73.74%-34.10%
57
Neutral
$1.11B17.28-3.72%3.31%2.44%305.26%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNIT
Uniti Group
4.53
0.77
20.48%
CIM
Chimera Investment
14.07
0.62
4.61%
DX
Dynex Capital
12.75
1.94
17.95%
FOR
Forestar Group
22.62
-12.06
-34.78%
SAFE
Safehold
15.35
-5.40
-26.02%
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trust
10.94
-0.77
-6.58%

Uniti Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Completes $600M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. subsidiaries completed a private offering of $600 million in 8.625% Senior Notes due 2032. The proceeds were used to partially redeem existing 10.50% senior notes due 2028 and for general corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is expected to impact the company’s debt structure by reducing interest expenses and extending debt maturity, potentially improving its financial flexibility and positioning within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Announces $600 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Uniti Group announced the pricing of a $600 million offering of 8.625% senior unsecured notes due 2032 by its subsidiaries. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the partial redemption of $500 million of their outstanding 10.50% senior notes due 2028, with the remainder used for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Uniti’s strategy to manage its debt obligations and improve its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Announces $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. announced a $600 million offering of senior notes due 2032 by its subsidiaries, with the proceeds intended to fund the partial redemption of $500 million of their outstanding 10.50% senior notes due 2028. The redemption is scheduled for June 24, 2025, and the remaining proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Uniti’s strategic financial management and could impact its debt structure and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Uniti Group Holds Virtual Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Uniti Group Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually, where three proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected five directors to the board, approved executive compensation, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, reflecting continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Uniti Group Progresses Towards Merger with Windstream
Positive
May 1, 2025

Windstream Holdings II, LLC, a successor to Windstream Holdings, Inc., reported its financial results for the quarter ending March 31, 2025. The company highlighted a continued expansion of its fiber network, with 38,000 new premises constructed, increasing fiber coverage to 38% in its Kinetic markets. Fiber subscriber growth was robust, with a 16% year-over-year increase, and fiber penetration reached 28%. The company also reported a 20% year-over-year growth in fiber subscriber revenue. Additionally, Windstream completed a sale of IPv4 assets for over $25 million and achieved an adjusted EBITDAR of $370 million, up $40 million sequentially. The company is progressing towards a planned merger with Uniti Group, expected to close in the early second half of 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uniti Group Approves New Equity Grant Agreements
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Uniti Group‘s Board approved new grant agreements for restricted shares and stock unit awards under its 2015 Equity Incentive Plan, aligning terms for vesting upon retirement, death, disability, and changes in control. Additionally, Harold Zeitz was nominated for election to the Board, bringing extensive industry experience, while Jennifer Banner will not seek re-election after a decade of service.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025