tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Sba Communications (SBAC)
:SBAC
Advertisement

SBA Communications (SBAC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
874 Followers

Top Page

SBAC

SBA Communications

(NASDAQ:SBAC)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$243.00
â–²(11.47% Upside)
SBA Communications' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and moderate valuation. The company's financial performance shows profitability but is offset by high financial leverage risks. The positive earnings call, with increased guidance and strategic acquisitions, significantly boosts the score, while the valuation remains attractive for income investors.
Positive Factors
Earnings and Financial Performance
SBAC reported upside 2Q25 results and raised 2025 revenue, EBITDA and AFFO/share guidance.
Investment Grade Rating
SBAC intends to pursue an investment grade rating, which will allow it to add term, easier access to capital, and lower rates over time.
Leasing Activity
U.S. activity levels continue to improve with the sixth consecutive quarter of increased bookings.
Negative Factors
Carrier Consolidation
SBAC's international business growth may be hindered by elevated churn in Latin America due to carrier consolidation in Brazil.
Churn and Rate Headwinds
SBAC lowered its 2025 International net organic growth guidance due to higher churn.
Interest Rates and FX Headwinds
Near-term growth is subdued with minimal domestic leasing growth, elevated churn, and interest rate and FX headwinds.

SBA Communications (SBAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SBA Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSBA Communications Corporation is a first choice provider and leading owner and operator of wireless communications infrastructure in North, Central, and South America and South Africa. By Building Better Wireless, SBA generates revenue from two primary businesses site leasing and site development services. The primary focus of the Company is the leasing of antenna space on its multi-tenant communication sites to a variety of wireless service providers under long-term lease contracts. For more information please visit: www.sbasite.com.
How the Company Makes MoneySBA Communications generates revenue primarily through long-term leases of tower space to wireless carriers, such as AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile. The company earns recurring rental income from its extensive portfolio of towers, which includes both traditional towers and other structures like rooftops and utility poles. Additional revenue streams come from site development services, where SBA assists in the construction and installation of wireless infrastructure. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for mobile data, the expansion of 5G technology, and strategic partnerships with major telecom operators, which facilitate a steady influx of new leasing contracts and renewal agreements.

SBA Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook due to exceeding internal projections, increasing full-year guidance, and successful strategic acquisitions. However, challenges remain with international churn and the strategic exit from the Canadian market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Internal Projections
The company exceeded its internal projections for the second quarter of 2025, with strong performance in both U.S. and international businesses.
Increased Full Year Guidance
SBA increased its full-year guidance across all key metrics, including site leasing revenue, tower cash flow, adjusted EBITDA, AFFO, and AFFO per share.
Strong Domestic Services Business
The services business outperformed expectations, leading to a nearly 20% increase in full-year services revenue guidance, primarily driven by carrier installations.
Millicom Transaction Boost
The acquisition of 4,300 sites from Millicom in Central America contributed to the increase in full-year guidance, with the full closing expected by September 1.
S&P Credit Rating Upgrade
S&P upgraded SBA's corporate credit rating to BBB investment-grade, underscoring stable and predictable cash flows.
Negative Updates
International Churn Challenges
International markets, particularly Brazil, faced elevated churn levels. The company increased international churn guidance by $5 million due to issues with Oi.
Canada Market Exit
SBA announced the sale of its tower business in Canada due to the inability to meaningfully grow the portfolio, representing CAD 27 million of annual leasing revenue.
Ongoing Sprint Churn Impact
Sprint-related churn continues to affect the business, with $11 million of churn in the second quarter and an estimated $50 million to $52 million for the full year 2025.
Company Guidance
During the SBA's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided positive guidance for the remainder of 2025 and beyond. They reported exceeding internal projections and announced an increase in full-year guidance across key metrics, including site leasing revenue, tower cash flow, adjusted EBITDA, AFFO, and AFFO per share. Domestic organic leasing revenue growth was reported at 5% gross and 1% net, with 4% churn, while international organic leasing revenue growth was 0.8% net, including 7.5% churn. The company highlighted the positive momentum in the U.S. market, driven by strong bookings and increased services revenue guidance by 20%, mainly due to construction services. They also discussed the impact of recently acquired Millicom towers, which contributed to their raised outlook, and the sale of their Canadian tower assets. The call also touched on the reinstatement of the FCC's spectrum auction authority, expected to support long-term growth, and the implications of ongoing carrier consolidations, particularly in Brazil with the carrier Oi.

SBA Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SBA Communications demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth, with solid cash flow generation. However, high financial leverage and negative equity present risks to financial stability. Continued focus on debt management and operational efficiencies will be crucial for sustaining growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
SBA Communications has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase in net income. The gross profit margin remains strong at 80.87% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased, suggesting room for operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, which raises concerns about financial leverage and stability. The equity ratio is negative, indicating high leverage, but the return on equity is positive due to strong net income performance.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The operating cash flow is robust and aligns well with net income, demonstrating effective cash generation. The free cash flow has shown modest growth, supporting the company's ability to fund operations and investments, though fluctuations in financing cash flow may impact future flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.72B2.68B2.71B2.63B2.31B2.08B
Gross Profit1.98B2.10B2.08B1.96B1.76B1.61B
EBITDA1.68B1.47B1.70B1.68B1.51B1.39B
Net Income878.59M749.54M501.81M461.43M237.62M24.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.77B11.42B10.18B10.59B9.80B9.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.27M444.38M209.59M143.71M367.28M308.56M
Total Debt14.81B15.76B14.46B15.17B14.52B13.43B
Total Liabilities14.21B16.47B15.31B15.83B15.07B13.97B
Stockholders Equity-4.94B-5.11B-5.17B-5.28B-5.28B-4.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B1.11B1.31B1.10B1.06B997.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.28B1.33B1.54B1.32B1.19B1.13B
Investing Cash Flow-945.49M-809.31M-468.25M-1.39B-1.42B-446.37M
Financing Cash Flow-326.74M645.74M-1.02B-167.47M339.26M-469.02M

SBA Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price217.99
Price Trends
50DMA
229.95
Negative
100DMA
227.91
Negative
200DMA
219.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.42
Positive
RSI
36.85
Neutral
STOCH
19.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBAC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 217.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 228.33, below the 50-day MA of 229.95, and below the 200-day MA of 219.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SBAC.

SBA Communications Risk Analysis

SBA Communications disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SBA Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We hold some of our towers through rights of use agreements, which are terminable in accordance with the terms of the respective agreements and provide us limited visibility regarding the relationship between the owner of the towers and the land owner. Q4, 2024
2.
The wireless industry in our international markets has come under competition in recent years which has, and may continue to, adversely affect our international site leasing activities in the near term. Q4, 2024

SBA Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$77.05B77.077.54%2.27%5.74%-6.58%
71
Outperform
$23.41B26.79-14.67%1.92%1.82%71.39%
64
Neutral
$95.81B74.2866.09%3.25%-9.52%-48.20%
63
Neutral
$27.22B671.16-35.81%3.26%10.72%-81.96%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.38-0.62%7.30%3.67%-27.09%
56
Neutral
$1.61B28.40-3.72%2.82%1.95%353.63%
52
Neutral
$45.19B33.81-234.10%5.63%-17.95%-398.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBAC
SBA Communications
217.99
4.20
1.96%
AMT
American Tower
204.62
-11.50
-5.32%
CCI
Crown Castle
102.33
-1.83
-1.76%
EQIX
Equinix
787.32
-37.15
-4.51%
IRM
Iron Mountain
92.15
-13.39
-12.69%
UNIT
Uniti Group
6.75
0.33
5.14%

SBA Communications Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SBA Communications Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, SBA Communications Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made. Shareholders voted to elect three director nominees, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year, and approved the compensation of the Company’s named executive officers. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBAC) stock is a Hold with a $230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBA Communications stock, see the SBAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025