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EPR Properties (EPR)
NYSE:EPR

EPR Properties (EPR) AI Stock Analysis

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EPR

EPR Properties

(NYSE:EPR)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(17.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum (price well above major moving averages with positive MACD) and a constructive earnings call (positive 2026 growth guidance, dividend increase, and solid cited credit/liquidity metrics). Financial performance is good but tempered by leverage considerations and 2025 financial data inconsistencies, while valuation is mixed—supported by a high dividend yield but held back by a higher P/E.
Positive Factors
High Portfolio Occupancy & Diversification
A large, highly leased portfolio across experiential and education assets produces durable, contractually backed rental cash flows. High occupancy and diversification across leisure verticals reduce vacancy risk and support stable rent rolls and predictable FFO over multiple quarters to years.
Consistent Cash Generation
Rising operating cash flow and persistent positive free cash flow indicate strong earnings quality and internal funding capacity. This cash generation underpins dividend coverage, funds reinvestment into experiential assets, and reduces dependence on external financing for medium-term growth.
Liquidity & Capital-Markets Access
Solid liquidity, undrawn revolver and recent successful debt/equity programs provide financing flexibility to execute a $400–$500M 2026 investment plan. Access to capital markets and fixed/hedged debt profile lowers near-term refinancing risk and supports disciplined portfolio growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage & Data Anomalies
Historical debt levels (consolidated debt ~$2.9B; net debt/EBITDAre ~4.9x) imply meaningful leverage for a REIT and limit financial flexibility. The 2025 reporting anomaly reduces confidence in current credit metrics, complicating evaluation of long-term coverage and refinancing capacity.
Execution Risk from Accelerated Investment Pace
A substantial step-up in experiential deployments and entry into new sub-verticals (fitness, golf, attractions) concentrates capital and requires integration expertise. Execution missteps, slower-than-expected yields, or higher capex could compress returns and increase G&A and operating complexity over the medium term.
Revenue Seasonality & Tenant Sensitivity
Exposure to box office cycles, weather-dependent ski assets and seasonal operating patterns drives recurring quarter-to-quarter volatility in percentage rents and FFO. These structural sensitivities can depress near-term cash flow during off-seasons or weak entertainment cycles, pressuring payout stability.

EPR Properties (EPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EPR Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEPR Properties is a leading experiential net lease real estate investment trust (REIT), specializing in select enduring experiential properties in the real estate industry. We focus on real estate venues which create value by facilitating out of home leisure and recreation experiences where consumers choose to spend their discretionary time and money. We have nearly $6.7 billion in total investments across 44 states. We adhere to rigorous underwriting and investing criteria centered on key industry, property and tenant level cash flow standards. We believe our focused approach provides a competitive advantage and the potential for stable and attractive returns.
How the Company Makes MoneyEPR Properties generates revenue primarily through leasing its properties to tenants under long-term agreements. The company earns rental income from its diverse portfolio, which includes properties in the entertainment and recreation sectors. Key revenue streams include fixed rent payments and percentage rents based on tenants' sales, with many leases structured to provide stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, EPR may generate income through property management fees and other ancillary services. Significant partnerships with reputable tenants in the entertainment industry contribute to its earnings stability, while the strategic focus on experiential properties positions the company to benefit from trends in consumer spending on leisure activities.

EPR Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong per-share earnings growth, disciplined capital recycling, a fortified balance sheet and an acceleration of experiential investment activity backed by clear capital-market actions (a $550M note issuance and a $400M ATM). Key operational strengths include a large, highly leased portfolio, improved percentage rent collection and full-year box office growth. Near-term headwinds include Q4 box office volatility, weather-driven ski revenue impacts, elevated G&A and Q1 seasonality. On balance the highlights notably outweigh the lowlights: management is confident in execution, raised investment cadence with supporting financing, and maintained dividend coverage.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Per-Share Earnings Growth
FFO as adjusted per share: Q4 $1.30 vs $1.23, +5.7%; Full year FFO as adjusted $5.12 vs $4.87, +5.1%. AFFO per share: Q4 $1.30 vs $1.22, +6.6%; Full year AFFO $5.14 vs $4.84, +6.2%.
Dividend Increase and Payout Coverage
Monthly dividend increased by 5.1% (effective April 15, 2026). AFFO payout ratio ~68% for Q4 and full year 2025 and expected to be ~70% at midpoint of 2026 guidance, indicating continued dividend coverage.
Expanded Investment Activity and 2026 Deployment Guidance
2025 investment spending $288.5M (Q4 $147.7M). 2026 investment spending guidance $400M–$500M (announced acceleration). Commitments include ~$85M to experiential development/redevelopment and several recent acquisitions (5 golf courses ~$90.7M, Ocean Breeze Water Park ~$23.2M, Vital climbing ~$34M).
Large, Highly Leased Portfolio
Total investments ~ $7.0B across 333 properties that are 99% leased/operated. Experiential portfolio: 278 properties, ~94% of investments (~$6.6B), 99% leased/operated. Education portfolio: 55 properties, 100% leased.
Improved Percentage Rent and Participating Interest (Q4)
Q4 percentage rents and participating interest $7.8M vs $4.9M prior year, an increase of ~$2.9M (+59.2%), driven by attraction/cultural properties and a key early childhood education tenant.
Strong Balance Sheet and Credit Metrics
Consolidated debt ~$2.9B (all fixed or hedged), blended coupon ~4.4%. Fixed charge coverage 3.4x; interest and debt service coverage 4.0x. Net debt / annualized adjusted EBITDAre 4.9x (below lower end of target range). Net debt / gross assets 39% (book). Cash $90.6M and $1.0B revolver undrawn.
Capital Markets Actions to Support Growth
Closed $550M public debt offering (5-year notes at 4.75%) and established $400M at-the-market (ATM) equity program to provide opportunistic issuance flexibility while funding growth.
Active Capital Recycling / Dispositions
2025 disposition proceeds totaled $168.3M with gains on sale of $39.5M for the year (Q4 proceeds $34.5M and Q4 gain $5.3M). Company sold 33 theaters over past 5 years and has one remaining vacant theater. 2026 disposition guidance $25M–$75M.
Box Office and Tenant Resilience
North American box office for 2025 was $8.7B, +1% vs 2024. Management reports stable tenant performance overall and anticipates further box office growth in 2026 tied to a strong slate of major releases; also noting higher-margin F&B and non-box-office revenue increases reduce sensitivity to box office levels.
Negative Updates
Q4 Box Office Decline vs Prior-Year Quarter
Q4 box office was $2.2B compared to $2.4B in Q4 2024, a decline of approximately 8.3% year-over-year for the quarter, reflecting quarterly variability despite full-year box office up 1%.
Weather-Related Ski Revenue Impact
Northern California ski asset opened late due to lack of snow; management reduced projected percentage rents tied to that property by ~$1.1M for 2026, highlighting weather/seasonality risk for ski-related assets.
Higher G&A Expense
G&A expense for Q4 increased to $14.6M versus $12.2M prior year, an increase of $2.4M (~19.7%), driven primarily by higher payroll, benefits and incentive compensation.
First-Quarter Seasonality / Short-Term Earnings Headwind
Management expects Q1 2026 results to be about $0.11 per share below a simple quarterly average due to timing of percentage rents and off-season effects at operating properties, indicating near-term quarter seasonality.
Modest Disposition Guidance for 2026
2026 disposition proceeds guidance is modest ($25M–$75M), implying limited near-term sale liquidity relative to 2025 proceeds of $168.3M; could limit recycling proceeds available for reinvestment if dispositions run below expectations.
Concentration of Investment Focus Could Increase Execution Risk
Management is materially increasing experiential investment cadence (targeting $400M–$500M in 2026) with majority acquisition-focused activity; higher pace and concentration in new experiential verticals (fitness/wellness, golf, attractions) introduces execution and integration risk.
Company Guidance
Management's 2026 guidance called for FFO as adjusted of $5.28–$5.48 per share (midpoint +5.1% vs. 2025) with AFFO rising a similar percentage and Q1 expected to be about $0.11 below a simple quarterly average; they forecast investment spending of $400–$500 million and dispositions of $25–$75 million, percentage rent and participating interest of $18.5–$22.5 million (noting $3.5M of out‑of‑period 2025 items that won't repeat, -$1.1M from a delayed Northern CA ski season, -$0.4M from higher breakpoints and a +$1M net increase including Regal), G&A of $56–$59 million, an AFFO payout of roughly 70% at the midpoint and a 5.1% monthly dividend increase effective April 15; these targets are supported by year‑end credit metrics of fixed charge coverage 3.4x, interest and debt service coverage 4.0x, net debt/EBITDAre 4.9x, net debt/gross assets 39%, consolidated debt of $2.9 billion (blended coupon ~4.4%), $90.6 million cash and an undrawn $1.0 billion revolver.

EPR Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-2020 recovery with improving profitability and solid cash generation (operating cash flow up to $421M in 2025; free cash flow positive since 2021). Offsetting this are leverage concerns based on 2020–2024 debt levels and multiple 2025 data inconsistencies (e.g., total debt shown as $0; select ratios at 0.0) that reduce confidence in the latest snapshot.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has strengthened meaningfully since 2020, with net income turning positive and margins remaining solid in recent years. Revenue has recovered well overall (from $406M in 2020 to $718M in 2025), including an 8.3% increase in 2025 after a slight dip in 2024. A key weakness is volatility across the period (notably the 2020 loss and uneven revenue growth), and one data point shows an EBIT margin of 0.0 in 2025 despite strong earnings, which reduces confidence in margin consistency for that year.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage for a REIT historically, with debt-to-equity generally around ~1.15–1.48 from 2020–2024 and equity relatively stable around $2.3–$2.6B. Returns on equity improved versus the 2020 loss and reached ~11.8% in 2025. The main concern is leverage risk implied by the multi-year debt load, plus an apparent anomaly in 2025 where total debt is shown as $0 (driving debt-to-equity to 0.0), which conflicts with prior-year levels and limits interpretability of the latest-year credit profile.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is solid and generally supports reported earnings, with operating cash flow rising from $65M in 2020 to $421M in 2025 and free cash flow positive in every year except 2020. Free cash flow closely tracks net income (about 1.0x in 2023–2025), suggesting good earnings quality. Weaknesses include the 2024 free cash flow decline (down ~12%) and a coverage ratio reported as 0.0 in 2025 (likely a data issue given strong cash flow), which clouds the latest-year debt-service picture.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue718.36M641.00M659.72M610.65M512.86M
Gross Profit320.87M581.85M602.24M554.66M456.13M
EBITDA579.67M437.69M464.88M465.58M404.56M
Net Income274.94M146.07M173.05M176.23M98.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.70B5.62B5.70B5.76B5.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.58M22.06M78.08M107.93M288.82M
Total Debt0.003.07B3.04B3.05B3.02B
Total Liabilities3.37B3.29B3.25B3.22B3.18B
Stockholders Equity2.33B2.32B2.45B2.54B2.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow420.95M393.14M447.09M428.30M193.73M
Operating Cash Flow420.95M393.14M447.09M441.72M306.93M
Investing Cash Flow-121.68M-176.35M-201.05M-351.58M1.86M
Financing Cash Flow-236.73M-261.62M-275.69M-269.39M-1.05B

EPR Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.41
Price Trends
50DMA
53.65
Positive
100DMA
52.31
Positive
200DMA
53.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.58
Negative
RSI
65.20
Neutral
STOCH
55.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.05, above the 50-day MA of 53.65, and above the 200-day MA of 53.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EPR.

EPR Properties Risk Analysis

EPR Properties disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EPR Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EPR Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.55B18.117.05%2.93%-0.87%
77
Outperform
$13.85B16.6218.54%6.93%4.39%-2.87%
75
Outperform
$13.95B23.8657.04%4.90%3.04%-14.88%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.73B16.318.04%5.72%47.75%
63
Neutral
$5.07B35.1319.88%5.02%-1.48%-50.05%
61
Neutral
$1.98B-200.90-0.58%3.42%12.57%4.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPR
EPR Properties
59.41
9.03
17.93%
CXW
CoreCivic
17.68
-0.50
-2.75%
LAMR
Lamar Advertising
137.74
19.86
16.84%
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure
48.91
2.27
4.86%
OUT
Outfront Media
28.81
11.43
65.79%
SMA
SmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.
33.35
1.97
6.27%

EPR Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
EPR Properties Hikes Dividend on Strong 2025 Earnings
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

EPR Properties reported that for the fourth quarter and full year ended Dec. 31, 2025, total revenue rose to $182.95 million and $718.36 million, respectively, with annual net income available to common shareholders more than doubling to $250.79 million, or $3.28 per diluted share. Non-GAAP metrics also improved, with 2025 FFOAA and AFFO per diluted share up 5.1% and 6.2%, reflecting strong earnings growth and supporting a 5.1% increase in the monthly common dividend announced on Feb. 25, 2026.

The company deployed $288.5 million of investment spending in 2025, including a Virginia attraction and five Texas golf course properties, while committing a further $85 million to experiential development and redevelopment projects and recycling capital via $168.3 million of asset dispositions. EPR reinforced its balance sheet by issuing $550 million of senior unsecured notes due 2030, ending the year with $90.6 million in cash, full availability on its $1 billion revolver and no debt maturities until August 2026, positioning it to pursue its robust experiential pipeline and execute on higher 2026 investment and earnings guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPR) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EPR Properties stock, see the EPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
EPR Properties Announces $400 Million Share Distribution
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, EPR Properties entered into a Distribution Agreement with several financial institutions to offer and sell up to $400 million of its common shares. This strategic move allows EPR Properties to raise funds for general corporate purposes, including acquisitions and debt reduction, potentially strengthening its market position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPR) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EPR Properties stock, see the EPR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026