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Gaming and Leisure (GLPI)
NASDAQ:GLPI
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Gaming and Leisure (GLPI) AI Stock Analysis

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GLPI

Gaming and Leisure

(NASDAQ:GLPI)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(15.44% Upside)
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI) demonstrates strong financial performance and a solid dividend yield, making it attractive for income investors. However, technical indicators are mixed, and uncertainties from the earnings call, such as increased expenses and credit concerns, slightly temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
GLPI's significant revenue growth, driven by strategic acquisitions and rent escalations, indicates a robust business model that enhances its market position and supports long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports GLPI's operations and growth investments, ensuring the company can sustain its dividend payments and pursue strategic acquisitions.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Sunland Park expands GLPI's asset base and strengthens its portfolio, enhancing revenue streams and providing long-term accretive benefits to AFFO per share.
Negative Factors
Rising Operating Expenses
The significant rise in operating expenses, mainly due to non-cash adjustments, could pressure margins and impact profitability if not managed effectively over the long term.
High Debt Levels
While leverage has improved, high debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting long-term growth.
Credit Concerns
Credit concerns with key partners like Bally's could pose risks to GLPI's revenue streams and financial health, necessitating careful management of tenant relationships and credit exposure.

Gaming and Leisure (GLPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gaming and Leisure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring, financing, and owning gaming and leisure properties. The company primarily invests in properties used for gaming, such as casinos, and associated hotel and entertainment facilities. By leasing these properties to gaming operators under long-term, net lease agreements, GLPI generates stable and predictable revenue streams while allowing operators to focus on their core gaming and entertainment activities.
How the Company Makes MoneyGLPI generates revenue primarily through rental income from its leased properties. The company enters into long-term lease agreements with casino operators, which typically include fixed rent escalations and additional rent based on the performance of the properties. This structure provides GLPI with a consistent cash flow. Key revenue streams include base rental payments and income from property management services. Additionally, GLPI may benefit from strategic partnerships with gaming operators that enhance property value and operational efficiency. The company's focus on stable, cash-flowing assets in the gaming sector, along with its diversified portfolio, plays a significant role in driving its overall earnings.

Gaming and Leisure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive revenue growth and operational achievements, especially in rent collection and tribal engagement. However, these were counterbalanced by significant challenges, including increased operating expenses and uncertainties regarding Bally's credit profile and New York project licenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Year-over-Year Revenue Growth
For the second quarter of 2025, Gaming and Leisure Properties reported a record year-over-year increase in revenue, AFFO, and adjusted EBITDA, driven by a $14 million increase in total income from real estate compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Increase in Cash Rent
Cash rent increased by over $22 million due to acquisitions and escalations, including $5 million from Bally Chicago land and $8 million from Kansas City and Shreveport.
Strong Rent Coverage Ratios
The company's rent coverage ratios range from 1.69x to 2.72x on master leases as of the end of the prior quarter.
Active Tribal Engagement
The company is in advanced discussions with several tribes for potential transactions, indicating a growing interest and education around the type of financing GLPI can provide.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses Spike
Operating expenses increased by $65.6 million, primarily due to a noncash adjustment in the provision for credit losses attributed to a more pessimistic economic forecast.
Concerns Over Bally's Credit Profile
Questions around Bally's financial health were raised due to a ratings downgrade by Fitch, highlighting potential risks associated with GLPI's exposure to Bally's.
Challenges in New York Casino Projects
While there is interest in New York projects, the approval process is uncertain, and it remains unclear which projects will receive licenses.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI) reported a significant year-over-year increase in revenue, with a $14 million rise in total income from real estate compared to the same period in 2024. This growth was primarily driven by a $22 million increase in cash rent, attributed to acquisitions and escalations. Specific contributions included $5 million from Bally Chicago land, $8 million from Kansas City and Shreveport, and various other strategic acquisitions and loans. Despite a collective decrease of approximately $8.2 million due to non-cash revenue adjustments, the company maintained strong operational metrics. Operating expenses rose by $65.6 million, mainly due to a non-cash adjustment related to a provision for credit losses. GLPI's full-year 2025 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) guidance stands at $3.85 to $3.87 per diluted share, incorporating anticipated funding from several development projects. Rent coverage ratios for their master leases ranged from 1.69 to 2.72 times at the end of the previous quarter.

Gaming and Leisure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gaming and Leisure exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability margins. The company has improved its leverage position, although it still carries significant debt. Cash flow generation is strong, supporting operations and growth investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Gaming and Leisure has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 91.9%. The company maintains high profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 92.56% and a net profit margin of 45.91% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 69.67% and 87.50%, respectively. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased from the previous year, indicating some pressure on net income.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58 in the TTM period, which is a decrease from previous years, indicating improved leverage management. Return on equity is solid at 16.62%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 36.45%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow and free cash flow have shown consistent growth, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 272.1%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.14, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 94.03%, suggesting effective conversion of earnings into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.57B1.53B1.44B1.31B1.22B1.15B
Gross Profit1.45B1.48B1.39B1.26B1.13B1.07B
EBITDA1.37B1.40B1.34B1.22B1.07B1.01B
Net Income718.53M784.62M734.28M684.65M534.05M505.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.49B13.33B11.81B10.93B10.69B9.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments604.16M1.02B683.98M239.08M724.60M486.45M
Total Debt7.20B8.04B6.88B6.36B6.79B5.91B
Total Liabilities7.56B8.69B7.30B6.81B7.30B6.36B
Stockholders Equity4.55B4.27B4.16B3.78B3.19B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B1.03B961.93M896.10M787.58M424.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.11B1.07B1.01B920.13M803.78M428.08M
Investing Cash Flow-500.83M-1.61B-650.83M-354.49M-1.03B-9.49M
Financing Cash Flow-98.18M311.82M86.35M-1.05B443.07M63.17M

Gaming and Leisure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.91
Price Trends
50DMA
46.45
Negative
100DMA
46.17
Negative
200DMA
46.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
43.00
Neutral
STOCH
41.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.81, below the 50-day MA of 46.45, and below the 200-day MA of 46.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLPI.

Gaming and Leisure Risk Analysis

Gaming and Leisure disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaming and Leisure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gaming and Leisure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.20B28.227.56%6.34%1.37%-16.66%
75
Outperform
$4.10B11.4936.96%11.02%9.90%137.73%
74
Outperform
$13.07B17.7516.52%6.81%5.38%-9.82%
66
Neutral
$2.04B19.967.11%1.62%55.45%
66
Neutral
$3.03B29.8814.89%9.31%-2.49%-52.99%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
$3.30B80.952.07%4.29%-1.15%14.51%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure
45.26
-2.64
-5.51%
CXW
CoreCivic
18.93
6.21
48.82%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
42.00
1.08
2.64%
RYN
Rayonier
26.35
-2.21
-7.74%
EPR
EPR Properties
55.08
10.35
23.14%
OUT
Outfront Media
17.73
0.65
3.81%

Gaming and Leisure Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Gaming and Leisure Issues $1.3 Billion in Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. announced that its operating partnership, GLP Capital, L.P., along with its subsidiary GLP Financing II, Inc., entered into an underwriting agreement to issue $1.3 billion in senior notes. The proceeds will be used to redeem existing notes and for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and operational flexibility.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gaming and Leisure Restructures Leadership with Key Departure
Negative
Jul 18, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. announced the elimination of the Senior Vice President and Chief Investment Officer position, affecting Matthew J. Demchyk. A separation agreement was reached, with Mr. Demchyk’s last day set for August 1, 2025. The agreement includes a cash severance package totaling $6,250,000, distributed over a period extending to August 2026, along with continued medical benefits for up to 24 months. This restructuring move may impact the company’s investment strategies and operational focus, potentially influencing stakeholder perceptions.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gaming and Leisure Shareholders Approve Incentive Plan Amendments
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, during its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. received approval for amendments to its 2013 Long-Term Incentive Compensation Plan, including an increase in reserved shares and changes to share provisions. Additionally, all director nominees were re-elected, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These approvals and re-elections strengthen the company’s governance framework and support its strategic objectives, potentially impacting shareholder value and operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2025