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Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI)
:GLPI
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Gaming and Leisure (GLPI) AI Stock Analysis

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GLPI

Gaming and Leisure

(NASDAQ:GLPI)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(11.11% Upside)
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, which is the most significant factor in its overall score. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and mixed earnings call results with tenant risks and increased expenses present challenges. Valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield, but recent corporate events introduce some strategic uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Dividends
The dividend was raised by 2.6%.
Financial Flexibility
GLPI has ~$409m of unsettled proceeds anticipated to be settled soon, which could enhance financial flexibility.
Investment and Development
GLPI is investing $130 million in the new Hollywood Casino Joliet project, indicating ongoing investment in new developments.
Negative Factors
Investment Guidance
The new investment guide of $375m is lower, likely due to delays on Bally's Chicago, reflecting potential challenges in meeting investment expectations.
Project Delays
The delay of the flagship project of Bally's Chicago has impacted growth expectations, reducing the projected growth rate to below the group average.
Strategic Leadership
The position of SVP and Chief Investment Officer was eliminated, raising questions about the company's strategic leadership.

Gaming and Leisure (GLPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gaming and Leisure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGLPI is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties, taxes levied on or with respect to the leased properties and all utilities and other services necessary or appropriate for the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyGLPI generates revenue primarily through rental income from its leased properties. The company enters into long-term lease agreements with casino operators, which typically include fixed rent escalations and additional rent based on the performance of the properties. This structure provides GLPI with a consistent cash flow. Key revenue streams include base rental payments and income from property management services. Additionally, GLPI may benefit from strategic partnerships with gaming operators that enhance property value and operational efficiency. The company's focus on stable, cash-flowing assets in the gaming sector, along with its diversified portfolio, plays a significant role in driving its overall earnings.

Gaming and Leisure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with strong revenue growth and development progress offset by increased expenses and concerns over tenant financial health, particularly Bally's. While the company maintains robust relationships and strategic project investments, uncertainties in the economic forecast and specific high-risk projects temper the overall positive achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth
Achieved a record year-over-year revenue with increases in cash rent of over $22 million driven by acquisitions and rent escalation.
Strong AFFO Guidance
The full-year 2025 AFFO guidance is ranging from $3.85 to $3.87 per diluted share and OP units, indicating stable financial performance.
Successful Development Projects
Progress in development projects, including a $375 million investment with $338 million remaining for the second half of 2025, predominantly in Bally's Chicago project.
Positive Relationships with Tenants
Maintained strong relationships with tenants like Bally's, indicating potential for future growth and partnerships.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $65.6 million, primarily due to noncash adjustments in the provision for credit losses reflecting a more pessimistic economic forecast.
Bally's Credit Concerns
Fitch recently downgraded Bally's to ratings watch negative, raising concerns about its financial stability and reliance on sale-leaseback capital.
Uncertainty in New York Casino Projects
Uncertainty around New York casino projects and the financial commitment required, with limited progress on approvals and financing.
Challenges in Tenant Financial Health
Concerns about tenant financial health, specifically Bally's, due to lack of guarantees on some leases and the inherent development risks.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call for Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc., the company reported a year-over-year revenue increase of over $14 million, driven by a $22 million rise in cash rent due to acquisitions and escalations, including $5 million from Bally Chicago land and $8 million from Kansas City and Shreveport. Despite an $8.2 million decrease in non-cash revenue growth, operating expenses surged by $65.6 million due to a noncash adjustment in the provision for credit losses. The company's full-year 2025 AFFO guidance is projected to range from $3.85 to $3.87 per diluted share and OP units, not accounting for future transactions but including anticipated funding of $130 million for the Joliet relocation and $375 million for development projects. Rent coverage ratios were reported between 1.69x to 2.72x on master leases from the prior quarter end.

Gaming and Leisure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gaming and Leisure demonstrates strong financial performance with high profitability and efficient operations. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the company maintains solid profit margins and a prudent balance sheet with low leverage. Cash flow management is effective, though there is room for improvement in free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Gaming and Leisure has shown robust financial growth with a strong gross profit margin of 93.4% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a net profit margin of 51.8%, indicating high profitability. The revenue growth rate over the past year was slightly negative at -2.3%, but the company maintains a solid EBIT margin of 75.9% and an EBITDA margin of 90.0%, signaling effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 and a return on equity (ROE) of 18.4% for TTM, reflecting a healthy balance between debt and equity financing and decent returns to shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 34.7%, indicating a stable financial structure. However, attention should be given to leverage ratios to ensure long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Gaming and Leisure demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.00 and an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05 for TTM, highlighting excellent cash conversion capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate was -24.9% year-over-year, suggesting room for improvement in generating cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.57B1.53B1.44B1.31B1.22B1.15B
Gross Profit1.45B1.48B1.39B1.26B1.13B1.07B
EBITDA1.37B1.40B1.34B1.22B1.07B1.01B
Net Income718.53M784.62M734.28M684.65M534.05M505.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.49B13.08B11.81B10.93B10.69B9.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments604.16M1.02B683.98M239.08M724.60M486.45M
Total Debt7.20B8.04B6.88B6.36B6.79B5.91B
Total Liabilities7.56B8.43B7.30B6.81B7.30B6.36B
Stockholders Equity4.55B4.27B4.16B3.78B3.19B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B1.03B961.93M896.10M787.58M424.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.11B1.07B1.01B920.13M803.78M428.08M
Investing Cash Flow-500.83M-1.61B-650.83M-354.49M-1.03B-9.49M
Financing Cash Flow-98.18M311.82M86.35M-1.05B443.07M63.17M

Gaming and Leisure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.90
Price Trends
50DMA
46.69
Negative
100DMA
46.89
Negative
200DMA
47.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
45.43
Neutral
STOCH
38.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.36, below the 50-day MA of 46.69, and below the 200-day MA of 47.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLPI.

Gaming and Leisure Risk Analysis

Gaming and Leisure disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaming and Leisure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our charter restricts the ownership and transfer of our outstanding stock, which may have the effect of delaying, deferring or preventing a transaction or change of control of our company. Q4, 2024
2.
Pennsylvania law and provisions in our charter and bylaws may delay or prevent takeover attempts by third parties and therefore inhibit our shareholders from realizing a premium on their stock. Q4, 2024
3.
The market price of our common stock may be volatile, and holders of our common stock could lose a significant portion of their investment if the market price of our common stock declines. Q4, 2024

Gaming and Leisure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$12.99B17.6316.52%6.67%5.38%-9.82%
71
Outperform
$4.09B11.3436.96%10.98%9.90%137.73%
70
Outperform
$12.27B28.2641.80%5.07%3.08%-12.87%
69
Neutral
$4.04B26.057.56%6.54%1.37%-16.66%
69
Neutral
$3.38B83.002.07%4.11%-1.15%14.51%
63
Neutral
$6.83B13.33-1.02%7.20%3.67%-27.11%
60
Neutral
$18.98B68.452.85%3.12%-6.57%-62.32%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure
45.90
-0.93
-1.99%
LAMR
Lamar Advertising
123.27
9.52
8.37%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
43.78
3.87
9.70%
RYN
Rayonier
26.32
-0.53
-1.97%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.84
-3.51
-11.96%
EPR
EPR Properties
53.05
10.54
24.79%

Gaming and Leisure Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gaming and Leisure Restructures Leadership with Key Departure
Negative
Jul 18, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. announced the elimination of the Senior Vice President and Chief Investment Officer position, affecting Matthew J. Demchyk. A separation agreement was reached, with Mr. Demchyk’s last day set for August 1, 2025. The agreement includes a cash severance package totaling $6,250,000, distributed over a period extending to August 2026, along with continued medical benefits for up to 24 months. This restructuring move may impact the company’s investment strategies and operational focus, potentially influencing stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLPI) stock is a Hold with a $52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gaming and Leisure stock, see the GLPI Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gaming and Leisure Shareholders Approve Incentive Plan Amendments
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, during its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. received approval for amendments to its 2013 Long-Term Incentive Compensation Plan, including an increase in reserved shares and changes to share provisions. Additionally, all director nominees were re-elected, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These approvals and re-elections strengthen the company’s governance framework and support its strategic objectives, potentially impacting shareholder value and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLPI) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gaming and Leisure stock, see the GLPI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025