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Gaming and Leisure (GLPI)
NASDAQ:GLPI

Gaming and Leisure (GLPI) AI Stock Analysis

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GLPI

Gaming and Leisure

(NASDAQ:GLPI)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(9.42% Upside)
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. shows strong financial performance and attractive valuation, which are the primary drivers of its score. The positive earnings call further supports the stock's outlook. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which slightly offsets the positive aspects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's recent transactions are expected to add over 5% to annualized cash rent, indicating strong revenue growth and expansion potential.
Strong Financial Performance
The increase in income from real estate and decreased operating expenses highlight GLPI's robust financial performance and operational efficiency.
Solid Balance Sheet
A solid balance sheet with a low leverage ratio provides financial flexibility, supporting long-term growth and investment opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow could limit future investments or debt repayments, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can strain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate hikes, affecting long-term stability.
Project Delays
Delays in major projects like Chicago development can hinder revenue growth and affect the company's strategic expansion plans.

Gaming and Leisure (GLPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gaming and Leisure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. engages in the provision of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements. The company was founded on February 13, 2013 and is headquartered in Wyomissing, PA.
How the Company Makes MoneyGLPI generates revenue primarily through long-term triple-net leases with gaming operators, which require tenants to cover property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance. This structure provides GLPI with a steady and predictable income stream. Additionally, the company may earn income from property sales and financing activities related to its portfolio. Significant partnerships with major gaming operators enhance its revenue potential, as these operators are often well-established and financially stable, thus reducing the risk of default on lease agreements.

Gaming and Leisure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant achievements, including accretive transactions, strong financial performance, and a solid balance sheet. However, there are some concerns regarding the Chicago development delays and potential risks associated with New York projects. Overall, the positive developments and financial metrics outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Accretive Transactions and Pipeline Expansion
GLPI announced three accretive transactions in the last 60 days, deploying $875 million at a blended cap rate of 9.3%, which will add over 5% to annualized cash rent. The company has a pipeline with over $3 billion of announced transaction activity.
Strong Financial Performance
Total income from real estate in Q3 2025 exceeded Q3 2024 by over $12 million, driven by a $20 million increase in cash rent. Operating expenses decreased by $53.5 million. Full-year 2025 AFFO guidance increased to $3.86 to $3.88 per diluted share.
Solid Balance Sheet and Funding Strategy
GLPI sold 7.6 million shares under a forward sale agreement, raising $363.3 million, and issued $1.3 billion in new bonds. The leverage ratio stands at 4.4x, below the target and historical levels, providing funding flexibility.
Positive Developments in Partnerships
Significant progress with Bally's, including the international iGaming transaction and development in Chicago. Bally's is a remaining bidder for potential lucrative licenses in New York.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Chicago Development
Chicago development funding reduced by $25 million and pushed into 2026 due to timing adjustments and delays in the project start date.
Potential Risks with New York Projects
Concerns about the 15-year term for New York casino licenses and potential impacts of iGaming legalization on profitability.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 earnings call for Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc., the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. The company announced three recent transactions deploying $875 million at a blended cap rate of 9.3%, which are expected to add over 5% to the current annualized cash rent. Despite a leverage profile that could extend to 5.1x, the company remains comfortable with its liquidity position. The total income from real estate increased by over $12 million compared to the same quarter in 2024, primarily driven by $20 million in increased cash rent from acquisitions. The company also increased its full-year 2025 AFFO guidance to a range of $3.86 to $3.88 per diluted share. Additionally, the company executed a $363 million forward equity agreement and issued $1.3 billion in new bonds, maintaining a leverage ratio of 4.4x, well below its target range.

Gaming and Leisure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gaming and Leisure demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a high gross profit margin. The balance sheet is solid with improved leverage, but high debt levels and declining free cash flow growth pose risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Gaming and Leisure has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 7.84%, indicating robust business expansion. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 70.66% and a net profit margin of 50.94% in the TTM period. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, which could suggest rising costs or competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio of 35.79%, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 1.71 in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity remains strong at 17.60%, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds. Despite these strengths, the company still carries a substantial amount of debt, which could pose risks if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong with a coverage ratio of 1.64, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has declined by 4.33% in the TTM period, which could impact future investments or debt repayments. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust at 93.10%, suggesting efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.53B1.44B1.31B1.22B1.15B
Gross Profit1.52B1.48B1.39B1.26B1.13B1.07B
EBITDA1.45B1.45B1.36B1.28B1.10B1.03B
Net Income775.03M784.62M734.28M684.65M534.05M505.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.79B13.33B11.81B10.93B10.69B9.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments751.72M1.02B683.98M239.08M724.60M486.45M
Total Debt7.51B8.04B6.88B6.36B6.79B5.91B
Total Liabilities7.83B8.69B7.30B6.81B7.30B6.36B
Stockholders Equity4.58B4.27B4.16B3.78B3.19B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow997.38M1.03B961.93M896.10M787.58M424.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.08B1.07B1.01B920.13M803.78M428.08M
Investing Cash Flow-95.31M-1.61B-650.83M-354.49M-1.03B-9.49M
Financing Cash Flow-725.69M311.82M86.35M-1.05B443.07M63.17M

Gaming and Leisure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price42.04
Price Trends
50DMA
43.48
Negative
100DMA
44.52
Negative
200DMA
45.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
42.47
Neutral
STOCH
21.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.48, below the 50-day MA of 43.48, and below the 200-day MA of 45.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLPI.

Gaming and Leisure Risk Analysis

Gaming and Leisure disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaming and Leisure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gaming and Leisure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.86B22.128.44%6.95%2.93%-0.87%
73
Outperform
$1.95B18.577.41%5.72%47.75%
72
Outperform
$11.70B14.8517.54%7.37%4.39%-2.87%
72
Outperform
$3.31B8.8638.06%12.61%8.88%131.78%
69
Neutral
$3.37B29.4017.74%5.07%-1.48%-50.05%
66
Neutral
$3.03B47.843.25%4.57%5.40%294.38%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure
42.04
-4.36
-9.40%
CXW
CoreCivic
18.95
-3.07
-13.94%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
40.66
-0.59
-1.43%
RYN
Rayonier
22.01
-3.75
-14.56%
EPR
EPR Properties
49.74
7.92
18.94%
OUT
Outfront Media
23.58
5.53
30.64%

Gaming and Leisure Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Gaming and Leisure Appoints New Board Member
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. appointed Michael Borofsky as a new independent member of its Board of Directors, expanding the board to eight members, seven of whom are independent. Borofsky, founder of Mithrandir Ventures, brings extensive experience in gaming, entertainment, and technology sectors, which is expected to support the company’s growth and value creation for shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025