CoreCivic (CXW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.79B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.09M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.35
• Revenue Growth: 5.72%
• EPS Growth: 47.75%
• Country: US
• Employees: 11,649
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: REIT - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.24
• Shares Outstanding: 104,584,656
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,334,840
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,087,859
• PEG Ratio: 6.85
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.61
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.22
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.77
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.51
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.38
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.49
• 1Y Price Target: $30.00
• Price Target Upside: 66.48% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.01
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.16B

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $17.50 ▼(-2.89% Downside)

CoreCivic's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The most significant factor is the company's solid financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, technical indicators show bearish momentum, and cash flow issues raise concerns. The earnings call provides a slightly positive outlook due to new contracts and share repurchases, but legal and start-up challenges temper enthusiasm.

CoreCivic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) is a leading provider of corrections and detention management services in the United States. The company operates a diverse portfolio of facilities, including prisons, detention centers, and residential reentry centers, primarily serving government agencies at the federal, state, and local levels. CoreCivic's core products and services include corrections management, rehabilitation programs, and community reentry services, aimed at enhancing public safety and reducing recidivism rates.

How the Company Makes Money

CoreCivic generates revenue primarily through contracts with government agencies to operate correctional and detention facilities, charging fees for housing inmates and providing various services. These contracts are often long-term and can include performance-based incentives. Key revenue streams include daily per diem rates for each inmate housed, management fees for operating facilities, and additional income from rehabilitation and reentry programs. The company also partners with federal, state, and local governments, which can significantly influence its earnings by determining the number of inmates and facilities under management. Factors such as changes in incarceration rates, government budgets, and public policy regarding criminal justice also play crucial roles in CoreCivic's financial performance.

CoreCivic Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CoreCivic shows solid revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, indicating operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, but cash flow performance raises concerns due to a significant decline in free cash flow growth. Profitability is improving, but cash flow challenges need addressing for long-term financial health.

Income Statement

CoreCivic's income statement shows a steady revenue growth rate of 4.45% in the TTM, indicating positive momentum. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 45.04% from 23.87% in 2024, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 5.25%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting consistent earnings before interest and taxes.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71 in the TTM, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity improved to 7.39%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a comprehensive assessment of financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with controlled debt levels.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth by 90% in the TTM, highlighting potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.12, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.43 suggests some ability to cover net income with free cash flow, but overall cash flow performance is weak.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.09B	1.96B	1.90B	1.85B	1.86B	1.91B
Gross Profit	495.19M	468.29M	306.89M	431.54M	525.55M	499.11M
EBITDA	333.07M	287.39M	296.10M	378.18M	306.38M	293.88M
Net Income	109.24M	68.87M	67.59M	122.32M	-51.90M	55.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.11B	2.93B	3.11B	3.24B	3.50B	3.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	71.78M	107.49M	121.84M	149.40M	299.64M	113.22M
Total Debt	1.04B	1.01B	1.21B	1.39B	1.69B	1.97B
Total Liabilities	1.64B	1.44B	1.63B	1.81B	2.13B	2.30B
Stockholders Equity	1.47B	1.49B	1.48B	1.43B	1.37B	1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	112.94M	197.98M	161.65M	72.19M	182.35M	271.74M
Operating Cash Flow	234.24M	269.15M	231.90M	153.58M	263.23M	355.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-185.79M	-53.82M	-58.87M	73.04M	238.42M	12.97M
Financing Cash Flow	-94.24M	-222.18M	-206.24M	-375.16M	-327.71M	-350.82M

CoreCivic Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 18.02
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CXW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.53, below the 50-day MA of 18.77, and below the 200-day MA of 20.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CXW.

CoreCivic Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
OUT	71 Outperform	$3.37B	29.40	17.74%	9.36%	-1.48%	-50.05%
EPR	66 Neutral	$3.95B	22.62	8.44%	6.83%	2.93%	-0.87%
PCH	64 Neutral	$3.05B	48.24	3.25%	4.56%	5.40%	294.38%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
UNIT	60 Neutral	$1.43B	1.18	―	―	38.93%	952.55%
CXW	59 Neutral	$1.79B	17.04	7.41%	―	5.72%	47.75%
SMA	57 Neutral	$1.36B	-67.68	-0.58%	2.75%	12.57%	4.92%

CoreCivic Corporate Events

CoreCivic Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results

CoreCivic is a diversified government-solutions company that provides corrections and detention management services, as well as residential reentry facilities, primarily in the United States. The company is recognized as the largest owner of partnership correctional and detention facilities in the nation.

CoreCivic Announces CEO Transition Effective January 2026

On August 18, 2025, CoreCivic announced that CEO Damon T. Hininger will step down as CEO and resign from the Board of Directors effective January 1, 2026. Patrick Swindle, currently the President and COO, will succeed Hininger as CEO and join the Board. Hininger will remain as a Special Advisor to the CEO and Chairman of the Board until March 31, 2027. The transition is expected to ensure continuity and leverage Swindle’s extensive experience in leading CoreCivic through a period of growth and operational transformation. This leadership change is positioned to maintain CoreCivic’s trajectory of growth and innovation, benefiting government partners and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CXW) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreCivic stock, see the CXW Stock Forecast page.

CoreCivic’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

The recent earnings call for CoreCivic presented a largely positive outlook, highlighting significant growth in revenue and successful strategic initiatives such as facility acquisitions and reactivations. Despite the positive trajectory, challenges like legal delays and operational setbacks at specific facilities slightly tempered the overall progress.

CoreCivic Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Raises Guidance

CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government-solutions company specializing in corrections and detention management, providing a range of services to government partners across the United States.