CoreCivic (CXW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.97B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 887.43K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.25
• Revenue Growth: 1.62%
• EPS Growth: 55.45%
• Country: US
• Employees: 11,649
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: REIT - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.35
• Shares Outstanding: 107,059,950
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 734,453
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 887,431
• PEG Ratio: 6.85
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.61
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.22
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.61
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.59
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.53
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.74
• 1Y Price Target: $30.00
• Price Target Upside: 66.48% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: $19.50 ▲(8.21% Upside)

CoreCivic's overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance and positive earnings call, indicating potential for future growth. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation is moderate. The absence of a dividend yield and some operational challenges temper the outlook.

CoreCivic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) is a leading provider of diversified correctional, detention, and residential reentry services in the United States. The company operates in two primary sectors: Corrections and Immigration. CoreCivic's core products and services include the management and operation of correctional and detention facilities, as well as the provision of rehabilitation programs, including educational and vocational training, to support successful reintegration into society.

How the Company Makes Money

CoreCivic generates revenue primarily through contracts with federal, state, and local government agencies to manage and operate correctional facilities, detention centers, and reentry programs. The company's revenue model is based on per diem payments for each inmate housed in its facilities, which are often regulated by government contracts. Key revenue streams include the operation of private prisons, immigration detention centers, and community residential facilities. Additionally, CoreCivic may earn revenue from ancillary services such as inmate healthcare and rehabilitation programs. Significant partnerships with government agencies, including the Federal Bureau of Prisons and U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), contribute to its earnings, as these relationships ensure a steady inflow of contracts and occupancy rates.

CoreCivic Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CoreCivic demonstrates stable financial performance with moderate revenue growth and improved profitability. The company has reduced leverage while maintaining operational efficiency. Cash flow generation is strong, supporting financial health, but there is room for improvement in cost management and further strengthening of the balance sheet.

Income Statement

CoreCivic's income statement shows moderate revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.47%. The gross profit margin has decreased slightly from previous years, indicating some pressure on cost management. However, the net profit margin has improved to 5.21% in the TTM, reflecting better profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting consistent operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69 in the TTM, showing a decrease from previous years, which is a positive sign of reduced leverage. Return on equity has improved to 7.03%, indicating better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced but not overly strong financial position.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with an 8.05% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, indicating that operating cash flow is covering net income adequately. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, showing a healthy conversion of net income into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.00B	1.96B	1.90B	1.85B	1.86B	1.91B
Gross Profit	485.05M	468.29M	306.89M	431.54M	525.55M	499.11M
EBITDA	324.95M	287.39M	296.10M	389.08M	316.38M	293.88M
Net Income	104.03M	68.87M	67.59M	122.32M	-51.90M	55.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.07B	2.93B	3.11B	3.24B	3.50B	3.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	130.52M	107.49M	121.84M	149.40M	299.64M	113.22M
Total Debt	1.02B	1.01B	1.21B	1.25B	1.53B	1.79B
Total Liabilities	1.59B	1.44B	1.63B	1.81B	2.13B	2.30B
Stockholders Equity	1.48B	1.49B	1.48B	1.43B	1.37B	1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	170.79M	197.98M	161.65M	72.19M	182.35M	271.74M
Operating Cash Flow	271.94M	269.15M	231.90M	153.58M	263.23M	355.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-92.51M	-53.82M	-58.87M	73.04M	238.42M	12.97M
Financing Cash Flow	-104.16M	-222.18M	-206.24M	-375.16M	-327.71M	-350.82M

CoreCivic Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 18.02
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CXW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.59, below the 50-day MA of 19.85, and below the 200-day MA of 20.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CXW.

CoreCivic Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EPR	―	$4.00B	25.79	7.56%	6.65%	1.37%	-16.66%
PCH	―	$3.25B	79.73	2.07%	4.21%	-1.15%	14.51%
CXW	―	$1.97B	19.37	7.11%	―	1.62%	55.45%
Sector *	―	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
SMA	―	$1.45B	―	-1.46%	2.15%	8.86%	-166.90%
OUT	―	$2.94B	29.04	14.89%	9.38%	-2.49%	-52.99%
UNIT	―	$1.44B	25.41	―	―	1.95%	353.63%

CoreCivic Corporate Events

CoreCivic Announces CEO Transition Effective January 2026

On August 18, 2025, CoreCivic announced that CEO Damon T. Hininger will step down as CEO and resign from the Board of Directors effective January 1, 2026. Patrick Swindle, currently the President and COO, will succeed Hininger as CEO and join the Board. Hininger will remain as a Special Advisor to the CEO and Chairman of the Board until March 31, 2027. The transition is expected to ensure continuity and leverage Swindle’s extensive experience in leading CoreCivic through a period of growth and operational transformation. This leadership change is positioned to maintain CoreCivic’s trajectory of growth and innovation, benefiting government partners and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CXW) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreCivic stock, see the CXW Stock Forecast page.

CoreCivic’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

The recent earnings call for CoreCivic presented a largely positive outlook, highlighting significant growth in revenue and successful strategic initiatives such as facility acquisitions and reactivations. Despite the positive trajectory, challenges like legal delays and operational setbacks at specific facilities slightly tempered the overall progress.

CoreCivic Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Raises Guidance

CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government-solutions company specializing in corrections and detention management, providing a range of services to government partners across the United States.