CoreCivic (CXW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.19B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 839.76K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: 0.53%
• EPS Growth: 34.20%
• Country: US
• Employees: 11,649
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: REIT - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 109,158,410
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 918,164
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 839,762
• PEG Ratio: -0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.95
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 18.93
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.12
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.31
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.79
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.08
• 1Y Price Target: $33.00
• Price Target Upside: 60.82% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: $23.00 ▲(12.09%Upside)

CoreCivic's overall score is driven by stable financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, technical analysis and valuation present challenges, with overvaluation concerns and mixed technical signals. The company's ability to capitalize on its financial strengths and improve growth prospects will be crucial.

CoreCivic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address America's recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, including basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 46 correctional and detention facilities, 26 residential reentry centers, and 10 properties for lease. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

How the Company Makes Money

CoreCivic generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts with federal, state, and local government agencies. The company's CoreCivic Safety segment is the largest revenue driver, as it involves the management and operation of correctional and detention facilities, for which CoreCivic receives payments based on occupancy rates or fixed monthly fees. The CoreCivic Community segment contributes to revenue through providing residential reentry programs and services aimed at reducing recidivism. Additionally, CoreCivic Properties generates income by leasing real estate assets to government entities. These revenue streams are supported by significant partnerships with agencies such as the U.S. Marshals Service, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), and various state departments of corrections. Economic and political factors, including criminal justice policies and incarceration rates, can significantly impact CoreCivic's financial performance.

CoreCivic Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CoreCivic maintains a stable financial footing with competitive margins and efficient cash flow management. Despite stagnant revenue growth, the company benefits from strong cash flow ratios and a balanced equity position. There is potential for enhanced profitability and growth acceleration.

Income Statement

CoreCivic's income statement shows moderate performance with a stable revenue base and improving profitability. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is approximately 21.87%, and the Net Profit Margin is around 4.33%. Revenue has slightly decreased by about 0.61% from the previous annual report. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also stable at around 9.29% and 15.68%, respectively. The company demonstrates consistent profitability but lacks significant revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a balanced financial structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of approximately 0.67, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is about 5.72%, which is decent but could improve. The Equity Ratio stands at 49.13%, showcasing a strong equity position. Overall, while the leverage is manageable, there is room for improvement in profitability and asset utilization.

Cash Flow

CoreCivic's cash flow statement presents a healthy financial position with robust cash generation. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decrease, but the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 2.88, indicating efficient cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.87, highlighting solid free cash flow relative to earnings. Cash flows are well-managed, supporting financial stability and operational needs.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.95B	1.96B	1.90B	1.85B	1.86B	1.91B
Gross Profit	426.27M	468.29M	306.89M	431.54M	525.55M	499.11M
EBITDA	305.84M	287.39M	296.10M	389.08M	316.38M	293.88M
Net Income	84.44M	68.87M	67.59M	122.32M	-51.90M	55.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.00B	2.93B	3.11B	3.24B	3.50B	3.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	74.50M	107.49M	121.84M	149.40M	299.64M	113.22M
Total Debt	982.86M	1.01B	1.21B	1.25B	1.53B	1.79B
Total Liabilities	1.53B	1.44B	1.63B	1.81B	2.13B	2.30B
Stockholders Equity	1.48B	1.49B	1.48B	1.43B	1.37B	1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	158.06M	197.98M	161.65M	72.19M	182.35M	271.74M
Operating Cash Flow	243.28M	269.15M	231.90M	153.58M	263.23M	355.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-75.05M	-53.82M	-58.87M	73.04M	238.42M	12.97M
Financing Cash Flow	-199.68M	-222.18M	-206.24M	-375.16M	-327.71M	-350.82M

CoreCivic Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 20.52
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CXW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.24, below the 50-day MA of 21.82, and above the 200-day MA of 19.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CXW.

CoreCivic Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EPR	77 Outperform	$4.37B	35.04	6.25%	6.16%	0.69%	-19.22%
OUT	74 Outperform	$2.64B	10.34	39.80%	7.59%	-1.10%	―
FPI	73 Outperform	$517.85M	11.03	12.09%	2.13%	-0.52%	112.78%
CXW	66 Neutral	$2.19B	26.84	5.79%	―	0.53%	34.20%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$10.36B	15.10	5.28%	2.01%	2.70%	-26.16%
PCH	63 Neutral	$3.04B	63.89	2.31%	4.65%	10.86%	6.72%
UNIT	58 Neutral	$1.02B	15.90	-3.72%	3.60%	2.44%	305.26%

CoreCivic Corporate Events

CoreCivic Stockholders Meeting Elects Board and Ratifies Auditor

On May 15, 2025, CoreCivic held its annual stockholders meeting via webcast, with 84.4% of its common stock represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected twelve directors to the board, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on an advisory basis. These decisions are pivotal for the company’s governance and financial oversight in the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (CXW) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreCivic stock, see the CXW Stock Forecast page.