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Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR)
NASDAQ:LAMR

Lamar Advertising (LAMR) AI Stock Analysis

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Lamar Advertising

(NASDAQ:LAMR)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$135.00
▲(13.20%Upside)
Lamar Advertising's robust financial performance, coupled with strategic growth in digital and programmatic revenue, supports a strong stock position. The company's balance sheet improvements and shareholder-friendly actions, such as dividends and buybacks, enhance its appeal. While the valuation is somewhat high, the dividend yield provides a compensatory benefit. Technical indicators suggest stable market positioning, though mixed trends indicate some caution.
Positive Factors
Growth Strategy
Increasing digital boards and tuck-in acquisitions represent tailwinds in future.
Liquidity and Expansion
Liquidity remains robust, supporting an active M&A pipeline and digital conversions.
Market Position
The company is well-positioned to maintain its market leadership as Out-of-Home ad spend continues to grow.
Negative Factors
Political Revenue Impact
Political revenue contributed significantly, which the market views negatively as it could set up a tough comparison later.
Revenue Challenges
Lowering AFFO estimates on lower revenue and elevated operating expense growth.
Sales Performance
Lamar was below 1Q expectations on softer-than-expected national sales.

Lamar Advertising (LAMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lamar Advertising Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFounded in 1902, Lamar Advertising (Nasdaq: LAMR) is one of the largest outdoor advertising companies in North America, with over 352,000 displays across the United States and Canada. Lamar offers advertisers a variety of billboard, interstate logo, transit and airport advertising formats, helping both local businesses and national brands reach broad audiences every day. In addition to its more traditional out-of-home inventory, Lamar is proud to offer its customers the largest network of digital billboards in the United States with approximately 3,800 displays.
How the Company Makes MoneyLamar Advertising generates revenue primarily through leasing advertising space on its extensive network of outdoor displays. The company's key revenue streams include rental fees from advertisers who use Lamar's billboards, transit displays, and logo signs to promote their products and services. Lamar also benefits from the flexibility and higher pricing potential of its digital billboards, which allow for dynamic content and multiple advertisements in a single location. Additionally, the company maintains partnerships with various municipalities and transit authorities to secure prime advertising locations, further enhancing its revenue potential. Factors contributing to Lamar's earnings include the strategic placement of its advertising assets in high-traffic areas and its ability to adapt to market trends by expanding its digital footprint.

Lamar Advertising Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Lamar's continued revenue growth and strong performance in digital and programmatic segments, supported by robust M&A activity and a strong balance sheet. However, there were some challenges, including a slight decline in adjusted EBITDA and national revenue weakness. The company's confidence in its strategic position was reflected in its share repurchase program.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
16th Consecutive Quarter of Revenue Growth
Lamar reported its 16th consecutive quarter of acquisition-adjusted revenue growth with an increase of 1.1%.
Strong Performance in Digital and Programmatic Segments
Programmatic revenue grew nearly 30%, while digital billboard revenue was up 4%, accounting for approximately 30% of total billboard revenue.
Robust M&A Activity
Lamar closed 10 deals in Q1 for about $22 million and expects to exceed $150 million in spend for the year, with year-to-date acquisitions already over $70 million.
Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased $150 million worth of stock at an average price of $108 per share, reflecting confidence in business strength.
Solid AFFO Growth
Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) increased by 3.8%, with diluted AFFO per share growing 3.9% to $1.60.
Strong Balance Sheet
Lamar ended the quarter with total leverage at 2.85 times net debt to EBITDA, with ample liquidity and investment capacity over $1 billion.
Negative Updates
Slight Decline in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $210.2 million, declining 80 basis points from the previous year.
Challenges in National Revenue
National revenue was slightly down year-over-year, attributed to changes in buying habits of large customers.
Weakness in Specific Categories
Gaming and restaurants showed relative weakness, with gaming revenue down 9% and restaurant revenue down 4%.
Company Guidance
During the call, Lamar provided guidance indicating a positive outlook for fiscal year 2025, despite some challenges. The company achieved a 1.1% increase in acquisition-adjusted revenue for the first quarter, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of such growth. Programmatic revenue grew nearly 30%, while digital billboard revenue was up 4%, accounting for about 30% of total billboard revenue. On the acquisition front, Lamar closed 10 deals worth approximately $22 million in Q1, with a year-to-date spend surpassing $70 million and expectations to exceed $150 million by year-end. Additionally, the company repurchased $150 million of stock at an average price of just over $108 per share. Lamar maintained its full-year guidance for AFFO per share between $8.13 and $8.28 and expects total leverage to remain at or below 3 times net debt to EBITDA. The company's liquidity and capital access remain robust, with over $490 million in total liquidity at the end of Q1.

Lamar Advertising Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lamar Advertising is in a strong financial position with sustainable revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects reduced leverage, improving financial stability. Cash flow metrics are solid, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. While the company faces potential risks related to high liabilities, it maintains healthy profitability and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lamar Advertising demonstrates robust revenue growth with a steady increase from $1.57 billion in 2020 to $2.21 billion TTM, indicating strong market presence. The gross profit margin remains healthy, consistently above 65%, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved, showing operational efficiency gains. However, EBIT margin fluctuated, suggesting potential volatility in core operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio decreased significantly from 3.4 in 2020 to 1.1 TTM, indicating a healthier leverage position. The equity ratio has remained stable, suggesting balanced asset financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong, enhancing shareholder value. However, the overall liabilities remain high, posing potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow shows consistent growth, supporting the company’s ability to generate cash from operations. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, enhancing financial flexibility. However, the high operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests reliance on non-operational cash flow components, which could indicate earnings quality issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.21B2.21B2.11B2.03B1.79B1.57B
Gross Profit
1.48B1.48B1.41B1.36B1.21B1.01B
EBIT
598.67M532.04M675.43M578.00M521.19M410.11M
EBITDA
1.07B1.00B974.55M916.04M793.75M652.38M
Net Income Common Stockholders
422.40M361.87M495.76M438.65M388.09M243.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
36.12M49.46M44.60M52.62M99.79M121.57M
Total Assets
6.55B6.59B6.56B6.48B6.05B5.79B
Total Debt
1.36B4.56B4.64B1.26B4.23B4.10B
Net Debt
1.33B4.51B4.60B1.21B4.13B3.97B
Total Liabilities
5.52B5.54B5.35B5.28B4.83B4.59B
Stockholders Equity
1.23B1.05B1.22B1.20B1.22B1.20B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
765.10M748.33M605.34M614.53M608.33M507.60M
Operating Cash Flow
890.79M873.61M783.61M781.61M734.42M569.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-54.46M-164.91M-310.12M619.07M461.76M-96.89M
Financing Cash Flow
-836.32M-703.42M-481.63M-209.32M-294.52M-377.92M

Lamar Advertising Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price119.26
Price Trends
50DMA
115.18
Positive
100DMA
117.75
Positive
200DMA
121.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.43
Positive
RSI
51.75
Neutral
STOCH
60.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LAMR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 119.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.42, above the 50-day MA of 115.18, and below the 200-day MA of 121.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LAMR.

Lamar Advertising Risk Analysis

Lamar Advertising disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lamar Advertising reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lamar Advertising Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$12.21B29.0138.18%5.20%3.58%-15.47%
73
Outperform
$12.70B16.3618.57%6.75%6.14%4.09%
OUOUT
70
Neutral
$2.61B10.2139.80%7.69%-1.10%
69
Neutral
$24.48B30.16-14.67%1.95%-0.29%47.83%
IRIRM
69
Neutral
$29.97B247.60-35.81%3.09%11.04%-37.29%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.720.40%6.10%5.80%-21.26%
CCCCI
51
Neutral
$42.84B33.81-198.54%4.32%-12.57%-375.80%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LAMR
Lamar Advertising
119.26
9.16
8.32%
CCI
Crown Castle
98.39
7.34
8.06%
IRM
Iron Mountain
101.59
15.21
17.61%
SBAC
SBA Communications
227.83
40.22
21.44%
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure
46.20
5.15
12.55%
OUT
Outfront Media
15.60
2.86
22.45%

Lamar Advertising Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Lamar Advertising Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Lamar Advertising Company held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders elected ten directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LAMR) stock is a Hold with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lamar Advertising stock, see the LAMR Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividends
Lamar Advertising Announces Dividend and Stock Buyback
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Lamar Advertising Company announced a quarterly cash dividend of $1.55 per share, payable on June 30, 2025, to stockholders of record on June 16, 2025. Additionally, the company completed $150 million in stock repurchases and increased its stock repurchase program by $150 million, bringing the total available for repurchase to $250 million, with the program set to expire on March 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LAMR) stock is a Hold with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lamar Advertising stock, see the LAMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.