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OneSpan Inc (OSPN)
NASDAQ:OSPN
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OneSpan (OSPN) AI Stock Analysis

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OSPN

OneSpan

(NASDAQ:OSPN)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(7.96% Upside)
OneSpan's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's valuation is attractive, but revenue growth challenges and technical weakness weigh on the score.

OneSpan (OSPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OneSpan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneSpan (OSPN) is a global leader in digital identity and anti-fraud solutions, specializing in secure authentication, electronic signatures, and transaction verification. The company serves various sectors, including financial services, healthcare, and government, offering a suite of products designed to enhance security and streamline the customer experience in digital transactions. OneSpan's core services include identity verification, risk analytics, and secure electronic signature solutions, which are crucial for organizations looking to mitigate fraud and comply with regulatory requirements.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneSpan generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and services. The company's revenue model includes subscription fees for its cloud-based solutions, licensing fees for on-premise software, and transaction-based fees for its electronic signature and authentication services. Key revenue streams include recurring subscription revenues from financial institutions and enterprises that integrate OneSpan's solutions into their platforms. Additionally, OneSpan has established strategic partnerships with technology providers and financial institutions, which help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

OneSpan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed performance with strong adjusted EBITDA, positive subscription revenue growth, and a strategic acquisition, balanced by challenges such as a decline in total revenue, ARR growth issues, and headwinds from sunsetted products.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $18 million or 29.5% of revenue in Q2 2025. The first half of 2025 achieved record adjusted EBITDA of $41 million, representing 33% of revenue.
Acquisition of Nok Nok Labs
The acquisition of Nok Nok Labs added FIDO2 passwordless authentication software to OneSpan's portfolio, enhancing the company's authentication offerings and contributing $8 million to ARR.
Positive Subscription Revenue Growth
Subscription revenue grew 22% year-over-year in Q2 2025, with security subscription revenue increasing by 39%.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 73% in Q2 2025, up from 66% in Q2 2024, driven by a favorable product mix and increased software revenues.
Dividend Payments and Strong Cash Position
Returned $10 million to shareholders through dividend payments in the first half of 2025. Ended Q2 with $93 million in cash.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue declined by 2% in Q2 2025 due to decreased security hardware and maintenance revenues.
Year-over-Year ARR and NRR Challenges
ARR grew 8% overall, but excluding Nok Nok, ARR grew only 3% due to difficult year-over-year comparisons and customer contractions.
Security Solutions Revenue Decline
Security Solutions revenue decreased by 3% due to expected declines in hardware and maintenance revenues.
Headwinds from Sunsetted Products
Revenue was impacted by $1.2 million from sunsetted products, which partially offset strong subscription growth.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, OneSpan provided guidance indicating a strong financial performance with an adjusted EBITDA of $18 million, representing 29.5% of revenue. The company reported an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $178 million, an 8% year-over-year increase, including $8 million from the acquisition of Nok Nok Labs. Excluding this acquisition, ARR grew by 3%. Subscription revenue grew by 22% in Q2, led by 39% growth in security, despite a modest decline in total revenue. OneSpan maintained its full-year revenue guidance of $245 million to $251 million and increased ARR guidance to $186 million to $192 million. The company remains focused on achieving a Rule of 40 performance and plans continued investment in R&D and targeted M&A to enhance its authentication solutions.

OneSpan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OneSpan's financial statements reflect strong profitability with improved margins and a robust balance sheet. However, the negative revenue growth and challenges in cash conversion are concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
OneSpan's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of over 71% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly to 24% in TTM from negative values in previous years, reflecting a turnaround in profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative in TTM, suggesting a decline in sales compared to the previous period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, but the decline in revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 in TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is strong at 28.5% in TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates financial strength and low risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 8.6% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting efficient cash management. Despite improvements, the cash flow stability could be enhanced.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue240.62M243.18M235.11M219.01M214.48M215.69M
Gross Profit177.90M174.58M157.72M148.57M142.94M152.25M
EBITDA62.45M57.61M-5.08M-6.74M-17.20M6.75M
Net Income59.91M57.08M-29.80M-14.43M-30.58M-5.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets357.10M338.73M289.19M335.08M342.27M375.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.89M83.16M42.49M98.83M98.49M115.25M
Total Debt9.41M6.93M6.82M8.44M10.18M12.40M
Total Liabilities114.59M126.20M130.05M131.77M122.49M117.86M
Stockholders Equity242.51M212.53M159.14M203.31M219.78M257.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow54.56M46.42M-23.28M-10.81M-4.95M11.82M
Operating Cash Flow61.99M55.67M-10.73M-5.79M-2.75M14.92M
Investing Cash Flow-19.48M-9.30M-12.01M46.59M-10.98M-4.66M
Financing Cash Flow-15.38M-5.24M-32.09M-7.31M-10.39M-7.06M

OneSpan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.82
Price Trends
50DMA
15.08
Negative
100DMA
15.16
Negative
200DMA
16.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
56.25
Neutral
STOCH
78.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OSPN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.91, below the 50-day MA of 15.08, and below the 200-day MA of 16.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OSPN.

OneSpan Risk Analysis

OneSpan disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OneSpan reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OneSpan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$988.86M7.9833.76%21.20%19.41%
70
Outperform
$553.41M9.4028.45%2.43%-2.79%259.00%
68
Neutral
$1.10B-15.69%8.38%-278.88%
65
Neutral
$670.51M32.2457.39%12.86%
61
Neutral
$35.62B7.50-10.94%1.87%8.86%-10.27%
58
Neutral
$506.27M-15.33%1.45%-28.78%
53
Neutral
$621.70M-4.06%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OSPN
OneSpan
14.82
-0.98
-6.20%
YEXT
Yext
9.12
4.02
78.82%
RPAY
Repay Holdings
5.88
-2.56
-30.33%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
8.33
2.34
39.07%
CGNT
Cognyte Software
8.72
1.18
15.65%
GCT
GigaCloud Technology, Inc. Class A
26.43
6.33
31.49%

OneSpan Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
OneSpan Secures $100 Million Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

On June 23, 2025, OneSpan Inc. entered into a $100 million Credit Agreement with MUFG Bank, Ltd. and other lenders, establishing a revolving credit facility with a $10 million letter of credit sublimit. The agreement allows OneSpan to borrow, repay, and reborrow funds until June 23, 2030, with interest rates varying based on the company’s consolidated net leverage ratio. The credit facility is secured by a first-priority lien on substantially all of the company’s and certain subsidiaries’ assets, and includes customary covenants and default provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (OSPN) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneSpan stock, see the OSPN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
OneSpan Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 6, 2025, OneSpan held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of seven directors was confirmed, with all nominees successfully elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, stockholders approved the executive officer compensation, an amendment to the 2019 Omnibus Incentive Plan to increase available shares by 1,500,000, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OSPN) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneSpan stock, see the OSPN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025