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OneSpan Inc (OSPN)
NASDAQ:OSPN
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OneSpan (OSPN) AI Stock Analysis

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OneSpan

(NASDAQ:OSPN)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(15.59%Upside)
OneSpan's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, contributing to a solid stock score. While the earnings call highlighted significant achievements, ongoing challenges in revenue growth and technical indicators suggest caution.

OneSpan (OSPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OneSpan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneSpan (OSPN) is a technology company specializing in digital identity and anti-fraud solutions. The company operates primarily in the cybersecurity and financial services sectors, offering a range of products and services including multi-factor authentication, digital signature solutions, and identity verification tools. OneSpan's core mission is to enable secure and seamless digital transactions for businesses and consumers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneSpan makes money through a combination of product sales, software licenses, and subscription-based services. Its revenue model is centered around providing digital security solutions to financial institutions, government agencies, and enterprises. The company generates significant income from its flagship product, the OneSpan Trusted Identity (TID) platform, which offers cloud-based services for secure customer onboarding and transaction authentication. Additionally, OneSpan partners with major banks and financial institutions to integrate its security solutions into their existing systems, further expanding its market reach and revenue potential.

OneSpan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements in cash generation, adjusted EBITDA, and digital agreements growth. However, these positives were balanced by declines in total and security revenue and headwinds from product transitions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Adjusted EBITDA
OneSpan achieved record high adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, nearly 15% higher than last year's first quarter.
Strong Cash Generation
The company generated $29 million in cash from operations and ended the quarter with $105 million in cash on hand.
Digital Agreements Growth
Q1 subscription revenue in digital agreements grew 13%, driven by expansion contracts and new logos.
High Gross Margin
First quarter gross margin increased to 74% from 73% in the prior year quarter, driven by favorable product mix and improved operational efficiencies.
Dividend Program Initiation
OneSpan paid its first quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, totaling approximately $4.6 million.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined by 2% from last year's Q1, mainly due to lower hardware revenues and the transition from perpetual maintenance contracts to term-based subscriptions.
Security Revenue Decline
First quarter security solutions revenue declined 5% year-over-year, in line with expectations.
Headwinds from Sunsetted Products
Headwinds related to sunsetted products impacted revenue growth, with a $1.4 million impact in the quarter and similar expectations for Q2.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call, OneSpan reported a record high adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, marking a 15% increase from last year's $20 million, and representing 36% of revenue. The company's ARR grew by 9% to $168.4 million, aligning with the midpoint of their full-year guidance. Subscription revenue also saw a 9% increase, fueled by demand for software authentication, app shielding, and e-signature solutions. Despite a slight decline in total revenue, attributed to shifts from hardware to software solutions and the sunsetting of certain products, both the security and digital agreements business units remained profitable. The security segment achieved a 7% growth in subscription revenue, while the digital agreements unit saw a 13% increase. OneSpan's gross margin improved to 74% from 73% the previous year. Additionally, the company generated $29 million in cash from operations, ending the quarter with $105 million in cash on hand, and paid a $0.12 per share dividend. OneSpan confirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting revenue between $245 million and $251 million, ARR between $180 million and $186 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $72 million and $76 million.

OneSpan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OneSpan exhibits strong financial performance with increasing revenues and profitability, efficient cost management, strong profit margins, and effective cash flow management. However, challenges in revenue growth and asset expansion need attention.
Income Statement
72
Positive
OneSpan's income statement reflects a positive trajectory with increasing revenues and profitability. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is approximately 71.88%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin at 24.05% shows strong profitability. However, a slight decline in revenue growth rate by 0.61% from the previous year indicates a need for caution. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 20.52% and 23.31%, respectively, demonstrating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
OneSpan maintains a solid financial position with a low Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.03 and a high Equity Ratio of 69.23%, indicating financial stability and low leverage. The Return on Equity is commendable at 25.15%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the decrease in total assets and equity over the years may suggest potential challenges in asset growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows robust cash generation capabilities with a strong Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.86 in TTM, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting good quality of earnings. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 8.18% over the past year signals effective cash flow management despite minor fluctuations in capital expenditure.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue243.18M235.11M219.01M214.48M215.69M
Gross Profit174.58M157.72M148.57M142.94M152.25M
EBITDA54.85M-5.08M-6.74M-17.20M6.75M
Net Income57.08M-29.80M-14.43M-30.58M-5.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets338.73M289.19M335.08M342.27M375.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.16M42.49M98.83M98.49M115.25M
Total Debt6.93M6.82M8.44M10.18M12.40M
Total Liabilities126.20M130.05M131.77M122.49M117.86M
Stockholders Equity212.53M159.14M203.31M219.78M257.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.42M-23.28M-10.81M-4.95M11.82M
Operating Cash Flow55.67M-10.73M-5.79M-2.75M14.92M
Investing Cash Flow-9.30M-12.01M46.59M-10.98M-4.66M
Financing Cash Flow-5.24M-32.09M-7.31M-10.39M-7.06M

OneSpan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.14
Price Trends
50DMA
16.18
Negative
100DMA
15.75
Negative
200DMA
16.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
35.85
Neutral
STOCH
3.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OSPN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.42, below the 50-day MA of 16.18, and below the 200-day MA of 16.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OSPN.

OneSpan Risk Analysis

OneSpan disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OneSpan reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OneSpan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GCGCT
80
Outperform
$703.05M6.8534.42%42.89%18.97%
72
Outperform
$585.69M10.4128.92%3.14%-0.26%
71
Outperform
$990.20M-15.69%8.38%-278.88%
63
Neutral
$34.26B5.42-11.67%1.85%5.30%-18.55%
59
Neutral
$570.24M57.39%15.76%82.78%
55
Neutral
$438.53M-1.64%2.26%85.37%
52
Neutral
$668.47M-4.06%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OSPN
OneSpan
15.14
2.11
16.19%
YEXT
Yext
8.18
2.86
53.76%
RPAY
Repay Holdings
4.95
-4.80
-49.23%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
7.37
2.17
41.73%
CGNT
Cognyte Software
9.34
1.99
27.07%
GCT
GigaCloud Technology, Inc. Class A
21.66
-6.93
-24.24%

OneSpan Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
OneSpan Secures $100 Million Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

On June 23, 2025, OneSpan Inc. entered into a $100 million Credit Agreement with MUFG Bank, Ltd. and other lenders, establishing a revolving credit facility with a $10 million letter of credit sublimit. The agreement allows OneSpan to borrow, repay, and reborrow funds until June 23, 2030, with interest rates varying based on the company’s consolidated net leverage ratio. The credit facility is secured by a first-priority lien on substantially all of the company’s and certain subsidiaries’ assets, and includes customary covenants and default provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (OSPN) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneSpan stock, see the OSPN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
OneSpan Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 6, 2025, OneSpan held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of seven directors was confirmed, with all nominees successfully elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, stockholders approved the executive officer compensation, an amendment to the 2019 Omnibus Incentive Plan to increase available shares by 1,500,000, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OSPN) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneSpan stock, see the OSPN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 12, 2025