tiprankstipranks
Omeros Corporation (OMER)
NASDAQ:OMER
Want to see OMER full AI Analyst Report?

Omeros (OMER) AI Stock Analysis

854 Followers

Top Page

OMER

Omeros

(NASDAQ:OMER)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(104.29% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
OMER scores as a mixed setup: the largest drag is financial quality and stability (negative equity and TTM cash burn despite reported profitability). Offsetting this, technicals show strong bullish trend momentum, and the earnings call points to accelerating commercial traction plus meaningful balance-sheet actions, though lack of revenue guidance and regulatory risk in Europe keep the score from moving higher.
Positive Factors
Strong Yartemlia commercial launch
Rapid growth in Yartemlia sales and expanding account penetration indicate meaningful physician adoption. Continued uptake across U.S. transplant centers could establish a durable commercial revenue base and reduce reliance on irregular collaboration income.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholder equity
Negative equity indicates a structurally strained balance sheet despite recent debt reduction. It limits financial flexibility, complicates leverage assessment, and may increase refinancing or external funding risk while the company remains dependent on successful commercialization.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Yartemlia commercial launch
Rapid growth in Yartemlia sales and expanding account penetration indicate meaningful physician adoption. Continued uptake across U.S. transplant centers could establish a durable commercial revenue base and reduce reliance on irregular collaboration income.
Read all positive factors

Omeros (OMER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omeros Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Omeros Corporation is a biopharmaceutical firm with commercialized products, actively engaged in the discovery, development, and market introduction of both small-molecule and protein-based therapies, including treatments for rare diseases. The co...
How the Company Makes Money
Omeros historically generated revenue from (1) product sales of its approved therapy (when applicable based on period), and (2) collaboration-related income such as upfront payments, milestones, and royalties from partners tied to licensed program...

Omeros Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights a successful commercial launch for Yartemlia with very strong quarter-over-quarter sales growth (190% gross, 188% net), positive operating cash flow, meaningful balance sheet improvements via share and note repurchases, reimbursement wins (J-code and NTAP), and progress across a diversified pipeline and strategic partnership with Novo Nordisk. Offsetting items include a negative CHMP opinion in Europe, accounting volatility from derivative mark-to-market adjustments and repurchase-related losses, expected near-term increases in operating expenses, limited patient-level visibility, and one-time reimbursement items that temper recurring income visibility. On balance, the operational and commercial positives—especially the rapid U.S. uptake, cash generation, and reduced leverage/dilution—outweigh the challenges, which are largely manageable or noncash/one-time in nature.
Positive Updates
Breakout first full quarter launch for Yartemlia
Yartemlia generated $32.2M in gross sales and $28.5M in net sales in Q2 (first full quarter), with a gross-to-net adjustment of 11.5%. Gross sales increased 190% and net sales increased 188% versus Q1 (Q1 gross $11.1M, Q1 net $9.9M), indicating strong physician adoption and market penetration.
Negative Updates
Negative CHMP opinion in Europe
In June the EMA CHMP adopted a negative opinion on the marketing authorization application for Yartemlia in TA-TMA. Omeros has requested reexamination and convened an AHEG review, but the negative opinion is a notable regulatory setback for European approval.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Breakout first full quarter launch for Yartemlia
Yartemlia generated $32.2M in gross sales and $28.5M in net sales in Q2 (first full quarter), with a gross-to-net adjustment of 11.5%. Gross sales increased 190% and net sales increased 188% versus Q1 (Q1 gross $11.1M, Q1 net $9.9M), indicating strong physician adoption and market penetration.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Omeros said it will not provide revenue guidance at this time but gave specific near‑term expectations: Q3 operating expenses from continuing operations are expected to be slightly higher than Q2, with R&D spending rising (driven by OMS805/OncotoX) and sales & marketing increasing to support the Yartemlia launch; interest & other income should be lower in Q3 because the $3.3M Novo Nordisk inventory reimbursement recognized in Q2 will not recur; interest expense is expected to be approximately $6.5M in Q3 (excluding non‑cash adjustments); income from discontinued operations is expected to be $5–$6M (excluding remeasurement adjustments); mark‑to‑market swings on the embedded derivative for the remaining 2029 convertible notes will continue and are excluded from non‑GAAP results. Management reiterated a target of company‑wide positive cash flow by mid‑2027, noting Q2 net cash from operations was $4.1M and cash & investments were $132M as of June 30, and highlighted capital actions YTD (repurchased ~843k shares at a $11.70 VWAP, $9.9M through June 30; July repurchases of $30.5M principal of 2029 notes reduced outstanding principal ~43% to $40.3M and cut shares issuable on conversion from ~11.4M to ~6.5M, reducing potential fully diluted count by ~5.8M shares and eliminating ~$8.6M of future interest).

Omeros Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Headline TTM profitability and revenue rebound are offset by weak earnings quality (EBIT still negative), ongoing cash burn (TTM operating and free cash flow at -$68.7M), and a strained capital structure with negative shareholder equity (TTM -$51.3M). Debt reduction is a positive, but balance-sheet stress and funding risk remain meaningful.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
26
Negative
Cash Flow
32
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.42M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit36.80M0.000.000.000.00-1.39M
EBITDA136.15M-1.83M-157.00M-143.16M-158.38M-170.49M
Net Income124.83M-3.35M-156.81M-117.81M47.42M-111.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets286.83M325.63M277.08M378.27M590.97M419.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.95M171.80M90.13M171.85M194.92M157.27M
Total Debt83.77M239.14M207.02M361.58M342.02M347.84M
Total Liabilities338.18M446.86M459.69M403.25M505.29M395.49M
Stockholders Equity-51.35M-121.23M-182.61M-24.98M85.68M23.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-68.73M-116.16M-148.97M74.30M-86.60M-110.00M
Operating Cash Flow-68.67M-116.09M-148.80M74.73M-86.48M-109.72M
Investing Cash Flow136.82M164.52M82.22M27.45M-127.56M193.71M
Financing Cash Flow-68.06M-42.17M62.88M-106.08M124.25M6.32M

Omeros Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.79
Price Trends
50DMA
12.29
Positive
100DMA
12.29
Positive
200DMA
11.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.09
Negative
RSI
72.73
Negative
STOCH
79.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMER, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.57, below the 50-day MA of 12.29, and below the 200-day MA of 11.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.73 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMER.

Omeros Risk Analysis

Omeros disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omeros reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omeros Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$1.40B9.54-109.40%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$355.11M-5.29-41.69%6280.00%-212.54%
44
Neutral
$406.79M-6.7672.64%51.98%17.68%
44
Neutral
$281.84M-1.27-242.28%21.31%
42
Neutral
$93.51M-4.03-53.14%54.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMER
Omeros
18.22
13.97
328.71%
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
1.56
-4.29
-73.33%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
6.01
-0.89
-12.90%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
6.69
1.28
23.66%
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
1.56
-0.20
-11.36%

Omeros Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Omeros Appoints Veteran Investor Joseph Schocken to Board
Positive
Aug 13, 2026
On August 12, 2026, Omeros Corporation expanded its Board of Directors from eight to nine members and appointed veteran investor Joseph Schocken as a director, with his initial term running until the 2027 annual meeting of shareholders unless he r...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Omeros Reduces Convertible Debt Through Note Repurchases
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
On July 2, 2026, Omeros Corporation entered into privately negotiated agreements with certain holders of its 9.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 to repurchase a portion of the outstanding debt following an averaging period. The company complet...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Omeros Announces Major Convertible Notes Repurchase Plan
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Omeros Corporation entered into privately negotiated agreements to repurchase $16.0 million in principal amount of its 9.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029, with the transaction expected to settle on July 6, 2026 for approxima...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Omeros Plans Repurchase of Convertible Senior Notes
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Omeros Corporation entered into privately negotiated agreements with certain holders of its 9.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 to repurchase up to approximately $16.0 million in aggregate principal amount of the notes. The t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026