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Omeros Corp (OMER)
NASDAQ:OMER
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Omeros (OMER) AI Stock Analysis

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OMER

Omeros

(NASDAQ:OMER)

Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
Omeros faces significant financial instability with no revenue and high debt, which heavily impacts its score. Technical indicators suggest some potential for short-term recovery, but poor valuation and ongoing losses are concerning. The company's strategic focus on drug development and partnerships offers some optimism, but financial recovery is crucial for improvement.
Positive Factors
Pipeline validation
Approval could validate the rest of OMER's pipeline, and fund development.
Product potential
Narsoplimab has shown a strong potential to help these patients and reduce mortality.
Regulatory approval
The submission of marketing authorization to the European Medicines Agency for narsoplimab is seen as a significant step for OMER, potentially leading to re-rating driven by approvals and pipeline reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Financial instability
The company is facing a financial overhang and limited operational runway, leading to a pullback in R&D spending.
Funding concerns
Options for addressing financial concerns are limited to potentially dilutive equity financing or forming a partnership.
Regulatory challenges
Skepticism remains about FDA approval of narsoplimab due to limited clinical data and a lengthy regulatory process.

Omeros (OMER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omeros Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmeros Corporation (OMER) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing small-molecule and protein therapeutics for various medical conditions. The company operates primarily in the field of inflammation, coagulopathies, and central nervous system disorders. Omeros' lead product, Omidria, is used in cataract and lens replacement surgery to prevent intraoperative miosis and reduce postoperative ocular pain. Additionally, the company is engaged in multiple clinical-stage development programs targeting conditions such as complement-mediated diseases and addiction.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmeros Corporation makes money primarily through the sales of its commercial product, Omidria. Revenue is generated by selling Omidria to hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, and other medical facilities where cataract and lens replacement surgeries are performed. The company has also received funding and financial support through partnerships, government grants, and collaborations to support its research and development activities. Additionally, Omeros may receive milestone payments and royalties from licensing agreements related to its pipeline products in development, though the majority of its current revenue stems from Omidria sales.

Omeros Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.29%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a cautious optimism. While there are significant positive developments, particularly with debt restructuring and progress toward narsoplimab approval, the increase in net loss, decline in OMIDRIA sales, and pausing of certain clinical programs present notable challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Restructuring and Financial Flexibility
Omeros announced an exchange agreement reducing their outstanding debt by $10 million and lowering near-term repayment obligations by over $100 million, extending debt maturity to 2029. This improves financial flexibility and strengthens the balance sheet.
Narsoplimab Approval Progress
FDA accepted the resubmitted BLA for narsoplimab for TA-TMA, assigning a target action date of September 25th. Narsoplimab is positioned as the first approved treatment for TA-TMA and represents a nearly $1 billion annual market opportunity.
Strong Market Potential for Zalutenibart
The ongoing clinical trial for zaltenibart in PNH indicates potential for significant market share in a growing PNH treatment market, projected to be over $10 billion by 2032.
OMIDRIA Royalties
OMIDRIA royalties for the first quarter totaled $6.7 million based on net sales of $22.3 million, highlighting ongoing revenue from this product.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the first quarter of 2025 was $33.5 million, an increase from the previous quarter's net loss of $31.4 million.
OMIDRIA Sales Decline
OMIDRIA net sales decreased by $11.3 million from the fourth quarter of last year, with a corresponding $3.4 million decline in royalties.
Paused Clinical Programs
Due to capital constraints, the Phase III zaltenibart program in PNH has been temporarily paused, potentially impacting future timelines.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Omeros Corporation, the company provided guidance on its financial and strategic positioning for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The net loss for the quarter was reported at $33.5 million, or $0.58 per share, compared to a $31.4 million loss, or $0.54 per share, in the previous quarter. As of March 31, 2025, Omeros held $52.5 million in cash and investments. The company announced a debt restructuring agreement, exchanging $71 million in 2026 convertible notes for new 9.5% convertible senior notes due in 2029, and converting $10 million of the 2026 notes into equity. This reduced their total debt by $10 million and lowered near-term repayment obligations from $118 million to $17 million. Omeros highlighted ongoing efforts to secure additional capital to support operations, particularly the anticipated approval and launch of narsoplimab for the treatment of TA-TMA, with a target FDA action date of September 25, 2025. The company is also progressing on its marketing authorization application for narsoplimab with European regulators and continuing its development programs for zaltenibart, a treatment for PNH, and the PDE7 inhibitor program for cocaine use disorder.

Omeros Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Omeros is facing significant financial challenges, with consistent net losses and no revenue generation. The negative stockholders' equity and high debt load exacerbate its instability, and the company relies heavily on debt financing, which is unsustainable without revenue.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Omeros' income statement reveals significant challenges, with no revenue generated in recent years, leading to negative gross and net profit margins. The company has struggled with consistent net losses, indicating severe profitability issues. There is no visible revenue growth, and operating margins are deeply negative, highlighting ongoing operational difficulties.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a negative stockholders' equity, which is a concerning indicator of financial instability. The company has a high debt load relative to its equity, resulting in a negative debt-to-equity ratio. This leverage situation poses substantial risks. The equity ratio is also negative, further underscoring the weak financial position.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative free cash flow, although there was a notable increase in operating cash flow in 2023. However, the operating cash flow remains negative overall. The company has been financing its operations through debt, which is unsustainable in the long term without generating revenue.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.0073.81M
Gross Profit0.00-69.78M-952.00K-1.39M72.91M
EBITDA-157.00M-163.61M-162.44M-172.23M-168.02M
Net Income-156.81M-117.81M28.78M194.24M-138.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets277.08M378.27M590.97M419.27M181.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.13M171.85M194.92M157.27M134.95M
Total Debt207.02M361.58M342.02M347.84M32.55M
Total Liabilities459.69M403.25M505.29M395.49M301.79M
Stockholders Equity-182.61M-24.98M85.68M23.78M-872.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-148.97M74.30M-86.60M-110.00M-100.37M
Operating Cash Flow-148.80M74.73M-86.48M-109.72M-100.09M
Investing Cash Flow82.22M27.45M-127.56M193.71M-67.03M
Financing Cash Flow62.88M-106.08M124.25M6.32M174.53M

Omeros Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.82
Price Trends
50DMA
3.41
Positive
100DMA
5.48
Negative
200DMA
6.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
57.06
Neutral
STOCH
62.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMER, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.40, above the 50-day MA of 3.41, and below the 200-day MA of 6.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OMER.

Omeros Risk Analysis

Omeros disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omeros reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omeros Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$633.19M-204.78%44.92%-40.06%
60
Neutral
HK$16.84B5.17-7.44%2.89%11.55%-28.15%
58
Neutral
$781.40M-57.76%13.76%48.34%
57
Neutral
$636.06M-45.46%-78.26%15.41%
57
Neutral
$620.24M
40
Underperform
$219.14M87.26%-43.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMER
Omeros
3.82
-1.46
-27.65%
ZVRA
Zevra Therapeutics
11.77
5.54
88.92%
RLAY
Relay Therapeutics
3.79
-5.27
-58.17%
DNA
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings
14.14
0.68
5.05%
UPB
Upstream Bio, Inc.
11.53
-11.85
-50.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2025