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Omeros Corp (OMER)
NASDAQ:OMER

Omeros (OMER) AI Stock Analysis

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OMER

Omeros

(NASDAQ:OMER)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▼(-0.61% Downside)
Score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, negative equity, and cash burn). Offsetting factors include a positive technical trend and a more favorable forward narrative from the earnings call tied to the Novo Nordisk deal and upcoming regulatory decisions, though valuation remains difficult to support given ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Position
A strong cash position provides Omeros with the financial flexibility to support ongoing operations and fund its development pipeline, crucial for long-term sustainability.
Pipeline Progress
Advancements in the development pipeline, particularly in oncology and infectious diseases, indicate potential future revenue streams and strengthen the company's market position.
Debt Restructuring
Significant debt reduction improves financial stability and reduces interest burden, enhancing the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage cash flow effectively.
Negative Factors
Net Loss
Ongoing net losses highlight persistent financial challenges, limiting the company's ability to reinvest in growth and potentially impacting its long-term viability.
OMIDRIA Revenue Decline
Declining revenue from OMIDRIA, a key product, suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could affect cash flow and financial health.
High Debt Load
A high debt load relative to equity poses significant financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to secure additional financing and invest in growth initiatives.

Omeros (OMER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omeros Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmeros Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes small-molecule and protein therapeutics, and orphan indications targeting inflammation, complement-mediated diseases, cancers related to dysfunction of the immune system, and addictive and compulsive disorders. The company's clinical programs include Narsoplimab (OMS721/MASP-2) that has completed pivotal studies for hematopoietic stem-cell transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (HSCT-TMA); that is in Phase III clinical trial for immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS); and Phase II clinical trial to treat COVID-19. Its clinical programs also consist of PPAR? (OMS405) that is in Phase II to treat opioid and nicotine addiction; PDE7 (OMS527), which is in Phase I trial for treating addiction and compulsive disorders, and movement disorders; and MASP-3 (OMS906) that is in Phase I trial for paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) and other alternative pathway disorders. The company's preclinical programs comprise MASP-2-small-molecule inhibitors used for the treatment of aHUS, IgAN, HSCT-TMA, and age-related macular degeneration; longer-acting second generation antibody targeting MASP-2; and MASP-3-small-molecule inhibitors to treat PNH and other alternative pathway disorders. Its preclinical programs also include GPR174 Inhibitors and Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T-Cell and Adoptive T-Cell Therapies for various cancers; and G protein-coupled receptor targets for treating immunologic, immuno-oncologic, metabolic, CNS, cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, and other disorders. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmeros Corporation makes money primarily through the sales of its commercial product, Omidria. Revenue is generated by selling Omidria to hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, and other medical facilities where cataract and lens replacement surgeries are performed. The company has also received funding and financial support through partnerships, government grants, and collaborations to support its research and development activities. Additionally, Omeros may receive milestone payments and royalties from licensing agreements related to its pipeline products in development, though the majority of its current revenue stems from Omidria sales.

Omeros Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Omeros Corporation's earnings call highlighted a strategic partnership with Novo Nordisk, significant progress in regulatory approvals for Yartemlia, and improved financial positioning through debt repayment. Despite reporting a higher net loss and cash burn, the company's robust pipeline and upcoming milestones position it for potential future success.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnership with Novo Nordisk
Omeros Corporation announced a definitive agreement with Novo Nordisk for an asset purchase and license transaction valued at up to $2.1 billion, including $240 million in upfront cash and additional milestone payments.
Yartemlia (Narsoplimab) Regulatory Progress
The biologics license application for Yartemlia in the treatment of TATMA is under FDA review with a PDUFA date of December 26, 2025. The EMA is also reviewing Yartemlia, with a decision expected in mid-2026.
Financial Position and Debt Management
Omeros Corporation plans to use the $240 million upfront payment from Novo Nordisk to fully repay its $67.1 million term loan and remaining 2026 convertible notes, significantly improving its financial position.
Strong Pipeline and Future Prospects
Omeros Corporation continues to advance its MASP-2, PDE-7, TCAT, and oncology programs, with Yartemlia expected to transform transplant patient outcomes and strategic capital to fuel further growth.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Omeros Corporation reported a net loss of $30.9 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to $25.4 million in the previous quarter, including $8.8 million in non-cash charges.
Cash Burn and Limited Reserves
Cash burn for the quarter was $22 million, leaving Omeros Corporation with $36.1 million in cash and investments as of September 30, 2025.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Omeros Corporation, several key metrics and guidance points were discussed. The company reported a net loss of $30.9 million, or $0.47 per share, for the third quarter of 2025, which included $8.8 million in noncash charges. Excluding these charges, the adjusted net loss was $22.1 million, or $0.34 per share. Omeros Corporation's cash burn for the quarter was $22 million, leaving them with $36.1 million in cash and investments as of September 30, 2025. A registered direct offering generated $20.3 million in net proceeds, priced at a 14% premium to the market. The company anticipates closing a significant transaction with Novo Nordisk later this quarter, valued at up to $2.1 billion. Upon closing, Omeros will receive $240 million upfront to repay existing debt and fund operations. The company's anticipated US launch of narsoplimab for the treatment of transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TATMA) is contingent on FDA approval, expected by December 26, 2025. The company also discussed its MASP-2 antibody, Yartemlia, which remains under FDA review with a PDUFA date set for December 26, 2025, and is under review by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) with a decision anticipated in mid-2026. They are also advancing other pipeline programs, including MASP-2, oncology, TCAT, and PDE-7, and aim for potential cash flow positivity by 2027.

Omeros Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: the company remains heavily loss-making with effectively zero revenue, negative stockholders’ equity, and sizable cash burn (TTM operating/free cash flow around -$105M). While losses narrowed versus prior year and debt has moderated, solvency and funding needs remain key risks.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Results remain heavily loss-making, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net income of about -$121M and deeply negative operating profitability (EBIT roughly -$129M). Reported revenue is effectively zero across periods, which drives extreme and volatile margin readings and limits evidence of an improving earnings trajectory. Losses narrowed versus 2024 annual net loss (~-$157M), but profitability is still far from breakeven and dependent on future commercialization or one-time items.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet is pressured by negative stockholders’ equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (about -$220M), which weakens financial flexibility and makes leverage metrics difficult to interpret. Total debt remains meaningful at roughly $192M TTM, and assets have declined versus prior annual periods (TTM assets ~$186M vs. ~$277M in 2024). While debt has come down from 2023 levels, the combination of negative equity and ongoing losses is a key solvency risk.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash generation has deteriorated: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is about -$105M and free cash flow is about -$105M, worsening from the positive free cash flow seen in 2023. Free cash flow growth is negative in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and 2024 annual periods, signaling rising cash burn. A notable positive is that free cash flow broadly tracks reported net income (similar magnitude), but the overall direction remains unfavorable given sustained negative cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-10.59M0.000.000.00-1.39M-1.62M
EBITDA-114.42M-157.00M-143.16M-158.38M-170.49M-168.02M
Net Income-121.16M-156.81M-117.81M47.42M-111.41M-138.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets185.71M277.08M378.27M590.97M419.27M181.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.09M90.13M171.85M194.92M157.27M134.95M
Total Debt191.61M207.02M361.58M342.02M347.84M268.84M
Total Liabilities406.18M459.69M403.25M505.29M395.49M301.79M
Stockholders Equity-220.48M-182.61M-24.98M85.68M23.78M-120.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-105.32M-148.97M74.30M-86.60M-110.00M-100.37M
Operating Cash Flow-105.23M-148.80M74.73M-86.48M-109.72M-100.09M
Investing Cash Flow87.93M82.22M27.45M-127.56M193.71M-67.03M
Financing Cash Flow18.18M62.88M-106.08M124.25M6.32M174.53M

Omeros Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.08
Price Trends
50DMA
10.62
Positive
100DMA
7.97
Positive
200DMA
6.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Positive
RSI
48.60
Neutral
STOCH
14.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMER, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.18, above the 50-day MA of 10.62, and above the 200-day MA of 6.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OMER.

Omeros Risk Analysis

Omeros disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omeros reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omeros Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$281.25M4.6875.90%
52
Neutral
$927.38M-6.0512.32%
52
Neutral
$359.24M-1.46-104.35%20.71%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$255.09M-64.31%4.23%
49
Neutral
$369.65M-5.29-3.91%37.89%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMER
Omeros
12.21
3.03
33.01%
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
4.41
-0.37
-7.74%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
5.45
0.21
4.01%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
6.28
2.08
49.52%
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.13
-0.04
-1.84%

Omeros Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Omeros Completes Major Asset Deal with Novo Nordisk
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Omeros Corporation completed a significant transaction with Novo Nordisk, granting the latter exclusive global rights to develop and commercialize zaltenibart (OMS906), a promising MASP-3 inhibitor. Omeros received an upfront payment of $240 million and is eligible for up to $2.1 billion in milestone payments and royalties. This deal allows Novo Nordisk to advance zaltenibart as a potential best-in-class treatment for rare blood and kidney disorders, while Omeros retains rights to its MASP-3 small-molecule program. The transaction also enabled Omeros to repay its senior secured term loan and is expected to support its operations and future product launches.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMER) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omeros stock, see the OMER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025