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Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings (DNA)
NYSE:DNA
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Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings (DNA) AI Stock Analysis

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DNA

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings

(NYSE:DNA)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(3.81% Upside)
The overall stock score of 54 reflects significant financial challenges, including ongoing net losses and negative cash flows. While technical indicators show some positive trends, the valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some optimism with cost reductions and improved financial metrics, but challenges in revenue guidance and profitability persist.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA: Loss of $28 million beat the estimated $49.0 million loss.
Operational Growth
Cell Engineering beat as active program count grew 10% year-over-year, benefiting from Ginkgo’s broader menu of offerings.
Strategic Expansion
Ginkgo could see potential upside to estimates driven by continued expansion into AI tools and data-driven offerings alongside additional opportunities in their biosecurity pipeline.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
CFO Mark Dmytruk is resigning from his role to pursue a new role at a different company.
Market Sentiment
Analyst's visibility on revenue per program remains low, leading to a reiteration of a Sell rating and a $6 price target for shares of DNA.
Revenue Challenges
Biosecurity revenues saw a 48% year-over-year drop due to delays on international contracts.

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings (DNA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGinkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. is a leading biotechnology company specializing in the development of custom organisms across multiple sectors, including pharmaceuticals, agriculture, food, and industrial chemicals. The company leverages its expertise in synthetic biology to design microorganisms that can produce valuable chemicals, materials, and other products. Ginkgo Bioworks operates a platform that enables the programming of cells for a variety of applications, partnering with organizations to create tailored biological solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGinkgo Bioworks primarily generates revenue through a combination of collaboration fees, milestone payments, and royalties from partnerships with companies across diverse industries. The company engages with partners to develop custom organisms that meet specific commercial needs, often entering into multi-year agreements that provide upfront payments and potential downstream revenue through royalties on sales of products developed using Ginkgo's engineered organisms. Additionally, Ginkgo Bioworks offers its expertise in cell programming as a service, providing access to its extensive biological engineering capabilities. Strategic collaborations and joint ventures further enhance its revenue streams, allowing the company to expand its reach and capitalize on its synthetic biology platform.

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Active Programs
Total Active Programs
Counts the number of ongoing projects or initiatives, indicating the company's innovation capacity and potential for future revenue streams.
Chart InsightsGinkgo Bioworks' active programs surged until late 2024, but a sharp decline followed, likely due to macroeconomic pressures and reduced demand for outsourcing R&D services. Despite this, the company is strategically expanding into new tools businesses and securing government contracts, which may offset some challenges. The earnings call highlighted significant cost reductions and improved profitability metrics, indicating a focus on financial resilience. However, ongoing net losses and a tough biotech capital market remain concerns, suggesting a cautious outlook for future program growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in cost reduction and financial metrics, along with successful product launches. However, challenges remain with lowered revenue guidance in the biosecurity segment and ongoing operating losses. The company is strategically positioned for future growth, especially in automation and life science tools.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction Achievements
Achieved a $250 million annual run rate cost savings a quarter early, which was strategically important for maintaining a cash margin of safety with $474 million in cash and no bank debt.
Improvement in Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $99 million in Q2 2024 to negative $28 million in Q2 2025, a 72% improvement. Cash burn decreased from $110 million in Q2 2024 to $38 million in Q2 2025.
Launch of New Reagent Product
Launched a cell-free protein synthesis reagent with twice the yields for half the cost compared to market leaders, priced at $2,000 for a 10 ml kit.
Negative Updates
Decreased Biosecurity Revenue Guidance
Biosecurity revenue guidance was lowered from $50 million plus to $40 million plus due to delays in international contracts.
Continued Operating Loss
Despite improvements, the company still reported a total adjusted EBITDA of negative $28 million in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During the recent call, Ginkgo Bioworks provided guidance on their financial and operational strategy. The company is targeting adjusted EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2026 and has achieved a $250 million annual run rate cost savings, reaching this goal a quarter early. They reported $474 million in cash and cash equivalents with no bank debt, emphasizing a strong cash position as a margin of safety. In Q2 2025, Ginkgo's Cell Engineering revenue increased by 8% year-over-year to $39 million, while Biosecurity generated $10 million in revenue at an 18% segment gross margin. The company also reported a significant reduction in Cell Engineering R&D and G&A expenses by 63% and 57%, respectively, compared to Q2 2024. Adjusted EBITDA improved to negative $28 million from negative $99 million in Q2 2024, and cash burn decreased to $38 million. Ginkgo reaffirmed its 2025 revenue guidance of $167 million to $187 million, with Cell Engineering expected to contribute $117 million to $137 million and Biosecurity at least $40 million. The company is focusing on expanding its life science tools business, leveraging automation, data points, and new reagent products to drive growth into 2026.

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings faces substantial financial challenges with consistent net losses and negative operating cash flows. Despite maintaining a reasonable leverage position and gross profit margins, the negative profitability and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings has shown a declining trend in revenue from 2022 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin for TTM 2025 is approximately 73.55%, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the company is facing significant losses with a net profit margin of -198.86% in TTM 2025, highlighting profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, showing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67 in TTM 2025, indicating reasonable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 50.06%, suggesting a balanced equity position. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net losses, indicating challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains negative at -$281.8 million in TTM 2025, indicating cash outflows from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is poor, reflecting challenges in converting earnings into cash. However, the company has shown some improvement in free cash flow since 2024, with a growth rate of 9.63%.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue230.81M227.04M251.46M477.71M313.84M76.66M
Gross Profit189.72M188.49M197.45M273.49M184.15M61.05M
EBITDA-312.44M-484.39M-821.29M-2.06B-1.81B-108.58M
Net Income-315.19M-547.03M-892.87M-2.10B-1.83B-126.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.38B1.67B2.54B2.07B675.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments473.69M561.57M944.07M1.32B1.55B380.80M
Total Debt428.83M467.73M241.77M442.59M23.03M17.00M
Total Liabilities618.06M661.39M568.19M803.04M503.61M205.10M
Stockholders Equity612.95M716.06M1.10B1.74B1.51B461.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-274.17M-382.13M-336.30M-304.47M-310.34M-193.65M
Operating Cash Flow-237.71M-319.58M-295.50M-252.20M-253.82M-135.83M
Investing Cash Flow-285.86M-62.24M-80.69M-67.39M-73.26M-67.12M
Financing Cash Flow-973.00K-1.74M-3.22M95.34M1.53B90.32M

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.56
Price Trends
50DMA
10.87
Positive
100DMA
9.04
Positive
200DMA
9.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Positive
RSI
55.94
Neutral
STOCH
23.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DNA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.85, above the 50-day MA of 10.87, and above the 200-day MA of 9.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DNA.

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Risk Analysis

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$601.77M
54
Neutral
$678.49M-43.59%25.21%67.53%
51
Neutral
$7.42B-0.36-40.86%2.27%22.89%-2.16%
45
Neutral
$551.79M-29.62%6.66%
44
Neutral
$567.18M-29.42%
34
Underperform
$441.93M-31.16%50.77%
33
Underperform
$701.48M-109.12%7.58%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DNA
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings
13.26
3.58
36.98%
SANA
Sana Biotechnology
3.33
-1.42
-29.89%
TRML
Tourmaline Bio
22.22
8.71
64.47%
ERAS
Erasca
1.62
-0.97
-37.45%
RAPP
Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.
15.60
-4.80
-23.53%
MAZE
Maze Therapeutics, Inc.
13.60
-1.40
-9.33%

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ginkgo Bioworks Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting, Elects Directors
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. conducted its annual meeting of shareholders, where a significant majority of shares were represented. The meeting resulted in the election of seven directors and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, shareholders approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis, indicating broad support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (DNA) stock is a Sell with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings stock, see the DNA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ginkgo Bioworks Announces CFO Transition
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Ginkgo Bioworks announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Mark Dmytruk, effective May 30, 2025, as he transitions to another organization. Steven Coen, the current Chief Accounting Officer, will assume the role of CFO, bringing over 30 years of experience in public accounting and corporate finance. Coen’s appointment is expected to provide continuity and build upon the financial strategies laid out by Dmytruk, with a focus on achieving cost reduction targets and reaching Adjusted EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (DNA) stock is a Sell with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings stock, see the DNA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025