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Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA)
NASDAQ:ZVRA
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Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA) AI Stock Analysis

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ZVRA

Zevra Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ZVRA)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(0.74% Upside)
Zevra Therapeutics' stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. While the company shows strong revenue growth, its negative operating margins and cash flow issues pose significant risks. The bearish technical indicators further weigh on the stock's outlook. Valuation concerns, highlighted by a negative P/E ratio, also contribute to the lower score.
Positive Factors
Early Commercial Success
Miplyffa's early commercial success and the monetization of the Priority Review Voucher significantly drove ZVRA shares up.
Financial Stability
ZVRA remains well-capitalized, suggesting financial stability and less immediate need for capital raises.
Potential EU Market Opportunity
The submission of a Marketing Authorization Application to the European Medicines Agency for arimoclomol is a positive step towards unlocking a meaningful value creation opportunity for the company.
Negative Factors
Olpruva Challenges
Despite strong results for Miplyffa, ZVRA shares are down due to issues with Olpruva.
Patient Enrollment Slowdown
Olpruva continues to benefit from synergistic commercial infrastructure with Miplyffa, but new patient starts are still slow.
Slow Adoption
Adoption of Olpruva has been slower due to the mature UCD market and strong patient satisfaction with existing treatments.

Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zevra Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZevra Therapeutics (ZVRA) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies for patients with rare and complex diseases. The company specializes in advancing novel treatments that target unmet medical needs, leveraging its proprietary drug development platforms. Zevra's core products include therapies aimed at neurological and metabolic disorders, with a strong emphasis on delivering effective solutions for conditions that currently lack adequate treatment options.
How the Company Makes MoneyZevra Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products, which involves selling approved therapies to healthcare providers and patients. The company may also engage in licensing agreements and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for the co-development and distribution of its drugs, providing additional revenue streams through upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, funding from government grants and research institutions to support clinical trials can contribute to its earnings. As Zevra advances its drug candidates through clinical trials and regulatory approvals, successful product launches and market penetration are critical for driving its financial performance.

Zevra Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented strong performance in revenue growth and strategic transactions, particularly with MIPLYFFA's successful launch and European expansion efforts. However, these positives were somewhat offset by OLPRUVA's limited adoption and related financial impairments. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, highlighting significant achievements with some areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Transactions
Q2 net revenue reached $25.9 million, with a 26% quarter-over-quarter increase in product net revenue for MIPLYFFA. The sale of a PRV for $150 million strengthened the balance sheet.
Successful MIPLYFFA Launch
MIPLYFFA achieved a total of 129 prescription forms by the end of Q2, covering over one-third of diagnosed Niemann-Pick Disease Type C patients in the U.S. The launch reflected robust demand and effective operational execution.
European Expansion and Regulatory Milestones
Submission of the marketing authorization application for arimoclomol in Europe marked a significant milestone, with the European market estimated to have 1,100 people living with NPC.
Financial Strength and Non-Dilutive Capital
Zevra reported $217.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, bolstered by the PRV sale, providing a strong financial position.
Negative Updates
OLPRUVA Limited Adoption and Financial Impairment
OLPRUVA faced slow adoption with only one prescription enrollment form in Q2. A noncash charge of $58.7 million was recognized for impairment of intangible assets, along with an inventory write-down of $11.7 million.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased by $8.2 million due to professional fees related to a proxy contest and other commercial activities.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Zevra reported strong financial performance and strategic milestones. The company's net revenue reached $25.9 million, driven by robust demand for MIPLYFFA, which contributed $21.5 million, marking a 26% increase from the first quarter. The sale of a PRV for $150 million significantly strengthened the balance sheet. Zevra also submitted a marketing authorization application for arimoclomol in Europe, aiming to expand its geographic presence. With 129 prescription forms for MIPLYFFA, the company achieved a 1/3 market penetration among diagnosed Niemann-Pick Disease Type C patients in the U.S. The enrollment in the Phase III DiSCOVER trial for celiprolol, targeting Vascular Ehlers-Danlos syndrome, reached 39 out of 150 required patients. Despite slow adoption of OLPRUVA, Zevra's strategic focus remains on commercial excellence, pipeline advancement, and patient impact within rare diseases.

Zevra Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zevra Therapeutics faces considerable financial challenges, with consistent losses and reliance on external financing. While the company demonstrates strong gross profit margins, its high leverage and negative profitability metrics pose significant risks. The cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow and reliance on financing activities. Overall, the company needs to improve its profitability and cash flow management to ensure long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Zevra Therapeutics shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at 78.87%, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -226.63% and a negative EBIT margin of -177.09%. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with a notable increase in the latest period but a decline in previous years. The negative EBITDA margin of -165.97% further highlights operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Zevra Therapeutics reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. The equity ratio is low at 23.76%, indicating limited equity financing. Return on equity is negative at -224.27%, reflecting ongoing losses. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, which provides some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges for Zevra Therapeutics. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, indicating that cash flow from operations is insufficient to cover net losses. Free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, highlighting cash constraints. The company relies heavily on financing activities to support operations, which could pose risks if external funding becomes less accessible.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.02M23.61M27.46M10.16M28.65M13.29M
Gross Profit44.63M16.20M24.52M9.94M26.59M11.98M
EBITDA-115.16M-76.40M-43.54M-25.53M-7.89M-5.43M
Net Income2.64M-105.51M-46.05M-26.77M-8.55M-12.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets256.28M178.13M172.33M115.53M132.94M11.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.71M69.50M67.74M82.85M112.35M4.21M
Total Debt62.28M60.30M43.77M14.12M1.61M70.35M
Total Liabilities139.05M138.46M110.46M40.22M5.82M77.62M
Stockholders Equity117.23M39.67M61.86M75.12M127.12M-66.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.53M-69.67M-33.83M-18.81M10.34M-1.97M
Operating Cash Flow-46.21M-69.67M-33.53M-18.72M10.44M-1.94M
Investing Cash Flow-14.35M-22.16M-17.39M-36.72M-15.52M-33.00K
Financing Cash Flow68.55M82.11M28.46M8.35M113.11M2.74M

Zevra Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.43
Price Trends
50DMA
10.54
Negative
100DMA
9.14
Positive
200DMA
8.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
36.28
Neutral
STOCH
15.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZVRA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.12, below the 50-day MA of 10.54, and above the 200-day MA of 8.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZVRA.

Zevra Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Zevra Therapeutics disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zevra Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zevra Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
HK$18.32B5.55-4.00%3.32%9.92%-18.97%
59
Neutral
$585.41M
55
Neutral
$584.47M-46.24%-76.27%22.77%
54
Neutral
$1.00B
47
Neutral
$499.60M3.53%158.57%96.76%
40
Underperform
$276.56M87.26%-33.92%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZVRA
Zevra Therapeutics
9.43
2.35
33.19%
OMER
Omeros
4.41
0.20
4.75%
RLAY
Relay Therapeutics
3.54
-3.69
-51.04%
UPB
Upstream Bio, Inc.
18.93
-4.45
-19.03%
MAZE
Maze Therapeutics, Inc.
13.50
-1.50
-10.00%

Zevra Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Zevra Therapeutics Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Zevra Therapeutics held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where Wendy Dixon, Ph.D., and Tamara A. Favorito were elected as directors. The meeting also saw the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The election process was marked by the disqualification of nominees proposed by stockholder Daniel J. Mangless due to non-compliance with legal requirements and company bylaws, ensuring the election of the company’s preferred candidates.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZVRA) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zevra Therapeutics stock, see the ZVRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025