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Insperity (NSP)
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Insperity (NSP) AI Stock Analysis

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NSP

Insperity

(NYSE:NSP)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(6.32% Upside)
Insperity's overall stock score is primarily affected by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company shows strong revenue growth but faces profitability and leverage challenges. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation despite a strong dividend yield. The earnings call provided mixed signals, with strategic initiatives overshadowed by financial difficulties.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnership
The partnership with Workday and the launch of Insperity HRScale positions the company for future growth by enhancing service offerings and market differentiation.
Client Retention
High client retention rates indicate strong customer satisfaction and loyalty, which are crucial for sustained revenue and market position.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its client base and increase service adoption, supporting long-term business expansion.
Negative Factors
Profitability Margins
Declining profitability margins suggest operational challenges and cost pressures, which could impact long-term financial health if not addressed.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Higher Benefits Costs
Unexpectedly high benefits costs can strain profitability and may require strategic adjustments to maintain financial performance.

Insperity (NSP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Insperity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInsperity, Inc. provides human resources (HR) and business solutions to improve business performance for small and medium-sized businesses. The company offers its HR services through its Workforce Optimization and Workforce Synchronization solutions that include a range of human resources functions, such as payroll and employment administration, employee benefits, workers' compensation, government compliance, performance management, and training and development services. It also provides Insperity Premier, a cloud-based human capital management platform that offers professional employer organization HR outsourcing solutions to its clients; personnel record management services; and employer liability management services, as well as solutions for middle market. In addition, the company offers MarketPlace, an e-commerce portal that offers a range of products and services; and Workforce Acceleration, a human capital management and payroll services solution; time and attendance; performance management; organizational planning; recruiting; employment screening; retirement; and insurance services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through 85 sales offices in the United States. The company was formerly known as Administaff, Inc. and changed its name to Insperity, Inc. in March 2011. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Kingwood, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyInsperity generates revenue primarily through its Professional Employer Organization (PEO) services, which involve co-employing clients' employees and assuming many HR-related responsibilities. The company charges clients a service fee that typically includes a percentage of payroll and additional fees for services like benefits administration and compliance assistance. Key revenue streams also include payroll processing, employee benefits administration, and HR consulting services. Insperity has established significant partnerships with various insurance providers and technology platforms, enhancing its service offerings and contributing to its earnings. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale as it expands its client base, allowing it to negotiate better rates for employee benefits, which further drives profitability.

Insperity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlighted significant achievements, such as the strong client retention rate, the rollout of HRScale, and strategic partnerships. However, these were overshadowed by financial struggles, particularly due to unexpected health benefits costs and an earnings shortfall. The challenges in the hiring environment further contributed to a negative outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Client Retention
Client retention remains strong, averaging 99% per month, in line with prior year results.
HRScale Rollout and Strategic Partnership with Workday
The official rollout of HRScale is underway, targeting mid-market companies. The strategic partnership with Workday is expected to be a growth catalyst for Insperity.
Operating Expense Management
Year-over-year operating expenses in Q3 2025 decreased by 4%, with significant reductions in salaries and G&A costs.
New UnitedHealthcare Agreement
A new contract with UnitedHealthcare has been signed, expected to significantly reduce claim costs and provide long-term benefits.
Record Sales Performance
Q3 booked HR360 sales were 45% greater than the same period last year, with strong performance in mid-market and enterprise spaces.
Negative Updates
Higher-than-Expected Health Benefits Costs
Q3 claims data revealed higher-than-expected outpatient and inpatient utilization and pharmacy costs, resulting in a benefits cost trend of 9.1% for Q3 2025 over Q3 2024.
Earnings Shortfall
Adjusted EPS for the quarter was minus $0.20, and adjusted EBITDA was $10 million, below forecasted ranges due to higher-than-expected benefits costs.
Challenging Hiring Environment
The overall hiring environment continues to be challenging, with Q3 2025 activity slightly weaker than Q3 2024.
Negative Adjusted EPS Forecast for Q4
Forecasting adjusted EPS for Q4 in a range of minus $0.79 to minus $0.16, indicating continued financial strain.
Company Guidance
During the Insperity Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, Jim Allison, the CFO, provided updated financial guidance for Q4 and the full year 2025. Despite a challenging hiring environment and increased healthcare costs, Insperity expects average paid worksite employees to range between 313,000 and 315,000 in Q4, marking a 1.3% to 1.9% increase over Q4 2024. Full year average paid worksite employee growth is anticipated at 1%. The company forecasts full year adjusted EPS between $0.84 and $1.47 and adjusted EBITDA from $119 million to $153 million, with Q4 adjusted EPS expected to range from minus $0.79 to minus $0.16. Elevated benefits costs, with a trend of 9.1% for Q3 2025, are projected to persist, impacting profitability. However, Insperity plans to counter these with strategic pricing adjustments and a new agreement with UnitedHealthcare. Operating expenses for the full year 2025 are expected to be approximately 3% lower than 2024 levels.

Insperity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Insperity's financial performance shows strong revenue growth but is hampered by declining profitability margins and high leverage. The income statement reflects growth potential, but the balance sheet's high debt-to-equity ratio and declining ROE are concerning. Cash flow performance is mixed, with strong cash generation but declining growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Insperity's income statement shows moderate performance with a consistent revenue growth trend, highlighted by a significant 92.6% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability margins such as gross profit and net profit margins have declined in the TTM compared to previous years, indicating pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, suggesting operational challenges. Overall, the company demonstrates growth potential but faces profitability constraints.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk to financial stability. The return on equity has decreased substantially in the TTM period, reflecting reduced profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing. While the company has managed to maintain asset levels, the high leverage and declining ROE are concerning.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, which is a negative indicator. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative in the TTM, indicating potential cash flow management issues. Overall, cash flow performance is mixed, with strengths in cash generation but weaknesses in growth and cash flow coverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.76B6.58B6.49B5.94B4.97B4.29B
Gross Profit935.00M1.05B1.04B1.01B820.10M806.85M
EBITDA98.00M198.00M295.00M300.29M214.32M228.47M
Net Income17.00M91.00M171.00M179.35M124.08M138.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01B2.60B2.12B2.04B1.75B1.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments519.00M1.05B709.00M765.90M607.60M589.38M
Total Debt436.00M435.00M427.00M424.99M433.59M433.69M
Total Liabilities1.93B2.50B2.03B1.96B1.75B1.54B
Stockholders Equity87.00M97.00M94.00M81.28M-1.77M44.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.00M482.00M158.37M317.36M227.25M248.19M
Operating Cash Flow86.00M520.00M198.49M347.69M260.15M346.35M
Investing Cash Flow-35.00M-38.00M-21.73M-32.12M-31.01M-98.62M
Financing Cash Flow-111.00M-173.00M-155.01M-141.15M-208.07M-53.58M

Insperity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.86
Price Trends
50DMA
48.14
Negative
100DMA
52.11
Negative
200DMA
63.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.44
Positive
RSI
19.71
Positive
STOCH
12.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NSP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.83, below the 50-day MA of 48.14, and below the 200-day MA of 63.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.71 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NSP.

Insperity Risk Analysis

Insperity disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Insperity reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Insperity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.40B13.8113.55%2.81%0.79%34.85%
65
Neutral
$1.03B19.8024.08%0.92%9.64%9.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$2.63B16.8911.27%8.66%-7.27%-43.88%
60
Neutral
$2.79B21.19111.30%1.93%0.99%-47.02%
47
Neutral
$1.28B77.0516.04%7.04%3.19%-86.21%
46
Neutral
$1.38B-1.00%7.87%-2.44%-156.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NSP
Insperity
33.86
-43.13
-56.02%
BBSI
Barrett Business Services
33.31
-7.75
-18.87%
KFY
Korn Ferry
64.50
-11.92
-15.60%
MAN
ManpowerGroup
28.71
-33.04
-53.51%
RHI
Robert Half
26.38
-45.99
-63.55%
TNET
TriNet Group
55.78
-35.66
-39.00%

Insperity Corporate Events

Insperity Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

The recent earnings call for Insperity painted a mixed picture, with notable achievements being overshadowed by financial challenges. The company celebrated strong client retention, the rollout of HRScale, and strategic partnerships. However, these positives were tempered by unexpected health benefits costs and an earnings shortfall, contributing to a generally negative outlook.

Insperity Reports Q3 Results and Strategic Moves
Nov 4, 2025

Insperity, Inc. is a prominent provider of human resources and business performance solutions, offering comprehensive HR services and technology to enhance business performance across the United States.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Insperity Extends UnitedHealthcare Contract Through 2028
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Insperity announced an amendment to its arrangement with UnitedHealthcare, extending the contract through 2028 and introducing cost-saving measures starting in 2026. This strategic move is expected to enhance Insperity’s financial outlook and align with its growth and profitability goals. Additionally, Insperity reported its third-quarter results, highlighting a 4% revenue increase despite a net loss of $20 million due to elevated healthcare costs. The company is actively working on sustainable profitability and has launched HRScale, a joint solution with Workday, to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (NSP) stock is a Hold with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insperity stock, see the NSP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025