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Barrett Business Services (BBSI)
NASDAQ:BBSI

Barrett Business Services (BBSI) AI Stock Analysis

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BBSI

Barrett Business Services

(NASDAQ:BBSI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(11.19% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/04/26
Overall score is driven by solid financial strength (growth, profitability, and a very conservative balance sheet) and a reasonable valuation, partially offset by weak technicals (price well below key moving averages with negative momentum) and some operational headwinds and margin pressure highlighted in the latest earnings call.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a growing equity base provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces default and refinancing risk, supports ongoing dividends and buybacks, and gives capacity to invest in technology or M&A without stressing cash flows during cyclical slowdowns.
Consistent revenue and billings growth
Sustained top-line expansion and re-accelerating gross billings reflect durable demand for PEO services and successful client acquisition. Consistent growth supports operating leverage, scale for service delivery, and long-term profitability potential across business cycles.
Product & tech expansion (HRIS)
Introducing an integrated HRIS module with an enterprise partner is a structural enhancement: it raises client stickiness, opens cross-sell paths, and modernizes the service platform—helpful for winning larger clients and improving long-term margin sustainability.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
Irregular operating and free cash flow undermines predictability for capital returns and investment. Volatility in cash conversion increases refinancing and timing risk, complicating capital allocation decisions like buybacks, M&A or tech investments over the medium term.
Margin pressure from insurance & staffing mix
Compression in gross and operating margins due to workers' comp pricing and reduced staffing activity can erode ROE and free cash generation. If sustained, margin headwinds limit reinvestment, slow equity return normalization, and reduce resilience to cost inflation.
Segment and regional exposure
Material weakness in the staffing segment and localized slowdowns (e.g., noted California and Pacific Northwest softness) reveal concentration and exposure risks. Persistent regional or segment downturns could slow overall growth and pressure utilization of fixed service capacity.

Barrett Business Services (BBSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Barrett Business Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarrett Business Services, Inc. provides business management solutions for small and mid-sized companies in the United States. The company develops a management platform that integrates a knowledge-based approach from the management consulting industry with tools from the human resource outsourcing industry. It offers professional employer services under which it enters into a client services agreement to establish a co-employment relationship with each client company, assuming responsibility for payroll, payroll taxes, workers' compensation coverage, and other administration functions for the client's existing workforce. The company also provides staffing and recruiting services, such as on-demand or short-term staffing assignment, contract staffing, direct placement, and long-term or indefinite-term on-site management services. It serves electronics manufacturers, light-manufacturing industries, agriculture-based companies, transportation and shipping enterprises, food processors, telecommunications companies, public utilities, general contractors in various construction-related fields, and professional services firms. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyBBSI generates revenue primarily through its PEO services, which involve co-employment agreements where BBSI assumes certain employer responsibilities for its clients. The company charges its clients a fee calculated as a percentage of payroll, which includes various HR services such as payroll processing, benefits administration, and risk management. Additionally, BBSI earns revenue from value-added services, including consulting and training programs designed to improve workforce management. Significant partnerships with insurance providers and benefits vendors also enhance its service offerings and contribute to its earnings by allowing BBSI to offer competitive rates and packages to its clients.

Barrett Business Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong growth in worksite employees, revenue, and successful new market expansions, but also noted challenges in the staffing segment, lower client hiring, and margin pressures. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains optimistic due to strong controllable growth and positive developments in the workers' compensation and benefits segments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Number of Worksite Employees
Added a record 10,400 worksite employees year-over-year from net new clients, resulting in a total growth of worksite employees by 6.1%.
Solid Revenue Growth
Gross billings increased by 8.6% over the prior year's quarter, reaching $2.32 billion in Q3 2025 from $2.14 billion in Q3 2024.
High Net Promoter Score
Maintained a high Net Promoter Score in the high 60s for a third straight year, indicating strong client satisfaction and retention.
Successful New Market Expansion
Opened new branches in Chicago and Dallas, planning another in Nashville, adding 1,400 new worksite employees through Q3.
Increased Health Benefits Traction
Added approximately 1,300 participants to benefits products in Q3, with October submissions for 1/1 transactions 60% greater than the previous year.
Positive Workers' Compensation Environment
Anticipated increase in workers' compensation premium rates, with California Insurance Commissioner approving an average 8.7% increase.
Negative Updates
Staffing Business Decline
Staffing business declined by 10.3% over the prior year quarter, with revenues declining 10% to $19 million in the quarter.
Lower-than-Expected Client Hiring
Client hiring was lower than forecasted, with a slowdown in California across most industries due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Decline in Pacific Northwest Region
The Pacific Northwest region saw a 3% decline in PEO gross billings due to economic conditions in the region.
Margin Pressure
Ongoing workers' compensation pricing trends and lower staffing volume created some margin pressure, with overall margin modestly lower than the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the call, BBSI's President and CEO, Gary Kramer, outlined the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives for the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The company achieved an 8.6% increase in gross billings compared to the previous year, totaling $2.32 billion, driven by strong client additions and retention. A record addition of 10,400 worksite employees was noted, marking a 6.1% growth in worksite employees, although client hiring was lower than forecasted, particularly in California due to macroeconomic uncertainties. The staffing business saw a 10.3% decline. Client satisfaction remained high, with a consistent Net Promoter Score in the high 60s. The company expanded its geographic footprint with new branches in Chicago and Dallas and plans for a Nashville opening. BBSI Benefits saw continued momentum, with 1,300 new participants in Q3 and expectations of a 60% increase in October submissions for January transactions. The company is optimistic about controllable growth and aims to enhance its tech stack to attract larger clients. Looking ahead, BBSI expects full-year gross billings growth between 8.5% and 9.5%, with a gross margin of 2.9% to 3.0%.

Barrett Business Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by steady revenue growth and solid profitability, plus a conservatively levered balance sheet. The main offset is uneven cash-flow conversion across years (including negative free cash flow in 2024), which reduces confidence in consistency despite the 2025 rebound.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has expanded steadily over the period (from $881M in 2020 to $1.24B in 2025), with growth re-accelerating in 2025. Profitability is solid and fairly consistent for the industry, with gross margin around ~21–23% and net margin around ~4–5%. The main weakness is modest margin compression in 2025 versus 2023–2024 (lower gross and operating margins), suggesting either pricing pressure or higher costs.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered, with very low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.07 in 2025 and consistently low across the period). Equity has grown meaningfully by 2025, supporting a stronger capital base. A watch item is that returns on equity have come down from the very high 2022–2024 levels, indicating profitability has not kept pace with the larger equity base.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is mixed. 2025 shows a strong rebound with operating cash flow of ~$66M and free cash flow of ~$47M, and free cash flow running at roughly 72% of net income. However, cash flow has been volatile: 2024 produced negative free cash flow and very low operating cash flow despite solid earnings, and 2020–2021 showed negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow. This variability reduces confidence in the consistency of cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.14B1.07B1.05B955.17M
Gross Profit260.91M253.25M242.53M234.84M204.51M
EBITDA80.09M78.25M76.26M71.67M56.36M
Net Income54.45M52.99M50.61M47.27M38.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets779.07M745.51M721.54M686.94M746.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.24M121.86M152.19M159.75M166.17M
Total Debt24.45M21.45M21.21M21.18M25.30M
Total Liabilities423.36M524.10M522.40M509.10M538.42M
Stockholders Equity355.71M221.40M199.14M177.84M208.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.18M-4.07M55.40M11.80M-22.26M
Operating Cash Flow65.95M10.09M67.22M27.78M-15.46M
Investing Cash Flow30.76M38.78M-55.19M61.15M-112.86M
Financing Cash Flow-52.97M-41.13M-44.57M-60.18M-26.89M

Barrett Business Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.88
Price Trends
50DMA
35.66
Negative
100DMA
36.86
Negative
200DMA
40.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.25
Positive
RSI
26.77
Positive
STOCH
28.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBSI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.04, below the 50-day MA of 35.66, and below the 200-day MA of 40.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.77 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BBSI.

Barrett Business Services Risk Analysis

Barrett Business Services disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Barrett Business Services reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Barrett Business Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$702.66M13.3324.08%0.88%9.64%9.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$339.12M-1.29-23.06%3.53%0.46%-477.90%
54
Neutral
$483.27M13.7927.19%5.12%-5.91%-23.01%
51
Neutral
$1.25B-0.64%4.96%-2.44%-156.01%
43
Neutral
$797.20M-110.57-9.79%6.37%3.19%-86.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBSI
Barrett Business Services
27.96
-10.73
-27.73%
NSP
Insperity
21.37
-60.62
-73.94%
KELYA
Kelly Services
9.31
-3.27
-25.99%
KFRC
Kforce
27.18
-19.92
-42.29%
MAN
ManpowerGroup
28.05
-26.90
-48.96%

Barrett Business Services Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Barrett Business Services Reports Strong 2025 Results, Dividend
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

Barrett Business Services, Inc. reported that fourth-quarter 2025 revenues rose 5% to $321.1 million and gross billings increased 6% to $2.40 billion, driven by growth in PEO services and a 5% increase in average worksite employees, while net income edged down to $16.4 million but diluted EPS ticked up to $0.64. For full-year 2025, reported on February 25, 2026, revenues grew 8% to $1.24 billion, gross billings climbed 9% to $9.04 billion, and net income rose 3% to $54.4 million with EPS of $2.08, supported by lower workers’ compensation costs, a stronger cash position of $157.2 million with no debt, and more than $50 million returned to shareholders via buybacks and dividends, as the board also declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share payable March 27, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBSI) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrett Business Services stock, see the BBSI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026