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Kelly Services (KELYA)
NASDAQ:KELYA
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Kelly Services (KELYA) AI Stock Analysis

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KELYA

Kelly Services

(NASDAQ:KELYA)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(3.35% Upside)
Kelly Services' overall score reflects strong revenue growth but significant challenges in profitability and valuation. The stable balance sheet and improving cash flow are positive, yet the lack of technical indicators and negative P/E ratio weigh on the score. The earnings call and corporate events suggest potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Q4/24 revenue of $1.191 billion exceeded the estimate of $1.157 billion and the consensus of $1.153 billion.
Market Position
Kelly continued to gain market share and outperform the broader market.
Segment Growth
Organic revenue continued to benefit from strong performance by the Education segment, which grew 12.1% year-over-year in Q4/24 due to improved staffing fill rates, higher bill rates, and new customer wins.
Negative Factors
Earnings Decline
Q1/25 adjusted EPS of $0.39 declined from $0.56 in the year-ago quarter due primarily to a $0.15 per share increase in net interest expense.
Government Spending
Reduced demand from the federal government due to spending cutbacks was an 80 basis point headwind to organic revenue growth in Q1/25.
Revenue Headwind
Greater-than-expected organic revenue headwind was attributed to reduced demand from three large customers, primarily due to economic uncertainty.

Kelly Services (KELYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kelly Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelly Services, Inc. (KELYA) is a global leader in workforce solutions, specializing in providing staffing services across various sectors including information technology, engineering, education, and administrative support. Founded in 1946, the company offers a range of services such as temporary staffing, direct-hire recruitment, and outsourcing solutions, catering to both employers seeking talent and individuals seeking employment opportunities. Kelly Services is committed to innovation in workforce management and plays a crucial role in connecting skilled professionals with businesses that require their expertise.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelly Services generates revenue primarily through the placement of temporary and permanent staff in client organizations. The company charges fees based on a markup of the employee's hourly wage or a percentage of the employee's annual salary for permanent placements. Key revenue streams include the staffing services for various sectors, managed service provider (MSP) solutions, and recruitment process outsourcing (RPO). Additionally, Kelly Services has established strategic partnerships with various organizations to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also benefits from a diverse client base, reducing dependency on any single sector or customer.

Kelly Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook, with positive developments in the Education and SET segments and improvements in gross profit margin. However, there were notable challenges, including revenue declines in the ETM segment, significant demand reductions from large customers, and reduced earnings per share. These challenges were attributed to macroeconomic conditions and customer-specific cost-reduction initiatives. The call highlighted the strategic CEO transition aimed at driving future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in Education Segment
Education segment revenue grew by 5.6% year-over-year, with organic growth at 5.3%. This was primarily driven by ongoing fill rate improvement and stable demand for services in the K-12 space.
SET Segment Expansion
SET segment revenue increased by 19% on a reported basis due to the acquisition of MRP, although organic revenue was down 8.5%.
Gross Profit Improvement
Reported gross profit was $225.5 million with a gross profit rate improvement of 30 basis points compared to the prior year quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
Expected adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 80 to 90 basis points in the third quarter, with modest year-over-year expansion for the full year.
CEO Transition Announcement
Chris Layden was announced as the new President and CEO, with a focus on accelerating profitable growth and value creation.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in ETM Segment
ETM segment revenue declined by 3.9% year-over-year on a reported basis and 5.1% on an organic basis, primarily due to large customer demand reductions and lower demand for federal contractors.
Impact of Macro Environment
Organic year-over-year revenue was down 3.3%, with a 1.3% negative impact from reduced demand for federal contractors and a 3.5% impact from large customers' cost-reduction initiatives.
Reduced Earnings per Share
Adjusted earnings per share were $0.54 compared to $0.71 in the prior year, due to lower earnings from operations and increased net interest expense.
Challenges with Large Customers
Significant demand reductions from large customers, with the full impact expected by the end of the third quarter.
Company Guidance
During the call, Kelly Services provided guidance for the third quarter, projecting a revenue decline of 5% to 7%. This decline includes an 8% negative impact from reduced demand by large customers and federal contractors. Excluding these impacts, underlying revenue growth is expected to be between 1% and 3%. Adjusted EBITDA margin is anticipated to increase by 80 to 90 basis points year-over-year. In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of $1.1 billion, a 4.2% increase from the previous year, and achieved a gross profit of $225.5 million with a gross profit rate of 20.5%, up 30 basis points. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.54, down from $0.71 in the prior year, while adjusted EBITDA was $37 million, a 9% decrease, with a margin decline of 40 basis points to 3.4%. The company ended the quarter with $301 million in liquidity and reduced its net debt by $130 million.

Kelly Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelly Services shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but negative returns on equity are concerning. Cash flow is improving, yet not translating into consistent profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kelly Services shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced a significant revenue growth rate of 99.5% in the TTM period, indicating strong top-line growth. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving operational efficiency. The gross profit margin remains stable, but the negative net income suggests that cost management needs improvement.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of Kelly Services is relatively stable, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.106 in the TTM period, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, which is a concern for shareholders. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the company needs to improve its profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a significant increase of 58.3% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that the company is generating cash from its operations despite negative net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash generation is not yet translating into profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.50B4.33B4.84B4.97B4.91B4.52B
Gross Profit902.40M882.60M961.40M1.01B919.20M827.60M
EBITDA37.20M39.90M78.20M-13.40M241.10M-59.10M
Net Income-6.20M-600.00K36.40M-63.30M156.10M-72.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.51B2.63B2.58B2.66B2.89B2.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.00M39.00M125.80M153.70M112.70M223.00M
Total Debt133.90M302.60M51.30M70.40M78.90M87.40M
Total Liabilities1.25B1.40B1.33B1.41B1.56B1.36B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.23B1.25B1.25B1.34B1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow105.10M15.80M61.40M-88.30M73.80M170.50M
Operating Cash Flow114.00M26.90M76.70M-76.30M85.00M186.00M
Investing Cash Flow16.20M-361.60M-14.10M167.50M-180.70M9.80M
Financing Cash Flow-159.50M214.80M-59.60M-50.60M-8.10M-8.10M

Kelly Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.03
Price Trends
50DMA
12.48
Positive
100DMA
12.20
Positive
200DMA
13.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
61.97
Neutral
STOCH
81.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KELYA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.19, above the 50-day MA of 12.48, and above the 200-day MA of 13.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KELYA.

Kelly Services Risk Analysis

Kelly Services disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kelly Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We are subject to substantial pressure to meet external stakeholder's sustainability and ESG requirements. Q4, 2024
2.
Events such as natural disasters, severe weather, terrorist attacks, war, pandemics, and other catastrophic events could decrease demand for our services in impacted areas. Q4, 2024

Kelly Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$993.89M30.167.18%1.26%8.89%-13.57%
63
Neutral
$10.80B16.806.58%2.07%2.49%-15.77%
58
Neutral
$130.00M53.454.06%2.60%-9.76%-53.41%
56
Neutral
$89.38M109.451.01%5.16%
51
Neutral
$497.40M11.43-0.49%2.14%0.97%-112.75%
48
Neutral
$174.02M-10.53%-13.01%68.18%
44
Neutral
$384.19M225.24-2897.28%-16.20%-222.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KELYA
Kelly Services
14.03
-5.91
-29.64%
HSII
Heidrick & Struggles
47.67
10.84
29.43%
MHH
Mastech Holdings
7.71
-2.47
-24.26%
TBI
Trueblue
5.82
-1.89
-24.51%
HQI
HireQuest
9.66
-3.46
-26.37%
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
4.34
-4.25
-49.48%

Kelly Services Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kelly Services Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Kelly Services announced the appointment of Nicholas A. Zuhlke as Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer, effective August 11, 2025, succeeding Laura Lockhart. Zuhlke brings extensive experience from his previous roles at DexKo Global Holdings Inc. and other companies. In its second-quarter earnings report, Kelly Services reported a 4.2% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.1 billion, primarily due to acquisitions, despite a 3.3% organic decline. The company experienced a decrease in operating earnings and adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year, with expectations of a revenue decline in Q3 due to reduced demand from U.S. federal contractors. Kelly remains focused on growth in resilient markets and aligning resources with demand, aiming for future margin improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (KELYA) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Services stock, see the KELYA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kelly Services Appoints Christopher Layden as New CEO
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Kelly Services announced the appointment of Christopher Layden as the new President and CEO, effective September 2, 2025, succeeding Peter Quigley, who will retire but remain as a strategic advisor and board member until May 2026. Layden, previously COO at Prolink, brings extensive experience in workforce solutions and is expected to drive Kelly’s strategic evolution, focusing on profitable growth and value creation, building on the progress made under Quigley’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (KELYA) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Services stock, see the KELYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kelly Services Unveils Strategic Initiatives and Growth Plan
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Kelly Services posted an investor presentation on its website, outlining its strategic initiatives and financial performance. The company has streamlined its operations to focus on higher-margin, higher-growth markets, resulting in a significant expansion of its EBITDA margin. Kelly Services has also realigned its business segments to enhance efficiency and effectiveness, aiming to capture shareholder value through its specialty growth strategy. The company has achieved structural savings and monetized non-core assets, positioning itself for long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (KELYA) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Services stock, see the KELYA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025