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ManpowerGroup (MAN)
NYSE:MAN

ManpowerGroup (MAN) AI Stock Analysis

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MAN

ManpowerGroup

(NYSE:MAN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
â–²(3.82% Upside)
ManpowerGroup's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability being the most impactful factors. While technical indicators and corporate events provide some positive signals, the negative P/E ratio and mixed earnings call sentiment weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
AI-Driven Revenue Gains
The integration of AI in revenue generation indicates a strategic shift towards technology, enhancing client acquisition and long-term growth.
Expansion in Global Enterprise Programs
Expanding enterprise programs in key sectors supports revenue stabilization and growth, strengthening market position and client base.
Debt Strategy Update
Updating the credit facility and issuing new notes enhances financial flexibility, supporting long-term debt management and operational stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Ongoing revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, impacting long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Weak IT and Professional Hiring
Decreased demand in key hiring segments like IT and professional services can affect revenue streams and market positioning.
Rising Leverage
Increased leverage can strain financial resources, limiting flexibility and increasing risk, impacting long-term financial health.

ManpowerGroup (MAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ManpowerGroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific Middle East region. The company offers recruitment services, including permanent, temporary, and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative and industrial positions under the Manpower and Experis brands. It also offers various assessment services; training and development services; career management; and outsourcing services related to human resources functions primarily in the areas of large-scale recruiting and workforce-intensive initiatives. In addition, the company provides workforce consulting services; contingent staffing and permanent recruitment services; professional resourcing and project-based solutions in information technology, engineering, and finance fields; solutions in the areas of organizational efficiency, individual development, and career mobility; and recruitment process outsourcing, TAPFIN managed, and talent based outsourcing services, as well as Proservia services in the areas of digital services market and IT infrastructure sector. It operates through a network of approximately 2,200 offices in 75 countries and territories. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyManpowerGroup generates revenue primarily through its staffing and recruitment services, which include temporary and permanent placements for a diverse range of industries. The company earns money by charging clients a fee based on the salaries of the placed candidates or a percentage of the contract value for temporary staff. Additionally, ManpowerGroup offers managed services and recruitment process outsourcing (RPO), which contribute to its revenue through service contracts with organizations looking to streamline their hiring processes. The company also engages in partnerships with businesses to deliver customized workforce solutions, further enhancing its revenue potential. Economic trends, labor market conditions, and demand for skilled labor significantly impact ManpowerGroup's earnings, making its revenue model sensitive to fluctuations in the employment landscape.

ManpowerGroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
ManpowerGroup's earnings call highlighted a strategic shift towards stabilization and growth, driven by technology investments and cost efficiency initiatives. While there was a return to revenue growth, significant pressure on EBITDA and earnings per share, as well as challenges in certain regions, balanced the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Revenue Growth
After 11 consecutive quarters of organic constant currency revenue declines, ManpowerGroup achieved revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025.
Expansion in Global Enterprise Programs
ManpowerGroup secured new enterprise programs in sectors such as financial services and life sciences, aiding in revenue stabilization and growth.
AI-Driven Revenue Gains
Approximately 30% of new client revenue is now derived from AI-rated probability, with AI initiatives helping to identify higher-value prospects.
Strong Performance in Latin America and APME
The company reported strong momentum across Latin America and Asia Pacific Middle East (APME) regions, offsetting softer trends in Europe and North America.
Cost Management and Efficiency Improvements
ManpowerGroup is focusing on managing costs, driving efficiencies at scale, and simplifying its organization to improve margins and shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Decline in EBITDA and Earnings Per Share
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 22% year-over-year in constant currency, and adjusted earnings per share decreased by 39% year-over-year.
Ongoing Gross Margin Pressure
Gross profit margin came in below guidance, driven by shifts towards enterprise accounts and lower permanent recruitment and outplacement activity.
Challenges in Northern Europe
Northern Europe segment continued to struggle with a 6% decline in constant currency revenue, with restructuring actions ongoing in Germany and the U.K.
Weak IT and Professional Hiring
The Experis brand saw a 7% decline in demand for IT and professional hiring, with clients shifting focus to AI investments.
Company Guidance
During the call, ManpowerGroup provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, highlighting several key metrics and trends. Reported revenue for the third quarter was $4.6 billion, down 2% year-over-year in constant currency, while system-wide revenue, including franchise revenue, was $4.9 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $96 million, down 22% year-over-year in constant currency, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.1%. Earnings per diluted share were $0.38 on a reported basis and $0.83 on an adjusted basis, with a 39% decrease in adjusted EPS year-over-year in constant currency. For the fourth quarter, the company forecasts earnings per share to be in the range of $0.78 to $0.88, with a constant currency revenue guidance range between a 2% decrease and a 2% increase. This guidance reflects ongoing stability across markets, with particular attention to trends among enterprise clients and emerging growth opportunities facilitated by AI-enabled data insights.

ManpowerGroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ManpowerGroup faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability impacting its income statement. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, while cash flow issues are evident with negative cash flows. The company needs to address these issues to improve its financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin, indicating losses. Gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, and EBIT and EBITDA margins have also contracted. Revenue growth has been negative in recent years, reflecting challenges in maintaining sales momentum.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased in the TTM period, suggesting rising leverage, but it remains within a manageable range. Return on equity has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, but this is due to a smaller negative base. Ratios of cash flow to net income are relatively high, indicating cash flow issues are not solely due to profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.64B17.85B18.91B19.83B20.72B18.00B
Gross Profit2.99B3.09B3.36B3.57B3.41B2.82B
EBITDA258.30M433.40M374.20M688.60M680.30M267.30M
Net Income-21.00M145.10M88.80M373.80M382.40M23.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.45B8.20B8.83B9.13B9.83B9.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments274.60M509.40M581.30M639.00M847.80M1.57B
Total Debt1.64B1.23B1.43B1.36B1.39B1.55B
Total Liabilities6.44B6.07B6.60B6.67B7.30B6.89B
Stockholders Equity2.01B2.13B2.22B2.45B2.52B2.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-93.10M258.10M270.00M347.70M580.60M885.70M
Operating Cash Flow-35.40M309.20M348.20M423.30M644.80M936.40M
Investing Cash Flow-75.00M-68.20M-74.10M-85.30M-987.00M-42.40M
Financing Cash Flow-44.10M-282.40M-349.50M-482.10M-283.70M-435.20M

ManpowerGroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.86
Price Trends
50DMA
29.85
Positive
100DMA
34.31
Negative
200DMA
39.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
56.17
Neutral
STOCH
73.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.49, above the 50-day MA of 29.85, and below the 200-day MA of 39.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAN.

ManpowerGroup Risk Analysis

ManpowerGroup disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ManpowerGroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ManpowerGroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.56B13.8513.89%2.79%3.65%5.71%
66
Neutral
$935.55M17.5324.08%0.88%9.64%9.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$2.83B18.1311.27%8.45%-7.27%-43.88%
54
Neutral
$1.38B-63.65-1.00%4.82%-2.44%-156.01%
54
Neutral
$1.46B87.2916.04%6.22%3.19%-86.21%
46
Neutral
$311.76M-1.98-13.11%3.41%0.46%-477.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAN
ManpowerGroup
29.86
-24.59
-45.16%
BBSI
Barrett Business Services
36.51
-5.71
-13.52%
NSP
Insperity
38.61
-33.77
-46.66%
KELYA
Kelly Services
8.81
-3.70
-29.58%
KFY
Korn Ferry
68.26
3.10
4.76%
RHI
Robert Half
27.93
-38.86
-58.18%

ManpowerGroup Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
ManpowerGroup Updates Credit Facility and Debt Strategy
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 15, 2025, ManpowerGroup Inc. replaced its previous $600 million revolving credit facility with a new five-year Credit Agreement that maintains the same capacity while including updated allowances for restructuring charges and restrictive financial covenants. Additionally, the company sold €500 million in senior unsecured notes due December 13, 2030, for approximately €497.395 million, designated to redeem existing €500 million 1.750% notes set for full redemption in January 2026, strengthening its financial flexibility and reinforcing its long-term debt management strategy.

Business Operations and Strategy
ManpowerGroup Highlights Strategy at J.P. Morgan Conference
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, John T. McGinnis, the Executive Vice President and CFO of ManpowerGroup, presented at the J.P. Morgan 2025 Ultimate Services Investor Conference. The presentation highlighted the company’s strategic and technology initiatives aimed at driving efficiencies and addressing workforce trends. ManpowerGroup continues to focus on transforming its operations to enhance market penetration and maintain its position as a leader in the workforce solutions industry. The company’s efforts in diversification, digitization, and innovation are expected to provide a sustainable competitive advantage and improve client and candidate experiences.

Dividends
ManpowerGroup Declares Semi-Annual Dividend Announcement
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 6, 2025, ManpowerGroup‘s Board of Directors declared a semi-annual dividend of $0.72 per share, which will be paid on December 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by December 1, 2025. This announcement underscores ManpowerGroup’s ongoing commitment to delivering shareholder value and reflects its stable financial position in the workforce solutions industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025