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ManpowerGroup (MAN)
NYSE:MAN
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ManpowerGroup (MAN) AI Stock Analysis

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MAN

ManpowerGroup

(NYSE:MAN)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▼(-2.62% Downside)
ManpowerGroup's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, and negative cash flows. The technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics suggest caution due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive strategic insights, but significant pressures remain.
Positive Factors
AI-Driven Revenue Gains
AI initiatives are enhancing ManpowerGroup's ability to identify higher-value prospects, potentially leading to sustained revenue growth and competitive advantage in the staffing industry.
Expansion in Global Enterprise Programs
Expansion into global enterprise programs supports revenue stabilization and growth, strengthening ManpowerGroup's market position and diversifying its client base.
Cost Management and Efficiency Improvements
Efforts in cost management and efficiency can improve margins and shareholder value, enhancing long-term financial health and operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Decline in EBITDA and Earnings Per Share
Significant declines in EBITDA and EPS indicate financial pressure, potentially affecting ManpowerGroup's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.
Ongoing Gross Margin Pressure
Persistent gross margin pressure could limit profitability and reduce financial flexibility, challenging ManpowerGroup's ability to sustain long-term growth.
Challenges in Northern Europe
Ongoing challenges in Northern Europe, including restructuring, may hinder regional performance and overall revenue growth, impacting ManpowerGroup's global operations.

ManpowerGroup (MAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ManpowerGroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific Middle East region. The company offers recruitment services, including permanent, temporary, and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative and industrial positions under the Manpower and Experis brands. It also offers various assessment services; training and development services; career management; and outsourcing services related to human resources functions primarily in the areas of large-scale recruiting and workforce-intensive initiatives. In addition, the company provides workforce consulting services; contingent staffing and permanent recruitment services; professional resourcing and project-based solutions in information technology, engineering, and finance fields; solutions in the areas of organizational efficiency, individual development, and career mobility; and recruitment process outsourcing, TAPFIN managed, and talent based outsourcing services, as well as Proservia services in the areas of digital services market and IT infrastructure sector. It operates through a network of approximately 2,200 offices in 75 countries and territories. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyManpowerGroup generates revenue primarily through its staffing and recruitment services. The company earns money by charging clients a fee for the placement of temporary and permanent employees, which is typically a percentage of the employee's salary or an hourly rate multiplied by the hours worked. Additionally, ManpowerGroup offers value-added services such as training, talent assessment, and workforce management solutions, which further contribute to its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with businesses across various industries enhance its ability to provide tailored workforce solutions, thereby driving earnings. The company also benefits from economic trends that affect employment levels, as demand for staffing services often increases during periods of economic growth.

ManpowerGroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
ManpowerGroup's earnings call highlighted a strategic shift towards stabilization and growth, driven by technology investments and cost efficiency initiatives. While there was a return to revenue growth, significant pressure on EBITDA and earnings per share, as well as challenges in certain regions, balanced the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Revenue Growth
After 11 consecutive quarters of organic constant currency revenue declines, ManpowerGroup achieved revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025.
Expansion in Global Enterprise Programs
ManpowerGroup secured new enterprise programs in sectors such as financial services and life sciences, aiding in revenue stabilization and growth.
AI-Driven Revenue Gains
Approximately 30% of new client revenue is now derived from AI-rated probability, with AI initiatives helping to identify higher-value prospects.
Strong Performance in Latin America and APME
The company reported strong momentum across Latin America and Asia Pacific Middle East (APME) regions, offsetting softer trends in Europe and North America.
Cost Management and Efficiency Improvements
ManpowerGroup is focusing on managing costs, driving efficiencies at scale, and simplifying its organization to improve margins and shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Decline in EBITDA and Earnings Per Share
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 22% year-over-year in constant currency, and adjusted earnings per share decreased by 39% year-over-year.
Ongoing Gross Margin Pressure
Gross profit margin came in below guidance, driven by shifts towards enterprise accounts and lower permanent recruitment and outplacement activity.
Challenges in Northern Europe
Northern Europe segment continued to struggle with a 6% decline in constant currency revenue, with restructuring actions ongoing in Germany and the U.K.
Weak IT and Professional Hiring
The Experis brand saw a 7% decline in demand for IT and professional hiring, with clients shifting focus to AI investments.
Company Guidance
During the call, ManpowerGroup provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, highlighting several key metrics and trends. Reported revenue for the third quarter was $4.6 billion, down 2% year-over-year in constant currency, while system-wide revenue, including franchise revenue, was $4.9 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $96 million, down 22% year-over-year in constant currency, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.1%. Earnings per diluted share were $0.38 on a reported basis and $0.83 on an adjusted basis, with a 39% decrease in adjusted EPS year-over-year in constant currency. For the fourth quarter, the company forecasts earnings per share to be in the range of $0.78 to $0.88, with a constant currency revenue guidance range between a 2% decrease and a 2% increase. This guidance reflects ongoing stability across markets, with particular attention to trends among enterprise clients and emerging growth opportunities facilitated by AI-enabled data insights.

ManpowerGroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ManpowerGroup faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability impacting its income statement. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, while cash flow issues are evident with negative cash flows. The company needs to address these issues to improve its financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin, indicating losses. Gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, and EBIT and EBITDA margins have also contracted. Revenue growth has been negative in recent years, reflecting challenges in maintaining sales momentum.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased in the TTM period, suggesting rising leverage, but it remains within a manageable range. Return on equity has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, but this is due to a smaller negative base. Ratios of cash flow to net income are relatively high, indicating cash flow issues are not solely due to profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.64B17.85B18.91B19.83B20.72B18.00B
Gross Profit2.99B3.09B3.36B3.57B3.41B2.82B
EBITDA258.30M433.40M374.20M688.60M680.30M267.30M
Net Income-21.00M145.10M88.80M373.80M382.40M23.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.45B8.20B8.83B9.13B9.83B9.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments274.60M509.40M581.30M639.00M847.80M1.57B
Total Debt1.64B1.23B1.43B1.36B1.39B1.55B
Total Liabilities6.44B6.07B6.60B6.67B7.30B6.89B
Stockholders Equity2.01B2.13B2.22B2.45B2.52B2.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-93.10M258.10M270.00M347.70M580.60M885.70M
Operating Cash Flow-35.40M309.20M348.20M423.30M644.80M936.40M
Investing Cash Flow-75.00M-68.20M-74.10M-85.30M-987.00M-42.40M
Financing Cash Flow-44.10M-282.40M-349.50M-482.10M-283.70M-435.20M

ManpowerGroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.78
Price Trends
50DMA
36.94
Negative
100DMA
39.45
Negative
200DMA
44.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.20
Positive
RSI
23.11
Positive
STOCH
10.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.76, below the 50-day MA of 36.94, and below the 200-day MA of 44.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.11 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MAN.

ManpowerGroup Risk Analysis

ManpowerGroup disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ManpowerGroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ManpowerGroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.42B13.8913.55%2.73%0.79%34.85%
66
Neutral
$1.03B19.8025.36%0.79%9.48%11.62%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$2.58B16.5411.27%8.66%-7.27%-43.88%
48
Neutral
$398.89M-0.49%2.63%0.97%-112.75%
47
Neutral
$1.40B83.7216.04%6.48%3.19%-86.21%
46
Neutral
$1.38B-1.00%7.59%-2.44%-156.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAN
ManpowerGroup
29.78
-32.84
-52.44%
BBSI
Barrett Business Services
40.72
-0.16
-0.39%
NSP
Insperity
36.07
-41.91
-53.74%
KELYA
Kelly Services
11.41
-6.33
-35.68%
KFY
Korn Ferry
66.37
-9.57
-12.60%
RHI
Robert Half
25.72
-46.71
-64.49%

ManpowerGroup Corporate Events

ManpowerGroup Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 17, 2025

ManpowerGroup Inc., a leading global workforce solutions company, specializes in sourcing, assessing, developing, and managing talent across various industries worldwide, operating under brands such as Manpower, Experis, and Talent Solutions in over 70 countries.

ManpowerGroup’s Earnings Call: Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 17, 2025

ManpowerGroup’s Strategic Shift Towards Stabilization and Growth

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025