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Trueblue Inc (TBI)
NYSE:TBI
US Market
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Trueblue (TBI) AI Stock Analysis

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TBI

Trueblue

(NYSE:TBI)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-4.51% Downside)
Trueblue's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial challenges, including negative profit margins and cash flow issues. While strategic expansions and cost reductions offer some optimism, technical indicators and valuation suggest caution. The earnings call provides a positive outlook, but significant risks remain.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
Its recent HSP accretive acquisition should help expand into a vertical with more secular growth trends.
Business Expansion
Management highlighted some green shoots such as its energy renewal business and wins in its on-site business.
Market Position
Management believes its competitive advantages should help TBI gain share as the environment improves.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
Management acknowledged the current environment is still one of uncertainty, with customers still hesitant to make longer-term hiring decisions.

Trueblue (TBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trueblue Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrueblue, Inc. (TBI) is a leading provider of specialized workforce solutions in the United States. The company operates primarily in the staffing and recruitment sectors, delivering a range of services that include temporary staffing, direct hire solutions, and managed services for various industries such as manufacturing, logistics, and administrative sectors. Trueblue focuses on connecting businesses with skilled workers, helping organizations manage their workforce needs efficiently and effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrueblue generates revenue primarily through its staffing and recruitment services. The company earns money by charging clients a fee for each worker placed, which can be based on a percentage of the employee's wage or a flat fee arrangement. Key revenue streams include temporary staffing services, where they provide workers on a short-term basis, and permanent placement services, where they connect businesses with candidates for long-term employment. Additionally, Trueblue has established significant partnerships with various organizations and companies, which help to secure large contracts and consistent revenue. The company's ability to adapt its offerings to meet the specific needs of different industries also contributes to its earnings.

Trueblue Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While TrueBlue experienced challenges such as flat revenue and declining gross margins, the company showed resilience through strategic expansions into high-growth markets and significant cost reductions. Positive trends in skilled businesses and a promising revenue growth outlook contribute to a cautiously optimistic future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion into High-Growth Markets
TrueBlue expanded its total addressable market from $45 billion to $90 billion with the acquisition of healthcare staffing professionals. The company is also expanding its skilled and professional roles, with an 8% increase in clients engaging for professional roles and a 29% increase in IT-related hires in 2024.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency
TrueBlue achieved approximately $90 million in permanent SG&A savings since 2022, creating durable cost leverage and enhancing profitability.
Digital Transformation and Innovation
Development of proprietary digital platforms, including AI integration, has enhanced user experience and operational efficiency, driving scalable growth and margin expansion.
Strong Performance in Skilled Businesses
The company's skilled businesses delivered double-digit growth for the quarter, and the commercial driver business delivered its fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth.
Positive Revenue Growth Outlook
TrueBlue expects revenue growth of 5% to 11% year-over-year in the third quarter, including contributions from the acquisition of HSP.
Negative Updates
Flat Total Revenue
Total revenue for the quarter was $396 million, flat compared to the prior year, with temporary labor and permanent hiring volumes remaining suppressed.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin was 23.6% for the quarter, down 280 basis points due to changes in revenue mix and the inclusion of software depreciation in cost of services.
Adjusted Net Loss
The company reported an adjusted net loss of $2 million for the quarter, along with an adjusted EBITDA of $3 million.
PeopleReady Revenue Decline
PeopleReady revenue declined by 5%, driven by reduced client volumes across most verticals and geographies, although skilled businesses saw growth.
Company Guidance
During the TrueBlue Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, Taryn Owen, CEO, highlighted the company's strategic actions to enhance competitive advantage amidst a challenging market environment. TrueBlue has expanded its total addressable market from $45 billion to $90 billion, driven by the acquisition of healthcare staffing professionals and a focus on high-growth sectors like energy and technology. The company secured double-digit growth in its skilled businesses and maintained a strong presence across 500 branches and numerous client sites. Financially, TrueBlue reported a total revenue of $396 million, with a 23.6% gross margin, and achieved approximately $90 million in permanent SG&A savings compared to the 2022 base. Looking ahead to the third quarter, TrueBlue anticipates a 5% to 11% revenue growth year-over-year, supported by ongoing digital transformation and cost optimization strategies.

Trueblue Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trueblue is facing financial challenges with declining revenues, increased leverage, and cash flow difficulties. The income statement shows negative EBIT and net income margins, while the balance sheet indicates higher leverage. Cash flow metrics are under pressure, highlighting potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement for Trueblue reveals a challenging financial period. The TTM data shows a significant decline in revenue and profitability, with negative EBIT and net income margins. Revenue has seen a declining trend over the past few years, and the company is currently operating at a loss, resulting in a negative net profit margin. This indicates potential difficulties in managing costs relative to revenue, reflecting adverse operational performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed scenario. Trueblue's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, suggesting higher leverage, which could be a risk if not managed properly. However, the equity ratio remains reasonable, indicating a stable base of stockholders' equity. Return on equity has been negative recently due to losses, which is a concern, but the overall equity position provides some stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate significant pressure. Operating cash flow is negative in the TTM, and free cash flow has declined, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio and operating cash flow to net income ratio are unfavorable, highlighting potential liquidity issues if this trend continues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.53B1.57B1.91B2.25B2.17B1.85B
Gross Profit375.52M406.39M506.06M602.14M560.32M440.64M
EBITDA-12.76M-3.54M11.46M115.61M96.00M-126.04M
Net Income-33.85M-125.75M-14.17M62.27M61.63M-141.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets672.78M675.38M899.38M1.02B1.03B980.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.90M22.54M61.88M72.05M49.90M62.51M
Total Debt110.10M66.53M61.34M62.56M67.02M68.73M
Total Liabilities367.59M360.02M441.51M523.09M540.16M543.39M
Stockholders Equity305.19M315.36M457.87M496.31M493.07M437.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-54.71M-41.21M3.48M89.88M-14.57M125.47M
Operating Cash Flow-34.91M-17.06M34.75M120.50M20.44M152.53M
Investing Cash Flow-16.93M-2.45M-32.32M-20.95M-16.22M-34.41M
Financing Cash Flow48.55M-17.09M-37.58M-64.69M-19.13M-92.50M

Trueblue Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.76
Price Trends
50DMA
6.58
Negative
100DMA
5.79
Positive
200DMA
6.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
39.35
Neutral
STOCH
27.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.64, below the 50-day MA of 6.58, and below the 200-day MA of 6.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TBI.

Trueblue Risk Analysis

Trueblue disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trueblue reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trueblue Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.80B16.556.58%2.06%2.37%-15.86%
58
Neutral
$140.72M57.864.06%2.60%-9.76%-53.41%
56
Neutral
$89.38M109.451.01%5.16%
51
Neutral
$497.40M11.43-0.49%2.06%0.97%-112.75%
49
Neutral
$112.34M268.89-8.83%-8.31%-445.30%
48
Neutral
$178.21M-10.53%-13.01%68.18%
48
Neutral
$66.62M-9.13%4.69%-24.36%-393.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBI
Trueblue
5.82
-1.89
-24.51%
DHX
DHI Group
2.36
0.60
34.09%
KELYA
Kelly Services
14.11
-5.83
-29.24%
MHH
Mastech Holdings
7.58
-2.60
-25.54%
BGSF
BGSF
5.70
-2.55
-30.91%
HQI
HireQuest
9.22
-3.90
-29.73%

Trueblue Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TrueBlue Reports Improved Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

TrueBlue reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of $396 million, which remained flat compared to the previous year. The company achieved a net loss of $0 million, a significant improvement from the $105 million net loss in the prior year, attributed to non-cash impairment and tax valuation charges. TrueBlue’s strategic focus on skilled trades, healthcare, and energy markets, along with investments in proprietary technologies, is expected to drive future growth and enhance operational efficiency. The company is optimistic about returning to growth in the third quarter, with a focus on retaining and expanding client relationships and delivering high-quality solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBI) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trueblue stock, see the TBI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TrueBlue Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting May 2025
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, TrueBlue, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders where 27,085,588 shares were represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected nine directors, approved executive compensation, amended the 2016 Omnibus Incentive Plan, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 28, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBI) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trueblue stock, see the TBI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
TrueBlue Declares Dividend Amid Acquisition Defense
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, TrueBlue’s Board of Directors declared a dividend of one preferred stock purchase right for each share of common stock, effective May 28, 2025. This move, part of a limited duration shareholder rights agreement, aims to protect shareholder interests against an unsolicited acquisition proposal from HireQuest, Inc. The agreement is designed to prevent any entity from gaining control of TrueBlue without paying a control premium or allowing the Board to make informed decisions, thus safeguarding the company’s and shareholders’ best interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBI) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trueblue stock, see the TBI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025