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BGSF Inc. (BGSF)
NYSE:BGSF

BGSF (BGSF) AI Stock Analysis

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BGSF

BGSF

(NYSE:BGSF)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, and falling free cash flow growth). Offsetting factors include a technically improving price trend (trading above key moving averages with positive MACD) and supportive shareholder-return actions and balance-sheet improvement highlighted on the earnings call (debt payoff, special dividend, and buyback).
Positive Factors
AI-Powered Platform Initiatives
The implementation of AI-powered platforms can enhance operational efficiency and sales effectiveness, potentially driving long-term growth and competitive advantage in staffing solutions.
Strategic Focus on Property Management
Focusing on Property Management and reducing overhead can streamline operations, potentially improving profitability and allowing targeted growth in a specialized market.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation provides financial flexibility, enabling investment in growth initiatives and debt reduction, which supports long-term business stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline Year-over-Year
A year-over-year revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and growth, potentially impacting long-term financial performance and market positioning.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses can erode profitability and indicate inefficiencies, which may hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and improve margins over time.
Net Loss and Profitability Challenges
Continued net losses highlight profitability challenges, which can strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to invest in future growth initiatives.

BGSF (BGSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BGSF Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBGSF, Inc. is a staffing and recruitment company that specializes in providing professional staffing solutions across various sectors, including information technology, accounting, finance, and engineering. The company focuses on connecting skilled professionals with businesses seeking temporary or permanent staffing solutions, leveraging its expertise to meet the specific needs of clients and candidates alike. BGSF operates primarily in the United States and is known for its commitment to quality service and workforce management.
How the Company Makes MoneyBGSF generates revenue primarily through its staffing services, which include the placement of temporary and permanent employees in various industries. The company charges clients a fee for each placement, which can be a percentage of the employee's salary or a flat fee based on the service provided. Additionally, BGSF earns revenue from value-added services such as workforce management solutions, payroll services, and consulting, which help clients optimize their staffing processes. Key partnerships with businesses in diverse sectors enhance BGSF's client base and opportunities for revenue generation, while its focus on specialized staffing niches allows it to command higher fees in competitive markets.

BGSF Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several strategic achievements, such as the successful divestiture of a division, debt repayment, a special dividend, and a stock buyback plan. However, the company also faced challenges with a year-over-year revenue decline and a net loss from continuing operations. Despite these challenges, the company announced strategic initiatives aimed at capturing growth opportunities in a large addressable market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Divestiture and Debt Repayment
In September, BGSF closed on the divestiture of its Professional division for $96.5 million plus a $2.5 million working capital adjustment, and subsequently paid off $46 million in outstanding debt.
Special Dividend and Stock Buyback Plan
The company declared a special cash dividend of $2 per share, returning $22.4 million to shareholders, and announced a stock buyback plan of up to $5 million, reflecting confidence in its long-term strategy.
Sequential Revenue Improvement
Sequentially, revenues improved by 14.4% over the second quarter, benefiting from a seasonal lift due to end of summer turnovers in apartments.
Strategic Initiatives and Market Positioning
BGSF engaged an independent consulting firm to review its business and industry landscape, identifying opportunities to capture a share of a growing $1 billion-plus addressable market.
Improved EBITDA Performance
Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $980,000 or 3.6% of revenue, compared to $75,000 or 0.3% in the year-ago quarter.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Year-Over-Year
Total revenues from Property Management in the third quarter were $26.9 million, down 9.8% year-over-year due to cost pressures on property owners and increased competition.
Net Loss from Continuing Operations
The company reported a third quarter GAAP net loss from continuing operations of $0.28 per diluted share.
Cost Pressures and Increased Competition
The decline in revenue was attributed to cost pressures on property management companies and property owners, as well as increased competition in certain markets.
Company Guidance
During the BGSF, Inc. Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call, key guidance metrics were discussed. The company announced a stock buyback plan of up to $5 million following the divestiture of its Professional division for $96.5 million, with an additional $2.5 million working capital adjustment. This divestiture allowed the company to pay off approximately $46 million in debt and declare a special cash dividend of $2 per share, returning $22.4 million to shareholders. Post-dividend, the company's cash balance was around $20 million. The company aims to reduce G&A expenses by approximately $11 million annually, with Property Management's 2025 overhead contribution estimated between $10.5 million and $11 million. Third-quarter Property Management revenues were reported at $26.9 million, a 9.8% decline year-over-year, but with a 14.4% sequential improvement. The third quarter gross profit was $9.7 million, and SG&A expenses were $10.2 million. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA was $980,000, or 3.6% of revenue, with a GAAP net loss from continuing operations of $0.28 per diluted share. The company is implementing strategic initiatives based on a comprehensive market study and plans to leverage AI technology to enhance client engagement and operational efficiency.

BGSF Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BGSF's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and profitability, with negative margins and revenue growth. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but negative ROE highlights inefficiencies. Cash flow analysis reveals declining free cash flow growth, although cash generation remains relatively strong.
Income Statement
BGSF's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -16.72% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also weak, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 in the TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is not provided, limiting further analysis.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -42.19% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, suggesting some resilience in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue178.04M272.50M313.17M298.42M239.03M207.13M
Gross Profit60.20M92.86M111.78M103.55M80.94M66.04M
EBITDA-135.00K8.98M589.00K20.34M18.23M3.63M
Net Income-11.25M-3.34M-10.22M25.36M14.11M1.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.57M150.11M178.52M194.67M148.29M130.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.17M353.00K0.000.00112.10K0.00
Total Debt1.38M51.66M68.94M71.56M44.03M41.08M
Total Liabilities32.89M67.84M92.98M93.94M71.70M64.82M
Stockholders Equity50.69M82.27M85.54M100.74M76.59M65.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.12M22.74M17.79M-12.80M3.46M20.18M
Operating Cash Flow6.40M24.38M20.39M-7.12M6.66M22.26M
Investing Cash Flow-536.00K-1.64M-9.51M-8.92M-7.02M-24.15M
Financing Cash Flow-3.03M-22.39M-10.87M15.93M473.00K1.89M

BGSF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.50
Price Trends
50DMA
4.33
Positive
100DMA
4.34
Positive
200DMA
3.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
78.58
Negative
STOCH
72.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGSF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.77, above the 50-day MA of 4.33, and above the 200-day MA of 3.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BGSF.

BGSF Risk Analysis

BGSF disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGSF reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BGSF Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$152.63M21.7911.08%2.55%-12.65%368.36%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$57.34M-7.36-14.43%41.67%-36.79%-507.05%
56
Neutral
$82.23M-867.50-0.08%1.24%97.14%
51
Neutral
$22.23M-0.64-51.65%-15.43%-43.45%
50
Neutral
$79.22M-5.45-12.89%-9.13%-1032.39%
42
Neutral
$5.81M-0.58-78.12%-7.26%-1.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGSF
BGSF
5.58
1.74
45.31%
DHX
DHI Group
1.62
-0.68
-29.57%
JOB
GEE Group
0.20
-0.03
-12.88%
MHH
Mastech Holdings
6.94
-7.34
-51.40%
IPDN
Professional Diversity
1.15
-3.35
-74.44%
HQI
HireQuest
10.99
-2.04
-15.66%

BGSF Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
BGSF Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 5, 2025, BGSF, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where key amendments to its incentive and stock purchase plans were approved, increasing the number of shares available for issuance by 250,000 each. The meeting also saw the election of Class II directors and the ratification of Whitley Penn LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 28, 2025. Additionally, stockholders approved executive compensation and decided on an annual frequency for ‘Say-on-pay’ votes.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGSF) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGSF stock, see the BGSF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
BGSF Announces $5 Million Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 5, 2025, BGSF, Inc. announced a stock repurchase program of up to $5 million, reflecting confidence in its long-term strategy. The company reported a 14.4% increase in revenues for Q3 2025 compared to Q2, driven by seasonal demand, and improved financial performance with a reduced net loss. The company is focusing on strategic initiatives, including AI-powered technologies, to enhance efficiency and drive future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGSF) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGSF stock, see the BGSF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026