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BGSF (BGSF)
NYSE:BGSF

BGSF (BGSF) AI Stock Analysis

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BGSF

BGSF

(NYSE:BGSF)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(44.44% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and deteriorated cash generation) despite an improved, low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend across major moving averages, and the earnings call added modest support via 2026 growth guidance and cost-reduction progress. Valuation is mixed: a negative P/E reflects current losses, while the very high dividend yield may be harder to sustain given recent cash flow softness.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / Debt-Free
Eliminating debt materially reduces solvency and refinancing risk, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund operations, invest in PropTech/AI, and return capital (special dividend and buybacks) without relying on external credit markets. This supports multi‑quarter stability.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Contraction
A nearly 50% revenue decline erodes scale benefits in staffing (lower utilization and spread), making fixed costs harder to absorb and reducing resilience to shocks. Restoring prior scale will take multiple quarters, and persistent top‑line weakness undermines margin recovery and cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage / Debt-Free
Eliminating debt materially reduces solvency and refinancing risk, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund operations, invest in PropTech/AI, and return capital (special dividend and buybacks) without relying on external credit markets. This supports multi‑quarter stability.
Read all positive factors

BGSF (BGSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BGSF Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BGSF, Inc. provides workforce solutions and placement services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Real Estate and Professional. The Real Estate segment offers office and maintenance field talent to various apartment communities and...
How the Company Makes Money
BGSF primarily makes money by supplying labor to client companies and charging fees that exceed its direct labor costs. The largest recurring revenue stream is typically contract/temporary staffing: BGSF recruits and employs (or co-employs, depend...

BGSF Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a constructive strategic reset: management completed a transformative divestiture, eliminated debt, returned capital to shareholders, implemented meaningful cost reductions, and launched growth initiatives (PropTech partnership and AI enhancements). These actions produced early operational improvement (reduced adjusted EBITDA loss, stabilized adjusted gross margin) and management expects mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2026 with positive early-month trends. However, near-term challenges remain, including a 9.4% Q4 revenue decline, continued (though reduced) adjusted EBITDA loss, low operating cash flow (partly offset by escrow), and one-time/out-of-period charges affecting 2025 comparability. On balance, the strategic progress and clear roadmap outweigh the current operating headwinds.
Positive Updates
Corporate Restructuring and Capital Return
Completed sale of the professional division, retired all outstanding debt, returned capital via a $2.00 per share special dividend, and announced a $5.0 million share buyback program — refocusing the company as a solely property-management staffing business.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Fourth-quarter revenue was $22.0M, a 9.4% year-over-year decline driven by lower billed hours and weak demand as property management customers faced cost pressures.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Corporate Restructuring and Capital Return
Completed sale of the professional division, retired all outstanding debt, returned capital via a $2.00 per share special dividend, and announced a $5.0 million share buyback program — refocusing the company as a solely property-management staffing business.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to mid‑single‑digit revenue growth for fiscal 2026 versus 2025 and reiterated that the company is now a debt‑free, cash‑strong, solely property‑management staffing business with the TSA expected to conclude by April/end of Q1; ongoing G&A is estimated at roughly $12.0M (public‑company costs ~ $2.0–2.5M) and annualized cost savings of about $1.0M from recent selling/G&A actions are expected to be fully realized in Q3. They noted early‑year sales (Jan/Feb) are slightly ahead of last year and launched a PropTech/Yardi initiative starting with 8–12 consultants targeting $1–2M of 2026 revenue. Key Q4 and FY2025 metrics cited on the call: Q4 revenue $22.0M (−9.4% YoY), gross profit $7.7M (35.0% margin; 35.6% adj excluding $147k workers’ comp), SG&A $9.3M (including $403k strategic review costs and ≈$460k out‑of‑period items), adjusted EBITDA loss $0.95M (vs. $1.6M LY), GAAP loss $0.11/share (adjusted loss $0.09/share), FY2025 operating cash flow $0.12M (includes $5.2M escrow expected to settle in Q2), capex $0.14M, and share repurchases of 522,000 shares for ≈$2.4M to date (plus a $2.00 special dividend paid and a $5.0M buyback authorization).

BGSF Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are under significant pressure: a sharp revenue contraction and a swing to operating/net losses with weakened cash generation (operating cash flow barely positive and free cash flow slightly negative). The key positive is materially lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03), which reduces solvency risk and provides flexibility, but profitability and cash conversion remain the main drag.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue93.31M272.50M313.17M298.42M239.03M
Gross Profit31.78M92.86M111.78M103.55M80.94M
EBITDA-7.80M8.98M589.00K20.34M18.23M
Net Income-7.71M-3.34M-10.22M25.36M14.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.84M150.11M178.52M194.67M148.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.02M353.00K0.000.00112.10K
Total Debt1.65M51.66M68.94M71.56M44.03M
Total Liabilities9.73M67.84M92.98M93.94M71.70M
Stockholders Equity48.10M82.27M85.54M100.74M76.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-25.00K22.74M17.79M-12.80M3.46M
Operating Cash Flow113.00K24.38M20.39M-7.12M6.66M
Investing Cash Flow91.20M-1.64M-9.51M-8.92M-7.02M
Financing Cash Flow-72.49M-22.39M-10.87M15.93M473.00K

BGSF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.50
Price Trends
50DMA
6.08
Negative
100DMA
5.41
Positive
200DMA
4.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
46.41
Neutral
STOCH
35.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGSF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.27, below the 50-day MA of 6.08, and below the 200-day MA of 4.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BGSF.

BGSF Risk Analysis

BGSF disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGSF reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BGSF Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$143.92M23.2510.52%2.55%-12.65%368.36%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$127.27M-5.14-13.17%-9.13%-1032.39%
59
Neutral
$68.25M-6.79-17.82%41.67%-36.79%-507.05%
55
Neutral
$74.83M134.640.69%1.24%97.14%
48
Neutral
$26.06M-35.64-51.65%-15.43%-43.45%
41
Neutral
$10.24M-0.54-78.12%-7.26%-1.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGSF
BGSF
6.07
3.92
182.33%
DHX
DHI Group
2.83
1.30
84.97%
JOB
GEE Group
0.24
0.05
30.22%
MHH
Mastech Holdings
6.31
-1.29
-16.97%
IPDN
Professional Diversity
1.00
-0.25
-20.00%
HQI
HireQuest
10.28
-0.18
-1.73%

BGSF Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BGSF Reports Q4 Results Amid Strategic Transformation Efforts
Negative
Mar 12, 2026
BGSF, Inc., a property management-focused staffing provider that markets itself as BG Staffing, serves apartment, luxury, and commercial properties in North America with trained talent and technology-driven solutions. The company leverages exclusi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026