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Nomura Holdings (NMR)
NYSE:NMR

Nomura Holdings (NMR) AI Stock Analysis

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NMR

Nomura Holdings

(NYSE:NMR)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-10.01% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is held back primarily by negative operating/free cash flow and high leverage, despite strong technical trend support, attractive valuation with a high dividend yield, and a generally positive earnings call highlighted by sustained ROE and a JPY 60bn buyback.
Positive Factors
Wealth Management recurring revenue & net inflows
Strong recurring revenue and sizable net inflows expand a stable fee base and reduce reliance on transaction-driven or trading income. Persistent inflows grow AUM and fee income predictability, deepen client relationships and cross-sell opportunities, supporting steadier earnings and resilience across market cycles over months.
Investment Management AUM scale
Significant AUM and the Macquarie acquisition materially enlarge the fee pool, providing scale economies, distribution breadth and margin leverage in investment management. Larger, diversified AUM smooths revenue volatility, supports recurring management fees and strengthens Nomura's global asset-gathering positioning for durable growth.
Capital strength and active capital management
A healthy CET1 ratio and explicit buyback demonstrate a cushion above regulatory minima and active capital allocation. This combination signals management confidence, preserves capacity to support client-facing businesses, and allows calibrated shareholder returns while retaining buffers to absorb market shocks over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High leverage / low equity ratio
Substantial leverage and a low equity ratio increase sensitivity to market losses and funding stress. High balance-sheet leverage limits strategic flexibility, raises regulatory and capital-management demands, and can require capital raising or de-risking under adverse conditions, posing a persistent structural vulnerability.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow point to weak cash generation despite accounting profits. Poor cash conversion constrains funding for buybacks, dividends, M&A or balance-sheet strengthening, increases reliance on wholesale funding and market-dependent income, and is a durable risk to financial flexibility if not remediated.
Rising expenses, integration and digital-asset losses
Higher recurring expenses, deferred-compensation accounting volatility, integration J-curve costs and sizeable digital-asset losses pressure margins and ROE. These items can persistently depress profitability and introduce earnings volatility as integration and newer business lines (digital assets) mature, affecting sustainable margin recovery.

Nomura Holdings (NMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nomura Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNomura Holdings, Inc. provides various financial services to individuals, corporations, financial institutions, governments, and governmental agencies worldwide. It operates through three segments: Retail, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Retail segment offers various financial products and investment services. As of March 31, 2022, this segment operated a network of 119 branches. The Investment Management segment engages in the management of funds, investment trusts, and other investment vehicles; and provision of investment advisory, custodial, and administrative services. The Wholesale segment is involved in the research, sale, trading, agency execution, and market-making of fixed income and equity-related products. It also engages in underwriting various securities and other financial instruments, such as various classes of shares, convertible and exchangeable securities, investment grade and high yield debts, sovereign and emerging market debts, structured securities, and other securities; arranging private placements, as well as other capital raising activities; and the provision of financial advisory services on business transactions comprising mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, spin-offs, capital structuring, corporate defense activities, leveraged buyouts, and risk solutions. In addition, this segment offers various financial instruments. The company was formerly known as The Nomura Securities Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nomura Holdings, Inc. in October 2001. Nomura Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNomura primarily makes money by earning fees and trading-related income across its main business lines. In its Wealth Management business, it generates revenue from brokerage commissions and transaction fees on client trading, fees from distribution of investment products (e.g., mutual funds and structured products), advisory and wrap/managed-account fees, and interest-related income (net interest margin) on client cash balances and margin/secured lending; it may also earn fees tied to custody and related client services. In Investment Management, revenue is largely management fees based on assets under management (AUM) across retail and institutional strategies, plus performance fees where applicable and permitted by mandate; earnings are influenced by market levels (which affect AUM), net flows, and performance. In its Wholesale/Institutional businesses (often encompassing Global Markets and Investment Banking), Nomura earns (1) investment banking fees for underwriting and arranging equity and debt offerings, advising on mergers, acquisitions, restructurings, and other corporate finance transactions, and (2) market/trading-related income from client facilitation, market making, and risk intermediation in fixed income, equities, currencies, and related derivatives; this can include commissions, bid-ask spreads, and gains/losses from trading and hedging activities. Across segments, additional revenue can come from financing activities such as securities lending, repurchase agreements, and other secured funding/prime services, as well as dividends and gains/losses on strategic investments where disclosed in financial statements. Key factors affecting earnings include client activity levels, capital markets issuance and M&A cycles, interest rate and credit conditions (impacting net interest income and trading), market volatility (which can raise client volumes but also increase risk), regulatory capital requirements, and the performance of managed assets. Significant partnerships or specific counterparties contributing to earnings are not consistently disclosed at a level of detail that can be stated comprehensively here; null.

Nomura Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial achievements — record or all-time highs in AUM, recurring revenue, wholesale and wealth management revenues, durable ROE and a capital position that supported a JPY 60 billion buyback — indicating robust underlying momentum. Near-term headwinds include one-off acquisition and integration costs, higher expenses (including deferred compensation accounting impacts), and volatility-related losses in the digital-asset business. On balance, the positive, broad-based fundamental performance and capital actions outweighed the transitory and identifiable lowlights.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Group Revenue Growth and Strong ROE
Group-wide net revenue of JPY 551.8 billion in Q3, up 7% quarter-on-quarter; return on equity 10.3% for Q3 and 10.8% on a 9-month basis, meeting the 2030 quantitative ROE target (8%–10%+) for the seventh consecutive quarter.
Four Main Divisions Delivered Record Pretax Income
Combined pretax income for the 4 main divisions rose 8% QoQ to JPY 142.9 billion, the highest level in 18.5 years; 9-month income before income taxes rose 15% year-on-year to JPY 432.1 billion and net income for 9 months rose 7% to JPY 288.2 billion.
Wealth Management Momentum and Net Inflows
Wealth Management net revenue increased 14% QoQ to JPY 132.5 billion and pretax income rose 29% QoQ to JPY 58.5 billion; recurring revenue reached an all-time high of JPY 52.7 billion and recurring revenue assets had a record net inflow of JPY 503.9 billion (recurring assets total JPY 28.1 trillion, all-time high).
Wholesale — Global Markets and Investment Banking Strength
Wholesale net revenue rose 12% QoQ to JPY 313.9 billion and pretax income rose 17% to JPY 62.3 billion; Global Markets net revenue +9% to JPY 256.8 billion, fixed income +12% to JPY 136.9 billion, equities +5% to JPY 119.9 billion, and Investment Banking net revenue surged 31% QoQ to JPY 57.1 billion (strongest since FY2017).
Investment Management AUM and Business Revenue Highs
Assets under management reached an all-time high of JPY 134.7 trillion at end-December; net inflows of JPY 115 billion (11th consecutive quarter of net inflows); business revenue (stable revenue) reached an all-time high of JPY 57.8 billion.
Share Buyback to Enhance Shareholder Returns
Announced a share buyback program running Feb 17–Sept 30 with an upper limit of 100 million shares and JPY 60 billion in amount to enhance shareholder return and capital efficiency.
Capital and Financial Position
Tier 1 capital of JPY 3.6 trillion (up JPY 60 billion QoQ), risk-weighted assets JPY 24 trillion (up JPY 700 billion), and common equity Tier 1 ratio at 12.8%.
Banking and Product Sales Positives
Banking net revenue rose 7% QoQ to JPY 13.7 billion and pretax income rose 31% to JPY 4.2 billion; total sales across products increased ~JPY 300 billion to JPY 6.6 trillion, with equities +4% and insurance sales remaining strong.
Negative Updates
Profit Impact from One-Time Acquisition Costs
Investment Management pretax income fell 42% QoQ to JPY 17.9 billion primarily due to acquisition-related one-time expenses (Macquarie transaction) and weaker investment gains; the acquired business added ~JPY 25 trillion AUM, JPY 7 billion business revenue and ~JPY 11 billion total expenses (including one-offs and amortization) for the reporting period.
Digital-Asset (Laser Digital) Losses and Volatility
Losses recorded in the 'Other' segment tied to digital asset market movements (impacted in Oct–Nov); Laser Digital experienced temporary negative earnings (referenced JPY ~10.6 billion loss in Europe discussion) and management highlighted elevated volatility and tightened position/risk controls to limit short-term fluctuations.
Rising Expenses and Deferred Compensation Accounting Impact
Group-wide expenses rose 10% QoQ to JPY 416.5 billion, driven by FX impact (JPY 9 billion), one-off costs (approx. JPY 13 billion) including acquisition-related costs and temporary changes to deferred compensation; deferred compensation accounting change added ~JPY 8 billion in Q3, similar impact expected in Q4, and a larger recognized impact (~JPY 15–16 billion) around the current fiscal year before normalizing thereafter.
Decline in Bond Sales in Wealth Management Product Mix
Within Wealth Management product sales, bonds registered a 25% decline quarter-on-quarter (yen-denominated bonds flat but foreign bond sales fell due to absence of primary deals from prior quarter).
Short-term Pressures in Some Markets and Businesses
Domestic rates business faced some slowdown due to increased volatility and fiscal concerns leading to occasional market dysfunction; Investment Banking and some businesses noted a slower start to January (seasonality expected to weigh on Q4 vs Q3).
Future Integration and Transition Costs
Expected transfer and integration-related costs for the Macquarie acquisition of roughly $100 million over the next two years (majority in the coming year), creating near-term J-curve pressure on Investment Management profits despite long-term synergy targets.
Company Guidance
Management reiterated continued momentum into Q4 while flagging one‑offs and accounting impacts: Q3 group net revenue was JPY 551.8bn (↑7% qoq), income before taxes JPY 135.2bn (‑1%), net income JPY 91.6bn (‑1%), EPS JPY 30.19 and ROE 10.3% (9‑month ROE 10.8%); nine‑month income before taxes JPY 432.1bn (↑15% y/y), net income JPY 288.2bn (↑7%), EPS JPY 94.67. Business guidance highlighted Wealth Management net revenue JPY 132.5bn (↑14% qoq) and pretax JPY 58.5bn (↑29%) with recurring revenue JPY 52.7bn, net inflows to recurring assets JPY 503.9bn and recurring assets at JPY 28.1trn; Investment Management net revenue JPY 60.9bn (flat) and pretax JPY 17.9bn (‑42%) but AUM at JPY 134.7trn and net inflows JPY 115bn; Wholesale net revenue JPY 313.9bn (↑12%) with Global Markets JPY 256.8bn (↑9%), fixed income JPY 136.9bn (↑12%), equities JPY 119.9bn (↑5%) and Investment Banking JPY 57.1bn (↑31%); Banking net revenue JPY 13.7bn (↑7%) and pretax JPY 4.2bn (↑31%). Capital/costs: Tier 1 JPY 3.6trn (↑JPY 60bn), RWA JPY 24trn (↑JPY 700bn), CET1 ratio 12.8%; group expenses JPY 416.5bn (↑10% / JPY 37.7bn) including FX JPY 9bn and one‑offs JPY 13bn. They announced a share buyback (Feb 17–Sep 30) up to 100m shares / JPY 60bn; signalled January trends of WM revenue roughly flat vs Q3, GM broadly in line and IB slightly slower but with a solid pipeline; disclosed deferred‑comp impacts of ~JPY 8bn in Q3 and similar in Q4 with a peak ~JPY 15–16bn before normalisation; the Macquarie asset management consolidation added ~JPY 25trn AUM with ~JPY 7bn revenue / JPY 5bn operating costs (≈JPY 11bn total) and ~$100m expected integration costs over two years; and noted Laser Digital losses (≈JPY 10bn in EMEA) with tighter position limits to curb short‑term volatility while pursuing medium‑term growth.

Nomura Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (revenue growth 13.52%, healthy gross margin 36.89%) is offset by balance-sheet leverage (debt-to-equity 9.03) and weak cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow), raising liquidity and risk-management concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Nomura Holdings shows a strong revenue growth rate of 13.52% in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy at 36.89%, and the net profit margin is stable at 7.56%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 10.47% and 11.84%, respectively, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 9.03, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity is moderate at 9.82%, reflecting decent profitability. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Nomura Holdings faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.36T4.51T3.97T2.30T1.37T1.41T
Gross Profit1.76T1.66T1.38T1.14T1.14T1.20T
EBITDA532.95B533.62B335.19B210.90B286.15B294.52B
Net Income370.05B340.74B165.86B92.79B143.00B153.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.37T56.80T55.15T47.77T43.41T42.52T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.65T5.51T5.15T4.52T3.64T4.16T
Total Debt31.79T31.35T30.96T26.15T23.48T23.30T
Total Liabilities56.76T53.22T51.70T44.55T40.44T39.76T
Stockholders Equity3.49T3.47T3.35T3.15T2.91T2.69T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-868.58B-13.14B-865.99B-974.16B545.89B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-678.61B132.64B-694.82B-862.83B665.77B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-848.65B-887.94B-233.22B-593.18B-139.03B
Financing Cash Flow0.001.68T1.01T1.28T1.11T-269.93B

Nomura Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.89
Price Trends
50DMA
8.77
Negative
100DMA
8.21
Negative
200DMA
7.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Positive
RSI
32.64
Neutral
STOCH
31.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.29, above the 50-day MA of 8.77, and above the 200-day MA of 7.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NMR.

Nomura Holdings Risk Analysis

Nomura Holdings disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nomura Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nomura Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$28.05B14.0616.94%1.26%6.45%5.85%
69
Neutral
$252.36B16.5415.45%2.14%7.22%48.18%
69
Neutral
$163.45B20.0017.91%1.07%5.90%66.60%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$22.34B10.5410.23%4.76%-1.61%37.04%
64
Neutral
$239.03B16.0013.81%1.55%2.31%44.49%
60
Neutral
$23.08B32.5618.57%0.32%35.19%-18.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMR
Nomura Holdings
7.59
1.07
16.41%
LPLA
LPL Financial
288.16
-45.16
-13.55%
MS
Morgan Stanley
158.93
41.61
35.47%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
142.34
2.46
1.76%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
93.28
15.67
20.18%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
805.48
254.22
46.12%

Nomura Holdings Corporate Events

Nomura Details Progress of ¥60 Billion Share Buyback Program in February 2026
Mar 12, 2026

Nomura Holdings disclosed a February 2026 share buyback update, detailing repurchases of 7,913,300 common shares between February 17 and February 27 for a total of about ¥11.3 billion. This activity is part of a board-approved program from January 30, 2026, authorizing up to 100 million shares or ¥60 billion in repurchases through September 30, 2026, with progress by February 28 reaching 7.9% of the share cap and 18.8% of the monetary limit.

The report also shows that during February there were no dispositions of treasury shares except for 2,400 shares issued on February 5 upon exercise of stock acquisition rights, and no cancellations or transfers tied to corporate actions. As of February 28, 2026, Nomura had 3,163,562,601 issued shares and 237,217,891 shares held in treasury, underscoring an ongoing capital management effort likely aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing its balance sheet structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Wins Board Approval for ¥60 Billion Share Buyback Program
Feb 12, 2026

Nomura Holdings reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 12, 2026 that it had authorized a substantial share repurchase program but had not yet executed any buybacks during the period from January 1 to January 31, 2026. As of January 31, 2026, the board-approved mandate allowed for the repurchase of up to 100 million shares for as much as ¥60 billion between February 17 and September 30, 2026, while the group’s treasury stock stood at 229,306,283 shares out of 3,163,562,601 issued shares, and only 24,600 shares were disposed in January through the exercise of stock acquisition rights, signaling a potentially significant future capital-management move once the program begins.

The filing shows that, although no buybacks had taken place by the end of January, Nomura has created capacity for meaningful shareholder returns via repurchases later in 2026. Investors will likely view the large authorization, equivalent to a notable slice of its free float, as a supportive signal for capital efficiency and earnings-per-share accretion, while the modest January share dispositions mainly reflect routine equity compensation and stock option exercises rather than any strategic shift in ownership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Posts Higher Nine-Month Earnings as Assets and Risk Exposure Rise
Feb 6, 2026

In a Form 6-K filed on February 6, 2026, Nomura Holdings reported results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, posting net revenue of 1,590.5 billion yen, up 10.5% year-on-year, and net income attributable to shareholders of 288.2 billion yen, with basic earnings per share of 97.73 yen and a return on equity of 10.8%. The group’s total assets rose to 61.9 trillion yen and total equity to 3.8 trillion yen, driven mainly by higher trading assets and retained earnings, while risk-weighted assets climbed to 24,155 billion yen, leading to modestly lower capital ratios despite an increase in total capital to 3,825 billion yen; Tier 1 and Common Equity Tier 1 ratios stood at 15.0% and 12.8%, respectively, on preliminary figures, and value at risk increased 63.2% to 6.2 billion yen, highlighting higher market risk exposure. Nomura also reported a global workforce of 28,601 employees as of December 31, 2025, and solid growth in its Wealth Management segment, where net revenue and income before income taxes both improved versus the prior-year period, underscoring continued strength in its core domestic franchise even as higher trading activities and rising credit risk reshape its capital and risk profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Delivers Record Segment Earnings and Record AuM in Q3 FY2025/26, Launches Share Buyback and Capital Actions
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Nomura reported strong consolidated results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with net revenue rising 7% quarter on quarter and 10% year on year to ¥551.8 billion and net income of ¥91.6 billion, while nine‑month net revenue climbed 10% and pretax income 15% from the prior year period. Return on equity reached 10.3% for the quarter—its seventh consecutive quarter at or above the 8–10% target range—driven by the highest four‑segment pretax income in over 18 years, record recurring and flow revenues in Wealth Management, all‑time‑high assets under management of ¥134.7 trillion in Investment Management following the acquisition of Macquarie’s U.S. and European public asset management business, robust Global Markets and record Investment Banking revenues, and steady loan and investment trust growth in Banking, underscoring a structural shift toward more stable, diversified earnings. At the same time, Investment Management pretax income declined quarter on quarter due to lower investment gains and one‑off acquisition costs, and Nomura also disclosed it has approved a share buyback program, plans to cancel a portion of its own shares, and will change a specified subsidiary, moves that signal active capital management and ongoing portfolio reshaping for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Elevates Delaware Management Company to Specified Subsidiary After Macquarie Asset Management Deal
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Nomura Holdings reported that Delaware Management Company (DMC), a U.S.-based investment management and advisory firm, has become a specified subsidiary after Nomura completed the acquisition of Macquarie Group’s U.S. and European public asset management business. As part of this transaction, effective December 1, 2025, Nomura acquired 100% of DMC’s voting rights, lifting DMC’s share capital to at least 10% of Nomura’s own capital and triggering its reclassification under Japanese regulations. DMC, which has shown stable net assets and profitability over the past three fiscal years, will have its consolidated financial results incorporated into Nomura’s consolidated accounts from the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, underscoring Nomura’s push to scale its global asset management operations and deepen its presence in Western markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit and Expands Balance Sheet Amid Market Uncertainty
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Nomura Holdings reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, showing a 10.5% year-on-year rise in net revenue to ¥1.59 trillion and a 15.5% increase in income before income taxes to ¥432.1 billion, while net income attributable to shareholders climbed 7.2% to ¥288.2 billion and annualized return on equity edged up to 10.8%. Total assets expanded to ¥61.9 trillion and shareholders’ equity per share rose to ¥1,244.72, though the equity-to-asset ratio dipped slightly to 5.9%, cash dividends for the current fiscal year remain partially unconfirmed, and Nomura continues to refrain from issuing earnings forecasts amid global market uncertainties; the company also disclosed a change in its consolidation scope with the inclusion of Delaware Management Company as a specified subsidiary.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Publishes Updated Corporate Governance Report and Reaffirms Strategic Shareholding Cuts
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Nomura Holdings filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to furnish an English translation of its Corporate Governance Report, originally submitted the same day to the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The report underscores that Nomura fully complies with all principles of Japan’s Corporate Governance Code, highlights its established Corporate Governance Guidelines and Group Code of Conduct, and details policies on strategic shareholdings, related-party transactions, and diversity and inclusion. The firm reiterates its long-running program to reduce strategic shareholdings, targeting a 25% reduction in the number of such holdings between April 1, 2022 and March 31, 2027, and outlines governance processes such as biannual reviews by an Investment Securities Committee and Board oversight. It also describes ongoing initiatives to promote diversity, particularly in advancing female employees to managerial roles, and to foster a work environment that leverages a multinational workforce to strengthen competitiveness and risk management, reinforcing Nomura’s efforts to enhance transparency, accountability, and sustainable growth for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Nears Completion of ¥60 Billion Share Buyback Program by Year-End 2025
Jan 14, 2026

Nomura Holdings, Inc. filed a Form 6-K on January 14, 2026, disclosing an English translation of its Share Buyback Report for the period from December 1 to December 31, 2025. The report shows that under a board-authorized buyback program approved on April 25, 2025—permitting repurchases of up to 100 million shares or ¥60 billion between May 15 and December 30, 2025—Nomura did not repurchase any shares in December, but had cumulatively bought back 66,790,900 shares for ¥59,999,913,930 by the end of the month, effectively reaching the full monetary limit of the program with 66.8% of the authorized share volume used. During December 2025, the company disposed of a modest 9,023 treasury shares, mainly through exercises of stock acquisition rights and purchases of small, less-than-full-unit shareholdings, and it reported that as of December 31, 2025 it held 229,328,518 treasury shares out of 3,163,562,601 issued shares, underscoring active capital management and a substantial level of buybacks that may support shareholder value and capital efficiency metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Trust and Banking Plans Acquisition of Alpen Stake via Impact Neutralization Trust
Dec 29, 2025

On December 24, 2025, Nomura Trust and Banking Co., Ltd., an affiliate of Nomura Holdings, announced plans to acquire shares of sporting goods and outdoor retailer Alpen Co., Ltd. under a trust agreement related to an Impact Neutralization Trust dated the same day. The planned purchase, scheduled for the period from December 26, 2025 to January 7, 2026, covers 25,000 voting rights, corresponding to roughly 6.48% of Alpen’s total voting rights based on figures as of June 30, 2025, with the final stake subject to market conditions and other factors. The move signals Nomura’s continued use of trust structures in its investment activities and could modestly increase its influence over Alpen’s governance while illustrating the firm’s broader strategic focus on structured, impact-related financial products.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMR) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Holdings stock, see the NMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026