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NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ)
NYSE:NIQ
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NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
(NYSE:NIQ)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-7.68% Downside)
NIQ's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators, offset by significant financial performance challenges and a weak valuation. The company's growth potential is promising, but financial risks and lack of profitability weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Strategic Use of AI
Leveraging AI enhances data capabilities and operational efficiency, providing a competitive edge and positioning NIQ for sustainable growth.
Revenue Growth Rate
A strong revenue growth rate reflects successful market penetration and product adoption, indicating robust business fundamentals.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting strategic flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Negative Profitability
Persistent unprofitability suggests operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates cash generation challenges, which may affect the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.02B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.57M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.87
Revenue Growth3.77%
EPS Growth35.36%
CountryUS
Employees38,625
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryInformation Technology Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding295,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume1,135,573
30 Day Avg. Volume1,573,704
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.14
Price to Book (P/B)18.14
Price to Sales (P/S)1.13
P/FCF Ratio-20.01
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$21.07Price Target Upside25.50% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionNIQ Global Intelligence Plc is a consumer intelligence company that provides an AI-powered platform for analyzing shopping data. Its services offer insights into global consumer behavior, supporting strategic and operational decisions for brands, retailers, and other clients. The company operates across three geographical segments: the Americas (North and Latin America), EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa), and APAC (Asia and the western Pacific). NIQ was founded on June 6, 2017, and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.
How the Company Makes MoneyNIQ generates revenue primarily through the sale of subscription-based analytics and market research services to businesses across different industries. Its key revenue streams include recurring subscriptions for access to its comprehensive data insights, one-time research projects, and consulting services tailored to specific client needs. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with various technology firms and industry players, which enhance its data offerings and expand its market reach. These partnerships often lead to joint initiatives and co-branded solutions, further contributing to NIQ's revenue growth.
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant growth across key regions and a successful integration of AI into operations, leading to enhanced margins and efficiency. While challenges such as increased operational expenses and some integration issues were noted, the overall outlook remains positive with raised guidance and expected future margin expansion.Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Q3 Expectations
NIQ reported a 5.8% organic constant currency revenue growth, 21% margins up 300 basis points, and $224 million of levered free cash flow, beating expectations across the board.
Strong Regional Growth
EMEA and Americas regions reported 8.8% and 4.1% growth respectively on an organic constant currency basis, with particular strength in EMEA driven by Intelligent Solutions.
Intelligence and Activation Revenue Growth
Intelligence revenue grew 6.6% in organic constant currency, with a robust client pipeline for Activation revenue, indicating strong demand and adoption of new products.
AI-Driven Efficiency and Innovation
AI-powered automation contributed to margin expansion in Q3 2025, with further expectations of margin improvements in 2026. AI is being rapidly embedded across solutions, enhancing revenue growth and operating efficiencies.
Raised Financial Guidance
The company raised its 2025 guidance, expecting significant margin expansion and positive free cash flow for the full year, marking a $20 million improvement against previous forecasts.
Negative Updates
Operational Expense Increase
Total operating expenses increased by $89.3 million or 8.9% year-over-year, driven primarily by a $50 million onetime stock-based compensation charge related to the IPO.
Sequential Margin Trends in Americas and APAC
There was a slight deceleration in organic growth in the Americas due to challenging year-over-year comps, and continued investment in APAC impacted margins.
GfK Integration Challenges
Integration of GfK business showed some operational challenges, particularly in AR and DSO timing, though improvements were noted in Q3.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, NIQ reported impressive financial results that exceeded expectations, marking a significant step forward in their multiyear transformation. The company achieved 5.8% organic constant currency revenue growth, with EMEA and Americas contributing 8.8% and 4.1% growth, respectively. Intelligence revenue also grew 6.6%, driven by strong omnichannel product adoption. Additionally, NIQ expanded its adjusted EBITDA margin by 300 basis points to 21.3%, achieving $223.7 million in adjusted EBITDA, marking a 25% growth. The quarter also saw $224 million in levered free cash flow, reaching most of their second-half guidance in Q3 alone, and pushing the company towards a breakeven position for the full year. The company attributed these achievements to strong pricing strategies, innovation, and AI-driven efficiencies, with a focus on AI's role in enhancing data capabilities and operational efficiencies, which are expected to drive further margin expansion in 2026.NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC is experiencing revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and financial stability. High debt levels and negative profitability metrics suggest potential financial risk. Improvements in cash flow are noted, but leverage and operational efficiency need addressing.Income Statement
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the past years, with a notable revenue growth rate of 19.91% from 2023 to 2024. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively stable at around 55%, but the negative net income and EBIT suggest operational challenges.Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 17.46 in 2024, indicating significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.Cash Flow
NIQ's cash flow statement shows a negative free cash flow, although there has been some improvement in operating cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. Despite these issues, the operating cash flow has turned positive, which is a positive sign for liquidity.| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.90B | 3.97B | 3.34B | 2.79B | -13.09M | 14.11M |
| Gross Profit | 1.62B | 2.20B | 1.83B | 1.40B | -13.09M | 14.11M |
| EBITDA | 441.15M | 316.80M | 241.30M | 154.80M | -12.66M | 14.48M |
| Net Income | -260.28M | -810.50M | -574.70M | -297.60M | -13.27M | 13.94M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.83B | 6.37B | 7.38B | 3.86B | 233.93M | 254.19M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 259.50M | 263.80M | 282.40M | 144.50M | 1.01M | 2.70M |
| Total Debt | 4.79B | 4.33B | 4.44B | 2.31B | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 6.42B | 5.88B | 6.05B | 3.32B | 57.71M | 58.31M |
| Stockholders Equity | 168.50M | 248.00M | 1.08B | 540.30M | 176.22M | 195.88M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -46.93M | -224.80M | -283.50M | -244.20M | 4.75M | 8.26M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 121.32M | 73.90M | -10.90M | 61.40M | 4.75M | 8.26M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -139.47M | 9.60M | -1.70B | -430.90M | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | 200.59M | -67.10M | 1.90B | 296.70M | -6.44M | -5.99M |
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $3.79B | 66.05 | 11.81% | ― | 44.34% | 45.96% | |
71 Outperform | $4.82B | 14.29 | 23.75% | 1.69% | -0.38% | 31.38% | |
70 Outperform | $4.91B | 16.99 | 7.51% | 1.39% | 7.06% | -8.83% | |
63 Neutral | $3.66B | 72.56 | 11.49% | ― | 8.52% | -45.92% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
60 Neutral | $8.26B | -58.73 | -32.13% | ― | 15.30% | 1.87% | |
54 Neutral | $5.02B | -11.02 | ― | ― | 3.77% | 35.36% |
* Technology Sector Average
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
16.79
-2.95
-14.94%
SAIC
Science Applications
111.98
-2.98
-2.59%
VRRM
Verra Mobility
23.19
-1.33
-5.42%
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
31.94
23.65
285.28%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
30.43
0.18
0.60%
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
20.92
1.48
7.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.