NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ)
NYSE:NIQ
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NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
(NYSE:NIQ)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-1.03% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
NIQ scores mid-range primarily because financial performance is improving but still constrained by high leverage and incomplete profitability. The latest earnings call adds meaningful support via credible 2026 margin/FCF/deleveraging guidance and strong AI/recurring-revenue indicators. Offsetting factors are weak technical trend signals and limited valuation support given the negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue & high retention
Consistent subscription growth and strong retention (105% net, 98% gross) indicate durable, contract‑based revenue that supports predictable cash flows and reduces customer churn risk. This recurring base improves visibility for margins and funding of strategic investments over multiple years.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
Material leverage constrains strategic optionality and increases vulnerability to higher rates or slower cash conversion. Significant interest and principal obligations limit capital flexibility for M&A, share repurchases, or buffers in downturns, prolonging recovery if growth weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring revenue & high retention
Consistent subscription growth and strong retention (105% net, 98% gross) indicate durable, contract‑based revenue that supports predictable cash flows and reduces customer churn risk. This recurring base improves visibility for margins and funding of strategic investments over multiple years.
Read all positive factors
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.43B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.40M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.76
Revenue Growth3.77%
EPS Growth35.36%
CountryUS
Employees38,625
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryInformation Technology Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.20
Shares Outstanding295,107,480
10 Day Avg. Volume1,544,672
30 Day Avg. Volume1,398,759
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.65
Price to Book (P/B)4.45
Price to Sales (P/S)1.05
P/FCF Ratio16.67
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.96
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.66
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.88
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.46
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$19.44Price Target Upside67.30% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)0.97
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.45B
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc is a consumer intelligence company that provides an AI-powered platform for analyzing shopping data. Its services offer insights into global consumer behavior, supporting strategic and operational decisions for brands, ...
How the Company Makes Money
NIQ primarily makes money by selling access to its data, measurement products, and analytics capabilities to business customers—typically consumer goods manufacturers, retailers, and other industry participants—under contract-based arrangements. A...
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted a strong 2025 execution: mid-single-digit organic revenue growth, notable margin expansion, improving free cash flow and clear AI-driven revenue and efficiency momentum. Management set constructive 2026 targets (higher margins, FCF, and deleveraging) and articulated a credible AI and product strategy leveraging a large proprietary data moat. Near-term headwinds include flat activation revenue due to timing, modest APAC growth, and upfront restructuring/onetime costs for a cost optimization program. On balance, the positives — recurring revenue strength, AI adoption signals, significant margin and cash-flow improvement, and disciplined capital allocation — outweigh the challenges.Positive Updates
Solid FY and Q4 Revenue Growth
FY2025 organic constant currency revenue grew 5.7%; Q4 organic constant currency revenue grew 5.7% to $1.1B, reflecting durable top-line momentum versus prior year.
Negative Updates
Activation Revenue Stalled
Activation revenue was flat in 2025 due to varied project timing and client execution cadence despite strong pipeline and high retention; conversion depends on client-side factors and improved go-to-market execution.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Solid FY and Q4 Revenue Growth
FY2025 organic constant currency revenue grew 5.7%; Q4 organic constant currency revenue grew 5.7% to $1.1B, reflecting durable top-line momentum versus prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NIQ's 2026 guidance calls for organic constant-currency revenue growth of ~5.0–5.3% (reported revenue +5.7–6.0%), adjusted EBITDA growth of 14–16% with adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.5–23.8% (≈+200 bps y/y at the midpoint), levered free cash flow of $235–$250 million and net leverage below 3.0x by year-end. For Q1 the company expects reported revenue +8.6–8.9% (organic CC +4.5–4.8%), adjusted EBITDA growth +16–18% with a margin of ~20.9–21.1% and adjusted EPS $0.08–$0.10 (vs a $0.05 loss in Q1 2025); full-year adjusted EPS is guided to $0.95–$0.99 (vs $0.23 in 2025). Supplemental assumptions include D&A of $614–619 million (~14% of revenue), GAAP net interest $230–235 million, income tax $165–170 million (~16% of adj. EBITDA), diluted share count ~300 million, CapEx ~6.5–7% of revenue, and a 2026 cost-optimization program with $50–60 million of one‑time costs (mostly cash) to achieve $55–65 million of annual run‑rate savings, largely realized within a year.NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | May 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.20B | 3.97B | 3.34B | 2.79B | -13.09M |
| Gross Profit | 2.34B | 2.20B | 1.83B | 1.40B | -13.09M |
| EBITDA | 740.30M | 316.80M | 241.30M | 154.80M | -12.66M |
| Net Income | -74.30M | -810.50M | -574.70M | -297.60M | -13.27M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 6.80B | 6.37B | 7.38B | 3.86B | 233.93M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 518.80M | 263.80M | 282.40M | 144.50M | 1.01M |
| Total Debt | 3.87B | 4.33B | 4.44B | 2.31B | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 5.58B | 5.88B | 6.05B | 3.32B | 57.71M |
| Stockholders Equity | 988.40M | 248.00M | 1.08B | 540.30M | 176.22M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 264.00M | -224.80M | -283.50M | -244.20M | 4.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 298.70M | 73.90M | -10.90M | 61.40M | 4.75M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -235.60M | 9.60M | -1.70B | -430.90M | 0.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | 177.30M | -67.10M | 1.90B | 296.70M | -6.44M |
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Risk Analysis
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NIQ Global Intelligence PLC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $3.14B | 61.03 | 12.67% | ― | 44.34% | 45.96% | |
67 Neutral | $6.30B | 15.81 | 8.07% | 1.39% | 7.06% | -8.83% | |
64 Neutral | $4.25B | 13.47 | 23.73% | 1.69% | -0.38% | 31.38% | |
64 Neutral | $2.24B | 26.08 | 40.55% | ― | 8.52% | -45.92% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
55 Neutral | $3.43B | -59.24 | -93.15% | ― | 3.77% | 35.36% | |
48 Neutral | $7.77B | -107.37 | -16.23% | ― | 15.30% | 1.87% |
* Technology Sector Average
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
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NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NIQ Global Intelligence Announces COO Resignation, Leadership Realignment
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026
On January 30, 2026, NIQ Global Intelligence PLC announced that Chief Operating Officer Tracey Massey had resigned from her role for personal reasons, with the company clarifying that her departure did not stem from any disagreement over its opera...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.