NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ)
NYSE:NIQ
Want to see NIQ full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
(NYSE:NIQ)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-22.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is primarily constrained by financial risk (high leverage and ongoing net losses) despite improving cash generation and solid revenue growth. The latest earnings call is supportive with raised/reaffirmed growth and margin guidance plus a deleveraging plan, but technicals remain weak with the stock below major moving averages. Valuation is limited by negative earnings and the lack of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription revenue & retention
High subscription scale and retention create durable, predictable revenue and reduce churn-driven volatility. With $2.9B annualized subscription revenue and NDR >100%, NIQ can rely on sticky cashflows to fund growth initiatives, support cross-sell, and smooth cyclicality over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High leverage and constrained balance sheet
Material leverage limits financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to rising rates or slower cash conversion. With debt near $3.8B and equity under $1B, NIQ faces meaningful interest and refinancing risk that could constrain strategic investments or force deeper cost actions if free cash flow underperforms.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring subscription revenue & retention
High subscription scale and retention create durable, predictable revenue and reduce churn-driven volatility. With $2.9B annualized subscription revenue and NDR >100%, NIQ can rely on sticky cashflows to fund growth initiatives, support cross-sell, and smooth cyclicality over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.49B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.56M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.57
Revenue Growth8.26%
EPS Growth46.45%
CountryUS
Employees38,625
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryInformation Technology Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.92
Shares Outstanding295,136,350
10 Day Avg. Volume2,162,403
30 Day Avg. Volume1,560,836
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.21
Price to Book (P/B)4.45
Price to Sales (P/S)1.05
P/FCF Ratio184.16
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.40
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.39
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.66
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.36
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$15.33Price Target Upside31.62% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)0.98
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.47B
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc is a consumer intelligence company that provides an AI-powered platform for analyzing shopping data. Its services offer insights into global consumer behavior, supporting strategic and operational decisions for brands, ...
How the Company Makes Money
NIQ primarily makes money by selling access to its consumer and retail measurement data and related analytics/insights solutions to business customers, typically under contracted, recurring subscription arrangements. Key revenue streams generally ...
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted multiple operational and financial positives: consistent organic growth (5%+ OCC for nine quarters), strong adjusted EBITDA expansion (19.1% YoY) and margin improvement, robust subscription and retention metrics, accelerating AI product adoption and demonstrable client impact, meaningful commercial wins and improved liquidity. Near-term headwinds include APAC weakness (notably China), substantial one-time restructuring and AI integration costs (~$65M–$75M full-year), and elevated net leverage (≈3.4x) that management plans to reduce to <3x by year-end. Management reaffirmed guidance, raised FX-driven reported revenue/EBITDA expectations, and articulated a credible long-term path to higher margins via AI-driven revenue growth and cost efficiencies. On balance the positives — growth, margin expansion, AI momentum and cash generation trajectory — materially outweigh the regional and near-term cost/turnaround issues.Positive Updates
Organic and Reported Revenue Growth
Reported revenue grew 11.1% year-over-year to $1.1 billion; organic constant-currency (OCC) revenue growth was 5.1% in Q1. Management has delivered 5%+ OCC growth for nine consecutive quarters and reaffirmed full-year OCC guidance of ~5.0%–5.3%.
Negative Updates
APAC Revenue Decline and China Challenges
APAC revenue declined 3.6% on an organic constant-currency basis in Q1. Management described early-stage turnaround efforts in the region and noted specific challenges in China that required improvements to retailer relationships and data coverage.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Organic and Reported Revenue Growth
Reported revenue grew 11.1% year-over-year to $1.1 billion; organic constant-currency (OCC) revenue growth was 5.1% in Q1. Management has delivered 5%+ OCC growth for nine consecutive quarters and reaffirmed full-year OCC guidance of ~5.0%–5.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NIQ gave Q2 guidance of reported revenue growth ~6.0–6.3%, organic constant‑currency (OCC) revenue growth ~4.9–5.2%, adjusted EBITDA growth 12–14% with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.0–22.2%, and adjusted EPS of $0.19–$0.21. For full‑year 2026 (revised up for FX) they expect reported revenue growth ~6.4–6.7%, OCC revenue growth ~5.0–5.3%, adjusted EBITDA growth 14–16% with margins of 23.5–23.8%, and adjusted EPS of $0.95–$0.99. They forecast levered free cash flow of $235–$250M, aim to deleverage to below 3.0x net leverage by year‑end (from ~3.4x), expect full‑year restructuring costs of $65–$75M (mostly in Q2) tied to AI integration, and project $70–$80M of annualized run‑rate savings by end‑2026. Other modelling assumptions include D&A $614–$619M (~14% of revenue), GAAP net interest expense ~16% of adjusted EBITDA (implying ~$230–$235M), income tax expense $165–$170M, diluted shares ~300M, and CapEx ≈6.5–7% of revenue.NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | May 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.31B | 4.20B | 3.97B | 3.34B | 2.79B | -13.09M |
| Gross Profit | 2.25B | 2.34B | 2.20B | 1.83B | 1.40B | -13.09M |
| EBITDA | 813.20M | 752.10M | 316.80M | 241.30M | 154.80M | -12.66M |
| Net Income | -335.00M | -353.30M | -810.50M | -574.70M | -297.60M | -13.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.75B | 6.80B | 6.37B | 7.38B | 3.86B | 233.93M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 362.30M | 518.80M | 263.80M | 282.40M | 144.50M | 1.01M |
| Total Debt | 3.82B | 3.87B | 4.33B | 4.44B | 2.31B | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 5.59B | 5.58B | 5.88B | 6.05B | 3.32B | 57.71M |
| Stockholders Equity | 915.90M | 988.40M | 248.00M | 1.08B | 540.30M | 176.22M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 114.89M | 23.90M | -224.80M | -283.50M | -244.20M | 4.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 398.28M | 298.70M | 73.90M | -10.90M | 61.40M | 4.75M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -298.42M | -235.60M | 9.60M | -1.70B | -430.90M | 0.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | -18.52M | 177.30M | -67.10M | 1.90B | 296.70M | -6.44M |
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Risk Analysis
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NIQ Global Intelligence PLC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $2.95B | 38.22 | 13.47% | ― | 33.01% | 44.89% | |
68 Neutral | $4.15B | 13.47 | 23.73% | 1.69% | -2.90% | 6.89% | |
66 Neutral | $5.97B | 13.17 | 8.61% | 1.39% | 10.87% | 27.94% | |
65 Neutral | $2.03B | 20.28 | 39.70% | ― | 9.71% | 293.14% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
58 Neutral | $13.72B | -18.65 | -15.82% | ― | 60.70% | 46.26% | |
52 Neutral | $2.49B | -9.31 | -59.79% | ― | 8.26% | 46.45% |
* Technology Sector Average
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
8.55
-11.19
-56.69%
SAIC
Science Applications
100.01
-15.62
-13.51%
VRRM
Verra Mobility
13.49
-9.97
-42.50%
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
45.87
38.51
523.23%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
23.45
-13.71
-36.89%
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
26.64
7.45
38.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.