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Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)
NASDAQ:APLD
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Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) AI Stock Analysis

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APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

(NASDAQ:APLD)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(6.46% Upside)
The overall stock score of 58 reflects a mix of strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, offset by financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and expansion plans are promising, but financial stability and profitability need improvement.
Positive Factors
Contracted Capacity
APLD increased its contracted capacity with CoreWeave to 400MW.
Strategic Partnerships
Collaboration with a neocloud HPC provider like CoreWeave is seen as advantageous over traditional hyperscalers, due to their agility and responsiveness to market trends.
Negative Factors
Financial Impact
The discontinuation of Applied Digital's cloud service business will result in a $70M-plus impact on FY26 sales, which the new CoreWeave deal does not fully offset.
Interest Costs
CoreWeave is not yet defined as a hyperscaler and doesn’t carry the same credit rating, which will likely result in higher interest costs for the construction loan and may require a different structure for the infrastructure equity than the previously announced deal with Macquarie.

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Digital Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Digital Corporation designs, develops, and operates digital infrastructure solutions and cloud services high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence industries in North America. It operates through three segments: Data Center Hosting Business, Cloud Services Business, and HPC Hosting Business. The company offers infrastructure services to crypto mining customers; and GPU computing solutions for critical workloads related to AI, machine learning, and other HPC tasks. It also engages in the designing, constructing, and managing of data centers to support HPC applications. The company was formerly known as Applied Blockchain, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Digital Corporation in November 2022. Applied Digital Corporation is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Digital Corporation generates revenue through several key channels. Primarily, the company earns income from its data center operations, where it provides hosting services for cryptocurrency miners and other clients requiring substantial computational resources. This includes leasing space and power to customers who need to run their mining rigs. Additionally, APLD offers GPU cloud services that allow clients to access high-performance computing power on-demand, creating a recurring revenue model. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with blockchain firms and technology providers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. These collaborations can lead to shared projects, revenue-sharing agreements, and increased customer acquisition, all contributing to APLD's overall earnings.

Applied Digital Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 40.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in securing major lease agreements and increasing revenue, which are positive indicators of growth. However, increased expenses and net losses present challenges. Despite the complexity in lease negotiations, the company's strategic efforts in expansion and financing position them favorably for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transformative Lease Agreements
Applied Digital signed 15-year lease agreements with CoreWeave to deliver 250 megawatts of critical IT load, expected to generate approximately $7 billion in contracted revenue.
Increased Revenue
Revenues for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 were $38 million, up 41% year-over-year due to an increase in capacity online in their Data Center Hosting Business.
Expansion Plans
CoreWeave exercised their option for an additional 150 megawatts in a third building at Polaris Forge 1, highlighting the project's scalability.
Successful Financing
Since the end of the quarter, Applied Digital raised approximately $270 million between their ATM and Series G preferred stock, bolstering their financial position for future projects.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses
SG&A expense increased by $15 million to $28.1 million, driven by stock-based compensation and personnel expenses.
Net Loss
Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $26.6 million, or $0.12 per basic and diluted share, despite adjusted EBITDA being $1 million.
Complex Lease Negotiations
The process of onboarding and contracting with hyperscalers has been longer and more complex than anticipated, affecting timelines.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal fourth quarter 2025 conference call, Applied Digital provided several key metrics and updates. The company reported a 41% year-over-year revenue increase to $38 million, primarily driven by enhanced capacity in its Data Center Hosting Business. The cost of revenues rose to $30.2 million, and SG&A expenses increased to $28.1 million due to business growth, stock-based compensation, and personnel expenses. Applied Digital's net loss attributable to common stockholders was $26.6 million, or $0.12 per share, while the adjusted net loss was $7.6 million, or $0.03 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $1 million. The company ended the quarter with $120.9 million in cash and $688.2 million in debt, excluding an additional $268.9 million from stock offerings post-quarter. Looking ahead, Applied Digital anticipates significant revenue increases due to developments at its Polaris Forge 1 campus, with the first 100-megawatt facility set to be operational in Q4 2025. The company aims to generate $1 billion in annual net operating income within 3 to 5 years, capitalizing on its strong relationships with hyperscalers and its competitive advantages in the AI and HPC infrastructure market.

Applied Digital Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Digital Corporation faces financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow constraints. Despite improvements in gross margin and equity, high leverage and liquidity concerns persist, necessitating operational efficiency and debt management improvements.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The income statement reflects significant challenges, with negative net income and declining revenue. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT, indicating operational inefficiencies. Notably, gross profit margin has improved in the TTM period to 29.6% from previous years, suggesting some improvement in cost management. However, the company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by persistent negative net profit margins.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.41 in the TTM period, reflecting potential financial risk due to high leverage. The company has significantly increased its assets, which could indicate growth potential. Stockholders' equity has improved, and the equity ratio stands at 26.6%, indicating moderate financial stability. However, the increasing liabilities and debt levels could pose challenges if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, signaling liquidity concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that cash flows are not sufficient to cover net losses. Free cash flow has deteriorated significantly in the TTM period, highlighting increased capital expenditures without corresponding cash inflows. The company needs to improve cash generation to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.51M215.51M136.62M55.39M8.55M0.00
Gross Profit22.70M22.70M29.96M11.00M-13.34M-1.00K
EBITDA-91.82M-91.82M-34.16M-36.88M-20.71M-331.00K
Net Income-231.06M-231.06M-149.27M-44.65M-23.52M-568.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.87B1.87B762.87M263.96M119.98M15.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.55M113.92M3.34M43.57M38.80M11.75M
Total Debt702.88M702.88M427.81M91.81M13.54M2.13M
Total Liabilities1.24B1.24B638.04M194.28M40.74M17.64M
Stockholders Equity497.69M633.73M124.83M59.52M72.26M-2.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-372.89M-115.40M-128.01M-72.54M-59.12M-3.38M
Operating Cash Flow-115.40M-115.40M13.79M58.73M-872.00K-83.00K
Investing Cash Flow-667.65M-667.65M-172.44M-132.09M-45.87M-3.30M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.00146.76M70.63M81.29M15.13M

Applied Digital Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.09
Price Trends
50DMA
11.57
Positive
100DMA
8.75
Positive
200DMA
8.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.12
Negative
RSI
60.51
Neutral
STOCH
54.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.79, above the 50-day MA of 11.57, and above the 200-day MA of 8.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APLD.

Applied Digital Corporation Risk Analysis

Applied Digital Corporation disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Digital Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Digital Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.49B295.620.86%22.20%
70
Outperform
$1.55B25.6312.49%19.04%24.49%
66
Neutral
$676.51M39.463.69%22.27%
63
Neutral
S$714.85M16.161.51%4.18%1.18%-38.35%
60
Neutral
$2.41B-33.73%25.27%4.68%
58
Neutral
$3.81B-53.71%30.16%12.06%
45
Neutral
$1.75B-8.85%-43.28%15.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
14.09
10.08
251.37%
VYX
NCR Voyix
12.50
-0.36
-2.80%
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings
7.70
-5.72
-42.62%
AI
C3ai
17.85
-7.64
-29.97%
FLYW
Flywire
12.37
-5.28
-29.92%
TASK
TaskUs
17.29
3.44
24.84%

Applied Digital Corporation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Expands Capital for Data Center Project
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation amended its preferred equity purchase agreement to increase its capital access for the development of its Polaris Forge I data center in North Dakota. The amendment raises the commitment for Series G Convertible Preferred Stock from $150 million to $300 million and removes previous capital limitations, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility for its ongoing projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Announces Datacenter Leases and Warrant Issuance
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation announced the execution of datacenter leases and the issuance of an initial warrant. The company is considering an ‘at the market’ offering of up to $200 million in common stock to fund growth capital expenditures and other corporate needs, although the decision to proceed is contingent on market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Plans Sale of Cloud Services Unit
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation‘s Board of Directors approved the negotiation for the potential sale of its Cloud Services Business, which was classified as ‘held for sale’ on April 10, 2025. This strategic move, reflecting a shift in the company’s operations, will be reported as discontinued operations starting from the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending May 31, 2025, and aims to assist investors in understanding its financial impact.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025