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Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)
NASDAQ:APLD
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Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) AI Stock Analysis

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APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

(NASDAQ:APLD)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-7.21% Downside)
The overall stock score of 53 reflects a company with strong technical momentum but significant financial challenges. The most impactful factor is the poor financial performance, with ongoing losses and cash flow inefficiencies. While technical indicators are positive, the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings. The company's strategic positioning in AI infrastructure offers long-term potential, but short-term financial and operational hurdles weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for Applied Digital's services, suggesting a robust market position and potential for continued expansion.
Long-term Contracts
Long-term contracts provide stable revenue streams and enhance financial predictability, supporting sustainable business growth over time.
Industry Demand
The rising demand for AI infrastructure presents significant growth opportunities for Applied Digital, aligning with industry trends and strategic positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives without additional financing.
Net Loss
Ongoing net losses highlight operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges, which may affect long-term financial health and investor confidence.

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Digital Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Digital Corporation designs, develops, and operates digital infrastructure solutions and cloud services high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence industries in North America. It operates through three segments: Data Center Hosting Business, Cloud Services Business, and HPC Hosting Business. The company offers infrastructure services to crypto mining customers; and GPU computing solutions for critical workloads related to AI, machine learning, and other HPC tasks. It also engages in the designing, constructing, and managing of data centers to support HPC applications. The company was formerly known as Applied Blockchain, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Digital Corporation in November 2022. Applied Digital Corporation is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Digital Corporation generates revenue through several key channels. Primarily, the company earns income from its data center operations, where it provides hosting services for cryptocurrency miners and other clients requiring substantial computational resources. This includes leasing space and power to customers who need to run their mining rigs. Additionally, APLD offers GPU cloud services that allow clients to access high-performance computing power on-demand, creating a recurring revenue model. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with blockchain firms and technology providers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. These collaborations can lead to shared projects, revenue-sharing agreements, and increased customer acquisition, all contributing to APLD's overall earnings.

Applied Digital Corporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much each business unit contributes to total sales, indicating areas of strength and potential growth or risk depending on market trends and competition.
Chart InsightsApplied Digital's Datacenter Hosting revenue shows steady growth, supported by a transformative 15-year lease with CoreWeave, which is expected to drive substantial future revenue. However, the Cloud Services segment faces uncertainty, with revenues dropping to zero by mid-2025, reflecting ongoing strategic challenges. The earnings call highlights strong momentum in AI infrastructure and a robust financial position, but increased costs and a strategic review of the Cloud Services business present potential risks. Overall, the company's strategic focus on AI workloads and data center expansion is poised to drive long-term growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Applied Digital Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong focus on expansion and significant revenue growth driven by long-term contracts and strategic financing. However, it also highlighted challenges with increased expenses, net losses, and some financing delays. Overall, while the company shows promising growth and industry positioning, it faces operational and financial hurdles.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion of Long-term Lease Agreements
Applied Digital expanded its lease agreements with CoreWeave, increasing contracted capacity from 250 megawatts to 400 megawatts at the Ellendale, North Dakota campus, resulting in a total contract value of approximately $11 billion.
New Campus Development
Broke ground on Polaris Forge Two near Harwood, North Dakota, initially constructing two buildings totaling 300 megawatts, with potential to scale to one gigawatt. Initial funding secured and construction underway.
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues for fiscal 2026 were $64.2 million, up 84% from $34.8 million in 2025, primarily due to tenant fit-out services associated with HPC hosting business.
Significant Financing Secured
Secured an initial $112.5 million draw from a $5 billion preferred equity facility with Macquarie Asset Management to advance construction of Polaris Forge One.
Industry Demand for AI Infrastructure
Public hyperscalers are projected to invest over $350 billion in AI data centers this year, highlighting the significant demand and opportunity for Applied Digital.
Negative Updates
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A was $29.2 million compared to $11 million, due to increases in stock-based compensation and personnel expenses.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $27.8 million or $0.11 per share for the quarter.
Delayed Project Financing
Ongoing finalization of project financing for Polaris Forge One, highlighting potential delays in securing optimal terms.
Challenges in South Dakota
The gating item for South Dakota expansion is obtaining a sales tax exemption for IT equipment, which is not yet resolved.
Company Guidance
During the Applied Digital Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Conference Call, several key metrics and developments were highlighted. The company expanded its long-term lease agreements with CoreWeave, increasing the total contract value from $7 billion to approximately $11 billion over fifteen years, covering 400 megawatts at the Polaris Forge One data center. The construction of Polaris Forge Two, a new campus near Harwood, North Dakota, is underway with an initial development cost projected at $3 billion. The company expects this campus to scale to one gigawatt in the future. Revenue for the quarter was $64.2 million, an 84% increase from the previous year, driven by $26.3 million from tenant fit-out services. The net loss was reported at $27.8 million, or $0.11 per share, while adjusted net loss stood at $7.6 million, or $0.03 per share. The company's active development pipeline includes four gigawatts, with 700 megawatts currently under construction. Additionally, Applied Digital secured an initial $112.5 million draw from a $5 billion preferred equity facility with Macquarie Asset Management to advance construction efforts, ensuring a robust capital structure for future expansions.

Applied Digital Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Digital Corporation faces significant financial challenges, including negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow constraints. Despite improvements in gross margin and equity, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage debt levels to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reflects significant challenges, with negative net income and declining revenue. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT, indicating operational inefficiencies. Notably, gross profit margin has improved in the TTM period to 29.6% from previous years, suggesting some improvement in cost management. However, the company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by persistent negative net profit margins.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.41 in the TTM period, reflecting potential financial risk due to high leverage. The company has significantly increased its assets, which could indicate growth potential. Stockholders' equity has improved, and the equity ratio stands at 26.6%, indicating moderate financial stability. However, the increasing liabilities and debt levels could pose challenges if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, signaling liquidity concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that cash flows are not sufficient to cover net losses. Free cash flow has deteriorated significantly in the TTM period, highlighting increased capital expenditures without corresponding cash inflows. The company needs to improve cash generation to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue219.02M215.51M136.62M55.39M8.55M0.00
Gross Profit31.66M22.70M29.96M11.00M-13.34M-1.00K
EBITDA-151.49M-91.82M-34.16M-36.88M-20.71M-331.00K
Net Income-253.06M-231.06M-149.27M-44.65M-23.52M-568.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B1.87B762.87M263.96M119.98M15.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.91M113.92M3.34M43.57M38.80M11.75M
Total Debt700.21M702.88M427.81M91.81M13.54M2.13M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.24B638.04M194.28M40.74M17.64M
Stockholders Equity1.04B633.73M124.83M59.52M72.26M-2.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-771.91M-115.40M-128.01M-72.54M-59.12M-3.38M
Operating Cash Flow-121.53M-115.40M13.79M58.73M-872.00K-83.00K
Investing Cash Flow-884.47M-667.65M-172.44M-132.09M-45.87M-3.30M
Financing Cash Flow1.03B874.69M146.76M70.63M81.29M15.13M

Applied Digital Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.64
Price Trends
50DMA
20.61
Positive
100DMA
15.70
Positive
200DMA
11.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.60
Negative
RSI
83.05
Negative
STOCH
76.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.52, above the 50-day MA of 20.61, and above the 200-day MA of 11.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.05 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APLD.

Applied Digital Corporation Risk Analysis

Applied Digital Corporation disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Digital Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Digital Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$3.63B66.4111.59%49.35%72.05%
67
Neutral
$2.76B9.387.08%2.97%3.40%53.13%
63
Neutral
$5.15B19.287.11%1.05%4.94%-18.43%
62
Neutral
$3.88B102.539.86%6.24%-57.35%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$4.50B11.8325.40%1.53%2.23%48.38%
53
Neutral
$10.56B-32.13%15.30%1.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
36.64
28.46
347.92%
SAIC
Science Applications
96.88
-48.84
-33.52%
VRRM
Verra Mobility
24.34
-2.78
-10.25%
CNXC
Concentrix
44.87
-2.95
-6.17%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
28.99
2.35
8.82%
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
21.70
-2.27
-9.47%

Applied Digital Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Expands AI Infrastructure with New Lease
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Applied Digital announced a new lease agreement with CoreWeave for an additional 150MW at its Polaris Forge 1 Campus in North Dakota, increasing the total critical IT capacity to 400MW. This expansion is part of Applied Digital’s strategy to enhance its AI infrastructure capabilities, with the new data center expected to be operational by mid-2027. The company anticipates approximately $11 billion in contracted lease revenue, reinforcing North Dakota’s role in the digital economy and supporting Applied Digital’s mission to transform regional resources into economic opportunities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Expands Capital for Data Center Project
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation amended its preferred equity purchase agreement to increase its capital access for the development of its Polaris Forge I data center in North Dakota. The amendment raises the commitment for Series G Convertible Preferred Stock from $150 million to $300 million and removes previous capital limitations, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility for its ongoing projects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2025