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Coreweave, Inc. (CRWV)
NASDAQ:CRWV
US Market

CoreWeave (CRWV) AI Stock Analysis

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CRWV

CoreWeave

(NASDAQ:CRWV)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(7.08% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held down primarily by leveraged, capital-intensive financials (large GAAP losses, sharply rising debt, and deeply negative free cash flow) and a technically weak price trend below key moving averages. Offsetting factors include strong earnings-call-driven growth visibility (large contracted backlog and ambitious revenue guidance) and supportive financing/strategic events, but these do not fully neutralize execution and funding risks.
Positive Factors
Massive contracted revenue backlog
A $66.8B contracted backlog provides multi-year demand visibility and de-risks near-term capacity investments. It underpins forward revenue conversion as capacity comes online, supports contractual pricing and customer commitment, and makes growth largely contract-driven rather than purely market-dependent.
Rapid revenue scale with strong gross margins
Very high gross margins alongside explosive top-line growth indicate durable unit economics for GPU-accelerated cloud services. As utilization and scale improve, these margins support long-term contribution margins and the potential to absorb fixed costs as depreciation and leasing normalize.
Strategic NVIDIA partnership and $2B equity investment
Deep alignment with NVIDIA secures preferential hardware and software roadmap access, technical co-development, and credibility with enterprise customers. The equity stake and cooperation materially ease GPU sourcing, speed buildout, and enhance competitive differentiation in AI infrastructure.
Negative Factors
Very high and rising leverage
Debt levels and leverage materially increase financing and covenant risk over the medium term. High gross debt relative to equity reduces flexibility, magnifies interest sensitivity, and constrains the firm's ability to withstand shocks or pursue opportunistic investments without additional external funding.
Deep negative free cash flow and extreme capex needs
Sustained deeply negative free cash flow driven by massive, accelerating capex requires continuous external financing. This persistent cash burn elevates dilution and refinancing risk, and makes long-term execution dependent on consistent capital markets access and successful conversion of contracted backlog to revenue.
Ongoing GAAP losses and growing interest burden
Continued GAAP losses combined with rising interest expense reduce retained earnings and impair return metrics. Interest costs and operating losses together compress net margins and leave the company exposed to higher funding costs and earnings volatility until scale and margin progression offset depreciation and financing charges.

CoreWeave (CRWV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CoreWeave Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoreWeave, Inc. operates a cloud platform that provides scaling, support, and acceleration for GenAI. The company builds the infrastructure that supports compute workloads for enterprises. Its products include GPU compute, CPU compute, storage services, networking services, managed services, and virtual and bare metal servers. Additionally, its platform offers a fleet lifecycle controller, node lifecycle controller, tensorizer, and observability. The company's services also include VFX and rendering, AI model training, AI interference, and mission control. CoreWeave, Inc. was formerly known as Atlantic Crypto Corporation and changed its name to CoreWeave, Inc. in December 2019. CoreWeave, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Livingston, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoreWeave generates revenue primarily through its cloud services, where customers pay for access to its GPU computing power on a pay-as-you-go or subscription basis. This model allows businesses to scale their computing needs based on project demands without the upfront costs associated with purchasing hardware. Key revenue streams include hourly usage fees for GPU instances, managed services, and potentially long-term contracts with enterprise clients. Additionally, strategic partnerships with technology companies and integration with popular AI and ML frameworks enhance its service offerings and attract a broader customer base, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

CoreWeave Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive growth narrative: exceptional top-line growth (FY revenue +168% YoY), an enormous contracted backlog ($66.8B), rapid capacity additions, high adjusted EBITDA, meaningful customer diversification, and deepening partnerships (notably with NVIDIA). These positives are balanced by expected near-term financial headwinds—large and accelerating CapEx, rising interest expense, widening GAAP losses, and margin pressure due to depreciation and timing of revenue recognition as new capacity is brought online. Management framed the negatives as deliberate, contract-backed investments to monetize a long-duration backlog. Given the scale of demand, backlog visibility, and progress on monetization and financing, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, though execution and financing risks remain in the near term.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of $5.1 billion, up 168% year-over-year; Q4 2025 revenue of $1.6 billion, up 110% year-over-year.
Massive Contracted Backlog
Revenue backlog expanded to $66.8 billion (up more than $11.2 billion sequentially and more than $50 billion year-over-year); backlog grew more than 4x during the year.
Rapid Capacity Expansion
More than 850 megawatts of active power at year-end; added ~260 megawatts in Q4 (43 active data centers vs 32 at start of year); contracted nearly 2 GW of additional power in 2025 and ended year with >3.1 GW contracted.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margin
Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $898 million (nearly 2x YoY) with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 57%.
Customer Diversification and Enterprise Adoption
Number of customers committed to spending at least $1M on CoreWeave Cloud grew nearly 150% year-over-year; Q4 added ~2x as many new reserved instance customers as any prior quarter, including customers like Cognition, Cursor, Mercado Libre, Midjourney, and Runway.
Platform Monetization Progress and Attach Rates
Approximately 80% of CoreWeave Cloud customers paying ≥$1M have adopted one or more storage products; strong cross-sell momentum with Weights & Biases adding hundreds of millions of TCV in H2.
Strategic Partnerships and Industry Recognition
Expanded relationship with NVIDIA (including a $2 billion NVIDIA investment announced in January); CoreWeave reached NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud Status for GB200 and was SemiAnalysis' sole platinum-ranked AI cloud.
Liquidity and Capital Markets Access
Raised >$18 billion of debt and equity in 2025, including $2.6 billion convertible notes and expansion of revolving credit to $2.5 billion; cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities totaled $4.2 billion as of Dec 31.
Negative Updates
GAAP Losses and Elevated Interest Expense
Q4 net loss of $452 million vs $51 million net loss in Q4 2024; Q4 interest expense rose to $388 million from $149 million in Q4 2024, reflecting increased debt to finance buildout.
Adjusted Net Loss and Operating Income Compression
Q4 adjusted net loss of $284 million vs $36 million in Q4 2024; Q4 adjusted operating income was $88 million vs $121 million in Q4 2024 (adjusted operating margin 6%), with operating income lower than expected due to deploying infrastructure ahead of plan.
Very Large and Accelerating CapEx Burden
Q4 CapEx of $8.2 billion and full-year 2025 CapEx of $14.9 billion (above expectations); 2026 CapEx guidance of $30 billion to $35 billion (more than 2x 2025) — a material near-term cash and financing requirement.
Near-Term Margin Pressure from Deployment Timing
Bringing large amounts of capacity online causes data center lease, power and depreciation to commence ahead of full revenue ramp; Q1 2026 expected to be the trough for margins and Q1 adjusted operating income guided to $0–$40 million.
High Construction in Progress and Working Capital Intensity
Construction in progress rose to $9.4 billion (up $2.5 billion quarter-over-quarter), reflecting substantial assets not yet in service and not yet depreciated but capital-intensive near term.
Heavy Interest Burden Expected in Early 2026
Q1 2026 interest expense guidance of $510 million to $590 million underscores significant near-term financing costs despite progress lowering weighted average interest rate (300 bps improvement in the year).
Short-Term GAAP Profitability Risk
Significant investment cadence and timing mismatch between CapEx/depreciation and revenue ramp increases the likelihood of continued GAAP losses and volatile quarter-to-quarter operating results while capacity matures.
Company Guidance
CoreWeave guided to aggressive 2026 investment and growth: CapEx of $30–35 billion (more than 2x 2025’s $14.9B) funded against a $66.8 billion contracted revenue backlog and >3.1 GW of contracted capacity, with every new contract expected to start generating revenue by year‑end 2026 and active power targeted to double from 850 MW to >1.7 GW by year‑end; full‑year 2026 revenue of $12–13 billion (≈140% YoY at the midpoint) with adjusted operating income of $900M–$1.1B, margins bottoming in Q1 (low single digits) and reaching low double digits by Q4, and a long‑term margin target of 25–30% (mature contribution margins mid‑20s); Q1 2026 guidance: revenue $1.9–2.0B, adjusted operating income $0–40M, CapEx $6–7B, and interest expense $510–590M; management also expects to exit 2026 with a $17–19B annualized run rate and to exceed $30B annualized run rate exiting 2027.

CoreWeave Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Explosive revenue growth and strong gross margins, plus strong and rising operating cash flow, are outweighed by persistent large GAAP losses, rapidly rising leverage, and deeply negative free cash flow driven by very heavy capex and weakening cash-flow-to-debt coverage.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Revenue is scaling rapidly (from $0.23B in 2023 to $1.92B in 2024 to $5.13B in 2025), supported by consistently strong gross margins (~70–74%), which signals solid unit economics. However, profitability is weak: net income remains deeply negative each year (loss widened to about -$1.17B in 2025) and net margins are still meaningfully below zero despite improved operating results versus 2023. Overall, strong top-line momentum and gross profitability are offset by continued bottom-line losses and uneven operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
33
Negative
Leverage is the key concern. Total debt climbed sharply (about $2.0B in 2023 to $10.6B in 2024 to $15.2B in 2025) and debt relative to equity is high in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~4.5x). Equity was negative in 2023–2024, improving to a positive ~$3.34B in 2025, but the company is still generating negative returns on equity in 2025 due to losses. The asset base expanded materially, but the balance sheet remains burdened by heavy debt and profitability-driven pressure on capital.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong and rising (about $1.83B in 2023 to $2.75B in 2024 to $3.06B in 2025), which is a notable strength versus the company’s net losses. The major weakness is very large negative free cash flow (about -$1.11B in 2023, -$5.95B in 2024, and -$7.25B in 2025), indicating heavy reinvestment/capex needs and ongoing external funding reliance. Operating cash flow relative to debt has weakened over time (coverage down to ~0.19 in 2025), increasing financial risk if capital spending remains elevated.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.13B1.92B228.94M
Gross Profit3.68B1.42B160.16M
EBITDA2.47B480.04M-426.43M
Net Income-1.17B-863.45M-593.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.30B17.83B4.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.98B1.36B219.51M
Total Debt15.16B10.62B2.00B
Total Liabilities45.97B18.25B5.57B
Stockholders Equity3.33B-413.60M-596.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.25B-5.95B-1.11B
Operating Cash Flow3.06B2.75B1.83B
Investing Cash Flow-10.27B-8.66B-3.15B
Financing Cash Flow9.31B7.46B1.79B

CoreWeave Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.00T23.3634.39%0.71%16.67%28.60%
68
Neutral
$5.10B22.0514.20%204.86%
65
Neutral
$437.93B23.4570.60%1.00%11.08%29.56%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$56.73B-48.84-54.09%28.48%-19.12%
50
Neutral
$24.61B208.290.50%-87.55%336.73%
49
Neutral
$38.46B-50.28%235.40%19.90%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRWV
CoreWeave
79.50
42.42
114.40%
MSFT
Microsoft
405.20
6.32
1.58%
ORCL
Oracle
152.37
-7.57
-4.73%
NBIS
Nebius Group
97.78
67.61
224.10%
SNOW
Snowflake
168.26
-9.05
-5.10%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
52.26
10.72
25.81%

CoreWeave Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CoreWeave Expands NVIDIA Partnership With Major Equity Investment
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, CoreWeave entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with NVIDIA and completed a private placement of 22,935,780 shares of its Class A common stock at $87.20 per share, raising $2 billion in cash from NVIDIA. Announced jointly on January 26, 2026, the deal deepens the companies’ long-standing relationship through a new collaboration framework under which CoreWeave will build and operate large-scale AI factories using NVIDIA’s accelerated computing, CPU and storage platforms, while NVIDIA’s investment and technology roadmap support are expected to accelerate CoreWeave’s buildout of more than 5 gigawatts of AI infrastructure by 2030 and broaden the reach of CoreWeave’s AI-native software among cloud service providers and enterprise customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRWV) stock is a Buy with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreWeave stock, see the CRWV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CoreWeave Amends Credit Agreement to Enhance Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On December 31, 2025, CoreWeave, Inc. and its subsidiaries amended their DDTL 3.0 Credit Agreement and related Parent Guarantee and Pledge Agreement with MUFG Bank and associated agents to realign the financing facility with the timing of deliveries discussed on CoreWeave’s September 30, 2025 quarter earnings call. The First Amendment reduces the minimum liquidity requirement to $100 million for monthly payment dates between March 1 and May 1, 2026, delays the initial testing of the debt service coverage ratio covenant to October 31, 2027 and the contract realization ratio covenant to February 28, 2026, and allows unlimited equity cures for covenant breaches until October 28, 2026 (with limited use thereafter), effectively providing CoreWeave with greater financial flexibility and covenant headroom as it manages its growth and contractual commitments.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRWV) stock is a Hold with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreWeave stock, see the CRWV Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
CoreWeave Completes $2.587 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, CoreWeave completed a private offering of $2.587 billion in Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, which are unsecured obligations guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds, approximately $2.542 billion after expenses, will be used for capped call transactions and general corporate purposes. The offering is expected to impact CoreWeave’s market positioning by potentially reducing dilution of its Class A common stock and affecting its market price.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRWV) stock is a Hold with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreWeave stock, see the CRWV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026