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Snowflake (SNOW)
NYSE:SNOW

Snowflake (SNOW) AI Stock Analysis

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SNOW

Snowflake

(NYSE:SNOW)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$239.00
▲(10.50% Upside)
Snowflake's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and strategic advancements in AI and partnerships, which bolster future growth prospects. However, ongoing challenges with profitability, leverage, and valuation metrics weigh on the score. Technical analysis suggests potential short-term bearish momentum, but the stock may rebound given its oversold RSI.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Snowflake's services and suggests a solid market position, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with AWS enhances Snowflake's distribution and customer reach, leveraging AWS's vast infrastructure to accelerate growth and innovation.
AI Adoption
Early achievement of AI revenue targets reflects strong adoption of Snowflake's AI capabilities, positioning the company as a leader in data-driven AI solutions.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could hinder long-term financial stability and limit reinvestment opportunities, affecting growth potential.
Cash Flow Concerns
Declining free cash flow growth raises concerns about Snowflake's ability to generate cash, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding future investments.
Operating Margin Pressure
Lower operating margin guidance suggests potential cost pressures or increased investment needs, which could impact profitability and financial health.

Snowflake (SNOW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Snowflake Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSnowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform in the United States and internationally. The company's platform offers Data Cloud, which enables customers to consolidate data into a single source of truth to drive meaningful business insights, build data-driven applications, and share data. Its platform is used by various organizations of sizes in a range of industries. The company was formerly known as Snowflake Computing, Inc. and changed its name to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Snowflake Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Bozeman, Montana.
How the Company Makes MoneySnowflake generates revenue primarily through a consumption-based pricing model, where customers pay for the amount of data storage and processing they utilize on the Snowflake platform. Key revenue streams include charges for data storage, compute resources used for processing queries, and data transfer fees. Snowflake also offers subscription services that provide customers with access to additional features and capabilities. Partnerships with leading cloud service providers, such as AWS, Azure, and GCP, enhance its market presence and allow it to tap into their customer bases. Additionally, integrations with various data tools and platforms help drive usage and customer retention, contributing to Snowflake's overall growth and revenue generation.

Snowflake Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsSnowflake's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the United States leading the charge. However, the earnings call reveals that Europe, while growing, is lagging in customer acquisition compared to the U.S., posing a potential challenge. Despite this, strategic investments in AI and partnerships are expected to drive future growth, with AI influencing a significant portion of new business. The company's strong financial metrics and increased revenue guidance underscore its commitment to scaling efficiently, although rising operational costs may impact margins in the short term.
Data provided by:The Fly

Snowflake Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 03, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was highly positive, showcasing strong revenue growth, record customer additions, and significant advancements in AI adoption and strategic partnerships. Despite minor challenges such as the hyperscaler outage and lower Q4 operating margin guidance, the overall performance and future outlook remain robust.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Product Revenue Growth
Product revenue in Q3 was $1,160,000,000, up 29% year over year. Remaining performance obligations totaled $7,880,000,000 with year-over-year growth accelerating to 37%.
Record Customer Additions
A record 615 new customers were added in Q3, demonstrating strong market demand for Snowflake's offerings.
AI Revenue Milestone
Achieved $100,000,000 in AI revenue run rate one quarter earlier than anticipated, reflecting strong adoption of Snowflake Intelligence.
High Net Revenue Retention
Net revenue retention remained stable at a very healthy 125%, indicating strong customer satisfaction and expansion.
Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Expansion
Announced new partnerships with SAP, Workday, Splunk, Palantir, UiPath, and more, enhancing integration and expanding go-to-market reach.
Operational Efficiency and Margin Expansion
Non-GAAP operating margin expanded more than 450 basis points year over year to 11%, reflecting efficient scaling.
Negative Updates
Impact from Hyperscaler Outage
Revenue was impacted by approximately $1,000,000 to $2,000,000 due to a hyperscaler outage.
Operating Margin Guidance for Q4
Q4 non-GAAP operating margin guidance is 7%, which is lower compared to Q3, indicating potential cost pressures or increased investment.
Company Guidance
During Snowflake Inc.'s Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance for the upcoming quarter and full fiscal year. They project Q4 product revenue to reach between $1.195 billion and $1.200 billion, reflecting a 27% year-over-year increase. For the full fiscal year 2026, Snowflake raised its product revenue guidance to approximately $4.446 billion, marking a 28% year-over-year growth. The company also reiterated its margin targets, expecting a non-GAAP product gross margin of 75%, a non-GAAP operating margin of 9%, and a non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow margin of 25%. These expectations are underpinned by Snowflake's strong Q3 performance, which saw a 29% year-over-year increase in product revenue, stable net revenue retention at 125%, and the addition of 615 new customers. The company also highlighted significant milestones, including reaching a $100 million AI revenue run rate and achieving a record number of new logos influenced by AI capabilities.

Snowflake Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Snowflake demonstrates strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but continues to face challenges with profitability and leverage. The company is making progress in cash flow management, yet needs to address operational inefficiencies to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Snowflake's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 67.07% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is still operating at a net loss with a net profit margin of -30.76% TTM. The revenue growth rate of 6.58% TTM is positive but has slowed compared to previous years. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22 TTM, suggesting increased leverage. Return on equity is negative at -51.54% TTM, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains stable, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a modest free cash flow growth rate of 3.37% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.26 TTM suggests that cash generation is not yet sufficient to cover net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.89 TTM indicates some improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.63B2.81B2.07B1.22B592.05M
Gross Profit2.41B1.91B1.35B760.89M349.46M
EBITDA-1.10B-729.32M-752.46M-693.54M-534.11M
Net Income-1.29B-836.10M-796.71M-679.95M-539.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.03B8.22B7.72B6.65B5.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.64B3.85B4.01B3.85B3.91B
Total Debt2.69B287.98M251.66M206.30M204.54M
Total Liabilities6.03B3.03B2.25B1.60B985.27M
Stockholders Equity3.00B5.18B5.46B5.05B4.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow913.49M778.90M496.50M81.19M-85.75M
Operating Cash Flow959.76M848.12M545.64M110.18M-45.42M
Investing Cash Flow190.65M832.26M-597.88M-20.80M-4.04B
Financing Cash Flow-226.52M-854.10M-92.62M178.20M4.78B

Snowflake Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price216.29
Price Trends
50DMA
248.07
Negative
100DMA
232.50
Negative
200DMA
207.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.52
Positive
RSI
39.71
Neutral
STOCH
31.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNOW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 216.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 234.38, below the 50-day MA of 248.07, and above the 200-day MA of 207.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SNOW.

Snowflake Risk Analysis

Snowflake disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Snowflake reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Snowflake Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$13.24B26.5020.57%18.50%207.45%
75
Outperform
$33.56B-482.09-3.23%20.93%68.47%
73
Outperform
$56.81B91.567.34%13.35%-60.76%
69
Neutral
$49.11B463.113.52%26.63%-46.13%
66
Neutral
$42.78B-234.38-15.35%19.51%53.35%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$74.01B-54.84-53.32%28.48%-19.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNOW
Snowflake
221.31
55.02
33.09%
WDAY
Workday
218.08
-54.96
-20.13%
TEAM
Atlassian
165.00
-92.26
-35.86%
MDB
MongoDB
425.20
179.57
73.11%
DT
Dynatrace
44.18
-10.46
-19.14%
DDOG
Datadog
138.29
-11.17
-7.47%

Snowflake Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Snowflake Executive’s Unauthorized Interview Sparks Caution
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On October 26, 2025, an unauthorized Instagram interview with a Snowflake Inc. executive led to statements about the company’s future results, which investors are advised not to rely on. Snowflake reaffirms its previously issued revenue guidance for Q3 and the full fiscal year 2026, maintaining its guidance philosophy and standard practices for financial result releases.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 05, 2025