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Strategy (MSTR)
NASDAQ:MSTR

Strategy (MSTR) AI Stock Analysis

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MSTR

Strategy

(NASDAQ:MSTR)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$128.00
â–¼(-2.33% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is pulled down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses and negative operating/free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a comparatively stronger, better-capitalized balance sheet and a more constructive earnings-call narrative around liquidity reserves and Bitcoin-related KPI execution, though these are accompanied by substantial mark-to-market volatility and ongoing obligation risk.
Positive Factors
Scale in Bitcoin treasury
MicroStrategy’s enormous, continuing Bitcoin accumulation creates a durable, differentiated asset base and market position as the largest corporate BTC holder. Scale gives strategic optionality for digital-credit products, collateralized issuance and long-term BTC-per-share targets that underpin capital-allocation strategy.
Deep capital markets access
Demonstrated ability to raise large amounts of capital across common and preferred securities strengthens funding flexibility and liquidity. A sizable equity base and preferred issuance program underwrite continued BTC accumulation and product launches, reducing short-term refinancing risk and enabling strategic investments.
Stabilized software & cloud growth
Its legacy BI software business has regained traction and cloud revenue growth is strong, providing recurring, higher-margin revenue that diversifies income sources. This operational base supports long-term cash generation potential and reduces sole dependence on digital-asset returns for strategic execution.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow materially undermines self‑funding capacity and increases reliance on external capital. Over the medium term this raises funding risk for operations, dividend obligations and asset purchases, constraining strategic flexibility if capital markets tighten.
Earnings volatility from BTC mark‑to‑market
Fair‑value accounting for large Bitcoin holdings creates substantial quarter‑to‑quarter P&L swings that can mask operating performance, complicate forecasting and stress creditor/investor confidence. Such volatility impairs predictability of earnings and can constrain access to certain investors or financing under adverse price moves.
Reliance on equity funding and recurring obligations
The company funds BTC accumulation largely via ATM issuances and preferred offerings, creating dilution risk and recurring cash outflows (preferred dividends/interest). Persistent $888M annual obligations, plus sizable preferred programs, make liquidity dependent on continued market access and product seasoning of digital‑credit offerings.

Strategy (MSTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Strategy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStrategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. It also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making; and Strategy Mosaic, a universal intelligence layer that offers enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The company was formerly known as MicroStrategy Incorporated and changed its name to Strategy Inc in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicroStrategy generates revenue primarily through software licensing, subscription fees, and consulting services. The company's revenue model is based on the sale of its software products, which clients can purchase as perpetual licenses or through annual subscriptions. Additionally, MicroStrategy offers managed services and consulting to assist clients in implementing and optimizing their BI solutions, further contributing to its revenue stream. The firm has also engaged in strategic partnerships with other technology firms to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Notably, MicroStrategy has invested significantly in Bitcoin, which has become a part of its revenue strategy through potential appreciation of its holdings and related services. However, the primary focus of its earnings remains on its software and service solutions in the business intelligence sector.

Strategy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Bitcoins Held
Bitcoins Held
Shows the amount of Bitcoin the company holds, reflecting its strategic investment in cryptocurrency and potential exposure to crypto market volatility.
Chart InsightsMicroStrategy has aggressively increased its Bitcoin holdings, more than doubling from late 2024 to mid-2025. This strategic move suggests a strong conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value and potential as a key asset. The rapid accumulation reflects a bold bet on cryptocurrency as a core component of the company's balance sheet, potentially enhancing shareholder value if Bitcoin prices rise. However, this strategy also exposes the company to significant market volatility and regulatory risks associated with digital assets.
Data provided by:The Fly

Strategy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of significant strategic progress and near-term accounting-driven pain. Positives include large capital raises (> $25B in 2025), continued disciplined Bitcoin accumulation (713,502 BTC; +~225,000 BTC in 2025), adoption of fair-value accounting, the first S&P credit rating for a Bitcoin treasury company (B-), establishment of a $2.25B USD reserve (≈30 months dividend coverage), and strong early traction for the Stretch digital credit product (11.25% dividend, high liquidity, low single-digit volatility target). Negatives center on material quarter-end mark-to-market losses (Q4 operating loss $17.4B, net loss $12.6B), sensitivity to Bitcoin price and leverage dynamics (net debt ≈ $6B; convertible maturities through 2027–2032), and the need to season new credit products. Weighing the balance, management emphasized durable balance-sheet enhancements and long-term strategy execution despite short-term volatility and accounting losses.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Largest Corporate Bitcoin Holder
Ended 2025 with 713,502 Bitcoin on the balance sheet (~3.4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist), continuing quarterly accumulation and reinforcing position as the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder.
Significant Capital Raises and Capital Structure Diversification
Raised over $25 billion of total capital during 2025 (and an additional $3.9 billion year-to-date 2026 within one month), added $6.9 billion of preferred equity through five IPOs, and increased total equity to $51.1 billion from $22.8 billion year-over-year.
Marked-to-Market Accounting and Transparency
Adopted fair value accounting for Bitcoin in 2025, marking Bitcoin holdings to market each quarter to provide greater investor transparency.
Favorable Tax and Index Outcomes
Treasury/IRS guidance confirmed unrealized Bitcoin gains are not subject to additional corporate alternative minimum tax; MSCI decided not to exclude digital asset treasury companies from its global indices.
First Credit Rating for a Bitcoin Treasury Company
Received an S&P issuer credit rating (B- with stable outlook), establishing a public credit profile and supporting institutional recognition and access to broader investor audiences.
U.S. Dollar Cash Reserve Established
Established a $2.25 billion USD cash reserve in Q4 that provides over 2.5 years (≈30 months) of dividend/interest coverage versus $888 million of annual interest and dividend obligations (35M interest on converts; ~713M cumulative preferreds; ~140M noncumulative preferreds).
Strong Bitcoin Accumulation and BTC KPI Performance
Added ~225,000 Bitcoin in 2025 (incl. 32,470 BTC in Q4 for ~$3.1 billion); delivered a BTC yield of 22.8% for the year (target range 22%–26%), total BTC gain of 101,873 BTC and BTC dollar gain of $8.9 billion (beat the lower end of KPI ranges).
Balance Sheet Growth in Digital Assets and Capital
Digital assets rose from $23.9 billion (end-2024) to $58.9 billion (end-2025) driven by fair-value increases and 2025 additions; long-term debt reported at $8.2 billion and common equity rose to $44.2 billion through ATM activity.
Launch and Early Success of 'Stretch' Digital Credit Instrument
Stretch: listed, paying an 11.25% dividend (tax-equivalent ~18%), reported ~7% volatility (recently down to ~6%), strong liquidity (example: ~$118M/day average traded over last 30 days noted), over-collateralized (~5.6x after senior instruments) and positioned as flagship digital credit product.
Software Business Stabilization and Cloud Growth
Software revenue recovered to $477 million annual revenue in 2025 with overall revenue growth of 3% year-over-year and cloud revenue up 65% YoY, demonstrating execution in the legacy operating business.
Negative Updates
Large Q4 and Full-Year Mark-to-Market Losses
Reported Q4 operating loss of $17.4 billion and net loss of $12.6 billion driven by quarter-end decline in Bitcoin fair value; full-year 2025 operating loss of $5.4 billion and net loss of $4.2 billion, including an unrealized fair-value loss of ~ $5.4 billion for the year.
Significant Quarter Volatility Impact on Bitcoin Reserve and NAV
Market-value volatility reduced the earlier-quarter Bitcoin reserve (previously cited ~$59–60 billion) down to ~$45 billion following price declines; noted Q3-end implied BTC market value ~$73.2 billion at ~$114K/coin—Q4 price decline produced a $17.4 billion unrealized fair-value drop.
Leverage and Convertible Debt Exposure
Long-term debt totaled $8.2 billion (convertible instruments included); net debt ~ $6 billion (net leverage ~10%; ~13% with the most recent Bitcoin price). Management highlighted an extreme downside risk scenario where Bitcoin would need to fall to ~$8,000 and remain there for years before Bitcoin reserve equaled net debt.
Accounting-Driven Losses Mask Operating Strength
Results are highly dependent on Bitcoin price (quarter-to-quarter swings), creating large mark-to-market losses that drove headline operating and net losses despite underlying capital-raising, BTC accumulation, and continued monthly dividend payments.
Early-Stage Product/Seasoning Risk for Stretch
Stretch is a new instrument that still needs seasoning: while liquidity and trading have been strong, management described the product as early in seasoning (first 5 months) and subject to ongoing volatility-management, distribution and regulatory work over 12+ months.
Instances of Dilutive Issuances
Management acknowledged there were three weeks at the beginning of the year where Bitcoin acquisitions generated slightly negative Bitcoin yield (short-term dilutive results) tied to actions to shore up credit confidence (e.g., building USD reserve).
Ongoing Risk Around Preferred and Dividend Obligations
Total interest and dividend obligations of $888 million remain a recurring cash obligation; although reserve and capital programs were created to cover these, continued access to capital and market conditions remain relevant risks.
Market Sentiment and Equity Volatility
Company equity and related instruments exhibit elevated volatility (management cited common equity ~63% vol), and broader market/Bitcoin selloffs have pressured stock price and investor sentiment despite operational and strategic mitigants.
Company Guidance
The company reiterated disciplined, long‑term guidance anchored on growing Bitcoin per share and strengthening the balance sheet: it finished 2025 with 713,502 BTC (≈3.4% of eventual supply) at $54B cost (avg buy ~$76k), added ~225,000 BTC in 2025 (32,470 BTC in Q4 for ~$3.1B), delivered a 22.8% BTC yield (vs. 22–26% target) equating to 101,873 BTC and an $8.9B BTC dollar gain, and raised >$25B of capital (including $6.9B of preferreds across five IPOs) while establishing a $2.25B USD cash reserve (≈30 months / >2.5 years dividend coverage) and maintaining $2.3B cash, $58.9B digital assets (up from $23.9B), $8.2B long‑term debt, $1.9B deferred tax liability and $51.1B total equity; Q4 operating loss was $17.4B (net loss $12.6B) and FY operating loss $5.4B (net loss $4.2B), total interest/dividend obligations are $888M (including $35M interest on converts at ~42 bps), and management plans no new convertible issuance while focusing on scaling digital credit (e.g., Stretch: $2.5B issue, 11.25% dividend / 18% tax‑equivalent, ~7% vol, ~$118M/day liquidity, 5.6x collateral) and targeted scenarios to amplify BTC/share 1.4x–2.5x over seven years (5%–14% annual BTC‑yield scenarios).

Strategy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are dominated by severe profitability and cash flow weakness: very large operating losses and deeply negative net margins (2025 net margin roughly -845%), with operating cash flow turning negative in 2024–2025 and persistently negative free cash flow. The balance sheet is better-capitalized with modest leverage in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.16), but negative ROE and prior equity swings indicate high earnings/valuation sensitivity.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue has been volatile, with 2025 rebounding (+48% YoY) after a decline in 2024, but profitability is the core issue. Despite consistently strong gross margins (~69–82%), operating results deteriorated sharply in 2024–2025, with very large operating losses and deeply negative net margins (2025 net margin roughly -845%). The business shows it can generate high gross profit, but expenses/other items are overwhelming the revenue base, creating weak earnings quality and high variability in bottom-line outcomes.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Leverage looks moderate in the most recent period (2025 debt-to-equity ~0.16) with a very large equity base relative to debt, which improves balance-sheet resilience versus earlier years. That said, returns have turned negative again (2024–2025 return on equity negative), reflecting poor profitability despite the stronger capitalization. The historical trajectory also shows meaningful swings in equity (including negative equity in 2022), signaling that the balance sheet can be highly sensitive to valuation/earnings volatility.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow turned negative in 2024–2025 and free cash flow is deeply negative across all periods shown, including an extreme outflow in 2024 and continued negative free cash flow in 2025. While free cash flow can be influenced by episodic investing/working-capital moves, the consistent pattern of negative free cash flow and negative operating cash flow recently increases funding risk and reduces financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue477.23M463.46M496.26M499.26M510.76M
Gross Profit327.82M333.99M386.32M396.27M418.85M
EBITDA-5.43B-1.85B-61.04M-1.26B-770.88M
Net Income-4.03B-1.17B429.12M-1.47B-535.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.64B25.84B4.76B2.41B3.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.30B38.12M46.82M43.84M63.36M
Total Debt8.28B7.26B2.25B2.45B2.23B
Total Liabilities10.60B7.61B2.60B2.79B2.58B
Stockholders Equity51.04B18.23B2.16B-383.12M978.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-104.24M-22.14B-1.89B-287.20M-2.54B
Operating Cash Flow-67.24M-53.03M12.71M3.21M93.83M
Investing Cash Flow-22.51B-22.09B-1.91B-278.59M-2.63B
Financing Cash Flow24.84B22.13B1.89B265.19M2.54B

Strategy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price131.05
Price Trends
50DMA
154.17
Negative
100DMA
204.42
Negative
200DMA
291.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.06
Negative
RSI
43.91
Neutral
STOCH
57.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 131.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.46, below the 50-day MA of 154.17, and below the 200-day MA of 291.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSTR.

Strategy Risk Analysis

Strategy disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Strategy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Strategy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$37.51B58.797.34%―13.35%-60.76%
65
Neutral
$43.05B407.163.34%―26.63%-46.13%
64
Neutral
$48.70B44.4840.33%―15.62%2.59%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$22.13B-111.57-13.47%―19.51%53.35%
52
Neutral
$60.25B-44.41-53.32%―28.48%-19.12%
47
Neutral
$35.98B-7.04-11.11%0.08%1.65%―
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSTR
Strategy
131.05
-151.71
-53.65%
ADSK
Autodesk
226.98
-58.28
-20.43%
WDAY
Workday
137.81
-124.00
-47.36%
TEAM
Atlassian
75.98
-208.08
-73.25%
DDOG
Datadog
115.66
-1.85
-1.57%
SNOW
Snowflake
172.50
1.58
0.92%

Strategy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy Raises Capital and Expands Bitcoin Holdings
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 17, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported activity under its at-the-market offering, disclosing that between February 9 and February 16 it sold 785,354 shares of its 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock for $78.5 million in face value, generating $78.4 million in net proceeds, and 660,000 shares of its Class A common stock for $90.5 million in net proceeds. The company said these equity sales left substantial remaining capacity across its various preferred and common stock programs, reinforcing its ability to tap capital markets while continuing to route key operational and financial disclosures, including bitcoin-related data, through its website dashboard.

Strategy also announced that, over the same February 9–16 period, it acquired 2,486 bitcoin at an aggregate purchase price of $168.4 million, or an average of $67,710 per bitcoin, using proceeds from the ATM program. As of February 16, 2026, its total holdings had reached 717,131 bitcoin acquired for approximately $54.52 billion in aggregate, at an average purchase price of $76,027 per bitcoin, underscoring the company’s deepening balance-sheet exposure to bitcoin and the central role of digital assets in its capital allocation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $320.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Strategy Announces Bitcoin Purchases Funded by Stock Sales
Neutral
Feb 9, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported that between February 2 and February 8, 2026, it sold 616,715 shares of its Class A common stock under its at-the-market offering program, generating approximately $89.5 million in net proceeds, while no sales occurred in its various preferred stock series, which still have substantial capacity remaining for future issuance. During the same period, the company used ATM proceeds to acquire 1,142 bitcoin for about $90 million at an average price of $78,815 per bitcoin, bringing its total holdings as of February 8, 2026 to 714,644 bitcoin acquired for roughly $54.35 billion at an average purchase price of $76,056, and it highlighted that its website dashboard serves as a key channel for ongoing public disclosure of these metrics.

Strategy emphasized that its dedicated online dashboard is intended to provide broad, non-exclusionary access to information on the market prices of its securities, bitcoin purchases and holdings, and certain key performance indicators, supporting its compliance with Regulation FD and giving investors a centralized resource for tracking its capital markets and digital asset strategies. The company also clarified that the information furnished in this update is not deemed filed under Section 18 of the Exchange Act or automatically incorporated into its Securities Act or Exchange Act filings, which may influence how stakeholders view the legal and reporting status of these disclosures.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy Updates Dividend Framework and Highlights Bitcoin Expansion
Negative
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported fourth-quarter 2025 results and announced an updated, rules-based Dividend Adjustment Framework for its STRC preferred stock, tying monthly dividend recommendations to the security’s volume-weighted average price to help stabilize trading around its $100 stated amount. The company disclosed that it raised $25.3 billion of capital in 2025, became the largest U.S. equity issuer for the second straight year, expanded STRC to $3.4 billion with an 11.25% dividend rate, established a $2.25 billion USD reserve covering more than 2.5 years of dividends and interest, and grew its bitcoin holdings to 713,502 BTC as of February 1, 2026, despite recording a $17.4 billion operating loss and $12.4 billion net loss in Q4 2025 driven by unrealized fair-value losses on digital assets, underscoring its strategy of using digital credit and capital markets access to amplify bitcoin exposure while absorbing significant valuation volatility.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Strategy Details 2025 Digital Credit Distribution Tax Treatment
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Strategy Inc announced that, for U.S. federal income tax purposes, all distributions paid during calendar year 2025 on its preferred equity “Digital Credit” instruments were treated as a nontaxable return of capital to shareholders, reducing their tax basis in those securities with any excess treated as capital gains. The company reported that in 2025 it completed five initial public offerings of perpetual preferred Digital Credit securities, raising $5.5 billion in gross proceeds, and subsequently raised an additional $1.9 billion via at-the-market programs, while paying $413 million in cumulative distributions at a blended annual dividend rate of 9.6%; Strategy also stated it believes it had no accumulated earnings and profits for U.S. tax purposes in 2025, a position that underpinned the return-of-capital treatment and has implications for investor tax planning and the perceived attractiveness of its high-yield preferred instruments.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $148.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy Raises Equity, Expands Bitcoin Holdings and Dividend
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Between January 26 and February 1, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported that it raised approximately $106.1 million in net proceeds through sales of its Class A common stock under its at-the-market offering program, with no sales of its various preferred stock series during that period, while leaving significant remaining capacity for future issuances. Using proceeds from the ATM, the company acquired 855 bitcoin for about $75.3 million at an average price of $87,974 per bitcoin, bringing its total holdings as of February 1, 2026 to 713,502 bitcoin acquired at an aggregate purchase price of roughly $54.26 billion. On January 31, 2026, Strategy increased the annual dividend rate on its Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock from 11.00% to 11.25%, and on February 2, 2026 it declared a cash dividend of $0.9375 per share for this security for the month ending February 28, 2026, corresponding to the new 11.25% annual rate and expected, as of that date, to be treated as a non-taxable return of capital for U.S. federal income tax purposes to the extent of shareholder tax basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $148.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Strategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings Using ATM Equity Proceeds
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported an update on its at-the-market offering program for the period from January 20 to January 25, 2026, during which it sold 70,201 shares of its 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock for $7 million in notional value, and 1,569,770 shares of its Class A common stock for net proceeds of $257 million, bringing total net proceeds from the ATM activity in the period to $264 million while leaving sizeable capacity available for future issuance across its preferred and common equity. Over the same period, the company disclosed that it purchased 2,932 bitcoin for approximately $264.1 million at an average price of $90,061 per bitcoin, funded by ATM proceeds, increasing its total holdings to 712,647 bitcoin acquired at an aggregate purchase price of about $54.19 billion, a move that further deepens its position as a large institutional bitcoin holder and underscores its ongoing strategy of using capital markets activity to expand its cryptocurrency reserves, with ongoing transparency provided via its online dashboard.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $440.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy expands bitcoin holdings using equity offering proceeds
Neutral
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported activity under its at-the-market offering program for the period from January 12 to January 19, 2026, disclosing that it sold 2,945,371 shares of its STRC preferred stock and 38,796 shares of its STRK preferred stock, along with 10,399,650 shares of its MSTR Class A common stock, generating approximately $2.13 billion in net proceeds while leaving substantial capacity available for further issuance across its preferred and common stock lines. Over the same period, the company used these proceeds to acquire 22,305 bitcoin for about $2.13 billion at an average price of $95,284 per bitcoin, bringing its total holdings as of January 19, 2026, to 709,715 bitcoin with an aggregate purchase cost of roughly $53.92 billion, underscoring Strategy’s continued aggressive balance-sheet concentration in bitcoin and its reliance on equity issuance to fund this strategy, with implications for both dilution-sensitive shareholders and investors seeking leveraged exposure to the cryptocurrency.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $403.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings Through New Equity Issuance
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported that between January 5 and January 11, 2026, it raised approximately $1.25 billion in net proceeds through its at-the-market offering program, primarily via the sale of about 1.19 million shares of its 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock (STRC) and 6.83 million shares of its Class A common stock (MSTR), while leaving substantial additional capacity available for future issuance across its preferred and common securities. Over the same period, the company used roughly $1.25 billion of these proceeds to acquire 13,627 bitcoin at an average price of $91,519, bringing its total holdings to 687,410 bitcoin at an aggregate purchase cost of $51.8 billion and an average purchase price of $75,353, underscoring its continued aggressive balance-sheet concentration in bitcoin and the significance of ongoing equity issuance for funding this strategy, with implications for existing shareholders’ dilution and the firm’s risk profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $268.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Strategy updates bitcoin holdings and preliminary 2025 results
Negative
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Strategy Inc. reported recent activity under its at-the-market equity offering program, disclosing that between December 29 and 31, 2025 it sold 1,255,911 shares of its MSTR Class A common stock for net proceeds of $195.9 million, followed by an additional 735,000 MSTR shares sold between January 1 and 4, 2026 for net proceeds of $116.3 million, while leaving all preferred stock capacity under the program unused. Over the same periods, the company used ATM proceeds to acquire 3 bitcoin for $0.3 million at an average price of $88,210 between December 29 and 31, 2025 and 1,283 bitcoin for $116.0 million at an average price of $90,391 between January 1 and 4, 2026, bringing its total holdings to 673,783 bitcoin at an aggregate purchase price of about $75.03 billion and an average purchase price around $50,500 as of January 4, 2026. In a preliminary financial update for the year and fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, Strategy reported an unrealized loss on digital assets of $5.40 billion for the full year and $17.44 billion for the quarter, partially offset by associated deferred tax benefits of $1.55 billion and $5.01 billion respectively, with a digital asset carrying value of $58.85 billion and a related deferred tax liability of $2.42 billion at year-end; management emphasized that these figures have not yet been audited or reviewed by its external auditor. The company also disclosed that, as of January 4, 2026, it maintained a $2.25 billion U.S. dollar reserve to support dividend and interest payments, a balance it may adjust at its discretion in response to market conditions and liquidity needs, underscoring both the scale of its leveraged exposure to bitcoin price volatility and the liquidity framework it uses to service capital providers.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Strategy Declares Monthly Dividend at Higher Preferred Rate
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Strategy Inc. increased the regular annual dividend rate on its Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock from 10.75% to 11.00%, effective for monthly periods beginning January 1, 2026, signaling an enhanced return for preferred shareholders. On January 2, 2026, the company’s board declared a cash dividend of $0.916666667 per share for this preferred series for the month ending January 31, 2026, reflecting the new 11.00% annual rate, while reiterating that its online dashboard remains a key channel for broad, non-exclusionary disclosure of financial, digital-asset and other company information to the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy Expands Bitcoin Treasury Using ATM Stock Proceeds
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Strategy Inc. reported that, between December 22 and December 28, 2025, it sold 663,450 shares of its MSTR Class A common stock through its at-the-market offering program, generating net proceeds of $108.8 million, while leaving substantial capacity available for future issuances of multiple preferred stock series and additional common shares. Over the same period, the company used the $108.8 million in ATM proceeds to acquire 1,229 bitcoin at an average price of $88,568 per BTC, bringing its total holdings as of December 28, 2025 to 672,497 bitcoin purchased for an aggregate $50.44 billion at an average cost of $74,997 per BTC, underscoring its continued strategy of expanding its large bitcoin treasury, information about which it disseminates through its public dashboard for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Strategy Highlights Liquidity Boost and Bitcoin Reserve Stability
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Strategy Inc. reported that, between December 15 and 21, 2025, it sold 4,535,000 shares of its Class A common stock under its at-the-market offering program, generating net proceeds of $747.8 million, while leaving significant remaining capacity to issue various series of preferred stock and additional common shares. Over the same period, the company made no new bitcoin purchases, keeping its holdings at 671,268 BTC acquired for an aggregate $50.33 billion at an average cost of $74,972 per bitcoin, and disclosed that a US dollar reserve first established on December 1, 2025 at $1.44 billion to support preferred dividends and debt service had grown to $2.19 billion by December 21, 2025, underscoring a focus on liquidity management and balance-sheet flexibility alongside transparent disclosures via its online dashboard.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Strategy Inc Expands Bitcoin Holdings with Recent Sales
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Strategy Inc announced updates regarding its at-the-market offering program and bitcoin holdings. During the period from December 8 to December 14, 2025, the company sold various securities, generating significant net proceeds and maintaining substantial availability for future issuance. Additionally, Strategy acquired 10,645 bitcoins using proceeds from these sales, reflecting its strategic focus on cryptocurrency investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Strategy Inc Updates on Bitcoin and Stock Sales
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Strategy Inc, a company involved in securities and bitcoin transactions, announced updates on its at-the-market offering program and bitcoin holdings. During the period from December 1 to December 7, 2025, Strategy sold 442,536 shares of STRD Stock, generating net proceeds of $34.9 million, and acquired 10,624 bitcoins at an aggregate purchase price of $962.7 million. These transactions highlight Strategy’s active engagement in the securities and cryptocurrency markets, potentially impacting its financial position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Hold with a $183.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Strategy Appoints New EVP Amid Financial Updates
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Strategy Inc announced the appointment of Thomas C. Chow as Executive Vice President & General Counsel, following Wei-Ming Shao’s retirement. Chow brings over 20 years of experience in legal and operational leadership across digital asset, fintech, and software industries. Additionally, Strategy established a $1.44 billion USD Reserve to support dividend payments and updated its fiscal year 2025 earnings guidance and Bitcoin key performance indicator targets, reflecting recent Bitcoin price fluctuations. These strategic moves aim to strengthen Strategy’s financial stability and reinforce its position in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSTR) stock is a Buy with a $705.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strategy stock, see the MSTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026