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Strategy (MSTR)
NASDAQ:MSTR

Strategy (MSTR) AI Stock Analysis

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Strategy

(NASDAQ:MSTR)

55Neutral
MSTR's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flow, which weigh heavily on its assessment. The company's strategic focus on Bitcoin and recent capital raising provide potential upside, yet valuation uncertainties and market volatility pose risks. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but caution is warranted.
Positive Factors
Bitcoin Accumulation
Strategy Incorporated's ability to accelerate its accumulation of bitcoin has continued to increase as its platform has scaled.
Capital Raising
Strategy meaningfully raised 2025 guidance for key metrics and doubled its capital raising plan to $84B through 2027.
Shareholder Value
MSTR now trades at 2.13x its net asset value, a level viewed as attractive given the company's demonstrated ability to create shareholder value through its treasury operations.
Negative Factors
Bitcoin Price Impact
Net operating loss came in significantly lower than estimate due to unrealized loss of $5.9B on their digital assets driven by the decline in Bitcoin's price.
Earnings
MSTR reported a 1Q25 loss per diluted share of $16.49 due to an unrealized fair value loss on its bitcoin holdings.
Financial Performance
MSTR reported 1Q25 results with revenue of $111.1M, down 3.6% y/y, which was below forecast and consensus.

Strategy (MSTR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Strategy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) is a leading global provider of enterprise analytics and mobility software. The company is renowned for its business intelligence solutions that empower businesses to analyze vast amounts of data to uncover actionable insights. Headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia, MicroStrategy serves a diverse range of sectors including finance, healthcare, retail, and government by providing robust analytics platforms, data visualization, and cloud-based services.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicroStrategy primarily generates revenue through the sale of software licenses and subscriptions, as well as through support and services. The company's key revenue streams include licensing fees for its powerful analytics platform, which businesses utilize to gain deep insights into their data. Additionally, MicroStrategy offers cloud-based subscriptions that provide clients with scalable and flexible analytics solutions. The company also earns from consulting services, offering expertise to help organizations implement and optimize their analytics strategies. Significant partnerships with technology giants and integrators further bolster their market presence and revenue generation capabilities.

Strategy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Bitcoins Held
Bitcoins Held
Shows the amount of Bitcoin the company holds, reflecting its investment strategy and exposure to cryptocurrency market fluctuations.
Chart InsightsStrategy's aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy has significantly increased their holdings, now at 553,555 bitcoins, reflecting a strong commitment to cryptocurrency as a core asset. The recent earnings call highlighted their innovative capital market strategies, including raising $6.6 billion through equity offerings and issuing convertible notes. Despite a decline in software revenues and Bitcoin price volatility impacting earnings, Strategy's strategic focus on Bitcoin and capital efficiency positions them as a market leader, with ambitious targets for 2025 and beyond, including a 25% BTC yield and $15 billion BTC dollar gain.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Strategy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces significant financial challenges with high leverage, substantial net losses, and negative cash flow. Despite a strong gross profit margin, it struggles with profitability and cash generation, posing risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reveals a challenging situation with significant net losses and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin remains robust at approximately 70.94%, indicating effective cost management in generating gross profits. However, the net profit margin is deeply negative due to substantial net losses, and revenue has declined over the past year, suggesting struggles in generating top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a high level of leverage with a concerning debt-to-equity ratio due to low equity. The equity ratio is low, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative, driven by negative net income and low equity levels, pointing to profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement shows significant negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow difficulties. The company faces challenges in generating positive cash flow, impacting its financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
463.46M496.26M499.26M510.76M480.74M
Gross Profit
333.99M386.32M396.27M418.85M389.68M
EBIT
-1.85B-115.05M6.08M876.72M127.77M
EBITDA
-1.85B-44.30M-1.26B-770.88M6.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.17B429.12M-1.47B-535.48M-7.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
38.12M46.82M43.84M63.36M59.67M
Total Assets
25.84B4.76B2.41B3.56B1.47B
Total Debt
7.25B2.25B2.45B2.23B570.69M
Net Debt
7.21B2.21B2.40B2.17B511.02M
Total Liabilities
7.61B2.60B2.79B2.58B912.57M
Stockholders Equity
18.23B2.16B-383.12M978.96M553.04M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-53.03M-1.89B-287.20M-2.54B-1.08B
Operating Cash Flow
-53.03M12.71M3.21M93.83M53.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-22.09B-1.91B-278.59M-2.63B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow
22.13B1.89B265.19M2.54B563.23M

Strategy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price416.03
Price Trends
50DMA
313.47
Positive
100DMA
326.73
Positive
200DMA
271.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
25.90
Negative
RSI
71.70
Negative
STOCH
78.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 416.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 351.73, above the 50-day MA of 313.47, and above the 200-day MA of 271.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 25.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.70 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSTR.

Strategy Risk Analysis

Strategy disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Strategy reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Strategy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$66.56B127.016.15%16.94%-62.24%
73
Outperform
$59.64B54.6549.69%12.35%22.28%
73
Outperform
$50.16B88.77-47.82%14.72%21.81%
72
Outperform
$56.28B-31.43%29.21%-51.47%
70
Outperform
$54.73B-34.33%19.12%-161.42%
60
Neutral
$10.94B10.37-6.73%2.98%7.75%-12.61%
55
Neutral
$105.42B-29.68%-6.19%-3736.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSTR
Strategy
416.03
297.98
252.42%
ADSK
Autodesk
287.48
69.71
32.01%
FICO
Fair Isaac
2,088.22
759.61
57.17%
WDAY
Workday
259.18
12.84
5.21%
TEAM
Atlassian
207.52
27.77
15.45%
SNOW
Snowflake
174.14
16.99
10.81%

Strategy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong strategic focus on Bitcoin and innovative financial strategies, resulting in significant capital raising and market leadership in Bitcoin holdings. Despite challenges in the software segment and market perception of credit instruments, the company's performance metrics and innovative approaches contribute to a largely positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Largest Corporate Holder of Bitcoin
Strategy remains the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin in the world, holding 553,555 bitcoins with a total market value of $52 billion as of April 28, 2025.
Record Bitcoin Acquisition and Market Developments
Acquired an additional 106,085 bitcoins for $9.9 billion, averaging $93,600 per Bitcoin. The Trump administration recognized Bitcoin as a national reserve asset, boosting institutional interest.
Successful Capital Raising
Raised $6.6 billion through ATM equity offerings, $2 billion via convertible notes, and $1.4 billion through preferred stock. Demonstrates strong investor support and market access.
Outperforming Major Indices and Companies
Since adopting the Bitcoin strategy in 2020, MicroStrategy stock has appreciated 2,887%, outperforming Bitcoin itself and every S&P 500 company, including NVIDIA.
Innovative Financial Instrument Issuances
Issued new preferred stocks 'Strike' and 'Strife', offering attractive returns and trading volumes, successfully tapping into new investor classes.
Negative Updates
Decline in Software Revenues
Total software revenues were approximately $111 million, down 3.6% year-over-year, attributed to lower product license and support revenues.
Impact of Bitcoin Price Volatility on Earnings
Q1 experienced a $5.9 billion unrealized fair market value loss due to Bitcoin price decline from $93,400 to $82,400.
High Volatility and Market Perception Challenges
Challenges in achieving favorable credit ratings for convertible and preferred securities due to traditional market practices and perceptions.
Company Guidance
During the recent earnings call, Strategy provided comprehensive guidance reflecting their ongoing commitment to Bitcoin and innovative capital market strategies. The company now holds 553,555 bitcoins, valued at $52 billion as of April 28, 2025. In the first four months of 2025, they acquired an additional 106,085 bitcoins at an average price of $93,600 each. Strategy raised $6.6 billion through an ATM equity offering and issued a $2 billion convertible note, along with $1.4 billion from preferred stock offerings. They announced an ambitious "42-42" capital plan, targeting $42 billion in equity and $42 billion in fixed income by the end of 2027. The company is raising its 2025 BTC yield target to 25% and its BTC dollar gain target to $15 billion, reflecting confidence in further shareholder value creation. The call also highlighted Strategy's capital markets innovation, aiming to maintain a disciplined leverage ratio between 20% and 30%, while emphasizing a strong focus on capital efficiency and strategic Bitcoin accumulation.

Strategy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy’s Recent Bitcoin Acquisition and Share Sales
Neutral
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated, operating as Strategy, announced updates regarding its at-the-market offering programs and bitcoin holdings. The company reported that during the period from April 28 to May 4, 2025, it sold 353,825 MSTR shares for $128.5 million and 575,392 STRK shares for $51.8 million. Additionally, Strategy acquired 1,895 bitcoins at an aggregate purchase price of $180.3 million, increasing its total holdings to 555,450 bitcoins valued at $38.08 billion. These transactions were funded through proceeds from its ATM programs, highlighting Strategy’s ongoing strategic focus on leveraging its financial instruments to bolster its bitcoin investments.

Spark’s Take on MSTR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MSTR is a Neutral.

MSTR’s overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flow, which weigh heavily on its assessment. The company’s strategic focus on Bitcoin and recent capital raising provide potential upside, yet valuation uncertainties and market volatility pose risks. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but caution is warranted.

To see Spark’s full report on MSTR stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy Reports Major ATM Offering and Bitcoin Acquisition
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated, operating under the name Strategy, announced updates regarding its at-the-market (ATM) offering programs and bitcoin holdings. The company reported that between April 21 and April 27, 2025, it sold 4,020,000 MSTR shares, generating net proceeds of $1.40 billion, and 435,069 STRK shares, resulting in $37.5 million. Additionally, Strategy acquired 15,355 bitcoins for $1.42 billion, raising its total bitcoin holdings to 553,555 with an aggregate purchase price of $37.90 billion. These updates reflect Strategy’s continued focus on leveraging its ATM programs and bitcoin investments to bolster its financial position.

Spark’s Take on MSTR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MSTR is a Neutral.

Strategy’s stock presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario. The company faces significant financial challenges with high leverage and cash flow issues, impacting financial performance. However, strong growth in cloud services and strategic capital maneuvers in Bitcoin provide potential upside. Valuation remains uncertain due to negative earnings, while recent corporate events suggest strategic progress.

To see Spark’s full report on MSTR stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings with Recent Share Sales
Positive
Apr 21, 2025

On April 21, 2025, Strategy announced updates regarding its at-the-market offering programs and Bitcoin holdings. Between April 14 and April 20, 2025, the company sold 1,755,000 MSTR shares, generating $547.7 million, and 91,213 STRK shares, raising $7.8 million. The proceeds from these sales were used to acquire 6,556 Bitcoins, bringing the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 538,200, with an aggregate purchase price of $36.47 billion. These actions underscore Strategy’s ongoing commitment to leveraging its capital market activities to bolster its cryptocurrency portfolio, potentially enhancing its market position and offering significant implications for stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on MSTR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MSTR is a Neutral.

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, faces significant financial challenges with high leverage and cash flow issues, impacting its financial performance score. While innovative strategies in Bitcoin and cloud services show promise, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield present valuation concerns. The earnings call and corporate events suggest strategic progress, but financial instability and regulatory risks remain prominent. Overall, Strategy’s stock presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario.

To see Spark’s full report on MSTR stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy Updates on Stock Offering and Bitcoin Holdings
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Strategy announced updates to its at-the-market offering programs and bitcoin holdings. Between April 7 and April 13, 2025, the company sold 959,712 shares of its Class A Common Stock, raising $285.7 million, and acquired 3,459 bitcoins for $285.8 million. These transactions reflect Strategy’s ongoing efforts to manage its securities and cryptocurrency assets effectively, potentially impacting its financial strategy and market positioning.

Spark’s Take on MSTR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MSTR is a Neutral.

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, faces significant financial challenges with high leverage and cash flow issues, impacting its financial performance score. While innovative strategies in Bitcoin and cloud services show promise, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield present valuation concerns. The earnings call and corporate events suggest strategic progress, but financial instability and regulatory risks remain prominent. Overall, Strategy’s stock presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario.

To see Spark’s full report on MSTR stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MicroStrategy Faces Challenges with Debt and Regulations
Negative
Apr 7, 2025

MicroStrategy Incorporated has highlighted potential challenges related to its Perpetual Strike Preferred Stock and its substantial indebtedness. The company anticipates that regulatory actions could impact investors’ ability to engage in convertible arbitrage strategies, potentially affecting the trading price and liquidity of its preferred stock. Additionally, MicroStrategy’s significant debt load, which includes various convertible notes, may limit its financial flexibility and ability to pursue its bitcoin strategy and other business opportunities. The company faces risks related to its ability to service its debt, which could lead to financial instability or necessitate asset sales or restructuring.

Spark’s Take on MSTR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MSTR is a Neutral.

Strategy faces significant financial challenges, primarily due to its high leverage and operational inefficiencies. However, strong growth in subscription services and strategic capital maneuvers, particularly in Bitcoin, provide potential upside. The valuation remains uncertain due to negative earnings and high volatility, while technical indicators show mixed signals. Overall, the stock presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario.

To see Spark’s full report on MSTR stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Strategy Updates Offering Programs and Bitcoin Holdings
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Strategy, operating as MicroStrategy Incorporated, announced updates to its at-the-market offering programs and bitcoin holdings as of March 31, 2025. The company sold 3,645,528 shares of its Class A Common Stock, generating $1.20 billion in net proceeds, and 213,807 shares of its 8.00% series A perpetual strike preferred stock, raising $18.52 million. Additionally, Strategy completed a public offering of 8,500,000 shares of its 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock, expecting net proceeds of approximately $711.2 million. In the same period, the company acquired 22,048 bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to 528,185 bitcoins, with a total purchase price of $35.63 billion.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy’s Bold Bitcoin Acquisition Strategy in 2025
Neutral
Mar 24, 2025

Between March 17 and March 23, 2025, Strategy sold 1,975,000 shares of its class A common stock, generating approximately $592.6 million, and 13,100 shares of its preferred stock, raising about $1.1 million. The proceeds were used to purchase 6,911 bitcoins for $584.1 million, increasing the company’s total bitcoin holdings to approximately 506,137 bitcoins, acquired at an average price of $66,608 per bitcoin. This move underscores Strategy’s aggressive investment in bitcoin, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy Increases Bitcoin Holdings with Recent Stock Sale
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

MicroStrategy Incorporated, operating as Strategy, announced that between March 10 and March 16, 2025, it did not sell any shares of its class A common stock under its at-the-market offering program. However, during the same period, the company sold 123,000 shares of its 8.00% series A perpetual strike preferred stock, generating approximately $10.7 million in net proceeds. Additionally, the company used these proceeds to acquire approximately 130 bitcoins at an average price of $82,981 per bitcoin, increasing its total bitcoin holdings to approximately 499,226 bitcoins.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy Announces $21 Billion Stock Sales Agreement
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Strategy announced a sales agreement with multiple agents to issue and sell up to $21 billion of its 8.00% series A perpetual strike preferred stock, convertible into class A common stock. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including Bitcoin acquisition and working capital. The sales will be conducted at the market through various methods, with no obligation for Strategy or agents to buy or sell any shares. The announcement reflects Strategy’s ongoing commitment to leveraging its financial strategies to enhance its market positioning and operational capabilities.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Strategy Announces Dividend Amid Bitcoin Holdings Update
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

MicroStrategy Incorporated, operating as Strategy, announced on March 3, 2025, that it did not sell any shares of class A common stock or purchase any bitcoin between February 24, 2025, and March 2, 2025. As of March 2, 2025, the company held approximately 499,096 bitcoins, acquired at a total cost of about $33.1 billion. Additionally, the board declared a quarterly cash dividend of approximately $1.24 per share on its 8.00% series A perpetual strike preferred stock, payable on March 31, 2025, to stockholders of record as of March 15, 2025.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Strategy’s Recent Bitcoin Acquisition and Financial Moves
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Between January 1, 2025, and February 23, 2025, Strategy company reported a BTC Yield of 6.9%, a BTC Gain of 30,702, and a BTC $ Gain of $2.941 billion. The company completed a private offering of 0% convertible senior notes due 2030, raising approximately $1.99 billion, which was used to acquire 20,356 bitcoins. As of February 23, 2025, the company held 499,096 bitcoins. These metrics indicate the company’s strategy of acquiring bitcoin to enhance shareholder value, although they do not account for liabilities or predict stock trading prices.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
MicroStrategy to Redeem Convertible Senior Notes in 2025
Neutral
Feb 18, 2025

MicroStrategy, a company known for its significant holdings in bitcoin, announced that it did not engage in any bitcoin purchases or sales of class A common stock between February 10 and February 17, 2025. As of February 17, 2025, MicroStrategy and its subsidiaries held approximately 478,740 bitcoins at an average purchase price of $65,033 per bitcoin. Additionally, the company plans to redeem its 0.0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027 on February 24, 2025, with conversion requests already received for a significant portion of the notes, leading to the issuance of over 6 million shares.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MicroStrategy Boosts Bitcoin Holdings Amidst Financial Maneuvers
Positive
Feb 10, 2025

MicroStrategy Incorporated, operating as Strategy, announced significant activities between January 1, 2025, and February 9, 2025, including a 4.1% increase in BTC Yield, a BTC Gain of 18,527, and a BTC $ Gain of $1.785 billion. As of February 9, 2025, the company held 478,740 bitcoins acquired at an aggregate cost of $31.1 billion. During the same period, the company sold 516,413 shares under a sales agreement, generating $179 million, and completed a public offering of preferred stock netting approximately $563.4 million. These financial maneuvers were used to acquire 7,633 bitcoins for roughly $742.4 million, enhancing their strategic bitcoin holdings. Additionally, the company announced the redemption of its 2027 Convertible Notes, with significant conversion requests received, impacting the company’s share structure.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.