Autodesk (ADSK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $46.83B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.25M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 43.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.06
• Revenue Growth: 15.62%
• EPS Growth: 2.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 15,300
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 2.85
• Shares Outstanding: 212,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,288,768
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,253,064
• PEG Ratio: 2.57
• Price to Book (P/B): 25.54
• Price to Sales (P/S): 10.92
• P/FCF Ratio: 44.48
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.04
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.07
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.74
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 29.14
• 1Y Price Target: $339.50
• Price Target Upside: 51.02% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19
• EPS Forecast (FY): 11.59
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $7.96B

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $246.00 ▲(9.43% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/27/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/27/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins and strong cash conversion) and a constructive earnings update with raised guidance, partially offset by weak technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a premium valuation (P/E 43.64). Restructuring adds some execution risk but is paired with an improved outlook.

Positive Factors

High Margins

Autodesk's extremely high gross margin and healthy operating/net margins reflect durable software economics and subscription-based revenue. This margin profile supports sustained profitability, funds R&D and AI/cloud investment, and provides resilience through industry cyclicality over the next several quarters.

Strong Cash Generation

Robust free cash flow growth and near-2x operating cash conversion show persistent cash generation from core operations. Reliable FCF supports strategic investments, share repurchases, and balance sheet flexibility, reducing reliance on external funding during multi-year platform and AI investments.

Successful Transaction Transition

The new transaction model is already monetizing the platform and boosting billings and revenue, validating the go-to-market shift. A working transition that adds predictable billings enhances long-term revenue visibility and positions Autodesk for platform-driven expansion and higher lifetime customer value.

Negative Factors

Restructuring Execution Risk

A ~7% workforce reduction in customer-facing teams and $135M-$160M of charges introduces execution risk in sales coverage and customer relationships. If sales productivity drops during the reorg, revenue and renewal dynamics could be disrupted, delaying intended efficiency gains over several quarters.

Margin Pressure from Model Change

Shifting transaction and recognition mechanics can compress reported operating margins even as underlying economics improve. Expected FY2027 headwinds mean GAAP/operating margin metrics may worsen temporarily, complicating performance comparability and pressuring near-term profitability metrics.

Moderate Leverage

A nearly 1.0 debt-to-equity ratio signals moderate leverage for a software company. While current cash generation mitigates risk, leverage limits strategic flexibility for large M&A and increases sensitivity to interest rates or macro slowdowns, posing a multi-quarter financing constraint if conditions worsen.

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Autodesk generates revenue primarily through software subscriptions and maintenance plans. The company offers a range of subscription options, including monthly, annual, and multi-year plans, which provide users with access to its software products and services. This transition to a subscription model has allowed Autodesk to create a more predictable revenue stream and improve customer retention. Key revenue streams also include sales of cloud services, consulting, and training services. Additionally, Autodesk benefits from partnerships with hardware manufacturers, educational institutions, and industry-specific organizations, which enhance its market reach and provide integrated solutions to customers.

Autodesk Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and efficiency (91.25% gross margin, 16.14% net margin, 22.20% EBIT margin) supported by solid cash generation (12.26% FCF growth; operating cash flow to net income 1.94). Balance sheet is generally healthy with strong ROE (40.97%), though leverage is moderate (0.95 debt-to-equity), which tempers the score.

Income Statement

Autodesk's income statement reflects strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 91.25% TTM and a solid net profit margin of 16.14% TTM. Revenue growth is steady at 4.34% TTM, indicating consistent expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 22.20% and 24.25% TTM, respectively, showcasing efficient operations. Overall, the income statement demonstrates a healthy financial performance with strong margins and growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is strong at 40.97% TTM, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 25.83% TTM, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a healthy ROE, the leverage could pose potential risks if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a significant free cash flow growth rate of 12.26% TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.94 TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 98.14% TTM, demonstrating effective cash management. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects a strong cash position with excellent growth and conversion metrics.

Breakdown	TTM	Jan 2025	Jan 2024	Jan 2023	Jan 2022	Jan 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.88B	6.13B	5.44B	4.95B	4.40B	3.79B
Gross Profit	6.28B	5.55B	4.89B	4.43B	3.94B	3.42B
EBITDA	1.67B	1.55B	1.27B	1.17B	789.00M	720.80M
Net Income	1.11B	1.11B	906.00M	823.00M	497.00M	1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.20B	10.83B	9.91B	9.44B	8.61B	7.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.29B	1.89B	2.25B	2.07B	1.76B	1.86B
Total Debt	2.73B	2.56B	2.63B	2.67B	3.06B	2.10B
Total Liabilities	8.30B	8.21B	8.06B	8.29B	7.76B	6.31B
Stockholders Equity	2.89B	2.62B	1.85B	1.15B	849.10M	965.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	2.12B	1.50B	1.28B	2.02B	1.46B	1.34B
Operating Cash Flow	2.15B	1.61B	1.31B	2.07B	1.53B	1.44B
Investing Cash Flow	-168.00M	-903.00M	-502.00M	-143.00M	-1.59B	-403.90M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.44B	-987.00M	-852.00M	-1.49B	-168.60M	-1.05B

Autodesk Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 224.81
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADSK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 224.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 237.20, below the 50-day MA of 265.20, and below the 200-day MA of 293.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADSK.

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PTC	73 Outperform	$18.27B	22.51	23.34%	―	19.18%	96.62%
CDNS	72 Outperform	$79.24B	74.40	21.85%	―	19.72%	1.59%
BSY	71 Outperform	$9.82B	39.06	24.16%	0.72%	11.12%	-26.24%
ADSK	69 Neutral	$46.83B	43.64	40.33%	―	15.62%	2.59%
DDOG	65 Neutral	$36.83B	372.48	3.34%	―	26.63%	-46.13%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
TEAM	56 Neutral	$18.84B	-101.74	-13.47%	―	19.51%	53.35%

Autodesk Corporate Events

Autodesk Posts Strong Q4 FY2026 Results, Demand Robust

Autodesk reported strong fiscal 2026 fourth quarter and full-year results on February 26, 2026, with quarterly revenue up 19% year over year to $1.96 billion and billings up 33%, driven by broad-based growth across design, make and other product categories. The company highlighted outperformance in its AECO segment, particularly construction and emerging markets, expanding operating margins, robust free cash flow of $972 million, and a 20% rise in remaining performance obligations to $8.3 billion, underscoring solid underlying demand even as it prepares a sales optimization plan that could temporarily affect billings and revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Hold with a $236.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.

Autodesk Announces Global Restructuring and Raises Financial Outlook

On January 22, 2026, Autodesk announced a worldwide restructuring that will eliminate about 7% of its global workforce, or roughly 1,000 roles, primarily in customer-facing sales teams, marking the final phase of a multi-year sales and marketing optimization tied to its go-to-market transformation. The company plans to reallocate part of the associated cost savings to accelerate strategic priorities in AI, platforms, industry clouds and corporate functions, and expects to incur $135 million to $160 million in pre-tax restructuring charges, mostly in cash, with $90 million to $110 million booked in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 and the remainder through fiscal 2027, when the plan is slated for completion. Despite the cuts, Autodesk reported that execution in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 remained strong and now expects billings, revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, non-GAAP EPS and free cash flow for both the quarter and the full year to exceed the top end of its prior guidance, underscoring management’s confidence that the organizational reset will support higher efficiency and long-term growth rather than reflecting external weakness or a shift to replacing employees with AI.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Buy with a $282.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.