Autodesk (ADSK)
NASDAQ:ADSK
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Autodesk (ADSK) AI Stock Analysis

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ADSK

Autodesk

(NASDAQ:ADSK)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$331.00
▲(10.56% Upside)
Autodesk's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, indicating robust growth and profitability. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The company's strategic focus on cloud and AI investments positions it well for future growth, but macroeconomic uncertainties and high P/E ratio present potential risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Autodesk's strong revenue growth indicates effective market expansion and product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Subscription-Based Model
The subscription model provides a steady revenue stream, enhances customer retention, and allows for ongoing product updates, supporting long-term growth.
Operating Margin Improvements
Improved operating margins reflect efficient cost management and operational scalability, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macroeconomic uncertainties can impact demand and financial performance, posing risks to growth and strategic planning.
Tough Comparisons Ahead
Facing tough year-over-year comparisons may pressure growth metrics, challenging investor expectations and market confidence.
Low Equity Ratio
A low equity ratio indicates reliance on debt, which can limit financial flexibility and increase risk if debt levels rise.

Autodesk (ADSK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutodesk, Inc. is a leading American software company that specializes in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software. Founded in 1982, Autodesk is best known for its AutoCAD software, which supports architects, engineers, and construction professionals in their design and drafting tasks. The company operates in various sectors, including architecture, engineering, construction (AEC), manufacturing, and media and entertainment. Its core products and services include software solutions like Revit, Maya, and Fusion 360, which cater to a wide range of industries, enabling users to create, visualize, and simulate their designs.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutodesk primarily generates revenue through a subscription-based model, offering its software products and services on a recurring basis. This model allows the company to provide ongoing updates and support to its customers while ensuring a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for individual software licenses, enterprise agreements for large organizations, and cloud-based services that enhance collaboration and accessibility. Additionally, Autodesk benefits from strategic partnerships with major industry players, educational institutions, and resellers, further expanding its market reach and driving sales. The company's strong focus on innovation and development of new features also helps retain existing customers and attract new ones.

Autodesk Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Highlights the predictable revenue stream from subscription-based services, indicating business stability and customer retention strength.
Chart InsightsAutodesk's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) shows a steady upward trend, reflecting strong business fundamentals. The latest earnings call highlights impressive revenue and billings growth, driven by strategic investments in AI and cloud platforms. Despite restructuring impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company's momentum remains robust, with significant contributions from a new transaction model. However, softness in the Asia Pacific region could pose challenges. Overall, Autodesk's strategic focus and partnerships are paying off, positioning it well for continued growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Autodesk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue and operating margins. Increased guidance and robust cash flow indicate a positive outlook despite some macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipated tough comparisons in the future.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Autodesk delivered strong Q2 results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share topping the higher end of guidance ranges. Revenue grew 17% as reported and 18% in constant currency.
Increased Guidance
Autodesk raised its full-year guidance for billings to $7.355 billion to $7.445 billion and revenue to $7.025 billion to $7.075 billion.
Operating Margin Improvements
Second quarter GAAP and non-GAAP operating margins increased to 25% and 39%, with expectations of reaching 41% in fiscal '29.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow for Q2 was $451 million, benefiting from earlier billing timings, with full-year guidance raised by $88 million to $2.2 billion to $2.275 billion.
Strong AECO and Construction Growth
Strength in AECO driven by sustained investment in data centers, infrastructure, and industrial buildings.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Autodesk faces an uncertain geopolitical, macroeconomic, and policy environment, affecting future outlooks.
Tough Comparisons Ahead
Autodesk anticipates tougher billing and revenue growth comparisons, particularly in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Autodesk provided detailed financial guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting several key metrics. The company surpassed expectations in the second quarter with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share exceeding the upper end of guidance ranges. Billings increased by 36% as reported and 34% in constant currency, reflecting a significant shift to annual billings for most multiyear contracts and the transition to a new transaction model. Total revenue grew by 17% as reported and 18% in constant currency, while free cash flow reached $451 million. Autodesk raised its full-year guidance, expecting billings between $7.355 billion and $7.445 billion, revenue between $7.025 billion and $7.075 billion, and non-GAAP operating margin to approximately 37%. Additionally, the company increased its share repurchase targets to between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion. Autodesk is focused on driving long-term shareholder value through strategic investments in cloud, platform, and AI, while also optimizing sales and marketing efforts to enhance operating margins.

Autodesk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Autodesk demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, high profitability, and efficient cash management. The balance sheet is solid, though there is potential to increase equity proportion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Autodesk demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $6.35 billion, up from $5.44 billion in 2024, indicating robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin is impressive at 90.53%, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 18.53%, showing significant profitability. Revenue growth and expanding margins indicate a positive financial trajectory.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90, reflecting balanced leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 44.94%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profit. An equity ratio of 24.71% suggests a reasonable level of equity financing. The balance sheet reflects sound financial health, although there is room for improvement in equity proportion.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Autodesk's cash flow analysis shows strong operational efficiency with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.43, indicating healthy cash generation relative to profit. Free cash flow grew by 6.72% from the previous year, underscoring solid cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.37, highlighting effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.60B6.13B5.44B4.95B4.40B3.79B
Gross Profit5.97B5.55B4.89B4.43B3.94B3.42B
EBITDA1.60B1.55B1.27B1.17B789.00M720.80M
Net Income1.04B1.11B906.00M823.00M497.00M1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.86B10.83B9.91B9.44B8.61B7.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.24B1.89B2.25B2.07B1.76B1.86B
Total Debt2.73B2.56B2.63B2.67B3.06B2.10B
Total Liabilities8.14B8.21B8.06B8.29B7.76B6.31B
Stockholders Equity2.71B2.62B1.85B1.15B849.10M965.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.88B1.50B1.28B2.02B1.46B1.34B
Operating Cash Flow1.93B1.61B1.31B2.07B1.53B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-31.00M-903.00M-502.00M-143.00M-1.59B-403.90M
Financing Cash Flow-1.40B-987.00M-852.00M-1.49B-168.60M-1.05B

Autodesk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price299.39
Price Trends
50DMA
311.81
Negative
100DMA
305.34
Negative
200DMA
293.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.18
Positive
RSI
44.05
Neutral
STOCH
55.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADSK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 299.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 303.48, below the 50-day MA of 311.81, and above the 200-day MA of 293.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADSK.

Autodesk Risk Analysis

Autodesk disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autodesk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$63.77B62.0740.20%13.99%-0.95%
73
Outperform
$85.72B81.2721.74%19.72%1.59%
72
Outperform
$64.88B626.733.52%26.63%-46.13%
68
Neutral
$13.10B52.1424.16%0.63%11.12%-26.24%
67
Neutral
$21.52B29.2621.03%19.18%96.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$40.09B-15.35%19.51%53.35%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADSK
Autodesk
299.39
-2.66
-0.88%
CDNS
Cadence Design
314.93
20.61
7.00%
PTC
PTC
179.61
-9.65
-5.10%
TEAM
Atlassian
151.79
-86.90
-36.41%
DDOG
Datadog
185.01
59.04
46.87%
BSY
Bentley Systems
43.17
-3.55
-7.60%

Autodesk Corporate Events

Autodesk’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Optimism
Sep 1, 2025

Autodesk Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a robust financial performance with significant growth in both revenue and operating margins. The sentiment during the call was overwhelmingly positive, buoyed by increased guidance and strong cash flow projections, despite some macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipated challenges in future comparisons.

Autodesk Reports Strong Q2 Earnings with Revenue Growth
Aug 29, 2025

Autodesk Inc. is a leading software company specializing in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software, with a strong focus on innovation in areas like BIM, SaaS, and generative AI.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autodesk Reports 17% Revenue Increase in Q2 2026
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Autodesk announced its fiscal 2026 second-quarter results, reporting a 17% increase in revenue to $1.76 billion, driven by strong performance in the AECO sector and unexpected strength in the Autodesk Store and billings. The company raised its full-year guidance due to the robust business performance and favorable foreign exchange conditions, highlighting its strategic focus on AI tools and industry-specific solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Buy with a $350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025