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Autodesk (ADSK)
NASDAQ:ADSK
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Autodesk (ADSK) AI Stock Analysis

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ADSK

Autodesk

(NASDAQ:ADSK)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$362.00
▲(11.80% Upside)
Autodesk's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, driving the overall score. Technical analysis suggests caution due to mixed signals, and high valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on cloud and AI investments supports a positive long-term outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Autodesk's strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for its products, showcasing effective market penetration and customer retention.
Strategic Advancements in AI
Investments in AI enhance product capabilities, driving customer value and positioning Autodesk as a leader in innovation.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management supports strategic investments and provides financial flexibility, enhancing long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Restructuring Charges Impacting Margins
Restructuring charges reduce profitability, potentially affecting short-term financial performance and necessitating careful cost management.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Global economic challenges may impact Autodesk's growth prospects, requiring strategic adjustments to navigate potential headwinds.
Challenges in Asia Pacific
Regional challenges in Asia Pacific could hinder growth, necessitating targeted strategies to mitigate impact and capitalize on opportunities.

Autodesk (ADSK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutodesk primarily generates revenue through a subscription-based model, offering its software products and services on a recurring basis. This model allows the company to provide ongoing updates and support to its customers while ensuring a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for individual software licenses, enterprise agreements for large organizations, and cloud-based services that enhance collaboration and accessibility. Additionally, Autodesk benefits from strategic partnerships with major industry players, educational institutions, and resellers, further expanding its market reach and driving sales. The company's strong focus on innovation and development of new features also helps retain existing customers and attract new ones.

Autodesk Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Highlights the predictable revenue stream from subscription-based services, indicating business stability and customer retention strength.
Chart InsightsAutodesk's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) shows a steady upward trend, reflecting strong business fundamentals. The latest earnings call highlights impressive revenue and billings growth, driven by strategic investments in AI and cloud platforms. Despite restructuring impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company's momentum remains robust, with significant contributions from a new transaction model. However, softness in the Asia Pacific region could pose challenges. Overall, Autodesk's strategic focus and partnerships are paying off, positioning it well for continued growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Autodesk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue and operating margins. Increased guidance and robust cash flow indicate a positive outlook despite some macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipated tough comparisons in the future.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Autodesk delivered strong Q2 results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share topping the higher end of guidance ranges. Revenue grew 17% as reported and 18% in constant currency.
Increased Guidance
Autodesk raised its full-year guidance for billings to $7.355 billion to $7.445 billion and revenue to $7.025 billion to $7.075 billion.
Operating Margin Improvements
Second quarter GAAP and non-GAAP operating margins increased to 25% and 39%, with expectations of reaching 41% in fiscal '29.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow for Q2 was $451 million, benefiting from earlier billing timings, with full-year guidance raised by $88 million to $2.2 billion to $2.275 billion.
Strong AECO and Construction Growth
Strength in AECO driven by sustained investment in data centers, infrastructure, and industrial buildings.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Autodesk faces an uncertain geopolitical, macroeconomic, and policy environment, affecting future outlooks.
Tough Comparisons Ahead
Autodesk anticipates tougher billing and revenue growth comparisons, particularly in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Autodesk provided detailed financial guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting several key metrics. The company surpassed expectations in the second quarter with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share exceeding the upper end of guidance ranges. Billings increased by 36% as reported and 34% in constant currency, reflecting a significant shift to annual billings for most multiyear contracts and the transition to a new transaction model. Total revenue grew by 17% as reported and 18% in constant currency, while free cash flow reached $451 million. Autodesk raised its full-year guidance, expecting billings between $7.355 billion and $7.445 billion, revenue between $7.025 billion and $7.075 billion, and non-GAAP operating margin to approximately 37%. Additionally, the company increased its share repurchase targets to between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion. Autodesk is focused on driving long-term shareholder value through strategic investments in cloud, platform, and AI, while also optimizing sales and marketing efforts to enhance operating margins.

Autodesk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Autodesk shows strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, high profitability, and efficient cash management. The balance sheet is solid with balanced leverage, though there's room for improvement in equity proportion.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Autodesk demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $6.35 billion, up from $5.44 billion in 2024, indicating robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin is impressive at 90.53%, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 18.53%, showing significant profitability. Revenue growth and expanding margins indicate a positive financial trajectory.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90, reflecting balanced leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 44.94%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profit. An equity ratio of 24.71% suggests a reasonable level of equity financing. The balance sheet reflects sound financial health, although there is room for improvement in equity proportion.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Autodesk's cash flow analysis shows strong operational efficiency with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.43, indicating healthy cash generation relative to profit. Free cash flow grew by 6.72% from the previous year, underscoring solid cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.37, highlighting effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.35B6.13B5.44B4.95B4.40B3.79B
Gross Profit5.75B5.55B4.89B4.43B3.94B3.42B
EBITDA1.49B1.55B1.27B1.17B789.00M720.80M
Net Income1.18B1.11B906.00M823.00M497.00M1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.59B10.83B9.91B9.44B8.61B7.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.04B1.89B2.25B2.07B1.76B1.86B
Total Debt2.35B2.56B2.63B2.67B3.06B2.10B
Total Liabilities7.97B8.21B8.06B8.29B7.76B6.31B
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.62B1.85B1.15B849.10M965.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.61B1.50B1.28B2.02B1.46B1.34B
Operating Cash Flow1.68B1.61B1.31B2.07B1.53B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-207.00M-903.00M-502.00M-143.00M-1.59B-403.90M
Financing Cash Flow-1.34B-987.00M-852.00M-1.49B-168.60M-1.05B

Autodesk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price323.80
Price Trends
50DMA
299.99
Positive
100DMA
295.06
Positive
200DMA
290.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.31
Negative
RSI
67.80
Neutral
STOCH
91.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 323.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 300.85, above the 50-day MA of 299.99, and above the 200-day MA of 290.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADSK.

Autodesk Risk Analysis

Autodesk disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autodesk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$69.61B67.4240.20%13.99%-0.95%
77
Outperform
$25.48B48.1015.71%11.42%72.60%
75
Outperform
$98.27B97.8921.84%22.29%-4.94%
69
Neutral
$16.48B69.3623.69%0.49%10.45%-32.43%
68
Neutral
$47.58B405.844.45%26.00%-25.64%
61
Neutral
$36.58B11.16-10.43%1.86%8.71%-7.09%
58
Neutral
$45.31B-21.58%19.66%15.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADSK
Autodesk
323.80
64.33
24.79%
CDNS
Cadence Design
338.53
68.63
25.43%
PTC
PTC
204.50
33.56
19.63%
TEAM
Atlassian
174.32
8.63
5.21%
DDOG
Datadog
139.13
29.50
26.91%
BSY
Bentley Systems
52.65
4.05
8.33%

Autodesk Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autodesk Reports 17% Revenue Increase in Q2 2026
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Autodesk announced its fiscal 2026 second-quarter results, reporting a 17% increase in revenue to $1.76 billion, driven by strong performance in the AECO sector and unexpected strength in the Autodesk Store and billings. The company raised its full-year guidance due to the robust business performance and favorable foreign exchange conditions, highlighting its strategic focus on AI tools and industry-specific solutions.

Business Operations and Strategy
Autodesk Reaffirms Strategic Priorities Amid Global Risks
Neutral
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Autodesk reaffirmed its commitment to enhancing shareholder value through strategic priorities in cloud, platform, and AI, optimizing sales and marketing for higher margins, and investing in organic growth and acquisitions. The company also highlighted potential risks, including global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, and technological changes, which could impact its operations and financial results.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Autodesk Confirms New Board Members and Audit Roles
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Autodesk announced the appointment of Jeff Epstein and A. Christine Simons to its Board of Directors, with their roles on the Audit Committee confirmed on June 18, 2025. The company also held its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders, where ten directors were elected, and several proposals, including the amendment of the 2022 Equity Incentive Plan, were approved.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Autodesk Receives Legal Opinion on 5.300% Notes
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Autodesk, Inc. received a legal opinion from Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati regarding the legality of its 5.300% Notes due 2035. This follows the underwriting agreement dated June 3, 2025, with major financial institutions like Citigroup Global Markets Inc., BofA Securities, Inc., and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC. The issuance of these notes is part of Autodesk’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025