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Autodesk (ADSK)
NASDAQ:ADSK

Autodesk (ADSK) AI Stock Analysis

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ADSK

Autodesk

(NASDAQ:ADSK)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$338.00
▲(14.97% Upside)
Autodesk's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are the most significant factors. The high valuation and mixed technical indicators slightly temper the score. The company's strategic focus on AI and cloud capabilities positions it well for future growth, but macroeconomic uncertainties and leverage management remain key considerations.

Autodesk (ADSK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutodesk, Inc. is a global leader in software design and engineering, primarily serving professionals in architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, media, and entertainment sectors. Founded in 1982, Autodesk is renowned for its innovative software solutions, including AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion 360, which facilitate design, visualization, and simulation across diverse industries. The company has transitioned to a subscription-based model, enabling users to access its cloud-based offerings and collaborate seamlessly in real-time.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutodesk generates revenue primarily through software subscriptions and maintenance plans. The company offers a range of subscription options, including monthly, annual, and multi-year plans, which provide users with access to its software products and services. This transition to a subscription model has allowed Autodesk to create a more predictable revenue stream and improve customer retention. Key revenue streams also include sales of cloud services, consulting, and training services. Additionally, Autodesk benefits from partnerships with hardware manufacturers, educational institutions, and industry-specific organizations, which enhance its market reach and provide integrated solutions to customers.

Autodesk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance, with record-breaking revenue growth, successful execution of strategic transitions, and positive contributions from AI and cloud innovations. However, concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty and margin headwinds from the new transaction model were noted.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Total revenue in the third quarter grew 18% as reported and in constant currency, with revenues of $7.15 billion to $7.165 billion projected for the full fiscal year. Billings increased 21% as reported, showcasing strong financial performance.
Strong Performance in AECO Segment
The AECO (Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations) segment showed strength, driven by sustained investment in data centers, infrastructure, and industrial buildings.
Successful Transition to New Transaction Model
The new transaction model contributed approximately $124 million to revenue and $135 million to billings in Q3. The transition is on track, with operational friction easing.
AI and Cloud Innovations
Autodesk is integrating AI and cloud-based capabilities to enhance products and workflows, with AI innovations like sketch auto constraint in Fusion showing high adoption rates.
Increased Free Cash Flow Guidance
Free cash flow guidance was raised to between $2.26 billion and $2.29 billion, reflecting strong financial health.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Despite stable conditions, macroeconomic uncertainty remains elevated, which could impact future performance.
Margin Headwinds from New Transaction Model
The new transaction model is expected to create headwinds for reported operating margins in fiscal 2027.
Challenges in Commercial Sector
There is softness in the commercial sector, which is being offset by strength in other segments like data centers and infrastructure.
Company Guidance
During the Autodesk earnings call for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, several key financial metrics were highlighted, reflecting strong company performance. Revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share exceeded the high end of guidance ranges, while billings and free cash flow also surpassed expectations. The company raised its full-year guidance, projecting billings between $7.465 billion and $7.525 billion, and revenue from $7.15 billion to $7.165 billion. Non-GAAP operating margin guidance was increased to approximately 37.5%, or 40.5% on an underlying basis, excluding the impact of the new transaction model. Free cash flow guidance was updated to $2.26 billion to $2.29 billion. Additionally, Autodesk repurchased 1.2 million shares for $361 million in the quarter, bringing year-to-date buybacks to 3.7 million shares totaling $1.07 billion. The company is well-positioned for continued growth, with strong momentum in sectors such as architecture, engineering, and construction (AECO), as well as manufacturing, supported by strategic investments in cloud capabilities and AI-driven automation.

Autodesk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Autodesk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price293.98
Price Trends
50DMA
301.55
Negative
100DMA
304.64
Negative
200DMA
293.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.48
Positive
RSI
39.50
Neutral
STOCH
9.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADSK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 293.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 298.76, below the 50-day MA of 301.55, and above the 200-day MA of 293.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADSK.

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$86.98B80.7721.74%19.72%1.59%
74
Outperform
$62.32B56.8740.33%15.62%2.59%
73
Outperform
$20.82B28.5621.05%19.18%96.62%
71
Outperform
$12.25B48.7324.16%0.70%11.12%-26.24%
69
Neutral
$49.11B474.423.52%26.63%-46.13%
66
Neutral
$42.14B-230.09-15.35%19.51%53.35%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADSK
Autodesk
292.97
0.14
0.05%
CDNS
Cadence Design
313.02
11.78
3.91%
PTC
PTC
175.31
-13.52
-7.16%
TEAM
Atlassian
161.98
-88.21
-35.26%
DDOG
Datadog
136.71
-13.49
-8.98%
BSY
Bentley Systems
40.34
-6.55
-13.97%

Autodesk Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autodesk Reports Strong Q3 2026 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Autodesk announced its fiscal 2026 third-quarter financial results, showcasing an 18% revenue growth to $1.85 billion. The company highlighted its strong performance in the AECO sector and exceeded expectations in revenue, billings, and cash flow, leading to an increase in full-year guidance. Autodesk’s emphasis on AI-driven design and make solutions positions it for long-term value creation for customers and shareholders amidst a stable yet uncertain macroeconomic environment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025