Autodesk (ADSK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $65.03B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.41M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 59.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: 15.62%
• EPS Growth: 2.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 15,300
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 2.67
• Shares Outstanding: 212,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,841,757
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,408,408
• PEG Ratio: 2.57
• Price to Book (P/B): 25.54
• Price to Sales (P/S): 10.92
• P/FCF Ratio: 44.48
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 9.48
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.39
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 39.09
• 1Y Price Target: $374.79
• Price Target Upside: 22.18% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 22
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $350.00 ▲(14.10% Upside)

Autodesk's overall stock score of 78 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust growth and strategic execution. Technical analysis supports a stable outlook, though high valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The company's focus on AI and cloud innovations positions it well for future growth, despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and successful market penetration, enhancing long-term financial stability and shareholder value.

AI and Cloud Innovations

Investments in AI and cloud technologies position Autodesk for future growth by improving product offerings and operational efficiencies.

Cash Flow Strength

Strong cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Negative Factors

Margin Headwinds

Margin pressures from the new transaction model could impact profitability, requiring careful management to maintain financial performance.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties may affect demand and financial results, posing risks to growth and strategic planning.

Commercial Sector Challenges

Weakness in the commercial sector could hinder revenue growth, necessitating diversification and strategic adjustments to mitigate impact.

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Autodesk, Inc. is a global leader in software design and engineering, primarily serving professionals in architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, media, and entertainment sectors. Founded in 1982, Autodesk is renowned for its innovative software solutions, including AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion 360, which facilitate design, visualization, and simulation across diverse industries. The company has transitioned to a subscription-based model, enabling users to access its cloud-based offerings and collaborate seamlessly in real-time.

How the Company Makes Money

Autodesk generates revenue primarily through software subscriptions and maintenance plans. The company offers a range of subscription options, including monthly, annual, and multi-year plans, which provide users with access to its software products and services. This transition to a subscription model has allowed Autodesk to create a more predictable revenue stream and improve customer retention. Key revenue streams also include sales of cloud services, consulting, and training services. Additionally, Autodesk benefits from partnerships with hardware manufacturers, educational institutions, and industry-specific organizations, which enhance its market reach and provide integrated solutions to customers.

Autodesk Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Autodesk exhibits strong profitability and cash flow generation, with effective leverage management. However, the decline in revenue growth poses a risk to future performance. The company should focus on revitalizing sales growth while maintaining its operational efficiency and cash flow strength.

Income Statement

Autodesk demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 94.68% and a net profit margin of 27.51% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 21.2%, indicating a potential slowdown in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations, but the decline in revenue growth is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.95, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity is strong at 39.47%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in equity financing.

Cash Flow

Autodesk's cash flow performance is robust, with a free cash flow growth rate of 12.26% and a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 98.14%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 45.51%, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. This highlights the company's ability to generate cash efficiently, supporting its financial stability.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.13B	5.44B	4.95B	4.40B	3.79B
Gross Profit	5.55B	4.89B	4.43B	3.94B	3.42B
EBITDA	1.55B	1.27B	1.17B	789.00M	720.80M
Net Income	1.11B	906.00M	823.00M	497.00M	1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	10.83B	9.91B	9.44B	8.61B	7.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.89B	2.25B	2.07B	1.76B	1.86B
Total Debt	2.56B	2.63B	2.67B	3.06B	2.10B
Total Liabilities	8.21B	8.06B	8.29B	7.76B	6.31B
Stockholders Equity	2.62B	1.85B	1.15B	849.10M	965.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.50B	1.28B	2.02B	1.46B	1.34B
Operating Cash Flow	1.61B	1.31B	2.07B	1.53B	1.44B
Investing Cash Flow	-903.00M	-502.00M	-143.00M	-1.59B	-403.90M
Financing Cash Flow	-987.00M	-852.00M	-1.49B	-168.60M	-1.05B

Autodesk Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 306.74
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 306.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 298.67, above the 50-day MA of 305.02, and above the 200-day MA of 292.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADSK.

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ADSK	78 Outperform	$65.03B	59.55	40.33%	―	15.62%	2.59%
CDNS	78 Outperform	$91.88B	87.10	21.74%	―	19.72%	1.59%
PTC	75 Outperform	$20.73B	28.27	21.05%	―	19.18%	96.62%
BSY	71 Outperform	$13.11B	52.17	24.16%	0.65%	11.12%	-26.24%
DDOG	69 Neutral	$53.10B	512.91	3.52%	―	26.63%	-46.13%
TEAM	65 Neutral	$42.08B	―	-15.35%	―	19.51%	53.35%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

Autodesk Corporate Events

Autodesk Reports Strong Q3 2026 Financial Results

On November 25, 2025, Autodesk announced its fiscal 2026 third-quarter financial results, showcasing an 18% revenue growth to $1.85 billion. The company highlighted its strong performance in the AECO sector and exceeded expectations in revenue, billings, and cash flow, leading to an increase in full-year guidance. Autodesk’s emphasis on AI-driven design and make solutions positions it for long-term value creation for customers and shareholders amidst a stable yet uncertain macroeconomic environment.