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Autodesk (ADSK)
NASDAQ:ADSK
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Autodesk (ADSK) AI Stock Analysis

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ADSK

Autodesk

(NASDAQ:ADSK)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$340.00
▲(12.11%Upside)
Autodesk's robust financial performance and strong strategic positioning in AI and cloud technologies are its key strengths, reflected in high revenue and profitability scores. Technical indicators suggest a stable stock position, while high valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation risks. Earnings call insights and corporate events add positive sentiment, though macroeconomic uncertainties and restructuring impacts are noted challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
Increased confidence to improve EPS and FCF with catalysts in both margin and revenue.
Investor Sentiment
Shares of Autodesk increased by 5%, reflecting relief that the company will likely not pursue material mergers and acquisitions.
Strategic Initiatives
Autodesk is demonstrating the ability to successfully grow key businesses like ACC (Construction Cloud) and Fusion (Manufacturing), which manage workflows rather than just design.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Conditions
Macro headwinds from higher rates and building costs, as well as geopolitical issues, have pressured architectural billings for an extended period.
Market Pressure
ABI flips negative, reversing an improving trend and adding pressure to the stock.
Merger and Acquisition Speculation
Autodesk shares had traded down 11% since press reports began circulating regarding its interest in a potential acquisition of PTC.

Autodesk (ADSK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutodesk generates revenue predominantly through the sale of subscriptions to its software products. The company transitioned from a perpetual licensing model to a subscription-based revenue model, which has become a significant source of its income. Autodesk offers several subscription plans, including term-based subscriptions and maintenance subscriptions, which provide users with access to software updates, technical support, and cloud services. Additionally, Autodesk earns revenue from its cloud-based solutions, such as Autodesk Construction Cloud, which offers tools for project management and collaboration in the construction industry. The company also leverages partnerships with educational institutions to promote its software, ensuring a steady influx of new users familiar with its products. Furthermore, Autodesk invests in strategic acquisitions to expand its portfolio and enter new markets, thereby enhancing its revenue potential.

Autodesk Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Highlights the predictable revenue stream from subscription-based services, indicating business stability and customer retention strength.
Chart InsightsAutodesk's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, with a notable acceleration in recent quarters, reflecting strong performance in construction and make segments. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and challenges in new business growth, the company's focus on cloud and AI leadership is driving resilience. The latest earnings call highlights a robust financial outlook, with expectations of significant billings and revenue growth in fiscal 2026, supported by strategic share buybacks and operational efficiency improvements, positioning Autodesk for sustained momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Autodesk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 23, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 2.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with impressive revenue and billings growth. Strategic investments in AI and cloud platforms are paying off, and partnerships are contributing to performance. However, there are challenges with restructuring impacts on margins and macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite these issues, the overall momentum of the business remains solid.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal 2026
Revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share exceeded the higher end of guidance ranges. Billings, non-GAAP margins, and free cash flow also surpassed expectations.
Impressive Revenue Growth
Total revenue in the first quarter grew 15% as reported and 16% in constant currency. The new transaction model contributed $78 million to revenue.
Significant Billings Growth
Billings increased 29% as reported and 30% in constant currency. The new transaction model contributed $105 million to billings.
Positive Operating Margin Trends
Non-GAAP operating margins increased by three percentage points, reflecting operating leverage from ongoing cost discipline.
Strategic Partnerships and Renewals
Strong performance in AECO and strategic partnerships, including a major EBA with a leading infrastructure consulting firm and a renewal with Hitachi Energy.
AI and Platform Advancements
Continued investment in cloud, platform, and AI, with positive developments in Fusion and Forma, enhancing customer collaboration and productivity.
Negative Updates
Restructuring Charges Impact Margins
GAAP operating margins decreased by seven percentage points due to restructuring charges of $105 million and a one-time noncash charge of $54 million.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Increased macroeconomic uncertainty has been factored into guidance, reflecting potential challenges in the second half of the year.
Softness in Asia Pacific Region
A little more softness observed in Asia Pacific, particularly in Japan, China, and Korea, due to macroeconomic turmoil and trade discussions.
Company Guidance
During the Autodesk, Inc. fiscal 2026 first-quarter earnings call, the company reported that revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share surpassed the high end of their guidance ranges, while billings, non-GAAP margins, and free cash flow exceeded expectations. Total revenue increased by 15% as reported, and 16% in constant currency, with the new transaction model contributing $78 million to revenue. Billings grew by 29% as reported and 30% in constant currency. The company's first-quarter GAAP and non-GAAP operating margins were 14% and 37%, respectively, with non-GAAP operating margins increasing by three percentage points. Autodesk provided fiscal 2026 guidance, adjusting for currency and macroeconomic uncertainties, with billings projected to reach between $7.16 billion and $7.31 billion, revenue between $6.925 billion and $6.995 billion, and free cash flow expected to range from $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion.

Autodesk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Autodesk shows strong revenue growth, high profitability, and efficient cash management. The balance sheet is solid, with balanced leverage, although there is potential to increase equity proportion. The company's consistent growth and profitability reflect positive momentum in the software industry.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Autodesk demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $6.35 billion, up from $5.44 billion in 2024, indicating robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin is impressive at 90.53%, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 18.53%, showing significant profitability. Revenue growth and expanding margins indicate a positive financial trajectory.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90, reflecting balanced leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 44.94%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profit. An equity ratio of 24.71% suggests a reasonable level of equity financing. The balance sheet reflects sound financial health, although there is room for improvement in equity proportion.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Autodesk's cash flow analysis shows strong operational efficiency with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.43, indicating healthy cash generation relative to profit. Free cash flow grew by 6.72% from the previous year, underscoring solid cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.37, highlighting effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.13B5.44B5.00B4.39B3.79B
Gross Profit5.55B4.98B4.53B3.97B3.45B
EBITDA1.53B1.22B1.10B765.70M720.80M
Net Income1.11B906.00M823.00M497.00M1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.83B9.91B9.44B8.61B7.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.89B2.25B2.07B1.76B1.86B
Total Debt2.56B2.63B2.67B3.06B2.10B
Total Liabilities8.21B8.06B8.29B7.76B6.31B
Stockholders Equity2.62B1.85B1.15B849.10M965.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50B1.28B2.02B1.46B1.34B
Operating Cash Flow1.61B1.31B2.07B1.53B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-903.00M-502.00M-143.00M-1.59B-403.90M
Financing Cash Flow-987.00M-852.00M-1.49B-168.60M-1.05B

Autodesk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price303.28
Price Trends
50DMA
298.98
Positive
100DMA
282.32
Positive
200DMA
289.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
54.76
Neutral
STOCH
93.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 303.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 300.97, above the 50-day MA of 298.98, and above the 200-day MA of 289.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADSK.

Autodesk Risk Analysis

Autodesk disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autodesk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$90.70B84.1325.92%19.55%2.35%
79
Outperform
$64.89B64.9942.36%12.89%1.23%
75
Outperform
$13.37B60.6885.16%6.13%9.17%
74
Outperform
$17.78B74.4925.20%0.44%10.71%-27.64%
73
Outperform
$32.91B55.5710.23%15.98%35.52%
63
Neutral
$34.78B5.17-11.38%1.67%5.54%-17.15%
$34.00
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADSK
Autodesk
303.28
60.70
25.02%
ANSS
Ansys
374.30
64.66
20.88%
CDNS
Cadence Design
332.19
73.14
28.23%
MANH
Manhattan Associates
217.75
-38.14
-14.90%
MSLPQ
MusclePharm
BSY
Bentley Systems
58.59
10.29
21.30%

Autodesk Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Autodesk Reaffirms Strategic Priorities Amid Global Risks
Neutral
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Autodesk reaffirmed its commitment to enhancing shareholder value through strategic priorities in cloud, platform, and AI, optimizing sales and marketing for higher margins, and investing in organic growth and acquisitions. The company also highlighted potential risks, including global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, and technological changes, which could impact its operations and financial results.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Autodesk Confirms New Board Members and Audit Roles
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Autodesk announced the appointment of Jeff Epstein and A. Christine Simons to its Board of Directors, with their roles on the Audit Committee confirmed on June 18, 2025. The company also held its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders, where ten directors were elected, and several proposals, including the amendment of the 2022 Equity Incentive Plan, were approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Autodesk Receives Legal Opinion on 5.300% Notes
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Autodesk, Inc. received a legal opinion from Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati regarding the legality of its 5.300% Notes due 2035. This follows the underwriting agreement dated June 3, 2025, with major financial institutions like Citigroup Global Markets Inc., BofA Securities, Inc., and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC. The issuance of these notes is part of Autodesk’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autodesk Announces Leadership Change Amid Strong Q1 Results
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Autodesk announced that Stephen W. Hope, the Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, would step down following the filing of the company’s quarterly report. Janesh Moorjani, the Chief Financial Officer, will assume the role of principal accounting officer. Additionally, Autodesk reported a strong financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with a 15% revenue growth to $1.6 billion, driven by strategic priorities in cloud, platform, and AI. The company remains focused on optimizing sales and marketing to enhance margins and increasing capital allocation for share repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADSK) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autodesk stock, see the ADSK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Autodesk Enters Strategic Credit Agreement with Citibank
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Autodesk, Inc. entered into a Credit Agreement with Citibank, N.A. as the administrative agent, which involves various lenders. This agreement signifies a strategic financial move for Autodesk, potentially impacting its financial operations and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 19, 2025