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Manhattan Associates (MANH)
NASDAQ:MANH
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Manhattan Associates (MANH) AI Stock Analysis

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MANH

Manhattan Associates

(NASDAQ:MANH)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$246.00
▲(13.44% Upside)
Manhattan Associates' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, although the high valuation presents a risk. The absence of corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Customer Acquisition
New customers bookings were particularly strong as they accounted for 70% of bookings in the quarter, well above management's long-term expectation of 33%.
Earnings
Manhattan Associates reported a strong second quarter with total revenue, cloud revenue, and total RPO ahead of expectations, growing 3%, 22%, and 26%, respectively.
Negative Factors
Cloud Revenue
A weaker macro environment has caused cRPO-bookings to slow to -7% YoY, presenting downside risk to cloud revenue estimates.
Valuation
At 39X EV/FCF, a premium to peers and LT average, investors are already pricing in a lot and underappreciate the NT downward estimate revision risk.

Manhattan Associates (MANH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Manhattan Associates Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH) is a leading provider of supply chain and omnichannel commerce solutions. The company specializes in developing software and technology that facilitates the management of supply chain operations, inventory management, and distribution processes across various sectors, including retail, wholesale, and manufacturing. Its core products encompass Warehouse Management Systems (WMS), Transportation Management Systems (TMS), and other supply chain optimization tools that help businesses enhance efficiency and customer satisfaction.
How the Company Makes MoneyManhattan Associates generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and professional services. The company operates on a SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) model, which provides recurring revenue from subscription fees for its cloud-based solutions. Key revenue streams include software licensing fees, implementation and consulting services, maintenance and support contracts, and training services. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with technology providers and integration with third-party systems, which help extend its market reach and enhance its service offerings. Additionally, growing demand for supply chain optimization and digital transformation initiatives among businesses contributes positively to its earnings.

Manhattan Associates Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance in Q2 with record results and significant growth in cloud revenue and RPO. There were successful new customer acquisitions and investments in sales and marketing, as well as advancements in AI capabilities. However, there were declines in services revenue and caution due to macroeconomic uncertainties, along with FX volatility impacts.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Second Quarter Results
Q2 results were better-than-expected with 22% cloud revenue growth driving top-line outperformance and earnings leverage.
RPO Growth
RPO increased 26% year-over-year and surpassed the $2 billion milestone by the end of the quarter.
New Customer Acquisitions
More than 70% of new cloud bookings were generated from net new logos, with new logos representing approximately 35% of the current pipeline.
Investment in Sales and Marketing
Promoted Bob Howell to Chief Sales Officer and hired new sales leaders, expanding go-to-market partnerships with Google and Shopify.
Agentic AI Advancements
Announced new capabilities with AI, including purpose-built agents for platform applications and the Manhattan Active Agent Foundry for custom agent creation.
Operating Margin and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating margin was 37.1%, up 210 basis points year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $1.31, up 11%.
Negative Updates
Services Revenue Decline
Services revenue declined 6% due to customer budgetary constraints, shifting services work to future periods.
Cautious Outlook on Services Revenue
Given the uncertain macro environment and inherent flexibility of time and material contracts, there is caution on services revenue growth.
FX Volatility
FX volatility was a factor, with a $29 million tailwind to sequential RPO growth and a $28 million tailwind to year-over-year RPO growth.
Company Guidance
During the Manhattan Associates Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the remainder of the year, highlighting several key metrics. The company's cloud revenue grew by 22%, driving top-line outperformance, while RPO increased by 26% year-over-year, surpassing the $2 billion milestone. Moreover, win rates against the top five competitors remained above 70%, with over 70% of new cloud bookings from net new logos. The company also noted a 3% increase in total revenue to $272 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 37.1%, up 210 basis points from the previous year. The guidance reflected an increase in the full-year total revenue projection to a midpoint of $1.073 billion and an adjusted earnings per share forecast increased to $4.80, up from the prior midpoint of $4.59. Operating cash flow for the quarter was solid at $74 million, with a 26% free cash flow margin.

Manhattan Associates Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Manhattan Associates shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and efficient cash operations. The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio and a high return on equity, indicating prudent financial management and effective use of shareholder capital.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Manhattan Associates shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $1,057.69M, up from $586.37M in 2020, indicating robustness in revenue generation. The gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 56.1% TTM, and the net profit margin also shows strength at 20.9% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 25.8% and 26.7% respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 TTM, showcasing prudent financial management. The equity ratio stands at 37.4% TTM, indicating a stable capital structure. Return on equity is impressive at 79.3% TTM, demonstrating effective use of shareholder capital. However, there is a slight decline in stockholders’ equity compared to the previous year.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has consistently grown, reaching $316.31M TTM, which is a positive indicator of cash generation. Free cash flow growth is notable, with a TTM free cash flow of $307.31M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.43 TTM suggests strong cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio also supports this strength at 1.39 TTM.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B928.73M767.08M663.64M586.37M
Gross Profit571.37M498.11M408.85M365.82M316.49M
EBITDA267.90M215.63M159.36M142.25M123.01M
Net Income218.36M176.57M128.96M110.47M87.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets757.55M673.35M570.18M539.71M465.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.23M270.74M225.46M263.71M204.71M
Total Debt47.79M17.69M14.06M23.16M27.84M
Total Liabilities458.43M395.07M343.38M289.06M246.51M
Stockholders Equity299.13M278.28M226.80M250.64M218.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow286.33M241.49M173.04M181.17M138.16M
Operating Cash Flow295.00M246.22M179.63M185.18M140.88M
Investing Cash Flow-8.68M-4.73M-6.59M-4.02M-2.73M
Financing Cash Flow-286.37M-196.05M-204.46M-120.42M-43.56M

Manhattan Associates Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price216.85
Price Trends
50DMA
203.94
Positive
100DMA
190.70
Positive
200DMA
216.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.98
Positive
RSI
55.97
Neutral
STOCH
69.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MANH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 216.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.00, above the 50-day MA of 203.94, and above the 200-day MA of 216.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MANH.

Manhattan Associates Risk Analysis

Manhattan Associates disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Manhattan Associates reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Manhattan Associates Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$12.99B59.8685.16%6.13%9.17%
71
Outperform
$9.01B45.5541.55%0.14%12.47%65.19%
71
Outperform
$8.44B174.181.89%13.46%2.06%
68
Neutral
¥242.89B15.236.64%2.42%9.16%-0.19%
68
Neutral
$17.80B545.992.61%18.61%
65
Neutral
$16.13B67.9023.69%0.48%10.45%-32.43%
63
Neutral
$16.06B-13.62%-13.74%48.10%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MANH
Manhattan Associates
216.85
-42.89
-16.51%
GWRE
Guidewire
215.01
66.61
44.89%
PEGA
Pegasystems
53.24
18.78
54.50%
DAY
Dayforce Inc
66.62
11.05
19.88%
U
Unity Software
38.34
21.62
129.31%
BSY
Bentley Systems
53.64
3.64
7.28%

Manhattan Associates Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Manhattan Associates Concludes Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Manhattan Associates held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders in Atlanta, Georgia, with approximately 92% of common stockholders present. During the meeting, shareholders elected Thomas E. Noonan and Kimberly A. Kuryea as Class III Directors, approved the compensation of named executive officers, and ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MANH) stock is a Buy with a $251.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manhattan Associates stock, see the MANH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025