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Manhattan Associates (MANH)
NASDAQ:MANH
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Manhattan Associates (MANH) AI Stock Analysis

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MANH

Manhattan Associates

(NASDAQ:MANH)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$248.00
▲(13.89%Upside)
Manhattan Associates' robust financial performance and positive earnings call outweigh mixed technical analysis and high valuation concerns. The company's strategic focus on cloud growth and innovation positions it well, though market conditions require careful navigation.
Positive Factors
AI and Innovation
The company is making quick progress in AI, moving beyond GenAI-based chat interfaces into agentic AI use cases, which could drive customers to move to the cloud.
Cloud Solutions
Manhattan is well-positioned with its best-in-class cloud solutions to capture market share in the cloud TAM, which is set to grow at a 16% CAGR through 2028.
Customer Growth
New customers bookings were particularly strong as they accounted for 70% of bookings in the quarter, well above management's long-term expectation of 33%.
Negative Factors
Cloud Revenue Risk
A recent slowdown in cloud bookings and exposure to discretionary services work present downside risk to estimates, which is not priced in at a premium valuation.
Macro Environment
A weaker macro environment has caused cRPO-bookings to slow to -7% YoY, presenting downside risk to cloud revenue estimates.
Valuation Concerns
At 39X EV/FCF, a premium to peers and LT average, investors are already pricing in a lot and underappreciate the NT downward estimate revision risk.

Manhattan Associates (MANH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Manhattan Associates Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManhattan Associates, Inc. develops, sells, deploys, services, and maintains software solutions to manage supply chains, inventory, and omni-channel operations. It offers Manhattan SCALE, a portfolio of logistics execution solutions that provide trading partner management, yard management, optimization, warehouse management, and transportation execution services; and Manhattan Active, a set of enterprise and store omni-channel solutions. The company also provides inventory optimization, planning, and allocation solutions; maintenance services comprising customer support services and software enhancements; professional services, such as solutions planning and implementation, and related consulting services; and training and change management services. In addition, it resells computer hardware, radio frequency terminal networks, radio frequency identification chip readers, bar code printers and scanners, and other peripherals. The company offers products through direct sales personnel, as well as through partnership agreements with various organizations. It serves grocery, food and beverage, manufacturing, medical and pharmaceutical, retail, third-party logistics, and wholesale industries. The company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Manhattan Associates, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyManhattan Associates generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and related services. The company offers both on-premises and cloud-based solutions, with an increasing focus on SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) offerings, which provide recurring revenue through subscription fees. In addition to software sales, Manhattan Associates earns money by providing professional services such as consulting, implementation, and training to help clients successfully deploy and optimize their solutions. Maintenance and support services also contribute to the company's revenue by ensuring ongoing product functionality and customer satisfaction. Key partnerships with technology providers and system integrators further enhance its market reach and potential earnings.

Manhattan Associates Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in Q2 with record results in cloud revenue and new logo bookings, innovative product developments, and improved operating margins. However, there was cautious sentiment regarding the macroeconomic environment and a decline in services revenue, albeit offset by strategic investments in sales and marketing.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Second Quarter Results
Achieved record Q2 performance with 22% cloud revenue growth and 26% year-over-year increase in RPO, surpassing the $2 billion milestone.
New Logo and Cloud Bookings Success
Over 70% of new cloud bookings generated from net new logos, with new logos representing approximately 35% of the current pipeline.
Innovative Product Developments
Announced new AI capabilities and the Agentic AI platform, with successful customer feedback from Manhattan Assist and Agent Foundry.
Operating Margin Improvement
Adjusted operating margin increased by 210 basis points to 37.1% year-over-year, driven by strong cloud revenue growth and operating leverage.
Expanding Partnerships
Expanded partnerships with Google and Shopify, with Google Cloud Marketplace already influencing large deals.
Sales and Marketing Investment
Strategically increasing investment in sales and marketing, including promoting Bob Howell to Chief Sales Officer and hiring new sales leaders.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Caution
The company remains cautious due to ongoing tariff and general market uncertainty impacting services revenue growth.
Services Revenue Decline
Services revenue declined 6% year-over-year due to customer budgetary constraints shifting services work to future periods.
FX Impact
FX volatility persists, impacting RPO growth with a $29 million tailwind to sequential RPO growth and a $28 million tailwind to year-over-year RPO growth.
Company Guidance
During the Manhattan Associates Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year, anticipating increased full-year 2025 revenue in the range of $1.071 billion to $1.075 billion, with a midpoint of $1.073 billion. The company reported a 22% increase in cloud revenue and a 26% year-over-year rise in remaining performance obligations (RPO), which surpassed the $2 billion milestone. Win rates against top competitors remained high at over 70%, and new cloud bookings from net new logos contributed significantly, with these representing approximately 35% of the current pipeline. Manhattan also highlighted a strategic focus on enhancing sales and marketing efforts, promoting Bob Howell to Chief Sales Officer, and expanding key partnerships with Google and Shopify. The company remains cautious about services revenue growth due to the global macro environment but is optimistic about long-term opportunities given its strong product portfolio and market-leading innovations in AI and supply chain management. Adjusted operating margin guidance was increased to a midpoint of 35%, and adjusted earnings per share for the year were raised to a midpoint of $4.80.

Manhattan Associates Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Manhattan Associates shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and efficient cash operations. The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio and a high return on equity, indicating prudent financial management and effective use of shareholder capital.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Manhattan Associates shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $1,057.69M, up from $586.37M in 2020, indicating robustness in revenue generation. The gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 56.1% TTM, and the net profit margin also shows strength at 20.9% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 25.8% and 26.7% respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 TTM, showcasing prudent financial management. The equity ratio stands at 37.4% TTM, indicating a stable capital structure. Return on equity is impressive at 79.3% TTM, demonstrating effective use of shareholder capital. However, there is a slight decline in stockholders’ equity compared to the previous year.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has consistently grown, reaching $316.31M TTM, which is a positive indicator of cash generation. Free cash flow growth is notable, with a TTM free cash flow of $307.31M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.43 TTM suggests strong cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio also supports this strength at 1.39 TTM.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B928.73M767.08M663.64M586.37M
Gross Profit571.37M498.11M408.85M365.82M316.49M
EBITDA267.90M215.63M159.36M142.25M123.01M
Net Income218.36M176.57M128.96M110.47M87.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets757.55M673.35M570.18M539.71M465.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.23M270.74M225.46M263.71M204.71M
Total Debt47.79M17.69M14.06M23.16M27.84M
Total Liabilities458.43M395.07M343.38M289.06M246.51M
Stockholders Equity299.13M278.28M226.80M250.64M218.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow286.33M241.49M173.04M181.17M138.16M
Operating Cash Flow295.00M246.22M179.63M185.18M140.88M
Investing Cash Flow-8.68M-4.73M-6.59M-4.02M-2.73M
Financing Cash Flow-286.37M-196.05M-204.46M-120.42M-43.56M

Manhattan Associates Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price217.75
Price Trends
50DMA
195.44
Positive
100DMA
183.52
Positive
200DMA
222.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
5.60
Negative
RSI
69.80
Neutral
STOCH
46.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MANH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 217.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 202.60, above the 50-day MA of 195.44, and below the 200-day MA of 222.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MANH.

Manhattan Associates Risk Analysis

Manhattan Associates disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Manhattan Associates reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our use of generative artificial intelligence ("AI") tools may expose us to operational, compliance or other risks, which could adversely impact our business, results of operations, cash flow and financial condition, and subject us to legal liability. Q4, 2024
2.
We can be subject to criminal or civil liability if we fail to comply with anti-corruption and anti-boycott regulations, and that can adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Q4, 2024

Manhattan Associates Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.94B50.2441.55%0.18%12.47%65.19%
75
Outperform
$13.37B60.6885.16%6.13%9.17%
75
Outperform
$13.86B-14.15%-16.74%49.75%
74
Outperform
$17.70B74.1825.20%0.44%10.71%-27.64%
71
Outperform
$9.50B375.231.03%14.97%-51.02%
70
Outperform
$18.84B567.242.61%18.61%
63
Neutral
$34.78B5.17-11.38%1.67%5.54%-17.15%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MANH
Manhattan Associates
217.75
-38.14
-14.90%
GWRE
Guidewire
223.38
74.80
50.34%
PEGA
Pegasystems
58.83
25.92
78.76%
DAY
Dayforce Inc
60.00
6.47
12.09%
U
Unity Software
32.77
16.42
100.43%
BSY
Bentley Systems
58.59
10.29
21.30%

Manhattan Associates Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Manhattan Associates Concludes Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Manhattan Associates held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders in Atlanta, Georgia, with approximately 92% of common stockholders present. During the meeting, shareholders elected Thomas E. Noonan and Kimberly A. Kuryea as Class III Directors, approved the compensation of named executive officers, and ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MANH) stock is a Buy with a $251.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manhattan Associates stock, see the MANH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025