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Manhattan Associates (MANH)
NASDAQ:MANH

Manhattan Associates (MANH) AI Stock Analysis

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MANH

Manhattan Associates

(NASDAQ:MANH)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$151.00
▲(4.09% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
Overall score reflects strong financial performance (high margins and excellent cash generation) and constructive 2026 guidance, offset by notably weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative momentum) and a premium valuation (P/E ~37.6).
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Manhattan's very strong cash conversion (FCF nearly equals net income and large year-over-year FCF growth) provides durable internal funding for product investment, M&A or buybacks, reducing reliance on external capital and supporting long-term strategic flexibility.
Recurring cloud revenue and RPO growth
Growing cloud RPO and a disclosed ramped ARR improve revenue visibility and demonstrate durable subscription expansion. High new-logo momentum and >70% competitive win rates signal sustainable market penetration and stronger recurring revenue predictability over the medium term.
High margins and operating leverage
Consistently high gross and operating margins reflect scalable SaaS economics and strong pricing power. Operating leverage supports durable profitability as cloud revenue grows, enabling continued investment in R&D and go-to-market while preserving cash generation over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Maintenance and license attrition
Material attrition in maintenance and licenses erodes a core recurring revenue component, forcing higher new sales to offset it. Sustained attrition could compress revenue growth and complicate margin expansion if replacement economics are weaker than legacy recurring streams.
Services revenue pressure & predictability
Services are less predictable and historically declined, which increases overall revenue volatility and makes margin and cash forecasts harder. Scaling services profitably requires hiring and fixation on execution; persistent underperformance would weigh on blended margins and cash conversion.
Higher leverage after 2025 debt increase
A meaningful increase in debt raises financial risk and reduces balance-sheet flexibility. Given a relatively small equity base and very high ROE, results become more sensitive to profit swings; higher leverage constrains capital allocation choices during downturns or if growth investments require funding.

Manhattan Associates (MANH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Manhattan Associates Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManhattan Associates, Inc. develops, sells, deploys, services, and maintains software solutions to manage supply chains, inventory, and omni-channel operations. It offers Manhattan SCALE, a portfolio of logistics execution solutions that provide trading partner management, yard management, optimization, warehouse management, and transportation execution services; and Manhattan Active, a set of enterprise and store omni-channel solutions. The company also provides inventory optimization, planning, and allocation solutions; maintenance services comprising customer support services and software enhancements; professional services, such as solutions planning and implementation, and related consulting services; and training and change management services. In addition, it resells computer hardware, radio frequency terminal networks, radio frequency identification chip readers, bar code printers and scanners, and other peripherals. The company offers products through direct sales personnel, as well as through partnership agreements with various organizations. It serves grocery, food and beverage, manufacturing, medical and pharmaceutical, retail, third-party logistics, and wholesale industries. The company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Manhattan Associates, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyManhattan Associates generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscription fees, and professional services. The company offers its software solutions on a subscription basis, providing a recurring revenue stream that contributes to consistent earnings. Key revenue streams include software licensing fees for on-premise deployments, SaaS (Software as a Service) subscriptions for cloud-based solutions, and revenue from consulting services that assist clients in implementing and optimizing their systems. Additionally, the company benefits from maintenance and support services that ensure ongoing client satisfaction and system performance. Strategic partnerships with major technology firms and integration with various supply chain platforms further enhance its market presence and revenue potential.

Manhattan Associates Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

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Revenue By Geography
Revenue By Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Manhattan Associates Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was broadly positive: Manhattan Associates delivered record cloud bookings, strong RPO growth (+25%), improving visibility via a new ramped ARR metric (+23%), healthy cloud revenue growth (+21% FY), strong cash generation, and commercial launches of AI agents with promising early feedback. Negatives were manageable: material maintenance attrition (-19% guidance), services remain only modestly growing after a FY decline, some lumpiness from large deals, and a small customer liquidation headwind. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (RPO +18–20%, cloud +21%) while investing in sales, services, and AI commercialization.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record cloud bookings and RPO growth
RPO increased 25% year-over-year to $2.2 billion and the company reported record cloud bookings in Q4, driven by strong new-logo momentum and >70% competitive win rates.
Revenue and cloud revenue growth
Q4 total revenue rose 6% to $270 million. Q4 cloud revenue grew 20% to $109 million and full-year cloud revenue increased 21% to $408 million.
Ramped ARR disclosure and growth
Introduced a four-year ramped ARR metric; ramped ARR exceeded $600 million at year-end, up 23% versus the prior year, improving visibility into future cloud revenue ramps.
Profitability and operating leverage
Q4 adjusted operating profit was $91 million with a 33.8% margin; full-year adjusted operating profit was $387 million with a 35.8% margin (improvement of >100 basis points vs. 2024).
Strong cash flow and balance sheet
Q4 operating cash flow increased 40% to $147 million; full-year operating cash flow rose 32% to $389 million. Free cash flow margins were strong (Q4 52.7%, full-year 34.6%). Ended year with $329 million cash and zero debt.
Share repurchase activity
Returned capital via $75 million of share repurchases in Q4 and $275 million of buybacks in 2025; board approved replenishment of a $100 million repurchase authority.
Commercial launch of AI agents and Agent Foundry
Commercial availability of agentik.ai base AI agents and Agent Foundry announced after successful early access; offering 90-day low-risk pilots and forward-deployed engineers; early adopter feedback indicates meaningful operational value.
Product momentum across portfolio
Continued strong sales and implementations for Active Warehouse and Active Transportation; new features launched including fulfillment optimization simulation and Active POS with embedded AI selling assistance.
2026 guidance reflecting growth and margin expansion
2026 targets: RPO $2.62–$2.68 billion (+18–20%), total revenue $1.133–$1.153 billion (midpoint implies 10% growth ex-license/maintenance attrition), cloud revenue expected +21% to $492 million, and adjusted operating margin targeted ~34.5–35% (midpoint implying ~75 bps expansion ex-attrition).
Negative Updates
Maintenance and license attrition headwind
License and maintenance attrition expected to be a ~4.4 percentage-point headwind to total revenue growth in 2026; maintenance revenue projected to decline ~19% to $105.5 million.
Services revenue pressure and predictability
Full-year 2025 services revenue declined 4% to $503 million despite Q4 returning to growth ($120 million); management projects modest mid-single-digit services growth in 2026 and notes services can be harder to predict.
Booking lumpiness and dependence on large deals
Management reiterated bookings can be lumpy due to timing and size of large deals, which can create quarter-to-quarter variability despite strong full-year outcomes.
Customer liquidation and small unexpected headwind
A customer liquidation created a $1.3 million headwind in Q4 (approximately $2.5 million annualized) that was not included in prior guidance.
Higher tax rate / reserve dynamics
Higher tax reserves driven by acceleration of domestic R&D deductions were discussed as a factor affecting tax reporting and reserves (although also associated with a reduction in cash taxes), adding complexity to tax outlook.
Incremental investments weigh on near-term margins
2026 guidance assumes increased investments in sales & marketing and expanded services teams (including ~100 services hires in January) which temper margin upside despite targeted operating margin expansion.
Company Guidance
Manhattan guided 2026 RPO of $2.62–$2.68 billion (up 18%–20% YoY) with renewals expected to contribute 18%–20% of bookings, and total revenue of $1.133–$1.153 billion (midpoint $1.143B; +10% excluding license/maintenance attrition, +6% all‑in) with Q1 revenue $272–$274M. They expect cloud revenue up 21% to $492M (Q1 $114M, Q2 $121.5M, Q3 $126M, Q4 $130.5M), services up 3% to $517M (Q1 $124M, Q2 $131.5M, Q3 $137M, Q4 $124M), maintenance down 19% to $105.5M (Q1 $28M, Q2 $27M, Q3 $25.5M, Q4 $25M), license ~$1M/quarter and hardware $6–$6.5M/quarter, with license/maintenance attrition a ~4.4% headwind to revenue. Full‑year adjusted operating margin is guided to 34.5%–35% (mid ~34.75%, ~75 bps expansion ex‑attrition) and adjusted EPS $5.04–$5.20 (GAAP $3.37–$3.53); Q1 adjusted EPS $1.08–$1.10 (GAAP $0.64–$0.66). Quarterly midpoint adjusted margin commentary pegged around ~31% with specific midpoints cited of Q1 34.7%, Q2 36.9% and Q4 36.1%; they expect an effective tax rate of 22%, diluted share count of ~61M (no buybacks assumed), and noted onboarding ~100 services hires in January to support growth.

Manhattan Associates Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving fundamentals: revenue expanded materially to $1.08B in 2025 with high profitability (~20% net margin) and improving gross/operating margins. Cash generation is a standout with operating cash flow up to $389M and free cash flow $374M, showing excellent cash conversion. Main offsets are the 2025 leverage uptick noted in the balance sheet analysis and a small net-margin dip versus 2024.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Revenue has expanded strongly over the period (up from $586M in 2020 to $1.08B in 2025), with growth accelerating meaningfully in the latest year (2025 revenue growth 136.7% vs. 12.2% in 2024). Profitability is consistently high and improving: gross margin rose to 55.7% (2025) from ~54.2% (2024), operating margin improved to 26.4% from 25.1%, and net margin remains robust around ~20% (20.3% in 2025). The main watch item is that net margin dipped slightly versus 2024 (20.3% vs. 20.9%), suggesting some incremental costs or mix effects despite stronger operating performance.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is generally solid with growing equity ($315M in 2025 vs. $219M in 2020) and moderate leverage overall. However, debt stepped up sharply in 2025 ($112M vs. $48M in 2024), pushing debt relative to equity higher (0.36 vs. 0.16). Returns on equity are exceptionally high (roughly 57%–73% over 2022–2025), which is a strength, but also indicates the company is generating very high profits on a relatively small equity base—making results more sensitive to changes in profitability and capital structure.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout: operating cash flow increased to $389M in 2025 from $141M in 2020, and free cash flow rose to $374M from $138M. Free cash flow closely tracks earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.96–0.98 across the years), signaling strong cash conversion and earnings quality. Free cash flow growth is strong in the most recent year (12.25 in 2025) after being relatively modest in 2024 (0.19). One concern is that operating cash flow has not consistently exceeded free cash flow (operating cash flow coverage ratio below 1.0 each year), which may indicate favorable working-capital timing or lower reinvestment in certain periods—worth monitoring for sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.04B928.73M767.08M663.64M
Gross Profit602.74M565.07M492.36M402.18M357.90M
EBITDA292.21M267.90M215.63M159.36M142.25M
Net Income219.95M218.36M176.57M128.96M110.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets839.39M757.55M673.35M570.18M539.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments328.75M266.23M270.74M225.46M263.71M
Total Debt112.36M47.79M17.69M14.06M23.16M
Total Liabilities524.62M458.43M395.07M343.38M289.06M
Stockholders Equity314.76M299.13M278.28M226.80M250.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow374.01M286.33M241.49M173.04M181.17M
Operating Cash Flow389.47M295.00M246.22M179.63M185.18M
Investing Cash Flow-15.46M-8.68M-4.73M-6.59M-4.02M
Financing Cash Flow-315.16M-286.37M-196.05M-204.46M-120.42M

Manhattan Associates Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price145.07
Price Trends
50DMA
159.84
Negative
100DMA
171.58
Negative
200DMA
188.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.98
Negative
RSI
38.44
Neutral
STOCH
40.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MANH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 145.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 141.21, below the 50-day MA of 159.84, and below the 200-day MA of 188.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MANH.

Manhattan Associates Risk Analysis

Manhattan Associates disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Manhattan Associates reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Manhattan Associates Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$8.11B37.5971.66%4.10%-0.21%
70
Outperform
$11.07B42.7924.92%0.72%11.12%-26.24%
67
Neutral
$3.69B32.4210.43%28.62%186.67%
65
Neutral
$12.35B137.816.57%22.80%198.93%
63
Neutral
$5.49B-65.40-10.24%16.98%-265.85%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MANH
Manhattan Associates
135.43
-37.66
-21.76%
GWRE
Guidewire
145.32
-50.99
-25.97%
ESTC
Elastic
52.07
-55.08
-51.40%
BSY
Bentley Systems
36.55
-6.02
-14.14%
MNDY
Monday.com
72.64
-205.73
-73.91%

Manhattan Associates Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Manhattan Associates Announces CFO Retirement and Successor Appointment
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Manhattan Associates Inc. announced that longtime Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Dennis B. Story will retire from his CFO and Treasurer roles at the close of business on March 31, 2026. The board elected veteran finance executive Linda C. Pinne, currently Senior Vice President, Global Corporate Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, to succeed him as Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer, effective on the same transition date.

Story, who has served as CFO since March 2006 and spent 20 years with the company, will remain employed as Advisor to the Chief Executive Officer through December 31, 2026 to ensure a gradual transition of his responsibilities. During his tenure, Manhattan’s revenue rose about 275%, operating cash flow about 785% and market capitalization more than 50-fold, underscoring his role in supporting the company’s transformation into an AI-native platform business.

To govern the transition, Manhattan entered into a Retirement and Advisory Agreement under which Story will continue to receive his current base salary while serving as advisor and will be eligible for a first-quarter 2026 performance cash bonus but no further cash bonuses thereafter. His unvested restricted stock units will continue to vest during his advisory term, with remaining unvested awards vesting at his retirement date, subject to specific treatment for performance-based units and standard conditions around termination, death or disability.

The Retirement Agreement replaces his prior executive employment agreement for most purposes but carries forward key provisions such as intellectual property, confidentiality and restrictive covenants, and includes customary releases and non-disparagement terms. The company also agreed to pay up to 12 months of COBRA premiums after his retirement or earlier termination, while retaining the right to end benefits if he leaves early under certain circumstances.

CEO Eric Clark publicly praised Story’s contributions in a February 26, 2026 press release and highlighted his influence on Manhattan’s growth strategy and global finance organization. Clark also emphasized Pinne’s deep knowledge of Manhattan’s operations, customers and strategy, signaling continuity in financial leadership and a focus on sustaining the company’s leadership in the supply chain commerce market.

Pinne, a more than 20-year finance veteran at Manhattan who has led global corporate controller and accounting functions since 2016, has been central to strengthening financial processes and controls and supporting growth. Her elevation to CFO, along with Manhattan’s reaffirmation of its 2026 financial guidance and planned participation in upcoming investor conferences, is likely to reassure investors about stability in the finance function during the leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MANH) stock is a Buy with a $145.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manhattan Associates stock, see the MANH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026