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Pegasystems (PEGA)
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Pegasystems (PEGA) AI Stock Analysis

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PEGA

Pegasystems

(NASDAQ:PEGA)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(24.79% Upside)
Pegasystems demonstrates strong financial performance and technical momentum, supported by strategic growth in cloud services and collaborations. High valuation and macro-economic uncertainties present some risks, but overall, the company's strategic initiatives and financial health position it well for future growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Pega reported strong second-quarter results that outperformed consensus estimates on all key metrics.
Market Expansion
The company's total addressable market is expected to expand from $90 billion in 2025 to over $150 billion in 2029.
Shareholder Value
An expected share price return of 27.9% suggests a significant potential upside for investors.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
Pega reported mixed fourth-quarter results as constant-currency ACV growth of 11% came in below consensus expectations.
Macro Risks
Bears will argue the uncertain macro could still emerge as a headwind and impact 2025 results at some point with risk still on the table.
Market Uncertainty
Recent headwinds from DOGE and tariffs have created some uncertainty in the market.

Pegasystems (PEGA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pegasystems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPegasystems Inc. (PEGA) is a leading provider of software solutions designed to help organizations improve customer engagement and operational efficiency. The company specializes in business process management (BPM), customer relationship management (CRM), and digital process automation. Pegasystems serves various industries including financial services, healthcare, insurance, and government, delivering core products that empower businesses to streamline their operations and enhance customer experiences through its low-code application development platform and intelligent automation technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyPegasystems generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based software licensing model, which includes both on-premise and cloud-based offerings. Key revenue streams come from software licenses, maintenance, and support services, as well as professional services for implementation and consulting. The company also earns money through recurring revenue from its Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) products. Significant partnerships with major technology firms and system integrators enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by facilitating broader adoption of its solutions across various sectors.

Pegasystems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsPegasystems' Cloud segment is driving robust growth, reflecting a strategic pivot towards cloud services, with a notable 28% increase in Pega Cloud ACV. Despite fluctuations in Subscription License and Consulting revenues, the company's focus on AI-powered solutions and strategic collaborations, such as with AWS, positions it well for future expansion. However, seasonal fluctuations and macro-economic uncertainties could pose challenges. The strong growth in Annual Contract Value and free cash flow highlights effective execution of their strategic initiatives, including share repurchases and partner ecosystem expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Pegasystems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant growth in annual contract value, Pega Cloud ACV, and free cash flow. The introduction of partner-branded Blueprints and strategic collaborations indicate a positive trajectory. However, there are concerns about seasonal fluctuations, currency headwinds, and macro-economic uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ACV Growth
Annual contract value grew 16% year-over-year as reported and 14% in constant currency. Net new ACV add increased by 60% year-over-year in constant currency in the first half of 2025.
Pega Cloud ACV Milestone
Total ACV exceeded $1.5 billion as reported for the first time, with Pega Cloud ACV growth of 28% as reported and 25% in constant currency.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow reached $286 million in the first half of 2025, supported by margin expansion and accelerated ACV growth.
Partner Ecosystem Expansion
The introduction of partner-branded Blueprints with major partners like Accenture, Capgemini, and Infosys, among others.
Strategic Collaboration with AWS
A 5-year strategic collaboration agreement with AWS was announced, including Pega software availability on the AWS marketplace.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Fluctuations
The third quarter is historically the softest in terms of net new ACV add and free cash flow due to fewer contract renewals.
Currency Headwind
A consistent currency headwind of about 2 percentage points affected growth in the first two quarters.
Macro-economic Uncertainties
Concerns about tariffs and general economic unpredictability were noted, although they have not yet posed significant headwinds.
Company Guidance
During Pegasystems' Q2 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted significant growth metrics and strategic advancements. Annual Contract Value (ACV) grew by 16% year-over-year, reaching over $1.5 billion for the first time, with Pega Cloud ACV specifically increasing by 28%. The company also reported a 60% year-over-year increase in net new ACV add in constant currency for the first half of 2025. Free cash flow rose to $286 million, and total remaining performance obligation increased by 31%. The strategic focus on Pega's AI-powered Blueprint has been transformative, engaging in every sales campaign and driving substantial business activity. The company also emphasized its strong Rule of 40 execution and potential for future share repurchases, having already repurchased $251 million worth of shares in the first half of 2025. Pegasystems' strategic collaboration with AWS aims to accelerate legacy transformation projects, further solidifying its competitive positioning in the market.

Pegasystems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pegasystems exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, improved profitability, and impressive cash flow generation. The balance sheet remains stable, although Return on Equity could improve for enhanced shareholder value.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Pegasystems has shown a solid improvement in its financial performance over the years. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) were healthy, indicating efficient cost management. The company achieved a positive EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin, reflecting improved operational efficiency. Revenue growth has been strong, with a noticeable increase from the previous year, suggesting a robust demand for its software solutions.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Pegasystems demonstrates a stable financial position with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio. The Equity Ratio indicates a balanced approach between debt and equity financing. However, the Return on Equity (ROE) is moderate, suggesting room for more efficient capital utilization. The company's ability to maintain a healthy cash position supports its financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Pegasystems' cash flow statements highlight strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio reflects effective conversion of earnings into cash. Free Cash Flow has shown significant growth, supporting potential reinvestment and debt reduction strategies. This solid cash flow position enhances the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.68B1.50B1.43B1.32B1.21B1.02B
Gross Profit1.26B1.11B1.05B949.21M875.29M706.60M
EBITDA334.47M167.06M121.06M-119.28M-94.73M-67.94M
Net Income220.20M99.19M67.81M-345.58M-63.04M-61.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.32B1.77B1.51B1.36B1.59B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments411.57M739.97M423.34M297.22M362.78M465.17M
Total Debt79.02M549.67M581.27M687.74M678.54M518.20M
Total Liabilities699.88M1.18B1.16B1.23B1.18B1.06B
Stockholders Equity624.54M585.48M353.84M130.84M416.09M542.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow410.32M338.21M201.00M-13.04M28.66M-25.93M
Operating Cash Flow416.18M345.93M217.78M22.34M39.12M-563.00K
Investing Cash Flow220.12M-202.58M-50.75M13.07M72.50M-321.68M
Financing Cash Flow-699.03M-30.21M-81.96M-46.99M-121.84M423.45M

Pegasystems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.89
Price Trends
50DMA
52.98
Negative
100DMA
47.44
Positive
200DMA
46.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
46.59
Neutral
STOCH
18.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEGA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.42, below the 50-day MA of 52.98, and above the 200-day MA of 46.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PEGA.

Pegasystems Risk Analysis

Pegasystems disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pegasystems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pegasystems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.72B44.0841.55%0.14%12.47%65.19%
75
Outperform
$8.56B107.3725.08%21.62%-53.99%
74
Outperform
$4.02B482.280.97%14.52%
69
Neutral
$5.54B11.9834.61%36.68%
68
Neutral
¥241.22B15.246.62%2.44%9.24%1.58%
61
Neutral
$13.38B1.44%0.22%48.10%
56
Neutral
$4.01B235.54-20.95%15.00%-349.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEGA
Pegasystems
52.89
19.04
56.25%
CVLT
CommVault Systems
191.44
40.78
27.07%
QXO
QXO Inc
21.06
10.31
95.91%
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
40.41
-6.73
-14.28%
VERX
Vertex
26.50
-9.73
-26.86%
CWAN
Clearwater Analytics Holdings
19.61
-3.78
-16.16%

Pegasystems Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Pegasystems Announces Two-for-One Stock Split
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

Pegasystems Inc. announced a two-for-one forward stock split of its common stock, along with an increase in the number of authorized shares from 200 million to 400 million. The stock split was approved by shareholders on June 17, 2025, and the distribution occurred on June 20, 2025, with trading on a post-split basis beginning on June 23, 2025. This move resulted in adjustments to the company’s equity incentive plans and stock options, potentially impacting stakeholders by altering the value and distribution of shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEGA) stock is a Buy with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pegasystems stock, see the PEGA Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Pegasystems Confirms Two-for-One Stock Split
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Pegasystems held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. Shareholders approved amendments to the company’s Restated Articles of Organization to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 200 million to 400 million. Additionally, the board of directors was re-elected, executive compensation was approved, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025. A two-for-one forward stock split was also confirmed, with trading on a post-split basis expected to begin on June 23, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEGA) stock is a Buy with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pegasystems stock, see the PEGA Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pegasystems Reports Strong Growth in Pega Cloud ACV
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Pegasystems Inc. presented its financial update, highlighting significant growth in its Annual Contract Value (ACV) driven by Pega Cloud, which grew from $50 million in 2017 to $700 million in 2025. The company has completed its multi-year subscription transition and achieved the Rule of 40, balancing growth and profitability. Pegasystems is on a strong trajectory toward sustained profitability, supported by its strategic focus on generating free cash flow and capital allocation, including share repurchases and dividend payments. The company’s GenAI Blueprint and large market opportunities are expected to drive further growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEGA) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pegasystems stock, see the PEGA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025