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CommVault Systems (CVLT)
NASDAQ:CVLT

CommVault Systems (CVLT) AI Stock Analysis

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CVLT

CommVault Systems

(NASDAQ:CVLT)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$131.00
▲(4.72% Upside)
CommVault Systems' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid financial management, despite high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives in SaaS and cloud resilience are promising, but financial risks and valuation challenges need to be addressed.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion.
SaaS Adoption
Rapid SaaS growth reflects successful transition to cloud-based services, enhancing recurring revenue and customer retention.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships expand product capabilities and market reach, strengthening competitive positioning in the industry.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Elevated debt levels may strain financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term financial stability and operational agility.
Gross Margin Pressure
Margin pressure from SaaS transition could impact profitability, requiring cost management to sustain financial performance.
CFO Resignation
Leadership changes in finance may disrupt strategic financial planning, affecting execution of long-term financial strategies.

CommVault Systems (CVLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CommVault Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommvault Systems, Inc. provides data protection and information management software applications and related services in the United States and internationally. The company offers Commvault Backup and Recovery, a backup and recovery solution; Commvault Disaster Recovery, a replication and disaster recovery solution; and Commvault Complete Data Protection, a data protection solution. It also provides Commvault HyperScale X, an easy-to-deploy scale-out solution; Commvault Distributed Storage Platform that offers software-defined storage built on a hyperscale architecture; Metallic Cloud Storage service, which is the easy button to adopt secure and scalable cloud storage; and Metallic Software-as-a-Service. In addition, the company provides technology and business consulting, education, and remote managed services. Further, it sells appliances that integrate the software with hardware for use in a range of business needs and use cases; and offers professional and customer support services that include data management-as-a-service under the Metallic brand. The company sells its products and services directly through its sales force, and indirectly through its network of distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, corporate resellers, and original equipment manufacturers to large enterprises, small and medium sized businesses, and government agencies. It supports customers in a range of industries, including banking, insurance and financial services, government, healthcare, pharmaceuticals and medical services, technology, legal, manufacturing, utilities, and energy. Commvault Systems, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommVault generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and associated maintenance and support services. The company's revenue model consists of both perpetual licenses and software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, allowing customers to choose the deployment method that best fits their needs. Key revenue streams include recurring subscription fees from cloud-based services, one-time payments for software licenses, and ongoing support contracts. Additionally, CommVault has established strategic partnerships with major cloud service providers, such as Microsoft Azure and Amazon Web Services (AWS), which enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. These partnerships not only generate additional revenue through joint marketing efforts and bundled services but also contribute to customer acquisition and retention by providing integrated solutions.

CommVault Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in ARR, revenue, and SaaS adoption, surpassing major milestones ahead of schedule. Strategic partnerships and new customer wins were also emphasized. However, challenges related to contract duration and gross margin were noted.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net New ARR
Commvault added a record $47 million net new ARR in constant currency.
Strong SaaS ARR Growth
SaaS ARR grew 56% to $330 million, achieving the target two quarters earlier than projected.
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 18% to $276 million.
Surpassing $1 Billion ARR Milestone
Total ARR grew 22%, reaching $1 billion two quarters ahead of the original March 2026 target.
Continued Cloud Transition
Commvault moved and protected approximately 8 exabytes of customer data into the cloud, representing a greater than 40% CAGR over the past 5 years.
Strategic Partnership with BeyondTrust
New partnership with BeyondTrust to enhance the Commvault Cloud platform by integrating identity security capabilities.
New Major Customer Wins
Commvault secured several large contracts, including with a large bank in Asia Pacific and BBVA, one of the world's largest financial institutions.
Recognition by Industry Analysts
Commvault was named a leader in the Forrester Wave, Gartner Magic Quadrant, and IDC MarketScape on cyber recovery.
Negative Updates
Shift in Term Duration
Customers chose shorter contract durations to maintain flexibility, which impacted the average deal size.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margins were affected by the acceleration of SaaS, which has a different margin profile, and the shift in term duration.
Company Guidance
During the Commvault Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics indicating strong performance and future expectations. Commvault reported a record addition of $47 million in net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) on a constant currency basis, with subscription ARR rising 30% to $894 million. Total revenue increased by 18% to $276 million, and total ARR grew 22%, achieving $1 billion in total ARR two quarters ahead of the March 2026 target. The company also highlighted a 56% growth in Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) ARR, reaching $330 million, and maintained a robust SaaS net dollar retention rate of 125%. Looking forward, Commvault projects continued strong demand for its Cloud Cyber Resilience platform, driven by hybrid cloud customer adoption and the integration of AI data. The company also raised its full-year free cash flow outlook to between $225 million and $230 million, reflecting both solid market demand and strategic investments.

CommVault Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CommVault Systems demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio suggests potential financial risk. The company should focus on improving net profit margins and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CommVault Systems shows a solid revenue growth rate of 4.08% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin remains strong at 81.55%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 7.32%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.32 TTM, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity is robust at 27.01%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
CommVault Systems exhibits a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 10.47% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, showing adequate cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.97, reflecting efficient conversion of income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10B995.62M839.25M784.59M769.59M723.47M
Gross Profit893.63M816.58M687.64M649.19M655.73M614.10M
EBITDA97.30M90.66M90.56M-4.57M54.47M-5.36M
Net Income80.24M76.11M168.91M-35.77M33.62M-30.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.92B1.12B943.91M792.60M827.92M914.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B302.10M312.75M287.78M267.51M397.24M
Total Debt908.49M10.95M12.09M12.78M16.05M22.89M
Total Liabilities1.71B793.14M665.83M606.50M572.09M520.17M
Stockholders Equity210.46M325.12M278.08M186.10M255.83M394.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow209.44M203.63M199.71M167.05M173.27M115.78M
Operating Cash Flow215.55M207.38M203.80M170.29M177.18M123.95M
Investing Cash Flow-48.97M-70.40M-5.52M-5.29M-24.44M35.47M
Financing Cash Flow583.38M-147.82M-170.58M-135.58M-276.09M-74.74M

CommVault Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price125.10
Price Trends
50DMA
138.29
Negative
100DMA
161.15
Negative
200DMA
164.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.70
Negative
RSI
46.48
Neutral
STOCH
75.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVLT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 125.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.05, below the 50-day MA of 138.29, and below the 200-day MA of 164.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CVLT.

CommVault Systems Risk Analysis

CommVault Systems disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CommVault Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CommVault Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$9.75B38.9351.96%0.16%17.00%120.21%
67
Neutral
$7.03B64.759.79%18.99%66.43%
66
Neutral
$7.35B118.695.81%28.62%186.67%
65
Neutral
$5.43B70.4832.87%22.02%-55.25%
65
Neutral
$7.85B-73.73-12.84%16.98%-265.85%
62
Neutral
$6.38B-146.65-5.17%27.35%18.18%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVLT
CommVault Systems
125.10
-33.63
-21.19%
PEGA
Pegasystems
58.89
11.36
23.90%
ESTC
Elastic
76.17
-27.46
-26.50%
MNDY
Monday.com
145.52
-96.97
-39.99%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
22.92
6.30
37.91%
GTLB
Gitlab
38.07
-21.76
-36.37%

CommVault Systems Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
CommVault Systems CFO Resigns, CEO to Oversee Transition
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Commvault announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Jennifer DiRico, effective at the end of the calendar year. The company has begun searching for a new CFO, and in the interim, President and CEO Sanjay Mirchandani will oversee a newly established Office of the CFO. DiRico’s departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Commvault maintains its market position in cyber resilience and reports no changes to its financial outlook.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommVault Systems Appoints Geoff Haydon to Board
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Commvault appointed Geoff Haydon to its Board of Directors and the Audit Committee, highlighting his extensive experience in cybersecurity and enterprise technology. This strategic move is expected to bolster Commvault’s leadership in cyber resilience, as Haydon’s expertise aligns with the company’s mission to advance cyber resilience in the AI era. Concurrently, Allison Pickens resigned from the Board on October 15, 2025, to focus on her venture capital firm, with her departure not linked to any disagreements with Commvault.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025