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CommVault Systems (CVLT)
NASDAQ:CVLT
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CommVault Systems (CVLT) AI Stock Analysis

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CVLT

CommVault Systems

(NASDAQ:CVLT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$216.00
▲(13.50% Upside)
CommVault Systems' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. The technical indicators support a bullish outlook, although the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield slightly dampens the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
CommVault's robust revenue growth, particularly in subscription services, indicates strong market demand and effective business strategy, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance Commvault's competitive edge and market reach, potentially leading to increased customer acquisition and retention over time.
Industry Recognition
Consistent industry recognition strengthens brand reputation and trust, likely driving customer loyalty and attracting new clients, supporting sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Dilution
While strategic, the acquisition could pressure margins in the short term, potentially impacting profitability until integration benefits materialize.
EPS Decline
A significant decline in EPS growth suggests challenges in profitability, which could affect investor confidence and the company's ability to reinvest in growth.
Flat Share Count
Flat share count despite buybacks indicates limited impact on EPS improvement, potentially affecting shareholder value and market perception.

CommVault Systems (CVLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CommVault Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommvault Systems, Inc. provides data protection and information management software applications and related services in the United States and internationally. The company offers Commvault Backup and Recovery, a backup and recovery solution; Commvault Disaster Recovery, a replication and disaster recovery solution; and Commvault Complete Data Protection, a data protection solution. It also provides Commvault HyperScale X, an easy-to-deploy scale-out solution; Commvault Distributed Storage Platform that offers software-defined storage built on a hyperscale architecture; Metallic Cloud Storage service, which is the easy button to adopt secure and scalable cloud storage; and Metallic Software-as-a-Service. In addition, the company provides technology and business consulting, education, and remote managed services. Further, it sells appliances that integrate the software with hardware for use in a range of business needs and use cases; and offers professional and customer support services that include data management-as-a-service under the Metallic brand. The company sells its products and services directly through its sales force, and indirectly through its network of distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, corporate resellers, and original equipment manufacturers to large enterprises, small and medium sized businesses, and government agencies. It supports customers in a range of industries, including banking, insurance and financial services, government, healthcare, pharmaceuticals and medical services, technology, legal, manufacturing, utilities, and energy. Commvault Systems, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommvault generates revenue primarily through software licensing, subscription services, and professional services. The company offers its products on a perpetual license basis as well as a subscription model, allowing customers to choose the payment structure that best suits their needs. Key revenue streams include sales from its software solutions, maintenance and support services, and cloud services that facilitate data storage and management. Additionally, Commvault has established significant partnerships with leading cloud service providers and technology companies, enhancing its market reach and contributing to its earnings through joint marketing and integrated solutions.

CommVault Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with significant growth in ARR and revenue, strategic partnerships enhancing market reach, and industry recognition. Despite the positive momentum, there was a note of expected margin dilution due to an acquisition.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARR Growth
Total ARR increased by 24% to $996 million, with subscription ARR growing by 33% to $844 million. SaaS ARR soared 63% to $307 million.
Revenue Increase
Total revenue grew by 26% to $282 million, driven by a 46% increase in subscription revenue.
Record Land and Expand Quarter
Commvault had its best land and expand quarter ever with notable wins including Honeywell, Equifax, and U-Haul.
Geographical and Segment Growth
Healthy growth was observed across geographies, industries, and customer segments from enterprise to SMB.
Strategic Partnerships and Alliances
Announced partnerships with Deloitte, CrowdStrike, HPE, and Kyndryl to enhance cyber resilience and recovery capabilities.
Recognition in Industry
Commvault was named a leader in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for Backup and Data Protection Platforms for the 14th consecutive time.
Satori Cyber Acquisition
Announcement of the acquisition of Satori Cyber to enhance AI and data security offerings.
Negative Updates
Modest Margin Dilution
The acquisition of Satori Cyber is expected to be modestly dilutive to margins for the next several quarters.
Flat Diluted Share Count
The diluted share count remained flat at 45 million shares despite repurchasing $15 million of stock.
Company Guidance
During the Commvault First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust growth across several key metrics. Total annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased by 24% to $996 million, with subscription ARR up 33% to $844 million. SaaS ARR saw a significant 63% rise to $307 million, contributing to a total revenue growth of 26% to $282 million. Subscription revenue surged 46% to $182 million, and the company achieved a 47% performance on a Rule of 40 basis. The company also expanded its customer base, surpassing 8,000 and approaching 13,000 subscription customers. Notably, Commvault experienced triple-digit growth in marketplace transactions, underscoring its success in emerging routes to market like cloud marketplaces. Looking ahead, the company raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance, projecting total ARR growth of 18% and subscription ARR growth of 24%, with anticipated total revenue between $1.161 billion to $1.165 billion, reflecting a 17% increase at the midpoint.

CommVault Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CommVault Systems has shown strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, and cash flow generation is healthy, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. The company is well-positioned for future growth, though it should continue to focus on maintaining its competitive edge and managing operational efficiencies.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CommVault Systems has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 6% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The Gross Profit Margin is strong at 81.94%, and the Net Profit Margin has improved significantly to 7.7%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect operational efficiency improvements. However, the company should keep an eye on sustaining these margins amid competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.08, suggesting minimal leverage risk. The Equity Ratio of 31% indicates a solid equity foundation. Return on Equity stands at 22.2%, reflecting strong shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet depicts financial stability, but the company should monitor equity growth relative to asset growth.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CommVault's cash flow generation is strong, with a Free Cash Flow of $189.6 million for TTM, reflecting a positive Free Cash Flow Growth Rate. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.4 indicates efficient cash conversion from net income. The company maintains strong liquidity, but should continue to focus on optimizing capital expenditures to enhance cash flow further.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B995.62M839.25M784.59M769.59M723.47M
Gross Profit862.90M816.58M687.64M649.19M655.73M614.10M
EBITDA97.56M90.66M90.44M-4.68M54.44M-5.36M
Net Income81.08M76.11M168.91M-35.77M33.62M-30.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.12B943.91M782.57M816.08M904.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments363.23M302.10M312.75M287.78M267.51M397.24M
Total Debt29.62M10.95M12.09M12.78M16.05M22.89M
Total Liabilities811.70M793.14M665.83M596.48M560.25M510.14M
Stockholders Equity364.74M325.12M278.08M186.10M255.83M394.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow189.60M203.63M199.71M167.05M173.27M115.78M
Operating Cash Flow194.37M207.38M203.80M170.29M177.18M123.95M
Investing Cash Flow-21.24M-70.40M-5.52M-5.29M-24.44M35.47M
Financing Cash Flow-118.67M-147.82M-170.58M-135.58M-276.09M-74.74M

CommVault Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price190.30
Price Trends
50DMA
181.74
Positive
100DMA
179.59
Positive
200DMA
170.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.35
Negative
RSI
50.82
Neutral
STOCH
51.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVLT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 190.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 185.23, above the 50-day MA of 181.74, and above the 200-day MA of 170.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVLT.

CommVault Systems Risk Analysis

CommVault Systems disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CommVault Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CommVault Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.46B106.0725.08%21.62%-53.99%
77
Outperform
9.01B71.943.69%20.14%335.82%
71
Outperform
10.04B50.4235.26%0.13%12.47%65.19%
68
Neutral
10.49B278.723.35%30.24%-6.69%
65
Neutral
9.13B-107.64-8.60%17.42%-228.98%
61
Neutral
7.92B-1,412.80-0.82%28.97%98.96%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVLT
CommVault Systems
190.30
36.45
23.69%
PEGA
Pegasystems
58.66
22.18
60.80%
ESTC
Elastic
85.95
9.19
11.97%
MNDY
Monday.com
206.59
-71.18
-25.63%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
28.97
16.86
139.22%
GTLB
Gitlab
47.47
-4.07
-7.90%

CommVault Systems Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
CommVault Systems Issues $900M Convertible Notes
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

CommVault Systems, Inc. issued $900 million of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, with an additional $115 million option exercised by initial purchasers. These notes, issued on September 5, 2025, are senior unsecured obligations and are convertible under specific conditions, with a maturity date of September 15, 2030. The company also engaged in capped call transactions to mitigate potential dilution of common stock upon conversion of the notes, with a cap price set at $357.56 per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVLT) stock is a Buy with a $198.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommVault Systems stock, see the CVLT Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
CommVault Systems Announces $750M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Commvault Systems announced its plan to initiate a private offering of $750 million in convertible senior notes due 2030, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this offering are intended to enhance strategic flexibility, with a portion allocated for capped call transactions to offset share dilution, and up to $125 million for share repurchases, potentially impacting the market price of Commvault’s common stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVLT) stock is a Buy with a $198.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommVault Systems stock, see the CVLT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CommVault Systems Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

CommVault Systems held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on August 7, 2025, where stockholders voted on several key issues, including the election of nine directors, executive compensation, the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as independent auditors, and the approval of additional shares under the 2016 Omnibus Incentive Plan. These decisions are crucial for the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVLT) stock is a Hold with a $164.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommVault Systems stock, see the CVLT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025