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CommVault Systems (CVLT)
NASDAQ:CVLT
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CommVault Systems (CVLT) AI Stock Analysis

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CVLT

CommVault Systems

(NASDAQ:CVLT)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$217.00
▲(13.35% Upside)
CommVault Systems demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, both contributing significantly to its score. Technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, though high valuation metrics and potential overbought conditions pose risks. The company's strategic initiatives and growth in subscription revenue are promising, but investors should be cautious of valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Commvault reported solid top- and bottom-line beats in its fiscal first quarter and provided guidance above consensus across all key metrics.
Market Position
The stock is up over 18.5% following the healthy first-quarter results as investors see the fruits of Commvault’s labor in the numbers and clear evidence of the company’s formidable position in the crowded data protection landscape.
Product Demand
Commvault's growth is driven by strong demand for cyber-resilience solutions as ransomware threats rise.
Negative Factors
Analyst Concerns
Analyst is cautious due to consensus estimates not aligning with expectations.
Currency Effects
Consensus estimates may be skewed by not accounting for constant currency, leading to inflated expectations.

CommVault Systems (CVLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CommVault Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommvault Systems, Inc. provides data protection and information management software applications and related services in the United States and internationally. The company offers Commvault Backup and Recovery, a backup and recovery solution; Commvault Disaster Recovery, a replication and disaster recovery solution; and Commvault Complete Data Protection, a data protection solution. It also provides Commvault HyperScale X, an easy-to-deploy scale-out solution; Commvault Distributed Storage Platform that offers software-defined storage built on a hyperscale architecture; Metallic Cloud Storage service, which is the easy button to adopt secure and scalable cloud storage; and Metallic Software-as-a-Service. In addition, the company provides technology and business consulting, education, and remote managed services. Further, it sells appliances that integrate the software with hardware for use in a range of business needs and use cases; and offers professional and customer support services that include data management-as-a-service under the Metallic brand. The company sells its products and services directly through its sales force, and indirectly through its network of distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, corporate resellers, and original equipment manufacturers to large enterprises, small and medium sized businesses, and government agencies. It supports customers in a range of industries, including banking, insurance and financial services, government, healthcare, pharmaceuticals and medical services, technology, legal, manufacturing, utilities, and energy. Commvault Systems, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommvault generates revenue primarily through software licensing, subscription services, and professional services. The company offers its products on a perpetual license basis as well as a subscription model, allowing customers to choose the payment structure that best suits their needs. Key revenue streams include sales from its software solutions, maintenance and support services, and cloud services that facilitate data storage and management. Additionally, Commvault has established significant partnerships with leading cloud service providers and technology companies, enhancing its market reach and contributing to its earnings through joint marketing and integrated solutions.

CommVault Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 17.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was overwhelmingly positive with strong revenue growth, significant customer wins, and strategic partnerships and acquisitions. However, there were some concerns about the dilution from the Satori acquisition and flat operating margins.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total ARR grew 24% to $996 million, Subscription ARR grew 33% to $844 million, and total revenue increased by 26% to $282 million. SaaS ARR soared 63% to $307 million.
Record Land and Expand Quarter
Commvault achieved its best land and expand quarter ever, surpassing 8,000 customers and being on track to exceed the $330 million ARR target ahead of schedule.
Notable Customer Wins
Significant customer wins include Honeywell, Equifax, U-Haul, NTT DATA Services, and Chaucer Lloyd's.
Geographical and Segment Expansion
Commvault posted healthy growth across geographies, industries, and customer segments, from enterprise to SMB.
Partner Ecosystem Success
Achieved triple-digit growth in marketplace transactions and announced major partnerships with Deloitte, CrowdStrike, HPE, and Kyndryl.
Recognition in Gartner Magic Quadrant
Commvault was named a leader in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for Backup and Data Protection Platforms for the 14th consecutive time and ranked #1 in 5 out of 6 use cases.
Strategic Acquisition of Satori Cyber
Commvault announced its intent to acquire Satori Cyber to enhance its data security offerings, expected to close later this quarter.
Negative Updates
Dilution Impact from Satori Acquisition
The acquisition of Satori Cyber is expected to be modestly dilutive to margins for the next several quarters.
Flat Operating Margins
Non-GAAP EBIT margin was 20.7%, and the expected non-GAAP EBIT margins for Q2 are approximately 20%, reflecting ongoing investments and the integration of Satori Cyber.
Company Guidance
During the Commvault First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported substantial growth across various metrics, reflecting strong financial performance and strategic execution. Total annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased by 24% to $996 million, with subscription ARR rising by 33% to $844 million. Total revenue grew by 26% to $282 million, driven by a 46% increase in subscription revenue. SaaS ARR experienced a remarkable growth of 63% to $307 million, and subscription revenue constituted 85% of total ARR, compared to 79% a year ago. The company achieved a 47% score on the Rule of 40 basis, demonstrating a healthy balance between revenue growth and profitability. Notably, Commvault surpassed 8,000 customers and exceeded its $330 million ARR target ahead of schedule. The company also highlighted significant wins with major clients like Honeywell and Equifax, and reported triple-digit growth in cloud marketplace transactions. Moving forward, Commvault expects Q2 subscription revenue to be between $174 million and $176 million, and total revenue to range from $272 million to $274 million, with a full-year fiscal 2026 total ARR growth anticipated at 18% year-over-year.

CommVault Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CommVault Systems demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, although there is room for improvement in ROE and EBIT margin. Cash flow management is effective, highlighting robust cash generation.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
CommVault Systems has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 18.63% from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong at 82%, indicating effective cost management. Despite a dip in EBIT margin from 8.98% in 2024 to 7.41% in 2025, the company maintains a solid net profit margin of 7.64%. Overall, the income statement reflects strong revenue growth and profitability, though EBIT margin could be improved.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio of 29.07%, indicating a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. However, return on equity (ROE) has decreased from 60.73% in 2024 to 23.41% in 2025, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating profits from equity. Despite this, the low leverage and solid equity base provide financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
CommVault's cash flow is robust, with operating cash flow exceeding net income, resulting in a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.73. Free cash flow has grown by 2% from 2024 to 2025, indicating sustainable cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.68, underscoring the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation and prudent cash management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue995.62M839.25M784.59M769.59M723.47M
Gross Profit816.58M687.64M649.19M655.73M614.10M
EBITDA89.71M90.44M-4.68M54.44M-5.36M
Net Income76.11M168.91M-35.77M33.62M-30.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B943.91M782.57M816.08M904.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments302.10M312.75M287.78M267.51M397.24M
Total Debt10.95M12.09M12.78M16.05M22.89M
Total Liabilities793.14M665.83M596.48M560.25M510.14M
Stockholders Equity325.12M278.08M186.10M255.83M394.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow203.63M199.71M167.05M173.27M115.78M
Operating Cash Flow207.38M203.80M170.29M177.18M123.95M
Investing Cash Flow-70.40M-5.52M-5.29M-24.44M35.47M
Financing Cash Flow-147.82M-170.58M-135.58M-276.09M-74.74M

CommVault Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price191.44
Price Trends
50DMA
178.28
Positive
100DMA
172.07
Positive
200DMA
168.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.25
Negative
RSI
60.98
Neutral
STOCH
61.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVLT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 191.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 179.50, above the 50-day MA of 178.28, and above the 200-day MA of 168.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVLT.

CommVault Systems Risk Analysis

CommVault Systems disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CommVault Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CommVault Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.72B44.0841.55%0.14%12.47%65.19%
75
Outperform
$8.56B107.3725.08%21.62%-53.99%
74
Outperform
$4.02B482.280.97%14.52%
70
Outperform
$3.06B36.685.22%-0.54%626.94%
68
Neutral
$5.54B11.9834.61%36.68%
63
Neutral
$15.76B-13.62%-13.74%48.10%
61
Neutral
$36.32B7.12-9.36%1.97%7.79%-9.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVLT
CommVault Systems
191.44
40.78
27.07%
PEGA
Pegasystems
52.89
19.04
56.25%
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
40.41
-6.73
-14.28%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
10.09
1.22
13.75%
U
Unity Software
37.94
22.12
139.82%
CWAN
Clearwater Analytics Holdings
19.61
-3.78
-16.16%

CommVault Systems Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommVault Systems Expands Credit Facility to $300 Million
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Commvault Systems, Inc. refinanced its existing $100 million senior secured revolving credit facility and established a new five-year senior secured revolving credit facility, increasing its total borrowing capacity to $300 million. This strategic financial maneuver, facilitated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025