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Unity Software (U)
NYSE:U

Unity Software (U) AI Stock Analysis

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Unity Software

(NYSE:U)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▼(-5.81% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is anchored by mixed fundamentals: strong and improving free cash flow and a stabilizing balance sheet are offset by continued sizable net losses and uneven revenue growth. Technicals are a major drag given the pronounced downtrend and negative momentum signals. Offsetting these, the latest earnings call was notably positive on guidance, Vector growth, and margin expansion trajectory, helping keep the score in the mid-range despite weak valuation support from negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for product investment, debt amortization and opportunistic capital allocation. High FCF mitigates refinancing risk, supports margin expansion initiatives, and gives management financial flexibility during a multi-quarter product ramp.
High Gross Margins
Elevated and improving gross margins reflect scalable software economics and strong unit economics across Create and Grow. That margin base enables operating leverage as revenue recovers, allowing incremental revenue to flow to EBITDA and cash generation over a sustained multi-quarter growth cycle.
Product Momentum — Vector
Rapid, repeatable Vector growth is a structural revenue driver that diversifies Grow revenue and shifts mix toward higher‑value model products. A >$1B run rate materially changes long‑term revenue composition, improves lifetime monetization potential, and compounds value as runtime data integrates into models over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Net Losses
Meaningful net losses and negative returns on equity constrain return metrics and shareholder economics. Even with improving cash flow, persistent operating losses limit reinvestment financed from earnings, keep ROE negative, and require continued discipline to turn profits sustainably across a medium‑term horizon.
Uneven Revenue Growth
Inconsistent top‑line trends create uncertainty about the cadence of margin conversion and long‑term scale benefits. Reliance on episodic gains (vector ramp, Create normalization) means durable margin expansion depends on multi‑quarter execution and consistent revenue recovery across segments.
Ad Network Wind‑down & Competitive Risk
The IronSource wind‑down reduces a near‑term revenue bucket and pressures Grow mix while new products scale. Simultaneous competitive questions (e.g., Meta, Google) raise execution risk for Create and ad monetization, making durable market share gains and long‑run monetization less certain.

Unity Software (U) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Unity Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnity Software Inc. creates and operates an interactive real-time 3D content platform. Its platform provides software solutions to create, run, and monetize interactive, real-time 2D and 3D content for mobile phones, tablets, PCs, consoles, and augmented and virtual reality devices. The company serves content creators and developers, artists, designers, engineers, and architects to create interactive and real-time 2D and 3D content. It offers its solutions directly through its online store, field sales operations, independent distributors, and resellers in the United States, Denmark, Belgium, Canada, China, Colombia, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Israel, Japan, Lithuania, Portugal, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnity Software generates revenue through multiple streams, with the primary source being its subscription-based model for the Unity engine. Developers pay for different tiers of licenses that offer varying levels of access to features and support. Additionally, Unity earns revenue from the sale of assets through its Unity Asset Store, where creators can buy and sell game assets and tools. The company also monetizes through its advertising platform, Unity Ads, which allows developers to integrate advertisements into their games, generating revenue based on ad impressions and clicks. Furthermore, Unity has established partnerships with various industries, including automotive and film, that contribute to its earnings by providing tailored solutions and services. Overall, Unity's diverse revenue model is bolstered by its extensive ecosystem of products, services, and partnerships.

Unity Software Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsUnity's revenue from Europe, Middle East, and Africa, as well as Asia Pacific, has been declining since late 2023, while the United States also shows a downward trend. Despite these regional declines, Unity's overall performance remains strong, with first-quarter 2025 revenue exceeding guidance by $20 million. The company's strategic shift towards high-margin subscription services and successful AI platform integration are driving growth, particularly in the Create segment. However, challenges persist with declines in Grow and Create revenue, highlighting the need for continued innovation and market expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Unity Software Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights a clear positive momentum: rapid and accelerating Vector growth, a returning Create business, improving profitability and exceptional free cash flow conversion, plus multiple product catalysts (runtime integration, browser authoring, AI authoring, commerce). Near‑term items tempering the picture include the decline of the IronSource network, seasonality in Q1, elevated near‑term operating spend, and some investor concerns about competitive dynamics and the multi‑quarter nature of runtime benefits. Overall, the positives (sustained high‑growth Vector, improving Create, strong margins and cash flow, and a constructive product roadmap) outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Vector Rapid Growth and Traction
Vector delivered its third consecutive quarter of mid‑teen sequential revenue growth, grew 53% across its first three quarters since launch, and had its best month in January (January revenue >70% year‑over‑year). Management expects Vector to exceed a $1 billion annual run rate by 2026 and to continue compounding performance as runtime data is integrated.
Strong Q4 Grow Revenue
Grow revenue was $338 million in Q4, up 6% sequentially and 11% year‑over‑year, with Vector comprising 56% of Grow revenue (up from 49% two quarters earlier).
Create Business Rebound
Create revenue was $165 million in Q4, up 8% year‑over‑year. Excluding $10 million in non‑strategic 2024 revenue, Create grew 16% YoY, driven by subscription strength and price/renewal cadence; Create also grew nearly 50% in China over the year.
Improving Profitability and Cash Conversion
Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 was $125 million (25% margin), a 200 basis point improvement year‑over‑year and sequentially. For 2025, adjusted EBITDA margins increased to 22% and Unity converted 99% of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow.
Significant Free Cash Flow Growth and Strong Liquidity
Free cash flow grew 41% in 2025 to just over $400 million. The company exited the year with over $2 billion in cash and successfully refinanced $690 million of convertible notes, extending maturities to 2030.
Product Momentum and Roadmap Catalysts
Unity 6 adoption is the fastest in company history (around 90% of active creators can use it free), Unity Studio (no‑code 3D editor) is in beta, browser‑based authoring and AI authoring (beta to be showcased at GDC) are key 2026 growth initiatives, and in‑app commerce is entering early access with GA planned in Q2.
Guidance Reflects Continued Growth and Margin Expansion
Q1 guidance: total revenue $480–490 million and adjusted EBITDA $105–110 million. Vector is expected to grow ~10% sequentially in Q1; Create is expected to deliver double‑digit YoY growth in Q1 excluding non‑strategic revenue. Management expects adjusted EBITDA margins to expand ~300 basis points YoY in Q1.
Acceleration of Organic Growth
Management noted that organic year‑over‑year revenue growth accelerated every quarter throughout 2025 across both Create and Grow, indicating improving top‑line momentum and execution consistency.
Negative Updates
IronSource Ad Network Decline
IronSource ad network revenue declined by $7 million sequentially in Q4, represented 11% of Grow revenue in the quarter, and management expects it to decline to below ~6% of total revenue in Q1—creating near‑term mix pressure and a drag while the business winds down.
Seasonality and Near‑Term Grow Headwinds
The company expects Grow to be flat sequentially in Q1 due to seasonality (coming off a strong, holiday‑heavy Q4) and two fewer calendar days; this tempers immediate sequential acceleration outside of Vector.
Elevated Operating Spend in Near Term
Q4 included significant sales & marketing spend for UNITE and accruals for commissions/bonuses, plus elevated R&D spend from higher cloud costs and AI hiring—pressures that management expects while investing behind product roadmap.
Non‑Strategic Revenue and One‑Time Items
Create results are adjusted for non‑strategic revenue: management referenced a $10 million non‑strategic item from 2024 (and ~ $40 million of non‑strategic/one‑time items excluded from forward cadence), indicating some noise to normalize when comparing periods.
Market Concerns on Competition and Long‑Term Positioning
Analyst and market concerns were raised about competitive pressure (notably Meta on iOS inventory and broader initiatives like Google Genie/world models). Management downplayed immediate impact but acknowledged investor questions about Create's long‑term strategic positioning and the broader AI ecosystem.
Runtime Data Benefits Expected to Compound, Not Instantaneously Spike Results
Management cautioned that adding runtime (developer) data into Vector models in Q2 is not expected to produce a single 'lightning strike' uplift, but rather to drive significant compounding model improvements over time—implying a multi‑quarter ramp to full benefit.
Company Guidance
Unity guided Q1 2026 revenue of $480–$490 million and adjusted EBITDA of $105–$110 million (with adjusted EBITDA margins expected to expand ~300 basis points year‑over‑year in Q1 and to improve through the year despite heavy product/AI investment). Management expects total Grow revenue to be flat sequentially in Q1 (partly due to seasonality and two fewer calendar days) while Vector should grow ~10% sequentially in Q1 and is expected to reach a run‑rate comfortably above $1 billion annually by 2026; the IronSource ad network is expected to be <6% of total revenue in Q1. Create is forecast to deliver double‑digit year‑over‑year Q1 growth excluding non‑strategic revenue, and management expects a similar cadence through 2026 excluding roughly $40 million of non‑strategic and one‑time items, with Grow returning to sequential growth in Q2.

Unity Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a clear strength (2025 operating cash flow ~$423M and free cash flow ~$404M, improving vs. 2024). However, profitability remains weak with a sizable 2025 net loss (~$403M, ~-22% margin) and uneven revenue growth. Balance sheet leverage is improving with a meaningful equity base, but returns remain negative.
Income Statement
41
Neutral
Revenue growth has been uneven (down in 2024, modestly up in 2025), with 2025 revenue of ~$1.85B. Gross margins are strong and improving versus 2022–2023 (about 74% in 2025), indicating solid unit economics. However, profitability remains the core issue: the company is still posting operating losses and a 2025 net loss of ~$403M (about -22% net margin), albeit improved from 2024’s larger loss. Overall, strong gross profit profile but still meaningfully loss-making with inconsistent top-line momentum.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows meaningful scale with ~$6.84B in assets (2025) and a sizable equity base of ~$3.24B, providing some cushion. Leverage is moderate for a software company, with debt-to-equity around 0.69 in 2025 and total debt of ~$2.24B, improving from higher leverage in 2023–2024. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (about -12% in 2025), reflecting continued net losses and limiting balance-sheet quality despite the improving leverage trend.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: 2025 operating cash flow was ~$423M and free cash flow was ~$404M, both positive and higher than 2024. Free cash flow has remained positive since 2023, showing improved cash discipline versus 2021–2022 when operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative. A notable risk is that cash conversion is not consistently strong relative to profitability (cash flow coverage metrics are well below 1), suggesting working-capital/adjustment-driven variability even as headline free cash flow is healthy.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.85B1.81B2.19B1.39B1.11B
Gross Profit1.37B1.33B1.45B948.52M856.90M
EBITDA38.37M-234.61M-209.35M-663.45M-465.53M
Net Income-402.76M-664.11M-822.01M-919.49M-532.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.84B6.74B7.24B7.83B4.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.06B1.52B1.59B1.59B1.74B
Total Debt2.39B2.35B2.71B2.71B1.82B
Total Liabilities3.34B3.31B3.83B4.08B2.45B
Stockholders Equity3.24B3.19B3.18B3.53B2.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow403.93M273.14M178.78M-116.57M-153.39M
Operating Cash Flow422.95M315.55M234.70M-59.43M-111.45M
Investing Cash Flow-24.02M-42.41M44.04M723.23M-1.84B
Financing Cash Flow110.09M-338.31M-174.01M-226.63M1.72B

Unity Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.58
Price Trends
50DMA
36.20
Negative
100DMA
37.93
Negative
200DMA
35.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.65
Negative
RSI
27.86
Positive
STOCH
24.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For U, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.98, below the 50-day MA of 36.20, and below the 200-day MA of 35.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 27.86 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for U.

Unity Software Risk Analysis

Unity Software disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Unity Software reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Unity Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$50.30B75.4610.03%0.37%-1.45%-11.99%
69
Neutral
$46.83B43.6440.33%15.62%2.59%
68
Neutral
$6.87B-171.41-2.58%50.91%54812.50%
65
Neutral
$4.20B-100.04-5.17%27.35%18.18%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$7.92B-19.43-12.53%-8.23%48.57%
52
Neutral
$47.55B-44.16-345.84%32.70%12.57%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
U
Unity Software
18.58
-7.59
-29.00%
ADSK
Autodesk
224.81
-57.54
-20.38%
EA
Electronic Arts
201.07
71.17
54.79%
RBLX
Roblox
68.07
7.64
12.64%
CWAN
Clearwater Analytics Holdings
23.50
-6.31
-21.17%
GTLB
Gitlab
25.97
-34.07
-56.75%

Unity Software Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Unity Software Reshapes Board With New Director Appointment
Positive
Feb 10, 2026

Unity Software announced on February 10, 2026, that gaming and technology veteran Bernard Kim will join its Board of Directors as an independent Class I director and member of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, effective May 1, 2026. Kim, whose term will run until the 2027 annual meeting, brings more than two decades of experience at Match Group, Zynga, and Electronic Arts, bolstering Unity’s board-level expertise at the intersection of gaming, advertising technology, and consumer platforms.

The company also disclosed that directors and company founders David Helgason and Tomer Bar-Zeev resigned from the Board effective February 5, 2026, while director Mary Schmidt Campbell will retire at the 2026 annual meeting when her term expires. In connection with these departures and Kim’s appointment, Unity reduced the size of its Board to nine members, signaling a streamlined governance structure as the company continues to evolve its leadership profile within the gaming and interactive experiences market.

The most recent analyst rating on (U) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Unity Software stock, see the U Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Unity Software Announces Planned Retirement of Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Feb 10, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Unity Software Inc. announced that its Chief Accounting Officer, Mark Barrysmith, has notified the company of his intention to retire, effective June 15, 2026. Barrysmith is expected to remain in his current role until that date to support an orderly transition, and the company has already initiated a search for his successor, signaling a planned leadership change in its finance and accounting function.

The retirement and transition plan underscore Unity’s effort to manage executive turnover in a structured manner, aiming to minimize disruption to its accounting operations and financial reporting. For investors and other stakeholders, the move highlights an upcoming change in a key financial leadership role, though the phased timeline may help reduce operational risk during the succession process.

The most recent analyst rating on (U) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Unity Software stock, see the U Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026