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Roblox (RBLX)
NYSE:RBLX
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Roblox (RBLX) AI Stock Analysis

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RBLX

Roblox

(NYSE:RBLX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$144.00
▲(12.07% Upside)
Roblox's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results, showcasing significant growth in revenue, bookings, and user engagement. However, financial performance is hindered by ongoing net losses and a weak equity position, impacting the score. Technical analysis and valuation present a mixed picture, with neutral momentum and challenges in traditional valuation metrics. The company's future growth potential and strategic investments are key factors for investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Roblox's strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective monetization strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
User Engagement
Increasing daily active users and engagement levels highlight the platform's growing popularity, essential for sustained growth and market leadership.
Partnership Expansion
The expanded partnership with Mattel enhances Roblox's content offering, attracting more users and developers, which strengthens its competitive position.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing net losses and negative profit margins highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could impact long-term financial health.
Regulatory Risks
Regulatory scrutiny over user safety could lead to increased compliance costs and reputational damage, affecting user trust and growth.
Weak Balance Sheet
A weak equity position and high leverage raise concerns about financial stability, potentially limiting future investment and growth opportunities.

Roblox (RBLX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Roblox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoblox Corporation (RBLX) is a leading online platform that allows users to create, share, and play games created by other users. Founded in 2004, the company operates primarily in the gaming and technology sectors, providing a unique environment where developers and players can interact. Roblox's core product is its gaming platform, which features millions of user-generated games and experiences across various genres, appealing primarily to children and teenagers. The platform also includes social features that allow users to connect and collaborate.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoblox generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income is the sale of its virtual currency, Robux, which players use to purchase in-game items, accessories, and avatar customization options. Roblox takes a percentage of the transactions made on its platform, allowing developers to monetize their games through in-game purchases and advertisements. Additionally, Roblox earns revenue from subscription services like Roblox Premium, which offers users a monthly allowance of Robux and exclusive benefits. The company also benefits from partnerships with brands and developers, enabling them to create tailored experiences and promotional content within the platform, further enhancing its revenue potential. Overall, the combination of user spending on Robux, premium subscriptions, and partnerships forms the backbone of Roblox's revenue model.

Roblox Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Daily Active Users
Total Daily Active Users
Monitors the number of users engaging with Roblox daily, indicating the platform's popularity, user retention, and potential for monetization.
Chart InsightsRoblox's daily active users have surged to 111.8 million, marking a 41% increase year-on-year, driven by strong growth in the APAC region and viral experiences like 'Grow a Garden.' Despite this momentum, the company is cautious about Q4, citing leadership changes and infrastructure challenges. However, the robust engagement and increased monthly payers underscore the platform's expanding ecosystem, with revenue and bookings growth prompting an optimistic fiscal year outlook. Investors should watch for how Roblox manages these growth challenges to sustain its upward trajectory.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Roblox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was very positive, highlighting significant revenue and bookings growth, record user engagement, and strong developer earnings. The introduction of new features and partnerships further supports future growth. While there are some uncertainties and executive transitions noted, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Bookings Growth
Revenue for Q2 2025 was $1.1 billion, up 21% year-on-year. Bookings were $1.4 billion, up 51% year-on-year, with strong growth across all regions including APAC at 75%.
Record Daily Active Users and Engagement
Q2 DAUs reached 111.8 million, up 41% year-on-year, with significant growth in APAC at 76%. Hours engaged were 27.4 billion, up 58% year-on-year.
Developer Exchange and Creator Earnings
DevEx was $316.4 million, up 52% year-on-year, setting a new all-time record. Top 1,000 creators averaged nearly $1 million in Roblox earnings over the last 12 months.
Introduction of New Features and Partnerships
Launched features like Trusted Connections, IP License Manager, and integrated Rewarded Video with Google. Partners include Lionsgate, Netflix, and Sega.
Raised Fiscal Year 2025 Guidance
Raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to 22%-25% growth and bookings guidance to 34%-37% growth.
Negative Updates
Executive Transition
Manuel Bronstein, part of Roblox for more than four years, plans to leave by end of September.
Conservative Guidance for Viral Hits
Despite positive trends, the company provided conservative guidance assuming viral hits would normalize, considering heightened uncertainty in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the Roblox Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported substantial growth across key metrics, reflecting strong performance and increased guidance for the fiscal year. Revenue reached $1.1 billion, marking a 21% year-on-year increase, while bookings surged to $1.4 billion, up 51% year-on-year. Daily active users (DAUs) rose by 41% to 111.8 million, with substantial growth in the APAC region, which saw a 76% increase. The company also reported 27.4 billion hours engaged, a 58% rise year-on-year. Monthly unique payers hit a record 23.4 million, up 42%, with average bookings per monthly unique payer increasing by 6%. Developer exchange payments (DevEx) reached an all-time high of $316.4 million, up 52%. The call highlighted the success of viral experiences like Grow a Garden and emphasized ongoing investments in infrastructure, discovery, and economy to support creator success and target capturing 10% of the global gaming content market. Consequently, Roblox raised its fiscal year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue growth of 22% to 25% and bookings growth of 34% to 37%.

Roblox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Roblox demonstrates strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, yet struggles with profitability and a weak equity position. There are positive signs in operational cash flows, but consistent net losses and negative equity present financial stability challenges.
Income Statement
Roblox has shown impressive revenue growth, with a notable increase in total revenue from $923.9 million in 2020 to $4.02 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the company operates at a significant net loss, with a negative net profit margin, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin remains strong, suggesting efficient cost management at the gross level despite overall losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting ongoing operational losses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a low equity position, with stockholders' equity significantly decreasing over time, raising concerns about financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is problematic due to low equity, potentially indicating high leverage. However, the company maintains a healthy cash reserve, which may provide some buffer against financial instability.
Cash Flow
Roblox's cash flow from operations is strong, and the company has managed to generate positive free cash flow consistently, which is a positive indicator of financial health despite net losses. The growth in free cash flow suggests improving efficiency in capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting effective cash flow management amid losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.02B3.60B2.80B2.23B1.92B923.88M
Gross Profit3.14B2.80B2.15B1.68B1.42B683.99M
EBITDA-685.14M-670.25M-910.95M-761.86M-421.40M-220.54M
Net Income-952.33M-935.38M-1.15B-924.37M-491.65M-253.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.85B7.18B6.17B5.38B4.56B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.63B2.41B2.19B2.98B3.00B893.94M
Total Debt1.79B1.81B1.76B1.56B1.23B0.00
Total Liabilities7.51B6.97B6.10B5.07B3.97B2.08B
Stockholders Equity353.22M221.45M76.29M306.03M584.82M-252.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow964.47M642.67M124.01M-58.37M557.98M411.22M
Operating Cash Flow1.08B822.32M458.18M369.30M659.11M524.34M
Investing Cash Flow-1.15B-852.07M-2.83B-441.05M-146.82M-97.03M
Financing Cash Flow96.79M65.89M67.18M43.64M1.60B164.97M

Roblox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.49
Price Trends
50DMA
130.03
Positive
100DMA
121.60
Positive
200DMA
94.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
51.50
Neutral
STOCH
25.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RBLX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.07, below the 50-day MA of 130.03, and above the 200-day MA of 94.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RBLX.

Roblox Risk Analysis

Roblox disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roblox reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Roblox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$88.76B19.6924.36%1.98%2.86%19.96%
$50.12B50.2915.46%0.38%2.68%-6.15%
$88.53B-401.21%27.39%16.59%
$12.71B435.121.58%22.89%
$1.43B16.4910.53%4.98%-60.29%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
$46.41B-10.51-89.29%7.33%-7.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RBLX
Roblox
131.72
89.11
209.13%
EA
Electronic Arts
200.30
55.41
38.24%
NTES
NetEase
145.17
65.01
81.10%
TTWO
Take-Two
251.57
89.29
55.02%
BILI
Bilibili
31.59
9.66
44.05%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
3.80
-3.46
-47.66%

Roblox Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Roblox CPO Manuel Bronstein Announces Resignation
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Manuel Bronstein, Roblox‘s Chief Product Officer, announced his resignation to pursue personal interests and entrepreneurial ventures. His employment will officially end on September 30, 2025, after which he will continue to provide advisory services until April 13, 2026, receiving compensation and continued vesting of equity awards during this period.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBLX) stock is a Hold with a $116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roblox stock, see the RBLX Stock Forecast page.

Roblox Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth Amid Losses
Aug 1, 2025

Roblox Corporation is a global platform that connects millions of people through shared virtual experiences, primarily in the gaming industry, known for its unique user-generated content ecosystem. In its second quarter of 2025, Roblox reported significant growth across various metrics, including a 21% increase in revenue to $1,080.7 million and a 51% rise in bookings to $1,437.6 million year-over-year. Despite these gains, the company reported a net loss of $278.4 million attributable to common stockholders. The platform also saw a 41% increase in average daily active users, reaching 111.8 million, and a 58% increase in hours engaged, totaling 27.4 billion. Roblox’s financial health is underscored by a strong cash flow, with net cash provided by operating activities up 32% year-over-year to $199.3 million. The company also reported a free cash flow of $176.7 million, marking a 58% increase from the previous year. Looking ahead, Roblox has raised its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $4,390 million and $4,490 million and bookings between $5,870 million and $5,970 million for 2025. The company remains focused on strategic investments in infrastructure and the virtual economy to drive long-term growth.

Roblox Q2 2025 Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Roblox’s Q2 2025 earnings call painted a picture of robust growth, with the company reporting significant increases in revenue, bookings, and user engagement. The positive sentiment was fueled by the success of viral hits and an expanding ecosystem. However, the call also highlighted potential challenges, including leadership changes and a cautious outlook for Q4 due to uncertainties in sustaining current growth rates.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Roblox Announces Chief Product Officer Resignation
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Roblox announced the resignation of its Chief Product Officer, Manuel Bronstein, effective September 30, 2025, with plans to remain as an advisor until April 2026. The company also reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue, bookings, and daily active users, reflecting its strategic investments and growth potential in the gaming industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBLX) stock is a Hold with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roblox stock, see the RBLX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025