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Bilibili Inc (BILI)
NASDAQ:BILI

Bilibili (BILI) AI Stock Analysis

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BILI

Bilibili

(NASDAQ:BILI)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(5.68% Upside)
Bilibili's overall score is driven by strong earnings call results and financial performance improvements, particularly in revenue and cash flow. However, high valuation metrics and technical indicators suggest caution. The company's profitability challenges and high P/E ratio are significant risks.
Positive Factors
User Engagement and Paying Users
Sustained growth in DAUs, MAUs and record monthly paying users indicates a durable, sticky community and effective monetization. High engagement (112 min/day) deepens network effects, supports recurring membership and ad revenue, and underpins long-term commercial scalability.
Advertising Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion
A structural shift toward higher-margin advertising, coupled with expanding gross margins, supports more sustainable profitability. If ad monetization retains relevance to its youth audience, this trend can steadily improve operating leverage and free cash generation over the medium term.
Improved Cash Generation
Positive free cash flow and strong cash conversion signal improving operational efficiency and reduced reliance on external funding. This durable cash generation enhances flexibility to fund content, AI and game investments, and to withstand cyclical revenue swings without sacrificing strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Persisting Negative GAAP Profitability
Negative GAAP margins reflect underlying structural gaps between revenues and operating costs despite top-line growth. Until operating expenses are consistently aligned with revenue, profitability remains fragile, limiting retained earnings, ROE improvement, and reinvestment capacity over the medium term.
Volatility in Gaming Revenue
A material decline in game revenue highlights concentration and product-cycle risk in a key monetization segment. Reliance on hit titles creates revenue volatility and makes cash flow and margin sustainability contingent on repeated successful launches, increasing execution risk over coming quarters.
Moderate Leverage and Negative ROE
While leverage is moderate, negative ROE indicates the company is not generating returns on equity, constraining investor returns and raising questions about capital efficiency. This structural profitability gap could limit ability to attract capital or necessitate higher-cost funding if growth requires more investment.

Bilibili (BILI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bilibili Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. Its platform offers a range of content, including video services, mobile games, and value-added service, as well as ACG-related comic and audio content. The company's video services include professional user generated videos, occupationally generated videos, and live broadcasting. Bilibili Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyBilibili generates revenue through several key streams. The primary sources include advertising, premium memberships, and mobile gaming. Advertising revenue comes from display ads and sponsored content, leveraging its large user base for targeted marketing. Premium memberships, which offer enhanced features and ad-free experiences, contribute significantly to the company's income. Additionally, the mobile gaming segment, which includes both self-developed and licensed games, provides substantial revenue through in-game purchases. Partnerships with content creators, gaming companies, and media firms further bolster Bilibili's earnings, allowing it to expand its content library and attract more users.

Bilibili Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Daily Active Users
Total Daily Active Users
Measures the number of users engaging with the platform each day, indicating the platform's popularity, user retention, and potential for ad revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBilibili's daily active users have shown consistent growth, reaching 109 million, a 7% year-over-year increase. This aligns with the company's strong revenue performance, particularly in games and advertising, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. The rise in user engagement, with more time spent on the platform, underscores the effectiveness of Bilibili's focus on high-quality content and AI integration. This strategic emphasis is likely to sustain user growth and enhance monetization opportunities, positioning Bilibili for continued success in the competitive digital content market.
Data provided by:The Fly

Bilibili Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong user engagement growth, record monthly paying users, and significant increases in advertising revenue, all contributing to improved profitability and margins. However, there was a notable decline in game revenue. Overall, the call conveyed a positive outlook, emphasizing continued innovation and strategic growth, particularly in advertising and AI applications.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
User Engagement Growth
DAUs increased by 9% year over year to 117 million, MAUs grew 8% to 376 million, and average daily time spent per user rose to 112 minutes, marking all-time highs.
Record Monthly Paying Users
Monthly paying users reached a record high of 35 million, up 17% year over year.
Advertising Revenue Surge
Advertising revenue grew 23% year over year to RMB 2.7 billion, driven by brand and performance ads.
Profitability and Margin Improvement
Gross profit increased by 11% year over year, with gross margin expanding to 36.7%. Adjusted operating and net profit margins reached 9% and 10.2%, respectively.
Successful Game Launch
The game 'Escape from Duckoff' sold over 3 million copies globally and received overwhelmingly positive reviews.
AI-Driven Innovation
Plans to launch AI-powered applications, including multilingual video accessibility features, showcasing a focus on AI as a growth enabler.
Negative Updates
Decline in Game Revenue
Game revenues decreased by 17% year over year, attributed to a high base from the previous year.
Company Guidance
During Bilibili's third-quarter 2025 financial results call, the company reported significant growth in user engagement and financial performance. Daily active users (DAUs) increased by 9% year-over-year to 117 million, while monthly active users (MAUs) grew by 8% to 376 million. The average daily time spent per user rose to 112 minutes, marking an all-time high. Monthly paying users reached a record 35 million, up 17% year-over-year. Financially, Bilibili's total net revenues rose by 5% to RMB 7.7 billion, driven by a 23% increase in advertising revenue, which reached RMB 2.6 billion. The company's gross profit increased by 11%, with a gross margin of 36.7%. Non-GAAP operating and net profits surged by 153% and 233%, respectively, year-over-year, with non-GAAP operating and net margins improving to 9% and 10.2%. Bilibili attributed these results to its focus on high-quality content, community engagement, and strategic investments in AI and gaming, including the successful launch of the game "Escape from Duckoff," which sold over 3 million copies globally.

Bilibili Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bilibili shows strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation. However, challenges remain with profitability due to negative profit margins and return on equity. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Bilibili's revenue showed strong growth with a 19.1% increase from 2023 to TTM. However, the company is facing challenges with profitability as indicated by a negative EBIT margin of -5.0% and a negative net profit margin of -5.0% for TTM. The gross profit margin stands at 32.7%, showing ability to cover costs, but not enough to offset operating expenses leading to negative net income.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a relatively balanced capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 43.2%, suggesting a stable asset base funded by equity. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is a concern for investors looking for profitability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Bilibili's free cash flow turned positive in the TTM, indicating improved cash-generating ability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.77, showing effective cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio also improved, suggesting operational efficiencies despite net income losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.38B26.83B22.53B21.90B19.38B12.00B
Gross Profit10.55B8.77B5.44B3.85B4.04B2.84B
EBITDA863.01M1.19B-1.67B-3.59B-3.95B-1.07B
Net Income220.34M-1.35B-4.82B-7.51B-6.81B-3.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.79B32.70B33.16B41.83B52.05B23.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.29B16.68B15.12B19.60B30.32B12.81B
Total Debt9.82B5.15B7.64B15.54B19.22B8.59B
Total Liabilities24.64B18.59B18.75B26.59B30.34B16.08B
Stockholders Equity14.16B14.11B14.39B15.24B21.70B7.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.29B4.26B-1.06B-6.65B-6.33B-1.49B
Operating Cash Flow3.29B6.01B266.62M-3.91B-2.65B753.10M
Investing Cash Flow-7.18B-138.09M1.76B10.61B-24.58B-8.91B
Financing Cash Flow4.30B-2.83B-5.07B-4.35B30.39B8.34B

Bilibili Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.12
Price Trends
50DMA
26.55
Positive
100DMA
26.67
Positive
200DMA
23.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.72
Negative
RSI
79.14
Negative
STOCH
92.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BILI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.14, above the 50-day MA of 26.55, and above the 200-day MA of 23.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BILI.

Bilibili Risk Analysis

Bilibili disclosed 105 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bilibili reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bilibili Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$86.77B17.7624.65%2.19%5.69%32.87%
66
Neutral
$51.07B59.6813.20%0.37%-1.45%-11.99%
62
Neutral
$13.75B129.125.30%16.84%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$490.67M3.2714.73%-4.80%
53
Neutral
$45.36B-10.82-86.61%13.98%-6.71%
51
Neutral
$58.17B-324.24%32.70%12.57%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BILI
Bilibili
33.12
15.65
89.58%
EA
Electronic Arts
204.15
62.83
44.46%
NTES
NetEase
136.10
38.86
39.96%
SOHU
Sohu
16.37
3.46
26.80%
TTWO
Take-Two
244.34
57.93
31.08%
RBLX
Roblox
84.65
19.12
29.18%

Bilibili Corporate Events

Bilibili Reports Minor Change in Class Y Share Count in December 2025 Monthly Return
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Bilibili Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and submitted a corresponding monthly return to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange detailing movements in its share capital for the month ended December 31, 2025. The filing shows that Bilibili’s authorized share capital across its various share classes remained unchanged in December, while its issued Class Y weighted voting right (WVR) ordinary shares decreased by 1,000,000 to 79,700,010, and issued Class Z WVR ordinary shares listed in Hong Kong remained stable, with no treasury shares reported; the disclosure provides transparency for investors on the company’s capital structure but signals no major corporate action or dilution over the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (BILI) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilibili stock, see the BILI Stock Forecast page.

Bilibili Announces Share Changes Following Incentive Plan Exercises
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Bilibili Inc. announced changes in its issued shares, primarily through the exercise of share options under its 2018 Share Incentive Plan. This involved the issuance of Class Z ordinary shares on several dates in December 2025, resulting in a slight increase in the total number of issued shares. The conversion of Class Y ordinary shares to Class Z ordinary shares also contributed to this change. These actions reflect Bilibili’s ongoing efforts to incentivize employees and align their interests with the company’s growth, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (BILI) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilibili stock, see the BILI Stock Forecast page.

Bilibili Reports Stable Share Capital for November 2025
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Bilibili Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited detailing the movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for November 2025. The report indicated that there were no changes in the number of authorized or issued shares during the month, maintaining stability in its capital structure. This stability in share capital suggests a steady operational phase for Bilibili, which could reassure investors and stakeholders of the company’s current market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BILI) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilibili stock, see the BILI Stock Forecast page.

Bilibili Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Growth and Management Change
Nov 13, 2025

Bilibili Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing significant growth in user engagement and financial performance. The company achieved a net profit of RMB469.4 million, a substantial turnaround from a net loss in the same period of 2024, driven by a 5% increase in total revenues and a 23% rise in advertising revenues. The company’s strategic focus on enhancing monetization efficiency and reducing operating expenses contributed to a 233% increase in adjusted net profit. Additionally, Bilibili announced a change in its joint company secretary, with Ms. Lai Ying Tung taking over the role effective November 13, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (BILI) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilibili stock, see the BILI Stock Forecast page.

Bilibili Reports Stable Share Structure for October 2025
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Bilibili Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, detailing the movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for October 2025. The report indicates that there were no changes in the number of authorized or issued shares during this period, reflecting stability in the company’s share structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (BILI) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bilibili stock, see the BILI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025