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Take-Two (TTWO)
NASDAQ:TTWO
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Take-Two (TTWO) AI Stock Analysis

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TTWO

Take-Two

(NASDAQ:TTWO)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$238.00
▲(3.92% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by Take-Two's challenging financial performance, with consistent losses and high leverage. However, the positive guidance and strong performance in key franchises from the earnings call provide a significant boost. The technical analysis and valuation indicate a neutral to slightly negative outlook, while the recent corporate event adds a modest positive impact.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Take-Two delivered a strong Q1 FY26, exceeding expectations across all major financial metrics.
Future Growth
Grand Theft Auto VI, scheduled for release on May 26, 2026, is a massive upcoming catalyst that could redefine the company’s financial trajectory and elevate engagement across the franchise ecosystem.
Market Position
Take-Two continues to operate from a leadership position in premium console and PC publishing, while building scale in mobile through Zynga.
Negative Factors
Mobile Segment
Forward guidance implies a major slowdown at mobile, which is suspected to be conservative.
Product Launch Challenges
Initial technical issues and lack of content at the launch of GTA Online indicate challenges that needed addressing for future growth.

Take-Two (TTWO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Take-Two Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a leading developer, publisher, and marketer of interactive entertainment for consumers around the globe. The company operates through two primary segments: Rockstar Games and 2K. Take-Two is well-known for its critically acclaimed franchises, including Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. The company focuses on creating high-quality gaming experiences across various platforms, including consoles, PC, and mobile devices, and is committed to innovation in the gaming industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyTake-Two generates revenue primarily through the sales of video games, downloadable content (DLC), and in-game microtransactions. The company benefits from a diverse portfolio of successful game franchises that drive significant sales during both initial launches and subsequent years. Key revenue streams include retail and digital sales of games, subscriptions, and ongoing monetization of online gaming services. Additionally, Take-Two has established strong partnerships with various platforms, including consoles like PlayStation and Xbox, which enhance distribution and visibility. The rise of esports and online gaming has also contributed to revenue growth through in-game purchases and seasonal content updates, further boosting earnings.

Take-Two Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Bookings
Net Bookings
Measures the total value of products and services sold digitally or physically, indicating the company's sales performance and future revenue potential.
Chart InsightsTake-Two's net bookings have shown a robust upward trend, culminating in a record $1.58 billion in Q1 2025, aligning with the top of their guidance. This growth is driven by NBA 2K's strong performance and increased engagement, alongside Zynga's mobile success. Despite rising operating expenses and impairment charges, the company is optimistic about future growth, projecting $5.9 to $6 billion in net bookings for fiscal 2026. Anticipated releases like Mafia: The Old Country and Borderlands 4, along with the highly awaited GTA VI, are expected to sustain momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Take-Two Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 1.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, with significant achievements and growth in core franchises and mobile performance. While there are concerns about potential deceleration in mobile growth and slightly higher operating expenses, the company's raised outlook and strong pipeline suggest continued optimism.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Net Bookings Expectations
Net bookings for the first quarter exceeded $1.4 billion, surpassing the high end of expectations. Fiscal 2026 net bookings outlook raised to $6.05 billion to $6.15 billion.
Strong Mobile Performance
Mobile titles such as Toon Blast grew 22% year-over-year and 75% over two years. Match Factory! grew 33% over last year, and Color Block Jam became the highest-grossing title in Rollic's history.
Grand Theft Auto Series Success
Grand Theft Auto V sold over 215 million units worldwide, and new player accounts for GTA Online grew over 50% year-over-year.
NBA 2K25 Success
NBA 2K25 sold over 11.5 million units, with engagement growing significantly year-over-year. Recurrent consumer spending grew 48%.
Positive Outlook and Upcoming Releases
Excitement for upcoming launches, including Mafia: The Old Country, NBA 2K26, and Borderlands 4. Raised full fiscal year net bookings outlook.
Negative Updates
Mobile Growth Deceleration Expected
Despite strong performance, the guidance implies deceleration in mobile growth due to mature titles and life cycle patterns of hyper and hybrid-casual titles.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose 3% year-over-year, slightly above forecast due to higher personnel costs. Marketing expenses were within forecast range.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Take-Two Interactive Software reported net bookings exceeding $1.4 billion, surpassing their expectations, driven by strong performances in their Mobile titles and successful franchises like NBA 2K and the Grand Theft Auto series. The company raised its net bookings outlook for fiscal 2026 to a range of $6.05 billion to $6.15 billion. Recurrent consumer spending grew 17%, making up 83% of net bookings, with notable growth in NBA 2K by nearly 50% and Mobile by low teens. The guidance anticipates an 8% growth over fiscal 2025, with the largest contributors expected to include NBA 2K, Grand Theft Auto, and Toon Blast. Operating expenses for the quarter were projected to range from $1.02 billion to $1.03 billion, with a recurrent consumer spending increase of approximately 1%. The company remains optimistic about delivering record levels of net bookings in fiscal 2027, aiming for enhanced profitability.

Take-Two Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Take-Two's financial performance is challenged by negative EBIT and net income, despite healthy revenue growth. The balance sheet shows increasing leverage, and cash flows are negative, indicating inefficiencies and potential liquidity risks.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Take-Two's income statement shows significant challenges, with negative EBIT and net income in recent years. The company experienced a notable revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 but faced a decline in EBIT and net income margins. Gross profit margin remains healthy but is overshadowed by large operating losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate position, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio and a decrease in stockholders' equity over time. The equity ratio has reduced, indicating increased financial leverage, posing potential risks if not managed.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative operating and free cash flows in recent periods. The free cash flow growth rate is concerning, and cash flow ratios indicate inefficiencies in converting net income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.80B5.63B5.35B5.35B3.50B3.37B
Gross Profit3.24B3.06B2.68B2.29B1.97B1.84B
EBITDA-3.31B-2.91B-1.72B656.80M690.56M876.29M
Net Income-4.23B-4.48B-3.74B-1.12B418.00M588.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.68B9.18B12.22B15.86B6.55B6.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.04B1.48B776.00M1.01B2.55B2.73B
Total Debt3.51B4.11B3.53B3.49B250.22M191.27M
Total Liabilities6.20B7.04B6.55B6.82B2.74B2.70B
Stockholders Equity3.48B2.14B5.67B9.04B3.81B3.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-58.30M-214.60M-157.80M-203.10M99.34M843.39M
Operating Cash Flow101.10M-45.20M-16.10M1.10M257.98M912.32M
Investing Cash Flow-153.60M-151.50M-28.20M-2.88B139.22M-806.72M
Financing Cash Flow672.30M650.50M-91.40M1.93B-256.81M-57.34M

Take-Two Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price229.03
Price Trends
50DMA
232.94
Negative
100DMA
227.49
Positive
200DMA
210.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Negative
RSI
49.35
Neutral
STOCH
45.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTWO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 229.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 227.17, below the 50-day MA of 232.94, and above the 200-day MA of 210.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TTWO.

Take-Two Risk Analysis

Take-Two disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Take-Two reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Take-Two Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$82.10B17.8924.36%2.09%2.86%19.96%
77
Outperform
$42.89B43.0315.46%0.44%2.68%-6.15%
72
Outperform
$81.47B-401.21%27.39%16.59%
68
Neutral
$9.62B330.301.58%22.89%
60
Neutral
$43.36B3.95-13.01%4.04%1.89%-42.25%
59
Neutral
$1.41B16.23-220.61%10.70%4.98%-60.29%
55
Neutral
$42.25B-89.29%7.33%-7.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTWO
Take-Two
229.03
68.65
42.80%
EA
Electronic Arts
171.40
23.61
15.98%
NTES
NetEase
131.89
51.67
64.41%
BILI
Bilibili
23.98
9.72
68.16%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
3.74
-3.55
-48.70%
RBLX
Roblox
117.52
73.58
167.46%

Take-Two Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Take-Two Completes $1.04 Billion Stock Offering
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 4,750,000 shares of its common stock at $225.00 per share, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 712,500 shares. The offering, which closed on May 22, 2025, is expected to generate net proceeds of approximately $1.04 billion, or $1.19 billion if the option is fully exercised, intended for general corporate purposes including debt repayment and future acquisitions. This strategic move is likely to impact Take-Two’s financial flexibility and market positioning, potentially benefiting stakeholders by supporting growth initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025