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Take-Two (TTWO)
NASDAQ:TTWO

Take-Two (TTWO) AI Stock Analysis

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Take-Two

(NASDAQ:TTWO)

60Neutral
Take-Two's overall stock score reflects a mixed picture. The company's financial performance is under pressure due to negative profitability and cash flow issues, which are significant concerns. However, stable technical trends and a positive earnings call outlook provide some optimism. The valuation remains challenging, but future releases are expected to drive growth. Addressing financial shortcomings is crucial for improving the stock's prospects.
Positive Factors
Product Lineup and Momentum
Take-Two's trajectory is considered highly positive, supported by a strong lineup of high-profile titles and sustained mobile momentum.
Sales and Revenue Growth
A growing console install base and a premium $80+ retail price for GTA VI are expected to drive higher sales.
Negative Factors
Product Release Delay
The delay of Grand Theft Auto VI to 2026 has led to adjusted forward estimates for FY:26, with lowered revenue and EPS expectations.
Target Price Adjustment
The target price for TTWO is adjusted slightly downward due to the delay in GTA VI's release.

Take-Two (TTWO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Take-Two Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a leading developer, publisher, and marketer of interactive entertainment for consumers around the world. The company operates through two primary labels, Rockstar Games and 2K, which are renowned for creating popular video game franchises such as Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, and Borderlands. Take-Two is headquartered in New York City and engages in the production and distribution of games for console, PC, and mobile platforms, offering both physical and digital formats.
How the Company Makes MoneyTake-Two generates revenue through the sale of its video game products across various platforms, including console, PC, and mobile. The company employs a diverse revenue model that includes both the sale of physical game copies and digital downloads. In addition to direct sales, Take-Two earns money from in-game purchases, downloadable content (DLC), and microtransactions, which are prevalent in its popular titles like Grand Theft Auto Online and NBA 2K. Recurring consumer spending on virtual currency, add-on content, and other in-game items forms a significant portion of its revenue stream. Furthermore, the company benefits from licensing and merchandise sales related to its game franchises. Strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as those with sports leagues for its NBA 2K series, also play a role in enhancing its market presence and revenue opportunities.

Take-Two Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Bookings
Net Bookings
Measures the total value of products and services sold digitally or physically, indicating the company's sales performance and future revenue potential.
Chart InsightsTake-Two's net bookings show a robust upward trend, driven by strong performances from NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto series. The recent earnings call highlights a 30% increase in recurrent consumer spending for NBA 2K and anticipates record net bookings with upcoming major releases like Grand Theft Auto VI. Despite challenges in the mobile sector, the company projects a 5% growth in net bookings for fiscal 2025, supported by strategic game launches and a positive outlook for fiscal 2026 and 2027.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Take-Two Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Take-Two is facing significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and cash flow trends. The income statement shows a concerning decline in profitability, with a negative net profit margin and stagnant revenue growth. The balance sheet is moderately stable, with manageable leverage and a stable asset base funded by equity. However, declining stockholders' equity and assets pose challenges. Cash flow issues further highlight liquidity concerns, with negative free cash flow and operational cash deficits.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Take-Two's income statement shows significant financial challenges, with a notable decline in profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) reflects a negative net profit margin of approximately -67.1%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth has been stagnant, with only a slight increase from the previous year, which is concerning given the competitive industry. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, further highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.18, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over time points to potential challenges in value retention. The equity ratio stands at 45% for the TTM, indicating a stable asset base funded by equity. While there is some resilience, the overall decline in assets and equity over recent periods is a concern.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals liquidity issues, with negative free cash flow in the TTM, reflecting cash outflows exceeding inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which is troubling as it indicates operational cash deficits. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, underscoring a downward cash flow trend, which could hinder future investments and operations.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.45B5.35B5.35B3.50B3.37B3.09B
Gross Profit
2.85B2.24B2.29B1.97B1.84B1.55B
EBIT
-318.90M-3.59B-1.13B473.60M629.38M425.27M
EBITDA
-1.80B-1.72B656.80M690.56M876.29M697.62M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.66B-3.74B-1.12B418.00M588.90M404.46M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.23B776.00M1.01B2.55B2.73B2.00B
Total Assets
12.68B12.22B15.86B6.55B6.03B4.95B
Total Debt
4.10B3.53B3.49B250.22M191.27M177.25M
Net Debt
2.90B2.78B2.66B-1.48B-1.23B-1.18B
Total Liabilities
6.98B6.55B6.82B2.74B2.70B2.41B
Stockholders Equity
5.70B5.67B9.04B3.81B3.33B2.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-494.60M-157.80M-203.10M99.34M843.39M632.29M
Operating Cash Flow
-333.10M-16.10M1.10M257.98M912.32M685.68M
Investing Cash Flow
-143.40M-28.20M-2.88B139.22M-806.72M4.05M
Financing Cash Flow
608.80M-91.40M1.93B-256.81M-57.34M-77.45M

Take-Two Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price226.25
Price Trends
50DMA
213.25
Positive
100DMA
202.95
Positive
200DMA
182.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.72
Positive
RSI
55.93
Neutral
STOCH
55.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTWO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 226.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 221.71, above the 50-day MA of 213.25, and above the 200-day MA of 182.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TTWO.

Take-Two Risk Analysis

Take-Two disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Take-Two reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Take-Two Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$65.77B16.2022.60%2.49%0.23%-0.09%
EAEA
74
Outperform
$39.95B36.0716.13%0.49%-2.99%-0.46%
73
Outperform
$48.76B-460.30%30.24%27.61%
63
Neutral
$7.28B-9.43%17.42%72.64%
63
Neutral
$1.90B13.49-220.61%7.91%1.64%-32.31%
60
Neutral
$39.99B-51.45%1.00%-148.89%
60
Neutral
$13.44B7.15-2.73%3.79%2.11%-39.64%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTWO
Take-Two
226.25
82.30
57.17%
EA
Electronic Arts
149.27
23.36
18.55%
NTES
NetEase
106.82
10.04
10.37%
BILI
Bilibili
18.86
3.05
19.29%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
5.29
-2.93
-35.64%
RBLX
Roblox
73.49
42.53
137.37%

Take-Two Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 23.58%|
Next Earnings Date:May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in key segments such as NBA 2K and the promising outlook with upcoming major game releases. However, concerns were raised regarding challenges in the mobile market and the impact of shifting operating expenses. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the anticipated releases and strong position in core gaming franchises.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of NBA 2K
NBA 2K delivered a phenomenal quarter with recurrent consumer spending up over 30%, daily active users up nearly 20%, and monthly active users up nearly 10%. The title sold over 7 million units and exceeded expectations significantly.
Launch of Major Titles
This year is set to see the launch of major titles including Sid Meier's Civilization VII, Mafia: The Old Country, Grand Theft Auto VI, and Borderlands 4, which is expected to have a transformative effect on the business.
Record Franchise Performance
Grand Theft Auto V has sold over 210 million units worldwide. GTA Online continues to perform well with membership growth for GTA Plus increasing 10% year-over-year.
Positive Outlook for Future Fiscal Years
The company is confident in achieving record levels of net bookings in fiscal 2026 and 2027.
Expansion in Mobile Sector
Zynga's Match Factory is on track to become its second-largest title by the end of this fiscal year. Tune Blast and Toy Blast delivered double-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Mobile Market Challenges
Mobile growth was below expectations with only 6% increase instead of the low double-digit growth forecasted, primarily due to underperformance in the hyper-casual mobile portfolio and Empires and Puzzles.
Shift in Operating Expenses
A shift in timing of expenses from the third to the fourth quarter is expected to affect fourth-quarter performance.
Company Guidance
During the Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. The company reported net bookings of $1.37 billion, within their guidance range of $1.35 to $1.4 billion, driven by strong performance in the NBA 2K franchise, which saw over 7 million units sold and a 30% increase in recurrent consumer spending. For fiscal 2025, the company reaffirmed their net bookings guidance of $5.55 to $5.65 billion, projecting a 5% growth over the previous year. NBA 2K, Grand Theft Auto series, and several mobile titles are anticipated to be the largest contributors. Recurrent consumer spending is expected to grow by 5%, while mobile is expected to see low single-digit growth. They also noted upcoming releases, including Grand Theft Auto VI and Borderlands 4, which are anticipated to drive record levels of net bookings in fiscal 2026 and 2027. The call also revealed a geographic net bookings split of 60% U.S. and 40% international, with a breakdown by labels of 49% Zynga, 34% 2K, and 17% Rockstar Games.

Take-Two Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Take-Two Announces Record Net Bookings Expectations
Positive
May 2, 2025

On May 2, 2025, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. announced its expectations for record levels of net bookings in fiscal years 2026 and 2027. The company also revealed that Rockstar Games’ highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI is now scheduled for release on May 26, 2026, instead of the previously expected fall 2025. This delay is intended to allow Rockstar Games to fully realize its creative vision for the game. Take-Two plans to report its fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 results on May 15, 2025, with a conference call to discuss these results.

Spark’s Take on TTWO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TTWO is a Neutral.

Take-Two’s stock score reflects a mixed picture. Financial performance is under pressure with negative profitability and cash flow issues, but technical analysis shows stable trends. Valuation is challenged by current losses, though the positive sentiment from the earnings call, driven by strong game performance and future releases, provides some optimism. Addressing financial shortcomings is essential for future growth.

To see Spark’s full report on TTWO stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.