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QXO Inc (QXO)
NYSE:QXO
US Market

QXO Inc (QXO) AI Stock Analysis

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QXO

QXO Inc

(NYSE:QXO)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(7.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile profitability (net loss, negative EBITDA margin, and sharp gross margin compression) despite strong recent revenue growth and a conservatively levered balance sheet with positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals are broadly neutral-to-mixed, while valuation is unfavorable due to negative earnings. Corporate actions support an acquisition-led growth strategy but add execution and potential dilution/complexity risk.
Positive Factors
Rapid revenue scale-up
A 46.7% revenue increase in 2025 demonstrates the company’s ability to scale its distribution footprint and broaden customer relationships. Persistent top-line expansion supports supplier leverage, cross-selling and amortization of fixed costs, providing structural capacity to fund tech, sales and integration investments over quarters.
Conservative leverage and balance-sheet capacity
Very low reported leverage offers durable financial flexibility to pursue bolt-on acquisitions and absorb integration costs without material refinancing stress. A strong equity base reduces near-term liquidity strain from M&A, enabling multi-quarter execution on network optimization and procurement synergies.
Positive operating and free cash flow
Positive OCF and free cash flow despite reported losses indicate underlying cash generation that can fund operations and some acquisition-related needs. This durable cash production provides a base for reinvestment in margin-improvement initiatives and reduces sole reliance on external capital in the coming months.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating profitability and margin compression
Material widening to a net loss and collapse in gross margin to ~23% signal weaker unit economics at the new scale. Persistent margin deterioration undermines returns on the enlarged capital base, pressures future free cash flow, and makes achievement of targeted synergies and sustainable profitability contingent on successful operational fixes.
Acquisition-led strategy raises execution and dilution risk
Reliance on large M&A to drive growth increases execution, integration and cultural risks across quarters. Concurrent equity and convertible preferred financings expand capital capacity but also heighten dilution and governance complexity, making long-term returns dependent on successful deal execution and realized procurement/network synergies.
Volatile cash conversion and uneven earnings history
Weak cash conversion (OCF covering ~17% of EBIT) and free cash flow materially below accounting losses reveal inconsistent ability to translate earnings into cash. This volatility reduces predictability for funding integrations and capex, and increases the probability of further capital raises if margins do not stabilize.

QXO Inc (QXO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

QXO Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQXO, Inc. distributes roofing, waterproofing, and other building products in the United States. It offers asphalt, metal roofing, wood roofing, tile roofing, slate roofing, roofing accessories, and roofing insulation products; vinyl siding, aluminum siding, steel siding, fiber cement siding, wood and composite siding, trim and accessories, and gutters and accessories; built-up roofing, modified roofing, EPDM roofing, PVC roofing, and low-slope metal roofing; as well as air and vapor barriers, fluid-applied products, repair and protection solutions, and membrane waterproofing products. The company also provides building materials and supplies, such as exterior materials, interior materials, and tools and equipment; and roof hatches and other tri-built building products. It serves contractors, distributors, and suppliers to streamline operations. QXO, Inc. was formerly known as SilverSun Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to QXO, Inc. in June 2024. The company is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyQXO generates revenue through a combination of software licensing fees, subscription-based services, and professional consulting engagements. The primary revenue stream comes from the sale of software licenses for its ERP and CRM solutions, which are offered as both on-premises installations and cloud-based subscriptions. Additionally, QXO monetizes its data analytics tools through a subscription model, allowing businesses to access advanced analytics features for a recurring fee. The company also earns income from consulting services, assisting clients with software implementation, customization, and ongoing support. Strategic partnerships with key technology providers enhance QXO's offerings, allowing it to integrate complementary services and expand its market reach, thereby contributing to its overall revenue growth.

QXO Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Beacon's strong fourth quarter performance and strategic initiatives leading to record results. However, the company faced notable challenges, including weather-related sales impacts and market headwinds. While Beacon has plans to sustain growth and manage costs, the uncertain market conditions present ongoing risks.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fourth Quarter Results
Beacon set fourth quarter records for net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and cash flow. Sales per day increased approximately 3% year-over-year to $2.4 billion, driven by recent acquisitions.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Fourth quarter cash flow reached nearly $360 million, enabling investments in growth initiatives such as greenfield locations and acquisitions.
Operational Excellence and Cost Savings
The company achieved significant operational efficiencies, contributing to a 6% year-over-year increase in sales per hour worked and $30 million in expected cost savings for 2025.
Digital Sales Growth
Digital sales rose approximately 20% year-over-year, contributing to a nearly 200 basis point improvement in digital sales as a percentage of total sales.
Acquisitions and Share Buybacks
In 2024, Beacon completed 12 acquisitions, contributing over $400 million to net sales, and repurchased over 2.4 million shares, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Weather-Related Sales Impact
A slowdown in sales during November and December impacted residential roofing, particularly in North and West regions, resulting in fourth quarter sales per day being less than expected.
Challenging Market Conditions
The company faced significant headwinds, including sluggish housing starts, historically low existing home sales, and lower commercial new construction.
Inventory Management Issues
Inventory management was a challenge, with year-end inventory levels increasing by $180 million due to acquisitions, greenfield load-ins, and inflation.
Expected Market Headwinds in 2025
The company anticipates continued headwinds in the first half of 2025, including higher interest rates, potential tariffs, and labor availability concerns.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, Beacon achieved record net sales of $2.4 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 3% driven by acquisitions. The company's adjusted EBITDA reached $223 million, supported by an increase in average selling prices and a strategic focus on operating efficiency. Beacon also generated nearly $360 million in cash flow, facilitating investments in growth initiatives like greenfield locations and acquisitions. Gross margin remained strong at 25.7%, with adjusted operating expenses totaling $434 million, marking a 20 basis point increase to 18% of sales. The company's bottom quintile branch initiative added more than $7 million in EBITDA year-over-year, while digital sales grew by 20%, reaching 16% of total sales. Additionally, the private label TRI-BUILT brand saw a 7% sales increase. Beacon's strategic focus on operational excellence and shareholder value was evident in its continued share repurchase program, retiring over 2.4 million shares throughout the year.

QXO Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue scaled sharply in 2025 (+46.7%), the balance sheet is well-capitalized with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.09), and operating/free cash flow were positive (~$261M/~$183M). Offsetting this, profitability deteriorated materially at the new scale (net loss ~$279M, negative EBITDA margin) with notable gross margin compression (~23% vs ~40% prior years) and volatile earnings/cash-flow history.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The company shows a sharp step-up in scale in 2025 (annual revenue up 46.7%), but profitability deteriorated meaningfully with a net loss of about $279M and negative EBITDA margin. Gross margin also compressed to ~23.0% versus ~40% in prior years, indicating weaker unit economics and/or mix following the growth. Earlier periods were smaller and more volatile—2024 posted unusually strong net profitability, while 2022–2023 were modestly loss-making—so overall earnings quality and consistency remain a key concern despite the top-line momentum.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage appears conservative in the latest year, with debt-to-equity at ~0.09 and equity of roughly $9.7B supporting a ~$15.9B asset base. That said, returns are currently negative (return on equity ~-2.9% in 2025), reflecting that the capital base is not translating into profits. Prior years show significant swings in equity and leverage levels, so while the balance sheet looks well-capitalized today, execution risk is elevated until profitability stabilizes.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation in 2025 is a relative positive: operating cash flow (~$261M) and free cash flow (~$183M) are both positive with strong free-cash-flow growth, which helps offset reported net losses. However, cash conversion is not fully convincing—operating cash flow covered only ~17% of EBIT in 2025—and free cash flow was meaningfully lower than the net loss in absolute terms, suggesting the business still needs stronger underlying profitability and/or more durable cash conversion at the new scale. 2024 cash flow was strong, but earlier years were uneven, reinforcing the volatility.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.84B56.87M54.52M44.99M41.70M
Gross Profit1.57B22.93M21.61M17.96M17.21M
EBITDA133.70M51.99M-290.00K1.37M1.49M
Net Income-279.40M27.97M-1.07M-282.22K-134.43K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.89B5.10B20.50M21.44M18.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.36B5.07B6.14M8.01M6.81M
Total Debt4.48B577.00K2.62M2.40M2.29M
Total Liabilities6.18B45.36M13.02M11.89M8.64M
Stockholders Equity9.71B5.05B7.47M9.55M9.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow183.20M84.78M463.00K2.00M111.27K
Operating Cash Flow261.40M84.88M584.00K2.04M226.03K
Investing Cash Flow-10.63B-102.00K-400.00K-188.74K-510.46K
Financing Cash Flow7.66B4.98B-2.05M-655.13K503.13K

QXO Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.86
Price Trends
50DMA
23.59
Negative
100DMA
21.21
Positive
200DMA
20.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
44.56
Neutral
STOCH
25.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QXO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.44, below the 50-day MA of 23.59, and above the 200-day MA of 20.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for QXO.

QXO Inc Risk Analysis

QXO Inc disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. QXO Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

QXO Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$8.87B47.6571.66%4.10%-0.21%
72
Outperform
$11.05B81.466.96%18.50%207.45%
70
Outperform
$11.77B43.2324.91%0.72%11.12%-26.24%
67
Neutral
$9.36B44.2515.22%8.45%-69.85%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$15.55B-0.33-3.79%8103.75%-567.07%
54
Neutral
$8.67B-46.16-12.53%-8.23%48.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QXO
QXO Inc
22.86
9.74
74.24%
MANH
Manhattan Associates
147.00
-22.06
-13.05%
DOCU
DocuSign
48.23
-31.54
-39.54%
DT
Dynatrace
39.21
-14.37
-26.82%
U
Unity Software
20.73
-2.43
-10.49%
BSY
Bentley Systems
39.51
-3.24
-7.57%

QXO Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
QXO to Acquire Kodiak, Expanding Building Products Reach
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

On February 10, 2026, QXO Inc. agreed to acquire Kodiak Building Partners for approximately $2.25 billion, in a deal structured as a merger that will make Kodiak an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary. The consideration consists of $2.0 billion in cash and roughly 13.2 million QXO shares, which QXO can later repurchase at $40 per share, with closing targeted for early in the second quarter of 2026 subject to antitrust clearance, audited 2025 financials from Kodiak and other customary conditions.

The transaction significantly extends QXO’s scale and geographic reach in building products distribution by adding Kodiak’s roughly $2.4 billion in 2025 revenue and strong positions in fast-growing markets such as Florida and Texas. Management from both companies highlighted opportunities to cross-sell structural and exterior products, deepen ties with large homebuilders and drive margin expansion through procurement scale, network optimization and technology-enabled efficiencies, reinforcing QXO’s consolidation strategy in a fragmented sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (QXO) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QXO Inc stock, see the QXO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
QXO Inc Announces Major Common Stock Offering
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 15, 2026, QXO Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with BofA Securities to sell 31,645,570 shares of common stock at a public offering price of $23.80 per share, with an additional option for the underwriter to purchase up to 4,746,835 more shares, and the offering was expected to close on January 20, 2026 subject to customary conditions. The company expects to raise approximately $750 million in net proceeds from the deal, or up to about $862.5 million if the underwriter’s option is fully exercised, and plans to use the capital for general corporate purposes, including funding future acquisitions, underscoring QXO’s acquisition-driven growth strategy and its efforts to strengthen its financial position within the competitive building products distribution sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (QXO) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QXO Inc stock, see the QXO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
QXO Inc Announces $750 Million Public Equity Offering
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, QXO Inc. announced plans to offer $750 million of its common stock to the public, with an additional option for the underwriter, BofA Securities, to purchase up to $112.5 million more at the public offering price, less underwriting discounts and commissions. The company said it intends to use the net proceeds for general corporate purposes, including funding future acquisitions, signaling continued consolidation ambitions in the building products distribution sector and adding equity capital that could support its expansion plans following the Beacon Roofing Supply acquisition and its broader growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (QXO) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QXO Inc stock, see the QXO Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
QXO Inc Announces Preliminary Fourth-Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On April 29, 2025, QXO completed its acquisition of QXO Building Products, Inc., formerly known as Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc., and has now filed unaudited pro forma combined financial information to illustrate how the merged businesses would have performed as a single entity for the year ended December 31, 2024 and the nine months ended September 30, 2025. On January 15, 2026, the company released summarized preliminary fourth-quarter 2025 results, reporting estimated net sales of approximately $2.19 billion and adjusted EBITDA of roughly $150 million, though it cautioned that these figures are unaudited, subject to final accounting procedures and may differ materially from the final results to be included in its forthcoming 2025 annual report expected by February 26, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (QXO) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QXO Inc stock, see the QXO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
QXO Inc Upsizes Convertible Preferred Financing to $3 Billion
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, QXO Inc. announced it had upsized its previously disclosed convertible preferred equity financing, boosting the total committed investment to $3 billion from $1.2 billion. Under an investment agreement led by Apollo funds and joined by Temasek and other investors, the group has committed through July 15, 2026 to purchase up to 300,000 shares of QXO’s Series C Convertible Perpetual Preferred Stock, with issuances tied to closing one or more qualifying acquisitions. The private placement strengthens QXO’s balance sheet and enhances its financial flexibility to pursue strategic, acquisition-led expansion in building products distribution, underscoring investor confidence in its consolidation strategy and growth ambitions following its Beacon Roofing Supply acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (QXO) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QXO Inc stock, see the QXO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
QXO Secures Major Preferred Investment for Acquisition Strategy
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, QXO Inc. announced that funds managed by Apollo Global Management and other investors agreed to invest up to $1.2 billion in a new Series C convertible perpetual preferred stock, structured as a private placement, to finance one or more large acquisitions. Under the investment agreement, investors have committed through July 15, 2026, with a possible 12‑month extension if a definitive deal is signed, to purchase up to $1.145 billion (with capacity to increase) of preferred shares paying a 4.75% annual dividend and initially convertible into common stock at $23.25 per share, ranking senior to common equity and pari passu with QXO’s existing Series B preferred. The capital, which closes concurrently with qualifying acquisitions above $1.5 billion, enhances QXO’s financial flexibility for its roll‑up strategy while imposing transfer, hedging, voting and standstill restrictions on the Apollo-led investor group, and includes registration rights for eventual resale of the preferred and underlying common shares, thereby shaping both the company’s future capital structure and governance dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (QXO) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QXO Inc stock, see the QXO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026