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DocuSign (DOCU)
NASDAQ:DOCU

DocuSign (DOCU) AI Stock Analysis

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DocuSign

(NASDAQ:DOCU)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(13.14%Upside)
DocuSign's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and strategic corporate events that bolster its financial flexibility. While technical analysis presents mixed signals, the company’s valuation is reasonable, and recent earnings calls indicate a positive outlook despite some challenges.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Go-to-market changes are serving their intended purpose with a reduction in early renewals that were flat or included partial churn, which is positive for the long-term health of the business.
Market Position
Docusign is seen as a top mid-cap value play based on its valuation at a 25% discount to peers.
Product Expansion
Docusign's product story is broadening with the IAM suite and there is no change to the leading core signature business, which shows high single-digit growth and near 30% operating margin.
Negative Factors
Billings Issues
The impact was greater than expected, with less early renewals than anticipated, driving the billings shortfall in Q1.
Customer Dynamics
DOCU pressure in AH a result of Q1 billings miss, FY26 billings cut, flat QoQ NDR & lower QoQ >$300K customers at conflict with the narrative.
Financial Guidance
Constant-currency FY26 billings guidance was reduced from 8% to 5.8% YoY, or 220 bps, due to embedding broader macro prudence and the early renewal dynamic.

DocuSign (DOCU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DocuSign Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDocuSign, Inc. is a leading provider of electronic signature technology and digital transaction management services. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, the company operates primarily within the technology and software industry. DocuSign's core product offering includes the DocuSign Agreement Cloud, a suite of applications and integrations for automating and connecting the entire agreement process, enabling users to prepare, sign, act on, and manage agreements electronically, securely, and efficiently. The company's services cater to a wide range of sectors, including financial services, healthcare, real estate, and government.
How the Company Makes MoneyDocuSign generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for access to its suite of digital transaction management and electronic signature services. Key revenue streams include subscription fees from customers who use the DocuSign Agreement Cloud, which offers various pricing tiers based on the number of users, features, and level of service. The company also earns money through professional services, which include implementation, training, and consulting services tailored to specific customer needs. Additionally, strategic partnerships and integrations with other technology platforms, such as Salesforce, Microsoft, and Google, enhance DocuSign's product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its revenue growth. DocuSign's ability to provide a secure, reliable, and easy-to-use solution for digital agreements is a significant factor in its financial success.

DocuSign Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Billings
Billings
Reflects the total value of invoices sent to customers, indicating sales momentum and future revenue potential as these billings convert to recognized revenue.
Chart InsightsDocuSign's billings have shown a steady upward trend, with notable growth in late 2024. However, the latest earnings call highlighted a slight miss in billings growth expectations due to timing issues with early renewals, not demand. Despite this, the company remains optimistic, driven by the successful adoption of the IAM platform and strong customer engagement. The focus on innovation and strategic buybacks suggests confidence in long-term growth, although macroeconomic uncertainties remain a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

DocuSign Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -18.18%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for DocuSign, with strong revenue growth, successful adoption of IAM, and continued innovation. However, challenges with early renewals and a cautious approach to the economic environment slightly tempered the optimism.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profitability
DocuSign reported Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $764 million, showing 8% year-over-year growth. Operating margins improved by 1% to 29.5%, and the company achieved a 30% free cash flow margin.
Successful Launch and Adoption of IAM
The IAM platform has become the fastest-growing offering in DocuSign's history, with over 10,000 customers. IAM sales exceeded expectations and are on track to account for a double-digit percentage of the subscription book of business by the end of Q4.
Continued Innovation
DocuSign introduced a series of new AI-powered features at its Momentum conference. These include Agreement Desk, Workspaces, and custom extractions, which enhance the Create, Commit, and Manage phases of the agreement life cycle.
Positive Trends in Customer Engagement
The company reported improvements in customer usage metrics, with increased envelope sending and customer contract utilization. Gross retention and dollar net retention also showed year-over-year improvements.
Shareholder Returns and Financial Position
DocuSign repurchased $183 million of stock in Q1 and announced an additional $1 billion in buybacks. The company has over $1.1 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, with no debt.
Negative Updates
Lower-than-Expected Billings Growth
Q1 billings growth was slightly below guidance at 4% year-over-year, due to lower early renewals than anticipated. This was attributed to the timing of go-to-market changes rather than demand issues.
Challenges in Forecasting Early Renewals
DocuSign faced difficulties in predicting the timing of early renewals, which impacted billings. The company acknowledged the need for a more conservative approach to forecasting early renewals going forward.
Macroeconomic Concerns
Although not a significant factor in Q1, DocuSign expressed caution about the uncertain economic environment, which could potentially impact future performance.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, DocuSign reported a strong financial performance with revenue reaching $764 million, reflecting an 8% growth year-over-year, driven by new customers adopting the Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM) platform and contributions from self-serve digital sales. The company achieved a 29.5% operating margin, up by 1% from the previous year, and a robust 30% free cash flow margin enabled further share repurchases, with an additional $1 billion authorization for buybacks. However, billings growth came in slightly below the guidance at 4% year-on-year due to lower early renewals, a timing issue rather than a demand issue. Despite this, DocuSign reported improvements in gross retention and dollar net retention rates, with IAM now being the fastest-growing offering in the company's history, gaining over 10,000 customers. The company also saw growth in attendance at their Momentum conference, which increased by 70% over the previous year.

DocuSign Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DocuSign exhibits robust financial health with significant revenue growth, improving profitability, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, supporting its growth trajectory. Despite past losses, the turnaround in profitability and cash flow indicates a positive outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
DocuSign has shown impressive growth in its revenue, with a notable increase from $1.45 billion in 2021 to $3.03 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) of 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong at around 79%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly, reaching 36.5% in TTM 2025 from negative values in previous years, showcasing increased profitability. The company also improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins to 7.8% and 13.2% respectively, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 in TTM 2025, signifying low leverage. Return on equity (ROE) has surged to 54.9% in TTM 2025, up from previous negative values, illustrating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 51.1%, reflecting a balanced structure between equity and total assets, enhancing stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
DocuSign demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow of $916 million in TTM 2025. The free cash flow growth rate has been positive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. The consistent positive free cash flow supports the company's operational and strategic initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.03B2.98B2.76B2.52B2.11B1.45B
Gross Profit
2.40B2.36B2.19B1.98B1.64B1.09B
EBIT
237.56M199.93M31.63M-55.16M-60.47M-173.85M
EBITDA
400.29M355.75M195.59M2.76M21.44M-127.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.11B1.07B73.98M-97.45M-69.98M-243.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
948.69M963.55M1.05B1.03B802.82M773.50M
Total Assets
3.95B4.01B2.97B3.01B2.54B2.34B
Total Debt
132.94M124.43M143.05M888.29M882.23M915.75M
Net Debt
-524.46M-524.20M-654.01M166.40M373.17M349.70M
Total Liabilities
1.93B2.01B1.84B2.40B2.27B2.01B
Stockholders Equity
2.01B2.00B1.13B617.29M275.50M325.74M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
916.03M920.28M887.13M429.11M445.07M214.56M
Operating Cash Flow
1.01B1.02B979.53M506.76M506.47M296.95M
Investing Cash Flow
-277.02M-312.88M44.61M-191.20M-162.91M81.23M
Financing Cash Flow
-892.43M-838.79M-946.04M-98.26M-394.62M-58.98M

DocuSign Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price76.01
Price Trends
50DMA
82.07
Negative
100DMA
84.49
Negative
200DMA
80.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.63
Positive
RSI
37.57
Neutral
STOCH
7.97
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOCU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 76.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.88, below the 50-day MA of 82.07, and below the 200-day MA of 80.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.97 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOCU.

DocuSign Risk Analysis

DocuSign disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DocuSign reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We use AI in our business, and challenges with properly governing its use could result in reputational harm, competitive harm, and legal liability, and adversely affect our results of operations. Q4, 2023
2.
Complying with laws and regulations related to privacy and data protection could result in additional costs and liabilities to us or inhibit sales of our software. Q4, 2023

DocuSign Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BSBSY
81
Outperform
$14.64B61.3725.20%0.58%10.71%-27.64%
ZMZM
80
Outperform
$24.03B23.4712.19%2.98%24.11%
78
Outperform
$15.64B305.415.39%32.25%156.94%
76
Outperform
$15.57B14.4170.20%7.85%935.80%
UU
73
Outperform
$10.07B-14.15%-16.74%49.75%
66
Neutral
$19.07B844.640.38%17.24%
62
Neutral
$11.92B10.48-7.50%2.95%7.40%-8.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOCU
DocuSign
76.01
25.17
49.51%
ZM
Zoom Video Communications
77.41
19.67
34.07%
U
Unity Software
24.98
8.58
52.32%
BSY
Bentley Systems
49.18
-0.73
-1.46%
GRAB
Grab
4.63
1.03
28.61%
MNDY
Monday.com
298.96
72.38
31.94%

DocuSign Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DocuSign Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, DocuSign, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 87% of the total outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders approved the election of three directors for a three-year term, ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOCU) stock is a Hold with a $59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DocuSign stock, see the DOCU Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
DocuSign Secures $750 Million Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, DocuSign, Inc. entered into a credit agreement with several lenders, including Bank of America and PNC Bank, for a revolving credit facility of $750 million, with the possibility of an additional $250 million. This agreement, which allows for borrowing and repayment until 2030, aims to enhance DocuSign’s financial flexibility and support its operational needs. The credit facility includes various financial covenants and conditions, such as maintaining certain leverage and interest coverage ratios, and is secured by a first priority security interest in the company’s assets. This move is expected to strengthen DocuSign’s financial position and provide strategic support for its growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOCU) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DocuSign stock, see the DOCU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
DocuSign Board Member Daniel Springer Resigns
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Daniel Springer resigned from DocuSign‘s Board of Directors, effective immediately. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices, suggesting a smooth transition and stability within the company’s governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.