tiprankstipranks
Monday.com (MNDY)
NASDAQ:MNDY
US Market

Monday.com (MNDY) AI Stock Analysis

2,726 Followers

Top Page

MNDY

Monday.com

(NASDAQ:MNDY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(8.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score is supported by strong financial quality (high gross margins, robust free cash flow, low leverage) and a generally constructive earnings outlook despite slower growth. It is held back primarily by very weak technicals (sharp downtrend and bearish momentum) and a valuation that still prices in solid performance without dividend support.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
Sustained gross margins near 90% reflect a high‑margin SaaS model that supports long‑term operating leverage. Even with higher R&D and sales investment, such structural margins provide durable capacity to fund product buildout, AI initiatives, and go‑to‑market without eroding core economics.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth deceleration
Management's materially lower near‑term growth guidance signals a slower top‑line trajectory versus recent years. A sustained step down in growth reduces potential operating leverage and heightens the need for efficiency or higher‑value sales, constraining durable expansion prospects over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins
Sustained gross margins near 90% reflect a high‑margin SaaS model that supports long‑term operating leverage. Even with higher R&D and sales investment, such structural margins provide durable capacity to fund product buildout, AI initiatives, and go‑to‑market without eroding core economics.
Read all positive factors

Monday.com (MNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Monday.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
monday.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops software applications in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It provides Work OS, a cloud-based visual work operating system that consists of modular bu...
How the Company Makes Money
monday.com primarily makes money through subscription fees for access to its cloud platform. Revenue is largely recurring and is typically charged per user (seat) under tiered plans with different feature sets and usage limits, so revenue expands ...

Monday.com Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Shows how revenue from existing customers changes over time after upsells, downgrades, and churn; a rate above 100% means current customers are expanding their spend and can drive growth without relying solely on new sales. Consistently high retention reflects strong product value and long-term revenue sustainability.
Chart InsightsNDR has moved from a broad-based expansion to an upmarket-led recovery: enterprise cohorts (> $50k and > $100k ARR) reaccelerated and sit well above the company-wide rate, while total and smaller/no-touch cohorts compressed and stabilized near management’s 110% target. That mix shift explains how monday.com can guide decelerating top-line growth yet sustain high-margin, cash-generative economics—but it also concentrates risk: continued weakness in self-serve demand, rising CAC, or slower enterprise upsell would limit upside to the guide.
Data provided by:The Fly

Monday.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mix of strong operational execution and product momentum—notably profitable growth, robust free cash flow, clear upmarket traction, and accelerating AI adoption—while also flagging meaningful near-term headwinds: slower revenue growth guidance (18–19% vs 27% prior year), margin and FCF compression, persistent weakness in self-serve/no-touch channels, and a material FX impact from the Israeli shekel. Management emphasized disciplined, confidence-level guidance for 2026 and shifted investment toward higher-ROI upmarket and AI opportunities, but pulled longer-term targets given uncertainty. Overall, positives around profitability, cash generation, and AI/product traction are balanced by the conservative guidance and identifiable macro/operational risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Profitability
Q4 revenue of $334M, up 25% year-over-year; fiscal 2025 revenue of $1.232B, up 27% YoY. Fiscal 2025 operating income of $175.3M with a 14% operating margin and net income of $233.6M (up from $183.3M prior year). Diluted EPS was $4.40 for the year.
Negative Updates
Guidance Shows Meaningful Deceleration
Fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $1.452B–$1.462B implies growth of 18%–19% YoY, down from FY2025 growth of 27% (an ~8–9 percentage-point slowdown). Management intentionally provided a more conservative near-term guide.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth and Profitability
Q4 revenue of $334M, up 25% year-over-year; fiscal 2025 revenue of $1.232B, up 27% YoY. Fiscal 2025 operating income of $175.3M with a 14% operating margin and net income of $233.6M (up from $183.3M prior year). Diluted EPS was $4.40 for the year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
monday.com guided to FY2026 revenue of $1.452–$1.462 billion (growth of 18–19% YoY), full‑year non‑GAAP operating income of $165–$175 million (11–12% operating margin, assuming a 100–200 bps negative FX impact), adjusted free cash flow of $275–$290 million (19–20% adjusted FCF margin, assuming ~100 bps FX headwind) and stable overall NDR of 110% (trailing four‑quarter weighted); the company plans mid‑teens percentage headcount growth with incremental investment mainly in sales and R&D, expects gross margin in the mid‑to‑high‑80s in 2026, may begin paying cash taxes, assumes continued choppiness in no‑touch demand, and enters the year with $1.5 billion cash, a $135 million Q4 buyback and about $735 million remaining repurchase authorization.

Monday.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: very high gross margins (~89–90%), solid and well-converting free cash flow (~$321M TTM; FCF/NI ~0.94), and a conservative balance sheet with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.09). Offsets include decelerating growth and still-thin/volatile operating profitability (EBIT near break-even in TTM).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
87
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.23B972.00M729.70M519.03M308.15M
Gross Profit1.10B868.30M649.05M452.50M269.14M
EBITDA73.12M58.00M12.79M-120.10M-123.25M
Net Income118.74M32.37M-1.88M-136.87M-129.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.11B1.69B1.28B1.04B933.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.46B1.12B885.89M886.81M
Total Debt311.71M106.04M61.15M77.72M84.00K
Total Liabilities859.76M655.28M462.15M359.30M229.80M
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.03B813.51M679.74M703.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow313.28M295.83M204.94M8.14M2.60M
Operating Cash Flow333.64M311.06M215.40M27.14M16.36M
Investing Cash Flow-133.72M-70.81M-10.46M-19.00M-3.63M
Financing Cash Flow-108.38M55.21M25.29M-9.05M742.27M

Monday.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price63.55
Price Trends
50DMA
76.26
Negative
100DMA
110.29
Negative
200DMA
164.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.73
Positive
RSI
35.99
Neutral
STOCH
21.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNDY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 63.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.17, below the 50-day MA of 76.26, and below the 200-day MA of 164.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MNDY.

Monday.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.24B11.5316.44%9.46%34.09%
71
Outperform
$6.66B25.9260.07%0.16%17.00%120.21%
67
Neutral
$3.01B63.939.88%28.62%186.67%
65
Neutral
$3.30B-103.64-6.24%27.35%18.18%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$4.59B-21.74-13.37%24.26%55.58%
57
Neutral
$1.30B-12.84-94.12%9.47%16.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MNDY
Monday.com
63.55
-186.79
-74.61%
NICE
NICE
102.82
-47.86
-31.76%
PEGA
Pegasystems
41.58
7.65
22.56%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
16.08
5.10
46.45%
ASAN
Asana
5.80
-9.24
-61.44%
GTLB
Gitlab
20.03
-22.14
-52.50%

Monday.com Corporate Events

Monday.com Posts Strong 2025 Growth and Profitability Gains as Enterprise, AI Offerings Accelerate
Feb 9, 2026
Monday.com on February 9, 2026 reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting 27% annual revenue growth to $1.23 billion and a sharp improvement in GAAP profitability, with operating loss narrowing to nearly breakeven and non...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026