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Monday.Com Ltd. (MNDY)
:MNDY
US Market
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Monday.com (MNDY) AI Stock Analysis

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MNDY

Monday.com

(NASDAQ:MNDY)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$271.00
▲(8.42% Upside)
Monday.com's strong financial performance and positive earnings guidance are tempered by technical analysis indicating bearish market trends and a high P/E ratio suggesting overvaluation. While the company is positioned well for growth with robust revenue and cash flow generation, macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Gross margins came in at 90%, and the firm generated 39% FCF margins in the quarter, helping to sustain LTM FCF margins north of 30%.
Market Position
Investors were shareholders or bullish on monday.com's market position, growth initiatives, execution and potential.
Product Development
MNDY's AI Building Blocks have been well received.
Negative Factors
Growth Expectations
Investor expectations already look for high 20%'s growth in FY25 and FY26, which may prove achievable, but is priced-into shares, creating a risk/reward more supportive of an Equal-weight.
Management Changes
The new Chief Revenue Officer joined earlier than expected, which could introduce disruptions as new sales leaders often tweak go-to-market plans.
Market Competition
New product categories means new well-funded competitors and incumbents.

Monday.com (MNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Monday.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMonday.com is a work operating system (Work OS) that empowers teams to run projects and workflows with confidence. Based in Israel, the company provides cloud-based software that allows organizations to create their own applications and work management software. Monday.com serves a wide array of sectors including technology, education, manufacturing, and marketing, with core products focusing on project management, team collaboration, and productivity enhancement.
How the Company Makes MoneyMonday.com generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model. Customers pay for access to its platform on a per-user, per-month basis, with pricing tiers that vary based on the level of functionality and number of users. The company offers different plans such as Basic, Standard, Pro, and Enterprise, each with escalating features and support options. Additionally, Monday.com benefits from partnerships with other software providers, integrations with third-party applications, and marketplace expansions that enhance the platform's functionality and user appeal. This diversified approach to revenue generation is complemented by a focus on increasing customer lifetime value through upselling and expanding usage within existing accounts.

Monday.com Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customers Over $50K
Customers Over $50K
Indicates the number of large-scale clients generating significant revenue, highlighting the company’s ability to attract and retain high-value customers, which can drive stable and substantial growth.
Chart Insightsmonday.com has seen a consistent increase in customers spending over $50K, reflecting strong enterprise adoption and strategic growth. The latest earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, driven by AI innovations and enterprise segment expansion. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company's strategic initiatives and improved marketing efficiency position it well for sustained growth. However, management remains cautious about potential declines in net dollar retention, which could slightly temper future growth expectations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Monday.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
monday.com demonstrated strong revenue growth and operational efficiency in Q1 2025, with significant expansion in the enterprise segment and successful adoption of AI features. However, the company remains cautious about macroeconomic uncertainties which may affect future performance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
monday.com reported a robust revenue growth of 30% year-over-year, achieving a total revenue of $282 million for Q1 2025.
Strong Operating Profit and Cash Flow
The company achieved record quarterly operating profit and generated its highest-ever cash flow for a single quarter, with adjusted free cash flow at $109.5 million, representing a 39% margin.
Enterprise Segment Growth
The enterprise segment continued to be the fastest-growing area, with new capabilities launched for the work management enterprise tier, offering enhanced visibility and control.
AI Adoption and Innovation
There was a significant increase in AI actions performed by users, up more than 150% since the end of 2024, reflecting rapid adoption of AI-powered features.
New Chief Revenue Officer
Casey George was appointed as Chief Revenue Officer, bringing extensive experience in scaling enterprise software organizations and driving strategic market expansion.
Improving Efficiency in Marketing
Sales and marketing expenses decreased as a percentage of revenue from 56% to 48% year-over-year, highlighting improving efficiency.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Despite strong performance, management expressed concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty, impacting their conservative guidance for the rest of 2025.
Potential Decline in Net Dollar Retention
Net dollar retention (NDR) remained stable at 112%, but management expects it to be slightly below this figure by the end of the year due to market uncertainties.
Minor FX Impact
The company noted a negative impact from foreign exchange rates, although it is expected to be less than 1% for the entire fiscal year.
Company Guidance
During monday.com's Q1 Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance, projecting revenue for Q2 to range between $292 million and $294 million, reflecting a 24% to 25% year-over-year growth. For the full fiscal year 2025, monday.com expects revenue to be between $1,220 million and $1,226 million, representing a growth of 25% to 26% year-over-year. The company anticipates a non-GAAP operating income of $32 million to $34 million for Q2, translating to an operating margin of 11% to 12%, and a full-year non-GAAP operating income of $144 million to $150 million, with an operating margin of approximately 12%. Additionally, they forecast an adjusted free cash flow of $310 million to $316 million for the year, with a margin of 25% to 26%. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains confident in its strategic initiatives and product offerings, expecting to maintain strong financial performance throughout the year.

Monday.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Monday.com demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue growth, robust cash flow generation, and improved profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid with minimal leverage, supporting strategic growth initiatives.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Monday.com demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $1.04 billion, a significant increase from $971.99 million in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust at 89.52%, indicating efficient cost management. Although operating at a loss, the company has improved its net profit margin to 5.08%, showcasing its trajectory towards profitability. Both EBITDA and EBIT margins have improved, reflecting better operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Monday.com is solid, with a strong equity ratio of 59.66%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.11, suggesting minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. Return on equity is positive at 4.79%, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns on investments. The equity growth and asset management are commendable, although the company still carries some liabilities.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis shows impressive free cash flow growth, with TTM free cash flow reaching $312.85 million, up from $297.85 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 6.26 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, which is favorable for sustaining operations and future growth. The company efficiently converts net income to free cash flow, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue972.00M729.70M519.03M308.15M161.12M
Gross Profit868.30M649.05M452.50M269.14M138.63M
EBITDA58.00M12.79M-120.10M-123.93M-147.11M
Net Income32.37M-1.88M-136.87M-129.29M-152.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.28B1.04B933.19M157.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.46B1.12B885.89M886.81M139.81M
Total Debt106.04M61.15M77.72M84.00K21.10M
Total Liabilities655.28M462.15M359.30M229.80M374.98M
Stockholders Equity1.03B813.51M679.74M703.39M-217.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow297.85M204.94M8.14M2.60M-42.66M
Operating Cash Flow311.06M215.40M27.14M16.36M-37.17M
Investing Cash Flow-70.81M-10.46M-19.00M-3.63M-11.48M
Financing Cash Flow55.21M25.29M-9.05M742.27M8.47M

Monday.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price249.96
Price Trends
50DMA
292.49
Negative
100DMA
278.02
Negative
200DMA
274.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.56
Positive
RSI
27.30
Positive
STOCH
6.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNDY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 249.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 281.92, below the 50-day MA of 292.49, and below the 200-day MA of 274.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.30 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MNDY.

Monday.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$10.04B46.5620.04%13.74%10.99%
75
Outperform
$14.11B-13.62%-16.74%49.75%
69
Neutral
$17.31B72.5323.69%0.46%10.45%-32.43%
69
Neutral
¥233.80B14.887.64%2.58%9.19%5.56%
66
Neutral
$12.69B253.535.39%32.25%156.94%
62
Neutral
$15.47B171.6212.06%39.14%103.72%
61
Neutral
$3.32B-83.36%9.84%13.74%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MNDY
Monday.com
249.96
34.07
15.78%
PCTY
Paylocity
181.71
24.83
15.83%
U
Unity Software
33.94
19.58
136.35%
BSY
Bentley Systems
57.05
8.07
16.48%
ASAN
Asana
14.11
1.32
10.32%
DUOL
Duolingo
340.31
161.32
90.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025