NICE (NICE) AI Stock Analysis

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NICE

(NASDAQ:NICE)

Rating:76Outperform

Price Target:

$187.00

▲(11.05%Upside)

NICE's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors supporting its score. The company's robust cloud revenue growth and strategic initiatives contribute positively, while the stock's moderate valuation and mixed technical analysis provide a balanced view.

Positive Factors

AI Adoption

NICE is well positioned to benefit from AI adoption in the contact center and the tailwind from cloud migrations in the CCaaS market.

Enterprise Deals

Wins another mega nine-figure TCV deal, indicating strong performance in securing large contracts.

Share Repurchase

Announces new $500 million share-repurchase program after record buyback in the quarter.

Negative Factors

Cloud Revenue Guidance

The 2025 Cloud revenue guidance of 12% Y/Y was meaningfully lower than expected and drove shares down 14%.

Cloud Revenue Performance

NICE reported slightly soft 4Q Cloud revenues and issued 2025 revenue guidance below expectations.

Revenue Growth

Full-year revenue guidance disappointed as NICE called for about 7% total revenue growth, below expectations of nearly 10%.

NICE (NICE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$10.79B

Dividend YieldN/A

Average Volume (3M)410.38K

Price to Earnings (P/E)23.5

Beta (1Y)1.30

Revenue Growth12.62%

EPS Growth26.45%

CountryUS

Employees8,726

SectorTechnology

Sector Strength86

IndustrySoftware - Application

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)2.87

Shares Outstanding63,249,844

10 Day Avg. Volume396,052

30 Day Avg. Volume410,377

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio1.42

Price to Book (P/B)4.03

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio30.83

Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.93

Enterprise Value/Revenue0.93

Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.38

Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.45

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$207.85

Price Target Upside23.43% Upside

Rating ConsensusStrong Buy

Number of Analyst Covering14

NICE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNICE Ltd. is a global enterprise specializing in cloud-based and on-premises enterprise software solutions. The company, headquartered in Israel, operates within the sectors of customer engagement, financial crime and compliance, and public safety. Its core offerings include advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, and automation to enhance customer experiences, improve operational efficiency, and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements. NICE serves a diverse client base including financial institutions, contact centers, and public safety organizations worldwide.

How the Company Makes MoneyNICE Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and related services. The company's key revenue streams include cloud-based solutions, which are offered via subscription models, and on-premises software licenses, which typically involve upfront payments and ongoing maintenance fees. Additionally, NICE provides professional services such as consulting, training, and implementation support, which contribute to its revenue. Significant partnerships with technology firms and system integrators enhance its market reach and sales potential. The company's focus on innovation in artificial intelligence and analytics drives demand for its solutions, providing a competitive edge in its core sectors.

NICE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025

(Q1-2025)

% Change Since: -0.63%|

Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

The earnings call highlighted significant growth in cloud revenues and strategic partnerships, alongside record-breaking share buybacks and major government contracts. However, there are challenges with declining service and product revenues and a slight decline in overall gross margin.

Q1-2025 Updates

Positive Updates

Strong Cloud Revenue Growth

Cloud revenue rose 12% year on year to $527 million, now representing 75% of total revenue. The growth was driven by the adoption of the CXone Mpower platform.

Record Share Buyback

Executed the largest quarterly share repurchase in the company's history totaling $252 million, demonstrating confidence in the long-term strategy.

Major Government Contracts

Signed a $100 million contract with a major European government agency, marking the second nine-figure government deal in less than a year.

New Strategic Partnerships

Announced new partnerships with ServiceNow and AWS, enhancing the integration of AI, automation, and cloud services.

Expansion into International Markets

50% of international revenue now comes from cloud solutions, reflecting strong global growth and cloud adoption.

Introduction of New Cloud Metrics

Introduced CapEx-AI and self-service cloud revenue metrics, with annual recurring revenue exceeding $200 million, growing 39% year over year.

Negative Updates

Slight Decline in Overall Gross Margin

Total gross margin declined slightly to 69.9% from 70.9% last year, primarily due to a decrease in higher margin on-premise revenue.

Challenges in Service and Product Revenue

Service revenue declined by 6% and product revenue by 20% as the shift to cloud continues.

Premise-Based Revenue Decline

Premise-based revenues continue to decline as the company prioritizes cloud-first solutions.

Company Guidance

During the call, NICE provided detailed guidance for the second quarter and full year 2025, projecting total revenue between $709 million and $719 million for Q2, representing a 7% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. For the full year, NICE reaffirmed its total revenue guidance, expected to be between $2.918 billion and $2.938 billion, also reflecting a 7% growth at the midpoint. The company anticipates a non-GAAP operating margin increase of approximately 50 basis points year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share for Q2 are forecasted to range from $2.93 to $3.03, indicating a 13% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. For the full year, the EPS guidance was raised to a range of $12.28 to $12.48, marking an 11% increase at the midpoint. This guidance was underpinned by strong performance in cloud revenue, which grew by 12% year-over-year in Q1, and a robust cash flow from operations, which reached $285 million, up 12% from the previous year.

NICE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

NICE exhibits strong financial health with excellent profitability and operational efficiency. Solid balance sheet metrics, including a low debt-to-equity ratio and high equity ratio, demonstrate financial stability. While cash flow generation is robust, the slight decline in growth is a minor concern.

Income Statement

Very Positive

NICE demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue over the years. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 66.88% and net profit margin at 16.77%, indicating efficient cost management and robust profitability. The revenue growth rate from the last annual report to the TTM is healthy at 1.49%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 20.62% and 27.73%, respectively, signaling excellent operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Very Positive

The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 in the TTM, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) is 13.30%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 66.89%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to assets.

Cash Flow

Positive

NICE's cash flow statement reveals a robust free cash flow with a TTM growth rate of -3.54%, which is slightly negative but indicates resilience. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.85, and free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.65, both suggesting strong cash generation capabilities relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.78B	2.74B	2.38B	2.18B	1.92B	1.65B
Gross Profit	1.86B	1.83B	1.61B	1.50B	1.30B	1.09B
EBITDA	769.82M	754.14M	633.23M	511.77M	449.76M	425.79M
Net Income	465.50M	442.59M	338.30M	265.94M	199.22M	196.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.23B	5.30B	5.12B	4.86B	4.66B	4.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.61B	1.62B	1.41B	1.57B	1.42B	1.46B
Total Debt	538.66M	563.60M	782.97M	777.46M	878.52M	795.89M
Total Liabilities	1.73B	1.69B	1.76B	1.80B	1.83B	1.64B
Stockholders Equity	3.50B	3.59B	3.34B	3.04B	2.83B	2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	769.48M	797.68M	477.25M	397.82M	394.61M	417.02M
Operating Cash Flow	863.22M	832.64M	561.43M	479.71M	461.82M	480.31M
Investing Cash Flow	-603.97M	-397.40M	-293.58M	-152.35M	-261.50M	-465.07M
Financing Cash Flow	-578.42M	-456.60M	-290.27M	-164.50M	-261.82M	196.84M

NICE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price168.40

Price Trends

50DMA

164.43

Positive

100DMA

159.21

Positive

200DMA

166.67

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.34

Positive

RSI

53.23

Neutral

STOCH

78.19

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NICE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 168.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 169.40, above the 50-day MA of 164.43, and above the 200-day MA of 166.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NICE.

NICE Risk Analysis

NICE disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NICE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NICE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (49)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MANH	78 Outperform	$12.06B	56.64	89.60%	―	9.18%	14.35%
APPF	77 Outperform	$8.38B	43.45	49.11%	―	22.73%	154.79%
NICE	76 Outperform	$10.79B	23.49	13.40%	―	12.62%	26.45%
BSY	74 Outperform	$16.41B	68.75	25.20%	0.52%	10.71%	-27.64%
PCTY	71 Outperform	$9.94B	44.89	19.70%	―	14.63%	17.15%
U	68 Neutral	$9.98B	―	-14.15%	―	-16.74%	49.75%
Sector *	49 Neutral	C$2.91B	2.04	-80.91%	2.67%	12.55%	-24.32%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

NICE

168.40

-2.79

-1.63%

MANH

Manhattan Associates

198.71

-49.12

-19.82%

PCTY

Paylocity

180.04

45.20

33.52%

APPF

AppFolio

232.65

-19.93

-7.89%

Unity Software

24.28

8.57

54.55%

BSY

Bentley Systems

54.08

4.88

9.92%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025