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NICE (NICE)
NASDAQ:NICE

NICE (NICE) AI Stock Analysis

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NICE

NICE

(NASDAQ:NICE)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$126.00
▲(7.06% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (high profitability, improving returns, and low leverage) and a supportive earnings outlook for revenue/cloud growth and AI momentum. These positives are tempered by near-term EPS/margin pressure signaled in guidance and a mixed technical picture with the stock still below longer-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
De-risked balance sheet and low leverage
Material debt reduction and a near-zero leverage ratio give the company durable financial flexibility. Low leverage supports continued buybacks, M&A and R&D funding with limited interest burden, improving resilience to macro shocks and enabling multi-quarter strategic investments without stressing solvency.
High recurring cloud revenue with strong retention
A subscription-first cloud business with 109% net revenue retention and sizable backlog provides durable revenue visibility and upsell economics. High cloud mix (77%) and backlog growth underpin predictable recurring cash flows and support steady mid-teens cloud growth over the next several quarters.
AI-led product momentum and enterprise adoption
Rapid AI ARR growth and consistent inclusion of AI in large deals signals product differentiation and expanded addressable market. Durable enterprise adoption suggests structural demand for AI-native CX platforms, improving pricing power, higher ACV deal sizes and longer lifecycle value across customer relationships.
Negative Factors
Planned 2026 investment-driven margin pressure
Management's deliberate H1 investments in COGS, R&D and go-to-market will compress operating margins and non-GAAP EPS through mid-2026. This reduces near-term profitability and free cash flow, limiting distributable cash and potentially slowing buybacks or discretionary spends until H2 margin recovery materializes.
Large cash outflow for Cognigy reduces financial income
Using substantial cash to fund the acquisition and debt paydown materially lowers interest/financial income and liquidity buffers. Though strategically accretive, the reduction in cash limits near-term optionality, raises dependency on credit facilities for opportunistic moves, and magnifies importance of integration success.
Underperformance in Financial Crime & conversion/backlog risk
A slow-growing Actimize segment reduces diversification and exposes overall growth to CX cloud cycles. Combined with non-linear backlog conversion and some lumpy quarter benefits, this elevates execution risk: consistent high single-digit total growth depends on converting backlog and stabilizing underperforming segments.

NICE (NICE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NICE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud platforms for AI-driven digital business solutions worldwide. It offers CXone, a cloud native open platform that supports contact centers ranging from small single sites to distributed remote agents and enterprises; Enlighten, an AI engine for CX that discovers automation opportunities for self-service; digital-entry points solutions that enable organizations to address consumers' needs; and journey orchestration solutions that empower organizations to connect and route customers to deal with the customer's request, and connecting them using real time AI-based routing. The company also provides smart self service solutions that empower organizations to build intelligent automated conversations based on data; and prepared agent solutions and tools enable contact center agents to guide and alert them in real time so they can provide resolutions; complete performance solutions that help organizations to record structured and unstructured customer interaction and transaction data; and NICE Evidencentral, an digital evidence management platform for public safety emergency communications, law enforcement, and criminal justice helps agencies. In addition, it offers X-Sight, is an open and flexible AI-cloud platform for financial crime and compliance; Xceed, a cloud platform for comprehensive AML and fraud prevention for small and mid-sized organizations; data intelligence solutions that enable organizations to turn raw data into comprehensive actionable intelligence to prevent and detect financial crimes; AI and analytics technologies to detect and prevent financial crimes in real-time; money laundering and fraud prevention solutions that help organizations adhere to capital markets compliance and anti-money laundering compliance regulations; intelligent investigations solutions; and self-service solutions that provide organizations with customization and self-development capabilities. The company was formerly known as NICE-Systems Ltd. and changed its name to NICE Ltd. in June 2016. NICE Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyNICE generates revenue through a subscription-based model, primarily from its cloud offerings, which include software as a service (SaaS) solutions. Key revenue streams include recurring subscription fees from its customer engagement and financial crime and compliance solutions, as well as professional services such as consulting and implementation. Significant partnerships with technology firms and integration with other enterprise software platforms enhance its service offerings, contributing to customer retention and new client acquisition. Additionally, NICE benefits from a growing demand for analytics and AI-driven solutions, further bolstering its revenue growth.

NICE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong execution and multiple concrete growth drivers — meeting full-year targets, accelerating cloud and AI ARR growth, meaningful international traction, a strengthened balance sheet (debt-free), and active capital returns. Management also laid out targeted investments in 2026 to accelerate AI integration and go-to-market capabilities, which will pressure near-term margins and EPS. While there are clear near-term headwinds (cash reduction from the Cognigy acquisition, planned investment-driven margin cadence, and slower growth in the Financial Crime & Compliance segment), the highlights (AI momentum, backlog growth, international acceleration, and balance sheet actions) materially outweigh the lowlights, supporting a positive outlook with execution risks to monitor.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Met Full-Year Targets with Strong Financial Results
Full year 2025 total revenue of $2.945B, up 8% year-over-year; full year cloud revenue up 13% YoY (12% excluding Cognigy); delivered non-GAAP EPS of $12.30 at the high end of guidance; free cash flow margin of 21% exceeded guidance.
Quarterly Revenue and Cloud Momentum
Q4 2025 total revenue $786M, up 9% YoY; cloud revenue $608M, up 14% YoY (12% excl Cognigy) and representing 77% of total revenue; cloud backlog grew 25% including Cognigy (22% excluding Cognigy); trailing 12-month cloud net revenue retention 109%.
Rapid AI Adoption and ARR Growth
AI ARR increased 66% YoY to $328M, representing 13% of cloud revenue; record growth in new AI logos (300% YoY) and record number of seven-figure ACV CXone deals (100% included AI); product momentum includes Cognigy integration roadmap and Cognigy Simulator launch.
Strategic Acquisition and Product Positioning
Completed acquisition of Cognigy (financed with cash on hand); positioned NiCE as a combined AI-native CX platform (market leadership claims and analyst recognition for Cognigy and CXone); Cognigy expected to be accretive within 18 months.
International Expansion Acceleration
International revenue grew 16% for 2025 with acceleration to 29% in Q4; EMEA grew 38% YoY (32% on a constant currency basis) and APAC grew 11% YoY; landed largest international deal and international revenue is now majority cloud.
Robust Profitability and Capital Returns
Q4 gross margin of 69.3% and operating margin of 31%; Q4 EPS $3.24, up 7% YoY; repurchased $489M of stock in 2025 (32% YoY), representing ~79% of free cash flow; fully repaid $460M of debt and are now debt-free.
Prudent Liquidity and Shareholder Actions
Ended 2025 with $417M cash and short-term investments, established a new $300M revolving credit facility, and Board authorized a new $600M share repurchase program (bringing remaining authorization to ~ $1B).
Forward Guidance Reflects Reacceleration
2026 guidance: total revenue $3.17B–$3.19B (≈8% growth at midpoint); cloud revenue growth expected 14.5%–15% (with Cognigy ~200 bps contribution); full-year 2026 fully diluted EPS guidance $10.85–$11.05; Q1 2026 revenue guidance $755M–$765M (≈8.5% YoY midpoint).
Negative Updates
EPS Guidance Below Prior-Year Non-GAAP EPS
Full year 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $10.85–$11.05 compares to 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $12.30, implying a year-over-year decline in EPS (~11–12% at midpoint).
Cash Reduction and Financial Income Impact from Acquisition
Cash and short-term investments were reduced by approximately $1.2B in 2025 to finance the Cognigy acquisition and fully repay debt; management expects this to naturally reduce financial income in 2026.
Near-Term Margin Pressure Due to Targeted Investments
Company plans deliberate, time-bound investments in 2026 (COGS, R&D, sales & marketing) with the pace highest in H1 2026, causing near-term margin pressure before expected improvement in H2 and exit near the upper end of a 25%–26% operating margin range.
Slower Growth in Financial Crime & Compliance Segment
Financial Crime and Compliance (Actimize) revenue of $128M grew only 2% year-over-year, a much slower growth rate than the Customer Engagement segment.
Some Q4 Growth Benefits Were Lumpy
Q4 cloud growth included a modest ~50 bps foreign exchange tailwind and an earlier-than-expected go-live of a large international deployment, indicating some near-term lumpiness in results.
Market Skepticism and Execution Risks
Investor concerns about AI-driven disruption to software remain; successful outcomes depend on timely integration of Cognigy, realization of expected accretion, and conversion of growing backlog to revenue over coming quarters (conversion timelines are non-linear).
Company Guidance
The company guided full-year 2026 total revenue of $3.170B–$3.190B (≈+8% at the midpoint), cloud revenue growth of 14.5%–15.0% (with Cognigy contributing ~200 bps), full‑year diluted EPS of $10.85–$11.05, and an effective tax rate of 20.5%–21.0%; Q1 2026 revenue was guided to $755M–$765M (≈+8.5% YoY at midpoint) with Q1 EPS of $2.45–$2.55. Management said incremental margin investments will be weighted to H1 2026 with operating margins improving in H2 to exit the year near the upper end of a 25%–26% range, expects Cognigy to be accretive within ~18 months, and cited supporting metrics behind the outlook including a 25% cloud backlog increase (22% ex‑Cognigy) and 109% cloud net revenue retention.

NICE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving profitability with meaningful revenue scale-up, a notably de-risked balance sheet (very low leverage), and solid free cash flow generation. Offsetting factors include softer recent operating/free cash flow momentum and uncertainty around the unusually high TTM revenue growth rate.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Revenue has scaled meaningfully over the period (from ~$1.65B in 2020 to ~$2.95B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), with a sharp re-acceleration in TTM (RevenueGrowthRate: 2.423). Profitability is strong and improving: TTM gross margin is ~66% and operating profitability expanded steadily (EBIT margin ~22% and EBITDA margin ~29% in TTM versus ~13%/23% in 2021). Net profitability also strengthened to ~21% in TTM (up from ~10% in 2021). Key watch-outs are that TTM growth appears unusually high versus prior years (suggesting potential non-linear drivers) and gross margin has drifted slightly lower than the 2021–2022 peak.
Balance Sheet
89
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered and trending stronger. Total debt has come down sharply (from ~$926M in 2021 to ~$164M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), driving debt-to-equity down to ~0.04 (from ~0.33 in 2021). Equity has grown consistently, and returns on equity improved to ~15% in TTM (up from ~7% in 2021), indicating improving capital efficiency alongside rising profitability. A minor negative is that total assets dipped versus 2024, but overall leverage and equity strength more than offset this.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is solid with consistently positive free cash flow, including ~$665M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow remains well-aligned with earnings (TTM free cash flow is ~93% of net income), supporting earnings quality. However, cash flow momentum softened in TTM with free cash flow down ~6.6% year over year, and TTM operating cash flow was lower than the prior year. This suggests near-term conversion/working-capital volatility even as underlying profitability is strong.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.97B2.74B2.38B2.18B1.92B
Gross Profit1.97B1.83B1.61B1.50B1.30B
EBITDA860.64M754.14M628.76M525.59M440.48M
Net Income616.96M442.59M338.30M265.94M199.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.11B5.30B5.12B4.85B4.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments417.39M1.62B1.41B1.57B1.42B
Total Debt163.86M563.60M782.97M777.46M925.91M
Total Liabilities1.23B1.69B1.76B1.80B1.87B
Stockholders Equity3.88B3.59B3.34B3.04B2.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow703.16M732.87M477.25M397.82M394.61M
Operating Cash Flow722.23M832.64M561.43M479.71M461.82M
Investing Cash Flow161.23M-397.40M-293.58M-152.35M-261.50M
Financing Cash Flow-992.08M-456.60M-290.27M-164.50M-261.82M

NICE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price117.69
Price Trends
50DMA
111.22
Positive
100DMA
118.24
Negative
200DMA
137.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.30
Negative
RSI
58.66
Neutral
STOCH
65.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NICE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 117.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 109.58, above the 50-day MA of 111.22, and below the 200-day MA of 137.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NICE.

NICE Risk Analysis

NICE disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NICE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NICE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.94B12.5616.53%9.46%34.09%
71
Outperform
$7.55B20.9557.32%0.16%17.00%120.21%
68
Neutral
$4.88B-110.71-5.17%27.35%18.18%
67
Neutral
$3.91B33.9210.43%28.62%186.67%
65
Neutral
$6.43B-12.84%16.98%-265.85%
64
Neutral
$4.01B47.8534.48%22.02%-55.25%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NICE
NICE
117.69
-43.30
-26.90%
CVLT
CommVault Systems
91.00
-78.81
-46.41%
PEGA
Pegasystems
45.36
6.35
16.29%
ESTC
Elastic
58.12
-46.79
-44.60%
MNDY
Monday.com
75.58
-222.52
-74.65%
GTLB
Gitlab
26.39
-35.89
-57.63%

NICE Corporate Events

NICE Posts Double-Digit Cloud and AI Growth for 2025, Adds $600 Million Buyback and New Credit Line
Feb 19, 2026

On February 19, 2026, NICE reported that for the fourth quarter of 2025 total revenue rose 9% year over year to $786.5 million, with cloud revenue up 14% to $608.3 million and GAAP diluted EPS jumping 57% to $2.41, supported by a 66% surge in AI annual recurring revenue to $328 million and broad adoption of AI in large CXone deals. For full-year 2025, revenue increased 8% to $2.95 billion, cloud revenue grew 13% to $2.24 billion, GAAP net income climbed to $612.1 million with stronger margins and $716.5 million in operating cash flow, while the company added a $300 million revolving credit facility and a new $600 million share repurchase authorization, bringing total buyback capacity to about $1 billion and underscoring management’s confidence in its AI-led cloud growth trajectory and balance sheet strength.

NICE also highlighted that year-end 2025 cloud backlog grew 25% year over year, signalling durable demand that could support its targeted mid-teens cloud revenue growth for 2026, even as gross margins eased modestly. The combination of accelerating AI momentum, particularly in enterprise CX, robust international performance and expanded financial flexibility through the new credit line and indefinite-term repurchase program reinforces the company’s positioning as a leading AI-native CX platform provider and may prove supportive for shareholders focused on both growth and capital returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (NICE) stock is a Buy with a $128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NICE stock, see the NICE Stock Forecast page.

NICE Actimize Named APAC Enterprise Fraud Leader as NICE Showcases January AI Milestones
Feb 9, 2026

In January 2026, NICE Ltd. reported a series of developments underscoring its push in AI-driven fraud prevention and customer experience platforms. The company highlighted growing global adoption across regulated industries and large member-based organizations, reinforcing its position as a key provider of cloud and analytics technology for risk, compliance and customer engagement.

On January 6, 2026, its NICE Actimize unit was named a Leader in enterprise fraud management solutions for Asia Pacific by Forrester, earning top scores in areas such as digital channel fraud, analyst investigations and model explainability and governance. The recognition, together with other January product launches and rankings referenced in the filing, signals NICE’s strengthening competitive footing in anti-fraud technology and supports its strategy of expanding AI-based platforms for financial crime prevention and large-scale customer service operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NICE) stock is a Buy with a $128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NICE stock, see the NICE Stock Forecast page.

NICE Highlights ESG Gains with 2024 Sustainability and Governance Report
Jan 7, 2026

On December 8, 2025, NiCE released its 2024 Governance (ESG) Report, highlighting measurable gains in sustainability, governance and people-focused innovation across its global operations. The company reported an 8‑point improvement in its EcoVadis rating to a Bronze Medal level, an 11% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas intensity, and the start of migrating its Israeli data center to the cloud as part of its decarbonization and efficiency efforts. Governance metrics included 100% completion of employee ethics training and strengthened board‑level ESG oversight in 2025, while on the social and innovation fronts NiCE reinvested 14% of its 2024 revenue into R&D, supported by more than 3,300 professionals, expanded leadership development programs, and mobilized staff for over 40,000 volunteer hours and more than $900,000 in community donations. The report underscores NiCE’s bid to position itself as an ESG leader in the AI and customer‑experience technology space, tying environmental and governance improvements to long‑term innovation capacity and talent development, which is likely to be closely watched by investors and enterprise customers increasingly scrutinizing sustainability and ethical practices in technology vendors.

The most recent analyst rating on (NICE) stock is a Buy with a $175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NICE stock, see the NICE Stock Forecast page.

NICE Ltd. Announces Key Developments and Industry Recognition in November 2025
Dec 8, 2025

NICE Ltd. announced several strategic developments in November 2025, including the appointment of Arun Chandra as Chief Operating Officer to lead the newly formed Global Customer Operations. Additionally, NICE and IGT Solutions are collaborating to accelerate AI-first customer experience transformation for global brands with the CXone Mpower platform. Furthermore, NICE was recognized as a leader in the IDC MarketScape European Contact Center-as-a-Service Vendor Assessment 2025, highlighting its strong positioning in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (NICE) stock is a Buy with a $189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NICE stock, see the NICE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026